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HomeMy WebLinkAbout8.2 Att 6 Exh A with attch "B"-Initial Study Initial Stucl / y l��Iiti ated Ne ative g g Declaration Pf•oject: General Plan Amendment/EDSP Ainendment for Jordan Ranch Sr.cba�•ea 3 Wa�llis Rancli Lead Agency: City of Dublin August 2015 Exhibit B T��Ie of �c��te�ts Introduction ..................................................................................................................2 Prior Enviroiunental Impact Revie�vs.......................................................................2 Applicant/Contact Persons........................................................................................7 ProjectDescription.......................................................................................................7 Environmental Factors Potentially Affected..........................................................24 Determination.............................................................................................................24 Evaluation of Environmental Iinpacts ....................................................................26 Environmental Impacts.............................................................................................27 Earlier Analyses/Incorporation by Reference.......................................................37 Discussion of Checklist ............................................................................................. 39 1. Aesthetics ........................................................................................................ 39 2. Agricultural & Forestry Resources..............................................................43 3. Air Quality ......................................................................................................44 4. Biological Resources ......................................................................................54 5. Cultural Resources.........................................................................................60 6. Geology and Soils ..........................................................................................63 7. Greenhouse Gas Emissions...........................................................................66 8. Hazards and Hazardous Materials .............................................................67 9. Hydrology and Water Quality.....................................................................72 10. Land Use and Planning...............................................................................76 11. Mineral Resources........................................................................................77 12. Noise ..............................................................................................................78 13. Population and Housing............................................................................. 87 14. Public Services.............................................................................................. 88 15. Recreation......................................................................................................90 16. Transportation/Traffic................................................................................93 17. Utilities and Service Systems.................................................................... 106 18. Mandatory Findings of Significance ....................................................... ]09 Initial Study Preparers ............................................................................................ 110 Agencies and Organizations Consulted ............................................................... 110 References ................................................................................................................. l l 1 Attachment 1-Traffic Analysis/Supplemental Me1no........................................ 112 INITIAL STUDY Eastern Dublin Planning Area-Jordan Ranch, Wallis Ranch & Subarea 3 Properties City of Dublin Environmental Checklist/ Initial Study Introduction This Initial Study has been prepared in accordance with the provisions of the California Environmental Quality Act ("CEQA", Pub. Res. Code �5 21000 et seq.,) and the CEQA Guidelines (Cal. Code Regs. title 14, �� 15000-15387). This Initial Study analyzes �vhether any further environmental review is required for portions of three properties located in the Eastern Dublin Planning area under the standards of Public Resources Code section 21166 and CEQA Guidelines sections 15162 and 15163. Developinent of the three properties has Ueen previously analyzed in one environmental iinpact report, three supplemental environmental iinpact reports and a number of Addendums to these documents. These are fully described below in tl�is Initial Study. This Initial Study analyzes whether additional ininor changes to the development program for the Jordan Ranch property, Subarea 3 property and the Wallis Ranch property would result in any new or substantially more severe significant environmental impacts than those analyzed in these prior CEQA documents or �vhether any otller of the other standards requiring furtller environmental review under CEQA are met. This Initial Study assesses program changes and development-level activities to implement that progranl through a General Plan Amendinent, ai1 Eastern Dublin Specific Plan Amendment, Stage 1 rezoning and other related entitlements for the three Subareas. Prior Environmental Impact Review Documents This Initial Study consists of a completed environmental checklist and a brief explanation of the environmental topics addressed in the checklist. A considerable amount of CEQA work has been done already for future development in Eastern Dublin, including the project Subareas. These are identified below. Eastern Dublin EIR (all Sl{ba��errs) A prograin-level EIR was certified by the City of Dublin in 1993 that includes all of three properties that are the subject of this document. C.ertified through Resolution No. 51-93 by the City of Dublin in 1993, for the Eastern Dublin General Plan Amendment and Specific P_lan (Eastern Dublin General Plan Amendment and Specific Plan Environmental Impact City of Dublin Page 2 Initial Study/Eastern Dublin Properties August 2015 Report, State Clearinghouse No. 91103064). This document�vill be referred to as the "Eastern Dublin EIR" or "EDEIR" in this Initial Study. Tlze Eastern Dublin EIR evaluated the follo�ving iinpacts: Land Use; Population, Einploynlent and Housing; Traffic and Circulation; Comnntnity Services and Facili�ies; Se��er, Water and Storin Drainage; Soils, Geology and Seismicity; Biological Resources; Visual Resources; Cultural Resources; Noise; Air Quality; and Fiscal Considerations. As part of the City's approval of the Eastern Dublin General Plan Amendment and Specitic Plan through Resolution I�TO. 53-93, the City Council ado�tee� a State?ne�1k of(�verricli,�g Con�ider�tic�i�s fnr the fc�llc�wing iii�paets: cumuiative loss of agriculture and open space Iand, cumulative traific, extension of certain community facilities (natural gas, electric and telephone service), consumption of non-renewable natural resources, increases in energy uses through increased water treatment and disposal and through operation of the water distribution system, induceinent of substantial growth and concentration of population, earthquake grotind shaking, loss or degradation of botanically sensitive habitat, regional air quality, noise and visual. The Eastern Dublin EIR was challenged in court and was found to be legally adequate. The City Council also certified an Addendum dated May 4, 1993 whicll assessed the inoditications to th� Reduced Plaru-�ing Area alternative and coilcluded that this alternative "will have no enviroiunental impacts not addressed in the Draft Environinental Iinpact Report for the Eastern Dublin General Plan Ainendment and Specific Plan." (May 4, 1993 Addendum, p. 1.) The Addendum further concluded that r10 subsequent or supplemental EIR�vas required under CEQA Guidelines section 15162 or 15163 for approval of the inoditied alternative. A second Addendtiin was later prepared, dated August 22, 1994. The second Addendum updated plans tor�roviding sewer services to Eastern Dublin. The May 10, 1993 certified EIR, the May 4, 1993 Addendum and the Augu.st 22, 1994 Addendum are collectively referred to 1lereafter as the Eastern Dublin EIR, or the "EDEIR" and are incorporated herein by reference into this Initial Study. These documents are available for review at the DuUlin Community Development Departnlent during norinal business 1lours. Eastern Dublin Pro�ertv Owner Su�Ulemental EIR (lo��dali Rr��icli Si�ibr�rer�). In 2001, the East Dublin Property O�vners (EDPO) requested annexation, pre-zoning and related approvals for a 1,120 acre Project Area, including the Jordan Ranch Property. The Project Area was �Nitlun t11e developinent area previously approved by the City in 1993; and was witllin d1e scope of the project/program analyzed in the Eastern Dublin EIR. In response to EDPO and consistent with the City's practice for projects in Eastern Dublin, in 2001 the City prepared an Initial Sfiudy to deterinine if the annexation and pre-zoning requests �vould require additional environmental review beyond that set forth in the Eastern Dublin EIR. That 2001 Initial Study disclosed that many of the anticipated impacts of the proposed annexation and pre-zoning were adequately addressed in the Eastern Dublin EIR. This �vas predictable given the comprehensive planning for the development area; the Eastern Dublin EIR's analysis of buildout under the Dublin General Plan and Eastern Dublin Specific Plan land use designations and policies; the long term 20-30 year focus of t11e Dublin General Plan, Eastern Dublin Specific Plan and City of Dublin Page 3 Initial Study/Eastern Dublin Properties August 2015 Eastern Dublin EIR analyses; the fact that annexation and pre-zoning actions �n�ere specifically contemplated in the Eastern Dublin EIR; and the fact that the annexation request proposed the same land uses analyzed for the Project Area in the Eastern Dublin EIR. Althotlgh the 2001 Initial Study concluded that the Eastern Dublin EIR adequately analyzed most of the potential environmental impacts of the proposed annexation and rezoning, it also identified the potential for some new significant impacts or substantially intensified impacts Ueyond those analyzed in the Eastern Dublin EIR. The City deterinined that the potential ne�-v and/or substantiall�T intensified impacts required review at an EIR level and concluded that a Supplemental EIR should be prepared. So, in 2001 and 2002, the Eastern Dublin EIR�vas updated and supplemented by the East Dublin Properties Stage 1 Development Plan and Annexation Supplemental EIR (State Clearinghouse No. 2001052114). That Supplemental EIR, referred to in this Initial Study as the "2002 SEIR," provided updated analyses of agricultural resources, biology, air quality, noise, traffic and circulation, schools, and utilities. In certifying the 2002 SEIR and approving the prezoning, the City Council, through Resolution No. 40-02, adopted a Statement of Overriding Considerations for cumulative air quality and cumulative traffic impacts. The 2002 SEIR was challenged in court and �vas found to be legally adequate. In 2005, a second Supplemental EIR (identified as the "2005 Supplement" or "2005 SEIR" in this Initial Study) was prepared and certified by the City of Dublin tor the Fallon Village project, which included the same properties as the 2002 SEIR (see City Council Resolution No. 222-05). The second SEIR addressed new and detailed inforination for the proposed development areas, as tNell as several changes in circumstances since the prior EIRs which could have affected the impacts and/or mitigations previously identified for the Fallon Village Project. Such changes in the previously analyzed project and circumstances included, but were not limited to: 1) continued development in the Tri-Valley area and beyond with potential changes in commute patterns and traffic intensities, which also may affect air quality and noise within or on the Project area; 2) chaizges in the provision and distribution of some public services (schools) and public utilities (water, wastewater, and storm drainage), 3) changes in circulation patterns on the Fallon Village site; 4) completion of a Resource Management Plan (RMP) for biological and cultural resources on the Fallon Village site and additional site-specific biological and cultural resources studies which did not previously exist; 5) changes in the development density and intensity in the Fallon Village Project area that inay increase impacts over those previously reviewed; and 6) submittal of Stage 2 Development Plans, subdivision maps and other permit applications containing detailed development plans for the northern portion of Fallon Village lalown as Positano not previously reviewed at a project level. Unlike the Eastern Dublin EIR and the 2002 SEIR, the 2005 Supplemental EIR was a coinbination Program-level document and a Project-level document. The program-level portion of 2005 SEIR focused on the new or substantially increased significant impacts of potential future development pursuant to a proposed General Plan, Eastern Dublin Specific Plan, and Stage 1 Development Plan amendments for t11e entire 1,138-acre project area, including the Jordan Ranch Project site. Additionally, the 2005 Supplemental EIR reviewed proposed individual development projects for t11e northern City of Dublin Page 4 initial Study/Eastern Dublin Properties August 2015 portion oi the area, the enviroiunental impacts they�ti=ould generate, ai�d the avoidance aizd mitigation measures they �NOUId employ at a project-level. The Jordan Ranch property �vas analyzed at a progranl level in t11is clocument. Ho�n�ever, it was intei�cled to be used as the environnlental revie�v for the approval of tuture project level entitlements (such as the Stage 2 Planned Development Zoning, a Vesting Tentative Tract I��Iap and SDR) unless the standards under Public Resources Code section 21166 �nd CEQA Guidelines sections 15162 and 15163 �1%ere met. In 2010, t11e Dublin City Council approved a Planned Developnlent Rezoning a�zd related Stage 2 Developinent Plan, Site Development Review (SDR), a Vesting Tentative Tract Map, and a Developznent Agreement on the Jordan Ranch property. An Addenduin to the Eastern Dublin and otl�er applicable Supplemental EIRs was also certified by the City Council (City Council Resolution No. 80-10, adopted on June 2, 2010). This action allo�ved a ininor redistribution of uses on the site as well as a minoi change to the land use program. Under the 2010 approvals, a mix of 780 d�velling units, up to 12,000 square feet of cominercial uses, a range of public parks, p�.rblic and semi- public uses, open spaces and roadways were approved. A second Addendum �vas approved by the City of Dublin in June 2012 for certain portions of the Jordan property (City Council Resolution No. 91-12, adopted June 5, 2012). The project included an anzenclment to the Dublin General Plan and the Eastern Dublin Specific Plai1 that approved a "Scllool" land use designation on 10.1 acres on the easteril side of t�1e Jordan Ranch. The school ��vas programined to acconlinodate �pproxi�natcly 50G students pius staff. At the saii�e time, an underlying land use designation of Mediuin Density Residential land uses to allow developinent of approxiinately 100 units in keeping with the mid-point of the density range if t]Ze School was not constructed was also approved. The previously designated Seini-PLiblic and Mediuin High Density Residential land uses south of the School site were replaced with a Mecliuin Density Resideiltial land use designation witlz an undeilying Sen1i- Public land use designation to allow for the potential expansion of t11e school site if additional �creage was needed. Finally, previous 4.5-acre Open Space land use desigilation was replaced wit11 a Mixed-Use designation that would have contained up to 5,000 square feet of retail and non-residential uses and up to 115 residences. Subarea 3 Stibarea. In 2014, tlle City of Dublin approved an Addendum to t11e 1993 Easteril Dublin EIR (City Council Resolution No. 17-14, dated May 20, 2014) and anlendments to the Dublin General Plan and Eastern Dubliil Specific Plan Amendinent to develop portions of the 64-acre Subarea 3 site located in the Eastern Dublin portion of the City of Dublin. The Developineilt Plan includes construction of up to 437 dwellings at various densities and product types, internal roadways, open spaces and other related improvements. This action also changed an existing Open Space land use designation to Rural Residential/Agricultttre for a }�ortioil of the site. Previously, in 1997, a Negative Declaration was prepared for multiple properties in the Eastern Dublin area, including Plarltling Area A (approximately 363 acres of land) and Areas B-E (approxiinately 468.5 acres of land), all located north of City of Dublin Page 5 Initial Study/Eastern Dublin Properties August 2015 the I-580 Free���ay, east of Tassajara Road and west of Fallon Road. This will be referred to as the "1997 ND," approved Uy the City Council on June 17, 1997, by City Council Resolution No. 140-97. This CEQA document analyzed amendments to the Dublin General Plan and Eastern Dublin Specific Plan, proposed Planned Development rezoning to ensure consistency between City zoning an the General Plan and the Eastern Dublin Specific Plan. The 1997 ND included the approximately 64 acres of land in Sub Area 3 of Planning Area B, �vhich is the subject of this analysis. Wallis Ranch Subarea. In 2004, a Supplemental Environmental Impact Report�vas certified by the City of Dublin for the Dublin Ranch West property, also known as the Wallis Rai1c11 or Wallis Property. The Dublin Ranch West SEIR�vas certified by the City Council on March 15, 2005, by City Council Resolution No. 42-05. This CEQA docuinent analyzed annexation of the property to the City of Dublin and Dublin San Ramon Services District (DSRSD), amendments to the Dublin General Plan and Eastern Dublin Specific Plan, a Planned Development prezoning and Stage 1 Development Plan. Following certification of the SEIR, the Cifiy of Dublin subsequently approved a PD rezoning with related Stage 2 Development Plan for the site, a Site Developinent Revie�v (SDR) permit, a vesting tentative subdivision map and a Development Agreement. T11e SEIR analyzed traffic and transportation and other ii7lpacts of constructing 1,034 dwellings on the site, although the City ultimately approved 935 dwellings. This SEIR identified significant and unavoidable impacts with respect to project exceedances of Bay Area Air Quality Management District air quality standards on a project and cuinulative level. In 2007, the City of Dublin approved a Mitigated Negative Declaration (MND) to analyze improvements within approximately 11.6 acres of land located iinmediately north of the Wallis Ranch property that was the subject of the 2005 SEIR. T11is property is under the same ownersllip as the Wallis Ranch, but is located in the unincorporated portion of Contra Costa County rather than within Dublin and Alameda County. The analyzed the proposed placement of an Emergency Vehicle Assess (EVA), a herpetological barrier and a bioswale within this area. The MND was adopted by Dublin City Council Resolution No. 18-07 on February 20, 2007. Proposed land use approvals included an amended Stage 1 Development Plan for Dublin Ranch West as well as a Vesting Master and Tentative Maps, Site Development Review and Development Agreement. An Addendum (City Council Resolution No. 17-14, dated May 20, 2014) to the Dublin Ranch West SEIR was prepared by the City of Dublin in 2014. The Addendum analyzed a proposal to reduce the total number of dwellings on the Wallis Ranch property than previously approved by the City. The project, approved by the City in 2014 as well as the CEQA Addendum, reduced the total City of Dublin Page 6 Initial Study/Eastern Dublin Properties August 2015 buildotrt ot the site from 935 to 806 d�vellings, incltrded a 3.0 acre private park not iilcluded in the previous approval aild slightly relocated the aligrunent of oii- site road�n�ays. The Eastern Dublin EIR, 2002 SEIR, 2005 SEIR, 1997 ND and various EIR, MND and Addendum documents referenced above are collectively referred to in this Initial Study as "�rior CEQA documents." This Initial Study has been prepared to addiess the most recently requested land use entitlements for the three Subareas as described more fully below. This Initial Study further exainines whether additional environinental review is required under CEQA Guidelines Section 15162 or 15163. The resolutions, ordinances and prior CEQA documents referenced above are incorporated by reference, and are all available for revie�-v by the public during norznal business hours at the Community Development Department, Dublin City Hall, 100 Civic Plaza, Dublin, 94568. Applicant/Contact Persons Tordan Ranch Mission Valley Properties Attn: Mr. Kevin Fryer 5000 Hopyard Road, Suite 170 Pleasanton, CA 94588 Phon�: (y25j 4�7 y900 Wallis Ranch Truinarl<Homes 4185 Blacichawk Circle Road, Suite 200 Danville, CA 94506 Christopher Davenport Phone: 925-309-2503 Sub Area 3 Lennar Homes 6111 Bollinger Canyon Road, Suite 550 San Rainon, CA 94583 Michael Snoberger Phone: 925-327-8306 Project Description Project location and context. The project includes proposed General Plan and Eastern Dublin Specific Plan Anlendinents for three Subareas in the Eastern Dublin Planning Area. Exhibit 1 sho���s the regional location of Dublin within the larger Bay Area. Exhibit 2 shows the location of the three Subareas comprising the project site. These City of Dublin Page 7 Initial Study/Eastern Dublin Properties August 2015 three subareas are described below. Collectively, these three subareas constitute the "project" w1-uch is the subject of this Initial Study. • Jo���a�2 Rczncli subc�rect. The 189-acre Jordan Ranch is located east of Fallon Road and north and south of Central Park�n�ay. Two portions of the overall Jordan Ranch are included in the project, as follows. Exhibit 3 shows the location of the Jordan Ranch Subarea. a) One portion consists of 11.1 acres of land located on the south side of Central Parkway at Sunset View Drive, currently designated as a "Community Park." The proposed land use designation would be to a "Park/School" designation that would allow development of a combination elementary and middle school by the Dublin Unified School District (DUSD). The school is anticipated to accommodate approximately 950 students with joint park facilities on the site. Assuming this project is approved, the existing portion of the Jordan Ranch designated for a future "School," located on the eastern side of the Jordan Ranch, would be developed consistent�vith it's underlying General Plan and Eastern Dublin Specific Plan land use designation of Medium Density Residential (6.1 to 14 du/ac). This would allow between 68 and 154 d�vellings could be accommodated on the site. Up to 112 dwellings are proposed on the former School site if the project is approved. b) The second portion of the Jordan Ranch Subarea would include replacing an existing 4.6-acre "Mixed Use" land use designation that would currently allow up to 115 residential units and up to 5,000 square feet of retail commercial uses with a "Medium Density Residential (6.1 — 14.0 du/ac.)" land use designation that would allow development of between 28 and 64 dwellings. Up to 45 dwellings are proposed on this site. The two portions of Jordan Ranch Subarea are vacant and were used for cattle grazing, but have been graded as part of the larger, approved Jordan Ranch project. Surrounding land uses include Dublin Sports Park, being developed on the west side of Fallon Road, west of the project site, single family residences in the Positano community to the north and generally vacant lands to the east and south. Proposed General Plan and EDSP Amendments included in this project indude: • Suba��ea 3. The 64-acre Subarea 3 is located south of Central Parkway, west of Fallon Road and north of Dublin Boulevard. Lockhart Street forms the western boundary of the site. Exhibit 4 shows the location of this Subarea, The project includes changing the Dublin General Plan and Eastern Dublin Specific Plan land use designation from "Rural Residential/Agriculture" to "Parks/Public Recreation" for 10.75 acres of the overall property. This area is generally located City of Dublin Page 8 Initiai Study/Eastern Dublin Properties August 2015 in the soutlz-cent�al portion of the site, is vacaizt and is characterized by moderate to steep slopes. Land to the �vest ot SuL area 3, �vest of Lockhart Street, 1�as been developed for attached d�velling uiuts or is vacant. Land north of Subarea 3 is currently vacant and is plaz�ned for a future expansion of Fallon Sports Park. Property east of the Subarea is vacant Land use soutll ot Subarea 3 ineludes a combination of commercial uses (Fallon Gateway Center) and vacant land. • Wc�llis Raltcli. The Wallis Ranch consists of 184.1 acres of land located in northeril portion of Dublin generally bounded by the Alameda/Contra Costa line to the north, Parks Reserve Forces Training Area (Parks RFTA) to the �vest, Tassajara Road to the east and the Tassajara Creek to the south. The approved Wallis includes approxiznately 1.9 acres of land that is designed for Semi Public uses in the Dublin General Plan and the Eastern Dublin Specific Plan. The project includes amei�dments to both of these documents to change the designation from Semi Public to "Parks/Public Recreatioil" use. Exhibit 5 shows the location of the �N�llis Ranch Subarea. T11e sites on the Wallis Ranch property are currently vacant. Project Characteristics Overview. Ainendnlents have been requested to both t11e Dublin General Plan and �astern Dublin Specific Plan to change land use designations for three areas of the Eastern Dublin Planiling area. The proposed changes are described by the subareas described in the previous section. • Jorc�r�n Ra�lcli si�br�rer�. Proposed General Plaii and Eastern Dublin Specific Plan land use changes to the t�vo�ortions of the overall Jordan Ranch property are s}zown on Exhibit 6. The City of DLiblin and the Dublin Unified School District have entered into a Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) whereby the proposed Elementary School on the Jordan Ranch property would be relocated to another portio�.1 of the property. The existing 10.1-acre "School" site located in the approximate center of the overall Jordan Ranch would be developed as "Medium Density Residential," consistent with the site's uilderlying General Plan and Specific Plan land use designation. This portion of the Subarea would have a development capacity of bet�veen 68 and 154 dwellings. Up to 112 dwellings are currently proposed on this site. The first portion of the Jordan Ranch Subarea consists of 11.1 acres of land located on t11e south side of Central Parkway designated as a "Colnmtrnity Park." The proposed land use designation for this site is proposed to be a combined "School/Park/Public Recreation" to facilitate the developinent of a City of Dublin Page 9 Initial Study/Eastern Dublin Properties August 2015 combination elementary school and middle school with a maximum enrollment of up to 950 students and associated faculty. There �vould be some joint use ot the si�e as a Cify park. Previous CEQA analyses conducted by the City assumed development of a 500-stl.ident sc11oo1 �vithin the Jordan Ranch property. The second portion of the Jordan Ranch affected by this application includes 4.6 acres of land located on the northeast corner of Central Park�vay and Fallon Road. This property is currently designated for "Mixed Use." The proposed change is from "Mixed Use" that�vould allow development of up 115 residential units and up to 5,000 square feet of retail commercial space to "Medium Density Residential (6.1 - 14.0 du/ac)" that would permit development of up to 45 d�n�ellings. TaUle 1 shows approved and proposed land use designations on the Jordan Ranch property. 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The 64-acre Subarea 3 is located south of Central Parkway, v��est of Fallon Road and north of DuUlin Boulevard. Locichart Street forms the �tiTestern boundary of the site. The project includes changing the Dublin General Plan and Eastern Dublin Specific Plan land Use designation from "Rural Residential/Agriculture" to "Parks/Public Recreation" for 10.75 acres of the overall property. This area is generally located in the south-central portion of the site, is vacant and is characterized by moderate to steep slopes. Exhibit 7 sho`vs the proposed General Plan and EDSP designations for this subarea. The proposed park is intended as a primarily passive open space feature and minimal activity is anticipated to occur on this portion of the site. • Wnllis Rrt�ich S�tbarer�. The existing Dublin General Plan and Eastenl Dubliil Specific Plan for the Wallis Ranch property includes approximately 1.9 acres of land that is designated for "Semi Public" uses that would allow a range of uses including but not limited to day care centers, youth centers, senior centers and similar uses. The project includes amendments to the General Plan and Eastern Dublin Specific Plan to change the designation from "Semi Public" to "Park/PuUlic Recreation" use. The proposed General Plan and EDSP Amendment is shown on Exhibit 8. PD Rezonin� and Stage 1 aild 2 Develo�ment Plan. Stage 1 Development Plan amendments are proposed for all of t11e areas affected by this application. Stage 2 Rezoi�ing and Site Developinent Reviews (SDR) will need to be approved by the City of Dublin in the future to allow future development on each of the properties affected by this application. Building De.�i�. Future building designs will be subject to SDR approval by the City of Dublin. Access, Circulation and Parkin�. Access to and froin each of the various properties comprising the project would not change from existing patterns. It is anticipated that the School p�oposed on the Jordan property would take priinary access at the signalized Central Parkway/Sunset View Drive intersection. Utilitv Services Utility services to support proposed land uses would be supplied by Dublin San Ramon Services District (DSRSD). DSRSD is currently providing domestic water, recycled water and sanitary sewer service to the larger Jordan Ranch, Subarea 3 and Wallis Ranch properties. Water Qualitv Protection. The future improvements on each of the various subareas comprising the project area will be to be subject to Best Management Practices to support�vater quality standards as enforced by the City of Dublin. This may include but�vill not be limited to construction of vegetated bio-swales, bio-retention basins and similar facilities. Water quality improvements �vill be required to be approved by the City of Dublin prior to issuance of any building permits. City of Dublin Page 12 Initial Study/Eastern Dublin Properties August 2015 Pro�ect Gradin�. A lnajority ot the Subareas have beeil rough graded as part of adjoining, approved development projects. �dditional fine grading �vould occur on most of the Subareas to accoinznodate futuie iinprovements. An exception tvoulel include 10.75 acres of S�.ibarea 3, �Nhich has been rough graded, but�n�Ilich is proposed to reinain as a natural park area. Develo�ment agreements. The City of Dublin has entered into Development Agreements �vith the o�vners of three properties included in the application. Ainendments inay be required to soine or all of these Development Agreements. Amendments to the 'terms of 'the Development Agreeinent(s) are not anticipafed to result in any significant environinental impacts beyond those caused by the implementation of the project analyzed in this Initial Stttdy. Rec�uested land use entitlements. The following land use entitleinents have been requested to allo�v implementation of the proposed Project: • General Plan Anlendment (GPA) to modify land tises as described above; • Eastern Dublin. Specific Plan A�7lendment (EDSPA) to nlodify land uses as described above; • Plannecl Development rezoiuilg witll Stage 1 Developnlent Plan ainendn�ents for consistency �vith t11e GPA/EDSPA; • A�nendments to current Developinent Agreement(s), �vhere applicable City of Dublin Page 13 Initial Study/Eastern Dubiin Properties August 2015 ( i I y I i � ( 80 ,l `�,.,_ 5 Antioch � �`� , � 1 , ;�_ ... 4 •. �. 24 San � . �. , .�a. a Oaklan � Francisco � �,, 680 � Dublin r , � San � � � Tracy I Francisco > , Pacific Ocean � gay 84 Livermore � 'I sso 1 .:�. ' °> ; � ` 101 �w. � 237 � 8 � o N 10 Miles San Jose � , � s5 I �—;—�—� i � � � 9 101 i Detail " � � ��� I ' '�� Santa �� California ��;� Cruz sz � �I �„� �� 52 ��; , � I = � ...,. p, �.�.,�.. �.w�__� , _ _ _ ' EXHIBIT� 1 � REGIONAL LOCATION i rvoar H I NTS GPA & SPA I macKnY 8�SomPS M4Y Zo�s VICINITY MAP I / � � �/ ' � WALLIS =�� / / RANCH �„tc�'�`5�' i ..�fi°�' � �� I I I �'fj� I GOStP OU13C� �FJ I co�,t�n�� / � I '�/�4H�.� no I /� 'O I I I � �--------� �'� I I I I I I I 0 -------- �, �s JORDAN i D UBLIN °°����_ �N��� �� --' ,, �S��NO �i b /�� "`7ARI:WA{^-� -��� o O AMONL / �' � WAY / u7 �"�IIRIVG.... F % �i� ��` � � �<n `� °I \ N f� N r� o�� \ o __"_—�." _ � DR1VE�''� po I o q �. �%�� � � �C � � /� I� �,. � CF,NIRAL N � I �� L ��'�po ��AG � \'G. 1.,.PARAR'AY PARAWA_ V�,�, I �� OCBLM ' D ,S/ � I er.m� n r: `� i � � o I a �\ �°a � ---�/�� -----\—\\�------� --^------ � \�'— � � � ____ `______ 1-$80_ 1-SRO �� ---- � UB ARE � o° � � 3 r' g �l��', ,�P4�9 s oa� SPY Q,� ��o I EXHIBIT 2 EASTERN DUBLIN N O R T H NTS General Plan Amendment IIIACKAY 8c SOttIPS �Y Zols VICINITY MAP 05-'9-2015 4:30pm Amanoa Karcneiski P:\197?o\PLN\EXH-P\EASTERti DUBUN PROPERIIES EXHIBIT_20150519.DVJG i i I ' � � i i � 1 �h— � Y ��. � + �;� ' ^`�,._ � � :� � '�� r. F_ r� � � _�r 7 t �� � � �# _ ���� � . , c. f f � ::j � S �/'=, � r.����': . F ,� , . . , .. .. , . ,,. � " � i . �-- _�:_ ,_: > �t-, �s�� �r ' a,. `�. ,' ' , ' �--• w ` - �>.,...E� •.„_ , -:_ ., � . . �� J � :'/��: a yr", �j�. � •-r _ e� �-. I ,. - �� ..; �.. . . ., . ,, x , ... . c, _ a � : 3 ., � � �g/ , ( �.� . . . . . `�. r P � �. ' ... . . � d ,. � - ''� C �. . , t�cwr ieor.-iov� � , k� � �*- . �." ��� . ; F FY, '' . ti .. �� � . , , � � � .,. ��°� , ° � �i �'? ,� '° -' r � � � ;�!�"����'R >. - ' � ,�`N`r 9a (`f j ' j-`' -f; � � .� f � ; ' ' '�` � ` ?JORDAN RANCH SUB AREAS ��� , o ` .� �. t � ,�,� � � + F�#��� f�"= t ��' _ � _ ��1 . � fi� µ� I �� . � `:� ' t '� i�`�+ "' �`� ��y ¢{�y'��5�,ry,��� 1 f r + flit�( j��� t � � $` Y�a� � f� { . M�' �f � '°� - i � - � Yd� � C` �� ie £�.. PCiF F N�. � a � t i �� �Pr ��t� ����� t4c� � 5 '� k t � .,� �6i C.1T� ��'al .3 �� ^ ,�'� _ , . ` ''" �y� �{ �t �}` �� � � a�+ �a.� ,'@•l�� ��_ iiag / �. �� " �� �• ' . , _. '. . ',°b `� `p� '�.'�� a"7c`^^.__/ � ' Q p t�-s �+ »F" a,.'� ��.. .,,. � v . �,. „. � .t:.._. .. ': . '�� � ��� �, , � �,��%` `� `�'� ���-i �, .,,.., ��' �. „ I ," ., .} " �, .: +"d-- ,,,} _� �� e. -. b � � I ..Y 4,.� ^4m,�. �{ . . . �' �:'< � � (� Y `�� �' '� .f �� �� +"� E�q,n-,� F ,J+. 4' ��f'.K.. f-I P_r�i` r ��� t �.�:�-�V,, ,t� ,. . ',.: ' . . OPcNSPACE - ,� �s.� :� 1,`-:�' 1" "'k�'., " ;c.F i . . .. .. � . . f � �����`�� i�a �.�", �- �^r ..,� �. �.� .�..c�r, � _ � � � ���� � � �x��� �r '�.� � j # ¢� x .L r{,�"�• �. �t '.t� S _ � # +a f �r+? � j� N t� C' � � r �" . ,. y . ,. . � � � � � a t = ` �. ` . - � -- - .�� . ,� ' :; _ . � - -� ,: : .. : , „ - ' `,��. . ;. ;1. , ,. a.. . '• ".°. {� w„,-� sF '^' ,.k ,' z � ....,,.�— - ' � - - :._._ �� t f ' � t � - .. _._ -•., - � ; . .. ..c - _ �� .. 1 � . . . �.�� . � �.�`� �� � �s. - ' _ . � - .`' �. _� � _ .._ , . ., ,. .. ^r . ' . ....� . . � ��. - -� ,. ...�.�r _� . .�-' � � �- . UPLhJSrACL . ` "�� �� �.;.n. � r ! s � . . "' _ .. .. � � V i ' ' ,i� ,...:� � . - � .- y }'�. � .-;`�' ��.� _ , �. � I ; EXHIB IT 3 . ' � ' JORDAN RANCH N O R T H I ' NTS i GPA & SPA �, macKAY&SomPS I SUB AREA LOCATION ---- I b1AY 2015 i I � _� I I I I � �- I I / � ---- � I � ��� � � N�� 1 � � , c� � \ .� -� �� � � � SUB AREA �O \ �O \ � — I \ � I I � w Iw � I c�n / I � / _ / / � � I O ��'J� I J v��\� I � � � i I � '� - i - � ►� _ , � � - � - - � - � � i EXHIBIT 4 SUB AREA 3 N O f? T H NTS GPA & SPA � . � � ��� SUB AREA LOCATION MAY 2015 �2��?^i�1�5'02'�'24arrl�mcnaaAKroorr�;i��?!b1Q��Pda�'��P'`�H`i^�'����yC�4�`'c�GL�cA�?+.��1G'�;1`�3.�7�'t1DY_F?;'-;IB�T �_SJf33.DWG / �. / ,../ ,.. V \ / �.. l ,.. i ' 1` i` � � \ �', .' � , � �� - �-- - � ` � � � �� , � ) ; . � ► � ' _ ���� - � �� � � , � ' �� � �� � � �`� �� � �� � - - - _� \ i � WALLIS RANCH SUB AREA � � I � � I I �- � � � EXHIBIT 5 N o R T M WALLIS RANCH NTS GPA & SPA ��(pY�s� � SUB AREA LOCATION E��� �� �� Ji7NE 2015 06-23-2015 9:07om Amanda KorchefsW?:\19604\PLANNING\GPA_EDSPA\INITIAL STUDY_EXH181T S.DWG - - -- � � , � _ ,�: � . . � , : � � �� � � - �, � . �,.,� �� � �,� � . , . � _ < , . � , . �, ; , � ;-5r , . _.. � f - : _ , . � ,. .. ., . . . , ' . . ._. �.- ' ,. _ � .... `��.., f _ �, , r � < . � v « t � i + ".� r . f' „ , .,. . d , , .:. .. � � �. � ��°� � ` '�� � � ,- ' . -�� < " � �:. ��� � � ,. _ �` , , - .�� � a. ��.. � �� ., . '".° , .� ,�. I � t•lElQ,ilo0,�100D ,. i .-r �� � , .. �., � _. � F F'Y _ :�. f � . . �. _ / f . . . c 1 � � �'-�: �� � +. ..,, ',. � ?�.� � I�� �EXISTING L41D L'SE: � � ��`� � _ . '- �. � : ti, � ., � . . ;'. - MUlED USE � , �, ' �„�< �,.. , ; � �. � . ` PXOPOSF_D L.4:�D L;SE: � . � ,� , -:.: e� ` - , . ,.,.MEDIUM DENSITY :' � Y, � � ` RESIDENTIAL ` - �i � . � ��. � ..._ " �� , � r � � � � � �, �. � . ' ' �d. ... , � ,..� ' � �.;: F';. ;�i � . .,Ffl�'.I h r;Y. � - j P � . . . - tit�,s _ /, r:r � , _ �. ,. . �'d'C Gl I ✓'_�I ' " ' � - __ . . ' ' . ;. ' I . . ; .' -�y "�-:} , � .._ . : . � -�� I . . s. ' " ^ .... .. ., ,:T � �., ... , � r . a . �F �a. 1 _ :� _. . . �. .. : ,. . � r I ° ' ?w . �_' . ..+7", ,�tiry .� 4�.. � .. � .... .k . . . , .. � , .1_:, r . ':`y . ., � n. ) � ' � 4 : r -,.x.,n' :� _�. ". A' `tA e�y,.1� - ..�� 1 f�` � . `�� ., �� . . � . ;A. M1&.�� x N �� I �y ` v' � C�f'Lf��`>�ACE . _ � I ` • ,'�' a,t.' . ��° �� � ,.,n ... �j" A�f ' . i '- E.LISTI.NG L.4�\D L'.SE: — ---� . COb4biLJNITY PARK _, , � i � � _ - � ? � k _; � . t•": LdUDC SE � ' � , PROPOSED . . - �� � � .,� � -r � , �� : ...�_-_. °_._ � r � � '��SCHOOL/PARK " ' � .� . � .. i � .. .,. � � � or���.�',�<<�� �� � - — �I . , I�i '' EXHIBIT 6 -- %� ' JORDAN RANCH N O R T H � �, ,���TS �, GPA & SPA IIIACKAY&SOIIIPS ' EXISTING & PROPOSED USES .. .. . .. MAY 2Q15 i ; _ _ - _ -� i i , ,p� _ , I � , ��-�FzP�- � � � c \ �, EXISTING LAND USE: � RURAL �� \ RESIDENTIAL/AGRICULTURE 2 \ PROPOSED LAND USE: � /� PARK O \ \ \ - I \ \ I I F- W Iw � C� � I I � / _ / � � I O ��'J� i ��,,,� o I � \ I _ J � �� — I , � — � I — � - - � I I � i EXHIBIT 7 N O R T H SUB AREA 3 NTS GPA & SPA ��5 EXISTING & PROPOSED USES .,.�+r�k sua.��a�� MAY 2015 �r�@6�P�15s:s2�,{,Zpma,mandoAi(va�vd�k�t�i�?Y�'diN\EX'i�R��i�'�8\f���DA�E��\�.�'R1DY_EY.HiBIT 4_SUB3.DWG i � i Ii � �.. U �' i ' \� �' '' i �.` � \ � I ` �,,�� ,`� ��� - �=- - � � i � ti \� 1 / i � i � � � � i �_; /� i � �� ;.�, i� - -/ I ,� � � �� �-� �l" ' � �� � I � > ��. I �. � � � � '� � ----------\- � � - - - � � _�� �� � I Ij � � EXISTING LAND USE: PUBLIGSEMI PUBLIC PROPOSED LAND USE: I PARK �--- -� � � � EXHIB IT 8 WALLIS RANCH N O R T H NTS GPA & SPA IIIACKAY�[S�S I EXISTING & PROPOSED USES E„� s,,,,E�,� MAY 20t5 06-17-2015 229pm Amanda KarchefsN?:\19604\PLANNING\GPA_EDSPA\INITIAL STUDY_EXHIBIT S.DWG 1. Project descriptian: The applicant rec�uests approval ot a General Plan Amendment, an amendment to the Eastern Dublin Specific Plan, Planned Development rezoning and Stage 1 Planned Development amendments for portions of the following properties in the Eastern Dublin Planning area: Jo��cicr�i Rc��icli: Redesignatiilg an existing � Community Park site on the south side of Central Parkway at Sunset View Drive to a j oint School/Park site; changing an existing Mixed Use land use designation on the northeast corner of Fallon Road and Central Parkway to Medium Density Residential. Sul�c���ect 3: Redesignating 10.75 acres of the site from Rural Residential/Agricultural to Park/Public Recreation. Wr�llis Rrr�icli: Redesignating a 1.9-acre site in the south portion of this property from Semi- Public to a Park land use designation. 2. Lead agency: City of Dublin 100 Civic Plaza Dublin, CA 94583 3. Contact person: Mike Porto, Dublin Planning Department (925) 833 6610 4. Project locations: jorc�nn Rr��lcli: East of Fallon Road, nortll and south of Central Parkway. Srtbr�rerr 3: South of Central Parkway, north of Dublin Boulevard. Wallis Ra�TCh: West of Tassajara Road, south of City limit line and east of Camp Parks RFTA. 5. Project contact persons: jordan Ranch Mission Valley Properties Attn: Mr. Kevin Fryer 5000 Hopyard Road, Suite 170 Pleasanton, CA 94588 Phone: 925 467-9900 City of Dublin Page 22 Initial Study/Eastern Dublin Properties August 2015 �'Vallis Panch Trumark Homes =�185 Slacichatti�l<Circie Road, Suite 200 Danville, CA 94506 Christopher Davenport Phone: 925 309-2503 Sub Area 3 Lennar Homes 6111 Bollinger Canyon Road, Suite 550 San Ramon, CA 94583 Michael Snoberger Phone: 925 327-8306 6. Existing General Plan & jordr�li Rr��icli: I��ixed-Use, School & Specific Plan Land Use Community Park designations: S��tbrzrect 3: Rural Residenti�l/Agricultiire WRllis Rr��icli: Se1ni-Public. 7. Proposed General Plan & jo��clmi Raaidi: Mediuln Density Residential S�ecific Plan Land Use (6.1-14.0 du/zc.)/ School/Park designations: Sl��arerr 3: Park/Public Recreation Wrrllis Rn�7d�: Park/Public Recreation S. Existing & Proposed PD-P1an�led Development Zoning: 9. Other public agency necessary, potential and/or desired approvals: • Gradiilg Plans, Improvement Plans, and Building Permits (Dublin) • Se�-ver and water connections (DSRSD) • Enci-oachment permits (City of Dublin) • Notice of Intent (State Water Resources Control Board) City of Dublin Page 23 Initial Study/Eastern Dublin Properties August 2015 Environm�ntal Factors Potentially Affected The environinental tactors cilecked belo��� inay �e potentially aftected by this Project, invalving at least one impact that is a "potentially significant impact" as indicated by the checiclist on the follo�Ning pages. - Aesthetics - Agricultural - Air Quality Resources - Biological - Cultural Resources - Geology/Soils Resources - Hazards and - Hydrology/Water - Land Use/ Hazardous Quality Planning Materials - Mineral Resources - Noise - Population/ Housin - Public Services - Recreation X Transportation/ Circulation - Utilities/Service - Mandatory Systems Findiilgs of Si i�ificance Determination On the basis of this initial evaluatioi�: _I find that the proposed Project could not have a significant effect on the environinent and a Negative Declaration will be prepared. _ I tind that the proposed Project could not have a significant effect on the environment and a Addendum will be prepared. X I find that although the proposed Project could have a significant effect on the environment, there will not be a significant effect in this case because the initigation measures described on an attached sheet have been added to t11e Project. A Mitigated Negative Declaration will be prepared. I find that although the proposed project may have a significant effect on the environment, but at least one effect 1) has been adequately analyzed in an earlier document pursuant to applicable legal standards, and 2) has been addressed by mitigation measures based on earlier analysis as described on the attached sheets, if the effect is a "potentially significant inlpact" or City of Dublin Page 24 Initial Study/Eastern Dublin Properties August 2015 °potentially significant unless init�gated." An Eziviranmental I�pact IZeport is required, but must aizly analyze the eftects that reinain to be addressed. ;, � • � , . ,• ,� r Signature: �,�',��� � ��'�' Date: �..,�y. ^?� �.� �� ��-> Printed Nan1e: Michael Porto, Planning Co�lsultant For: City of Dublin Comn-�unity Developinellt Departn2ent City of Dublin Page 25 Initial Study/Eastern Dublin Properties August 2015 Evaluatior� of Environmental Impacts 1) A brief explanation is required for all ans�n�ers. Certain "no impact" answers are supported by the inforination sources the lead agency cites in the p�renthesis following each question. A "no impact" answer is adequately supported if the referenced informafion sources show that the impact simply does not apply to projects like the one involved (e.g. the project falls outside a fault rupture zone). A "no ne�v impact" ans�-ver applies where there is no iinpact of the proposed project beyond that which was considered previously in the 1993 EIR, the 2002 SEIR, the 2005 SEIR, or other prior EIR or MND. . A "no impact/no new impact" ans�ver should be explained �Nhere it is based on project-specific factors as well as general factors (e.g. the project will not expose sensitive receptors to pollutants, based on a project-specific screening analysis). 2) All answers must take account of the whole action, including off-site as well as on-site, cumulative as well as project-level, indirect as �vell as direct, and construction as well as operational impacts. 