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HomeMy WebLinkAboutAttach 1 Appendix DTransportation Consultants FINAL A Traffic Study For the Proposed Dublin Ranch Neighborhoods F1 & F2 Residential Development In the City of Dublin October 24, 2001 Updated February 2004 PLEASANTON · SANTA ROSA FINAL A Traffic Study For the Proposed Dublin Ranch Neighborhoods F1 & F2 Residential Development In the City of Dublin October 24, 2001 Updated February 2004 Prepared by: TJKM Transportation Consultants 5960 Inglewood Drive, Suite 100 Pleasanton CA 94588 Tel: 925.463.0611 Fax: 925.463.3690 \\pls-server~judsdiction\d\dublin\157-145 school~fr021804 1 & f2.doc TABLE OF CONTENTS INTRODUCTION AND SUMMARY ............................................................................................................... 1 INTRODUCTION .................................................................................................................................................. 1 SUMMARY .......................................................................................................................................................... 1 LEVEl, OF SERVICE ANALYSIS METHODOLOGY ................................................................................................. IMPACT CRITERIA .............................................................................................................................................. 3 TRANSPORTATION NETWORK ............................................................................................................................ 4 BASELINE CONDITIONS ................................................................................................................................ 5 RESULTS OF LEVEL OF SERVICE ANALYSIS ........................................................................................................ 6 SIGNAL WARRANT ANALYSIS ............................................................................................................................ IMPACTS OF PROPOSED PROJECT ............................................................................................................ 9 PROJECT DESCRIPTION ....................................................................................................................................... 9 TRIP GENERATION ............................................................................................................................................. 9 TRIP ASSIGNMENT ............................................................................................................................................. 9 RESULTS OF LEVEL OF SERVICE ANALYSIS ...................................................................................................... 13 SIGNAL WARRANT ANALYSIS .......................................................................................................................... 15 INTEILNAL CIRCULATION .......................................................................................................................... 15 CONCLUSIONS ................................................................................................................................................ 16 STUDY PARTICIPANTS AND REFERENCES ........................................................................................... 17 REFERENCES: ................................................................................................................................................... 17 APPENDIX A - LEVEL OF SERVICE METHODOLOGY APPENDIX B LEVEL OF SERVICE - BASELINE CONDITIONS APPENDIX C - LEVEL OF SERVICE - BASELINE PLUS PROJECT CONDITIONS LIST OF TABLES TABLE I: PEAK HOUR INTERSECTION LEVELS OF SERVICE - BASELINE CONDITIONS ............................................ 6 TABLE II: PROJECT TRIP GENERATION .................................................................................................................. 9 TABLE III: PEAK HOUR INTERSECTION LEVELS OF SERVICE - BASELINE PLUS PROJECT CONDITIONS ................ 13 LIST OF FIGURES FIGURE 1: FIGURE 2: F1GURE 3: FIGURE 4: FIGURE 5: VICINITY MAP ...................................................................................................................................... 2 BASELINE PEAK HOUR TURNING MOVEMENT VOLUMES ..................................................................... 7 SITE PLAN ........................................................................................................................................... 10 TRIP DISTRIBUTION ASSUMPTIONS ..................................................................................................... 12 BASELINE PLUS PROJECT PEAK HOUR TURNING MOVEMENT VOLUMES ............................................ 14 INTRODUCTION AND SUMMARY Introduction This report presents the results of TJKM's traffic impact analysis of the proposed Dublin Ranch Areas F 1 and F2 Residential Development in Dublin. The proposed project consists of 240 single-family dwelling units located primarily to the north of Gleason Drive between Brannigan Street and Fallon Road. TJKM's traffic study for the proposed Dublin Ranch Middle School address traffic issues related to the school development. Therefore, this study focuses on the impacts of the F1 and F2 Developments and assumes that the School is not built. The study area is sho~vn in Figure 1. The purpose of this study is to evaluate the traffic impacts of the proposed development on the nearby street system. The study approach was to determine if any nearby intersections are projected to operate at worse than Level of Service (LOS) D and to determine what mitigation would be necessary if level of service standards are exceeded. Finally, signal warrant analyses for unsignalized intersections are also included. Nine intersections were analyzed for this study. These intersections are listed belo~v and shown in Figure 1. 1. Tassajara Road/South Dublin Ranch Drive 2. Tassajara Road/Gleason Drive 3. Tassajara Road/Central Parkway 4. Tassajara Road/Dublin Boulevard 5. Grafton Street/Antone Way 6. Grafton Street/Gleason Drive* 7. Brannigan Street/Gleason Drive* 8. Grafton Street/Central Parkway* 9. Grafton Street/Kohnen Way* The intersections marked with an asterisk (*) are future intersections. The following two near-term scenarios were addressed in this study: 1. Baseline - Existing land use conditions plus future traffic from the approved and pending projects that are expected to be either fully or partially built and occupied by September of 2005. 2. Baseline plus Dublin Ranch Area F1 and F2- Identical to the Baseline Scenario, but with traffic added from the development of Dublin Ranch Area F1 and F2. Summary In summary, TJKM has reached the following conclusions regarding the proposed residential development: · Under baseline conditions, all twelve of the study intersections are expected to operate at an acceptable level of service. Dublin Ranch Neighborhoods F f & F2 Residential Development TJKM Transportation Consultants Page 1 February 18, 2004 'Q~ QION~V '~QVQN~IOVH 2SEIOHNO~I Under both the 'Baseline' and the 'Baseline plus Project' scenarios, the follo~ving unsignalized intersections do not warrant traffic signalization. · Grafton Street/Antone Way · Grafton Street/Gleason Drive · Brannigan Street/Gleason Drive · Grafton Street/Central Parkway · Grafton Street/Kohnen Way However, the intersections of Grafton Street/Gleason Drive, Brannigan Street/Gleason Drive and Grafton Street/Central Parkway should be signalized for safety reasons. To discourage cut-through traffic, all-way STOP control should be installed within the F2 Neighborhood at the intersections of Rocky Hill Way/Brodie Lane/Brodie Court and Rocky Hill Way/Ridgefield Way/Ridgefield Court. Level of Service Analysis Methodology Signalized Intersections Peak hour intersection conditions are reported as volume-to-capacity (V/C) ratios with corresponding levels of service. Level of service ratings are qualitative descriptions of intersection operations and are reported using an A through F letter rating system to describe travel delay and congestion. Level of Sen'ice (LOS) A indicates free flow conditions with little or no delay, while LOS F indicates jammed conditions with excessive delays and long back-ups. The operating conditions at signalized study intersections were evaluated using the Intersection Capacity Utilization (ICU) methodology adopted by the Contra Costa Transportation Authority (CCTA). This method provides an overall intersection level of service. Appendix A contains a detailed description of the methodology. Unsignalized Intersections At one-way and all-way STOP-controlled intersections, level of service was evaluated using the 1994 and 2000 Highway Capacity Manual (HCM) Unsignalized Intersections analysis methodology. The method ranks level of service on an A through F scale similar to that used for signalized intersections, but uses average delay in seconds as its measure of effectiveness. The 1994 HCM methodology is also described in detail in Appendix A. Impact Criteria The City of Dublin policy is to have its roadways and intersections operate no worse than LOS D. Dublin Ranch Neighborhoods F1 & F2 Residential Development TJKM Transportation Consultants Page 3 February 18, 2004 Transportation Nem'ork The proposed project and the surrounding area are illustrated in Figure 1. serving the project area are discussed be]ow. Important roadways Interstate 580 is an eight-lane east-west freeway that connects Dublin with local cities such as Livermore and Pleasanton as well as regional origins and destinations such as Oakland, Hayward and Tracy. In the vicinity of the proposed project, I-580 carries between 188,000 and 199,000 vehicles per day (vpd) (according to Caltrans' 2000 Traffic Volumes on California State Highways) with interchanges at Dougherty Road/Hopyard Road, Hacienda Drive, Tassajara Road/Santa Rita Road, and Fallon Road/E1 Charro Road. Dublin Boulevard is a major east-west arterial in the City' of Dublin. It is a four-lane road fronted largely by retail and commercial uses west of Dougherty Road. Between Dougherty Road and Tassajara Road, Dublin Boulevard is a six-lane divided arterial fronted primarily by residential, commercial and vacant lands. Dublin Boulevard extends east of Tassajara Road to Keegan Street as a four-to-five lane roadway fronted by new residential development. Average daily volume near Arnold Road is approximatelyl6,000 vehicles. Hacienda Drive is an arterial designed to provide access to 1-580. North of 1-580, Hacienda Drive is two-to-six-lane arterial running in the north-south direction from Gleason Drive southerly to 1-580. It is primarily fronted by commercial, office and residential uses. Average daily volume near Central Parkway is approximately 9,700 vehicles. South of 1-580, Hacienda Drive is a six-lane divided road, a major arterial in the City of Pleasanton designed to provide access to 1-580. Gleason Drive is an east-west four-lane road parallel to and north of Dublin Boulevard. It currently serves the Santa Rita Rehabilitation Center, the Federal Correctional Institution and the developments along Gleason Drive. Gleason Drive connects Tassajara Road with Arnold Road. Tassajara Road connects ~vith Santa Rita Road at I-580 to the south and continues north to the Town of Danville. North of the Contra Costa Count), line, it is named Camino Tassajara. Camino Tassajara is used primarily for local traffic in the Tassajara Valley, xvith some through traffic. Santa Rita Road is a six-lane divided urban arterial from the 1-580 interchange south to Valley Avenue. It serves the east side of Pleasanton, including the Hacienda Business Park, and provides access to the downtown Pleasanton area. Central Parlovay is a two-to-three lane east-west collector that extends from Arnold Road to Keegan Street (east of Tassajara Road) and being planned for an extension east of Fallon Road as part of the East Dublin Properties project. Antone Way is an east-west residential collector between Dublin Ranch Parkway and Fallon Road. Keegan Street is a two-to-three-lane north-south collector, extending northerly from Dublin Boulevard to Central Parkway. Dublin Ranch Neighborhoods F1 & F2 Residential Development TJKM Transportation Consultants Page 4 February 18, 2004 BASELINE CONDITIONS The scenario evaluates how well the study intersections serve the existing traffic plus the traffic expected to be generated from the nearby approved and pending projects. Existing turning movement counts for the existing study intersections were conducted during December 2000 by TJKM. Future traffic from the approved and the pending projects were either obtained from the previous traffic impact study, or estimated based on the information contained in Trip Generation, Sixth Edition, published by the Institute of Transportation Engineers (ITE) and the San Diego Traffic Generators, published by the San Diego Association of Governments (SanDAG). The following provides the description for some of the existing and future development expected in the vicinity of the proposed project. Hacienda Crossings Development is a 469,600-square-foot retail center. The development consists of a 120-room hotel, a 21-screen theater and a commercial center. The Hacienda Crossings site is located in the southeast corner of the Hacienda Drive and Dublin Boulevard intersection. General Motors Development consists of 75,660 square feet of new automobile dealerships and an automobile service facility on the south side of Dublin Boulevard, east of Tassajara Creek and north ofi-580. Creekside Business Park III consists of 590,000 square feet of office space located on the north side of Central Parkway bounded by Hacienda Drive on the east and Arnold Drive on the west. Koll Dublin Corporate Center consists of 590,000 square feet of office, 100,000 square feet of hotel and 7,000 square feet of retail space to be located on the south side of Dublin Boulevard bounded by Tassajara Road on the east and the General Motors Site on the west. Sybase Office Development consists of 420,000 square feet of office development located on the west side of Hacienda Drive, north of Dublin Boulevard. Villas at Santa Rita Development consists of 324 apartments (132 one-bedroom, 144 two-bedroom and 48 three-bedroom) on the east side of Hacienda Drive between Dublin Boulevard and Central Parkway. The Santa Rita Property Sites 1 lA & 1 lB development consists of 368 apartments and 341 single- family detached homes on the east side of Hacienda Drive between Gleason Drive and Central Parkway. Tassajara Meadow I project consists of 106 single-family detached homes on the west side of Tassajara Road and north of Gleason Drive Tassajara Meadows Residential Development II consists of 96 single-family detached homes located on the west side of Tassajara Road, north of Gleason Drive. Emerald Glen Development consists of 143 single-family detached and 152 townhomes to be located on the west side of Tassajara Road, north of Dublin Boulevard and south of future Central Parkway. Emerald Glen Village Development consists of 390 apartments and 132,235 square feet of retail space to be located on the west side of Tassajara Road, bounded by Dublin Boulevard on the south and Central Parkway on the north. Dublin Ranch Neighborhoods F1 & F2 Residential Development TJKM Transportation Consultants Page 5 February 18, 2004 Yarra Yarra Residential Development consists of 252 single-family detached homes and 193 townhomes to be located on the ~vest side of Tassajara Road, north of Gleason Drive. California