3) "Potentially Significant Impact" is appropriate if there is substantial evide�lce that an effect is signiticant. It there are one or more "potentially sigrtificant impact" entries when the determii�ation is made, an EIR is required. 4) "Negative Declaration: Potentially Significant Unless Mitigation Incorporated" implies elsewhere the incorporation of mitigation measures has reduced an effect from "potentially significant effect" to a "less than significant impact". The lead agency inust describe the mitigation measures and briefly explain 11o�v they reduce the effect to a less than significant level. City of Dublin Page 26 Initial Study/Eastern Dublin Properties August 2015 Envia�onmei�tal Iin�acts (Note: Sotu�ce df deterinination Iisted in pat-entl�esis. See Iistii�Q of sotu-ces at end of checklist�ased to cletern�ine each potential in�pact). Note: A fiilI discussiol� of each item is found Potentially Less Ti,a�l Less chan No Ne�� f0llOwlil� the ClleCklist. Significant Significant Significant Impact Imp�ct With Impact Mitigation , 1. Aesthetics. ���oarld the pt�oject: � a) Have a substantial adveise impact on a scenic X vista? � b) Substantially dama�e scenic ►•esources, including but Ilot limited to trees, rock outcroppings and historic buildings within a X state sceiiic hiQhway? (Sourc.e: 2,3,4,8) c) Substantially deQrade the existin� visual char�cter or quality of tl�e site and its X suri-ourldings? (Source.: 2,3,4,8) d) Create a new source of substantial li�l�t or glare, wl�icl� would adversely affect day or X ni�httime views ii� the area? (Source: 8) 2. Agricultural Resources. Wor�ld the project: a) Convert Prime Farmland, Unique Farmland or Farmland of Statewide Importance, as show on the n�aps pre��ared pui-suant to the X Farn�land Mappinb a�ld Monitoring Progra�n of tlie California Resoucces Agency, to a I�oii-agricultural Lise? (Source: 2,3,4) b) Conflict with existing zoning for agriculture use or a Williamson Act coi�tract? (2) X c) Conflict with existing zoning for, or cause rezonin� of forestl�»d (as defined by PRC Sec. 12220(g),timberland (as defi»ed in X PRC Sec. 4526), or timberland zoned Timberland Production (as defined in PRC Sec. 51 104 (�)? (Source: 1 ,2,7) d) Result in the loss of forest land or conversion of forest land to non-forest use? (1 ,8) X e) Involve other chan;es in the existing environment that,due.ro their location or nature,could result in conversion of farmland to a non-agricultural X use or conversio❑ of foresCland to a non-forest use? (Source: 8) � � City of Dublin Page 27 Initial Study/Eastern Dublin Properties August 2015 Potentially Less Than Less than No Ne«� Significant Si�nificant Sionificant lmpact Impact With Impact �lil a�lllOtl 3. Air Qualit� (Where available,the si�nificance criteria established by the applicable air quality manageinent district may be relied on to make the following determinations). Woasld t/�e project: a) Conflict with or obstruct implementation of X the a�plicable air quality plan? (Source: 2) b) Violate any air quality standard or contribute substantially to an existing or projected air X quality violation? (Source: 2,9) c) Result in a cumulatively considerable net increase of any criteria pollutant for wl�ich the pi-oject region is non-attainme�lt under an X applicable federal or state arnbient air quality stai�dard (iucluding releasing emissions which exceed quantitative thresholds foi- ozone precursors? (2) d) Expose sensitive i•eceptors to substantial X pollutant co�lcentrations? (2,8) e) Create objectionable odoi-s affectin� a X substantial number of people? (2, 8) 4. Biological Resources. Woc�ld the project a) Have a substantial adverse effect,either directly through habitat modifications,on any species identified as a candidate,sensitive or special X status species in local or regional plans,policies or regulations,or by the California Department of Fish and Game or the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service? (2,3,4) b) Have a substantial adverse effect on any riparia�i habitat o�-other sensitive natural community identified in local or regional plans,policies or X regulations or by the California Department of Fish and Game or the U.S. Fisli and Wildlife Service? (2,3,4) c) Have a substantial adverse impact on federally protected wetlands (iucludin� but not limited to marsh, vernal pool,coastal,etc.) through direct X removal,filling,hydrolo�ical interruption or otller means? (2, 3,4) City of Dublin Page 28 Initial Study/Eastern Dublin Properties August 2015 , Po�lly Less Tlzan Less tlran No Ne«�� SiQnificant Sianificai7t Sianificant Impact � Impact� With � Impact � Ivlitigation � d) I�itiel�ei-e substantially with the movement of any native resident or mi�ratoly fish or wildlife species or with established native resideut or mi�i-atoiy wildlife corridors or � X impede the use of native wildlife nurseiy sites? (2,3,4) e) Conflict with any local policies or ordinances X protecting biological resources, such as a tree preservation policy or ordinance'? f) Conflict witl� the provision of an adopted Habitat Conservation Plan, Natucal Community Conservation Plan or other X approved local, reQional or state I�abiCat conservation plan? (Source: 1, 2) 5. Cultural Resources. Wo��ld the project �) Cause a substantial adverse impact in Che si;nificance of a historical resource as X defined iii Sec. 15064.5? (So�irce: 2,3,4j b) Cause a sLibstantial adve�se� cllange i�1 the si�nificance of an arche.olo�ical resoiirce X pursuant to Sec. 15064.5? (Source: 2,3,4) c) DirecCly or indirectly destroy a unique paleontological resow�ce or ui�ique geologic X feature�? (Source: 2,3,4) d> Disturb any human renlains,including those X interred outside of a forn��l ceil�ete�y? (2, 8) G. Geology and Soils. Would the project a) Expose people or structut-es to potential substantial adverse effects, including the risk of loss,injury,or deatll i�lvolvi�l�: i) Rupture of a known earthquake fault,as delineated on the most recent Alquist-Priolo Fau(t Zoning Map issued by the State Geologist or based on X otller kno��vn evidence of a known fault? (Sow�ce.: 1,3) ii) Sti-ong seismic �round sl�aking? (2,3,4) X iii) Seismic-related ground failure, includin� X liquefaction? (Source: 2,3,4) iv) Landslides? (Sou1-ce: 2,3,4) X b) Result in substantial soil erosion or the loss of X topsoil? (Source: 2,3,�-) � � i City of Dublin Page 29 Initial Study/Eastern Dublin Properties August 2015 Potentially Less Than Less th�n No Ne�v Sianificant Si�nificant Si�nificant Impact I Impact With � Impact i Mitigation � � � c) Be located on a �eoloQic unit or soil that is unstable, or that would become unstable as a result of the project and potentially result in X on- and off-site landslide, lateral spreadin�, subsidence, liquefaction or collapse? (2) d) Be located on expansive soil, as defined in Table 18-1-B of the Uniform Building Code X (1994),creatin� substantial risks to life or property? (Source: 2) e) Have soils capable of adequately supporting the use of septic tanks or alternative wastewater disposal systems where sewers X are tiot available for wastewater disposal? ��) 7. Greenhouse Gas Emissions. Woarld tlle p�-oject: a) Ge.i�erate �reenhouse gas e�nissions,either directly or indii-ectly,that may have a X significant impact on the environment? (7) bj Conflict with an applicable plan, policy or regulation adopted for the purpose of i-educing the ernissions of greenhouse �ases? X 8. Hazards and Hazardous Materials. Would tl�e project: a) Create a significant hazard to the }�ublic o►- the environment through tl�e routine transport, X use or disposal of hazardous materials? (2,3,5 5) b) Create a significant l�azard to tl�e public or the environment throu�h reasonably foreseeable upset and accident conditions involving the X release of hazardous into the environment?(2,3) c) Emit hazardous enlissions or handle hazardous n�aterials,substai�ces,or�vaste within one- X quarter mile of an existing or proposed school? (Source: 2,3,4) City of Dublin Page 30 Initial Study/Eastern Dublin Properties August 2015 ' Potentially Less Than Less than h�o Ne« Si�nitic�nt Si�nificant Si�nificant Impact Impact Wi�h lmpact IV11tIa3t10I1 � d) Be located on a site which is inciuded on a � list of hazardous materials sites complied I � pursuant to Government Code Sec. 659625 X and, as a i-esult, would it create a si�nificant � hazard to the public or the ei7vil-onment? (9) e) For a project located within an airport land use plan or, whei-e such plan has i7ot been adopted, within 2 miles of a public airport or X public use aii-port, would the project result in a safety hazard for people residin� or working in the pt-oject area? (Soui-ce: 2, 9) t� For a project witl�ili the viciility of private airstrip, would the project result in a safety (Iazard for people residii�� or workiila in the X project ai-ea? (Source: 2,9} �) Iii�pair implementation of or physically interfere with tl�e adopted emei-�e�ICy response plan or emer�ency evacuation X plail? (Sou►-ce: 2, 9) h) Expose people or structures to a significant risk of loss, injuiy or death involving ��ildland fires, includinff where wildlands X are adjacent to urbanized lreas or wl�ere residences are intermixed with wilcllands? �2) 9. Hydrology and Water Quality. Worrld the pro ject: a) Violate any water quality standards or waste X discharge require�nents? (Soui-ce: 2,9) b) Substantially deplete groundwater supplies or interfere substantially with groundwater recharge such that there ��vould be a net deficit in aquifer ��olume or a lo�vering of the local groundwater X �able level (e.g. the production rate of eaistiug nearby wells would drop to a level «�Ilich would not support existin� land uses or planned uses � for wl�icll permits have been grantedj? (Source: � � 2) 1 � City of Dublin Page 31 Initial Study/Eastern Dublin Properties August 2015 Potentially Less Than Less than No Ne�v Si�nificant Significant Sianificant Impact Impact With Impact � I i � Mitigation i c) Substailtially altei- the existin� drainage pattern of the site or ar-ea, including throu;h the alteration of the course of a stream or X river, in a manner which would result in substantial erosion or siltation on- or off- site? (Source: 2,3,4,7) d) Substantially alter the existin� drainage pattern of the site or areas, including through the alteration of a course or stream or river, X or substantially increase the rate or amount of surface runoff in a manner which would result in flooding on- or off-site? (Source: 2,3,4) e) Ci-eate or contribtite i-unoff water whicl� would exceed the capacity of existing or X planned stormwater drainage systems or provide substantial additional sources of polluted rtinoff? (Sou1-ce: 2,3,4) fi) Otherwise substantially deQrade water X qliality? (Source: 2,3,4) g) Place housing within a 100-year flood hazai°d area as mapped on a Flood Hazard Boundary oc Flood Insurance Rate Map or other flood X delineation map? (Soui-ce: 7) 1�) Place within a 100-year flood hazai-d area structures which i�npede or redirect flood X flows? (Source: 7) i) Expose people or structures to a significant risk of loss, ii�jury,and death involving X flooding, including flooding as a result of the failure of a levee or dam? (Source: 7) j) Inundation by seiche,tsunami or mudflow? X 10. Land Use and Planning. Would tlle project: a) Physicall.y divide an established community? (Source: l,2,3,4) �{ City of Dublin Page 32 Initial Study/Eastern Dublin Properties August 2015 Potenti�ll}� Less"I'han Less than No Ne�a� �, � Significant Significant Sitrnificailt Inlpact ' Impact � With Impact � j Niiti�ation ' j b) Conflict with any applicable land use plan, policy, or regulation of an aQency with � jtu�isdiction ovei-the project (includina but i � X not limited to the gelleral plan, specific plan, j � or zoning ordinance) adopted for the purpose of avoiding or mitigating an environmental effect? (Source: l,2) c) Conflict with any applicable habitat conservation plan or i7atural community X consel-vatio�l plan? (Source: 1,2) 11. Mineral Resources. Would tlze project a) Result in the loss of availability of a known mineral resource that would be of value to X the region and the residents of the state? (1) b) Result in the loss of availability of a locally importal�t mineral resource recovery site de.lineated on a local general plan, specific X plan or oCher land use plan? (Source: 1) 12. Noise. Wo�rld the proposal resrflt i�r.: a) Exposui-e of��ersons to or ne�ieration of �IOise levels in excess of standards established in X the ge�leral plan or iloise ordivance, or applicable standards of otl�er agencies? (2,5) b) Exposure of persons or to aeneration of excessive �i°oundborne vibra�ion or X grou�Idborne noise levels? (Soui•ce: 2,5) c) A substantial permanent increase i�i ambie�lt �IOise levels in the project vicinity above X existing levels witllout tl�e project? (2,5) d) A substa��tial tem�orary or periodic increase in ambient noise levels i�l tlle project vicinity X above levels without the project? (2,5) e) For a project located within an airport land use plan or, where such a plan has �lot been adopted, witl�in two nliles of a public aiiport X or public use airport, would the �roject expose people residin� or worki�l� n tlle project area to e.�cessive noise levels? (2, 5) City of Dublin Page 33 Initial Study/Eastern Dublin Properties August 2015 Pote�ntiall}� Less Than Less than No Ne�i� Si�nificant Si�nific�nt Significant Impact Impact With Impact Mitigation f) For a project witl�in the vicinity of a private airstrip, would the project expose people X residing oi• working in the project area to excessive noise levels? (5) 13. Population and Housing. Woulc�tl�e project a) Induce substantial population growth in an area,either directly or indirectly (for X example, through extension of roads or other infrastructure)? (1,2) b) Displace substantial numbers of existing housing, necessitating the coilstruction of X replacement housing elsewhere? (l, 8) c) Disp(ace substantial nu�nbers of people, necessitatin� the replacement of housing X elsewl7ere? (Soiu-ce: 1, 8) 14. Public Ser��ices. Would the j�ro�os�zl: a) Would the project result in substantial adverse physical impacts associated with the provision of�lew or physically alte►-ed governinental facilities,the construction of which could cause significant eirvironmental i►npacts, irl order to maintain acceptable service ratios, response times or other pei-formance objectives for any of the public services? (Source: 7) Fire protection? X Police ��rotection? }{ Schools? X Parks? �{ Other �ublic facilities }{ 15.Recreation: a) Would the project increase the use of e�xistii�g neighborhood or regional parks or other recreational facilities such that substantial X physical deterioration of the facility would occur or be aceelerated? (Source�: 7) b) Does the project include reereational facilities or require the construction or expansion of recreational facilities �vhich mi�ht have an X adverse physical effect on the environme.nt? (Source: 7) City of Dublin Page 34 Initial Study/Eastern Dublin Properties August 2015 Potential(}� , Less Thai� � Less than � No Ne�v � Sianificant � Signi;icant ; Significant Impact Impact With � lmpact � NlitiQation � 16. Trans�ortation and Traffic. t�oirld tl�e I ' j�roject: � a) Conflict with an applicable plan, ordinaiice � or policy establishing measures of � effectiveness for the perfolmance of the X circulation systenl,Yaking into account a(1 modes of transportation, includi�lg mass transit and all non-motorized travel and relevant components of the circulation system, including but not limited to intersections, sti-eets, hi�hways and � freeways, pedestrian and bicycle paths and mass transit? (Source: 2,3,4,6) b) Conflict with ai� applicable congestion management program, ii�cluding but not limited to, level of service and travel X demand measures, or other standards established by tlle cou»ty congestion il�anaQement a�ency for desi�ilated roads or hi�hw�ys?_(So�u-ce: 2,6) c) Result ii� a chanQe in air U�affic patterus,includin� eitller an increase in traffic levels or a change iii X location that results in substantial safety risks'? (Source: 2,6) d) Substantially increase hazards due to a design feature(e.g. sharp curves or dangerous X intersectious) or incompatible uses,such as farm equipment? (Source: 6) e) Result in inadequate emer�ency access? (6j X f) Conflict with adopted policies,plans or pro�rams regarding public trai�sit,bicycle or pedesh-ian facilities or otherwise decrease the perfonl�ance X of safety of such facilities? (1) 17. Utilities and Service Systems. Would tl�e project a) Exeeed cvastewater treatment requiren�ents of the applicable Regional Water Quality Control X Board? (Source: 7) City of Dublin Page 35 Initial Study/Eastern Dublin Properties August 2015 � Potentially Less Than Less t1�an No Ne«� Sianificant Si�nificant Significant Impact lmpact With Impact Miti�ation b) Require or result in the construction of new wate.r or wastewater treatment facilities or expansioil of existing facilities, the X construction of which could cause sianificant environmental effects? (7) c) Require or result in the construction of iiew storm water drainage facilities or expansion of existing facilities, the construction of X which could cause significant environmental effects? (7) d) Have sufficient watel- supplies available to serve the project from existing water X I eiltitlements and resources,or are new or expailded entitlements needed? (7) e) Result in a determination by the wastewater treatment provider which serves or n�ay serve tl�e project that it has adequate X capacity to serve the project's projected demand in addition to the providers e�isting commitn7ents? (Source: 7) f) Be served by a landfill with sufficient }� permitted capacity to accommodate tlle project's solid waste disposal needs? g) Con�ply with federal, state and local statutes X and regulations related to solid waste? (7) 18. Mandatory Findings of Significance. a) Does the pi-oject l�ave tl�e potential to degl-ade the quality of tl�e environ�nent, substantially reduce the habitat of a fish or wildlife species, cause a fish or wildlife populatioii to drop below self-sustaining levels,threaten to X eliminate a plant or animal community, reduce the number of or restrict the range of a rare or endangered plant or animal or eliminate important examples of the major periods of Califorl�ia history or prehistory? City of Dublin Page 36 Initial Study/Eastern Dublin Properties August 2015 Poienti�ll}� Less Than � Less than No Ne��� � Sianificant Si�nificant Si�nifican� Impact j I�npact With � Impac�t �I Mitiaation I b) Does the project have impacts that are � I individually limited, but cumtilatively ; j � considerable? ("Cui��ulatively considerable" � X j tneans that the incremental effects of a ' � I project are considerable when viewed in connection with the effects of past projects, � the effects of other cln•rent projects and the effects of probable future projects). c) Does the project have environmental effects which will cause substantial adverse effects X on human beings, eitlier directly or indirectly'? Sources used to deterinine �otential environmental im�acts 1. Eastern Dublin General Plan Amendinent/Specific Plan 2. Eastern Dublin General Plan Anlendnlent/Specific Plan EIR 3. 2005 �astern D�zblin Property Owners' Supplemental EIR 4. 2005 Dublin Ranch We�t Suppleineiltal EIR 5. Project Acoustic Analysis (Illingworth & Rodkin) (2015) 6. Project Traffic Impact Analysis (Fehr & Peers) (2015) 7. City staff or other regulatory agency 4. Site Visit 9. Other Source XVII. Earlier Analyses and Incorporation By Reference a) Earlier analyses used. Identify earlier 1i��lyses and state where they are available for review. "1'he following Eizvironmental Iinpact Reports have been used in the preparation of the Initial Study. All are available for review at the City of Dublin Conlmunity Developinent Departnleilt, 100 Civic Plaza, Dublin CA, during norinal business hours. Each of the follo�ving documents are hereby incorporated by reference into this Initial Study. • Eastern Dublin Environmental Impact Report, May, 1993, (SCH #91103064) • East Dublin Properties Stage 1 Developmeilt Plan and Annexation Draft Supplemental Environmental Impact Report, January 2002 and Final SEIR (Marc112002) (SCH #2001052114) City of Dublin Page 37 Initial Study/Eastern Dublin Properties August 2015 • Falloi� Village Project Dratt Supplemental Environmental Impact Report, August 2005 and Final SEIR (SCH #2005062010) � Initial Study/EIR Addendum, Jordan Ranch Property, City File #PA 09- 011, A.pril 2010. This Initial Study analyzes whether any further environmental revie�v than that performed in these prior certified CEQA documents are required for the proposed �roject under the standards of Public Resources Code section 21166 and CEQA Guidelines section 15162 and 15163. This Initial Study analyzes whether the proposed changes to the Dublin General Plan, Eastern Dublin and other applicable regulatory documents for portions of the Jordan Ranch, Subarea 3 and the Wallis Ranch pr�operty will result in any new or substantially more severe significant environiriental impacts than those analyzed in prior CEQA documents or��hether any other• of the standards requiring further environmental review under CEQA are met. If the Initial Study determines that there are no netiv or substantially more severe environrr�ental iinpacts than those analyzed in the piior CEQA documents and no CEQA standard for subsequent or supplemental review is met, then the impact is identified as "No New Impact." If the particular topic was not analyzed in a previous CEQA document and no impact is identified in this Initial Study, this be identified as a "No Iinpact" finding. City of Dublin Page 38 Initial Study/Eastern Dublin Properties August 2015 �i�ct��sio�l �� C�tec�c��st 1. Aesthetics Environmental Settina The project subareas are set in a formerly rural area of Eastern Dublin that has tr�nsitioned to urban uses under the auspices of the City of Dublin General Plan Amendment and Eastern Dublin Specific Plan, adopted in 1993. Jo1�c�rrai Rc��icli S���bc�rea: The overall Jordan Ranch site is characterized by a coinbination of rolling hills and grasslands with shallo�N to moderate topographic relief. The �Nestern portion of the site adjacent to Fallon Road are typically flatter than the eastern portion. The areas included in this application is vacant but has been rough graded as part of the larger, approved Jordan Randz development. No creeks streams or other bodies of water are located on the three portions of the site nor are any major stands of trees or major rock outcroppin�s. Similarly, no existing parks, playgrounds, scenic vistas or places of public gatllering are located on any of the subareas. Sz.�br�rerr 3 Si�br�rerz: The overall Subarea 3 is characterized by two snlall btrt distinct hills in the northern and central portions of the site that slope to the soutll and w�est. The hills are identified as "Visually Sensitive Hillsides-Reshicted Developn�ent" in the Eastern Dublin Specific Plan (see EDSP Figure 6.3). No public parks, scenic vistas or scenic overlooks are located on the site. Wrrllis Rr��ic11 Sril�m•er�: The existing natural topography of the Wallis Ranch includes consists of steep slopes in the �Nestern portion of the site adjacent to Parks RFTA transitioning to moderate to gentle slopes in the approximate center of the site. The portion of the site lying adjacent to Tassajara Creek is generally flat. Land included in this subarea is located in the flatter, southern portion of tl�e Wallis Ranch property. No parks or other public gathering places currently exist on this property. Scenic highways within and adjacent to the Eastern Dublin Plaiuung area include the I- 580 freeway south of Eastern Dublin and Tassajara Road that extends ii1 a norkh-south direction through Eastern Dublin. Development is under�vay on all three properties (Jordan Ranch, Subarea 3 and Wallis Ranch) but not on the various Subareas that are included in this project. No light sources exist on any of the project Subareas. IZegulatorv framework and Previous CEQA documents Errsterrl Du�liat Specifi'c Plr��1. The City of Dublin adopted the Eastern Dublin Specific Plan (EDSP) ii1 1993 to guide the future development of approxiinately 3,400 acres of land in tlle Eastern Dublin area. City of Dublin Page 39 Initial Study/Eastern Dublin Properties August 2015 Ec�ster�i Dubli�i EIR. The Easteril Dublin EIR contains a number of mitigation measures to reduce anticipated visual reso�rce impacts from the General Plan and EDSP project. These include: • Mitigation Measure 3.8/1.0 reduced project impacts related to standardized tract development (IM 3.8/A) to a less-than-significant level. This mitigation requires future developers to establish visually distinct communities which preserves the character of the natural landscape by protecting key visual elements and inaintaining views from major travel corridors. • Mitigation Measure 3.8/2.0 reduced the impact of converting the rural and open space character of the General Plan Amendment and Specific Plan area (IM 3.8/B) but not to a less-than-significant level. The mitigation measure requires implementation of the land use plan that emphasizes retention of predominant natural features. Even with adherence to this measure, IM 3.8/B would remain significant and unavoidable on both a project and cumulative level. • Mitigation Meastire 3.8/3.0 reduced the impact of obscuring distinctive natural featui-es of the General Plan Amendinent and Specific Plan area (IM 3.8/C) but not to a less-than-significant level. The mitigation measure requires implementation of the land use plan that einphasizes retention of predominant natural features. • Mitigation Measures 3.8/4.0-4.5 reduced tlle impact of altering the visual quality of hillsides (IM 3.8/D) to a less-than-significant leveL These initigation measures requixe implementation of appropriate Eastern Dublin Specific Plan policies inclttding but not liinited to use of sensitive grading design to ininimize grading, use of existing topographic features, limiting use of flat pads for construction, using building designs that conform to natural land forms, recontouring hillside to reseinble existing topograplly and miniinizing the height of cut and fill slopes. • Mitigation Measures 3.8/5.0-5.2 reduced the impact of altering the visual quality of ridges (IM 3.8/E) to a less-than-significant level. These mitigation measures limit development on inain ridges that border the Specific Plan area to the north and east but allow developinent on foreground hills. The measures also limit development in locations where scenic views would be obscured or would extend above a ridge top. • Mitig�tion Measures 3.8/7.0 and 7.1 reduced impacts on scenic vistas (IM 3.8/I) to a less-than-significant level. These mitigation measures require protection of designated open space areas and directs the City to conduct a visual survey of the EDSP area to identify and map vie�vsheds. Jordayi Silbarerr: No new or more significant aesthetic resource impacts the 1993 EDSP EIR�vere identified in the 2002 or 2005 Eastern Dublin Supplemental EIRs or an Addendum documents. City of Dublin Page 40 Initial Study/Eastern Dublin Properties August 2015 Sttl�rtl�ert 3: No ne�n� or inore significant aesthetic��z�pacts �vere identified in the Subarea 3 Addenduln or the 1997 ND. VV�zllis Ra�tch: No new or more significant im�acts to aesthetic resources were identified in the 2005 Dublin Ranch West Supplemental EIR, the 2007 MND or any Addendum docuinents prepared for this propert��. Er�ster�l DltUli�i Sce�2ic Corridor Policies r��id Str��ldnrds. In 1996, the City of Dublin adopted scei2ic policies and standards for the Eastern Dublill area, known as the Ectste�•�i Dl.t2�li�t Sceaiic Co��ridor Policies rz�id Stcz�2d�rds. This document identifies the Jordan Ranch as lying within Zone 5, the Fallon Village Open Space area. This corridor area is defined primarily by lands adjacent to public rights-of-way, which should be park, rural residential, open slopes or riparian drainage areas. Policy 11 states that development should "celebrate open space, with distant views as well as with foreground vie�v and right-of-way landscaping." The proposed project�vill be required to adhere to all applicable initigation ineasures from previous EIRs and other land use regul�tions dealing with aesthetics, visual conditions and light and glare. Project ImUacts a) Hi�ve a s1��bstr��itial r�dverse i�»pr�ct o1i rt sce»ic vistr�? No New Impact. Approval and iinplenlentation ot tl�e proposed project would result in no new or significant severe impacts regarding scenic vistas, since no scenic vistas currently exist on aily of the Subareas. Approval and implenleiltation of tlle�roject �NOUId relocate an approved school site frorn th� eastern portion of the Jordan Ranc11 to a site on the south side of Central Parkway. A proposed Community Park in this location would be eliininated. However, the proposed School would be constructed with a joint public park that would allow a public gathering place and views of nearby hillsides and other features. Proposed public parks on Subarea 3 and the Wallis Ranch project would facilitate t11e public's ability to view scenic vistas. No new or substantially more severe impacts regarding substantial adverse impacts on scenic vistas have been identified with regard to the proposed Project that have not been analyzed in the Eastern Dublin EIR or other CEQA documents. b) Sl�bst��itir�lly dcr»Zr��e sce�iic reso��rces, i�TClTidi�ig visttr�l resoi.�rces �vithi�i stcrte sce2iic ltigltwcry? No New Iinpact. All of the Subareas have been graded as part of approved adjacent development projects (Jordan Ranch, Subarea 3 and �Nallis Ranch), so that no scenic resources exist on these Subareas. City of Dublin Page 41 Initial Study/Eastern Dublin Properties August 2015 Appr�val and implementation of the proposed project�vould result in a public schoal on the south side of Central Parl«vay, ��vhich is currently designated for a Comrnunity Park. Vie�vs of the proposed school �vould be largely blocked by a range of small hills that exist nortll of I-580 ancl south of Central Park�n�ay. No other major structures would be allo�ved by the project that���ould result in a substantial damage to scenic resources, including any resources located adjacent to a state or local scenic high�vay. All of the mitigation measures contained in the Eastern Dublin EIR and visual policies contained in the EDSP would apply to the current project. The Project would result in no new or substantially more severe significant impacts regarding scenic resources than have been analyzed in the prior CEQA documents. c) Sx2�str�ritic�lly c�eg��rrde existifig vis1��R1 dim•rreter oa� tlie quc�li�y of tlle site? No New Impact. The proposed Project includes consideration of a General Plan Amertdment and Eastern DuUlin Specific Plan Amendment that`vould relocate approved uses (Jordan Ranch Subarea) and reduce future potential development on the Subarea 3 site and the Wallis Ranch Subarea. All ot the Subareas have been graded and no significant visual resources remain. The Eastern Dublin EIR addr�ssed the following potential impacts related to visual and aesthetics impacts of implemeilting the Eastern Dublin Specific Plan: Impact 3.8/B: Urban developinent of the project site will substantially alter the existing rural and open space qualities tllat characterize Eastern Dublin The Eastern Dublin EIR identified the following measure to mitigate this inlpact Mitigation Measure 3.8/2.0, "Implement t11e land use plan for the Project site whicll einphasizes retention of predominant natural features..." However, the EIR concluded that even with adherence to this mitigation, alteration of rural and open space in the Project area would remain a potentially significant impact. With adherence to Eastern Dublin Specific Plan policies to protect visual resources in Eastern Dublin and appropriate Eastern Dublin EIR initigation measures, there would be no new or more severe significant impacts than analyzed in previous CEQA documents that affect the three Subareas. d) CreRte light or gla��e? No New Iinpact. The three subareas contain no light sources and construction of tl�e proposed project would add additional light sources on the Jordan Ranch Subarea in the form of streetlights along collector and interior roads, lighting associated with school uses, as well as new housing and yard lights. Additional lights would be installed within future parks in the Wallis Ranch Subarea. For the Jordan Ranch subarea, the potential effect of increased light and glare was analyzed in the Initial Studies for the 2002 SEIR (p. 77) and the 2005 SEIR. City of Dublin Page 42 Initial Study/Eastern Dublin Properties August 2015 These anal5�ses concluded tllat no signiticant light and �Iare iinpacts would result frozn development of t�1e EDSP in the Pallon Village area, including the Jordan Ranch property. No lighting �NOUId be installed on the proposed parl<on the Subarea 3 site. The Initial Study adopted as part of the EIR for the Wallis Ranch Subarea found that the potential for significant light and glare impacts from build-out of the overall VVallis Raiuh would be less-than-significant (p. 28). City development requirements to restrict spillover of unwanted light�vill apply to t11is proposed Project. Therefore, no new or substantially more severe significant impacts have been identified with respect to ligllt and �lare iinpacts than have been previously analyzed in prior CEQA documents. 2, Agricultural & Forestry Resources Enviroiullental Settin� and Previous CEQA Docuinents Figure 3.1-B contained in the Eastern Dublin EIR identities the three Subareas as "lands ot locally important farinlands." �DSP Impact 3.1/F fotuld t11at the cunlulative loss of agricultural lailds was a significailt and unavoidable ii�npact of urban development in the Eastern Dublin planning area. Inlpact 3.1/C found the discontinuance of agricultural operations to be less-than-significant. No other iin�acts with respecr to priine agricultural lands for any of tlle tree Subareas beyond those analyzed in the 1993 Eastern Dublin EIR. None of t11e Subareas contain any significant trees or forests. Project Impacts a,c) Co�lvert pri�rie frrr�nla�id to a ��o�i-ng��ici.iltt�r�rl t�se or iaivolve otlie�� cJirt�iges zulticli coi�ld ��esult i�t conversio�t of fr�r�mlmtd to rr �io�i-r�g��iclslti���nl T.�se ? No New Inlpact. None of the land encompassed in the three Subareas are currently used for agricultural production. Future uses of the various Subareas as parks, a school and/or residential land uses would therefore not result in such a conversion. Therefore, approval and impleinentation of the proposed project would result in no new or substantially more severe significant impacts tllan have been analyzed in prior CEQA documents. b) Co��iflict wifli existi�ig zo���itig for ng��ici.�ltl.��-r�l lise, o��r� Williat�isoti Act co�ifi��crct? No Ne�v Iinpact. Two of the three Subareas coinprising the project are presently zoned for non-agricultural urban uses and would not conflict with any existing agricultural zoiung and would not conflict�vith aily Williamson Act Agreenlents. City of Dublin Page 43 Initial Study/Eastern Dublin Properties August 2015 Sttbarea 3 is presently designated for IZural Residential/Agricultural Iand use and ��Tould be converted to future Park. Therefore, no new or more severe significant impacts would result w�ith respect to these topics than have been previously analyzed. d) Resi�li`iii tlie loss of forest lcznd or eo�zversio�i of forest la�2d to c� �ion forest i.tse? No Iinpact. No forest land exists on any of the project Subareas and no impact would result �vith respect to this topic. No additional analysis is required. d) Ia�volve otlzer dir�liges zvltich, di�{e to tlzeir locatio�i or�ic�ture, coi�ld resi.tlt of forest Imzd tu �c �io�z forest T�se? No Impact. See item "d," above. 3. Air Quality Back�round. The project is located in tlle San Francisco Bay Area Air Basin. Ambient air quality standards have been established at Uoth the State and FederalleveL The Bay Area meets all ambient air quality standards with the exception of ground-level ozone, respirable particulate inatter (PMlo) and fine particulate matter (PMz�). High ozone levels are caused by the cumulative emissions of reactive organic gases (ROG) and nitrogen oxides (NOx). These precursor pollutants react under certain meteorological conditions to form high ozone levels. Controlling the emissions of these precursor pollutants is the focus of the Bay Area's attempts to reduce ozone levels. Highest ozone levels in the Bay Area occur in the eastern ai�d southern inland valleys t11at are downwind of air pollutant sources. High ozone levels aggravate respiratory and cardiovascular diseases, reduced lung function, and increase coughing and chest discornfort. Particulate r�latter is another problematic air pollutant in t11e Say Area. Particulate matter is assessed and measured in terins of respirable particulate matter or particles that have a diameter of 10 micrometers or less (PM,o) and fine particulate matter where particles have a diaineter of 2.5 micrometers or less (PMZ s). Elevated concentrations of PM,o and PM,5 are the result of both region- wide (or cumulative) emissions and localized emissions. High particulate matter levels aggravate respiratory and cardiovascular diseases, reduce lung function, increase mortality (e.g., lung cancer), and result in reduced lung function growth in children. The ambient air quality in a given area depends on the quantities of pollutants emitted �vithin the area, transport of pollutants to and from surrounding areas, local and regional meteorological conditions, as well as the surrounding topography of the air basin. Air quality is described by the concentration of various pollutants in the City of Dublin Page 44 Initial Study/Eastern Dublin Properties August 2015 atnlosphere. Units ot concentration are ge��erally expressed in parts per million (p�m) or micrograms per cubic meter (F�g/m'). The project is located jvitllin the Livermore ��alley. The Liverinore Valley forms a sinall sub regional air basin distinct from the larger San Francisco Bay Area Air Basin. The Livermore Valley air basin is surrounded on all sides by high hills or mountains. Significant breaks in the 1lills surrounding the air basin are Niles Canyon and the San Ramon Valley, ���hich extends north�vard into Contra Costa CoLU1ty. T11e terrain of the Livermore-Aznador Valley influences both the cliinate and air pollution potential of the sub-regional air basin. As an inland, protected valley, the area has generally lighter �n�inds and a higher frequency of calm conditions �vhen coznpared to the greater Bay Area. The occurrence ot episodes ot 11igh atmospheric stability, lvlown as inversion conditions, severely liinits the ability of the atmosphere to disperse pollutants vertically. Inversions can be found dLlring all seasons in t�1e Bay Area, but are particularly prevalent in the summer months when they are present about 90%G of the tiine in both znorning and afternoon. According to the Bay Area Air Quality Manageinent District (BAAQMD), air�ollution potential is high in the Livermore Valley, especially for ozone ii1 the suinmer and fall. High teinperatures increase the potential for ozone, and the valley not only traps locally generated pollutants btrt can be the receptor of ozone and ozone precursors from upvvind portions of the greater Bay Area. Transport of pollutants also occurs bet���een the Liverinore Valley and the San Joaquin Valley to the east. During the winter, the sheltering effect of terrain and its inland location results in frequeilt surface-based inversions. Under these coilditions pollutants such as carbon nlonoxide froin autoinobiles and particulate inatter generated by fireplaces and agricultural burrzing can become concentrated. Natio�zal and state ainbient air qualitv standards. As required by the Federal Clean Air Act, National Ambient Air Quality Standards (NAAQS) have been established for six inajor air pollutants: carbon monoxide (CO), nitrogen dioxide (NO�), ozone (03), particulate matter, including respirable particulate matter (PM,o) and fine particulate inatter (PM,5), sulfur oxides, and lead. Pursuant to t]Ze California Clean Air Act, the State of California has established the California Ambient Air Quality Standards (CAAQS). Relevant Current State and Federal standards are suminarized in Table 2. CAAQS are generally the same or more stringent than NAAQS. Air Quality Monitorin�Data. The sigi-�ificance of a pollutant concentration is deterinined by comparing the concentration to an appropriate ambierlt air quality standard. The standards represent the a11o�Nable pollutant concentrations designed to ei�sure that the public health and welfare are protected, while including a reasonaUle margin of safety to protect the more sensitive individuals in tlle population. The San Francisco Bay Area is considered to be one of the City of Dublin Page 45 Initial Study/Eastern Dublin Properties August 2015 cleanest metropolitan areas in the country with respect to air quality. BAAQMD monitors air quality conditions at more than 20 locations throughout the Bay Area. The closest monitoring station to the project site is in Livermore at the 793 Rincon Avenue monitoring station. Summarized air pollutant data for this station is provided in Table 3. This table shows the highest air pollutant concentrations measured at the station over the three-year period from 2012 through 2014. Note that BAAQMD discontinued monitoring of carbon monoxide in 2009 at this station. These data show that ozone levels exceeded State or federal standards each year over the past three years. The PM�.S 24-hour standard was exceeded in 2013 and 2014. Ambient Air Quality Status. Areas with air pollutant levels that exceed adopted air quality st:andards are designated as "nonattainment" areas for the relevant air pollutants. Nonattainment areas are sometimes further classified by degree (marginal, moderate, serious, severe, and extreme for ozone, and moderate and serious for carbon monoxide and PMlo) or status ("nonattainment-traizsitional"). Areas that comply with air quality standards are designated as "attainment" areas for the relevant air pollutants. "Unclassified" areas are those with insufficient ��ir quality inonitoring data to support a designation of attainment or nonattaininent, but are generally presumed to meet the ambient air quality standard. State Implementation Plans must be prepared by states for areas designated as federal nonattainment areas to demonstrate how the area �vill come into attainment of the exceeded federal ambient air quality standard. The Bay Area is considered a marginal nonattainment area for ozone under the NAAQS and nonattaininent for ozone under the CAAQS (both 1- and 8-hour standards). The Bay Area is also designated as nonattainment for the 24-hour PM2.5 NAAQS. The Bay Area is also considered nonattainment for the State annual PM2�, standard and the 24-hour PMlo standard. The region is designated attainment or uiulassified for all other ambient air qtrality standards. Sensitive Rece�tors. There are groups of people more affected by air pollution than others. The California Air Resources Board (CARB) has identified the following persons who are most likely to be affected by air pollution: children under 14, the elderly over 65, athletes, and people with cardiovascular and chronic respiratory diseases. These groups are classified as sensitive receptors. Locations t11at may contain a high concentration of these sensitive population groups include residential areas, hospitals, daycare facilities, elder care facilities, elementary schools, and parks. The closest sensitive receptors are newly constructed on-site residences on the west site of Sunset View Drive, northwest of the projec� construction site. Additional residences are located at farther distances from the site to the east, west, and north. City of Dublin Page 46 Initial Study/Eastern Dublin Properties August 2015 Ta�Ie 2. Fte�evaytt C�la�or�tia �nd Nationai A�bie�1#Air Qualit� Standards Polluta�t Averaging Time California Standards National Standards 8-hour 0.070 ppm 0.075 ppin Ozone (137 µg/in3) (147,ug/ln�� 1-hour 0.09 ppm — (180 �tg/m3) 1-hour 20 ppm 35 ppm Carbon (23 mg/in3) (40 mg/n1') monoxide 8-hour 9.0 ppin 9 ppm (10 m�/m3) (10 in�/in�) 1-hour 0.18 ppm 0.100 ppm Nitrogen (339 µg/m�) (188 µg/m3) dioxide Annual 0.030 ppm 0.053 ppm (57 Eta/m�) (100 µ /m�) Sulfur Dioxide 1-hour 0.25 ppm 0.075 ppin (655 µ /m�) (196 µ /in�) 2�-hour 0.04 ppin 0.14 ppm (105 ��/in3) (365 �t /in�) Annual — 0.03 ppin (56 E� /m�) Particulate Annual 20 � /m3 — Matter (PM��,) 24-hour 50 �a/m3 150 �l /m� Particulate Annual 12 µ /m' 12 ,u /m3 M�tter (PM,,$) 24-hour — 35 �� /m� ource: an , 15. Notes: ppm = parts per million mg/m3 = milligrams per cubic meter �g/m3 = micrograms per cubic meter Toxic Air Contan2inants. Toxic air co�ltaminants (TAC) are a broad class of compounds lalown to cause morbidity or mortality (usually because they cause cancer). TACs are found in ainbieilt air, especially in urban areas, aild are caused by industry, agriculture, fuel coinbustion, and coinnlercial operations (e.g., diy cleaners). TACs are typically found in low concentrations, even near their source (e.g., diesel particulate matter near a freeway). Because chronic exposure can result ii2 adverse 1lealth effects, TACs are regulated at the regional, state, aild Federal level. City of Dublin Page 47 Initial Study/Eastern Dublin Properties August 2015 Table. 