Creekside Development consists of 154 single-family homes and 123 townhomes. Dublin Ranch Phase I Residential Development consists of 847 single-family detached homes located on the east side of Tassajara Road, north of Gleason Drive. Dublin Ranch Area A Development consists of 562 single-family detached homes to be located along both sides of Fallen Road, north of Central Parkway. Dublin Ranch Area G Development consists of 1,426 apartments to be located on the east side of Tassajara Road, north of Dublin Boulevard and south of Central Parkway. Quar0, Lane School is a private school located north of Dublin Ranch on Tassajara Road. Results of Level of Service Analysis The total of Baseline traffic volumes at the study intersections are shown in Figure 2. The results of the level of service analyses for the Baseline Scenario are shown in Table I, and detailed calculations are contained in Appendix B. Under Baseline Conditions, all study intersections operate at acceptable levels of service. TABLE I: PEAK HOUR INTERSECTION LEVELS OF SERVICE - BASELINE CONDITIONS A.M. Peak Hour P.M. Peak Hour Intersections Control * LOS * LOS Tassajara Road / So. Dublin Ranch Parkway Signal 0.65 B 0.57 A Tassajara Road / Gleason Brive Signal 0.43 A 0.53 A Tassajara Road / Central Parkway Signal 0.53 A 0.51 A Tassajara Road / Dublin Boulevard Signal 0.62 B 0.79 C 1.4 (3.8) A (A) 1.2(3.8) A (A) Grafton Street / Antone Way One-Way STOP 0.04 A 0.05 A Grafton Street / Gleason Drive Signal 0.06 A 0.08 A Brannigan Street / Gleason Drive Signal O.03 A O.O6 A Graf'ton Streel/Central Parkway Signal 7.2 A 7.2 A Grafton Street/Kohnen Way All-Way STOP Notes: * = Volume-to-capacity (V/C) ratio for signalized intersections and Average Delay in Seconds for stopping and yielding movements at STOP-controlled intersections. X.X (X.X) = Overall intersection delay or LOS (Minor Movements Delay or LOS) Dublin Ranch Neighborhoods F1 & F2 Residential Development TJKM Transportation Consultants Page 6 February 18, 2004 Intersection #1 Intersection #2 Intersection #3 Intersection #4 Intersection #5 'fassajara~S. Dublin Tassajara/Gleason Dr, TassajareJCentral Pkwy. TassjaraJDublin Grafton/Antone ~',-'~- ~'~63 (60) ~m.~' ~_ 105 (119) ~ I~ L~t~-24 (16) 113 (385)~ ~1 ~ r~' 36(lO)~ Intersection #6 Intersection #7 Intersection #8 Intersection #9 Graftort/Gleason Brannigan/Gleason Grafton/Central Grafton/Kohnen .,,~- 116 (126) ~¢-0 (1) 73 (106)-~.~J'~ ~ 5 (15)~ ~ -~ ~,-- 103 (117) 68 (91)-~l~/~' 5 (18)-~ ~ (39) 31 (31) -~1'~ 2 (6)~ ~. LEGEND · Existing Intersection "7~'~' FUTURE O Future Intersection TASSAJARA ALIGNMENT -- Existing Road ,,,.~ ,' ..... Future Road XX AM Peak Hour Volume (XX) PM Peak Hour Volume '~t to Scale L;ity of Dublin Dublin Ranch Areas F1 & F2 Baseline Peak Hour Turning Movement Volumes 157-145 - 2/17/04 - GL Figure 2 Signal Warrant Analysis Peak hour warrants contained in the Caltrans Traffic Manual were used to evaluate the need to install traffic signals at the unsignalized study intersections. Signal warrant analyses based on peak hour traffic volumes were conducted for Grafton Street/Antone Way, Grafton Street/Gleason Drive, Grafton Street/Central Parkway, Grafton Street/Kohnen Way, and Brannigan Street/Gleason Drive. The analyses revealed that none of these intersections are projected to warrant traffic signalization under baseline conditions. However, the intersections of Grafton Street/Gleason Drive, Brannigan Street/Gleason Drive and Grafton Street/Central Parkway should be signalized for safety reasons. Therefore, these three study intersections were assumed to be signalized for the level-of-service analysis. Dublin Ranch Neighborhoods F1 & F2 Residential Development TJKM Transportation Consultants Page 8 February 18, 2004 IMPACTS OF PROPOSED PROJECT Project Description The proposed project consists of 240 single-family detached homes located primarily to the north of Gleason Drive bet~veen Brannigan Street and Fallon Road. Figure 3 illustrates the site plan for the proposed project. Trip Generation The proposed development is expected to generate 2,115 daily trips, 180 trips during the a.m. peak hour and 242 trips during the p.m. peak hour. The trip generation assumptions for the project are based on information contained in Trip Generation, Sixth Edition, published by the Institute of Transportation Engineers. Table II illustrates the estimated trip generation for the proposed project. TABLE Ih PROJECT TRIP GENERATION Daily A.M. Peak Hour P.M. Peak Hour Use Size Rate Trips Rate In:Out In Out Total Rate In:Out In Out Total Single- family 240 9.57 2,297 0.75 25:75 45 135 180 1.01 64:36 155 87 242 Detached du Housing Source: Trip Generation, Institute of Transportation Engineers, Sixth Edition, 1997 Du: dwelling unit Trip Assignment Project trip distribution assumptions were developed based on existing travel patterns, knowledge of the study area, information contained in previous traffic studies and the Tri-Valley Traffic Model. The trip distribution assumptions for project trips are: 36 percent will travel on 1-580 to and from the west 15 percent will travel on 1-580 to and from the east 8 percent will travel on Hacienda Drive to and from the south · 8 percent will travel · 7 percent will travel · 6 percent will travel 5 percent xvill travel · 5 percent will travel · 4 percent will travel · 3 percent will travel · 3 percent will travel on Santa Rita Road to and from the south west on Dublin Boulevard to and from Dougherty Road and beyond on Santa Rita Road to and from the north on Hopyard Road to and from the south within the East Dublin Area on Fallon Road to and from the south to and from the East Dublin/Pleasanton BART Station. on Dougherty Road to and from the north Dublin Ranch Neighborhoods F1 & F2 Residential Development TJKM Transportation Consultants Page 9 February 18, 2004 // ,/' I / / / / / / / 'iD ~tKlO~lt Figure 4 illustrates the trip distribution assumptions for the proposed project. The project trips were assigned to the study intersections using these trip distribution assumptions to produce forecasts for project traffic volumes at all of the study intersections. The assumed street network for Baseline plus Project conditions is also shown on Figure 4. To avoid double counting of the trips between existing approved and pending developments in East Dublin and the proposed development, adjustments were made to the trip generation to account for the interaction among the projects. Fm'thermore, adjustments were made to account for how developments in East Dublin will affect traffic entering and exiting Pleasanton. The City of Pleasanton traffic model assigns most of the traffic from its future developments to 1-580 and not to East Dublin (which the model assumes has no development). With the development of East Dublin, some of the existing and future traffic from the City of Pleasanton assigned to 1-580 by the Pleasanton model will actually be destined for East Dublin. Therefore, TJKM adjusted the projected trips to account for how development in East Dublin will change the distribution of traffic entering and exiting Pleasanton in the vicinity of the Tassajara Road/Santa Rita Road/I-580 Overpass. Based on trip assignments presented in various traffic studies, TJKM estimated the number of trips from future developments in East Dublin exiting and entenng Pleasanton. To avoid double counting of trips, for each trip exiting Pleasanton and destined for East Dublin, an equivalent amount of outbound trips xvas removed from the eastbound and westbound I-580 and appropriate ramps. For each trip entering Pleasanton from future developments in East Dublin, an equivalent amount of inbound trips was removed from 1-580. With the current congestion on westbound 1-580 during the a.m. peak hour and eastbound 1-580 during the p.m. peak hour, the Pleasanton model assigns 20% of Pleasanton traffic to Santa Rita/Tassajara Road/I-580 interchange, 70% to the Hacienda Drive/I-580 interchange and 10% to the Hopyard Road/Dougherty Road/I-580 interchange in the peak direction. TJKM applied these same percentages xvhen removing inbound and outbound trips from 1-580. Dublin Ranch Neighborhoods F1 & F2 Residential Development TJKM Transportation Consultants Page 11 February 18, 2004 Results of Level of Service Analysis Figure 5 illustrates the peak hour turning movements for this scenario. The results of the level of service analysis performed for this scenario are contained in Table III and detailed calculations are contained in Appendix C. Under this scenario, all study intersections are expected to continue to operate at acceptable level of service. The level of service for all study intersections remains essentially the same, with the volume-to-capacity ratio (V/C ratio) at the signalized intersections increasing by no more than 0.03. Therefore, the proposed residential project is not considered to cause any traffic impact on the nearby road network. TABLE III: PEAK HOUR INTERSECTION LEVELS OF SERVICE ~ BASELINE PLUS PROJECT CONDITIONS Assumed A.M. Peak Hour P.M. Peak Hour Intersections Control * LOS * LOS 1 Tassajara Road / So. Dublin Ranch Pkwy. Signal 0.65 B 0.58 A 2 Tassajara Road / Gleason Drive Signal 0.44 A 0.56 A 3 Tassajara Road / Central Parkway Signal 0.56 A 0.54 A 4 Tassajara Road / Dublin Boulevard Signal 0.65 B 0.81 D 1.4 (3.8) A (A) 1.2 (3.8) A (A) 5 Graftoa Street / Antone Way One-Way STOP 0.08 A 0,O9 A 6 Grafton Street / Gleason Drive Signal 0.11 A 0.16 A 7 Brannigan Street / Gteason Drive Signal 0.03 A 0.06 A 8 Grafton Street/Central Parkway Signal 9 Graflon Street/Kohnen Way All-Way STOP 7.6 A 7.2 A Notes: * = Volume-to-capaci~ (V/C) ratio for signalized intersections and Average Delay in Seconds for stopping and yielding movements at STOP*controlled intersections. X.X (X.X) = Overall intersection delay or LOS (Minor Movements Delay or LOS) Dublin Ranch Neighborhoods F1 & F2 Residential Development TJKM Transportation Consultants Page 13 February 18, 2004 Intersection #1 Intersection #2 Intersection #3 Intersection #4 Intersection #5 Tassajara/S. Dublin Tassajara/Gleason Dr. Tassajara/Central Pkwy, Tassjara/Dublin Grafton/Antone ~"m-~" I ~_ 54 (54) c4,,- .,-i.~_45 (28) .~' I~ ~} ~- 178 (220) 36 39) ~ 7 (46) 62 (73)~ ~'~ ;- t~l--45 (12) ~' ~ "~ t ~- 206 (240) 128 (489)-~ I'% '~ ,~' 243 ~1(42~I, ~ ~"--~-~'~ Intersection #6 Intersection #7 Intersection #8 Intersection #9 Grafton/Gieason Brannigan/Gleason Grafton/Central Graflon/Kohnen roc4oJ ~_1 (2) 12 (43)~4 '%'~ 78 (120)_~'1 ~-~-- ~-'-~-.~ I ~_ 1 (1) °,~,° t~--2 (2) 1 (0)~ '~- 39 (39) 31 (31)~1'~I 2 (8)~.~ ~ LEGEND · Existing Intersection O Future Intersection I-- Existing Road ..... Future Road CQUARRY LN SCHOOL DRW~ City of Dublin Dublin Ranch Areas F1 & F2 Baseline + Project Peak Hour Turning Movement Volumes 157-145 - 2]17/04 - GL Figure 5 Signal Warrant Analysis Peak hour signal warrant analyses revealed that none of the unsignalized study intersections are projected to warrant traffic signalization under Baseline plus Project conditions. However, the intersections of Graflon Street/Gleason Drive, Brannigan Street/Gleason Drive and Grafton Street/Central Parkway should be signalized for safety reasons. Therefore, these three study intersections were assumed to be signalized for the level-of-service analysis. Internal Circulation To discourage cut-through traffic, all-way STOP control should be installed within the F2 Neighborhood at the intersections of Rocky Hill Way/Brodie Lane/Brodie Court and Rocky Hill Way/Ridgefield Way/Ridgefield Court. Traffic calming devices (such as the "traffic oval" shown on the site plan) should be considered along Rocky Hill Way and Ridgefield Way in the F2 Neighborhood to discourage speeding. Dublin Ranch Neighborhoods F1 & F2 Residential Development TJKM Transportation Consultants Page 15 February 18, 2004 CONCLUSIONS In summary, TJKM has reached the follo~ving conclusions regarding the proposed residential development: · Under the Baseline condition, all twelve of the study intersections operate at an acceptable level of service. With the additional traffic from the proposed project, all nine of the study intersections are projected to continue to operate at acceptable levels of service. Therefore, the project is not considered to cause significant traffic impact on the study intersections. Under both the 'Baseline' and the 'Baseline plus Project' scenarios, none of the unsignalized study intersections are projected to warrant traffic signalization. However, the intersections of Grafton Street/Gleason Drive, Brannigan Street/Gleason Drive and Grafton Street/Central Parkway should be signalized for safety reasons. To discourage cut-through traffic, all-way STOP control should be installed at the intersections of Rocky Hill Way/Brodie Lane/Brodie Court and Rocky Hill Way/Ridgefield Way/Ridgefield Court. · Traffic calming devices should be considered along Rocky Hill Way and Ridgefield Way to discourage speeding. Dublin Ranch Neighborhoods F1 & F2 Residential Development TJKM Transportation Consultants Page 16 February 18, 2004 STUDY PARTICIPANTS AND REFERENCES TJKM Personnel: Gordon Lum, P.E., Project Director Pratyush Bhatia, Project Engineer Geri Foley, Graphics Designer Lily Moore, Word Processor Persons/Agencies Consulted: Mr. Dave Chadboume, MacKay & Somps Mr. Rod Andrade, MacKay & Somps Mr. Peter Quady, MacKay & Somps Mr. Ray Kuzbari, City of Dublin Mr. Mike Porto, City of Dublin Mr. Paul Kruger, City of Dublin References: Trip Generation, Sixth Edition, Institute of Transportation Engineers, 1997 Highway Capacity Manual, Special Report No. 209, Transportation Research Board, 1994 and 2000 Traffic Manual, Caltrans, 1992 A Traffic Impact Study for the Villas at Santa Rita Apartments, TJKM, March 1997 A Traffic Impact Study for Santa Rita Property' Sites JlA and llB Development, TJKM, October 1997 A Traffic Impact Study for Casterson Property Residential Development, TJKM, November 1997 A Traffic Impact Study for Creekside Business Park IIIDevelopment, TJKM, March 1998 A Traffic lmFact Study for General Motors' Development, TJKM, July 1998 A Traffic Impact Study for Koll Dublin Corporate Center Development, TJKM, July 1998 A Traffic Impact Study for Dublin Ranch Phase IResidential Development, TJKM, July 1998 A Traffic Impact Study for EmeraM Glen Residential Development, TJKM, February 1999 A Traffic Impact Study for Yarra Yarra Residential Development, TJKM, January 1999 A Traffic Study for the Proposed Dublin Ranch Areas F-H, TJKM, September 1999 Dublin Ranch Neighborhoods F1 & F2 Residential Development TJKM Transportation Consultants Page 17 February 18, 2004 Transportation Consultants FINAL A Traffic Study For the Proposed Dublin Ranch Middle School In the City of Dublin October 23, 2001 Updated February 2004 PLEASANTON · SANTA ROSA FINAL A Traffic Study For the Proposed Dublin Ranch Middle School In the City of Dublin October 23, 2001 Updated February 2004 Prepared by: TJKM Transportation Consultants 5960 Inglewood Drive, Suite 100 Pleasanton CA 94588 Tel: 925.463.0611 Fax: 925.463.3690 \\pls-serveg, judsdiction\d\dublin\157-145 schoob?.O04 reports\r021804 school.doc TABLE OF CONTENTS INTRODUCTION AND SUMMARY ............................................................................................................... 1 INTRODUCTION .................................................................................................................................................. 1 SUMMARY .......................................................................................................................................................... 