3. Highest Measured Air Pollutant Concentrations at Livermore Station Station Measured Air Pollutant Levels Average 2012 2013 2014 Pollutant Time 1-Hour 0.102 ppm 0.096 ppm 0.093 ppm Ozone (03) 8-HOttr 0.090 ppm 0.077 ppm 0.080 ppm Carbon Monoxide (CO) 8-Hour ND ND ND 1-Hour 0.053 ppin 0.051 ppm 0.0�9 ppm Nitrogen Dioxide (NOz) Annual 0.010 ppm 0.011 ppm 0.010 ppm Respirable Particulate 24-Hour ND ND ND Matter (PM,�) Annual ND N� ND Fine Particulate Matter 24-Hour 31.1 ug/n,3 40.1 ug/m3 42.9 ug/m3 (PMZ s) Annual 6.6 ug/�n3 8.4 ug/m' 7.6 ug/m3 Source: CARB, 2015. Notes: ppm = parts per million and ug/m3= micrograms per cubic meter. Values reported in bold exceed ambient air quality standard. ND = �lo data. Diesel exhaust is the predoininant TAC in urban air and is estimated to represent about three-quarters of the cancer risk froin TACs (based on the Bay Area average). According to the CARB, diesel exhaust is a complex mixture of gases, vapors aild fine particles. This complexity makes the evaluation of health effects of diesel exhaust a complex scientific issue. Some of the cllemicals in diesel exhaust, such as benzene and formaldehyde, have been previously identified as TACs by the CARB, and are listed as carcinogens either under the state's Proposition 65 or under the Federal Hazardous Air Pollutants programs. CARB has aclopted and impleinented a nuinber of regulations for stationary and mobile sources to reduce emissions of diesel particulate matter (DPM). Several of these regulatory programs affect medium and heavy duty diesel trucks that represent the bulk of DPM emissions from California highways. These regulations include the solid waste collection vehicle (SWCV) rule, in-use public and utility fleets, and the heavy-duty diesel truck and bus regulations. In 2008, CARB approved a new regulation to reduce emissions of DPM and nitrogen oxides from existing on-road heavy-duty diesel fueled vehicles.l The regulation requires affected vehicles to meet specific performance requirements between 2012 and 2023, with all affected diesel vehicles required to have 2010 inodel-year � Available online: htt�:!;'G���1����.��rb.ca �_=o��:��m�pro«%onrdie5cl!o��rclie�cl htm. Accessed: July 8,2015. City of Dublin Page 48 Initial Study/Eastern Dublin Properties August 2015 eizgines or equivalent vy 2023. These iequirements are phased in over t11e compliance period a�zd depend on the inoclel year of the vehicle. BAAQMD. The BAAQMD is the regional agency tasked �n�ith znanaging air quality in t11e region. At the State level, CARS (a part of t11e California Environmental Protection Agency) oversees regional air distiict activities and regulates air quality at tlle State level. The BAAQMD published CEQA Air Quality Guidelines are used in tlus assessment to evaluate air quality iinpacts of proj ects. Previous CEQA documents Er�ster�2 Dl�bli�i EIR. The Eastern Dublin EIR ailalyzed both construction and operational iinpacts and contains a number of mitigation measures to reduce anticipated air quality impacts from implementation of the General Plan and EDSP project. These include: • Mitigation Measure 3.11/1.0 reduced project construction dust impacts (IM 3.11/A) to less than significant through measures such as watering construction sites, covering exposed construction surfaces and trucks, and cleaning constructioil vehicles. The cunlulative impact remained sigrtificant and unavoidable. • Mitigation Measures 3.11/2.0-4.0 reduced proj�ct and cuinulative impacts related to vehicle einission fi oin construction equipinent (IM 3.11/B) but not to a less- than-sig�lificant level. These mitigations require emission control froin on-site equipment, completion of a constructioil iinpact reduction�lan and others. Even wit11 adhereilce to tl�ese initigations, this iinpact remained significant and unavoidable. • Mitigation Measures 3.11/5.0-11.0 reduced mobile source emissions from POG arzd NOx (IM 3.11/C) but not to a less-than-sig�lificant level. Mitigation measures require coordination of growth with transportation plans and other ineasures, inany of which are at a policy (not a project) level. Even wit11 adherence to adopted mitigations, IM 3.11/C renlained sigilificant and unavoidable. • Mitigation Measures 3.11/12.0-13.0 reduced project and cumulative impacts related to stationary source emissions (IM 3.11/E) but not to a less-than- significant level. The t�vo adopted initigations require reduction of stationary source einissions to the extent feasible by use of energy conservation techniques and recycling of solid �vaste material. Even wit11 adherence to the two measures, stationary source emissions remained significant and unavoidable. 2002 F�zllo�i Villr�ge SEIR (Jorc�c�T7 Rrrtzcli). The 2002 Supplemei�tal EIR found t�vo supplemental air quality im�acts, as follows: • Suppleinental Impact AQ-1 found that mobile source emissions of Reactive Organic Gases (ROG), Nitrogen Oxide (NOx) and Particulate Matter (PM-10) City of Dublin Page 49 Initial Study/Eastern Dublin Properties August 2015 �vould be significant as related to the overall EDPO Project. Even wit11 adherence to the Eastern Dublin EIR Mitigation Measures, these emissions �vould be a significant and unavoidable cumulative impact. • Supplemental Impact AQ-2 found that emission of carbon monoxide that�vould be generated froin vehicle trips as a result of project buildout�NOUld not exceed local, state or federal standards for emission of carbon monoxide. This impact �vas therefore less-than-significant. 2005 Frzllo�i Villrrge SEIR (Jo��dr��i Rrz��dt). The 2005 Supplemental EIR found three supplemental air quality impacts, as follows: • Supplemerltal Impact SM-AQ-1 identified supplemental impacts with respect to consh-uction related air quality impacts and that the overall development envelope associated with the Fallon Village project was larger than analyzed in previous CEQA documents. Adherence to Supplemental Mitigation SM-AQ-1 requires more stringent measures to be undertaken by individual developers in the Fallon Village area to reduce construction air quality impacts to a less-than- significant level. � Supplemental Impacts SM-AQ-2 and SM-AQ-3 found that regional air emissions associated with vehicle trips in the overall Fallon Village project area would exceed BAAQMD significance thresholds for ozone precursors. The SEIR included Supplemental Mitigation Measure SM-AQ-2 to reduce these impacts, ho�vever, the items included in this Supplemental Mitigation Measure would not reduce regional einissions below BAAQMD standards and these impacts remained significant and unavoidable. 2005 Wrrllis Rcz�zcli SEIR. This docunleilt identified t11e following significant suppleinental impacts and suppleinental air quality mitigation measures. • Mitigation Measure SM-AQ-1 reduced impacts related to construction einission from construction activities (Suppleinental Impact AQ-1) to a less-tltan-significant level. Specific items listed in this measure rec�uired contractors to cover stockpiles of debris, sweep paved access roads and parlcing areas and construction staging areas and install sandbags or equivalent to prevent silt runoff from construction areas. • Mitigation Measure SM-AQ-2 reduced Supplemental Impact AQ-2 but not to a less-than-significant level. Supplemental Impact AQ-2 noted that the project would result in a regional emission increase exceeding BAAQMD thresholds for emission of ozone precursors. Mitigation Measure SM-AQ-2 required the project proponent to coordinate with the regional public transit provider to extend service the site along witll transit improvements, the project developer to provide bike paths and sidewalks, consider a local shuttle service to regional transit hubs and City of Dublin Page 50 Initial Study/Eastern Dublin Properties August 2015 consider installing a telecoinznute center. Even�vith adherence to all of these features, this i�npact would reinain significant and unav�idable. � Supplemental Impact AQ-3 noted that project emissions of ozone would exceed t11e BAAQNID threshold of significance for this pollutant. Adherence to Supplemental Mitigation Measure SM-AQ-2�vould partially but not fully reduce this iinpact to a less-than-significant level and this impact tvould remain significant and unavoidable. No significant air quality impacts were identified in the Subarea 3 CEQA docuinent. The proposed project will be required to coinply witll applicable mitigation measures set forth in previous CEQA documents. Pro�ect Im�acts a) Wou�lc� t]ie project co�tflict witli or obstrl.�ct i�lTplenze�itrrtio�i of�r�i c�i�� r�l.�c�lity plcrti? No New Impact. The Eastern Dublin EIR identified Impact 3.11/E regarding increased stationary source air einissions from future development of Eastern DuUlin that would remain significant even�vith implementation of Mitigation Measures 3.11/12.0 �nd 13.0. The Eastern Dublin EIR also assuined increased development in other areas, such as the San Joac�uin Valley, and relateci cozi�inutes to tl�e Bay Area, and ideiltified cumulative inobile source impact IM 3.11/C as significant and unavoidable, even atter mitigation. Upoi1 approval of the Eastern Dublin General Plan Ainei�dment and Eastern Dublin Specific Plan, the City adopted a Stateinent ot Overriding Considerations for these two iinpacts. The Bay Area Air Quality Manageinent District's (ABAG) Clean Air Plan is �redicated on population projections for local agencies within the District based on ABAG's regional population projections, which, in turn is based oi1 a compilation of local agency general plan docurnents. Development allowed under the proposed project would be generally consistent witl.l the type and amount of developinent allowed under the Dublin Geileral Plai� and the Eastern Dublin Specific Plan although it could contain slightly inore resideiltial units than currently approved (35 units, see Table 1). Previous approvals in 2005 for the overall Jordan Ranch property included developinent of up to 1,064 dwellings, as analyzed in the 2005 SEIR, as opposed to the 899 dwellings currently being considered on the overall Jordan Ranch �roperty plus a 900-student Elementary School. There would therefore be no new or substantially more severe significant impacts with respect to conflicts with the regional air quality plan than has been previously analyzed in prior CEQA documents. b) Wot�ld tlie project violate r��1�y r�i�� qt�iality str���ldaa�c�s? No New Iinpact. The air quality analysis focuses on the proposed 950-student elementary and middle school development, since this project eleinent�vould generate the most vehicular traffic City of Dublin Page 51 Initial Study/Eastern Dublin Properties August 2015 and contain future sensitive air quality receptors. Other project elements would include local parks that��ould generate ininimal velucular traffic. Project and cumulative air emission im�acts. The 1993 Eastern Dublin EIR identified emission of Reactive Organic Gases (ROG) and Nitrogen Oxides (NOx) from vehicles as a significant and unavoidable impact (Impact IM 3.11/C). Although the EIR identified several possible measures to mitigate this impact, includi�g but not limited to implementation of a transportation demand program, encouragement of mixed-use developments and similar measures, any reduction of mob�_le source emissions could not be reduced to less-than-significant levels. This conclusion was reiterated in the 2002 and 2005 SEIR documents as well as the 2010 Addendum as related to the Jordan Ranch property. Construction air im�acts. The current BAAQMD significance thresllold for construction dust impact is based on the appropriateness of construction dust controls. If the appropriate construction controls are to be implemented, then air pollutant emissions for construction activities would be considered less-than- significant. Mitigation Measure MM 3.11/1.0 in the East Dublin EIR identifies the construction controls that provide reduction of air emissions during construction phases of development projects and the Project applicant will be required to adhere to these requireinents. Eastern Dublin EIR Mitigation Measure 3.11/1.0 has been supplemented with 2005 SEIR Mitigation Measure SM-AQ-1 to ensure that current BAAQMD construction air quality impacts are reduced to a less- than-significant leveL There would therefore be no new or substantially more severe significant impacts with respect to this impact than has Ueen previously analyzed in prior CEQA documents. Air pollutant emissions were not quantified in the 2012 Initial Study for Jordan Ranch Phase 2. For comparison, a model run was conducted for the 2014 Approved uses, which induded: 550-shxdent "Elementary School," 19.6 acres entered as "City Park," 513 dwelling units entered as "Single- Family Housing," 238 d�velling units entered as "Apartments Low Rise," 61 dwelling units entered as "Congregate Care," and 35,000 square feet of retail entered as "Strip Mall." A construction build-out scenario, including CaIEEMod default equipment list and phasing schedule for a project of this type and size was used. As shown in Table 4, construction of the 2014 Approved uses would also not exceed BAAQMD thresholds, though emissions would be slightly increased over the proposed project. Construction activities, particularly during site preparation and grading would temporarily generate fugitive dust in the form of PMIO and PMZ.S. Sources of fugitive dust would include disturbed soils at the construction site and trucks carrying uncovered loads of soils. Unless properly controll�d, vehicles leaving the site would deposit mud on local streets, which could be an additional source of airborne dust after it dries. Fugitive dust emissions would vary from day to day, depending on the nature and magnitude of construction activity and local weather conditions. Fugitive City of Dublin Page 52 Initial Study/Eas�tern Dublin Properties August 2015 dust ei��issions ivould also depend on soil nloisture, silt content of soil, �vind speed, and the alnount of ec�uip�zlent operating. Larger dust particles �n�oulcl settle near the source, ���hile fine particles would be dispersed over greater distances from the construcfion site. Table 4. Construction �'eriod Emassions PMlo 1'Mzs Scenario ROG NOx Exllaust Exhaust Total Construction emissions ?0.42 tons 52.89 tons 2.18 tons 2.03 tons (tons) Average daily emissions 9.8 lbs. 25.41Us. 1.0 lUs. 1.0 lbs. ( ounds)' BAAQMD Thl�eslzolds (�oa�lzds per 54 lbs. 54 lbs. 82 lbs. 54 lbs. da1�) Exceed Threshold? No No No No 2014 A roval 11.3 lbs. 30.21bs. 1.21bs. 1.1 lbs. Notes: 'Assunles 4,160 workdays. EDSP EIR air quality Mitig�tion Measure 3.11/1.0 and Supplenlental Mitigation Measure SM-AQ-1 from t11e 2005 Fallon Village SEIR provides specific methods for reduction of fugitive dust from constniction sites. Tl�e BAAQMD has adopted updated measures to furtller reduce construction level impacts. and future project developer{s) of individual projects within t11e three subareas will be required as a conditioi� of pioject approval to impleinent tlze most current BAAQMD dust r�duction methods. No new or more severe significant air quality impacts would result regarding violation of aii quality standards tlzan have been previously ai�alyzed. c) Wo1�ld tlle �roject resi�lt r�i cr��nTil�fiveli� co�isider�vle rr�r �olll�itr��its? No New Iinpact. See itein "b." c�,e) Ex-��ose se�isitrve receptors to si���Tific��it polli�trrr2t co�ice�2t��crtio�7�s or crente objectio�irr2�le odol-s? No New Impact. A portion of the proposed project (Subarea 1) would incluc�e approval and construction of a 950-student elementary school and iniddle school on an 11.1-acre site located on the south side of Central Parkway east of Fallon Road. The school would be occupied during a portion of the day by young children that are sensitive receptors. Adllerence to Mitigation Measure 3.11/10 supplemented by Supplemental Mitigation Measure SM-AQ-1 and current BAAQMD standard measures for dust control, this impact would remain less- than-significant. The proposed park in Subarea 3 zvould be located in a generally topographically steep area and used as a natural, passive park. Few users of the park are theretore anticipated that would expose a significant number of people to significant City of Dublin Page 53 Initial Study/Eastern Dublin Properties August 2015 pollutant concentrations. T11e t-wo proposed park sites on the Wallis Ranch Subarea are not located near regional free�-vays or znajor road�vays that would result in exposure of a significant number of users to significant pollutant concentrations. None c�f the existing or proposed uses �NOUId, by their nature, generate significant pollutant concentrations or objectionable odors. Therefore, significant impacts on adjacerit sensitive residence uses �vould not result and there �nTould be no new or substaritially more severe significant impacts with respect to this impact than has been previously analyzed in prior CEQA docLiments. 4. Biological Resources Environmental Settin� Plant and wzldlife resources for the three Subareas were analyzed in the Eastern Dublin EIR as well as CEQA documents for each of the Subareas. All of the previous CEQA documents also analyzed wildlife and riparian resources, fish and wildlife corridors and cumulative impacts to biological resources. Plant coinmunities. Five habitat types have been identified on the various Subareas. These include: A�ui�.ir�l gr�zsslrr�ids. Annual grasslands consist of grass and forb species suc11 a wild oat, soft chess, ripgut brome, thistle and similar species. Wetln7lds. A number of seasonal and perennial wetlands, seeps and others waters are present on portions of the Jordan Ranch Subarea, but likely not on the other two Subareas. Ri�a��ir�n. Riparian habitat was observed in the southwestern corner of the site at the confluence of three swales on the Jordan Ranch Subarea. A number of willow trees form a dense to moderately dense canopy over the lower reaches of the swale area. Stock�o�zd/or��i�r»ietitrrl potid. Three stock ponds are found within the drainage swales located o�1 the Jordan Ranch Subarea. A 0.29-acre pond is the largest of the ponds and is surrounded riparian vegetation, such as cattails, coinmon rush and fiddle dock. No ponds have been identified on other Subareas. Developed/Ic��idscaped. A portion of Jordan Ranch Subarea was formerly occupied by the residence and associated outbuildings, since demolished. This Subarea is characterized by non-native ornamental landscaping, such as eucalyptus trees, juniper and similar material. Other Subareas remain vacant/ S�eci�rl-statT.�s s�ecies a�id Itabitats City of Dubiin Page 54 Initial Study/Eastern Dublin Properties August 2015 AIl three Subareas ��ave been �rac�ed pursuant to grading permits issued by the City of Dublin and any former special-status plants, wildlife species or habitats have been fully initigated pursuant to certifiect or approved CEQA docunleizts. Previous CEQA docL�inents The regulatory fraine�vork for this Project includes previous EIRs and regulations for protection of biological resources. Enste���i Dtttili3i EIR. The Eastern Dublin EIR coi�tains a number of mitigation ineasures to reduce anticipated irnpacts to biological resources froin the General Plan and EDSP project Tllese include: • Mitigation Measures 3.7/1.0-4.0 reduced impacts related to direct habitat loss (IM 3.7/A) to a less-than-significant level. These mitigations require minimization of direct habitat loss due to development, preparation of vegetation management and enhancement plans and development of a grazing nlanagement plan by the City of Dublin. • Mitigation Measure 3.7/5.0 reduced impacts related to indirect loss of vegetation removal (IM 3.7/B) to a less-than-significant leveL Mitigation Measure 3.7/5.0 requires revegetation of graded or disturbed areas as quickly as possible. • I��litigation Measures 3.7/6.0-17.0 reduced in�pacts related to loss or degradation of botanically sensitive habitats (IM 3.7/C) to a less-than-significlnt leveL These measures require a wide ra�zge of steps to be taken by future developers to minimize impacts to sensitive habitat areas, including preserving natur�l stream corridors, illcorporating natural greenbelts and open space into developine�zt projects, preparation ot illdividual wetland delineations, prepaiation of individual erosion and sediinentation plans and siinilar actions. • Mitigation Measures 3.7/18.0-19.0 reduced impacts related to t11e San Joaquin lcit fox (IM 3.7/D) to a less-th�n-signiticant level. These measures require consultation �vith appropriate regulatory agencies regarding the possibility of kit fox on project sites and preparation of and adherence to a kit fox protection plan. • Mitigation Measure 3.7/28.0 reduced iznpacts related to special status invertebrates (IM 3.7/S) to a less-than-significant level. This rneasure requires coinpletion of special surveys for individual species prior to site disturbance. The Eastern Dublin EIR also addresses potential impacts and mitigation ineasures regarding bald eagle, peregrine falcons, red-legged frog, California tiger salamander, western pond ttirtle the prairie falcon, northern 1larrier, black-shouldered kite, sharp- shizuled hawk, Cooper's hawk, short-eared owl and California horned lizard, as well as other protected species. City of Dublin Page 55 Initial Study/Eastern Dublin Properties August 2015 The proposed projecf���ill be required to adhere to applicable biological resoLZrce initigation zrieasures contained in t11e Eastern Dublin EIR. 2002 Sa��plef�ie�itc�l EIR (Jordn�i Ra�icli). This EIR identified a large nunlber of supplemental biological mitigation lneasures for the entire Fallon Village project area, including the jordan Ranch Subarea . T11ese are identified as Suppleinental Mitigation Measures SM-BIO-1 through SM-BIO-45. The supplemental mitigation measures require completion of rare plant and wildlife surveys, preparation of a Resource Management Plan (RMP), avoid or replace wetlands. 2005 ST��pplet�lefTt (Jordc�li Rr��zclt). This Supplement identifies additional supplemental impacts and mitigation measures, as listed below, for the Fallon Village project area, including the Jordan Ranch Subarea. A number of the supplemental mitigation measures are revisions to mitigation measures contained in earlier EIRs. Supplemental mitigation ineasures are: • Mitigation Measure SM-SIO-1 rec�uires the restoration or enhancement of riparian habitat at a 3:1 ratio (on an acreage basis), preferably within the propased aquatic and buffer zone or corridor zone manageinent areas on-site. If mitigation �vithin the Project area is not feasible, then the developer shall mitigate impacts to central coast riparian scrub through the restoration or enhanceinent of riparian habitat at a 3:1 ratio (measured by acreage) at an off-site location acceptable to the City. • Mitigation Measure SM-BIO-2 rec�uires that if avoidance is infeasible, then initigation lands providing siinilar or better habitat for CRLF shall be preserved and protected in perpefiuity. • Mitigation Measure SM-BIO-3 requires individual developers of parcels to create and/or enlarge suitable breeding ponds at a 2:1 ratio, in or adjacent to areas currently supporting CTS and with sufficient surrounding upland habitat to provide a high likelihood of establishment and persistence of a breeding population. • Mitigation Measure SM-BIO-4 requires developers of individual parcels to acquire, preserve, and manage suitable upland habitat at a 1:1 ratio in or adjacent to areas currently supporting CTS and within 2200 feet of a suitable breeding pond. • Mitigation Measure SM-BIO-1 (revised) rec�uires special steps to be taken by individual developers if special-status plants cannot be avoided during project construction. • Mitigation Measure SM-BIO-2 (revised) rec�uires that during the breeding season (February 1-August 31) prior to submittal of Stage 2 development proposals for a particular parcel, or during a subsequent breeding season but prior to the initiation of construction, a survey shall be conducted according to CDFG City of Dublin Page 56 Initial Study/Eastern Dublin Properties August 2015 protocols to determine �ti�hetller Burrozving O�nTls are presel�t, and if present, t11e number of nestin�pairs of Burrotnring Owls present on the parcel. • Mitigation Measure SM-BIO-3 (revised) requires pre-construction surveys far burro���ing o��Tls be conducted by a qualified biologist prior to any ground disturbance bet�Neen September 1 and January 31. • Mitigation Measure SM-BIO-4 (revised) requires that if corlstruction is scheduled during the burrowing o�vl nesting season (February 1 — August 31), pre- construction surveys should be conducted on the entire site-specific Project area and within 500 feet of such Project area prior to any ground disturbance. A minimum buffer (at least 250 feet) shall be maintained during the breeding season around active burrowing owl nesting. • Mitigation Measure SM-BIO-5 (revised) requires that if destruction of occupied (breeding or non-breeding season) burrowing owl burro�vs, or any burrows that �vere found to be occupied during pre-construction surveys, is unavoidable, a strategy will be developed to replace such burrows by enhancing existing burro�vs or creating artificial burrows at a 2:1 ratio. The proposed project will be required to comply with applicable initigation ineasures set forth in previous EIRs. Resol�n�ce Mr�farrge�tle�tt Plmi (RMP) (Jot�c���t Rrr�idi S�tibc�rea). Consultants working for the City of Dublin completed a Resource Manageinent Plan in 2004 for the Fallon Village overall area. Conlpletion of the RMP was rec�uired as a result of Supplemental Mitigation Measure SM-BIO-1 contained in the 2002 Supplemental EIR. T11e RMP evaluated potential inlpacts to sensitive biological resources on tlle Eastern Dublin Property O�vners' area, an approximately 1120-acre area that was analyzed in both t11e 2002 and 2005 Supplemental EIRs. T11e RMP includes a compreheilsive analysis of seilsitive plant and wildlife species within the area, poteiltial habitat for such species and the presence of wetlands and other �vaters. The RMP also includes a constraints analysis to guide future development of properties included in t11e RMP study area. 2005 Dl.�bli�i Ralicli West SEIR (Wr�llis S��br�rerz). Chapter 4.3 of this SEIR contained a comprehensive update regarding potential species and identified the following significant biological impacts. • Supplemental Iinpact BIO-1 noted an impact to California Tiger Salainander (CTS) species. Suppleinental Mitigation Measures SM-BIO-1 through BIO-7 reduced this impact to a less-than-significant level by requiring preparation of a CTS Management Plan, installation of a barrier fence, conducting CTS larval studies, acquiring compensatory CTS estivation 1labitat area, coinpletion of an Open Space Manageinent Plan, appointment of a biological resource monitor during construction and providing biological resource education to construction staff. City of Dublin Page 57 Initial Study/Eastern Dublin Properties August 2015 • Supplemental Impact BIO-2 found a signiticant impact with respect to California red-legged frogs (CRLF). This impact�n�as reduced to a less- than-significant level through adherence to Supplemental Mitigation Meas�ures SM-BIO-8 though BIO-10. These supplemental measures requi�red CRLF avoidance measures during prior to alzd during construction, provision of coinpensatory upland and dispersal habitat land and limitations on grading activities during the rainy season. • Supplemental Iinpact BIO-3 noted an impact regarding breeding birds. Adherence to Supplemental Mitigation Measures SM-BIO-5 through 7 and 11 and 12 reduced this impact to a less-than-significant level by limiting tree removal to appropriate times of the year, establishing buffers around trees 1Nith nests and conducting pre-construction surveys for protected birds prior to construction. • Supplemental Impact BIO-4 noted an impact with regard to bat species. Adhe:rence to Supplemental Mitigation Measures SM-BIO-5 through 7 and 13 reduced this impact to a less-than-significant level Uy requiring preco:nstruction surveys for bat species. If occupied bat nests are found, a qualified biologist shall implement an exclusion plan to prevent further occupancy. • Supplemental Impact BIO-5 found an impact with respect to Burrowing O�vls. Adherence to Supplemental Mitigation Measures SM-BIO-5 through 7 and 14 reduced this impact to a less-than-significant level by requiring preconstruction surveys for owl species, limiting construction periods and creating alternative burrows away from construction areas. The initigation requires the project developer to develop a management plan f�r enhanceinent of burrows, monitoring of burrows, funding assurance and similar measures. • Supplemental Impact BIO-6 found an impact with loss of special-status plants. Adherence to Supplemental Mitigation Measures SM-BIO-5 throu�;h 7 and 15 reduced this impact to a less-than-significant level by requiring compensatory habitat for loss of Congdon's tarplant lost to construction and be requiring the project developer to prepare a detailed mitigation and monitoring plan for this species. • Supplemental Impact BIO-7 noted an impact regarding loss of riparian habitat. Adherence to Supplemental Mitigation Measures SM-BIO-5 and 6, 16 and 17 reduced this impact to a less-than-significant level by mandating replacement riparian habitat at a 3:1 ratio and completing a Riparian Habitat Management Plan to compensate loss of this habitat type. A Tree Removal and Preservation Plan is also required to protect trees from construction activity and to require replacement trees for those lost to construction. City of Dublin Page 58 Initial Study/Eastern Dublin Properties August 2015 � Supplemei�tal Impact BIO-8 t�und a tenzporary impact with loss of ac�uatic 11al�itat. Adherence to Supplemental Mitigation Measures SM-BIO- 6 and 18 redLtced this impact to a less-th�il-significant level by requiring all aquatic habitat to be replaced to pre-project conditions. A Restoration Plan far Tassajara Creek�vas also required that would ininiinize impacts to aquatic resources during construction. No ne�v or znore significant biological resource impacts �,vere identified in the Subarea � Addendum or ND. The proposed project�ti�ill be required to adhere to applicable biological resource nlitigation measures contained in t11e above documents. Pro�ect IinUacts a) Hrrve rz sitbstr��ztic�l ndverse il�i�act o�i a ccr2ididr�te, sensitive, o�� specirrl-str�tl.�s s�ecies? No New Impact. The Eastern Dublin EIR and other applicable prior CEQA docuinents the presence of special-status plant and �Nildlife species within the general project area. Numerous mitigation ineasures are included in prior CEQA documents to reduce ilnpacts to candidate, sensitive and special-status species to a less-than significant level. These are listed above and continue to apply to the proposed project, as applicable. Also, all of the Subareas have been graded as part of eacll respective underlying project so tllat they have been disturbed. Therefore, no new or inore severe impacts with respect to candidate, sensitive or special-status species would occur than have been analyzed in the two previous CEQA docutnents and no additional analysis is rec�uired. The Eastern Dublin SpeciFic Plan iilcludes �olici�s to protect special status species (Policies 6-17 and 6-20). The proposed development project will adhere to the Specific Plan policies and all previously adopted nlitigation measures, as applicable. As identitied in previous EIRs tor the Eastern�Dublin area ��zd otller CEQA docuinents for the project area, impacts associated with loss or degradation of botanically sensitive habitats on a project and cumulative level (Eastern Dublin EIR Impact 3.7/C, and 2002 SEIR Impact BIO 3) will remain Significant and Unavoidable for this project as well. There would therefore be no new or substantially more severe significant impacts with respect to this iinpact t11an has been previously analyzed in prior CEQA documents. b, c) Hrrve r� st�bsta�itir�l adverse i��lprtct o�i ripRricr�i 11r�bitrrt or federr�lly�rotected zuetlr��Tds? No New Impact. Wetlands and�vaters of the United States have been identified adjacent to The Jordan Ranch Subarea. Mitigation measures 11ave been included ii1 the Eastern Dublin EIR and the 2005 SEIR to reduce such impacts to a less- than-significant level. Property included in the Subarea 3 and the Wallis Ranch Subarea are generally located on upland elevations and do not contain wetlands, riparian habitat or other �vaters. There would therefore be no ne�v or City of Dublin Page 59 Initial Study/Eastern Dublin Properties August 2015 substailtially more severe significant inlpacts with respect to tl-tis impact than has been previously analyzed in prior CEQA doctiments. d) I�zte�f���e with 2nove�fie�it of�iafi�e fisli or wildlife species? No New Impact. The Wallis Ranch and Jordan Ranch Subareas �NOLiId be located on generally upland ground elevations surrounded by existing development, proposed development or roadways. The Subarea 3 site is linear in nature and �NOUld provide for �vildl:ife migration. This Subarea �-vould be retained as a natural park and �vould provide no barrier to on-site migration There would therefore be no new or subst��ntially more severe significant impacts with respect to this impact than has been:previously analyzed in prior CEQA documents. e, f) Cof2flict witli local policies or ordiaiarices pf�otecting biologicc�l resou��ces o��a�iy czdopted Hr�bit��t Cortservc�tiorl Pln�is oi•Natur�l Co�fi»iu�zity Co�iservation Pla��is? No New Impact. No significant standard of trees are located on any of the stibareas, since all of the Subareas have been previously graded pursuant to approved grading plans. There would therefore be no new or substantially more severe significant impacts with respect to this impact than has been previously analyzed in prior CEQ� documents. 5. Cultural Resources E�lvironmental Settin� The 1993 Eastern Dublin EIR and Supplemental EIRs contain a comprehensive listing of historic, arcl�eological, Native American and other cultural resources in the overall Eastern Dublin area. No structures exist on any of the three SuUareas and no evidence of forinal or informal ceineteries 11ave been identified in any previous CEQA document completed iri the Eastenl Dublin Planning Area. Previous CE��A documents. The Eastern FJJublin EIR contains a number of mitigation measures to reduce anticipated iinpacts to cultural resources from the General Plan and EDSP project Mitigation measure applicable to this Project include: • Mitigation Measures 3.9/1.0-4.0 reduced impacts that could be caused as a result of disruption or destruction of identified prehistoric resources. These measures require approval of a prograin for testing for presence or absence of midden deposits and, if significant deposits are found, recordation of such resources on State survey forms, and retention of a qualified archeologist to develop a protection plan for such resources in accordance wit11 CEQA. • Mitigation Measures 3.9/5.0-6.0 reduced impacts related to the disruption or destruction of unrecorded prehistoric resources (IM 3.9B) to a less-than- significant level. City of Dublin Page 60 Initial Study/Eastern Dublin Properties August 2015 2005 SEIR (jc���dr�1z R�r3�cli Si��baren). The 2005 Supplemental EIR that affected the Jordan Rancl� property identified Supplemental Iinpact CUL-3 regarding cultural resource site C-ALA-508H on tlle Jordan site but not on the citrrent Subarea. Suppleznental Mitigation I��Ieasure SM-CUL-3 requires a detailed cultural resources assessment for the identified cultural site prior to t11e approval of a Stage 2 Development Plan on the Jordan Ranch. The assessment shall determine if the cultural site is eligible for listing on the California Register of Historical Resotirces and any recommendations rnade in the cultural resources assessment shall be incorporated into the Stage 2 Development Plan as conditions of approval. This assessinent has been performed by Basii� Research Associates as described below. As required by Supplemental Mitigation Measure SM-CUL-3 contained in the 2005 SEIR, a site-specific cultural resource assessment was prepared by the firm of Basin Research Associates dated June 9, 2009 for the entire Jordan Ranch property. The Basin Report is incorporated by reference into this Initial Study and is available for review at the Dublin Development Services Department during normal biisiness hours. The Basin Report summarized comprehensive research on Site CA-Ala-508H on the Jordan Ranch site, including a field visit and subsurface testing using a backhoe. The Report found a less-than-significant quantity of subsurface cultural inaterial at this identified site. Previous archeological materials reported ii1 the 2005 SEIR on the Jorda�z Ranc11 site v��ere not found. The one artitact found (a slab metate) was likely a former surflce artifact that was buried tllrough natural or mechanical means. The Basin Report did ilot recommend additional testing, however, the follo��ving recommendatioi�s should be iilcluded as conditions of project approval which inlplements the mitigation measures in tlze prior EIRs for protection of cultural resources: 1) Spot inonitoiing of construction excavatioils shall be undertaken during site clearing and exclvations of up to five feet in depth. `I'he inonitoring prograin shall be at the discretion of the Project archeologist. 2) Project grading specifications s11a11 iilclude warning language to alert the contractor as to tl�e potential for buried cultural resources. 3) A minimuin of one meeting shall be held betweeil the Project arclleologist and grading contractors for a briefing on procedures to be follo�Ned in the event of discovering a cultural artifact. 4) If any cultural artifacts are exposed or discovered durii�g site cleaiing or grading, operations shall cease within a 30-foot radius of the fiild and the Project archeologist consulted for evaluation and further recommendations. Possible recommendations could include further evaluation, collection, recordation and analysis of such find, followed by cornpletion of a professional report. 5) Treatment of any Native Ainerican burials found during construction shall be in accordance �vith the requirements of the State of California Public Resources Code, in consultation with the Native American Heritage Commission. No cultural resources �hTere idenfiified in the Wallis Ranch SEIR or the Subarea 3 Addendum. City of Dublin Page 61 Initial Study/Eastern Dublin Properties August 2015 T11e proposed project�tiTill be required to comply �vith applicable culh.�ral resource mitigation iiieasures contained in previous CEQA documents. Pro�ect Im�acts a) Caifse si�ibstmztirrl c�dve��se cli��ige to sig�iificcr��it liistoric f�esoit��ces? No New Impact. No histor�ic resources exist on any of the three Subareas, based on a historic resources survey conducted as part of the Eastern Dublin EIR, so there would no impacts with regard to historic resources on the site that have not Ueen analyzed in previous EIRs. There would therefore be no new or substantially more severe significant im�acts with respect to this impact than has been previously analyzed in previous CEQA documents. b, c) Cczi.ise a substa�2tir�1 crdverse i»ipact or destri.tction to archeologic�rl or paleofitologicc�l resou��ces or]iz.tfliaii ��e�tiaifis? No New Impact. The Eastern Dublin EIR identifies a remote buf potentially significant possibility that construction activii�ies, including site grading, trenching and excavation, may uncover signif:icant archeological and/or paleontological resources on development sites. Mitigation Measures 3.9/1.0 through 3.9/4.0 (page 3.9-6 —3.9-7) require subsurface testing for archeological resources if such are found during site distur�bance; recordation and mapping of such resources; and development of a protection prograin for resources which qualify as "significant" under Appendix K of the CEQA Guidelines (now included in CEQA Guidelines Section 15064.5). Mitigation Measures 3.9/5.0 and 3.9/6.0, described above, also �vere adopted to address Eastern Dublin IM 9/B, the potential disruption of any previously unidentified pre-historic resources and would apply to the project as may be appropriate. The Basin Report coinpleted for the earlier Jordan Ranch project in 2009 did not identiEy the presence of significant archeological resources on Jordan Ranch property, although a number of recommendations are included in the Report (listed above) that have been inet. No new or substantially more severe impacts with regard to archeological or paleontological impacts 11ave been identified thail were previously analyzed in previous CEQA docuinents. No new or substantially more severe impacts with regard to archeological or paleontological impacts have been identified than were previously analyzed in previaus CEQA documents. d) Disturb c�ny liif�rtan i�e�riai�is, iridudi�ig tJiose iT2terred outside of r�for»ir�l ce»ietery? No New Impact. A remote possibility exists that historic or pre-historic human resources could be uncovered one or more of the project subareas during follow- on grading and construction activities. At the time the Eastern Dublin EIR was certified, the potential for impacts on unlalown and unsurveyed human remains �vas not a separate CEQA checiclist item, as in current Appendix G of the CEQA Guidelines. Former Appendix K, Archeological Impacts, specifically addressed City of Dublin Page 62 Initial Study/Eastern Dublin Properties August 2015 hunlan remai��s, ���Thich pr�visions now have been incorporated into CEQA Guidelii�es Section 15064.5 and apply to the project pursuarit to Mitigation MeastYres 3.9/5.0 and 6.0. Ho�vever, this potential impact was analyzed as part of the 2005 SEIR for the Jordan Ranch Subarea and addressed by Suppleinental Mitigation Measure SI��1-CUL-1. No new or more substantially severe impacts are anticipated �vith regard to disfiurbance of human remains than have been previously identified and no ne�v mitigation measures are required. 6. Geology and Soils Environinental Settin� Soils, geologic and seisinic conditions �Nere analyzed in Chapter 3.6 of the Eastern Dublin EIR. Previous CEQA documents Er�sterrl D1�bli�i EIR. The Eastern Dublin EIR contains a rntiilber of initigation ineasures to reduce ailticipated impacts related to Soils, Geology and Seismicity froin the Geneial Plan ai�d EDSP project. These include: • Mitigation Measure 3.6/1.0 reduced impacts related to primary etfects of earthquake ground shal<ing (IM 3.6/B) but not to a less-than-significant level. This mitigation measure requires that futtiire structure and infr�structure facilities be designed to applicable local and state building codes. • Mitig�►tion Measures 3.9/2.0-8.0 reduced impacts related to t11e secondary effects of eartllquake ground shaking (IM 3.9/C) to a less-thail-significant level. Mitigation nleasures mandate building setbacks from landslides, stabilization of unstable land forms, removal and reconstruction of unstable soils, use of engineered retaining structures, use of appropriately designed and engineered fill, a11d design of structures to account of potential soil failure. • Mitigation Measures 3.6/9.0-10.0 reduced impacts related to substantial alteration to landforms to a less-than significant level (IM 3.6/D). Mitigations require minimal grading plans with ininimal cuts and fills and careful siting of homes and iinprovements to avoid excessive grading. • Mitigation Measures 3.6/14.0-16.0 reduced impacts related to expansive soils (IM 3.6/H) to a less-than-significant level. Mitigation measures require formulation of site-specific designs to overcome expansive soils, reducing the alnouilt of moisture in the soil and by appropriate foundation and pavenleilt design. � Mitigation Measures 3.6/17.0-19.0 reduced impacts related to natural slope stability (IM 3.6/I) to a less-than-significant level. Mitigation measures mandate City of Dublin Page 63 lnitial Study/Eastern Dublin Properties August 2015 torm,llation of use of site-specific designs based on follow-on geotechilical revie�ws of individual developments, limiting the location of improvements on dowrtslopes of unstable soils, removal/reconstruction of potentially unstable slope areas and installation of surface and subsurface slope drainage improvements. • Mitigation Measures 3.6/20.0-26.0 reduced impacts related to cut and fill slope stability (IM 3.6/J) to a less-than-significant level. These measures include developing grading plans for hillside areas that minimize grading and associated cuts z�nd fills, ensuring that grading plans comply with appropriate building codes�, utilizing keys and benches as part of grading to ensure slope stability and minii-nizing use of unreinforced fill slopes, appropriate compaction of fill areas and on-going maintenance of slope drainage areas. • Mitigation Measure 3.6/27.0 reduced the impact related to short-term const�ruction-related erosion and sedimentation (IM 3.6/K) to a less-than- significant leveL This measure includes limiting timing of construction to avoid the rainy season and implementing a number of other specific erosion control measures. • Mitigation Measure 3.6/28.0 reduced the impact related to long-term erosion and sedin�.entation (IM 3.6/L) to a less-than-significant level. This measure includes installation of erosion control facilities into individual development projects, including sediment catch basins, creek bank stabilization, revegetation of graded areas and siznilar measures. 