4 EXISTING CONDITIONS ................................................................................................................................. 5 EXISTING TRANSPORTATION 1NETWORK ............................................................................................................. LEVEL OF SERVICE ANALYSIS METIIODOLOGY ................................................................................................. 6 IMPACT CRITERIA .............................................................................................................................................. 6 BASELINE CONDITIONS ................................................................................................................................ 7 RESULTS OF LEVEL OF SERVICE ANALYSIS ........................................................................................................ TRAFFIC SIGNAL WARRANT ANALYSIS ...........................................................................................................10 IMPACTS OF PROPOSED PROJECT .......................................................................................................... 11 PROJECT DESCRIPTION ..................................................................................................................................... 11 MODE SPLIT ..................................................................................................................................................... 1 1 TR~ GENE~TION ........................................................................................................................................... 12 TR~ DISTRIBUTION AND ASSIGNMENT ............................................................................................................ 13 DRWEWAY LOCATIONS ................................................................................................................................... 16 DROP-OFF/PICK-UP CIRCULATION ................................................................................................................... 16 ON-SITE AND SPEC~L EVENT PA~G .......................................................................................................... 16 PEDESTRIANS ................................................................................................................................................... 16 B~CYCLES ......................................................................................................................................................... 17 T~4NSIT ........................................................................................................................................................... 1 LEVEL OF SERVICE ANALYSIS .......................................................................................................................... 17 T~FFIC SIGNAL WA~NT ANALYSIS ........................................................................................................... BUILDOUT CONDITIONS (6-8 SCHOOL) ............................................................................................................. 20 TRAFFIC SIGNAL WAR~NT ANALYSIS ...........................................................................................................21 CONCLUSIONS ................................................................................................................................................ 23 STUDY PARTICIPANTS AND REFERENCES ........................................................................................... 24 TJKM PERSONNEL: ......................................................................................................................................... 24 PERSONS/AGENCIES CONSULTED ..................................................................................................................... 24 REFERENCES .................................................................................................................................................... 24 APPENDIX A - DESCRIPTION OF THE LEVEL OF SERVICE METHODOLOGY APPENDIX B - RESULTS OF THE INTERSECTION CAPACITY ANALYSIS - BASELINE CONDITIONS APPENDIX C - MODE SPLIT A2qD TRIP GENERATION CALCULATIONS APPENDIX D - RESULTS OF THE INTERSECTION CAPACITY ANALYSIS - BASELINE PLUS AREA Fi & F2 PLUS K THROUGH 8TM GRADE APPENDIX E - RESULTS OF THE INTERSECTION CAPACITY ANALYSIS - BUILDOUT CONDITIONS LIST OF TABLES TABLE I: PEAK HOUR INTERSECTION LEVELS OF SERVICE- BASELINE CONDITIONS ............................................ 8 TABLE II: PROJECTED STUDENT ARRIVAL/DEPARTURE MODES ......................................................................... 11 TABLE III: PEAK HOUR PROJECT AUTOMOBILE TRIP GENERATION .................................................................... 12 TABLE IV: PEAK HOUR INTERSECTION LEVELS OF SERVICE - BASELINE PLUS AREAS F1 & F2 PLUS K THROUGH 8TM GRADE ................................................................................................................................................... 19 TABLE V: PEAK HOUR INTERSECTION LEVELS OF SERVICE - BUILDOUT ............................................................ 21 LIST OF FIGURES FIGURE 1: VICINITY MAP ...................................................................................................................................... 2 FIGURE 2: STUDY INTERSECTIONS ......................................................................................................................... 3 FIGURE 3: BASELINE AM PEAK HOUR TURNING MOVEMENT VOLUMES .............................................................. 9 FIGURE 4 A: K-8TH GRADE SCHOOL ATTENDANCE AREA & ASSUMED STREET NETWORK ............................... 14 FIGURE 4 B: 6TH-8TH GRADE SCHOOL ATTENDANCE AREA & ASSUMED STREET NETWORK ............................ 15 FIGURE 5: BASELINE + AREA F 1 & F2 + K-8 AM PEAK HOUR TURNrNG MOVEMENT VOLUMES ...................... 18 FIGURE 6: BUILDOUT AM PEAK HOUR TURNING MOVEMENT VOLUMES ........................................................... 22 INTRODUCTION AND SUMMARY Introduction This report presents the results of TJKM's traffic impact analysis of the proposed Dublin Ranch Middle School in the City of Dublin. The school is expected to have a capacity for up to 1,200 students on an approximately 24-acre site to be located on the southwest quadrant of South Dublin Ranch Drive and Graflon Street. A Traffic Study for the Proposed Dublin Ranch Neighborhoods F1 and F2 Residential Development, prepared by TJKM, addresses traffic issues related to the proposed single-family home development in the neighborhoods to the south and east of the school. This report will examine the impact of the proposed school assuming the F 1 and F2 Neighborhoods are built and occupied. The traffic impact analysis will be two pronged. The first scenario will evaluate the school as a kindergarten through 8th grade (K-8) institution as of September 2005. The second scenario will examine the school for grades 6 through 8 (6-8) based on the buildout of all residential units in the middle school's attendance area. The proposed location for the school is shown in Figure 1. The purpose of this study is to evaluate the traffic impacts of the proposed school on the nearby street system. The study approach was to determine if any nearby intersections are projected to operate at worse than Level of Service (LOS) D and to determine what mitigation would be necessary if level of service standards are exceeded. The study also includes roadway segment level of service analysis for key roadway segments within the study area. Ten intersections were analyzed for this study. These intersections are listed below and shown in Figure 2. 