2005 Sl�pple��ze�ital EIR (Jorcl�rri Si�tUa��ea). The 2005 SEIR included one additional nzitigation nleasure. Suppleinental Mitigation Measure GEO-1 deals with grading of steeper slopes on properties north of the Jordan Ranch and does not apply to this Project. The topic of soils and geology was not identified as a significant environmental topic in the 2014 SuUarea 3 Addendum or the 2004 Wallis SEIR. Pro�ect Im�acts a) Expose�eople or structTtires to poteritial substrz�ttic�l adverse i»z�c�cts, inclr��c�i�tg loss, i�ijr.��-y or deatlt relr�ted to gror.��i� ru�ture, seismic groa�nd shaki�ig,g��ori�id fail��re, or Irrndslides? No New Impact. Although none of the project Subareas are located within an Earthquake Fault Zone (formerly Alquist-Priolo Zone), the Eastern Dublirl EIR identified that the primary and secondary effects of ground shalcing (Impacts 3.6/B and 3.6/C) could be potentially significant impacts on proposed improvements. With implementation of Mitigation Measure 3.6/1.0 the priinary effects of ground-shalcing are reduced to a less-than-significant level by using modern seismic design for resistance to lateral forces in construction, which would reduce the potential for structure failure, major structural damage and loss of life. City of Dublin Page 64 Initial Study/Eastern Dublin Properties August 2015 Mitigation Measures �.6/2.0 through 3.6/7.t� contained ii1 the Eastern Dublin EIR will l�e implemented to reduce the secondary effects of ground shaking on proposed project improvements to a Iess-thail-significant level. Adherence to Mitigation Measures 3.6/20.0 through 3.6/26.0 by the project developer will ensure that effects of landsliding and ground failure on proposed project iinproveinents will be less-than-significant. There would therefore be no ne�N or substantially more severe significant impacts v��ith respect to t11is impact than has been previously analyzed in previous CEQA documents. b) Is tjie sife s1.�bject to sr�bstc��itial e��osio�i �r�id/or tlie loss of topsoil? No New Iinpact. Althougll the Jordan raiuh and Wallis Ranch Subareas are currently vacailt and have been rough graded pursuant to City approvals, further construction of the project improvements on the Jordan Ranch Subarea and the Wallis Ra�1ch Subarea would inodify the existing ground surface and alter patterns of surface runoff and infiltration. These actions could result in a short-term increase in erosion and sedimentation caused by grading activities (see Eastern DuUlin EIR Inlpact 3.6/I<). Long-ternl inlpacts could result from nlodification of the ground- surtace and removal of existing vegetation (Eastern Dublin EIR Inlpact 3.6/L). No additioilal grading is anticipated on the Subarea 3 site. Witl� implementation of Mitigation Measures contained i�z the Eastern Dublin EIR and an erosion control plan, ilnpacts related to substantial erosion and loss of topsoil would not be significant. There would therefore be no new or substantially more severe significant inlpacts with res�ect to t11is iinpact than has been previously analyzed in previous CEQA documents. c,d) Is t11e site locr�fed o7r soil tlirtt is �.t�istr�ble or ex���TSive or ��esult i�i potejatirrl latea�rrl s�re�zdi7ig, li�T�efr�ctTO�i, 1R�ic�slide o�� collc��se? No New Impact. Portions of the project Stibareas are underlain by soil types with l�igh sllrink-swell potential, which have the potential to caLlse damage to foundations, slabs, and pavement (Eastern Dublin EIR Iinpact 3.6/H). With aciherence to the initigation measures coiltained ii1 the Eastern Dublin EIR, potential shrink-swell impacts would be less-than- significant. Consistent with applicable mitigation ineasures, project developers will be required by Eastern Dublin EIR mitigation measures to retain a qualified soils and geotechnical consultant to prepare a site-specific analysis of future Uuilding sites. Recommendations included in each of site-specific soil reports will be reviewed by the City of Dublin Public Works Departinent and will be included in grading and constructions plans and specifications to coinply �vith Eastern Dublin EIR mitigation ineasures and EDSP policies regarding soil hazards. There would therefore be no new or substantially more severe significant unpacts with respect to this impact than has been previously analyzed in previous CEQA documents. City of Dublin Page 65 Initial Study/Eastern Dublin Properties August 2015 e) Have soils iriccrpaUle of sLip�orti7�zg o�i-site se�tic ta�2ks if sewef�s nre �iot r�vrzilr�ble? I�To New Impact. Proposed residences and other land uses that�-vould be approved as part of this application would be connected to sanitary se�Ners provided by DSRSD, so there would be no impacts �vith regard to septic systems. There would therefore Ue no new or substantially inore severe significant impacts with respect to this impact than has been previously analyzed in previous CEQA documents. 7. Greenh��use Gas Emissions Environmer�tal Settin� Since certification of the Eastern Dublin EIR in 1993 and the SEIRs in 2002, 2004 and 2005, the issue of contribution of greenhouse gasses to climate change has become a more promi�lent issue of concern as evidenced by passage of AB 32 in 2006. On March 18, 2010, amendments to the State CEQA Guidelines took effect which set forth requirements for the analysis of greenhouse gasses. The topic of the Project's contribution to greenhouse gas emissions and climate change was not analyzed in the Eastern Dublin EIR and the 2002 and 2005 SEIRs. Since the Eastern Dublin EIR and SEIRs have been certified , the determination of whether greenhouse gasses and climate change needs to be analyzed for this proposed Project is governed by the law on supplemental or subsequent EIRs (Public Resources Code section 21166 and CEQA Guidelines, ��ections 15162 and 15163). Greenhouse gas and climate change is not required to be analyzed under those standards unless it constitutes "new information of substantial i�nportance, which was not lalown and could not have been lalown at the time the pre�aious EIR was certified as complete (CEQA Guidelines Sec. 15162 (a) (3).) Greenllouse gas and climate change impacts is not new information that was not known or could not have been lalown at t11e time the Eastern Dublin EIR and SEIRs were certified. The issue of climate change and greenhouse gasses was widely lcnown prior to the certificatr`_on of these EIRs. The United Nations Frainework Convention on Cliinate Change was established in 1992. The regulation of greenhouse gas emissions to reduce climate change iinpacts was extensively debated and analyzed throughout the early 1990s. The studies and analyses of this issue resulted in the adoption of the Kyoto Protocol in 1397. In the early and mid 2000s, GHGs and climate change were extensively discussed and analyzed in California. In 2000, SB 1771 established the California Climate Action Registry for the recordation of greenhouse gas emissions to provide infot-mation about potential environmental impacts. In 2005, the Governor issued Executive Order # S-03-05 establishing greenhouse gas emission reduction targets in California. AB 32 was adopted in 2006. Therefore, the impact of greenhouse gases on climate change was lalown at the time of the certification of the Easter�l Dublin EIR in May 1993 and the certification of the SEIRs in 2002, 2004 and 2005. Under CEQA standards, it is not ne�v information that requires analysis in a supplemental EIR or negative declaration. No supplemental environmental analysis of the Project's impacts on this issue is required under CEQA. City of Dublin Page 66 Initial Study/Eastern Dublin Properties August 2015 Pl O�eCt II21paCtS a,b Ge�zerr�te o��eea2lTOi.�se gns e��iissio�is, eitjier dia�ectly or ia�dil�ectl�, tliat »Ia� li��e r� sig�iificr��it i>>t�crct olt flie e�tvi��o�zl�ieltt or eoliftict zuitlt eza2 applicrtUle plrtti, �olici�or rega�latio�i r�do�tec�fo�� tlie�i.�r�ose of��educi�ig tlie e�aiissio�is of greerilio�.tse or�ses? No Ne�v Impacts. As discussed above, no additional environmental analysis is rec�uired under CEQA Section 21166. 8. Hazards and Hazardous Materials Environmental Settin� The topic of hazards and hazardous materials was not analyzed in the Eastern Dublin EIR Hazardous inaterials coilditions on the project Subareas are identified below. Jorc�aai Rrr�lcl�. The 2005 SEIR, �repared for the Fallar1 Village Project area of which the Jordan Ranch Property site is a component, identified a number of Suppleinental Impacts and Supplemental Mitigation Measures for individual properties included in tl�e overall Fallon Village project area. Supplenlental Impact HAZ-2 identified the possibility of soil and/or groundwater contanlination and the exposure of individuals froin release of such materials, including portions of the Jordan Property. Supplemental Mitigatioil Measure HAZ-3b requii es remediatioil of containination on a number of sites �vitlziil the Falloii Village area, including the Jordan Ranch. In addition, Supplemental Mitigation Measure 3b requii es the Jordan Panch owner to inform t11e Alameda Cow�ty Environinental Health Services Department of an un�iuthorized release of fuel hydrocarbons (diesel and gasoline) in the vicinity of a removed underground storage tank on the property. Additional subsurface investigation was then required to identify t11e extent of possible contamination and to evaluate the potential for grotind�vater contamination. Also, the supplemental Tnitigation nleasure required completion of a P11ase II Eilvironmental Site Assessinent to determine if any soil or ground�n�ater contamination exists near former barn structures. A Phase I and II Environinental Site Assessment was prepared for the overall Jorda�l Ranch by the firin of ATC Associates, Inc., dated June 9, 2008, which includes two portions of the Subarea. The report is hereby incorporated by reference into this Initial Study aild the report is available for review at the Dublin Coinmunity Developinent Department during normal business hours. These studies noted that an underground storage tank (since removed) existing on a portion of Subarea 3 as well as several other sources of containination in surrounding area, such as above-ground fuel tanks and a former diesel fuel tank storage area. Subsequently, a Corrective Action Plan and an Updated Plan to remedi�te hazardous inaterials on the site have been pre�ared by the firin of ENGEO, Inc. A copy of the Updated Action Plan is available for review at the Dublin Community Development Department during norznal business hours. With adherence to the Corrective Action Plan, there would be no significant impacts with respect to release of hazardous materials into the environment. Gity of Dublin Page 67 Initial Study/Eastern Dublin Properties August 2015 As of nlid-2015, remediation of the Jordan property 11as been completed and necessary clearance documents from applicable regulatory agencies filed v��ith the City of DuUlin (source: M. Porto, Dublin Comznunity Development Department, 7/13/15). The Jordan IZanch Subareas are all located out of an Airport Hazard Area as identified on the latest Livermore Municipal Airport Land Use Compatibility Plan (2012). St�ba��err 3. The Initial Shidy for this property prepared in 2014 did not find any significant iinpacts on this property related to the release of hazardous materials into the environrnent. This conclusion is based on a Phase I Environmental Site Assessment prepared far� the site by Haley & Aldrich, Inc. in 2012. This document is available for review at the Dublin Community Development Department during normal business hours. This portion of t11e project area lies inside the Airport Influence Area (AIA) for Livermore Municipal Airport. Wrrllis Rr�iicli. The 2014 Addenduin did not identify the presence of significant environmeni.al substances on the property that could be released into the environrnent. This conclusion �vas based on a Phase I Environmental Site Assessment prepared for the overall Walli.s Ranch property in 2013 by Cornerstone Earth Group. The Cornerstone Phase I repo:rt is available for review in the Dublin Coinmunity Development Departrnent during norinal business hours. The Wallis Ranch portion of the project lies northe�st of t�le Livermore Airport and outside of tlze AIA. Portions of the Wallis Ranch may be subject to infrequent overflights of helicopters from Parks RFTA that lies �vest of the site. Previous CEQA docunlents The 2005 Fallon Village SEIR contains the follo�ving supplemental mitigation ineasures related to hazards and hazardous materials that pertain to the Jordan Ranch Subarea. • Suppl�mental Mitigation SM-HAZ-1 requires preparation of site-specific analysis to determine the presence of lead based paint and/or asbestos in structures to be demolished in the Fallon Village area. • Supplemental Mitigation HAZ-2 requires the removal of identified hazardous conditions on sites in the Fallon Village area prior to future development on properties. • Supplemental Mitigation SM-HAZ-3b requires remediation of contaminated areas of the Jordan Ranch property. In addition, the Jordan Ranch owner shall inform, the Alameda County Environmental Health Department of an unauthorized release of fuel hydrocarbons (gasoline and diesel) in the vicinity of an underground storage tank that had been previously removed. Additional subsur�face investigations are required to determine the lateral and horizontal City of Dublin Page 68 Initial Study/Eastern Dublin Properties August 2015 extent of any potential contamination and, if found, is i equired to be reinoveci as directed by the Alameda County Environznental Health Deparhnent. The additional investigations �n-ere also required to determine the extent of contamination caused by diesel fuel storage druins, �n�eed 1<iller and other containinants ii1 fornler barn structures on the Jordan site. � Supplemental Mitigation SM-HAZ-3f requires abandonment and deshuction of any private wells on the site. • Supplementa? Mitigation SM-HAZ-3g requires septic systems and leacll fields �vithin the Fallon Village project area to be pumped out and removed under permits from the Alameda County Environmental Health Departrnent. Proposed developinent on the Jordan Ranch Subarea will be required to adhere to the above initigation measures. No mitigation measures have been adopted for the Subarea 3 site or the Wallis Ranch Subarea. Project LtnUacts �) Crer�te a sig�lifi'crriit lirrzrr��c� to tlze pifUlic or tlie e��z�iro�iliie�zt tliro��gli tlle �roi�tirle trn�is�orf, ��se or disposrzl of jirrzm�cloris �izrrterials? No New Impact. T11ere wotrld be no impact witll regard to transport, use or disposal of hazardous materials, since the proposed project would include a school use, additional residences and parks. The proposed school use would include storage and use of small amounts of lawn and garden supplies and storage of cleaning s�ipplies and paints, these would not be substantial quantities. None of the otl�er proposed land uses would involve o use, storage or transport of si�nificant quantities of hazardous inaterials. There would therefore be no new or substantially more severe significant impacts with respect to this inlpact than has been previously analyzed in pievious CEQA docunlents. b) Crer�te n sig�rifi'cr��it Irr�za�•d to tlie �r�tilic o�� tlie e�lviro�il�ie�it tlu�oit�lt rer�so�zr�bly fo�resee�tile �r�set mid r�ccide�Tt co�ic�itioiis i�2volvi�ig tlie release of luzzardoi�is t�zcr�e�•icrls i�ito tlie eaTViro�lnle�tt? No New Inlpact. The 2005 Fallon Village SEIR alld supplemental environmental site investigations for the Jordan Ranch property identified the presence of containinated soils and groundwater on the site as a result of previous agricultural operations on the site. To conl�ly wit112005 Fallon Village S�.ippleinental Mitigation Measures, the project developer has completed a Phase I and II Environmental Site Assessment and has contacted the Alameda County Environmental Health Departrnent. Suppleinental Mitigation SM-HAZ 3b requires reinediation of identified contaminated areas. In order to implement this Mitigation Measure, the applicant's consultant (ENGEO, Inc.) has prepared a Corrective Action Plan to remediate contaminated soil and groundwater contamination on tlle site. Proposed remediation actions that have been com�leted include a conlbination of excavating contaminated soil from the site, extracting contaminated groundwater under the site and pumping biodegradable/oxidation material into the subsurface via a well. City of Dublin Page 69 Initial Study/Eastern Dublin Properties August 2015 No significant impacts related to the release of hazardo�is materials 11ave been identified for Subarea 3 or the Wallis Ranch property based on recently completed Phase I Environmental Site Assessments. No nev�� or substantially more severe impacts with respect to release of hazardous materia.ls have been identified in this Initial Study than has been previously analyzed in previous CEQA documents. c) Elrait lzczczrdoifs »i�zterials o��lza�zdle lic�za��dous �nr�teric�ls or aci�tely liazczrdoT�s i�Tr�terials, sz.t�sta�zces, or w�ste wit1zi37 o�ie-c�zf�f•ter niile of c�3i existiiTg o�•�ro�osed scjiool? No New Impact. Approval and implementation of the proposed project would have a less- than-significant iinpact with respect to this topic. A future elementary school site is shown on the Jordan Ranch property. The proposed project includes a relocation of an existing school site already designated on the�ordan Ranch, which was planned for the northeast portion of the site. The proposed site of a joint school alzd park would be on the south side of Central Parkway. As noted in subsection "b," above, the Jordan Ranch property has been fully retnediated from identified soil hazards. Althou;�h the Quarry Lane private school is located just to the east of the Wallis Ranch Subarea, approval and implementation of the proposed General Plan and Eastern Dublin Specific Plan Amendment would have no impact with regard to this topic, since a substantial quantity of hazardous materials or acutely hazardous inaterials would not be released from the project site. Proposed uses on the Wallis Ranch Subarea would be parks. No existing or proposed schools exist within one-quarter inile of the Subarea 3 portion of the project. There would therefore be no new or substantially more severe significant impacts �vith respect to this impact than has been previously analyzed in previous CEQA documents. d) Is tlie site listed crs a lzazm�dorrs ��irrtericzls site? No New Impact. No properties comprising the project area are listed on the State of California Department of Toxic Substances Control as an identified hazardous site as of May 27, 2015. There is therefore no impact with regard to this topic. There would therefore be no new or substantially more severe significant impacts with respect to this impact than has been previously analyzed in previous CEQA documents. e,f) Is tl�e site located witlzi�i e�ii Ri��port la�2d i�se pla�T of ct publie air�ort or privc�te r�irstri�? No New Impact. The Jordan Ranch Subarea is located north of the Livermore Airport and outside of any airport safety zone and the Airport Influence Area (AIA) of the airport. However, this Subarea does lie within the airport height referral area of the airport, as documented on Figure 3.1-D. Pursuant to Supplemental Noise Mitigation Measure SM-NOISE-1 contained in the 2005 SEIR, Jordan Ranch project City of Dublin Page 70 Initial Study/Eastern Dublin Properties August 2015 developers, �ncl�idii2g those incltided in this Subarea, will be required to provide notificatioi� to future purchases of d�h�ellings about the presence of Livermore Airport. Subarea 31ies �vitlun the AIA and Safety Zoi1e 7 of the Liverinore Municipal Airport. �ny General Plan Amendment that proposes ne�v land uses in the AIA znust be revie�ved for consistency �h�it11 Chapter 8.35 (Airport Overlay Zoning District) ot the Dublin Zoning Ordinance. The proposed General Plan Ainendment would change approximately 12 acres of Rural Residential/Agriculhzral (RRA) lands to Park. The Park designation is not contrary to the allowed Lises within the AIA and Safety Zone 7 and is a comparable open space use to RRA. Since RIZA and Park are comparable open space land use designations there would be no new or more severe significant impacts �vith respect to this topic The Eastern Dublin EIR discussed the potential for land use incompatibilities with respect to the airport, but identified the impact as less-than-significant based on the land uses being consistent �n�ith the requirements and policies of the designated areas (Impact 3.1/H). The project proposes a similar type of open space in the sanle location as existing RRA lands and does not propose additioilal development within the AIA. Therefore, there ��Iould not be a new or more severe significant impact than analyzed in the prior CEQA documents. No additional analysis is required. The Wallis Railch Subarea is located northwest of the Liverrnoie Municipal Airport AIA and any airport safety zone and is i�ot subject to regular aircraft overflights. However, as noted in the Eastern Dublin EIR, properties in the western portion ot the Eastern Dublin Planning Area, generally locate adjacent to Tassajara Road, is subject to occasio11a1 overfligllts froin military helicopters from nearby Parks RPTA. This activity was not identified as a significant hazard impact ii� tlze Eastern Dublill EIR. Theie would therefoie be no new or substalltially more severe significarlt iinpacts with respect to this impact tllan has been previously analyzed ii1 previous CEQA documents. g) T��te�fere�zce zoith r�iz e�iiergettcy e�ac�fatio�T �lr��i? No New Iinpact. The proposed project would include changes to the Dublin General Plan and the Eastern Dublin Specific Plan t11at �-vould affect a local school site, residential and local park uses. No emergency evacuation plan would be affected since i10 roadways would be blocked. There would therefore be no new or substantially more severe significant impacts with respect to this impact than has been previously analyzed in previous CEQA documents. h) Expose pe�ple a�id strz�ctl.�res to a sig�iifica�zt �-isk of loss, irzjlu�y or c�eatll ijivolvirig zoildla�id fil�es o��zc�lie��e residelices are i�ite����Tixed witli wildla�ids? No New Impact. The potential for wildfire impacts was analyzed in the Eastern Dublin EIR and, with adherence to mitigation measures contained in the Eastern Dublin EIR, impacts related to �vildland fire would be less-tl�an-significant. These rnitigation measures include Mitigation I��Teasure 3.4/6.0, requiring project developers to assist in City of Dublin Page 71 Initial Study/Eastern Dublin Properties August 2015 funding new fire stations and other facilities in Eastern Dublin, �Zitigation Measure 3.4/9.0 requiring use of non-combustible roof materials, and maintaining �vater f�ire flow and pressure, establishing lo�ti�-fuel Uuffers bet�veen structures and wildland areas and installing fire sprinlclers in buildings. There �vould therefore be no ne��� or substantially more severe significant impacts with respect to this impact than has been previously analyzed in previous CEQA documents. 9. Hydrology and Water Quality Environmei�tal Settin� Local s1a fr�ce wrrter. The project Subareas are located within the Arroyo Las Positas watershed, a sub-basin of the Alameda Creek watershed. This watershed drains westerly into and through the Arroyo Mocho to the Arroyo de la Laguna, which discharges i�1to Alameda Creek near Sunol and ultimately into San Francisco Bay near Union City. All of the SuUareas are located �vithin the jurisdiction ot Zone 7 of the Alameda County Flood Contr��l and Water Conservation District (Zone 7). Zone 7 provides maintenance of regional d'_rainage facilities within this portion of Alanleda County. ST.0 fr�ce iur�ter r�urtlity. Water quality in California is regulated by the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency's National Pollution Discharge Elimination System (NPDES), v��hich controls the �iischarge of pollutants to water bodies from point and non-point sources. In the San Francisco Bay area, this program is administered by the San Francisco Bay Region�l Water Quality Control Board (RWQCB). Federal regulations issued in Noveinber 1990 expanded the authority of the RWQCB to include permitting of stormwater discharges from municipal storm sewer systems, industrial processes, and construction sites that disturb areas larger than one acre of land area. The City of Dublin is a co-permittee of the Alameda County Clean Water Program, which is a coordinated effort by loc�il governments in Alameda County to improve water quality in San Francisco Ba.y. In 1994, the I�WQCB issued a set of recommendations for New and Redevelopment Controls for Storm Water Programs. These recommendations include policies that define watershed protection goals, set forth minimum non-point source pollutant control requirements for site planning, construction and post-construction activities, and establish criteria for ongoing reporting of water quality construction activities. Watershed p�otection goals are based on policies identified in the San Francisco Bay Basin Water Quality Control Plan (Basin Plan), and the entire program relies on the implementation of Best Management Practices to limit pollutant contact�vith storinwater runoff at its source and to remove pollutants before they are discharged into receiving waters. The California Stormwater Quality Task Force has published a series of Best Management Practices handbooks for use in the design of source control; and treatment programs to achieve the water quality objectives identified by the Basin Plan for the beneficial uses of surface waters, groundwaters, wetland and marshes. City of Dublin Page 72 Initial Study/Eastern Dublin Properties August 2015 Surtace �vater quaii�� is affected b�� u ntunber of pollutants �enerated from existing st�uctures, parlcing areas azld open space uses on the project area, including but not lii�zited to �etrochemicals (oil and grease), yard and landscape ehemicals (herbicides, pesticides and fertilizers), and similar sources. Flooc�i�zg. The project Subareas lies outside of a 100-year flood hazard area as mapped by the Federal Emergency Manageinent Agency FEMA (source: Flood Insurance Rate I�Zap Comnlunity Panel #s 06001C032SG, 06001C0329G and 06001C0326G). Previous CEQA documents Easterji Di.ibli�i EIR The Eastern Dublin EIR contains a nurnber of mitigation ineasures to reduce anticipated impacts related to hydrology and storm drainage from the General Plan and EDSP project. These include: • Mitigation Measures 3.5/44.0-48.0 �NOUId reduce impacts related potential flooding due to increased runoft into creeks (IM 3.5/Y) to a less-than-signiticant level. These mitigation ineasures requires ne�n� storm drainage facilities as part of new developrnent, r�quires developers to prepare storin drain plans for iildividual developznent projects and requires new flood control facilities to alleviate downsheain floodi�lg potei�tial. • Mitigation Measures 3.5/51.0 - 55.0 would reduce iinpacts related to non-poiz�t source pollution (IM 3.5/AA) to a less-thairsignificant level. These initigation measures rnandate that specific water quality investigations be submitted as pai-t of development projects and that the City should develop coinmuiuty-based programs to �ducate residents and busiilesses to reduce non-point source polluti o�1. 2005 Fr711o�1 V�illr�ge SEIR (jo7�c�c�i1 Rnatcli). The 2005 SEIR identified two Suppleinental I�npacts and Mitigation Measures related to hydrology and water quality: • Supplemental Impact SD-1 found that surface water quality standards had been updated from regulations in effect when the 1993 Easteril Dublin EIR was certified. Mitigation Measure SD-1 requires that properties in tlle Stage 1 Developinent Plan adhere to water quality source control and hydrologic design recommendations contained in the February 2005 ENGEO report. These recoininendations relate to liiniting the volume and quantity of storinwater runoff entering local and regional drainage facilities. • Supplemental Mitigation Measure SD-2 requires that individual development projects in the Fallon Village area coinply with hydromodification provisions contaiiled in the Alameda County Clean Water Program. If no Alameda County Clean Water Program pennit has been approved before individual development proposals are approved by the City of Dublin, applicants may be required to City of Dublin Page 73 Initial Study/Eastern Dublin Properties August 2015 subrnit hydrologic and hydraulic analyses to be revie�ved and approved by the Cit�� of Dublin azzd Zone 7. Payinent of Zone 7 fees is also required. No significa.nt Hydrology and Water Quality impacts were identified in previous CEQA documents :Eor either the Subarea 3 or Wallis Ranch properties. . Future development on all of the project Subareas tivill be required to adhere to the above mitigation measures. Project ImU��cts a) Violrrte ctziy water c�ti�ality strz�zdc�rds o��waste c�isdiarge recJuire��ze�its? No New Impaet. Adherence to mitigation measures set forth in the Eastern Dublin EIR, the 2005 SEIR (as applied to the Jordan Ranch Subarea) and the Alameda County Clean Water ]?rogram as enforced by the City of Dublin will ensure that construction allowed by the proposed project would not violate water quality standards or any waste discharge requirements. The Jordan Ranch developer has constructed a water quality basin in the southwestern portion of the site to intercept storm �vater and cleanse contarninants and erasion from runoff prior to entering the G-3 facility that would accommodate future cievelopment on this property. The water quality basin has been constructed to City of Dublin, Zone 7 and Regional Water Quality Control Board standards and sp�cifications. Project developers on the other t�vo Subareas �Nill be required to prepare master storm drain and water quality plans to meet Eastern Dublin EIR mitigation measure requirements as well as Alameda County Clean Water Program require�nents. There would therefore be no new or substantially lnore severe significant impacts with respect to this impact than has been previously analyzed in previous CEQA docuinEnts. b) Sz��Usta�ttir�lly cleplete g�'ot.�7tdzvater 1�edtcrrge are�rs or lou�eri�zg of zvater t�ble? No New Iinpact Major portions of all three Subareas have been slated for future urban uses since adoption of the 1993 Eastern Dublin General Plan Amendment and Specific Plan. Proposed residential uses on the Jordan Ranch Subarea would rely on imported water sources provided by Zone 7 and the Dublin San Ramon Services District, not locally pumped groundwater. No supplemental impacts would therefore occur with regard to this topic. As identified in Eastern Dublin EIR Mitigati�n Measure 3.5/49.0, and as identified in subsection "a," above, future individual developments will include features to minimize surface and groundwater pollution, consistent with Alameda County Clean Water Program and City of Dublin standards. There would therefore be no new or substantially more severe significant impacts with respect to this impact than has been previously analyzed in the previous CEQA documents. City of Dublin Page 74 Initial Study/Eastern Dublin Properties August 2015 c) Sl�bstr��itir�lly r�lter c�rc�inr�ge pc�tte��azs, i�ieludi�ig streat�zbed eoiirses slrcJi tlir�t szt2�sta�itir�l siltrrtio�z or erosia�z wolfld occzta•? No New Impact. New impervious surfaces ���ould be added to t�ze Jordan Ranch Subarea to accommodate ne�v d���ellings, a school, road���ays, drivejvays and similar surfaces. Although the existing main drainage swale on the Jordan Ranch would be used for prinzary drainage, existing drainage patterns would be slightly modified based on proposed development to cllannelize existing sheet flo�v into t11e inain s���ale and then transported to Zone 7's G3 box culvert just�tiTest of Fallon Road and north ot the I-580 free�vay. As identified in su�section "a," a�vater quality basin has been constructed on the Jordan Ranch site to miniinize impacts related to siltation and erosion, consistent �-vith t11e Alanleda County Clean Water Program. Adllerence to Mitigation Measure 3.5/46.0 contained in the Eastern Dublin EIR would reduce changed drainage patterns to a less-than-significant level for all three Subareas. This mitigation measure requires the future project developers to prepare a Master Drainage Plan for each respective development project with each respective Subarea prior to comnlencement of construction. Adherence to mitigation measures contained in t11e Eastenl Dublin EIR, the 2005 SEIR for t11e Jordan Ranch Subarea aild other local aild regional water quality standards will reduce impacts froin Subarea developments such related to siltation and erosion to a less-than-significant level. With adherence to previously adopted mitigations, there would therefore be no netv or substantially more severe significant impacts with respect to this impact than has been previously analyzed in previous CEQA doc�.rments. d) STi2�stmifi�rlly r�lter c�rrri�lr�ge��tter�2s o��substr���itinlly incrense s�i�fnce wc�ter ��il�ioff thrtf wol.�ld resz�rlt r'�i floodi��ig, eithea•o�i o��off tlie�roject site? No New Inlpact. T11e Eastern Dublin EIR and 2005 SEIR for the Jordan Ranch Subarea identified a number of mitigation ineasures to which future individual developinent projects oi1 the three Subareas must conform to reduce drainage and flooding impacts to a less-than- significant level. These include preparation of a Master Drainage Plan for eac11 individual development proposal, as required by Eastern Dublin EIR Mitigation Measure 3.5/46.0 and each individual project developer contributions to funding regional drainage improvements, as required by Mitigation Measures 3.5/47.0 and 48.0. Payment of local and regional drainage fees to the City of Dublin and Zone 7 will meet the requirements of these mitigation measures. There would therefore be no new or substantially more severe significant impacts with respect to this impact than has been previously analyzed in previous CEQA documents. e) Crerrte sto���nwrrter ru�TOff tlir�t zuoitld exceed tl�e caprrcity of d��ai�lrrge s�sfellis or ndd si�bstr��itirtl r��nol�rits of polh�ted ri�7ioff? No New I�npact. The ability of downstrealn drainage facilities to accommodate additional quantities of stormwater runoff from each Subarea have been addressed in previous EIRs. The City of Dublin will require compliance with applicable initigation measures to ensure that drainage City of Dublin Page 75 Initial Study/Eastern Dublin Properties August 2015 impact:s �n�ill be reduced to a less-than-significant level. Coilsistent with Eastern Dublin�. EIR Miti�ation Measures 2.6/47.0 and 48.0, the individual developers on each Subarea ���ill be reqi,iired to pay regional drainage fees to assist in funding backbone drainage facilities identified in the Eastern Dublin Specitic Plan. There �Tould therefore be no netiv or substantially more severe significant impacts with respect: to this impact than has been previously analyzed in previous CEQA documents. t) Subst�zrztially degrade wrzter c�r.�c�lity? No New Impact. This is a less-thctft-sigazifi'catit issue a,nd has been addressed above in item "a." g) Plr�ce lioifsifzg witlii3z i� 100-year flood Izrrzc�rd arect as �izrtpped by a Flood I�lsi�rr�lice Rc�te Map? No New Impact. The Subareas lie outside of a 100-year flood hazard zone as mappe�d by FEMA. This is identified in t11e Environmental Setting section of this Initial ��tudy. There would therefore be no new or substantially more severe significant impacts with respect to this impact than has been previously analyzed in the previous CEQA documents. 11, i) Plr�ce zu�'tlti�z rt 100-yea��flooc�liazr�rd boufidary strl.lcttu�es tliat i��zpeded o�� redif�ect floocl flow, i�iclildi�2g c�al�i failT.�res? No New Impact. Refer to itein "g," above. j) Resi�lt i��l i�ii���iclatio�r vy seiclze, tsi.i�����2i or n�itdflows? No New Impact. All three Subareas are located well inland froin San Francisco Bay or other major bodies of water to be impacted by a tsunami or seiche. Adherence to tnitigation measures contain�ed in the Eastern Dublin EIR as identified in subsection 6 of this Initial Study (Geology and Soils) will ensure that impacts from mudflows would be less- than-si€;nificant. These measures include Eastern Dublin Mitigation Measure 3.6/20.0, that requires grading plans that ininimize areas to be graded, Mitigation Measure 3.6/22.0, requiring completion of site specific geotechnnical investigations and installation of retaining structures and Mitigation Measure 3.6/23.0, requiring placements of subsurface keys and benches to stabilize graded slopes. There would therefore be no new or substantially more severe significant impacts with respect to this impact than has been previously analyzed in the previous CEQA documents. 10. Land Use and Planning Environmental Settin Existi�ig land T,�ses. All of the three subareas comprisiilg the project are currently vacant and contain n.o buildings. Regulator�ttin� Land use on the Project Subareas is regulated by the Eastern Dublin General Plan and Eastern Dublin Specific Plan (EDSP), both of which were adopted in 1993. The applicants have requested City of Dublin approval of amendments to the General Plan City of Dublin Page 76 Initial Study/Easi:ern Dublin Properties August 2015 �nd the Eastern DL�blin Specitic �lan as v��ell as otl�er l�nd use eiltitlen�ents documented in the Project Description section of thzs Initial Study. Approval of the requested land use entitleinents «Tould allo�v an increase of up to 35 d�lTellings on the Jordan Ranch property troin the 2014 City approval (see Table 1 in the Project Description), relocation of a pl�zned scllool on the same property in conjunction ivith a City Paik, deletion of a planned Conuilunity Park on the saine property. Proposed actions �vould also include converting a Rural Residential/Agrictilttzre area of approximately 10.75 acres on Subarea 3 to a Park and converting an existing Public Semi-Public site on the Wallis Ralzch Subarea to a Park. Pro�ect ImUacts a) Pltysically divide a�i estcrblislied co��i��zr��lity? No New Ii�lpact. Each of three Subareas comprising the project site are vacant. Development of dwelliilgs and other land uses on the site as proposed in this project�n�ould not divide any established communities and no iinpact would result. There would therefore be no new or substantially more severe significant impacts with respect to this impact than has been previously analyzed in previous CEQA docuinents. b) Co�zflict witli R�i�r�p�lic�ble lr�lid Tfse�lrr�i, �olic� o�� regl.�lrrtio�i? No Ne�N Inlpact. Amendments have been requested to the General Plan and Eastern Dublin Specific Plan to change land use designations on the Subareas. No changes are proposed to any regulation regulating environmental protection. No new or more significant iinpacts aie anticipated with regard to land use regulations t�1an hav� been previously ailalyzed in c�ther applicable CEQA documents. c) Co�lflict zvitlz a hcrUitcrt co�iserv�t2o�t �Irr�t or jtr�ti.ta�rzl com�liujiity co7iservc�tio�t pinn? No New Inlpact. None of the project Subareas are located�vithin a habitat conservation plan area or natural conlmunity conservation plan area. There would therefore be no new or substantially z��ore severe significant impacts with respect to this inlpact than has been pieviously analyzed in previous CEQA documents. 11. Mineral Resources Environmental Settin� No significant quantities of inineral resources exist on any of tlle project Subareas according to the Eastern Dublin General Plan, the Eastern Dublin Specific Plan, the Eastern Dublin Specific Plan EIR or any of other CEQA documents that affect the project site. Pro�ect Imt�acts a, b) Resi�lt i�i fihe loss of r�vailr�bilify of��egio�irrUy or locrzlly si�3iificr��it r�li�ie��rrl a�esor.�rces? No New Impact. None of the City of Dublin land use regulatory documents or applicable EIRs indicate t11at significant deposits of minerals exist on any of the Subareas, so no impacts would occur. City of Dublin Page 77 Initial Study/Eastern Dublin Properties August 2015 12. Noise Environmeiltal Settin� Noise is defined as unwanted sound. Airborne sound is a rapid fluctuation of air pressure above and below atmospheric pressure. Sound levels are usually ineasured and expressed in decibels (dB) with 0 dB corresponding roughly to the threshold of hearing. Decibels and other technical terms are defined in Table 1. Most of the sounds heard in the environment do not consist of a single frequency, but rather a broad band of frequencies, with each frequency differing in sound le��el. The intensities of each frequency add together to generate a sound. The �nethod commonly used to quantify environmental sounds consists of evaluatin;� all of the frequencies of a sound in accordance �vith a weighting that reflects the facts that human hearing is less sensitive at lo�v frequencies and extreme higlz frequencies than in the frequency mid-range. This is called "A" weighting, and the decibel level so measured is called the A-zveig)rted solt�7d level (dBA). In practice, the Ievel of a sound source is conveniently ineasured using a sound level :rneter that includes an electrical filter corresponding to the A- weighting curve. Typical A-weighted levels measured in the environment and in industry are shown in Table 2 for different types of noise. Although the A-weighted noise level may adec�uately i�ldicate the level of environment:al noise at any instant in time, community noise levels vary continuously. Most envirorunental noise includes a conglomeration of noise from distant sources which create a relatively steady background noise in which no particular source is identifiable. To describe the time-varying character of environmental noise, the statistical noise descriptors, Lol, L,o. L50, and Lyo, are commonly used. They are the A-weighted noise levels equaled or exceeded during 1%, 10%, 50%, and 90% of a stated time period. A single number descriptor called the L�,i is also widely used. The L�� is the average A-weighted noise level during a stated period of time. In determining the daily level of envirorunental noise, it is important to account for the difference in response of people to daytime and nighttime noises. During the nighttime, exterior background noises are generally lower than the daytime levels. However, most household noise also decreases at night and exterior noise becomes very noticeable. Further, most people sleep at night and are very sensitive to n�ise intrusion. To account for human sensitivity to nighttime noise levels, the D�y/Night Average Soulid Level (L�„ or DNL) was developed. The La� divides the 24.