1. Tassajara Road / South Dublin Ranch Parkway 2. Tassajara Road / Gleason Drive 3. Tassajara Road / Central Parkway 4. Tassajara Road / Dublin Boulevard 5. Grafton Street / Antone Way 6. Grafton Street / Gleason Drive* 7. Brannigan Street / Gleason Drive* 8. School Driveway Out / Kohnen Way* 9. Grafton Street / Central Parkway* 10. Grafton Street / Kohnen Way* The intersections marked with an asterisk (*) are future intersections. The near-term scenarios include approved and pending projects that may be built and fully occupied within the next 10 years. This study recommends the minimum required lane geometry for the near term scenario. Ultimate lane requirements should be based on Year 2020 traffic volumes from the Tri-Valley Traffic Model. The following three near-term scenarios were addressed in the study: 1. Baseline - Existing land use conditions plus future traffic from the approved and pending projects that are expected to be built and at least partially occupied by September of 2005. Traffic Study for the Proposed Dublin Ranch Middle School TJKM Transportation Consultants Page 1 February 18, 2004 0 0 e- "Z'e° i 'O~ OqON~V ~SUOHNOIdl sn~::l¥~ ~O 'WOVQN31OVH 0 0 c- O Baseline plus Area F1 and F2 plus K-8 - Identical to the Baseline Scenario, but with traffic added from the development of Dublin Ranch Area F 1 and F2 Neighborhoods and school for kindergarten through 8th grade. Buildout plus Area F1 and F2 plus 6-8 - Assumes that all of the Baseline residential and commercial projects are fully occupied and utilized, respectively. Dublin Ranch Area F1 and F2 Neighborhoods fully occupied as well as the Middle School for grades 6 through 8 only. Summary h~ summary, TJKM has reached the following conclusions regarding the proposed middle school development: · Under the Baseline condition, all of the twelve study intersections operate at an acceptable level of service. With the additional traffic from the proposed school, all of the twelve study intersections are projected to continue to operate at acceptable level of service. Therefore, the school is not considered to cause significant traffic impact on the study intersections. · Under the 'Baseline', 'Baseline plus F1 & F2 plus School K-8' and 'Buildout' scenarios, all the following unsignalized intersections do not warrant traffic signalization. · Grafton Street/Antone Way · Graflon Street/Gleason Drive · Brannigan Street/Gleason Drive · Grafton Street/Central Parkway · Graflon Street/Kohnen Way However, the intersections of Grafton Street/Gleason Drive, Brannigan Street/Gleason Drive and Grafton Street/Central Parkway should be signalized for safety reasons. The intersection ofKohnen Way/Grafton Street and the Future School Exit/Kohnen Way should be all- way STOP controlled. The northbound approaches on Shelton Lane and Thomdike Lane should be STOP controlled at Kohnen Way. Mid-block crosswalks not controlled by STOP signs should not be installed in the vicinity of the school. · An eastbound left-mm lane should be installed on Kohnen Way between Shelton Lane and the School Entrance Driveway. With the school open, parking should be prohibited on the both sides of Kohnen Way between the School Exit Driveway and Grafton Street. The north side of Kohnen Way between the driveways for the school loop road will be used as a loading zone by Livermore-Amador Valley Transportation Agency (LAVTA) buses. Traffic Study for the Proposed Dublin Ranch Middle School TJKM Transportation Consultants Page 4 February 18, 2004 EXISTING CONDITIONS Existing Transportation Network The proposed project and the surrounding area are illustrated in Figure 2. project area are discussed below. Important roadways serving the Interstate 580 is an eight-lane east-~vest freeway that connects Dublin with local cities such as Livermore and Pleasanton as well as regional origins and destinations such as Oakland, Hayward and Tracy. In the vicinity of the proposed project, I-580 carries between 188,000 and 199,000 vehicles per day (vpd) (according to Caltrans' 2000 Traffic Volumes on California State Highways) with interchanges at Dougherty Road/Hopyard Road, Hacienda Drive, Tassajara Road/Santa Rita Road, and Fallon Road/E1 Charro Road. Dublin Boulevard is a major east-west arterial in the City of Dublin. It is a four-lane road fronted largely by retail and commercial uses west of Dougherty Road. Between Dougherty Road and Tassaj ara Road, Dublin Boulevard is a six-lane divided arterial fronted primarily by residential, commercial and vacant lands. Dublin Boulevard extends east of Tassajara Road to Keegan Street as a four-to-five lane roadway fronted by new residential development. Average daily volume near Arnold Road is approxirnatelyl 6,000 vehicles. Hacienda Drive is an arterial designed to provide access to 1-580. North ofi-580, Hacienda Drive is two- to-six-lane arterial running in the north-south direction from Gleason Drive southerly to 1-580. It is primarily fronted by commercial, office and residential uses. Average daily volume near Central Parkway is approximately 9,700 vehicles. South ofi-580, Hacienda Drive is a six-lane divided road, a major arterial in the City of Pleasanton designed to provide access to 1-580. Gleason Drive is an east-west four-lane road parallel to and north of Dublin Boulevard. It currently serves the Santa Rita Rehabilitation Center, the Federal Correctional Institution and the developments along Gleason Drive. Gleason Drive connects Tassajara Road with Arnold Road. Tassajara Road connects with Santa Rita Road at 1-580 to the south and continues north to the Town of Danville. North of the Contra Costa County line, it is named Camino Tassajara. Camino Tassajara is used primarily for local traffic in the Tassajara Valley, with some through traffic. Santa Rita Road is a six-lane divided urban arterial from the 1-580 interchange south to Valley Avenue. It serves the east side of Pleasanton, including the Hacienda Business Park, and provides access to the downtown Pleasanton area. Central Parkway is a two-to-three lane east-west collector that extends from Arnold Road to Keegan Street (east of Tassajara Road) and being planned for an extension east of Fallon Road as part of the East Dublin Properties project. Antone Way is an east-west residential collector between Dublin Ranch Parkway and Fallon Road. Keegan Street is a two-to-three-lane north-south collector, extending northerly from Dublin Boulevard to Central Parkway. Traffic Study for the Proposed Dublin Ranch Middle School TJKM Transportation Consultants Page 5 February 18, 2004 Level of Service Analysis Methodology Signalized Intersections Peak hour intersection conditions are reported as volume-to-capacity (V/C) ratios with corresponding levels of setwrice. Level of service ratings are qualitative descriptions of intersection operations and are reported using an A through F letter rating system to describe travel delay and congestion. Level of Service (LOS) A indicates free floxv conditions with little or no delay, while LOS F indicates jammed conditions with excessive delays and long back-ups. The operating conditions at signalized study intersections were evaluated using the Intersection Capacity Utilization (ICU) methodology adopted by the Contra Costa Transportation Authority (CCTA). This method provides an overall intersection level of service. Appendix A contains a detailed description of the methodology. Unsignalized Intersections At one-way and all-way STOP-controlled intersections, level of service was evaluated using the1994 and 2000 HCM Unsignalized Intersections analysis methodology. The method ranks level of service on an A through F scale similar to that used for signalized intersections, but uses average delay in seconds as its measure of effectiveness. The 1994 HCM methodology is also described in detail in Appendix A. Impact Criteria The City of Dublin policy is to have its roadways and intersections