-hour day into the daytime of 7:00 am to 10:00 pm and the nightfiime of 10:00 pm to 7:00 am. The iughttime noise level is weighted 10 dB higher than tl�ie daytime noise level. The Co��imu�tit�Noise Eqitivale�lt Level (CNEL) is another 24-.hour average which includes both an evening and nighttime weighting. City of Dublin Initial Study/Eastern Dublin Properties Page 78 August 2015 Existing noise environment. TI1e project site is Iocated sottth of Central Parki�ray, about 800 feet east of Fallon Road �nci about a halt-mile north of Interstate 580 (I- 5�0) in Dublin, Califorl�ia. The project site is bounded by Central Parkway to the north, netv development property to the east, and hillsides/open space to the south and �vest. Illing�vorth & Rodkin, Inc. completed a series of noise nzeasurelnents to quantify existing ambient noise levels. The noise inonitoring survey consisted of one long-term noise measurement beginning Wednesday, May 27, 2015 and ending Friday, May 29, 2015. T��vo short-terin (10-minute) noise measurements were also made to complete the survey. Noise monitoring locations are shown on Exhibit 9 and lcng-term measurement data are sho�vn in Attachment 2. The proposed project location is currently an undeveloped, vacant property. Noise-sensitive residential land uses are located east of the project site and north of Central Parkway, primarily near the Sunset View Drive intersection (in t11e current stage of development). The nearest residences are across Central Parkway approximately 150 feet from the project site. The noise environment in the site vicinity results priinarily from local traffic along Central Park�vay, Fallon Road, vehicle traffic along I-580, and construction associated with ongoing development near the site. Site LT-1 was located near tlze northwest corner of the project site, along Cent�al Parkway, 45 feet trom the centerline. This location was selected to quantify t]Ze daily trend in noise levels along the roadway near the western portion of the site. The prinlai y noise sources during the nleasurement were local traffic and constrtiction dLri-ing tlle day, and 11igh�vay traffic at nig]Zt Hourly average noise levels typically ranged fronl 59 to 64 c�BA Le� during the day, from 56 to 61 dBA L�,� during tlle evening, and from 52 to 57 dBA L� at night. The 24-11our average CN�L at this location ranged from 63 to 64 dBA �NEL. Residences to the nortlz would be located farther froill the roadway than the measureinent location and would be exposed to lower noise levels. Ambient noise levels at the nearest noise sensitive receivers were calculated to b� 3 dB lower than LT-1 noise levels, restillting in a range of 60 to 61 dBA CNEL. Two short-term 1loise rneasurenlents were made in conjunction tivith tlle long- terin ineastrremellts on May 29, 2015 in order to quantify the variation in noise levels at locations further from local traffic and construction noise sources. Site ST-1 �vas located near the southwest corner of the project site, 430 feet south of the intersection of Central Parkway and Sunset View Drive. The 10-minute average noise level measured on May 29, 2015 bet�veen 1:40 pm and 1:50 pm was 52 dBA L��. A coinparison of these data to the daily trend in noise levels measured at LT-1 was made to estimate the CNEL at Site ST-1, �vhich was 55 ciBA CNEL. Site ST-2 �-vas located near the southeast corner of the project site, 440 feet south of the center of Central Park�vay. The 10-ininute average noise level measured on May 29, 2015 bettiveen 1:10 pm and 1:20 pm was 52 dBA Le�, and betv��een 1:20 pzn and 1:30 pm the ineasured noise level was 53 dBA Le�. A comparison of these data to the daily trend in noise levels zneasured at Site LT-1 �vas made to estimate City of Dublin Page 79 Initial Study/Eastern Dublin Properties August 2015 the CNEL a.t Site ST-2, which vvas 55 dBA CNEL. Table 5 summarizes the results of these short-term measurements. Table 5. Summary of Short-Term Noise Measurements (dBA) Noise Mea��surement Date CNEL Location Time Le L,,,aX L lo L so L 90 � ST-1: 430 feet south of 5/29/2015 52 63 54 50 48 55 Central Parl;way, near 1:10-1:20 m southwest corner of site. 1:20-1:30 pm 53 64 55 51 48 55 ST-2: 440 feet south of Central Par�:way, near 5/29/2015 52 65 55 48 45 55 southeast carner of 1:40-1:50 pm site. * CNEL levels �vere estimated based on noise levels measured at LT-1 during correspondi:ng intervals. Regulatorv set� The Noise E]�ement of the Dublin General Plan identifies the following primary sources of noise in D�ublin: traffic noise froin freeways and major roadways within the community <�nd noise generated by the BART line adjacent to the I-580 free�vay. The Noise Eleinent identifies the following inaxiinuin noise exposure levels by land use type. Table 6. City of Dublin Land Use/Noise Compatibility Standards (decibels) Land Use Normally Conditionally Normally Clearl Acce table Acce table Unacce table Unacce table Residential 60 or less 60-70 70-75 75+ Lod in Facilities 60-70 70-80 80+ Schools, churd�es, 60-70 70-80 80+ nursin hoines -- Neighborhood 60 or less 60-65 65-70 70+ arks Office/Retail 70 or less 70-75 75-80 80+ Industrial 70 or less 70-75 75+ Source:Dublin General Pl�n Noise Element, Table 9-1 The City of Dublin also enforces an interior noise standard of 45 decibels for residential dwellings. City of Dublin Initiai Study/Eastern Dublin Properties Page 80 August 2015 Previot�s CEQA clocuznents Ectste���l Dtil�li�1 EIR. T11e Eastern Dublin EIR coi�tains a ilumber of lniti�ation zneasuies to redL�ce anticipated noise impacts from the General Plan and EDSP project. These iilclude: • Nlitigation Meastues 3.10/1.0 would reduce impacts related to exposure of proposed housing to future road�vay noise (IM 3.10/A) to a less-than-significant level. This mitigation measure requires that all future development projects have an acoustic analysis prepared to ensure that future dwelling units zneet City noise exposure levels. • Mitigation Measures 3.10/4.0 and 5.0 would reduce impacts related to construction noise (IM 10/E) to a less-than-significant leveL These mitigation measures require developers to subinit construction noise management plans and to limit hours of construction operations. 2002 SEIR (Jo��rlrtii Rrr�1cJ�). The 2002 Supplein�nt contains two supplenlental initigation measures dealing �vith noise impacts, as follows: • Supplemental Mitigation Measure SM-NOISE-1 requires a noise insulation plan for general commercial and industrial land uses for specific developnlent projects located �vithin a 70 decibel noise contour. • Suppleinental Mitigation Measure SM-NOISE-2limits heavy truck traffic to designated arterial roads and truck routes in the Fallon Village area. The 2002 S�IR found that exposure of proposed and existing IZOUSing to noise levels in excess of City standards established in the Noise Element was a sigiuficant and unavoidable ilnpact. 2005 SEIR (Jordrz�i Pr���zclt). The SEIR prepared in 2005 contlins the following suppleinental noise mitigation nleasures: • Suppleinental Mitigation Measure SM-NOISE-1 requires that residents of residential developments in the Fallon Village area receive writteil notification of aircraft overflights froin Liverinore Airport • Suppleinental Mitigation Measure SM-NOISE-2 requires an acoustical study must be prepared for future residential projects in the Fallon Village area. The proposed project�vill be required to comply tvith applicable noise rnitigation ineasures contained in the previous EIRs. City of Dublin Page 81 Initiai Study/Eastern Dublin Properties August 2015 Pro�ect Im�acts a,c) Would' the���oject expose�erso�is o��ge�ze�-c�tioli of�2oise levels i�1 excess of sta�idrzrds establi:slled by tlze GeTaerc�l Plr��z or otlzer a�plicable sta�zdctrd a�id resitlt i�a c� substc��Ttir�l irtcrec�ses ia� perf�za�ie�it i�i �r�ibie�zf noise levels? No New Impact. The land use comp��tibility guidelines applicable to this project are designed to provide guida�lce in determining �vhen special sound insulation treatments may be necessary in order to adequately control the intrusion of environmental noise. In this case, 70 dBA CNEL is the acceptable exterior noise limit for schools. The Califo�rnia Building Code noise threshold is 65 CNEL. The noise exposure at the site is less than 65 dBA CNEL and is compatible with the proposed land use. For the most intensive proposed use associated with the project, the combination elementary and middle school located on the south side of Central Parkway and at the i.ntersection of Central Parkway and Sunset View Drive, a detailed noise analysis was completed by the firm of Illingworth & Rodkin, Inc. Their analysis is as fo�llows. Traffic noise im�acts. Typically, a significant permanent noise increase would �xcur if the project would increase noise levels at noise sensitive receptors by 3 dBA CNEL or greater where ambient noise levels exceed the normally acceptable noise level standard. Where ambient noise levels are at or below the norrnally acceptable noise level standard, noise level increases of 5 dBA CNEL or greater�vould be considered significant. Ambient noise levels at the nearest receptors are above 60 dBA CNEL at times, and �vould exceed u0 dBA CNEL with the project; therefore, the 3 dBA CNEL or greater significance threshold would apply. Vehicle traffic associated with the project was evaluated to determine whet11e1-or not the project would result in a substantial perinanent increase in noise levels existing without the project. Traffic data provided by Fe1ir F� Peers were reviewed to calculate traffic noise level increases expected as a result of the project. These data included turning movement counts at six intersections for existing conditions and projections for cumulative conditions with school traffic, and cumulative conditions without school traffic L,ink volumes under the project scenario were compared to existing link volumes to calculate the noise increase attributable to the project. Traffic noise levels along Central Parkway and Sunset View Drive were projected to increase by 3 dBA CNEL during the AM peak hours. This noise increase would be noticeable during the AM peak hours. However, project- generated traffic would not cause a substantial increase in daily average noise levels. On a 24-hour average basis, the CNEL is calculated to increase by less than 1 dBA assuming a 3 dBA Le9 increase in existing firaffic noise levels du�ring the AM peak hours. The largest relative traffic noise increases are expected in areas with relatively low existing traffic volumes. Additior�.ally, receivers in the site's viciiuty are new construction and would have no baseline noise exposure from which to compare noise increases in City of Dublin Initial Study/Eastern Dublin Properties Page 82 August 2015 the eilviro�z�nent. The fraffic noise incre�se resultilzg froin the project�vould not be substantial or result in a sigi-�ificant iinpact. Parkiz�g lot noise. There is potential for a surface parking Iot to be located oi� a portion of the site adjacent to residences. The major noise sources attributed to parking lot activities are the sounds of vehicles as they drive by, noise generated �vhen vehicles start their engines, door slams, and the occasional sound of car alarms or horns. Illi�i�vortla F� Rodkiti, Ijic. has calculated noise generated by a similar parlcing lot in close proximity to residences. Maxilnum and average noise levels resulting from activities in the proposed parking lot�vere assessed at residential receptors 150 feet froin the project site, either across Central Parkway to the north or along Central Park«�ay to the east. These residences are likely to be nearest the school's parlcing lot. Predicted parlcing lot noise levels were then compared to existing ambient noise. Maximum instantaneous noise levels at 150 feet from parlcing lot activities �vould range from about 47 to 57 dBA L as a result of typical activities t,,,. and could reach 67 dBA Ln,aa w11en car alarnls are sounded. Noise levels from typical activities are lower than measured hourly L�� noise levels conditions duiing the day. When car alarnls are sounded, noise levels could exceed ineasured houily average conditions by 3 to 8 dBA during the day. Howevei, maxinluin noise levels under current conditions are typically within the 65 to 80 dBA L,,,a�range during the daytiine. While maxiinum installtaneous noise levels resulting froin a parking lot�vould be audible and nlay be considered inhusive, the quantitative noise iilcrease would not be substantial and the impact would be less t11an sigiuficailt. The hourly average noise level resulting from noise-generating activities in th� proposeci parking lot would reach 37 dBA L�� at a distance of 150 feet tronl the acoustical center of a hypothetical parlcing area (sensitive rece�tors would not be any closer) and would fall below typical hourly average noise levels during the day. Similarly, CNEL iloise levels resulting from the operation of t11e parlcing lot�vould reach 44 dBA CNEL at the nearest residential receivers, but would be below existing ambient conditions. On an hourly average or daily average basis, the operation of the proposed parking lot would not substailtially increase anlbient noise Ievels above levels existing without the project. Noise from outdoor activities. Schools typically include play/P.E. areas for students. The acoustical center of play areas are not expected to be closer than 250 feet froin the nearest residential outdoor use area to the north or east. Noise fronl children playing is dependent on play tiines, total number of students outside at one time, and the number of hours per school day where children would be outside at recess or participating in a physical education c]ass. City of Dublin Page 83 Initial Study/Eastern Dublin Properties August 2015 Illingv�orth & Rodlcin, Inc. has measured noise generated by outdoor activities at schools at several locations in the Bay Area. Average noise levels from outdoor activities at schools typically range from 72 to 74 dBA L�� at a distance of 25 feet�vith 20 to 30 children at play. However, since the distance between play area and residential outdoor use area would increase by 225 feet, those adjusted average noise levels would decrease by 10 dBA. Overall, average noise levels from outdoor activities are calculated to be 62 to 64 dBA Len at a distance of 250 feet. Maximum noise levels typically result from whistles and voices, and can reach 81 dBA Lma�at a distance of 25 feet, �vhich is calculated to be 71 dBA L at 250 feet. Average noise levels at the max nearest residential outdoor use areas are calculated to reach 62 dBA Le�, which would fall within the range of typical daytime noise levels (currently froin 58 to 66 dBA Le�). Based on the above calculations, use of the outdoor activity areas could generate a noise level as high as 57 dBA CNEL at a distance of 250 feet. When 1:he new noise source is added to the existing noise levels at residences (i.e., 61 dBA Ld„ during weekdays), day-night average noise levels would remain at 61 dBA CNEL and would not be significanf based o City General Plan iloise standards. Noise from mechanical ec�ui�ment. Proposed structures on site �NOUId include� ventilation systems that would be expected to generate relatively low noise levels. Such ventilation systems would be designed with standard Building Code requirements and would not be expected to generate high noise levels either within or outside of the project area. Future:noise levels due to mechanical equipment operation is not expected to be noticeable above existing traffic noise levels at nearby noise-sensitive uses and this iinpact is would not be significant. Future park uses on Subarea 3 and tlie Wallis Ranch Subareas would be subject to applicable mitigation measures contained in previous CEQA documents to ensure that no significant noise impacts �vould result. There would be no new or substantially more severe noise impacts with respect to generat:ion of noise in excess of City standards than have been analyzed in previous CEQA documents. b) Exposr.�re of people to excessive groi«idborT�ze vib��atior2 or groii�idbor�te �zoise levels? No New Iinpact. According to the project applicant, normal construction methods would Le used to build the proposed project so there would be limited and less- than-significant generation of groundborne noise or vibration. There would therefore be no new or substantially more severe significant impacts with respect to this impact than has been previously analyzed in previous CEQA documents. d) Sz.�bsta�ltial te»i�o��ary or periodic ilicrease i�i a»ibie�it �zoise levels i�1 tlte project vici�iit� r�bove levels witlzout tlie project? No New Impact. Future individual projects City of Dublin Page 84 Initial Study/Eastern Dublin Properties August 2015 constructed on each of the Subareas �vill be required to adhere to construction noise mitigation measures included in the Eastern Dublin EIR to minimize the impacts of construction noise, including Eastern Dublin EIR Mitigation Measure 3.10/4.0 and Mitigation Measure 3.10/5.0, to reduce this impact to a less-than- significant level. No ne�v or more substantially severe impacts with respect to construction noise have been identified in this Initial Study than have been previously analyzed in other CEQA documents for the project Subareas. e, f) For a project located witllin ari airport land use plan, would the project expose people to excessive noise levels? No New Impact. Subarea 3 is located within the height referral area of the Livermore Airport. The noise analysis prepared for the project did not identify significant aircraft noise from Livermore Municipal Airport on this site. 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EXHIBIT 9 � � ' ; JORDAN RANCH "°q T" � GPA & SPA NTS i ����a No1sE �zEASU�MENT LocATtoNS � ,�`�"� '� ���, JCfLY"2015 � 1�. �'�j�ulat�c�ai and I�a��si��a Envirann�ental Settii�� T11e p�oject Subareas are aIl currently vacaz�t aild contain no d�vellings. Project Iin�acts a) I�rduce sTr��sfr��rti��l �opl�ilrrtioli grou�th i�1 �az area, eiflier directly or i�ir�irectly? No Ne�v Inlpact. T11e tl-�ree Subareas have been plaiuled tor a mix of residential and coTnmercial land uses, parks, opeil spaces and other land uses since adoption of the Eastern Dublin General Pla�z Ameizdment and Specific Plan in 1993. The Eastern Dublin EIR analyzed the gro�vth inducing inlpact (Iinpact 3.5/T) related to providing ���ater service to the Eastern Dublin area. The configuration of uses on the site and surrounding areas 11ave been slightly Inodified for all three Subareas over the past tew ��ears as identified in the Project Description section of this Initia] Study. On the Jordan Panch Subarea, the current proposal could result in consti-uction of an increase of up to 40 d�vellings above tlzat includ�d in the 2014 City land use lpproval. This ��ould result by relocating �he approved School site to the south and replacing this portion ot the Jordan Ranch�vith Medium Density Pesidential d�vellii�gs. The increased residential developineizt potential �vould still be belo�v the maxiznu7�� residential buildout analyzed for t11��Jorc�al� Ranch in t11e 2005 SEIR, ��vhich is 1,064 d�vellii�bs. The proposed project would have the effect of reducing one d�velling from the Suvarea 3 portion of tl�e project This would be due to the proposed re-designation of tl�e "Rural Residential/Agricultural (RRA)" portion of the site to "Park." T11e current RRA designatioil �vould allo�v one dwelling unit�vithin Subarea 3, ��,�hereas none �vould be allo�ved under the proposed "Park" 1a11d use designation. No residences would be affected on the Wallis Ranch Sub�rea as part of this project. Based on the above discussion that the potential increase in the nuinber of dwelling units at build-out�vould be small arzd consistent with previous CEQA documents, there �ti�ould therefore be no new or substantially more severe significant iinpacts with respect to this inlpact than has been previously analyzed in previous CEQA docuinents. b,c) Wo�.tld tlie project d�isplr�ce sl�bstrr�ltiallii�»2bers of existi�zg l�ro��si�ig ���liits or�eo�le? No Neih� Impact. None of the Subareas contain existing d�velling units and no impact would result�vit�1 regard to displacement of d�vellings or population on the site. There �vould be no ne�v or substantially more severe significant impacts wit11 respect to this impact than has been previously analyzed in the previous CEQA documents. City of Dublin Page 87 Initial Study/Eastern Dublin Properties August 2015 14. Public Services Environmental Settin� The following provide essential services to the Project Site: • Fire Protection. Fire protection services are provided by the Alameda County Fire Department. The Department provides fire suppression, emergency medical response, fire prevention, education, building inspection services and hazardous material control. � Police Protection: Police and security protection is provided by the Dublin Police Services Department headquartered at the Dublin Civic Center, 100 Civic Plaza just east of do�vntown Dublin. • Schools. The Dublin Unified School District provides K-12 educational services for properties in the Eastern Dublin area. � Librarv Services: Alameda County Library service. • Maintenance. Maintenance of streets, roads and otller governmental facilities are the responsibility of the City of Dublin. Previous CE�2A documents Applicable mitigation measures contained in Eastern Dublin EIR addressing fire and police protection include: • M�.tigation Measure 3.4/7.0: Establish appropriate funding mechanisms to cover up-front costs of capital fire improvements. • Mitigation Measure 3.4/9.0: Incorporate Fire Department recommendations on project design relating to access, water pressure, fire safety and prevention int:o the requirements of development approval. • Mi.tigation Measure 3.4/10.0: Ensure, as a requirement of project approval, that an assessment district, homeowners association or other mechanism is in pl��ce that will provide regular long-term maintenance of the urban/open space interface. • Mitigation Measure 3.4/12.0: The City shall work with the Fire Department and qualified biologists to prepare a wildfire management plan for the project area. • Mitigation Measure 3.4/1.0: Provide additional personnel and facilities and revise beats as necessary in order to establish and maintain City standards for police protection service in Eastern Dublin. City of Dublin Page 88 Initial Study/Eastern Dublin Properties August 2015 • I�1�tigrttic�n h�leasure 3.�/3.0-5.0: Itzcorparate il�to t��e requireiilents of proj�ct appro�ral Police Departrnent recoznnlendations c�n project clesign that aftect trattic safety ancl crii�ze prevention. �'o significant impacts to pu��lic services �vere identitied in other pre��ious CEQA documents affecting the thi-ee Subareas. Tut�ire developinent on all three Subareas����ill be required to ac�llere to Eastern Dublin nlitigatioil ineasures. Pro�ect Im�acts a) Fi��e ���otectio�l? I�TO Ne�v Inlpact. Approval and implementation of the proposed project�vould slightly� increase the �ZUinber of fire and enlergency inedical calls for service that ���ould need to be responded to by the Alameda County Fire Departinent, the Ci�y of Dublin's contract fire deparhllent. Tlus is due to a sinall increase in the maximtun number of d�ti�ellings that�vould be allo�tired on the Jordalz Ranc11 Subarea than currently 111o���ed (up to 35 d�lrellin�s). Future de��elopznent on all of the Subareas will be required to adhere to mitigation nleasures, includil�g payment of public facility iinpact fees to assist in funding nei�v fire stations (Eastern Dublin EIR I��itigation Measure 3.4/7.0), so that impacts to the Alameda County Fire Department related to approval and construction of t11e proposed Project �vould be less-tl�an-significant. Consisteilt�n�ith Eastern Dttblin EIR Mitigation Measure 3.4/9.0, proposed developments on t11e Subareas�vill be conditioned to meet Fire Deprzrtment requirenzents including but not liinited to maintainiilg miniznuln �vater pressure and fire flo�v, providing adequate site access and using fire retardant building materials. Proposed development�vill also be conditioned to be consistent�vith the City's adopted Wildfire I�2anagement Plan (Eastern Dublin EIR Mitigation Measure 3.4/12.0). Based on discussions with Alameda County Fire Department staff, tllere would be no ne��v or substantially nlore severe significant impacts �vith respect to fire service beyond that ailalyzed in previous CEQA documents (source: Bonnie Terra, Alaineda County Fire Department, 5/15/15). b) Police protectio�l? No Ne�v Impact. Sinlilar to fire protection, there would be no netiv impact�vith regard �o police protection, based on the follo��ving mitigation ineasures included in the Eastern Dublul EIR. These Mitigation Measures include paying City of Dublin public facility impact fees to assist in funding new police facilities (I��Iitigation ��Teasure 3.4/1.0) incorporating Police Department safety and security requirements into the proposed Project, including but not limited to adequate locicing devices, lighting a11d ensuring adequate surveillance for structures and parl<ing areas (I�litigation Measures 3.4/3.0-5.0). The proposed project ivould be a ininor increase in residential developinent on tl�e Jordan Ra�zch compared to the 2012 Addendum but less de�relopnlent than assumed in the 2005 SEIR Thus tlle project is not a substantial change from the City of Dublin Page 89 Initial Study/Eastern Dublin Properties August 2015 analyse� and conclusions in prior CEQA documents. There �tiTould therefore be no new or substantially more severe significant impacts ��Jith respect to police protection than has been previously analyzed in previous CEQA documents. Based on discussions �vith Dublin Police Services Department staff, tllere would be no new or substantially more severe impacts with respect to police service beyond that analyzed in previous CEQA documents (source: Captain Dennis Houghtelling, Dublin Police Services, 5/21/15). c) Schools?' No New Impact. There �vould be no new impacts to school service should the proposed project be approved since payment of mandated statutory impact fees at the time of issuance of building permits will provide initigation of educational impacts of the proposed project pursuant to CEQA. Approval of the proposed project would also result in the relocation of an existing School site on a portion of the Jordan Ranch to a site south and �vest of the current site. The proposed school �vould be developed and operated by the Dublin Unified School District (DUSD). The proposed school would provide K-8 educational services with an estimated maximum enrollment of bet�veen 900 and 950 students. The approved development plan for the Jordan Ranch included future constr-uction of a 500-student elementary school. The Cit�� of Dublin and Dublin Unified School District recently entered into a Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) to facilitate development of the school. There �vould therefore be no new or substantially more severe significant impacts �vith respect to this impact than has been previously analyzed in previous CEQA documents. d) Other goverrirner2tql service, i��cluding »tainfena�ice of public facilities? No New Impact. Maintenance of public facilities �vould continue to be provided by the City of Dublin with no new impacts in regard to this topic. New public facilities will be required to be designed to meet City of Dublin standards. There would therefore be no new or substantially more severe significant impacts with respect to this impact than has been previously analyzed in previous CEQA documents. e) Solid waste ge�zeration? No New Impact. See item 17 "f" and "g," below. 15. Recreation Environmental Settin� No neighborhood or community parks and/or recreation services or facilities are currently located on the project site. The Dublin General Plan and Eastern Dublin Specific Plan designate a number of future park sites on the overall Jordan Ranch Subarea 3 and Wallis Ranch properties. These include: City of Dubiin Page 90 Initial Study/Eastern Dublin Properties August 2015 � J�rdan Rand1: � 5.8-�cre nei�hborhood par�:, a ?.:-ac�-e z�eigl2borhood sqt2are and an 11.1-acre c���unLUlity �arkis ct�rrently planlle�. • Subar�a 3: � 2.7-acre i�ei�hborhood Square is ap�roved �vithin Subarea 3. • Wallis Ranch: T���o �ublic neighborhood parks �u�d a private park totaling 12.4 acres are approved on tlus propert��. The City of Dublin otfers a range of park, recreation and cultural s�rti�ices. Re�io11a1 park facilities are provided byr t11e East Bay Regional Park District, �vl�iclz inaintains a large number ot regional parks, trails and similar recreation facil.ities i11 Alameda and Contra Costa Counties. Previous CEQA documents ERSte���z Dl�blirz EIR. T11e Eastern Dublin EIR identified a rlumber of mitigation ineasures related to parks and recreatioi�al facilities, as follo�vs. • Mitigation Measures 3.4/20.0-28.0 calls for the acquisition and developnlent of ne�ti� parks and other ou�door facilities in �astern Dublin, iequiring land dedication and/or park in-lieu fees for ne��� subdivisions and siinilar techniques to provide for additional park and recreational features. Implementation of all of tlze mitigation nzeasures identitied in the Eastern Dublin EIR lvould result in a ratio of 6.7 acres ot parkland per 1000 population in Eastern Dublin. • Mitigation Meastxies 3.4/29.0-31.0 requires that each new developmeYlt in Eastenz Dublin provide a fair share of parks and open space facilities. Developnlent of a parks in�plementation plan�vas also called for, to identify and piioritize parlcland in Easterll Dublin. Finally, adoption of a park in-lieu fee prograin was required as a nlitigation measure to reduce tlus impact to a level of insignificance. Consistent�vith these niitigatioils, the City requires residential project developers to dedicate parkland at the time of subdivision approval and pay Public Facility Fees (�ti�hich includes park in-lieu fees) to fund both the developznent of neigl-�borhood and comnlunity park facilities as ��ell as other conlmtulity facilities. • Mitigation Measure 3.4/32.0 requires the establislunent of a trail system�vith connections to planned regional and subregional trails, which �vould reduce this impact to an insignificant level. • Mitigation Measures 3.4/33.0-36.0 call for use of natural stream corridors and nlajor ridgelines to create a conlprehei�sive, integrated trail systenl that allo�vs safe and convenient pedestrian access, and required developers to dedicate public access along ridgetops and stream corridors to accominodate trail and staging areas. City of Dublin Page 91 Initial Study/Eastern Dublin Properties August 2015 2002 SEIR (Jo��drz�t Ra�acli �a�o��erf�). The 2002 SEIR described a proposed action of that project to detach the Project area from the Livermore Area Recreation and Parks District (LARI'D) as part of the larger reorganization that also included annexation of the Project area �to the City of Dublin and Dublin San Ramon Services District. Under the reorganization proposal, the City of Dublin would provide parks and recreation facilities and services to Project area residents as part of the larger spectrum of municipal services. The reorganization�-vas approved by the Alameda County Local Agency Forrnation Commission in 2002 and the site no�v receives park and recreation facilities and services from the City of Dublin. 2004 Dubli�2 .Ranc12 West SEIR (Wr�llis Ra�icli �roperty). This SEIR contained Supplemental Impact Park--1, which found a potentially significant impact with respect to an inconsistenc.y bet�veen the proposed development plan and the City's Park and Recreation Master Plan. This was reduce to a less-than-significant level by requiring the project deve:�oper to amend the Development Plan to add an additional 1.04 net acre of Neighborhood Park and a 1.9-acre Neighborhood Park within the project site. No park impacts or mitigation rneasures �vere contained in the Subarea 3 Addendum. The project developer�vill be required to comply with all applicable mitigation ineasures co:ntained in previous CEQA documents. Project Im�acts a) Would tlie project i�tcrease tlie use of existi�ig neiglitiorliood or regio�ial parks? No New Impact. Approval and construction of the proposed project would increase the use of nearby City and regional recreational facilities, since it would include increasing the on-site permanent population on the Jordan Ranch by 35 dwellings. However, a joint school and park is proposed on this property, which would provide a City recreational area. The Jordan Ranch project applicant is required to comply �vith Eastern Dublin EIR initigation measures, including payment of City public facilities fees to assist the City to purchase and/or improve parks throughout the community that could be used by Project residents. The proposed project would increase parkland on Subarea 3 and the Wallis Ranch Subarea. City staff has determined that the proposed project would not result in a significant impact with respect to use of neighborhood or commercial parks (source: Paul McCreary, Dublin Director of Parks and Community Services, 6/1/15i There v�Tould therefore be no new or substantially more severe significant impacts with respect to this impact than has been previously analyzed in previous CEQA documents. b) Does tl�e project include recreatioi2al facilities or require tlze co�istruction of recreational facilities? No New Impact. See item "a," above. The proposed project would include slightly decreasing the amount of public parkland on the Jordan Ranch project but would increase parkland on Subarea 3 and the Wallis Ranch property. City of Dublin Page 92 Initial Study/Eastern Dublin Properties August 2015 Th�re�-��ou�d t1ler�fo�-e t�e 12o ne��- ��r su�-�stantiallv nlore s���ere si�x�ific�i�t iuzpacts ;vith respect to this inzpact �han 1z�s 1�een previousl�- aiYal�rzed in t�1e preti�ious CEQ� doctuz�ents. 16. Transporfation/Traf€ic En�r;ronmental �Settin� Existin� road�vay svstenl. The Jordan Railch 1»d Subarea 3 Subareas are se1•ved b�� tl�e follo��ti�ing road�vays. Fr�llo�t Ror�d is a nort��-south arterial roadway t�zat connects I-580 to Tassajara Road. It currently provides t���o t�avel lanes in each direction, �vit11 the exception of the segment that�rovides three lanes in each direction between Central Park�vay aild Gleason Drive. Betvveen I-580 and Central Parkway, tlus segznent is ultimately planned to provide three lanes i11 each direction. This road�va5� is being upgraded as developznent occurs on parcels fronting the road�vay, and �vill ultimately provide side�valks and bicycle facilities alon� its length. Fallol� Road is a designated route ot regional significance. Ce�tt�rr�l P�z��ku�ai�is an east-�vest road�vay that extends tronl Arnold Road to east ot Fallon Road. Bet��-een Arnold Road and Tassajara Drive, and east of Fallon Road, it is a desigilated collectar roadway. Bet�,veen Tassajara Road and Fallon Road, it is a designated arterial roadway. It geilerally provides one travel lane in each direction with a landscaped nledian, bicycle lanes ancl side�valks along portions of the roadway that have fronting development. On-street parlcing is allo�ved on son�e portions of the road�vay. Positatio Pr�rku�ati/is an east-�vest roadway that extends from Fa11on Road to Croak Road. It is a t�-vo-lane arterial with a landscaped nledian, side�valks, and bike lanes. On-street parlcing is not allo�nred on this facility. Dub1i�7 Bolilevrrrd is an east-west designated arterial roadway in the City of Dl��li�i Ge�lercrl Pla�i that extends fronl west of San Ranlon Road to its current terininus at Fallon Road. It is generalIy a four to six lane facility with a landscaped median. No on-street parking is permitted on this facility. Dublin Boulevard is a designated ioute of regional significance. Bicycle 1a71es and sidetivalks are provided on portions of Dublin Boulevard. Lockltn��t Street is a north-soutll collector roadvvay that extends from Dublin Boulevard to Gleason Drive. Tl1is facility is complete with a landscaped median and bike lanes. Sidewalks are present�nrhere there is adjacent developinent—side��alk infill would occur as the adjacent lands become developed. On-str�et parking is not allo�ved on this facility. City of Dublin Page 93 Initial Study/Eastern Dublin Properties August 2015 Si�llset Viezv D��ive is a local residential roadway that spans north from Central l?arkway inside the project area. It is a hvo-lane facility �vith on- street parking and side�valks. Pa�2oral�z��z Drive is a north-south local residential facility inside the project area that:parallels Sunset Vie�v Drive to d1e east. It is also a t��o-lane facility with on-street parking and side�valks. In additioi� t�� dze above roadways, the Wallis Ranch Subarea is served by Tassajai�c� Road, an arterial road�vay that connects Santa Rita Road in Pleasanton to the soutll�tirith Contra Costa County to the north. Tassajara Road generally has four lanes of travel, t���o in each direction, and is planned to have six lanes at buildout. Pedestrian facilities. Pedestrian facilities include side�valks, path�vays, cross�valks, and pedestrian signals. Sidewalks are provided along most roadways in the iminediate st�xdy area, although there are portions of Central Parkway and Fallon Road where the road�vay has not yet been constructed to its ultimate �vidth and sidewalks have not yet been constructed. Sidewalks have also been constructed along portions of Tassajara Road. Bicvcle facilifies. Class II A bicycle lanes are provided on Dublin Boulevard, Fallon Road and Central Parkway. A series of Class I paths are also provided throughout the eastern Dublin area. Transit servi�ce. Transit service in the area is provided by Wheels, Bay Area Rapid Transit (BAR:T), and Altamont Commuter Express (ACE). Existing traffic o�erations. Existing operations were evaluated for the weekday AM, afternoon and PM peak hours at the study intersections, Uased on the volumes and lane configurations shown on Table 3 of the attached traffic analysis (Attachment 2). Observed peak hour factorsz were used at all intersections for the existing analysis. Where the observed PHF was less than 0.75, a minimum value of 0.75 was used. Truck, pedestrian and bicycle activity �Nas factored into the analysis. As shown, study intersections operate at overall acceptable service levels in accordance v��ith benchmarks set by the City of Dublin during the morning, afternoon and evening peak hours. Detailed intersection LOS calculation worksheets �re presented in Appendix B of the full traffic analysis. Vehicle c�ueu.ing. Field observations confirmed the calculated levels of service along with t�te extent of existing vehicle queues, which are contained �vithin the �The relationsl�ip between the peak 15-minute flow rate and the full hourly volume is given by the peak-hour factor(PHF)based o�the following equation:PHF=Hourly volumei(4*volume during the peak 1�minutes of Flow). The analysis of leve]of service is based on peak rates of flow occurring within the peak hour because substantial shoR-term fluctuations typically occur during an hour. City of Dublin Page 94 initial Study/Eastern Dublin Properties August 2015 existii�g ��ehicle stora�e. BetaiI�d intersection queuin� calculation�r-orksheets ��e ��1so t�rese��ted in��ppendix B of the ft.11 t�aftic analy�ie. Previous CEQA doculnents Easter�t DI��UIi�i EIR. The Easteril DuLlin EIR includes the fo1lo��ti�in�miti�ation nle�isures � ��litigation �Vleasures 3.3/1.0 and 3.3/4.01 ��vere ado�ted �-�rlvch reduced inlpacts on I-580 bet�veen Tassajara Road and Fallon Poad and on I-680 north of I-5�0 to a level of iizsi�nific�uzce. • I�1iti�ation '��Zeasures 3.3/2.0, 2.1, 3.0 and 5.0���ere adopted to reduce iinpacts on the renlaining I-5u0 free�vay seginents and the I-580/680 interchange. Even�vitll nlitibations, ho�vever, significant cuniulative inlpacts remained on I-580 free�vay segments bet�veen I-6�0 and Dougherty Road and, at the build-out scenario of 2010, on other seginents of I-580. • Mitigation I�-Zeasures 3.3/6.0— 8.0, 10.0 and 12.0 ���ere adopted to reduce inlpacts to the Dougherty Poad/Dublin Boulevard, Hacienda Drive�I-5S0 Eastbowld Tree�vay IZatnps, Tassajara Road/I-580 Westbound Free�vay Ranlps, Air��vay Boulevard/Dublin Boulevard intersections and long El Charro Road to a level of insignificance. Th�se mi�tigations include construction of additional lailes at intersections, coordination with Caltrans and the neighboring cities of Pleasanton and Livermore to resnipe, �viden or modity on-ramps and off-ranlps and interchange intersectioi�s, and coordination�vith Caltrans to inodify certain interchanges. Development projects within the Eastern Dublin project area aie also required to coi�tribute a proportionate sllare to the multi-jurisdictional improvements tllrough the Eastern Dublin traffic impact fee progranl and the Tri-Valley Transportation Development Fee prograin. • Mitibation Measures 3.3/13.0 and 14.0 were adopted to reduce iznpacts oi1 identified intersections �vith Dublin Boulevard and Tassajara Road. • Mitigation Measures 3.3/15.0 — 15.3 and 16.0— 16.1 generally require coordination with transit providers to extend transit services and coincide pedestrian aild bicycle paths �vith signals at major street crossings. 2002 SEIR (JordrrTt Rr��icli S��br�rer�). The following initigation measures were included in the 2002 SEIR. • Suppleznental Mitigation Measure SM-TRAFFIGI requires individual developers in the Fallon Village area to contribute a pro-rata share of�videning the I-580/Hacienda Drive eastbound ramp to include an additional left turn lane. • Suppleznental Mitigation Measure SM-TIZAFFIC-2 requires individual developers in t11e Fallon Village area to contribute a pro-rata share of�videning City of Dublin Page 95 Initial Study/Eastern Dublin Properties August 2015 the northbound Hacienda Drive overcrossing from 3 to 4lanes as well as modifying the �vestbound loop on-ramp to meet Caltrans design standards. • Suppleinental I��litigation Meastire SM-TRAFFIC-3 requires individual devel��pers in the Fallon Village area to contribute a pro-rata share of converting the east bound I-580/Santa Rita to a shared left-turn/through lane. • Supplemental Mitigation Measure SM-TRAFFIC-4 requires individual developers in the Fallon Village area to install a signal at the Dublin Boulevard/Street D intersection. • Supplemental Mitigation Measure SM-TRAFFIC-5 requires individual developers in the Fallon Village area to contribute a pro-rata share of installing a traffic signal at the Fallon Road/Project Road intersection. • Supplemental Mitigation Measure SM-TRAFFIC-6 requires individual developers in the Fallon Village area to contribute a pro-rata share of recon:Eiguring the Dublin Boulevard/Dougherty Road intersection. • Supplemental Mitigation Measure SM-TRAFFIC-7 requires individual developers in the Fallon Village area to construct an additional through lane on northbound Fallon Road, an additional left-turn lane and an additional through lane c�n southbound Fallon Road. • Supplemental Mitigation Measure SM-TRAFFIC-8 requires individual developers in the Fallon Village area to fund a feasibility study for possibly relocating the Fallon Road/Dublin Boulevard intersection further north and adding a new signalized intersection south of the relocated Fallon Road/Dublin Boulevard intersection. • Supplemental Mitigation Measure SM-TRAFFIC-9 requires individual developers in the Fallon Village to fund widening Fallon Road between the I-580 free`vay and Dublin Boulevard to eight lanes, for widening Fallon Road between Dublin Boulevard and Central Parkway to six lanes and for widening Fallon Road between Central Parkway and Project Road to four lanes. The Fallon Road/I-580 overcrossing shall also be widened to six lanes. • Supplemental Mitigation Measure SM-TRAFFIGIO requires individual developers in the Fallon Village area to widen Central Parkway between Tassajara Road and Fallon Road to four lanes. 2005 SEIR (Jordari Rancl� Si.�barea). The 2005 SEIR contained the following traffic and transportation mitigation measures: • Supplemental Mitigation Measure SM-TRA-1 requires individual project developers in the Fallon Village area to advance construction of the Dougherty Road/Dublin Boulevard intersection improvements or, if the City's Traffic City of Dublin Page 96 Initial Study/Eastern Dublin Properties August 2015 Inlpact Fee Probrazn is updated in tl�e fut�,�ze to funcl these i�nproz�e�lz.ei�ts, use ��t f�aftic iees ��vould �niti�ate this ctunulative in�pact. � Su�pleinental Mitigation'��easure SM-TRA-2 requires all project developers ii2 the Fallon�%illa�e area to fuzld the�videning of the I-580 eastbound off ramp at Santa Rita Road to accor�2nledate additional peak hour cunuilative t�-atfic. • Suppleznental Mitigation Measure S1�1-TRA-3 requires project decelopers in tlie Fallon Village area to contribute a pro-rata share of ftu-�ding to titi�iden the Cenh•al Park�vay/Hacienda Dri�e intersection to accoznmodate anticipa�ed cumul ative traffic. All znitigation measures adopted upon approval of the Eastern Dublin S�ecific Plan EIR, the 2002 SEIR and the 2005 SEIR shall apply to tlle proposed Project. 2005 SEIR (Iti'r�llis Rrr�icli S�tbarea). This CEQA document identified the tollo��ving si�nificallt sttpplemental iinpacts and mitigation measures: • Supplelnent�l �Zitigation I�leasure TRA-1 reduced tlle iinpact of additional traff�ic along Tassajara Road segments near tl�e project site to a less-than-sigiuficant level by requiring the developer to �viden Tassajara Road to four travel lanes bet�veen North Dublin Ranch Drive to the northern project access road. • Supplen1e11ta1 IVlitigatioll Measure TRA-2 reduced the inlpact of potential tr-affic safety impacts to a less-than-sigiuficant level by requiring installation of traffic signals at the two project entrances, provide an east- bound right-turn lane, provide i�orthl�ound left-turn capacity from Tassajara Road onto project access drives, provide a nortllbound left-turn lane fi-om Tassajara Road onto tlze soutl�ern access drive and provide a southbound right-turn pocket���ith a taper on Tassajara Road at both access roadways. The proposed project will be required to conlply with all of the above transportation and circulation mitigation measures. Soine of the required transportation improvements have already been completed, sozne ar� under�vay and sonle are planned for the future�vith funding provided through the Eastern Dublin TIF Program Pro�ect Tm�acts a) Cai�se a�z il�icrerrse i�1 trnffr'c zvhidz is sirtistr�r�tinl to ez:isti�ig �rrzffie load crlid sfireet capacit��? No I\Te�v Iinpact. To assess the potential traffic and transportation impact of tlle proposed 950-student elernentary and middle school, the firm of Fe11r & Peers coi��pleted a comprehensive traffic analysis of this portion of the project. Other portions of the proposed project would generally involve future park developinent in tl�e Subareas �nrhich �vas not deemed to geilerate a significant amount of traffic. The Fehr & Peers report is included as Attachment 1 as well as a supplemental City of Dublin Page 97 Initial Study/Eastern Dublin Properties August 2015 meinorandum documenting that future development of a 950-student elementary and nliddle school �vould result in the same or less uztensive traffic impacts than the 900-student elementary school analyzed in the base traffic analysis. Background traffic model information is not contained in this Initial Study, but is availab]I.e at the City of Dublin Community Development Department during norinal business hours. A summary of the traffic analysis is as follows: Project tri� �eneration. For this project, several sources of trip generation data were revie`ved, including Fehr & Peers trip generation surveys at several elementary schools in the Tri-Valley Area. This data was compared to trip �;eneration rates presented in the Institute of Transportation EngineE�rs (ITE) Trip Generatiori Manual, (9th Edition) with the resulting trip generation estimates shown in Table 5 of the full traffic analysis (see Attachrnent 1). Also see Table 1 in the Addendum Report found in Attachment 1. Elementary School sites surveyed in the Tri Valley Area were typically neighborhood schools with soine students observed walking/bilcing to school, but with the majority of students being driven to school. The surveyed rates reflect about 13 percent of the student population walking to school. Given the number of housing units within the immediate vicinity of the school, the walk percentage �vas increased to 25 percent, or 225 students. The res�alting vehicle trip rate per student, accounting for a 25 percent walk share, is higher than the maximum trip rate per student noted in the ITE T1�ip GeTte��atiol�a Ma�zual. For this assessment, Table 1 notes that construction of the proposed elementary and middle schools would result in a total of 911 trips during the a.m, peak, 468 trips in the afternoon peak (end of a school day) and 305 trips in the p.m. peak hour. Project trip distribution and assignment. Project trip distribution refers to the directions of approach and departure that vehicles would take to access and leave the site. Estimates of regional project trip distribution were developed based on existing travel patterns in the area, a select zone analysis using the City of Dublin travel demand model, and prior analysis prepared for the site. General trip distribution estimates are presented in Table 7 of the traffic analysis (see Attachment 1). Many school trips are part of the parent/guardian trip chain that typically involves dropping off a child at school on the way to work or other daily errands, and while it represents a new trip within the immediate project area, it does not represent new trips to the regional roadway system. This interaction was accounted for in the assignment of trips to study area City of Dublin Page 98 Initiai Study/Eastern Dublin Properties August 2015 tnter��ctions. 1 roject tr-ips Fti�ere assigned to t1�e rca�'����a�� net�vork based on the gei:e�,��l directions ot a��proach and departure �11o�,vn in T�ble 7 b�rt tlle route that people take to the site could��ar��. Se�arate trip assigninellts are sho��vn for existing and ruhzre conditions as the t�zll coiulection ot Croak Road to Dublin Boulevard �ti-ould atfect ho�v vehicles arrive to/depart the area, especially the school site. Table 7, belo�l-, suinmarized tri� generatic?n. by land use t����e: Table 7. Project Trip Distribution Roadway Pro'ect Tri Assi nment Residential Use School Use Fa11on Road North 20% 20�� Fa11on Poad South 60% 10`,"0 Central Pkwy. East 5% 10 jo Central Pk�ti� �. West 10% 30% Positano Pkwy. East 5O7o 30% Total 100% 100� Source: City of Dublin FaHon Village Draft Supplemental Environmental Impact Report, August 2005, Jordan Ranch Stage I!Submittal-Site Development Review, Apri120, 207 i, and Fehr & Peers, 2015 Existing traffic�vith Pro�ect conditions. The project-only traffic volumes �vere added to the existing peak hour traffic volumes to estimate the Existing �vith Project peak hot�r intersection turning movement volumes, as sho�ti�n on Table 8 of the full traffic analysis. For this sceilario it was assuined that Ceiltral Parkivay �vould connect to Croak Road, connecting to Dublin Boulevard, in the eastbound direction only. No changes to the lane configuration or traffic control �vere assumed at any of the study intersectioils. Traffic signal tinlings, peak hour factors, heavy vehicle percentages, and pedestrian and bicycle activity at the study iiltersections �vere left unch�nged froin existing conditions for the initial analysis. Txistillg �vith Project coilditions �vere evaluated using tlze same methods described in C1lapter 1 of the traffic ailalysis (see Attac11n1ent 1). The analysis results are presented in Error! Reference source not found., based on the traffic volunzes and lane configurations. Table 8 also includes �he operations results for the Existing without Project conditions for conlparison purposes. With the addition of trips related to the build-out of the remaining portions of Jordan Ranch, intersections in the study area �vould degrade, but�vould continue to operate witl-iin the City's established level of service for intersection operations over the peak hour. i�Tear-ternl conditions. The results of tlle level of service calculations under near-term conditions �vithout and �vith the project is described in this City of Dublin Page 99 Initial Study!Eastern Dublin Properties August 2015 section. Traffic volumes for Near-Term without Project conditions comprise existing; volumes plus traffic generated by approved but not yet constructed and occupied developinents in the area. Near-Term with Project conditions are defined as Near-Term i-vithout Project conditions plus net new traffic generated by the proposed project. Traffic volumes for the Near-Term conditions �rere developed through the use of the updated City ot Dublin Travel demand model considering buildout of a portion of the Dublin Kaiser project, which is proposed on Dublin Boulevard at Keegan Street. The forecasts represent likely traffic conditions in the area over the next ten years. Near-Term �vithout Project traffic volumes are shown on Figure 7 of the full traffic analysis. The forecasts include the vehicle trip generation of the entitled land uses as presented previously in Table 9 of the full traffic analysis. The net-ne�v trip generation associated with the project was added to the without project forecasi:s, with the resulting forecast presented on Figure 8 of the full traffic analysis. The cor.npletion of the Central Park�vay connection to Croak Road, which connect:s to Dublin Boulevard, was assumed to be completed as a one lane, bi-directional roadway. No modifications to the study intersection lane geometries were assumed. Pedestrian and bicycle activity at the study intersections were left unchanged from existing conditions except for the with project condition where additional pedestrian activity was assumed at the intersections that provide primary access to the school site. Heavy vehicle percentages �vere adjusted to a uniform two percent of traffic. Traffic signal timings were optimized at some intersections to reflect shifts in travel patterns as the City of Dublin routinely adjusts traffic signal timings to ensure optimal travel flow through the City. Levels of service calculations were conducted to evaluate intersection operations under Near-Term conditions both without and with the project. The LOS results are summarized in Error! Reference source not found. In the Near-Term condition prior to the land uses changes associated with the project, the study intersections would operate at an acceptable service level. With the net-change in trips related to the build-out of the remaining portions of Jordan Ranch, study intersection operations would degrade, but would continue to operate within the City's established level of service for intersection operations over the peak hour. Cumulative traffic conditions. Cumulative traffic forecasts were developed using tl-�e updated City of Dublin travel demand model, representing existing traffic, plus traffic from approved and pending developments, as well as development that could occur under the current General Plan. The traffic forecasts also reflect traffic shifts that could occur with construction of new regional roadway facilities, including the El Charro Road extension City of Dublin Page 100 Initial Study/Eastern Dublin Properties August 2015 tr��In Stolzerid�e Drive �o �tanlev Boulevard and the exten�ion of Dt�blin �ot.levard east �c� Nortli Can��o��s Park���a5�. Other regi�nal road���ay inlpr���renlei�ts ii�clt�de tl�e plaiuled��=idez�ing of Sfanley Boulev�rd to provide three lanes in each direction fron� east of Isabel AventXe. The resultizl� forecasts and intei sectioi�lazze configurations are presented on Error! Reference �ource not tound. for the��vitl�out project conclition, ���hich �-eflects build-out of Jordan Ranch�vith the currentl�� entitled uses. The net- new t�-ip generation from t11e proposed project �vas added to the Cunnilative �titithotxt Project hatfic voluines �o estinlate the Cunlula�ive witll Project trattic volunles, as sho�vn on Tigure 10 of the tull traffic anal��sia. Modifications to the intersection of Central Park�vay at Falloil Road were asstuned in the analysis of Cuznulative conditions. Pedestrian and bicycle activity at the study intersections were left unchanged from existing conditions except for tl�e with project condition��vhere additional pedestrian activity was assumed at t11e intersections tliat provide priinary access to the sclzool site. Heavy vehicle percentages were �djusted to a uiufornl t�vo perce�lt of traitic. Tratfic signal tiznings �vere optinlized to better acconunodate shifts in travel patterns �s the City of Dublin routinely adjusts traffic sig�nal tii�liTlgs to enstlre optiinal travel flo��� through t11e City. Levels ot service calculations �vere conducted to evaluate intersection op�rations under Cuznulative conditions both without and �vit11 the Project. "The LOS results are suii�nlarized in Table 10 of the full traffic analysis. The corresponding LOS and queue calculation sheets are included in Appendix B of the fUl] traffic ailalysis. '1�11e results of tlle LOS calculations indicate that�vit}1 planned developmellt in Dublin and adjacent jurisdictions in the Cuinulative conditions, the intersections in tlze vicinity of Jordan Rancll are projected to operate at acceptable service levels in the Cumulative conditions and the net-change in vehicle trip generation frc�m the proposed project�vould not clegrade peak hour operations beyond the establislled LOS thresholds. Based on the foregoing, there would be no ne�v or substantially more severe significant iinpacts �vith respect to existing, near-term and cumulative traffic operations than have been analyzed in previous CEQA documents. b) E�-ceed, eitlier i�idividur�lly or c1�»rT�rlatively, a LOS starzdard estrtblislied by tlie Co��t�lty C111A for desig�lr�ted ��orrc�s)? No New Impact. An analysis of regional road�ti�ays has been prepared to conlply ti�vith requireinents of the Alameda County Transportation Comznission (Alanleda CTC). The Alalneda CTC requires the analysis of project inlpacts to �Zetropolitan Transportation System (I�ZTS) roadways identified in the congestion managenlent plan (CMP) for developinent projects that�vould generate nlore than 100 PM City of Dublin Page 101 Initial Study/Eastern Dublin Properties August 2015 peak hour trips. As noted in subsection "a, "above, the proposed project could generate inore than 100 PM peak hour trips. This an,alysis completed by Fel-tr & Peers considers the impact of the project on free�vays, major arterials, and other major roadways as designated by Alameda CTC. Main items of discussion include the geographic scope of the Ala�neda CTC roadway analysis, the analysis method, and the results for 202�� and 2040. Free�n�a;y and surface street segments in Dublin were included in this analysis: • Ini:erstate 580 (2 segments) • Dublin Boulevard (2 segments) • Fallon Road (3 segments) Operations of the MTS freeway and surface street segments were assessed based on voluine-to-capacity (V/C) ratios. For freeway segments, a per-lane capacitv of 2,000 vehicles per hour was used. For surface streets, a per-lane capacitv of 800 vehicles per hour was used. These capacities do not reflect additio�zal capacity provided at intersections through turn pockets. Road�vay segments with a V/C ratio greater than 1.0 are assigned LOS F. In terms of significance criteria, the addition of project traffic could cause a significant impact on an MTS road�vay segment if: • The addition of project traffic causes a seginent's operation to degrade to LOS F. • The addition of project trips causes the V/C ratio to increase by more than 0.02 on a segment that already operates at LOS F �vithout the pr�ject traffic. The MT'S PM Peak Hour road�vay segment analysis under 2025 and 2040 conditions are provided in Table 11 of the full traffic analysis for the 2025 condition and Table 12 for the 2040 condition. The analysis results show that the addition of project traffic would not result in LOS F conditions nor increase the volume-to-capacity ratio by more than 0.02 on a segment projected to operate deficiently prior to the consideration of the project. Therefore, the project impact to MTS roadway segments is considered less- than-significant. Based on the foregoing, there would be no new or substantially more severe significant impacts with respect to existing, near-term and cumulative traffic operations than have been analyzed in previous CEQA documents. City of Dublin Page 102 Initial Study/Eastern Dublin Properties August 2015 ci CT��7n�e in �ir� ft�R;flc�rr'rte7��is? 1_`�To 1_�T�titi-Iinp�ct. Tl�e praposed pzoject��1rould ha�Te �-�o inipact on air traffic p�tte�-ns, since it invol��es a a tuture scllool, residei-�tial developzl�ent, City parks and related land �xses. There �vould be no ne�v ar substaz�tiall�� inore severe si�n�ficant impacts wit11 respect to �11is in2pact than has been previously analyzed in previous CEQA documents. cl) Sl�Z�str�ntirrlll� iTicrerzse lirrzm-c�s dTte to a clesi�Ti fer�t7�re or r��l i7TCO�n�atil�le l��se? Les�-than-Signific�zt�n�ith Mitigation. Intersections that provide primary� access to tlle school site are projected to operate acceptably �,vith the project in all scenarios over the cours� of the peak hour. Ho�vever, arotznd school bell times, there may be periodic congestion as studellts are dropped-off or picked-up witl�in the sarr�e time frame. Operations of the intersections of the Central Park�vay �vith Falloit Road, Sunset Vie�v Drive/School Entry and Panorama Drive intersections t��ere also evaluat�d for tlze peak 15-minutes around bell tinles for the morning and after7loon peak hours to assist in the sizing of intersections to better acconlmodate school traffic flo���s. This analysis was conducted t�zrough the use of a 0.50 peak hour factor for inovements th�t���ould have a 1-iigh proportion ot school related traffic arotu�d bell tinles, inclirding n�oveinents to/fronl Central Boulevard at Fallon Road and Strnset Vie�v Drive. Around bell times, operations of the Fallon Road/Ce�ltral Parkway and Stiuzset Vie�v Drive/Central Park�vay are projected to degrade to LOS E or F tor brief periods of tiine. Fuith�r�videi�ing of the Fallon Road at Central Park�vay intersectioil is not recommended, but improvements to the school acc�ss roadway are recomme�lded to maiiltain traffic flo�v o�1 Ceiltral Park���ay, �s discussed belo�v. T11e 95th percentile vehicle queues for the major inovenlents that serve the scllool site �ti-Ere calculated for the Cuinulative conditions for the nlorning and afternoon peak period wlleil scllool traffic �vould be most coilcentrated. Velucle queues are projected to extend beyond the available stc�rage length tor the southbound left-turil inovement on Fallon Boulevard to Central Parkway ���it11 the addition of project traffic, and the vehicle queues could be excessive around bell tinles (1 to 3 traffic signal eycles). Based on the above information, there ���ould be a potentially significant vehicular impact with construction of the proposed eleinentary and middle school. Adherence to Mitigation Measure TRA-1 will reduce this to a less- than-significant level. Mitigation Measure TRA-1. The follo�ving features shall be included in the final design for the elementary and zniddle school: a) Extend the southbound left-tunl pocket on Fallon Road at Central Park�vay approximately 200 feet. Signal timings at this intersection should be nloiutored by the City aild additional City of Dublin Page 103 Initial Study/Eastern Dublin Properties August 2015 green tilne provided tor the southbound left-turn inovement around bell times to minimize potential for vehicle queue spillback to block the thorough lane. b) Construct an eastbound right-turn only lane on Central Parkway at the Sunset Vie�v Drive intersection serving the school site. c) The existing Class IIa bicycle lane shall be converted to a right- turn only lane in conjunction with the construction of a raised curb along the length of the turn pocket and improvements made to the Class I facility along the south side of Central Parkway. The final design shall be coordinated with the City of Dublin Transportation and Operations Manager. d) Traffic signal operations at the Fallon Road and Sunset View Drive intersections with Central Parkway shall be monitored by the City of Dublin staff to establish time of day traffic signal timing to best accominodate peak school traffic. e) A school drop-off zone shall be established on the south side of Central Parkway along the proposed school frontage between Sunset Vie�v Drive and Panoraina Drive. f) The northbound approach to Central Parkway at Sunset View Drive (the proposed school driveway) to provide a northbound left-turn lane in addition to a through-right shared lane. g) Consider providing off-set bell times for different grade levels to reduce peak period traffic volumes. h) The final site plan for the proposed school shall be reviewed to ensure that drop-off/pick-up zone is designed to accommodate peak activities and that sufficient parking is provided to accommodate parking demands and occasional peak demands, such as back to school night. Pedestrian access to the school would be provided by a network of sidewalks, signalized pedestr-ian crossings, and unsignalized pedestrian crossings. Sidewalks are expected to be constructed as part of the school development to provide access to the campus from Central Parkway. There could be potentially significant pedestrian access impacts with respect to the school. 'There may also be relatively high levels of pedestrian activity at �vhich could result in a potentially significant impact. Adherence to the follo�ving measure will reduce these impacts to a less-than-significant level. City of Dublin Page 104 Initial Study/Eastern Dublin Properties August 2015 �'I�tigaticsn Me�s��re �`I�AF-2. The fin�1 school design sha1l inelucte tI1� toll�;vin�: a) Existin� school related signs and street markin�s s11a11 be renloved and ne�1� school crossin�s and signs shall L�e installed ��Tithin the ne�tir school zone. b) Pedestri�sl crossings should be discouraged across dze south and vvest legs of the Centr�l Park�vay at Sunset Vie�v Drive intersection to turther minimize pedestrian�ve11ic1e conflicts. Pedestrian crossings should also be disc�uraged across tl�e south and �vest legs of the Ceiltral Parkway/Sunset Vie�v Di�ive intersection. c) A crossing guard or installation ot a traftic sigilal shall be considered at tlie Central Park���ay/Sunset Vie�v Drive intersection to pro��ide safe pedestrian access across Cent�al Parkway to th� ca111pus. d) A raised barri�r (fence) s11a11 be installed a]ong the median of Central Park���ay trom near the intersection of Fallon Road at Central Park�-vav to near the intersection ot Pa�lorama Drive at Central Park�vay to discourage mid-block pedestrian crossings. The final location of tlle tence should be coordinated ���ith the City of Dublin Transportation and Operations 1��Ianager based on a field visit. Class IIa bicycle lanes are provided on Central Park�vay along t}Ze future fron�age of the school. Th�re could be significant impacts coTUlecting tl�e existing trail to the future school aild ensuring that adequat�bicycle parking is provided on the campus. Adherence to the following measure �vill mitigate tllis imp�ct to a less-than-sigilificant level. Mitigation Measure TRAF-3. The final design of the proposed school on the Jordan Subarea shall include the following feature a connectiozl from Central Park�vay to the school site shall be provided to facilitate bicycle travel to the campus. Bicyele parlcing shall also be provided on cainpus as detern�ined by t11e Dublin Unified School District. e) Resl�lt i�i i�iader�l.tRte c�nerge�ic�r�ccess? No New Impact. The proposed project would provide multiple points of entry from eacll ot th.e Subareas. No new or significantly more severe impaets are t�lerefore anticipated with respect to tllis topic than have been previously anal��zed in Project CEQA documents. f) Hrrz�rds o�� barriers fo��pedest��irz�is or� bicyclis�s? Less-than-significant�vith initigation. The traffic report notes that no transit presently exist on Central Park�vay east of City of Dublin Page 105 Initial Study/Eastern Dublin Properties August 2015 Fallon Road. Lack of transit�vould be a significant impact and would be reduced to a less-than-significant level by adherence to the following measure. Mitigation Measure TRAF-4. The Dublin Unified School District shall coordinate �vith LAVTA to determine is a bus stop should be constructed on Central Park�vay in front of the proposed school. Also see the discussion in subsection "d," above regarding potential impacts to bicycle facilities. Reference Mitigation Measures TRA-2 and TRA-3 to reduce this impact to a less-than-significant level. 17. Utilities and Service Systems Environmental Settin� The Project area is served by the following service providers: • Domestic and recycled water supply: Dublin San Ramon Services District (DSR��D). • Sewage collection and treatment; recycled water: DSRSD. • Storm drainage: City of Dublin and Zone 7. • Solid waste service: Amador Valley Industries • Electrical and natural gas power: Pacific Gas and Electric Co. • Comn�lunications: A T & T. Previous EIr:s Easterti DifblTSi EIR. In terms of water resources, the Eastern Dublin EIR identified overdraft of groundwater resources (Impact 3.5/P) as a potentially significant impact Adherence to Mitigation Measures 3.5/24.0 and 25.0 would reduce this impact to a level of insignifica.nt. These measures require the City of Dublin to coordinate with DSRSD to develop recycled water resources and otherwise carefully use water resources and that all new development in the Eastern Dublin project area to connect to the DSRSD water system. Impact 3.5/Q identified an increase in water demand as a potentially significant impact, but this impact could be mitigated to an insignificant level based on implementation of Mitigation Measures 3.5/26.0-31.0. These mitigation measures require impl�mentation of water conservation measures in individual development projects and construction of new system-wide water improvements which are funded by developm.ent impact fees. Another related impact identified in the Eastern Dublin EIR is the need for additional water treatment plant capacity (Impact 3.5/R). This impact�vas i�entified as being reduced to a level of insignificance through the City of Dublin Page 106 Initial Study/Eastern Dublin Properties August 2015 in-Ep1er,:�el�tatiolz of 1���ti�atiozt '�1�asures �."/31.0-�2.0, ����l�ich requires inl�ro��enle�-�t to f h� Z�ne %�;Ta�er �vstez�l, tc� t-�e iui�decl b�� ir�di�%idL�a1 d�velo�in�rtt in-�pact fees. Impact 3.5/S (lack of a �vater distribution sy��tein) F�-as identified as a potentialiy signiticant ii�lpact in t�1e Eastern Dublin EIR, but this impact has been ieduced to an insi�nificant level through adherence to Mitigation Measures 3.5/34.0-38.0. These znitigations require upgrades to t�ze project area �vater s��stenl and provision ot a "tvill serve" Ietter prior to issuance of a brading perinit. Inlpact 3.5/T identified a potentially signiticant inzpact related to induceinent of sul�stantial growth and c�ncentration ot population in the project area. The Eastern Duhlin EIR fc�und that tl�is i�as a sigiufic�uzt �nd unavoidable inlpact. Regardin� se�ti�er service, the Eastern Dublin EIR identified Iilzpac�3.5/B (lack ot a i��aste��-ater collection systenl) as a potentially significant iinpact that could be mitigated through adherence to Mitigation Measures 3.5/1.0-5.0. These measures require DSRSD to pre�are an area-titiride �vaste���ater collectioil system znast�r plan, requires all ne�v development to be coni�ected to DSRSD's public se�n�er systenl, discourages oi1-site ���aste�vater treahnent, requires a "will-serve" letter from DSRSD and requires that all se���-er facilities be const�-ucted to DSRSD engineering standards. Inl�act 3.5/C noted �n inlpact���ith regard to extension of a se�ver trtulk line with capacity to serve new dev�lopnlent, but could be reduced to an illsignificant level since the proposed Easterll Dublin Specific Plan se�ver system has been sized to accoinmodate il�creased sewer clenland trom the Specific Plan project. Impac�3.5/G found that lack of tivaste�vater disposal ca�acity as a significallt impact. An upgraded���aste�vater disposal facility 1s presently being constructed by the Liv�rmore A�nador Valley Water Management Agency. Impact 3.5/E identified lack of wastewater treatment plant capacity as a potentially significailt i�npact, �vl�ich could be redticed to an insignificant level through adllerence to Mitigation Measure 3.5/8.0, �vhiclz requires that�vastewater treatrnent and disposal be �i�ade av�ilable to ineet anticipated developnlent in Eastern Dublin. 2002 SEIR (Jordr��i Rr�j�di p��o�erty). The 2002 SEIR identified two supple�nental ilnpacts related to utilities and service systeins. Supplenlental IYnpact UTS-1 identified an uncertain energy supply within this por�ion of PG & E's service territory. Mitigation ��Ieasures SM-U'1S-1 required City discretionary revie�v prior to installation of any on- site power generators aild SM-UTS-2 requires that applicants for Site Development Reviev�� approvals obt�in will serve letters from PG & E prior to approval of such applications. Supplemental Iinpact SN1-2 identitied a supplemental impact�vith regard to constraiilts of PG & E's local distribution system. This impact�vould be mitigated by adherence to Supplelnental Mitigation Measures UTS-1 and 2. i�TO other impacts related to utilities or services systems �ti�ere included in previoLls CEQA docume�zts for Subarea 3 or the �Nallis Ranch property. All �zzitigation measures contained in t11e Eastern Dublin EIR and 2002 SEIR (Jordan Ranch) �vill apply to the proposed project. City of Dublin Page 107 Initiai Study/Eastern Dublin Properties August 2015 Project Im�acts a) Exceed�:��aste�c�ater treat»ae�it rer��tire��ie�its of the RWQCB? No New In2pact. All project Subareas are located �vithin the service area of DSRSD. Applicable mitigation measur�es contained in the Eastern Dublin EIR will apply to this project to ensure that adequate funding is supplied to DSRSD so that water and wastewater facilities are consistent with �vasteivater discharge requirements mandated by the Region.al Water Quality Control Board. No ne�v or substantially more severe supplelnental iinpacts have been identified in this Initial Study than have been analyzed in previous CEQA documents. b) Require �iew water o��wastewcrter treatme�it fr�cilifies or expa�isiof2 of existilig facilities? No Ne�v Impact. The EDSP and Eastern Dublin EIR require developers of each individual project in the Eastern Dublin area to fund their fair share contribution to construct major, backbone infrastructure systems as well as to either fund or consfiruct local �vater and �nTaste�vater facilities shown in the EDSP. Therefore, altllough new water and wastewater facilities could be needed to serve future proposed development on three Subareas, these facilities have been identified in the Eastern Dublin Specific Plan. As part of project review by the City of Dublin, DSRSD and Zone 7 staffs, future individual project developer(s) within the three Subareas �vill either be required to future development projects or pay development impact fees to assist in the construction of regional water and wastewater facilities. DSRSD staff have indicated that there is adequate long-term wastewater collection and treatment capacity exists to serve future development that could be constructed under the amended General Plan and Specific Plan (source: Stan Kolodzie, DSRSD, 5/27/15) There would therefore be no ne�v or substantially more severe significant impacts with respect to this impact than has been previously analyzed in previous CEQA documents. c) Require new stor�n drai�iage facilities? No New Impact. Future development on he three Subareas would require ne�v drainage facilities to support proposed development. The Eastern Dublin Specific Plan identifies storm drain facilities to be constructed in the Eastern Dublin Planning Area to ensure that adequate drainage is provided. Future project developers within each of the Subareas will be required to either construct these facilities or pay development impact fees to assist in the construction of regional drainage facilities. There would therefore be no new or substantially more severe significant impacts with respect to this impact than has been previously analyzed in previous CEQA documents. d) Are suff�cient water supplies avr�ilable? No New Impact. Fufiure development that would be allowed on the three Subareas would incrementally increase the need for potable water in Eastern Dublin. Future park areas would be connected to DSRSD's recycled water line for irrigation of plantings (source: M. Porto, Dublin Community Department, 7/13/15). DSRSD staff have confirmed that the District has master planned future growth in the District Urban Water Management Plan City of Dublin Page 108 Initial Study/Eastern Dublin Properties August 2015 and an adequat� �u�7��Iv ot�v��tei���ill be available. Di�trict staff also notes that the supply ot �r-atcr co�zld l�� lizr�ited to alI tksers in the tuture duri�lg peric�d of ���ater �hortages (source: Staz�Koi��dzie, DSRSD, 5/27/15). No ne�v or i�lore se��ere si�iuticat�t iinpacts���ith respect to a loi-��-ternl i���ater sup��I�� have been identified in previous CEQA dacuinents. e) _�c�e��i�tr�te z��rrste���r�ter crrpr�citi� �o ser��e fl,e �roposecz �roject? No Ne�ti� Impact. See res�onse to "a," avo��e. t) So11c� z��nste dis�osr�l? No I�e�v Iznpact. T11e project area is vvithin tlle franchise area of Ainador Valley Industries, a compaily that provides residential and conlinercial solid �vaste pick-up and recycling services. Iinpacts related to solid waste disposal ���ere analyzed in the Eastenl Dublin EIR and since development under the proposed project�vould generally be consistent�ti�ith previous extent ai�d nahzre of Iand use approvals t11at�vere analyzed in the prior CEQA docuiilents, no ne�v ��r substantially more severe iinpacts are anticipated than have been previously anal��zed in prior CEQA revie�vs. g) Co�n��ll� zt�itlr federal, str�te r�tic� local strrtl��tes rr�lcl refizllr�tiorrs relr�ted to solid zur�ste? No Nei-v Iin��act. The existitlg eervice provider�vill eizsure adherence to federal, state and local solid waste regulations should the project be ap�roved. There �vould tlzeretore be no ne�v or substantially znore severe significant impacts with respect to this ir�ipact than has been pi,eviously analyzed in the prior CEQA documents 18. Mandatory Findings of Significance a) Docs t1�e�1�oject lir���e tlre�oterltir�l to deg��ade t]�e r�l�trrlity of tlie e��viro�il�icfzt, sril�sta�itially r�dl�ce fhe l�abitrrt of r�fis)r or u�ildlife s�ecies, a�ltise r� fis1� or wildlife }?opztlrrtioli to d��op ��elozv sel f-srtistrri�zilr� lez�els, tlirc�rtelr to eli>>lirinte n plq�it or alii»zr�l co�rimli�zify, redi�ce tl�e rn�»lber of or restl•ict tlie ra��2ge of r� rr�re or e�lda�igered�la�7t o1�n�limal or elil»i>»te iTrTportr��it e,xcr�nples of tlie major periods of C�lifora�ia history or prehistoa•y? No New Ilnpact. Potential impacts related to substantial reduction of fish or��vildlife species or their respective species, reduce the range or number of endangered plant or animal species or eliminate examples of nlajor period of Califorriia history or prehistory in the eastern Dublin area 11ave been analyzed and mitigated in the 1993 Eastern Dublin EIR, Suppleinental EIRs and other prior CEQA documents. As identified in the above Initial Stud��, the proposed project would cause no nev�r or substantially nlore sigiuficant impaets on biological or cultural resources beyond tllose identified in previous CEQA documents. b) Does the�roject lTaz�e inl�r�cts fhrrt rzre i�idividr.�r�lly limited, but c����irilr�tively co�isiderable? ("Cumulatively considerable" means that the incremental effects of a project are considerable�vhen vie�tired in connection tivith the effects of past projects, the effects of other current projects and the effects of probable future projects). I�To I�Tew Imp�ct. Significant and una�roidable impacts have been identified �vith City of Dublin Page 109 Initial Study/Eastern Dublin Properties August 2015 regard to cumulative biological, air quality and transportation issues for the overall Eastern Dublin project, of�vhich the three Subareas are a component. The proposed project would not result in new or substantially more severe significant cumulative iinpacts than have been previously analyzed in previous CEQA documents by the City. c) Does the p��oject have envi��o�urzentr�l effects u�hicli will caT�se substaiTtial adverse effects on Itumr�n beings, either directly or i�idTrectly? No New Impact. No such impacts have been discovered in the course of preparing this Initial Study. There would therefor.e be no neiv or substantially more severe significant impacts with respect to this impact than has been previously analyzed in previous EIRs. Initial Stu�iy Preparers Jerry Haag, Urban Planner, project manager Kathrin Tellez, Fehr & Peers, traffic and transportation Michael Thill, Illingworth & Rodkin, acoustics Jorda�l Roberts, Illingworth & Rodlcin, acoustics Josh, c�armen, Illing�vorth & Rodkin, air quality Amar�da Karchefski, MacKay & Soinps, exhibits Agencies and Organizations Consulted The follo�ving agencies and organizations were contacted in the course of this Initial Study: City of Dublifi Luke Sims, AICP, Community Developinent Director Jeff Baker, AICP, Assistant Community Development Director Michael Porto, Planning Consultant/Project Manager Andrew Russell, City Engineer Jaysan Imai, Senior Civil Engineer Obaid Khan, Senior Transportation Engineer Kathleen "Kit" Faubion, AICP, Assistant City Attorney Bonnie Terra, Alameda County Fire Department Derulis Houghtelling, Dublin Police Services Paul McCreary, Director, Dublin Parks and Community Services Dublin Sqn Ramor2 Services District (DSRSD) Stan Kolodzie, engineer California Departmefit of Toxic Substances Co�it��ol (DTSC) Website Appli�cayit Representatives Kevirt Fryer, Michael Snoberger, Chris Davenport City of Dublin Page 110 Initial Study/Eastern Dublin Properties August 2015 �e��r�nc�s Calitornia Enviroruz�ent�l Qualit�� �ct ��r Qual_it�f Guidelil�es, Ba�� Area Air Qualit�� ?���a�lagenlent District, 2011 Dublin General Plan, City of Dublin, Updated tlu ougll 11/18�14 Dublin Panch�1'est Pro�ect, Su�lenlental Environmental Im��act Re�ort, Citv ot Dublin, No��ember 2014 Eastern Dublin S�ecific Plan and Geileral Plan Enviroilmental Im�act Re�ort, Wallace Roberts & Todd, 1994, Updated through 10/7/14 Eastern Dublii� ProUerties Sta�;e 1 Develo�ment Plan and Annexation, Draft Su�lemental EIR, City of Dublin, January 2002 Eastern Dublin Scenic Corridor Policies and Stand�rds David Gates & Associates, 1996 Fallon Villa�e Pro�ect, Draft Sup�lemental EIR, City of Dublin August 2005 Livern�ore MuniciU�l Air�ort, Air�oit Land Use Com�atibilitv Plan, ESA Associates, August 2012 City of Dublin Page 111 Initial Study/Eastern Dublin Properties August 2015 Attachment 1 Jordan Subarea Traffic Analysis & Supplemental Memorandum City of Dubiin Page 112 Initial Study/Eastern Dublin Properties August 2015 East�rn Dublin Specific Plan Atnendment Transportation Assessment Prepared for: City of Dublin July 2015 WC15-3236 FEHR �i� PEERS Eastem Dubtin Specific Plan Amendment Transportation Assessment � July 2015 Table of Contents 1.0 INTROGUCTION................................................................................................................................1 StudyPurpose.......................................................................................................................................................................1 ReportOrganization...........................................................................................................................................................1 Stuciy Locations and Analysis Scenarios.............................................................................................................5 Scenarios.................................................................................................................................................................................5 AnalysisMethods.................................................................................................................................................................6 SignalizedIntersections............................................................................................................................................6 UnsignalizedIntersections.......................................................................................................................................7 SignificanceCriteria............................................................................................................................................................8 2.0 EXISTING CONDITIONS..................................................................................................................10 RoadwaySystem...............................................................................................................................................................10 Existing Pedestrian and Bicycle Facilities.................................................................................................................11 PedestrianFacilities.................................................................................................................................................11 Bicy��le Facilities.........................................................................................................................................................11 ExistingTransit Service...................................................................................................................................................12 ExistingTraffic Counts....................................................................................................................................................13 ExistingOperations..........................................................................................................................................................15 IntersectionOperations.........................................................................................................................................15 VehicleQueuing........................................................................................................................................................16 3.0 PROJEC'T CHARACTERISTICS.........................................................................................................17 ProjectDescription...........................................................................................................................................................17 ProjectTrip Generation..................................................................................................................................................18 Project Trip Distribution and Assignment...............................................................................................................21 4.0 EXISTING WITH PROJECT CONDITIONS......................................................................................25 Existing �rvith Project Traffic Volumes and Roadway Improvements............................................................25 Analysis of Existing with Project Conditions..........................................................................................................25 5.0 NEAR-TERM CONDITIONS..................................................................••••.......................................28 �� i �� Eastern Dub(in Specific Plan Amendment Transportaiion Assessment � Ju(y 2015 i�ear-Te:m ?ntersection Voi�;mes and ��ear-Term Roadway?m�ro��e!?�ents............................................28 Anaiysisof fJear-Term Conditions.............................................................................................................................31 6.0 Cl1f�lIULATIVE CONDITIQNS..........e................................................................................................33 Cu«�ula±ive Intersection Volumes and Road����ay Impro�4�emen*s...................................................................33 Ar�alysis of Cumulative Conditiors._...................................................................._...................................................36 7.0 ALAMEDA COUNTY TRANSPORTATION COMMISSION RQADWAY ANALYSIS......................38 Alameda CTC Roadway Analysis Study Area.........................................................................................................38 TrafficForecasts.................................................................................................................................................................38 AnalysisMethod................................................................................................................................................................39 SignificanceCriteria........................................................................................................................................................39 Analysis Resu!ts.............. ...............39 .............................................................................................................................. 