operate no worse than LOS D. Traffic Study for the Proposed Dublin Ranch Middle School TJKM Transportation Consultants Page 6 February18,2004 BASELINE CONDITIONS The scenario evaluates how well the study intersections serve the existing traffic plus the traffic expected to be generated from the nearby approved and pending projects. Existing turning movement counts for the existing study intersections were conducted during December 2000 by TJKM. Future traffic from the approved and the pending projects are either obtained from the previous traffic impact study, or estimated based on the information contained in Trip Generation, Sixth Edition, published by the Institute of Transportation Engineers (ITE) and the San Diego Traffic Generators, published by the San Diego Association of Governments (SanDAG). The following provides the description for some of the existing and future development expected in the vicinity of the proposed project. Hacienda Crossings Development is a 469,600-square-foot retail center. The development consists of a 120-room hotel, a 21-screen theater and a commercial center. The Hacienda Crossings site is located in the southeast comer of the Hacienda Drive and Dublin Boulevard intersection. General ~¥lotors Development consists of 75,660 square feet of new automobile dealerships and an automobile service facility on the south side of Dublin Boulevard, east of Tassajara Creek and north of 1- 580. Creeks'ide Business Park II! consists of 590,000 square feet of office space located on the north side of Central Parkway bounded by Hacienda Drive on the east and Arnold Drive on the west. Koll Dublin Corporate Center consists of 590,000 square feet of office, 100,000 square feet of hotel and 7,000 square feet of retail space to be located on the south side of Dublin Boulevard bounded by Tassajara Road on the east and the General Motors Site on the west. Sybase Office Development consists of 420,000 square feet of office development located on the west side of Hacienda Drive, north of Dublin Boulevard. Villas at Santa Rita Development consists of 324 apartments (132 one-bedroom, 144 two-bedroom and 48 three-bedroom) on the east side of Hacienda Drive between Dublin Boulevard and Central Parkway. The Santa Rita Property Sites 1 lA & 1 lB development consists of 368 apartments and 341 single-family detached homes on the east side of Hacienda Drive between Gleason Drive and Central Parkway. Tassajara Meadow I project consists of 106 single-family detached homes on the west side of Tassajara Road and north of Gleason Drive Tassajara Meadows Residential Development II consists of 96 single-family detached homes located on the west side of Tassajara Road, north of Gleason Drive. Emerald Glen Residential Development consists of 143 single-family detached and 152 townhomes to be located on the west side of Tassajara Road, north of Dublin Boulevard and south of future Central Parkway. Emerald Glen Village Development consists of 390 apartments and 132,235 square feet of retail space to be located on the west side of Tassajara Road, bounded by Dublin Boulevard on the south and Central Parkway on the north. Traffic Study for the Proposed Dublin Ranch Middle School TJKM Transportation Consultants Page 7 February 18, 2004 Yarra Yarra Residential Development consists of 252 single-family detached homes and 193 townhomes to be located on the west side of Tassajara Road, north of Gleason Drive. California Creekside Residential Development consists of 154 single-family detached homes and 123 townhomes. Dublin Ranch Phase [Residential Development consists of 847 single-family detached homes located on the east side of Tassajara Road, north of Gleason Drive. Dublin Ranch Area A Development consists of 562 single-family detached homes to be located along both sides of Fallen Road, north of Central Parkway. Dublin Ranch Area G Development consists of 1,426 apartments to be located on the east side of Tassajara Road, north of Dublin Boulevard and south of Central Parkway. Quarry Lane School is a private school located north of Dublin Ranch on Tassajara Road. Results of Level of Service Analysis The Baseline traffic volumes at the study intersections are shown in Figure 3. The results of the level of service (LOS) analyses for the Baseline Scenario are shown in Table I, and detailed calculations are contained in Appendix B. The LOS was calculated for only the a.m. peak hour because schools are typically dismissed prior to the p.m. peak commute period. Under Baseline Conditions, all study intersections operate at acceptable levels of service. TABLE I: PEAK HOUR INTERSECTION LEVELS OF SERVICE - BASELINE CONDITIONS A.M. Peak Hour Intersections Control * LOS 1 Tassajara Road / South Dublin Ranch Parkway Signal 0.65 B 2 Tassajara Road / Gleason Drive Signal 0.43 A 3 Tassajara Road / Central Parkway Signal 0.53 A 4 Tassajara Road / Dublin Boulevard Signal 0.62 B 5 Graflon Street / Antone Way One-Way STOP 1.4 (3.8) A (A) 6 Graflon Street / Gleason Drive Signal 0.04 A 7 Brannigan Street / Gleason Drive Signal 0.09 A 9 Grafton Street/Central Parkway Signal 0.03 A 10 Graf'ton Street/Kohnen Way Ali-Way STOP 7.2 A Notes: Volume-to-capacity (V/C) ratio for signalized intersections and Average Delay in Seconds for stopping and yielding movements at STOP-controlled intersections. X.X (X.X) = Overall intersection delay or LOS (Minor Movements Delay or LOS) Traffic Study for the Proposed Dublin Ranch Middle School TJKM Transportation Consultants Page 8 February 18, 2004 Intersection #1 Intersection #2 Intersection #3 intersection #4 Intersection #5 Tassajara/S. Dublin TassajareJGleason Dr. Tassajara/Central Pkwy. Tassjara/Dublin Graffor~Antone %'T'F 1~-45 ~¢ ,~ '-~.1 ~"- 178 7~ 62~ Intersection #6 Intersection #7 intersection #9 Intersection #10 Grafton/Gleason Brannigan/Gleason Grafton/Central Grafton/Kohnen F~16 73--~,- '~ ~ 5~ Z~ ~- 39 LEGEND · Existing Intersection O Future Intersection -- Existing Road ..... Future Road North "~t to Scale City of Dublin Proposed Dublin Ranch Middle School Baseline AM Peak Hour Turning Movement Volumes 157-145 - 2/17/04 - GL Figure 3 Traffic Signal Warrant Analysis Peak hour warrants contained in the Caltrans Traffic Manual were used to evaluate the need to install traffic signals at the unsignalized study intersections. Signal warrant analyses based on peak hour traffic volumes were conducted for Grafton Street/Antone Way, Grafton Street/Gleason Drive, Grafton Street/Central Parkway, Grafton Street/Kohnen Way, Brannigan Street/Gleason Drive and Grafton Street/Kohnen Way. The analyses revealed that none of these intersections are projected to warrant traffic signalization under Baseline conditions. However, the intersections of Grafton Street/Gleason Drive, Brannigan Street/Gleason Drive and Grafton Street/Central Parkway should be signalized for safety reasons. Therefore, these three study intersections were assumed to be signalized for the level-of- service analysis. Traffic Study for the Proposed Dublin Ranch Middle School TJKM Transportation Consultants Page 10 February 18, 2004 IMPACTS OF PROPOSED PROJECT Project Description Dublin Ranch Middle School is proposed to be open in September 2005 initially as a kindergarten through 8th grade school with approximately 1,100 students, with the ultimate capacity for 1,200 middle school students. The proposed school is bounded on the north by South Dublin Ranch Drive, on the east by Grafton Street and on the south by Kohnen Way. A 50-acre high school site with the capacity for approximately 985 students was originally assumed for this site in the East Dublin Specific Plan and analyzed in the E1R. Based on standard rates published in Institute of Transportation Engineers (ITE) Trip Generation, 6m Edition, it would be reasonable to assume that the traffic impacts