8.0 SCHOOL SITE ACCESS CONSIDERATIONS....................................................................................44 Vehicular Site Access and Circulation.......................................................................................................................44 Pedestrian Access and Circulation.............................................................................................................................47 Bicycle Access and Circulation.....................................................................................................................................47 Transit Access and Circulation.....................................................................................................................................48 o ii Eastern Dub(in Specifc P(an Amendment Transportation Assessment . July 2015 , Appendices (under separate cover) Appendix A:Traffic Count Data Appendix B: Peak Hour Level of Service and Queue Analysis Worksheets Appendix C: Peak Bell Time Level of Service and Queue Analysis Worksheets r� ��� ry Eastern Dub!in Specific Pfan Arnendment Trcnspo.rtation Assessmer-�t Ju(y 2015 L�s� af Figur�s Figure 1 Project Site Vicini+y and Study Int�rsectirr Locatior�s................................................._..............................2 Figure2 Project Site Plans.........................................................................................................................................................3 F�gure 3 Existing Conditions Peak Hour Traffic Volumes, Intersection Lane Configurati�n and Traffic Cortrcl..........................................................................................................................................................................14 Figure 4 Existing Conditions Pro;ect Trip Assignment................................................................................................23 Figure 5 Future Conditions Project Trip Assignment...................................................................................................24 Figure 6 Existing �vith Project Build-out Peak Hour Traffic Volumes.....................................................................26 Figure 7 Near-Term without Project Peak Hour Traffic Volumes............................................................................29 Figure 8 Near-Term with Peak Hour Traffic Volumes..................................................................................................30 Figure 9 Cumulative��vithout Project Peak Hour Traffic Volumes...........................................................................34 Figure 10 Cumulative with Project Peak Hour Traffic Volumes..................................................................................35 List of Tables Tabie 1 Signalized Intersection LOS Criteria.....................................................................................................................7 Table 2 Unsignalized Intersection LOS Criteria................................................................................................................8 Table 3 Ex.isting Conditions Peak How�Intersection Levels of Service................................................................15 Table 4 Project Development Summary..........................................................................................................................18 Table 5 900-Student Elementary Schooi Trip generation Estimates....................................................................19 Table 6 Jordan Ranch Trip Generation.............................................................................................................................20 Table7 Project Trip Distribution.........................................................................................................................................22 Table 8 Existing with project Condition Peak Hour Intersection Leveis of Service........................................27 Table 9 Near-Term Condition Peak Hour Intersection Levels of Service...........................................................31 Table 10 Cumulative Condition Peak Hour Intersection Leveis of Service...........................................................36 Table 11 2025 PM Peak Hour CMP Roadway Segment Analysis.............................................................................40 Table 12 2040 PM Peak Hour CMP Road�ti�ay Segment Analysis.............................................................................42 Table 13 Peak Bell Time Assessment Intersection Levels of Service.......................................................................45 Table 14 Cumulative Condition Vehicle Queue Summary..........................................................................................45 ,. iv Enstern Dub(in Specific Plan Amendment Transportation Assessment � Ju1y2015 a.a �r�-r�.�a�s��-�e�� This report presents the analysis and findings of the Eastern Dublin Specific Plan (EDSP) Amendment transportation irnpact assessment (TIA). This chapter discusses the TIA purpose, analysis methods, criteria used to identify significant impacts, and report organization. The study's purpose is to evaluate the transportation impacts of the proposed Eastern Dublin Specific Plan amendment. The approximately 10-acre site is within the lordan Ranch development—located east of Fallon Road, south of Positano Parkway, and traversed by Central Parkway, as shown on Figure 1. The Specific Plan Amendment would change the land use designation on a portion of the site from parks/public recreation to park/public recreation/school to accommodate a proposed elementary school. A conceptual project site plan is shown on Figure 2a for the 2012 approved project, and on Figure 2b for the current proposal. This study addresses the project's impacts on the local roadway system under existing, near-term, and cumulative scenarios and discusses potential impacts to the adjacent bicycle, pedestrian, and transit network. Potential transportation-related conditions with development in the Jordan Ranch area of the EDSP area were documented in the Fa(lon Village Project Environmenta(Impact Report (EIR), August 2005. At the time the 2005 EIR was prepared, a detailed site plan had not yet been developed. In 2010 and 2012, Fehr & Peers prepared transportation conditions to the results and conclusions of the EIR analysis. Generaily, changes in 2010 and 2012 to the Jordan Ranch project did not change the overall conclusions of the transportation and circulation section of the EIR. This report is divided into eight chapters as described below: • Chapter 1 –Introduction discusses the purpose and organization of this report. • Chapter 2–Existing Conditions describes the transportation system in the project vicinity, includinq the surrounding roadway network, peak period intersection turning movement volumes, existing bicycle, pedestrian, and transit facilities, and intersection operations. • Chapter 3–Project Characteristics presents the project description and trip generation, distribution, and assignment. r� 1 ,�r ,_� � - - 1 �.. � � � _ � � , � �a _i � � �j a a s� ' � y''� , ",; �` �s-�:�s� ,��"� �� i '<a� �i � �. ` �° 's!'a� 1 � x i � ,�, �-,�; r, ' i� .� - � I r—; oa �,��.ur � / '`• � �-1- ' - -� _j-` � % � �V � � �x ;� P� =1i����� •U �y �� r _�" , � °da,, Ci�e,'U` ��, ti � � � � �., �q �--�../ � � `J i �� �_ Li , � r �.� � na�o��� �� � ° �, �=� v) . �� aq��� , " ° Q . 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'�.��'�� � �-'��R w..*,�,... .� e • � � � � m,� �� t ''"�.`;s . ��� ���'����f'�"w�,�.a..=r��`�' ` '� � ;"s#4 Eastern Dubfin Specific Pfan Amendment Transportation Assessment , � Ju(y 2015 • Chaptei�4—Existing with Project Conditions addresses the existing condition with the project, and disc:usses vehicular impacts. • Chapter 5—Near-Term Conditions address the near-term (year 2025) conditions, both without and with the project, and discusses vehicular impacts. • Chapter 6—Cumulative Conditions addresses the future (year 2040) conditions, both without and with the project, and discusses vehicular impacts. • Chapter7—Alameda County Transportation Commission Metropolitan Transportation System (MTS) Roadway Analysis presents the impacts of the Project on the MTS roadway system. • Chapter•8—School Site Access Considerations discusses site access to the elementary school site for all modes of travel. Recommendations are provided. STUDY LOCATIONS AND ANALYSIS SCENARIOS Project impacts on the study area roadway facilities were identified by measuring the effect project traffic would have on intersections in the site vicinity during the morning (7:00 to 9:00 AM), afternoon (2:00 to 4�00 PM), and evening (4:00 to 6:00 PM) peak periods when commute traffic is typically the highest and the project is expected to generate the most vehicular traffic. The study intersections were selected in consultation with City staff based on a review of the project location and the amount of traffic that could be added to the intersections in the site vicinity. These intersections are shown on Figure 1 and listed below: 1. Fallon Road/Positano Parkway 2. Lockhart: Street/Central Parkway 3. Fallon Road/Central Parkway 4. Sunset View Drive/Central Parkway 5. Panorarria Drive/Central Parkway Operations of the intersections above were evaluated for the following scenarios using the Transportation Research Board's (TRB) 2000 Highway Capacity Manual methodology using Synchro 8 analysis software. • Existing Conditions—Existing volumes obtained from traffic counts and the existing roadway system configuration. • Existing with Project— Existing volumes obtained from traffic counts plus traffic estimated for the projErct. The roadway system is the same as the Existing Conditions scenario. �� 5 �y Eastern Dublin Specific P(an Amendme�7t Transportation Assessment luly 2015 . h�ear-term w��thout Project Conditions—�xis�ing volu!��es plus trGffic estimates for approved and pending develo�ments, and/or traTfic increGses due to regional growth. Tnis scer.ario reflects likely conditions in the next 10 years. Traffic forecasts for this scenano���ere de��eloped us!ng the rece;tly updated City of Dublin travel demand model, supplemented by manual adjustments of the forecasts in the Jordan Ranch Grea to better reflect �lanned develcpment pa�terns. . Near-Term with Project—Traffic vo�umes from ti��e Near-term without Pro;ect Conditions scenario plus traffic estimated for the Project. . Far-Term (Cumutative) Without Project Conditions—Projected traffic volumes and the projected roadway system using the City of Dublin travel demand model, supplemented by manual adjustments of the forecasts in the Jordan Ranch area to better reflect planned development patterns.The traffic forecasts include Approved and Pending projects from the Near-Term without Project Conditions, in addition to build out of land uses consistent�vith the General Plan. . Far-Term (Cumu(ative) Project Conditions—Traffic volumes from the cumulative v��ithout project scenario plus traffic estimated for the project at build-out. The operations of roadway facilities are described with the tenn "level of service" (LOS). LOS is a qualitative desa�iption of traffic fiow based on factors such as speed, travel time, delay, and freedom to maneuver. Six levels of service are defined ranging from LOS A (free flow conditions) to LOS F (over capacity conditions). LOS E corresponds to operations °at capacity." When volumes exceed capacity, stop- and-go conditions result and operations are designated as LOS F. The City of Dublin generally strives to maintain LOS D or better for peak hour intersection operations. However, the City may permit LOS E or F for vehides if improvements to accommodate vehicle travel are contrary to other goals and policies of the City, such as the Complete Streets policy. Different methods are used to assess signalized and unsianalized (stop-controlled) intersections. Sianalized Intersections Operations of signalized intersections were evaluated using the method from Chapter 16 of the Transportation Research Board's 2000 Highway Capacity Manual, which uses various intersection characteristics (such as traffic volumes, lane geometry, and signal phasing)to estimate the average control delay experienced by motorists traveling through an intersection. Control delay incorporates delay associated with deceleration, acceleration, stopping, and moving up in the queue. Table 1 summarizes the relationship between average delay per vehicle and LOS for signalized intersections. This method 6 • Eastern Dublin Specific Plan Amendment Transportation Assessment . luly 20.�5 evaluates e��ch intersection in isolation and the effects of vehicle queue spillback are not considered in the analysis results. TABLE 1 SIGNALIZED INTERSECTION LOS CRITERIA Levetof.�._ ,_ � � ' � � � � � ` �� �,�°��-�����,, � ,� � k Service � � ,�� Descrip#�Q» ��� �� � - Deta �n �,� , , � X � �`�� � `' Seconds v... ,. �. . �������,���w � x.,=.�� .�� � ' �'� � ' r" ` A Progression is extremely favorable and most vehicles arrive during the green phase. f Most vehicles do not stop at all. Short cycle lengths may also contribute to low delay. � 10.0 g Progression is good, cycle lengths are short,or both. More vehicles stop than with > 10.0 to LOS A,causing higher levels of average delay. 20.0 Higher congestion may result from fair progression, longer cycle lengths, or both. � Individual cycle failures may begin to appear at this level,though many still pass ' 20.0 to through the intersection without stopping. 35.0 The influence of congestion becomes more noticeable. Longer delays may result p irom some combination of unfavorable progression, long cycle lengths, or high > 35.0 to volume to capacity(V/C) ratios. Many vehicles stop,and the proportion of vehicles not stopping declines. Individual cycle failures are noticeable. 55.0 This level is considered by many agencies to be the limit of acceptable delay. These E high delay values generally indicate poor progression, long cycle lengths,and high ' S5.0 to V/C ratios. Individual cycle failures are frequent occurrences. 80.0 This level is considered unacceptable with oversaturation,which is when arrival flow F rates exceed the capacity of the intersection. This level may also oceur at high V/C ritios below 1.0 with many individual cycle failures. Poor progression and long cycie ' 80.0 lengths may a�so be contributing factors to such delay levels. Source:2000 High�vay Capocity Manua(. Unsipnalized Intersections Operations at unsignalized intersections were evaluated using the method from Chapter 17 of the 2000 Highway Copacity Manual. With this method, operations are defined by the average control delay per vehicle (measured in seconds) for each movement that must yield the right-of-way. At two-way or side street-controlled intersections, the control delay (and LOS) is calculated for each controlled movement, the left-turn movement from the major street, and the entire intersection. For controlled approaches composed of a single lane, the control delay is computed as the average of all movements in that lane. The delays for the entire intersection and for the movement or approach with the highest delay are reported. Table 2 summarizes the relationship between delay and LOS for unsignalized intersections. �� �� � Eastern Dubl;n Specific P(an A;nenament Transportction Assessment J��ly 2015 T/�BLE 2 UNSIGNALIZED INTERSECTd�N LOS CRITE�tIA Level of Service Description Delay in Seconds A Little or no delays < 10.0 B Short traffic delays > 10.0 to i5.0 C Average traffic delays > 15.0 to�5.0 D Long traffic delays > 25.0 to 35.0 E Very long traffic delays > 35.0 to 50.0 Exireme traffic delays with F intersection capacity exceeded > 50.0 Source:2000 Nigh���-oy Capacit}�Manual. Although the Transportation Research Board has published the 2010 Highwoy Capacity Manual (HCM), delay for vehides was calculated using the 2000 HighU✓ay Capacity Manual method as implemented by the Synchro 8 software. The delay calculations for vehicles have not appreciably changed between the 2000 and 2010 HCM methods, and the City of Dublin has not yet adopted use of the 2010 methods. Additionally, some non-standard phasing types and some shared lane situations cannot be analyzed using the 2010 HCM methcd. All impacts were assessed using the 2000 HCM method. The determination of significance for project impacts is based on applicable policies, regulations, goals, and guidelines defined by the City of Dublin. The impacts of the project were evaluated by comparing the results of the level of service calculations under Existing with Project, Near-term with Project, and Cumulative with Project conditions to the results under Existing, Near-term without Project, and Cumulative without Project conditions, respectively. As the project is a general plan amendment and a specific site plan has not been developed for the school, the revievd focuses on potential impacts to local intersection operations. General guidance for the provision of transportation infrzstructure to support development of the school site is also provided. Off-site intersection impacts could be corsidered if the Project would results in any of the following: • 8 K* Ecstem Dublin Specific Plan Amendment Transportation Assessment . Ju(y 2015 $, • The project would conflict with an applicabie plan, ordinance or policy establishing measures of effectiveness for the performance of the circulation system, taking into account all modes of transportation including mass transit and non-motorized travel and relevant components of the circulation system, including but not limited to intersections, streets, highways and freeways, pedestrian and bicycle paths, and mass transit. A significant impact coutd be identified: o If a signalized intersection is projected to operate within delay ranges associated with less- than-capacity conditions (i.e., LOS D or better with an average control delay of equal to or less than 55 seconds per vehicle)without the project and the project is expected to cause the facility to operate at a LOS E or F; o If the intersection is already unacceptable operations (i.e., LOS E or LOS F) under no project conditions, the project adds 50 or more peak hour trips; o If the operations of an unsignalized study intersection is projected to decline with the addition of project traffic, and if the installation of a traffic signal based on the Manual on Uniform Traffic Control Devices (MUTCD) Peak Hour Signal Warrant(Warrant 3)would be warranted. o If the addition of project traffic at a study intersection would result in the 95th percentile vehicle queue exceeding the available storage or would increase 95th percentile queue by more than two vehicles where the queue already exceeds the available storage space; • The project would conflict with an applicable congestion management program, including but not limited to level of service standards and travel demand measures, or other standards established by the Alameda County Transportation Commission (Alameda CTC) and/or Tri-Valley Transportation Council (TVTC) for designated roads and highways: o Exceed, either individually or cumulatively, a LOS standard established by the Alameda CTC and/or TVTC for designated roads or highways; o For a roadway segment of the Alameda CTC Congestion Management Program (CMP) Netevork,the project would cause (a)the LOS to degrade from LOS E or better to LOS F or(b) the`✓/C ratio to increase 0.02 or more for a roadway segment that would operate at LOS F without the project; or o Cause congestion of regional significance on a roadway segment on the Metropolitan Transportation System (MTS) evaluated per the requirements of the Land Use Analysis Proqram of the CMP1. ` The Alameda Cou�ty Transportation Commission (ACTC) requires the assessment of development-driven impacts to regional roadways of projects that generate more than 100"net new"PM peak-hour trips. �� 9 �y fastern Dublin Specific F!an A�r,endment Transportation Assessment Ju(y 2015 �.� �i������� ���������� This chapter describes the existing transportation conditions in the study area, including the roadv�,�ay netv�ork and pedestrian, bicyc!e, ar�d �ransit facilities in the 4�icinity of the project area. The project area is located east of Fallon Road, south of Positano Parkway, and traversed by Central Parkway. Roadways in the study area are described below: Fa((on Road is a north-south arterial roadv�,�ay that connects I-580 to Tassajara Road. It currently provides two travel lanes in each direction, �vith the ex.ception of the segment that provides three lanes in each direction betv,�een Central Parkway and Gleason Drive. Eetween I-580 and Central Parkway, this segment is ultimately planned to provide three lanes in each direction. This roadway is being upgraded as development occurs on parcels fronting the roadway, and wili ultimately provide sidewalks and bicycle facilities along its length. Fallon Road is a designated route of regional significance. Central Parkway is an east-west roadway that extends from Arnold Road to east of Fallon Road. Between Arnold Road and Tassajara Drive, and east of Fallon Road, it is a designated collector roadway. Between Tassajara Road and Failon Road, it is a designated arterial roadway. It generally provides one travei lane in each direction with a landscaped median, bicycle lanes and sidewalks along portions of the roadway that have fronting development. On-street parking is allowed on some portions of the road�vay. Positano Parkway is an east-west roadway that extends from Fallon Road to Croak Road. It is a two-lane arterial with a landscaped median, sideevalks, and bike lanes. On-street parking is not allowed on this facility. Dub(in eoulevard is an east-�vest designated arterial road�vay in the City of Dub(in Genera( P(an that extends from west of San Ramon Road to its current terminus at Fallon Road. It is generally a four to six lane facility with a landscaped median. No on-street parking is permitted on this facility. Dublin Boulevard is a designated route of regional significance. Bicycle lanes and sidewalks are provided on portions of Dublin Boulevard. Lockhart Sfreet is a north-south collector roadway that extends from Dublin Boulevard to Gieason Drive. This facility is complete �vith a landscaped median and bike lanes. Sidewaiks are present where there is � 10 Eastern Dublin Specific Ptan Amendment Transportation Assessment . July 2015 adjacent development—sidewalk infill �vould occur as the adjacent lands become developed. On-street parking is not allowed on this facility. Sunset View Dr�ive is a local residential roadway that spans north from Central Parkway inside the project area. It is a two-lane facility with on-street parking and sidewalks. Panorama Driv�e is a north-south local residential facility inside the project area that parallels Sunset View Drive to the east. It is also a two-lane facility with on-street parking and sidewalks. PEDESTRIAN 1=ACILTTIES Pedestrian facilities include sidewalks, pathways, crosswalks, and pedestrian signals. Sidewalks are provided along most roadways in the immediate study area, although there are portions of Central Parkway and Fallon Road where the roadway has not yet been constructed to its ultimate width and sidewalks have not yet been constructed. 6ICYCLE FACILITIES Bicyde focilities in Dubiin include the following general types: • Class I: Shared Use Path - These facilities provide a completely separate right-of-way and are designa?:ed for the exclusive use of bicycles and pedestrians with vehicle cross-flow minimized. • Class II A: Bicycle Lane - Bicycle lanes provide a restricted right-of-way and are designated for the use of bicycles for one-way travel with a striped lane on a street or highway. Bicycle lanes are generally a minimum of five feet wide.Vehicle parking and vehicle/pedestrian cross-flow are permitted. • Class II Es: Buffered Bicycle Lane - Buffered bicycle lanes are conventional bicycle lanes that provide a restricted right-of-way with an added buffer space separating the bike lane from the adjacent vehicle lane and/or parking lane. The buffered area provides greater distance between bicyc�ists, and parked cars and moving traffic and allows for bicyclists to pass one another within the bicyr_le lane without entering the vehicle lane. Buffered bicycle lanes are generally made up of a six foot wide bicycle lane and a two-foot wide buffer.The buffer is striped with two solid white lines with diagonal hatching or chevron markings within the buffer zone. • Class III,4: Bicycle Route with Sharrows -These bikeways provide right-of-way designated by signs or pavement markings for shared use with motor vehicles. These include sharrows or "shared-lane markings"to highlight the presence of bicyclists. (� 11 ,y Eastern Dc�b[in Specific P(an Amendmer,t Transportation Assessment Ju(y z015 �Nithin the study area, Cla�s it a k; cyde !ares are provided on Dublin 5ou!evard, Falloi� R,�ad and Cer��ral Parkway. A series of Cla�s I pa�hs ar2 Giso provided throuyhout the eastern Du;�lin area. Transit service in the area is provided by Wheels, 6ay Arza Rapid Transit (BART), and Altamont Commuter Express (ACE). Wheels, v✓hich is operated by the Livermore Amador Valley Transit Authority (LAVTA), provides fixed- route and paratransit service throughout the Cities of Dublin, Pleasanton, and Livermore, and provides connections to other transit service providers. Wheels buses connect major destinations within the Cities of Dubiin, Pleasanton and Livermore, including Do�vntown areas, employment centers and transit hubs, including BART and ACE stations. Wheels bus schedules are also coordinated with ACE and BART trains during peak commute hours. The Project Area is currently served directly by Routes 2 and 501/502. Additional service is provided at Dublin 6nulevard/Fallon Road on Routes 12 and R�ute 30 (R). The buses used on the routes below have a seating capacity of approximately 40 passengers, with standing room available for an additional 20 passengers. Route 2 connects eastern Dublin to the East Dublin/Pieasanton BART station via Tassajara Road, Falion Road, Positano Parkway and Central Park�vay. It operates on hour headway during the morning (6:30 to 8:30 AM) and evening (3:30 to 6:30 PM) peak periods. Routes 501 and 502 provide service to area schools with stops in eastern Dublin that are timed for morning and afternoon school bell schedules. Route 12 connects the Downtown Livermore ACE station to the east Dublin/Pleasanton BART Station via Las Positas College and Dublin Boulevard, with service every 30-minutes during peak periods and hourly service at other times. It operates seven days a week. Route 30 (or R) service connects the West Dublin/Pleasanton BART Station to the East Dublin/Pleasanton BART station, as well as the Downtown Livermore Transit Center and Lawrence Livermore Labs. It has a designated stop on Dublin Boulevard at Keegan Street. Service is provided on 15 minutes headways on weekdays between 5:00 AM and 8:00 PM. No weekend service is provided on this route. It provides skip- stop (some bus stops that are served by other lines are not served by this route in order to keep up speed). . 12 Eastern Dublin Speci fic Plan Amendment Transportation Assessment � Ju y 2015 Bay Area Rapid' Transit (BART) provides regional transportation connections to much of the Bay Area and the Dublin/Pieasanton line provides direct access to San Francisco, with several stops in Oakland where connections may be made to other lines. The closest BART station is the East Dublin/Pleasanton Station located approximately 3.5 miles west of the Project. The West Dublin/Pleasanton BART station is also located approximately 5.5miles from the Project site. BART train frequency ranges between 15-20 minutes from approximately 5:00 AM to 12:00 AM. Based on 2013 data from BART, approximately 6,800 passengers per ciay enter/exit the BART system at the East Dublin/Pleasanton station, and approximately 3,200 passengers enter/exit the BART system at the West Dublin/Pleasanton BART Station. The Altamont Commuter Express (ACE) operates weekday train service between Stockton and San Jose with Tri-Valley stops in Downtown Pleasanton and Livermore. During the morning commute period westbound only service from the Central Valley to San Jose is provided, while eastbound only service is provided in the afternoon/evening commute period. There are four morning trains through Pleasanton between 5:33 A�� and 8:18 AM, and four evening trains between 4:28 PM and 7:31 PM. Travel time from Stockton to Pleasanton is approximately one hour and fifteen minutes, while travel time from the Tri- Valley to San Jos,e is approximately one hour. Wheeis provides shuttle services between the ACE stations and major employment/residential areas in Pleasanton and Livermore. ACE trains carry approximately 4,000 passenger�s on a typical weekday, with approximately 600 passengers boarding the ACE system at the downtown Pleasanton Station on a typical weekday. Weekday morning (7:00 to 9:00 AM), afternoon (2:00 to 4:00 PM) and evening (4:00 to 6:00 PM) peak period intersection turning movement counts were conducted at the study intersections in May 2015, including separate counts of trucks, pedestrians, and bicyclists. For the study intersections, the single hour with the highest traffic volumes during the count periods was identified. The AM peak hour in the study area is generally from 7:45 to 8:45 AM, the afternoon peak hour is generally from 3:00 to 4:00 PM, and the PM peak: hour is generally from 5:00 to 6:00 PM. The peak hour volumes are presented on Figure 3 along with the existing lane configuration and traffic control. Traffic count worksheets are provided in Appendix A. (� �3 1� �� i —� ' i c� � � � � i 3 i �?.`�'`-_M � I •� � t , d cr�� ��!'�ii16)IE I � � `°°l i-�--[gl.��i',.g9:i"oZt'I W U U I,— � 411�� �i�i�t;._r)'., � 4-- '�J � j (Tj � ♦ t��L�_� �E���L�'G�-� �i� I f O ';^�g, --� .^ t4691 9LF�i v:� ;�� �6Z]�09)Z6L-� � �� � � �;� c1 ���� � � � � � � �� �„ � T ^'_'no � 3i � i .� Y `^V I -Y I C O C I � �- �h� [s](r?s � o 0 0 � [o](o)o � �o `��` �I�--[sz1(s51�s `6 000 �—[o](c)o � �1� � ��B��9�� � �� �o��o�o � U y � U��,,,_� p _ �,:,�, � � � � z O � �sa��z�za �T�` � �o��o�o ��' ,� U � [ss](ob)��t-"-. ��o m `° [oi(o)o� o o s � � Y � o ILL��CEJ'vL� ""m �C �O]�O)O O O O � � wN� m � — � -�-�-- a 3 0 0 o i � (6 N t ��� �7 � ��I i —� °;� �'� � � � �V � ~ 3 � � 3 �_� 'r CO � Y oJN a CuM�O / r .N i. ��.�l��Q � � O �i �u�'i ��89Z](LB£)98 � °cn° � ! � u @ i ��� �--[rt�el(est)o�e U �;� •r-E�l o)o I v � [t](o)� e� V � � ., � �w�,:,.,.� � I � � R � �� c�(rt�l(io4)�oa�`, > [t](t)� �� � �- o `�' � ��[orhl Case)sae� �, [ol io)� � N��, � faal(oa)sz =o � �L� � �M` �� (A r �..��� � � N� •`�'-J `r � V^, _—_ C y/ � � � I .. . L ' __ __' " __ . ... � I p v 'y-'� . ' � in � F�--� � � � � c , � � �� � �� F , �a O __,--- a � '` 2 -- - -� �1 � � � ��� � � 0 r� oy�eo�� � (� \ ' v� oF ! � � - � o °�.,���d v d d i � `/( � �' �,s � � � � I -� Y^- / / / � � \ �! I N y s _ J �' �I / •� I .,� ., C d�` 1 � �`� .H{ / . Croak Rd � -.�? vi � �J�d�1- . �.;r,�, � � � �; . . .. Y .. 'h 2 ti� 0 3, t f 4x :i - C� .y�d�4a+ c 11 � �. ..� � '� ��: G �� s ^ 1SJ�eUB�o ti — ��I - �'r � � � PN uo��ej T \ � � - � �.�� ya*�a g s p _��s' � v - � p � �� j�� S ry i y , _ V � Q aull.e11�8 � .; � �° � �� . � � ��. . . - I i _ = . -ca ` . .4 ���1�. y-J V �. � �1y . G � . . O �f.. ipm�wd :. T�G3n��;�eNj C - ;�-Jy � �Q Rauena� � � � �'� tt t �11� � � Z Ho�nd,�;,ID`.iY � ` � � 37�{,-��� � v o �GuIBI eam St .� � y Y'G ���--�� z�-� � `� - � 3 C a `i � � ��� r � � R z . Rehque6iuueig c` ��.uo:��oig . �'T. �, Q� . . �� „-n .X^�y . � ��. ,h�� Eden � N Londonder Dr . . p8 eielessel. ° LYI'r ���yJ y6� �_ w Y j'�-�'�� `�'J� � =''� y�� / � x Eastern Dublin Specific Ptan Amendment Transportation Assessment � July 2015 iNTERSECTIC?(�l CPERATIONS Existing operations were evaluated using the method described in Chapter 1 for the weekday AM, afternoon and PM peak hours at the study intersections, based on the volumes and lane configurations shown on Figure� 3. The results are summarized in Table 3. Observed peak hour factors2 were used at all intersections for the existing analysis. Where the observed PHF was less than 0.75, a minimum value of 0.75 was used. T�ruck, pedestrian and bicycle activity was factored into the analysis. TABLE 3 EXISTING CONDITIONS PEAK HOUR INTERSECTION LEVELS OF SERVICE Existing Conditions Intersection Controll Peak Hour Delay�'3 L053 AM 15 B l.Fallon Road/Positano Parkway Signal AFT 11 B PM 11 B AM 18 B 2.Lockhart Street/Central Parkway Signal AFT 21 C PM 38 D AM 15 B 3.Falion Road/Ce�ntral Parkway Signal AFT 18 B PM 12 B AM 8 A 4.Sunset View Drive/Central Parkway Signal AFT 9 A PM 12 B AM 0(0) A(A) 5.Panorama Drive/Central Parkway SSSC AFT 0(0) A(A) PM 0(0) A(A) Notes: 1. SSSC=side-street stop controlled intersection;Signal=signalized intersedion. 2. Average int:ersection delay calculated for signalized intersections using the 2000 HCM method. 3. For SSSC intersections,average delay or LOS is listed first followed by the delay or LOS for the worst approach in parentheses. Source:Fehr&Peers,2015. �The relationship between the peak 15-minute flow rate and the full hourly volume is given by the peak-hour factor(PHF) based on the following equation: PI-iF=Hourly volume/(4*volume during the peak 15 minutes of flow). The analysis of level of service is based on peak rates of flow occurrinq within the peak hour because substantial short-term fluctuations typicaily occur during an hour. rA 15 ,/ Eastern Dublin Specific Plan Amendment T;ansportation Assessment 1 uly 20i S As sho����n, study intersections aperate at over�il acceptable service levels in accordance �vith benchmarks set by the City of Dublin during the morning, afternoon and evening peak F�ours. Detailed intersec+.ion LOS calculation worksheets are presented in Appendix B. �,iENI�.LE Q��U�r`.IG Field observations confirmed the calculated levels of service along with the extent of existing vehicle queues, which are contained within the existing vehicie storage. Detailed intersection queuing calculation �vorksheets are also presented in Appendix B. e 16 Eastem Dub(in Specifc Plan Amendment Transportation Assessment � Ju(y 2015 �: 3.0 �RO��CT �HARACTE�I5TIC5 This chapter provides an overview of the proposed project components and addresses the proposed project trip generation, trip distribution, and trip assignment characteristics, allowing for an evaluation of project impacts on the surrounding roadway network. The amount of traffic associated with the project was estimated u�sing a three-step process: 1. Trip Generation—The amount of vehicle traffic entering/exiting the campus was estimated. 2. Trip Distribution—The direction trips would use to approach and depart the area was projected. 3. Trip Ass�ignment—Trips were then assigned to specific roadway segments and intersection turning movements. The proposed Eastern Dublin Specific Plan Amendment (project) would change the land use designation of an approximately 10-acre parcel within the Jordan Ranch development of the EDSP from parks/public recreation to parks/public recreation/school. Other site elements have also been refined from prior plans. Jordan Ranch is located in eastern Dublin, east of Fallon Road, south of Positano Parkway, and traversed by Central Parkway. Table 4 presents a comparison of the 2005 EIR Project, 2010 Approved Project, 2012 Approved Project with school site, and the current proposal. In 2012 there was a site within the Jordan Ranch development that was reserved for a school but has the dual designation of residential and school; the current entitlements allew construction of either school or residential uses. Since 2012, portions of the project have been constructed, including a 253-unit single-family neighborhood southeast of Positano Parkway (1 home remains under construction). Portions of the site in the vicinity of the proposed school site are currently under construction, with approximately 37 completed homes. Vehicle trips generated by constructed and occupied units were captured in the data collection effort (see chapter 2), and vehicle trips generated by uses not yet constructed and occupied were estimated and added to the existing traffic volumes to evaluate transportation conditions with the land use designation changes. r� 1� �� Eastern Dubli,n Specific Plan A.mer,dment Transportation Assessment �'u(y 2015 TQBLE 4 PROJECT DEVELORR�[EI�IT SUM[ViRRY 2005 2Q1Q Approved 2012 Approved Current Land Use EIR Pro}ect Project Project Proposai Current Status Approximately 289 Single Fan�ily 426 d�velling i homes constructed 453 du 513 du 664 du Homes units(du) &248 units under construction Multi-Family 638 du 327 du 238 du 235 du Under Homes Construction Mixed-Use area 8'�,000 square 9 982 sf retail 35,000 sf retail -- N/A feet(sfl Office -- 5,100 SF -- -- N/A Assisting Living Units — - 61 du — N/A Elementary 10 acres 550 students 550 studentsl 900 Students Not Constructed School Notes: 1. A portion of the site in 2012 was designated either for residentiai or a school site. With a school,513 single family units would be constructed. Without a school,up to 61.3 single family units would be constructed. An assumption of 550 enrolled students was made for the purposes of the 2012 analysis. Source: City of Dublin,?011 and updated In 2015. Trip generation refers to the process of estimating the amount of activity a project might add to the local roadway net�vork. In addition to estimates of daily traffic, estimates are also created for the peak one- hour period during the morning (7:00 to 9:00 AM) and evening (4:00 to 6:00 PM) commute hours, when traffic volumes on adjacent streets are ty�pically at their highest. For school projects, estimates are also generated for the peak periods around bell times (7:00 to 9:00 AM and 2:00 to 4:00 PM). For this project, several sources of trip generation data were reviewed, including Fehr & Peers trip generation surveys at several elementary schools in the Tri-Valiey Area. This data was compared to trip generation rates presented in the Institute of Transportation Engineers (ITE) Trip Generation Manual, (9th Edition)with the resulting trip generation estimates shown in Table 5. Elementary School sites surveyed in the Tri Valley Area were typically neighborhood schools with some students observed walking/biking to school, but with the majority of students being driven to school. The �� 18 Eastern Dublin Speci fic Ptan Amendment Transportation Assessment � July 2015 F surveyed rates rF>flect about 13 percent of the student population walking to school. Given the number of housing units within the immediate vicinity of the school, the walk percentage was increased to 25 percent, or 225 students. The resulting vehicle trip rate per student, accounting for a 25 percent walk share, is higher than the maximum trip rate per student noted in the ITE Trip Generation Manua(. For this assessment, Fehr& Peers used the observed trip generation rate from similar schools in the area with an additional walk adjustment, which results in a 900-student elementary school generating approximately 940 vehicle trips during the morning peak hour, 510 vehicle trips in the afternoon peak hour and 380 vehicle trips in the typical evening commute hour. TABLE 5 fl00-STUDENT ELEMENTARY SCHOOL TRIP GENERATION ESTIMATES � � , � ,: �€��`� Weekda� �, { � } � `�` �.��c �� a,� '� t:e �s s. �yu�,,. ..�t.a.;d� �:a�2t.«r.n:�u�..Sec9YZ'ta...lfe.�,..un.ifr ..a.r '�'„ks�$ :. -S�e. it �`4T�Y�f�y$.�°/3,�"�� � s �r s .� *�t.r �`5�':�'�,�#.r. #S���a r-� fi��''���'-�`.�k�-,�.� �9"s ". s'''�:' . 5 ,� '�2 '_ Data 5'ouk e � � ��� AM�ea�ur x'� ��.�� fternoon�eakHour s � �� PM Pe k��Fis��r�`��°�� . 3zri'',����`����'r��id�� E-- �.�� �� ^'�. .�.�a`�,���- �a't� ' p �r�'Fo- � �� _ �u��'. »*��'�". � s �a. ��. � 3�i�„ J�t''��,tt'� `+�'"�"�ST��.•'§�bs�m�'� r Fi = -��� a'°•'�t- �' � `�"'�'49'�''� t'� "�'- � ',:r�� P'�+fi�ts .:�'c�'"�s�"'zz.::'*z "W� � :�=�Il, �;`�Ut�"`i{�tTO��`. a'"a`II�};'a�,t �4t #x�OtO� '� 71� � QU�`_.�: TO�f ��. Elementary School—Tri 2,500 496 440 936 229 280 509 184 192 376 Valley Studyi Elementary School—ITE 1,160 223 182 405 113 139 252 66 69 135 Averagez Elementary School—ITE Max 2,210 455 373 828 203 248 451 163 170 333 Rate3 1. Based on data collected in November 2012 at Twin Creeks and Sycamore Valley Elementary schools as part of an evaluation for the TRAFFIX scF�ool bus program. Only AM peak period data was collected. Afternoon and PM peak hour trip qeneration estimated based ratio of the ITE Max rate during the morning peak hour to the observed data. Rate was reduced to account for a 25 percent walk mode share to this campus,as compared to the 13 percent observed at the data collection sites. AM Peak Hour.T=1.04(X);Enter= 53%;Exit=47% 2. Based on ITE Land use 520,Elementary School,Average Rate: Daily:(T)= 1.29(X) AM Peak Fiour.T=0.45(X);Enter=55%;Exit=45% Afternoon Peak Hour: T=0.28(X);Enter=45°/o;Exit=55% PM Peak Hour:T=0.15(X);Enter=49%;Exit= 51% 3. Based on ITE Land use 520,Elementary School,Maximum Rate: Daily:(�=2.45(� AM Peak Hour.T=0.92(X);Enter= 55%;Exit=45% Afternoon Peak Hour. T=0.5(X);Enter=45%;Exit=55% PM Peak I-lour.T=0.37(X);Enter=49%;Exit=51% Source:Trip Generotion Manua((9`h Edition),ITE,2012;Fehr&Peers,May 2015. r� 19 �� Eastern Dublin Specific Pian Amendment Transportation Assessment � July 2015 f��ost school trips are pa�� of paren��guardian trip chain that typically invol��es drepping or`f a child at school on th� �vay to ��✓ork or cther daily er�ands, and while it represents a new trip �vithin the im�l�ediate proje�t area, it does net represert ne�v ±rips to the regional roadway system. Additicnally, the level of afternoon and evening t�ip generation depends on the potential !eve! of after-school activities and if before/aftAr school care is provided on-campus. Trip generation of Jordan Rancli as currentiy envisioned was estimated using ITE Trip Generation rates, similar to the 2012 assessment. The results are presented in Table 6 for the non-school elements in combination with the school and compared to the total trip generation from the 2012 assessment. This comparison shows that vel�icle trip generation is slightly higher for the proposed project, but mostly due to increased school enroliment. To estimate afternoon peak hour trip generation for the non-school uses, the difference bet�veen existing afternocn peak per;od and evening peak period travel through the study intersections �,vas reviewed. Afternoon peak period traffic volumes were approximately 12 percent lower than the evening peak period volumes. The PM peak hour trip generation as shown in Table 6 was reduced by 10 percei�t to develop afternoon peak hour trip generation estimates for the project. TABLE 6 JORDAN RANCH TRIP GENERATION AM Peak Hour PM Peak Hour Project Component Size Daily In Out Total In Out Total Proposed Project Single Family Homesl 664 DU 6,320 125 373 498 418 246 664 Medium-High Density Residential? 238 DU 1,580 39 118 157 106 77 183 Elementary School'' St d oits 2,500 496 440 936 184 192 376 Total Trip Generation 10,400 660 931 1,591 708 515 1,223 Less constructed homes 289 units (2,750) (54) (163) (217) (182) (107) (289) Net New Project Trip Generation (A) 7,650 606 768 I,374 526 408 934 „ 20 Eastern Dub(in Specific P(an Amendment Transportation Assessment � July 2015 � TABLE 6 JORDAN RANCH TRIP GENERATION AM Peak Hour PM Peak Hour Project Comp�onent Size Daily In Out Total In Out Total 2012 Project Trip Generation from 2012 Assessment 9,520 427 630 1,057 534 360 894 Less constructed homes 289 (2,750) (54) (163) (217) (182) (107) (289) units 2012 Project Net'Trip Generation(8) 6,770 373 467 840 352 253 605 Net Difference between Proposed Project and 2012 Approved Project(A) 880 233 301 534 174 155 329 —(BJ N o tes: 1. Trip generation based on ITE rates for Singie Family Home(Land Use 210): Daily Rate:T =9.52(D) AM Peak Hour Rate:T=0.75(D)(inbound =25%,outbound=75%) PM Peak Hour Rate:T= 1.00(D)(inbound= 63%,outbound=37%) Where:T=tr�,p ends,and D= Dwelling Units 2. Trip generation based on ITE rates for Low Rise Townhouse(Land Use 231): Daily Rate:T==6.72 AM Peak Hour Rate:T=0.67(D)(inbound= 25%,outbound=75%) PM Peak Hour Rate T=0.78(D)(inbound= 58%,outbound=42%) Where:T=trip ends,and D= Dweiling Units 3. From Table 2 Source: [TE Trip Genc�rotion,9th Edition,and Fehr&Peers,2015. Project trip distribution refers to the directions of approach and departure that vehicles would take to access and leave the site. Estimates of regional project trip distribution were developed based on existing travel patterns in the area, a select zone analysis using the City of Dublin travel demand model, and prior analysis preparecl for the site. General trip distribution estimates are presented in Table 7. As mentioned previously, many school trips are part of the parent/guardian trip chain that typically involves droppiny off a child at school on the way to work or other daily errands, and while it represents a new trip within the immediate project area, it does not represent new trips to the regional roadway system. This interaction was accounted for in the assignment of trips to study area intersections. Project trips were assigned to the roadway network based on the general directions of approach and departure rA 21 �� Easterr rJub(in Speci fic Pion Ame.ndmer�t Trar,sportation Assessm,ent July 2015 shown in ?able 7 but ,,h.e route �hat people take te the site could vary. Separate trip as�ignments are shown for exis±ing and future conditicr�s as the full connection of Croak Road to Dublin Bouievard would af�ect h��.v vehicles arrive te/depa�t the area, especially*he school site. The resulting project trip assigr,rnent is shovv�n on Figure 4 for the existing condition and Figure 5 for the future conditions (near-ten�� ar�d cumula+,ive). The volumes shov��n on Figure 5 represent the net-change from the entitled project. 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N rd 1- ) T �Y � n � � D Q 1 � �� -� �� `� � ro � � ���` � ' 1S L�yx�O ��� � � ��- PYuolled � � � '' ' _�. :�. � � ° ',.� 3 _ ,r > .�C � . .. C �' ,�� � j, U r c �'' � c _ b ��o �Qau%�ue��ey c` ( „p ° _ '�6 w ,J � � c u _y � _ � � �v . _,..�', a �o � � � ` - f � �� 4 v 1(]O�i�W d �, ���U 1��� — ' �.�«y ...�Q ria�enap� I _� ��� ..p .�. °' _ �Z � H�I D�^ './ . '^` o`� 4� c 0.ound ,�� �, �Gulfs[ream St Y 3 � � � - � �� iZ�� " ¢ a � � ^ _ � � � �I � � � � �� �.�r�¢ . . � � 6e/y�ue6 uuei6 0` �p.uo:h�oi�.� ''�-- ,. -�—�Q�� ,. z z N �'j��c_ � � onilo�a�enY Dr . ..� �o `!� Eileri � N ^—.-...y."°`°°" � �G r �.. �. ��j �i � Z Y Pye,efesse,Lrr�w'' Q�,}-� t'���� ��z W } ��_.._�1?"'�.. —� ��!-.! L . .. . .. ....� .. ���� W X Eastern Dublin Specific Ptan Amendment Transportation Assessment � Juty 2015 �.a E�tIS°t��� WI�`�4 �RO�JECT C�I�DITIC3t�5 This chapter eva'uates potential traffic impacts under Existing with Project conditions. The Project-oniy traffic volumes (Figure 4) were added to the existing peak hour traffic volumes (Figure 3) to estimate the Existing with Project peak hour intersection turning movement volumes, as shown on Figure 6. For this scenario it was assumed that Central Parkway would connect to Croak Road, connecting to Dublin Boulevard, in the eastbound direction only. No changes to the lane configuration or traffic control were assumed at any of the study intersections. Traffic signal timings, peak hour factors, heavy vehicle percentages, and pedestrian and bicycle activity at the study intersections were left unchanged from existing conditions for the initial analysis. Existing with Project conditions were evaluated using the same methods described in Chapter 1. The analysis results �ire presented in Table 8, based on the traffic volumes and lane configurations presented on Figure 6. Table 8 also includes the operations results for the Existing without Project conditions for comparison purposes. With the addition of trips related to the buildout of the remaining portions of Jordan Ranch, intersections in the study area would degrade, but would continue to operate within the City's established level of service for intersection operations over the peak hour. The addition of project traffic would result in the 95th percentile vehicle queue exceeding the available storage for the southbound left-turn movement at the Central Parkway at Fallon Road intersection, as well as for several movements at the Central Parkway at Sunset View Drive/School Access intersection. These increases are considered significant. Vehicle queues at the Central Parkway at Fallon Road intersection in the existing plus project condition can be maintained within the existing vehicle storage through signal timing adjustments as traffic patterns change in the area. Measures to consider at the Sunset View Drive/School Acc:ess intersection are discussed in Chapter 8. �� 25 e� i � � ' j t�+-'.� O -- � � �P� .� +� �-�`� � ��, ��tQCc;�,'._ C;i I � O I w �� t_ �a m (�^s;iyz� ,�rl �- V � �i+L�, �:eri(�r; � � v ��I ,; i �� � I� �5��1',i�L)C,��-�f{'�' R'�R�*� I L C � I o I££9��L09�'cZ8—.I c>o N I � � �m c-=� � [6Zi(09i�6L-��i � �„� � — -� � � ���� � tn C .I ^��� � �X (B �, � W � m �V I O Y ��� I a( O N O � �V a `N�' [sl(e)ot o�-o [o;(o)o � ��� �-[szl(ss)zs �° o�o ;fol(o)o � c �I� '�[el(s)� � �� [5z](9z)tt � U i U r � � `�— � ,,�r.�,:.�� p` -.w�_�. c � � �� � � � 0 ♦ ca � — % [�%1(sz)�a� �i�' � [o]lo)0 1 i � V � � � [�s](or)����. ��� o [oi(o>o� m�o � � �o [t.](e�)rt� =�.�� c [se](�s)or� � � ° C J �-�S N a # ��'M � N I � µ _ `O I� � h-.� � � �-�L� ! I J V �� � � —'__-- __ — ^, uJ O � 6) � �,I �� 3 " Y ^ � 3 �� a �,�;:� Y m ch – C � r rn � � o�`� �E£��Z'o)89l � 0 p. 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Goak Rd � vi �. �sOd� �1_. . _ � �� ��� � 1 � � � ( �Qa �„ '� � �` �� 3� �� i - � � � � � t I � �- � asa,ey�;o, i �� � � Na��„E��., ' ' 3 - �- .��•"�3 o ro � �� ._> � � � ga � � V ~� vG. c � - Q = �41ul7uellef7 .�� � �` .,�„_ � � � � T L � J ` "�G ` �Q o��wi� . ��..`Jiu��eWi � � � �.JQAJt1fA:?Q • ��'J � .� � O Ro�u�oN�110�� ,-Gulfstream5t �� ���Q� �� � �Z � �� �y � � � � � ,` ;, � _ � —�6 Z�3� � . Q a �° ` "� � o� �. �dcc� .� 6ehn.ie6 uueig c .�.u`o3�'�a6 � ,''�'l Q `� ,nti�,.("�- Z O o.. �, Eilen N ` Q N _ �Z-_._���T Londonderry Dr � � o-� �. �� �N Z Y .. Pde�n�eis��, �,.__" �a� /���i ��� w Y � -_ 1-"^-�� . f'�J �'?r .� w x . . .�,\ � , q J X 6astern Dub(in Speci�c P(an Amendment Transportation Assessment � July 2015 TABLE 8 EXISTING WITH PROJECT CONDITION PEAK HOUR INTERSECTION LEVELS OF SERVICE Intersection Controll Peak Existing Conditions Existing with Project Hour DelayZ'3 L053 Delayz'3 L053 1.Fallon Road/Positano AM 15 B 17 B Parkway Signal AFT 11 B 12 g P M 11 B 12 B 2.Lockhart Streeti/Central AM 18 B 20 g Parkway Signal AFT 21 C 21 C PM 38 D 21 C AM 15 B 32 C 3.Fallon Road/CE�ntral Parkway Signal AFT 18 B 27 C PM 12 B 26 C 4.Sunset View Drive/Central AM 8 A ll B Parkway Signal AFT 9 A 14 B PM 12 B 12 B 5.Panorama Drive/Central AM 0(0) A(A) 5 (15) A(B) Parkway SSSC AFT 0(0) A(A) 6(14) A(B) PM 0(0) A(A) 6(15) A(B) Notes: 1. SSSC=side-street stop controlled intersection;Signal =signalized intersection. 2. Average intersection delay calculated for signalized intersections using the 2000 HCM method. 3. For SSSC intersections,average delay or LOS is listed first followed by the delay or LOS for the worst approach in parentheses. Source:Fehr&Peers,2015. r� 2� �� Eastern Dub(in Specific P(an Arrendn,ent Transpor-tation Assessment � Ju(y 2015 �<€� �����W-�'����'� ������`����� This chapter pres�rts the resu!ts of the le�.el of service ca,culaiions under near-term conditions �vitheut and �vith the project Tra`fic volu«�es for Near-Term wi±hout Project cenditions comprise e>:isting volumes plus traffic generated by approved but not yet constructed and occupied develepments in the area. Near-Terr1� with Project COf1G�ItIOf1S are defined as Near-Term 4vithout Project conditions plus net new traffic generated by the proposed project. Traffic volumes for the Near-Term conditions v��ere developed through the use of the updated City of Dublin Travel demand model considering buildout of a portion of the Dublin Kaiser project, which is proposed on Dubiin Boulevard at Keegan Street. The forecasts represent likely traffic conditions in the area over the next ten years. Near-Term without Project traffic volumes are shown on Figure 7. The forecasts shown on Figure 7 include the vehide trip generation of the entitled land uses as presented previously in Table 6. The net-new trip generation associated with the project was added to the without project forecasts, with the resulting forecast presented on Figure 8. The completior� of the Central Parkway connection to Croak Road, which connects to Dublin Boulevard, was assui�ed to be completed as a t�vo lane, bi-directional roadway. No modifications to the study intersection lane geometries were assumed. Pedestrian and bicyde activity at the study intersections were left unchanged from existing conditions except for the with project condition where additional pedestrian activity was assumed at the intersections that provide prirnary access to the school site. Heavy vehicle percentages were adjusted to a uniform t�vo percent of traffic. 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G ��� _ ����II�m � "D� _.._.����1J ..' .. 4 � G � J� ' '�� � � y --�-= ya x �._..T._:t � � � ��� o ,Qo����d a v�u�v�� � �/ �-,�,�a�e�aa, �-� �.] �) � � ° Fo�od mu o�� ' / „ ��-+� - . ° �� �.,�/ � �Gulfstream St .� ��a'� ,� �X�c �� ��� b I �` � Y o a � � ' � � z�3 � ¢ a � �=} ;:�cQ . Re�y�uc6u.uEiH o �Quol„�o�g i - . � ,rtr...I"'4 . . 2 �,� -., . f�j �-- ,�� � � �ondonaerryDr � - _ t-a fiieri� N -� � � �� ; �p . . 0 � .. Pa e,e(essel � ° � �� �v� Sc�. Z y . . � N �G�� . . � L��j �Y � W } 7S'J J^ � v __ . .. .�� :C I ��l W X J X 6astern Dubfin Specif c Pfan Amendment Transportation Assessment � Jufy 2015 Levels of servic:e caiculations were conducted to evaluate intersection operations under Near-Term conditions both without and with the project. The LOS results are summarized in Table 9. The corresponding L.OS and queue calculation sheets are included in Appendix B. In the Near-Term condition prior to the land uses changes associated with the project, the study intersections would operate at an acceptable service level. With the net-change in trips related to the buildout of the remaining portions of Jordan Ranch, study intersection operations would degrade, but would continue to operate within the City's established level of service for intersection operations over the peak hour. TABLE 9 NEAR-TERM CONDITION PEAK HOUR INTERSECTION LEVELS OF SERVICE Intersection Controll Peak Near-Term without Project Near-Term with Project Hour DelayZ'3 LOS3 Delay2'3 LOS3 1.Fallon Road/Positano AM 15 B 16 B Parkway Signal AFT 12 B 12 B PM 12 B 12 B 2.Lockhart Street/Central AM 27 C 29 C Parkway Signal AFT 19 B 21 C PM 19 B 21 C 3.Fallon Road/Central AM 29 C 33 C Parkway Signal AFT 26 C 31 C PM 23 C 40 D 4.Sunset View Drive/Central AM 10 A 15 B Parkway Signal AFT 8 A 15 B PM 8 A 13 B 5.Panorama Drive/Central AM 10(32) A(D) 5(16) A(C) Parkway SSSC AFT 8(22) A(C) 6(17) A(C) PM 7(16) A(C) 6(17) A(C) Notes: 1. SSSC=side-street stop controlled intersection;Signal=signalized intersection. 2. Average intersection delay calculated for signalized intersections using the�000 HCM method. 3. For SSSC intersections,average delay or LOS is listed first followed by the delay or LOS for the worst approach in parentheses. Source:Fehr&Peers,2015. r� 31 ,y Eastern Dublin Specific Piar,Am,enament Trar,sportation Assessment � Jufy 2015 In the ���itho�:t pro_iect cor��uaition, the westbour�d left-tum movement queue at the Fallon Road at Central PGrk��,�ay intersection could extend beyond the avaiiable storage, but the uddition of project traffic �a�ould not increase the vehicle queue by more than 5G feet. The addition of project traffic �.vould case the southbound left-turn rnovement queue to increase to approximately 390 feet, exceeding the available storage by approximate!y 150 feet. Queues would be contained within the available storage prior to the addition of project traffic. The addition of project traffic would result in the 95th percentile vehicle queue exceeding the available storage for several movements at the Central Parkway at Sunset View Drive/School Access intersection. Measures to aileviate poten±ia! queuing issues at the Fallon Road/Central Parkway and Sunset View Drive/School Access intersection are discussed in Chapter 8. 0 32 Eastern Dub(in Specific P(an Amendment Transportation Assessment � Ju(y 2015 . �.a c�n����.�-r�v� co��z-r�arvs This chapter presents the results of the level of service calculations under Cumulative conditions without and with the project. Cumulative forecasts were developed using the updated City of Dublin travel demand model, representing e�:isting traffic, plus traffic from approved and pending developments, as well as development that could occur under the current General Plan. The traffic forecasts also reflect traffic shifts that could occur with construction of new regional roadway facilities, including the EI Charro Road extension from Stoneridge Drive to Stanley Boulevard and the extension of Dublin Boulevard east to North Canyons Parkway. Other regional roadway improvements include the planned widening of Stanley Boulevard to provide three lanes in each direction from east of Isabel Avenue. The resulting forecasts and intersection lane configurations are presented on Figure 9 for the without project condition, which reflects buildout of Jordan Ranch with the currently entitled uses. The net-new trip generation from the proposed project was added to the Cumulative without Project traffic volumes to estimate the Curnulative with Project traffic volumes, as shown on Figure 10. Modifications te the intersection of Central Parkway at Fallon Road were assumed in the analysis of Cumulative conclitions, as shown on Figure 9 and Figure 10. Pedestrian and bicycle activity at the study intersections were left unchanged from existing conditions except for the with project condition where additional pedestrian activity was assumed at the intersections that provide primary access to the school site. 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'�` ��^ �• � 5 � '_ � � � ` ; � � � " , y� �"4 s� �j� � �J'°` _ ' d. :'� � ,��'T`^ t ' �i $��: ` 4 ; �,o .. ?�' �k � � � , � c�. � �c"° V � �'� .*s r- .. o 0 �^ . #t :�..� ��' ` E ��� `�� �� �S��e; �. � ' ' E� � ... � k 4��07 � '"�1 ; ' v.� � � 'X�a uoii�'j, - .� -m' � s . v °�: o . p '� ' ' �� �,o r; � �, �, :_��-,�a ;� �- > s t'�� � `%; � ;� � Tv ,'`#� �� o � �° . o .. p°��4 au�(luelle8 "�� �_. . '`°o`� �a�' G -: e , '. �., 5 �o" i e .- � . , � � '",.'t 2 �� .4 _t,-t7 v p. � �, �'j� s �T�' `n .' a^ � H ? � �� ' ,�" �p o�ijw d � ' s �. any uq ey�- � r �, �'�iu�o Fauenap �" `� � � p 3��€�'o ��' � S ��'� HJVDr;*� ,�� a e g o.-.k`�„ {tound t� v�,� x, ¢ �GulhiieamSt �Z, ,�Y .�5 a g C `'��i,� '� '��,€t�,� � ,��ny 'y t� 'p � N � _�s .r� � ,.: � . ' �' 'o � � ,�'Z:� F '�`. Q d z � ' � t c ` m � � b� ' �(e ue6iuuei �a , ° O� � :, � � � .� � � M a Zo ,p uo���oi9� �Q '�". �j' s. �' .n Lor'wndo��i�Y�r 's,�"��s���`�a � �� �o,. . � Eiieri� N �.ada�"'3��P8?�efessej � n a .�, �`��� � _ ���yy�� � ��m�l �, �� Z > w � �` ~ . . . .. . ._, . ���� ,� .*. � #�vJ ,�. �;�i 4� . x '��` v . . ea.,:e� , r o . _. ''w� . . _ �3r, "-'�^�f "?.d�:o.. . ..,`:iy w X J X Eastern Dub(in Specitic Pfan Amendn�ent Transportation Assessmer-�t � JCl(y�OZS �2`✓2�5 O{ S2!�;'!CC Cd�CUicti0fl5 l'd2�c' COild'.1Cie� t0 evaivate IIItE'I"52Ct10(1 ON2raTIOf1S UII.�.E'I" Cumulative condi*ions both �vithout and with tl�e Projec±. The LCS results are summarized in Table 10. The correspcnding LOS and queue calculation sheets are in�luded in Appendix B. The results of the LOS calculations indicate that �vith planned development in Dublin and adjacent jurisdictions in the Cumulative conditions, the intersections in the vicinity of Jordan Ranch are projected to operate at acceptable service levels in the Cumulative conditions and the net-change in vehicle trip generation from the proposed project wculd not degrade peak hour operations beyond the established LOS thresholds. �"ABLE 10 CUMULATIVE CONDITION PEAK HOUR INTERSECTION LEVELS OF SERVYCE Intersection Controt 1 Peak Cumulative without Project Cumulative with Project Hour DelayZ'3 LOS3 Delay2'3 LOS3 l.Fallon Road/Positano AM 18 B lg g Parkway Signal AFT 12 g 12 g PM 15 B 15 B 2.Lockhart Street/ �`R� �5 C 36 D Central Parkway Signal AFT 25 C 27 C PM 24 C 25 C 3.Fallon Road/Central AM 42 D 52 D Parkway Signal AFT 29 C 32 C PM 29 C 39 D 4.Sunset View Drive/ AM 10 A 15 B Central Parkway Signal AFT 8 A 14 B PM 9 A 13 B 5.Panorama Drive/ AM 10(32) A(D) 5 (16) A(C) Central Parkway SSSC AFT 8(22) A(D) 6(17) A(C) Pfvl 7 (16) A(C) 6(17) A(C) Notes: 1. SSSC=side-street stop controlled intersection;Signal = signallzed intersection. 2. Average intersection delay calculated for signalized intersections using Che 2000 HCM method. 3. For SSSC intersections,averaae delay or LOS is listed firs;followed by the delay or LOS for the worst approach in parentheses. Source:Fehr&Peers,2015. rv 36 Fastern Dublin Speci fic Ptan Amendment Transportation Assessment � Ju(y 2015 In the without project condition, the westbound left-turn movement queue at the Fallon Road at Central Parkway intersection could extend beyond the available storage, but the addition of project traffic would not increase the vehicle queue by more than 50 feet. The addition oi project traffic would case the southbound left-turn movement queue to increase to approximately 400 feet, exceeding the availabie storage by more than 200 feet. Queues would be contained withiri the available storage prior to the addition of project traffic. The addition of project traffic would result in the 95th percentile vehicle queue exceeding the available storage for several movements at the Central Parkway at Sunset View Drive/School Access intersection. Measures to alleviate potential queuing issues at the Fallon Road/Central Parkway and Sunset View Drive/School Access intersection are discussed in Chapter 8. �� 37 oy Eastern Dubtin Specific Ptan Arnend;nent Transportation Assessment July ZOi 5 �a� �:��.e�"���� �������� ����E��`����t���'� �����'������� �������� �������� A separate ana!ysis of regional roadways is !-equired to comply �,n�ith requirements of the Alameda County Transportation Commissien (Alameda CTCI. The Alameda CTC requires the analysis of project impacts to Metropolitan Transportation System �MTS) roadways identified in the congestion management plan (CMP) for development projects that would generate more than 100 PM peak hour trips. As shown in Table 6, the proposed Project could generate more than 100 PM peak hour trips. This chapter outlines the roadway analysis, which considers the impact of the Project on freeways, major arterials, and other major roadways as designated by Alameda CTC. Main items of discussion inciude the geographic scope of the Alameda CTC rcadway analysis, the analysis method, and the results for 2025 and 2040. Freeway and surface street segments in Dublin v,�ere included in this analysis: • Interstate 580 (2 segments) • Dublin Boulevard (2 segments) • Fallon Road (3 segments) Fehr & Peers used the Alameda Countywide Travel Demand Model to forecast 2025 and 2040 traffic volumes on the MTS roadway system. The forecasts for the MTS system differ from the intersection forecasts previousiy discussed in the following aspects: • The land use data sets used for the intersection forecasts and the MTS forecasts are consistent with Association of Bay Area Governments (ABAG) popula"tion and employment projections but may differ from the City of Dublin model within Dublin. • Regional model may not include some minor streets through the Tri-Valiey, potentialiy overstating traffic volumes on the roadways included in the model. �r 38 E'astern Dublin Specific P(an Amendment Transportation Assessmenf � Juty 2015 4 • The MTS roadway analysis reports the outputs of the Alameda CTC model directly on a roadway segmerit level and the analysis does not consider the added capacity from turn pockets at intersec:tions. The results of the Alameda CTC model were used to forecast the No Project condition for 2025 and 2040. Project trips for at build-out were distributed to the MTS roadway segments (including both freeways and surface streets) identified above using the project trip distribution presented in Chapter 3. The distribution of Froject trips onto the MTS segments results in the With Project volumes for 2025 and 2040, which reflects the net change in trip generation anticipated with the project. Operations of the MTS freeway and surface street segments were assessed based on volume-to-capacity (V/C) ratios. For freeway segments, a per-lane capacity of 2,000 vehicles per hour was used. For surface streets, a per-lane capacity of 800 vehicles per hour was used. These capacities do not reflect additional capacity provided at intersections through turn pockets. Roadway segments with a V/C ratio greater than 1.0 are assigned LOS F. According to the significance criteria presented previously in Chapter 1, the addition of project traffic could cause a siqnificant impact on an MTS roadway segment if: • The addition of project traffic causes a segment's operation to degrade to LOS F. • The addition of project trips causes the V/C ratio to increase by more than 0.02 on a segment that already operates at LOS F without the project traffic. The MTS PM Peak Hour roadway segment analysis under 2025 and 2040 conditions are provided in Table 11 for the 2025 condition and Table 12 for the 2040 condition. The analysis results show that the addition of project traffic would not result in LOS F conditions nor increase the volume-to-capacity ratio by more than 0.02 on a segment projected to operate deficiently prior to the consideration of the project. 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Q �'''^r0�� �'�1 N M n'1 N tY1 � a = � ��_... � .. � � � �. a �° � � o _ � a � N � � � c Q a� f��� � o $ ,�; , � � ,� � � _>", 4. �� v 3 Y 3 > `-° � �"�" 3 Y `u ` � � @ a v � '�' m � � � m �o � ;�> c �o ,� � c �1 o `^ � .: _ �, .� — a, C ;GI'. � C 'v� C ..Q . � � O � 7 � � '� -,��.: 0 V a �' v o � � >:�; _ � �- � � o c�; > ; �X �,; m N o o a� �+ 0 �*'n .r, q +��p � � V o W � V' '� 'C . 1 �- t' ++ p � "c �!;�. p �' "O � ai '3C Z � `° � Y `° > e a . .f��b�i°� � v y 'D � � N O dS O p �a p a- � 7 � t `-��,+�s-����� n a m a � o a m° m ,� p' � ,�,` c c �o c � ia c �v� � � � � O •v, c � °' � , . LL ._. � v �i a° v � z° ° �� t: castern Dub�in Specific Pian Amer�dmenY Transportation Assessrnent Ju(y 2GI5 �.� ��������� �.��� ��.����� ������E������� This chapter discusses site access and circulation considerations for the school site. As a deiailed site pian has not been develcped, guidance related to the design of the Sunset Vie�v Drive at Central Parl<way intersection and pot2ntial rT�cdifications that may be necessary at the Falion Road at Central Boulevard intersection to better accommodate peak traffic flows around bell times, especially vehide queues, is provided. Considerations for bicyde, pedestrian and transit access to the school site are also discussed. As detailed in the prior chapters, intersections that provide primary access to the school site are projected to operate acceptably with the project in all scenarios over th2 course of the peak hour. Ho�vever, around school bell times, there may be periodic congestion as students are dropped-off or picked-up within the same time frame. Operations of the intersections of the Central Parkway with Fallon Road, Sunset Vie�v Drive/School Entry and Panorama Drive intersections were also evaluated for the peak 15-minutes around bell times for the morning and afternoon peak hours to assist in the sizing of intersections to better accommodate school traffic flows. This analysis was conducted through the use of a 0.50 peak hour factor for movements that wou!d have a high proportion of schooi related traffic around bell times, including movements to/from Central Boulevard at Fallon Road and Sunset View Drive. The results presented in Table 13. Around bell times, operations of the Fallon P,oad/Central Parkv✓ay and Sunset View Drive/Central Parkway are projected to degrade to LOS E or F for brief periods of time. Further widening of the Fallon Road at Central Parkway intersection is not recommended, but improvements to the school access roadway are recommended to maintain traffic flow on Central Parkway, as discussed below. The 95th percentile vehicle queues for the major movements that serve the school site were calculated as presented in Table 14 for the Cumulative conditions for the morning and afternoon peak period when school traffic would be most concentrated. Vehicle queues are projected to extend beyond the available storage length for the southbound left-turn movement on Fallon Boulevard to Central Parkway with the addition of project traffic, and the vehide queues could be excessive around beil times (1 to 3 traffic signal cycles). Appendix C provides the LOS and queuing worksheets. e 44 E"astern Dub(in Specific P(an Amendment Transportation Assessment lu(y 2015 TABLE 13 PEAK BELL TIME ASSESSMENT INTERSECTION LEVELS OF SERVICE Existing with Near-Term with Cumulative with Peak Project Peak Bell Project Peak Bell Project Peak Bell Intersectia�n Controll Period Period Period Hour Dela�'3 LOS3 Dela�•3 LOS3 Delay1'3 LOS3 3.Fallon Road/C:entral AM 87 F 83 F > 180 F Parkwa Signal Y AFT 38 D 47 D 50 D 4.Sunset View Drive/ AM 172 F 90 F 90 F Central Parkwzi Signal Y AFT 33 C 40 D 40 D 5.Panorama Drive/ SSSC AM 7(17) A(C) 4(21) A(C) 7(29) A(D) Central Parkway AFT 5(14) A(B) 5(21) A(C) 8(35) A(D) Notes: l. SSSC=side-street stop controlled intersection;Signal=signalized intersection. 2. Average intersection delay calculated for signalized intersections using the 2000 HCM method. 3. For SSSC intersections,average delay or LOS is listed first followed by the delay or LOS for the worst approach in parentheses. Source:Fehr&Peer<_,2015. TABLE 14 CUMULATIVE CONDITION VEHICLE QUEUE SUMMARY Cumulative Cumulative with Cumulative with Vehicle without Pro ect Pro e Project Peak Bell Intersection Movement � � �t Period Storage AM AFT AM AFT AM AFT SBLeft 235 210 190 440 300 > 560 300 Fallon Road/Central NB Right 235 25 50 25 60 30 75 Parkway WB Left 225 250 150 250 150 > 300 175 WB Thru 1,000 75 70 100 90 100 125 WB Right 250 50 40 60 50 150 50 NB -- -- -- > 300 170 > 640 275 Sunset View D�ive/ EB left 200 75 65 100 125 125 150 Central Parkway EB TH/RT 1,000 130 60 70 150 520 425 WB Left 150 -- -- 40 60 75 75 Notes: 1. 95th percentile vehicle queue presented in feet as calculated by Synchro. Some queues may be greater than shown due to software limitations. Source:Fehr&Peers,2015. Based on the resG�lts of the vehicle queue assessment, we offer the following recommendations: �� ,� 45 �astern Dub(in`'pecific P(an Ame�;dment Trnnsportatien Assessmer,t Jufy ZOiS • Extend the �outhb��und left-turn rock2t on Fallon Road at Central Park�l�ay apprcximately 200- feet. Althougn this storage IEi��th would nat accor,;r��odate the longest possii��le extents of vehicle queues, sig��al timings should be r�onitored and additioral green-time provided for the southbound left-turn movement around bell times to minimize the potential fcr vehicle queue spi!Iback to the±hrough !ane. Dual left-turn lanes are rot recommended as it v��ould require the construction of a secord receiving lane on Central Parkway and if the second lane were extended to the school entrance at Sunset View Drive, there would be lane utilization imbalances that would reduce the effectiveness of the additional lane. (This recommendation is no longer warranted based on the results presented in the East Dub(in Specific Plan Amendrnent Study- Transportation Ana(ysis Addendum, July 29, 2015. As detailed in that memorandum, the change in the school project description from a 900-student elementary school to a 400-student elementary school and a 550-student middle school reduces the overall level of trip generation and changes expected travel pattern to the school site such that southbound left-turn vehicle queues can be managed through signal timing monitoring and adjustments.) • Construct an eastbound right-t«rn only lane on Central Parkway at the Sunset View Drive intersection servinq the school site. This would allow through traffic to the residential neighborhoods to bypass potentially queued vehicles waiting to enter the school site drop- off/pick-up loop, especially during periods when the drop-off loop is in queue. To accommodate construction of the right-turn only lane,the existing Class IIa bicycle lane on eastbound Central Parkway shouid be converted into a right-turn only lane in conjunction with construction of a raised curb along the length of the turn pocket, and improvements to the Ciass I facility along the south side of Centrai Parkway. Transitions between bicycle facility types would be necessary at Fallon Road and Sunset View Drive. The design should be coordinated with the City of Dublin Transportation and Operations Manager. • Monitor traffic signal operations at the Fallon Road and Sunset View Drive intersections with Central Parkway and work with City staff to establish time of day traffic signal timing plans that best accommodate peak school traffic • Create a drop-off zone on the south side of Central Parkway along the school frontage between Sunset View Drive and Panorama Drive • Reconstruct the northbound approach to Central Parkway at Sunset View Drive (school driveway) to provide a northbound left-turn lane in addition to a through-right shared lane. At least 300 feet of vehicle storage should be provided prior to an internal driveway to the school site. • Consider providing off-set bell times for different grade levels to reduce peak period traffic volurnes The site plan should be reviewed as it is developed to ensure that the drop-off/pick-up zone is designed to accommodate peak activities, and that sufficient parking is provided to accommodate typical peak demand as weil as occasional peak demands, such as for back to school night. • 46 � E=astern Dublin Specific Plan Amendment Transportation Assessment Ju[y 2015 Pedestrian access to the school would be provided by a network of sidewalks, signalized pedestrian crossings, and unsignalized pedestrian crossings. Sidewalks are expected to be constructed as part of the school developrnent to provide access to the campus from Central Parkway. In anticipation of the school site to the east of Panorama Drive, some school related traffic signage and street markings were installed in the area. There may be relatively high levels of pedestrian activity crossing Central Parkway to access the school. To enhance pedestrian safety, the following pedestrian improvements are recommended: • Existing school related signage and street markings marking should be removed and new school crossinqs and signage should be installed within the new school zone. • To minimize pedestrian/vehicle conflicts, the final school site design should consider orienting pedestrian access away from the Sunset View Drive intersection. Pedestrian crossings should also be discouraged across the south and west legs of the Central Parkway at Sunset View Drive intersec�ion to minimize pedestrian/vehide conflicts. • Use of a crossing guard or installation of a traffic signal should be considered at the Panorama Drive intersection to provide better pedestrian access across Central Parkway to the campus. • Install a raised barrier(fence) along the median of Central Parkway from near the intersection of Fallon Road at Central Parkway to near the intersection of Panorama Drive at Central Parkway to discourage mid-block pedestrian crossings. The final location of the fence should be coordinated with the City of Dublin Transportation and Operations Manager based on a field visit. Class IIa bicycle lanes are provided on Central Parkway along the future frontage of the school. Although the eastbound bicycle lane between Fallon Road and Sunset View Drive would be eliminated to provide a right-turn only lane, parallel Class I bicycle facilities are provided. To enhance bicycle safety, the following bicycle improverrients are recommended: • A connection from Central Parkway Class I facility to the school site should be provided to facilitate bicycle travel to the campus • Provide bicycle parking r� �� 47 _. _ _... .. _._._._� a- - -_ .._ _ �_._ . ..�__ ._ . _ � . _ __ . _,-_ .. , �__ _ _ _ � Eastern Dublin Specific Plan Amendment Tronsportation Assessment � Ju(y 2015 No transit is currently provided on Centraf Parkway east of Falion Road. However, LAVTA operates routes along Fallon Road, including school-serving transit service. To accommodate transit service to the site, the following is recommended: • Coordinate with LAVTA to determine if a bus stop shouid be constructed on Central Parkway in front of the school site r� 48 �� � � � � i` P' EE � S I�f E�/I O RAN Q U M Date: July 29, 2015 To: Jerry Haag From: Kathrin Tellez, Fehr& Peers Subject: East Dublin Specific Plan Amendment Study - Transportation Analysis Addendum WC15-3236 Fehr & Peers prepared a transportation assessment for the Eastern Dublin Specific Plan (EDSP) Amendment dated July 2015 (July 2015 TIA) that evaluated the changed land use designation of an approximately 10-�cre parcel within the)ordan Ranch development of the EDSP from parks/public recreation to parks/public recreation/school. Since the preparation of that analysis, the school district provided updated school related information. The purpose of this addendum is to confiri� that the overall analysis results and conclusions presented in the luly 2015 report have not appreciably changed. The following provides a description of the proposed project changes, expected vehicle trip generation under the revised project, and results of a revised queuing assessment reflecting the changed school condition. F�R(�JECT i�ESCFtIPTI(?N Il�4DIFICt�ITC3hi5 The project evaluated in the July 2015 TIA assumed the construction of an elementary school with a maximum enrollment of 900-students. The updated information indicates that a middle school would be co-located with the elementary school v✓ith an enrollment of 400 elementary school students and 550 middle school students. None of the other project elements presented in the July 2015 report would change. � �0?rir� i�;^�.venue I Suite 600 j ���inut Crr2ef:,CA,9�5°6�(u���930-7100� Fax;925; G �3-7C�90 ,-�✓�r✓w.feh�anUpeers.com Jerry Haag July 29, 201.5 Page 2 of 5 TRIP GEI�IERATION Trip generation refers to the process of estimating the amount of activity a project might add to the local roadway network. In addition to estimates of daily traffic, estimates are also created for the peak one-hour period during the morning (7�00 to 9:00 AM) and evening (4:00 to 6:OU PM) commute hours, when traffic volumes on adjacent streets are typically at their highest. For school projects, estimates are also generated for the peak periods around bell times (7:00 to 9:00 AM and 2:00 to 4:00 PM). For this project, several sources of trip generation data were reviewed, including Fehr & Peers trip ge�neration surveys at several elementary and middle schools in the Tri-Valley Area. This data was compared to trip generation rates presented in the Institute of Transportation Engineers (ITE) Trip Generation Manuol, (9th Edition) with the resulting trip generation estimates shown in Table 1, based on the observed data at similar schools in similar areas. Additional detail regarding the elementary school trip generation rate is presented in the July 2015 TIA. For middle-schools, the observed rate was higher than the ITE average rate, but lower than the maximum ITE rate. The observed middle-school rate reflects approximately 5 percent of the student population walking to school. The observed rate was similar to other middle schools surve�yed in the area by Fehr& Peers. As shown in Table 1, the changed school type and enrollment levels would result in a net decrease in peak hour vehicle trip generation for the school site portion of the project. Trip generation for all other portions of the site would remain as presented in the July 2015 TIA. Results of the intersection analysis for the project as evaluated in the July 2015 TIA show that the proposed Eastern Dublin Specific Plan (EDSP) Amendment would not result in poor peak hour levels of service the study intersections inciuded in the analysis. The intersections closest to the school site could experience congestion around the school bell times; these conclusions do not change with the updated project description. Although the overall conclusions do not change, the reduced level of vehicle trip generation associated with the combined middle school/elementary school could change the extent of vehicle queues at the intersections that provide primary access to the school site. Therefore, a supplemental queuing assessment was conducted. J L" :er�-, ; -ag !uly`29, 2015 Faae 3 of 5 TA6LE 1 TRIP GENERATFON ESTIMATES Weekday Project ' ' Component AM Peak Hour Afternoon Peak Nour ' PM Peak Nour In Out ',' Totai In Out Total `In Out Total 400 Student Elementary 2z0 196 416 102 124 226 82 85 167 School 550 Student Middle 257 238 495 109 133 242 68 i0 138 Schocl' Total 478 433 911 21I 257 468 I50 I55 305 900 Student Elementary 496 440 936 229 280 509 184 192 376 School (from )uly 2015 7IA) Difference (Z8) (7) (25) (18) (23) (41J (34) (36) (7I) 1. 6ased on data collected in November 2012 at Stone Valley Elementary School as part of an evaluation for±he TRAFfIX school bus program. Only AM peak period data was collected. Afternoon and PM peak hour trip generation estimated based ratio of the ITE Max rate during the moming peak hour to the obsen�ed data. AM Peak Hour:T=0.90(X);Enter= 52%;Er.it=48% Afternoon Peak Hour T=0.48;Enter=45%;Exit= 55% PM Peak Hour:T=0.25;Enter=49%;Exit= 51% Source: Trip Generation Manua((9`�'Edition),ITE,2012;Fehr&Peers,)uly 2015. Jerry Haag July 29, 201.5 Page4of5 QUEUINCy A5SESSNtENT Cumulative traffic forecasts presented in the July 2015 TIA were updated to reflect the changed school trip generation. A slightly different trip distribution pattern was used to assign midclle-school related trips to the roadway network, as the middle school enrollment boundary is expected to be larger than the elementary school enrollment boundary, which would resuli: in more vehicle trips arriving to the site from the west as opposed to the north. The morning and afternoon peak hour and peak- bell period vehicle queues at intersections that provide primary access to the school site was assessed based on the changed trip distribution patterns, as presented in Table 2. TABLE 2 CUMULATIVE CONDITION VEHICLE QUEUE SUMMARY Cumulative Cumulative Cumulative with with Project Intersection Movement Vehicle without Project Project Peak Bell Storage Period AM AFT AM AFT AM AFT SB Left 235 210 190 250 250 260 225 Fallon Road/ NB Right 235 25 50 50 60 0 50 Central Parkway WB Left 225 250 150 240 150 225 150 WB Thru 1,000 75 70 150 110 130 110 WB Right 250 50 40 60 50 0 0 Sunset View NB -- -- -- > 330 170 > 680 170 Drive/Central EB left 200 75 65 100 125 100 125 Parkway EB TH/RT 1,000 130 60 120 200 525 300 WB Left 150 -- -- 100 60 125 75 Notes: 1. 95th percentile vehide queue presented in feet as calculated by Synchro. Some queues may be greater than shown due to software limitations. Source:Fehr&Peers,2015. As shown in Table 2, vehicle queues are still expected to spillback for some movements. Although the southbound left-turn movement queue at the Fallon Road/Central Parkway intersection is still expected to spillback beyond the available storage, the expected extent of the spillback is approximately 1-vehicle. This level of vehicle queue spiliback can be .�rrCj' f-',?�v �L'�y:'Q; ZG15 Paae5of5 ir;anaaed through signal timing adjus�merts, and the recommendation to extend the southbound ieft-turn pocket at the Failon Road/Centrei Park��,+ay is no longer warranted. The recommendations for the Central Parkway at Sunset Vie�v Dri��e intersection do not cf�ange based on this assessment. �Gf�CLE�S�C�ht� The results of this assessment indicate that the changed school assumptions �ti�ould not change the overall results and conclusions of the intersection level of ser��ice analysis presented in the July 2015 TIA for the Eastern Dub!in Specific Plan area. How�ever, the extent of vehicle queues, especially at the Fallon Road at Central Park��,�ay intersection are expected to be less than pre��iousiy estimated and an extension of the southbound left-turn pocket on Fallon Road at Central Parkway is not warranted based on the changed project as vehicle qucues can be managed through signal timing adjustments. This completes our reviev�� of the changed school condition within the Eastern Dublin Specific Plan area. Please call Kathrin at 925-930-7100 with ques±ions or comments. �, �� � �� � � � � ��MORaNau�n Date: luly 29, �015 To: Jerry Haag From: Kathrin Tellez, Fehr& Peers Subject: East Dublin Specific Plan Amendment Study - Transportation Analysis Addendum WC15-3236 Fehr & Peers prepared a transportation assessment for the Eastern Dublin Specific Plan (EDSP) Amendment dated July ?015 (!uly 2015 TIA) that evaluated the changed land use designation of an approxii�iately 10-acre parcel within the Jordan Ranch development of the EDSP from parks/public recreation to parks/public recreation/school. Since the preparation of that analysis, tl�e school district provided updated school related information. The purpose of this addendum is to confirm that the overail analysis results and conclusions presented in the July 2015 repoit have not appreciably changed. The following provides a desaiption of the proposed project changes, expected vehide trip generation under the revised project, and results of a revised queuing assessment reflecting the changed school condition. �i�C7JECT (�E�Cf�ffPTIC�N MOdIFYCt�ITC�tVS The project evaluated in the July 2015 TIA assumed the construction of an elementary schooi with a maximum enrollment of 900-students. The updated information indicates that a middle school would be co-located with the elementary school with an enrollment of 400 elementary school students and 550 middle school students. None of the other project elements presented in the July 2015 report would change. _��:N, _�,;,�,.��� � c�_� e r���G!, �ti��r,ut Creek, C/�94596 I �925)9�0 ;'100! k r�25�°��-?090 .,..,•;�.fehrcndpeers.con� Jerry Haag July 29, 2015 Page 2 of 5 TRIP GENERATION Trip generation refers to the process of estimating the amount of activity a project might add to the local roadway network. In addition to estimates of daily traffic, estimates are also created for the peak one-hour period during the morning (7:00 to 9:00 AM) and evening (4:00 to 6:00 PM) commute hours, when traffic volumes on adjacent streets are typically at their highest:. For school projects, estimates are also generated for the peak periods around bell times (7 00 to 9:00 AM and 2:00 to 4:00 PM). For this project, several sources of trip generation data were reviewed, including Fehr & Peers trip generation surveys at several elementary and middle schools in the Tri-Valley Area. This data was compared to trip generation rates presented in the Institute of Transportation Engineers (ITE) Trip Generation Manua(, (9th Edition) with the resulting trip generation estimates shown in Table 1, based on the observed data at similar schools in similar areas. Additional detail regarding the elementary school trip generation rate is presented in the July 2015 TIA. For middle-schools, the observed rate was higher than the ITE average rate, but lower than the maximurn ITE rate. The observed middle-school rate reflects approximately 5 percent of the student population walking to school. The observed rate was similar to other middle schools surveyed in the area by Fehr& Peers. As shown in Table l, the changed school type and enrollment levels would result in a net decrease in peak hour vehicle trip generation for the school site portion of the project. Trip generation for all other portions of the site would remain as presented in the July 2015 TIA. Results of the intersection analysis for the project as evaluated in the July 2015 TIA show that the proposed Eastern Dublin Specific Plan (EDSP) Amendment would not result in poor peak hour levels of service the study intersections included in the analysis. The intersections closest to the school site could experience congestion around the school bell times; these conclusions do not change with the updated project description. Although the overall conciusions do not change, the reduced level of vehicle trip generation associated with the combined middle school/elementary school could change the extent of vehicle queues at the intersections that provide primary access to the school site. Therefore, a supplemental queuing assessment was conducted. :erry i-iaag !ulv�9, 20i5 � Page 3 of 5 TABLE 1 TRIP GENERATION ESTIMATES Weekday Projecf pM Peak Hour Afternoon Peak Hour PM Peak Hour ' Component In Out Total In Out' Total In Out Total 400 Student Elementary 220 196 416 102 124 226 82 85 167 School 550 Student Middle 257 238 -195 109 133 242 68 70 1?8 Schooll Tota( 478 433 911 211 257 468 Z50 I55 305 900 Student Elementary qg6 440 936 229 280 509 184 192 376 School (from luly 2015 TIA) Difference (18) (7) (25) (18) (23) (41) (34) (36) (71) 1. Based on data collected in November 2012 at Stcne Valley Elementary School as part of an evaluation for the TRAFFIX school bus program. Only AM peak period data was collected. Aftemoon and PM peak hour trip generation estimated based ratio of the ITE Max rate during the morning peak hour to the observed data. AM Peak Hour.T=0.90(X);Enter= 52°ro;Er,it=48% Afternoon Peak Hour T=0.48; Enter=45°0;Exit= 55°0 PM Peak Hour.T=0.25;Enter=49%;Exit= 51°b Source:lrip Generation Manuaf(9"'Edition),ITE,2012;Fehr&Peers,July 2015. lerry Haag July 29, 201`> Page 4 of 5 QUEUING ASSESSMENT Cumulative traffic forecasts presented in the July 2015 TIA were updated to reflect the changed school trip generation. A slightly different trip distribution pattern was used to assign middle-school related trips to the roadway network, as the middle school enrollment boundary is expected to be larger than the elementary school enrollment boundary, which would result in more vehicle trips arriving to the site from the west as opposed to the north. The morninq and afternoon peak hour and peak- bell period vehicle queues at intersections that provide primary access to the school site was assessed based on the changed trip distribution patterns, as presented in Table 2. TABLE 2 CUMULATIVE CONDITION VEHICLE QUEUE SUMMARY Cumulative Cumulative Cumulative with with Project Intersecticn Movement Vehicle without Project Project Peak Bell Storage Period AM AFT AM A�T AM AFT SB Left 235 210 190 250 250 260 225 Fallon Road/ NB Right 235 25 50 50 60 0 50 Central Parkway WB Left 225 250 150 240 150 225 150 WB Thru 1,000 75 70 150 110 130 110 WB Right 250 50 40 60 50 0 0 Sunset View NB -- -- -- > 330 170 > 680 170 Drive/Central EB left 200 75 65 100 125 100 125 Parkway EB TH/RT 1,000 130 60 120 200 525 300 WB Left 150 -- -- 100 60 125 75 Notes: 1. 95th percentile vehicle queue presented in feet as calculated by Synchro. Some queues may be greater than shown due to software limitations. Source:Fehr&I'eers,2015. As shown in Table 2, vehicle queues are still expected to spi�iback for some movements. Although th� southbound left-turn movement queue at the Fallon Road/Central Parkway intersection is still expected to spillback beyond the avai�able storage, the expected extent of the spillback is approximately 1-vehicle. This level of vehicle queue spillback can be Je::ry I-'aua July 29, 2015 Pace 5 of 5 managed 'hroagh =ignal timing adjustmen*s, and the recommendation to extend the southbound ieft-t�n�n pocket at the Fai!cn RoadiCentral Parkway is no longer�varran*ed. The recommendatiors for the Central Fark�va�,� at Sun�et View Drive intersec�ion de not change based on this assessment. C�fl�CLUSTC�hlS The results of this assessment indicate that the changed school assumptions would not change the overall results and conclusions of the intersection level of service analysis presented in the July �015 TIA for the Eastern Dublin Specific Plan area. Ho�.vever, the extent of vehide queues, especiaily at the Fallon Road at Central Parkway intersection are ehpected to be less than previously estimated and an extension of the southbound left-turn pocket on Fallon Road at Central Parkvvay is not warranted based on the changed project as vehide queues can be managed threugh signal ti�7�ing adjustments. This completes our review of the changed school condition within the Eastern Dublin Specific Plan area. Please call Kathrin at 925-930-7100 with questions or comments.