associated with a 985- student high school would be approximately the same, if not less, than a 1,200-student middle school. Mode Split Student arrivals occur via several travel modes: automobile (parent pick-up/drop-off), bus, bicycle, roller blades, and foot travel. Typically, more children leave school in the afternoon by foot and bus than arrive by these modes in the morning peak. This result is to be expected, as more parents are able to take children to school in the morning in conjunction with work trips (or to avoid colder weather). Based on where students are anticipated to live, mode split estimates were developed for the proposed school. Table 1I illustrates the estimated mode splits for the morning and afternoon school peaks for the proposed school, while it is serving kindergarten though 8th graders (K-8). The amount of students arriving by automobile is consistent with the findings of the 2000-01 California Statewide HousehoM Travel Survey published by the California Department of Transportation (Caltrans). TABLE II: PROJECTED STUDENT ARRIVAL/DEPARTURE MODES Percent Mode Morning Afternoon (Arrival) (Departure) Automobile 71% 66 % Foot/Roller Blade 16 % 20 % Bicycle 8 % 8 % Bus (public transit) 5 % 6 % TOTAL 100 % 100 % Traffic Study for the Proposed Dublin Ranch Middle School TJKM Transportation Consultants Page 11 February 18, 2004 Trip Generation Trip generation is defined as the number of one-way vehicle trips produced by a particular land use or study site. The total number of peak hour vehicle trips generated by the school is split into inbound and outbound traffic for both the a.m. and p.m. peak hours. The trip generation estimates assume that the a.m. school peak hour xvill coincide with the a.m. peak hour for nearby streets. Trip generation for the proposed school is based on the density of residential units that will be served by the school. Based on School Facility Needs Analysis for Dublin Unified School District, July 2003, prepared by Shilts Consultants, the following generation rates per type of dwelling unit (d.u.) were used for kindergarten through 5th grade: Single-family = 0.36 student/d.u. · Single-family Small Lot = 0.36 studenEd.u. · Townhouse = 0.14 student/d.u. · Multi-family = 0.07 student/d.u. Similarly, the following student generation rates per type of dwelling unit were used for grades 6th through Single-family = 0.17 student/d.u. · Single-family Small Lot = 0.17 student/d.u. · Townhouse = 0.05 student/d.u. · Multi-family = 0.04 student/d.u. The following assumptions were made for the proposed school: · student enrollment (assumed to be 1,100 for K-8 in 9/04 and ultimately 1,200 for 6th - 8t~' grades ), · daily absentee rate (assumed to be five percent of enrollment), · average number of students per vehicle during the morning (assumed to be 1.7 per vehicle), · average number of students per vehicle during the afternoon (assumed to be 2.0 per vehicle), and · number of faculty and staff members (assumed one faculty-staff per 17 students). Based on the above assumptions, the estimated automobile trip generation for the proposed school is approximately 930 trips during the a.m. street peak hour when the school is K-8 and 1,020 trips when it becomes a 6th-8th school. The p.m. street peak hour is assumed not to correspond with the p.m. school peak hour. A summary of the automobile trip generation assumptions for the proposed school is contained in Table III. The vehicle trips represented in the table include trips generated by students and faculty/staff, with the assumption that all members of the faculty/staff ~vill drive alone and arrive during the a.m. peak hour. Detailed mode split and trip generation calculations are contained in Appendix C for both K-8 and 6% 8th school scenarios. TABLE III: PEAK HOUR PROJECT AUTOMOBILE TRIP GENERATION A.M. Peak Hour P.M. School Peak Hour Use Size In:Out In Out Total In:Out In Out Total K. - 8th School 1,100 53:47 498 436 934 46:54344 407 751 6t~ - 8th School 1,200 53:47 543 474 1,017 46:54375 443 818 Traffic Study for the Proposed Dublin Ranch Middle School TJKM Transportation Consultants Page 12 February 18, 2004 Trip Distribution and Assignment Trip distribution is the process of determining in what proportion of vehicle trips will travel between different locations within a traffic study area. Trip assignment is the allocation of vehicle trips to available routes (local streets) between locations in the traffic study area. To aid in the determination of trip distribution, the area that would be served by the proposed school was divided into 12-traffic analysis zones, w/th each zone representing subdivisions or other residential units that will be served by the school. As shown on Figures 4a for the K-8 school and 4b for the 6-8 school, the following subdivisions are assumed to be within the school boundary. The following estimate of occupied units by September 2005 is based on information provided by MacKay and Somps. By 2005, these units are expected to generate k-8th students at Dublin Ranch School except for four zones (1,2 3 and 11) where the units will send k-5th students to Dougherty School (as noted below). However, the 6th through 8th students in these four zones are assumed to attend Dublin Ranch School in 2005 and beyond. Zone 1: California Creekside, Archstone, Jefferson, and Summer Glen (238 single-family (SF), 263 small lot single family (SSF), 123 townhouses (TH), and 693 multi-family (MF)). K-5th students in this zone will attend Dougherty School. Zone 2: Greenbriar, Tassajara Meadows Phases 1 and 2 (406 SSF, 154 TH). K-5th students in this zone will attend Dougherty School. Zone 3: Toll Brothers and Shea Apartments (143 SSF, 152 TH, 390 MF). K-5th students in this zone will attend Dougherty School. Zone 4: Dublin Ranch Phase 1 (568 SF, 279 SSF) Zone 5: Dublin Ranch Areas F and G (115 SSF and 842 MF) Zone 6: Dublin Ranch Areas B and C (96 SSF and 92 MF) Zone 7: Dublin Ranch Area A (337 SF) Zone 8: Dublin Ranch Area F2 (119 SF) Zone 9: Dublin Ranch Area F1 (102 SF) Zone 10: Di Manto Property (26 SSF) Zone 11: Transit Center (300 MF). (K-5th students in this zone will attend Dougherty School). Zone 12: Northern Properties (0 unit) A total of 2,317 dwelling units are assumed to be served by the K-8 school. The 12 zones are assumed to be 100 percent occupied for the middle school (6th-8t~ grades). Traffic Study for the Proposed Dublin Ranch Middle School TJKM Transportation Consultants Page 13 February 18, 2004 [mm~ ~o '3AV NV~)IO¥~ '~la VGN~IOVH ~ ,mm)~mm '3A¥ N¥~IQV~ L TM '(3~1 QlONl::J¥ 0 · au X.LU3HDnOQ Driveway Locations Dublin Unified School District has prepared a detailed site plan that ties down the three driveway locations on Kohnen Way. As shown on Figure 1, one driveway serves the west parking lot, while the other two driveways serve the loading/unloading zone and east parking lot. The proposed one-way (counter clockwise) circulation pattern for the loading zone allows the passenger side of'the vehicle to be along the curb of the loading zone. The east driveway for loading zone/east parking lot is proposed to be an inbound (entrance) only driveway and the corresponding west driveway is proposed to be an outbound (exit) only driveway. The entrance driveway is designed to be wide enough to accommodate right turners and left turners simultaneously. The right turners will also benefit from a westbound right mm only lane on Kohnen Way between the entrance driveway and Grafton Street, while the left turners will have an eastbound left turn only lane on Kohnen Way between the entrance driveway and Shelton Lane. Drop-Off/Pick-up Circulation The site plan shows a loop road for passenger loading/unloading. The proposed loop road is wide enough to accommodate two lanes, with the "outside" lane (adjacent to the school) designated as a loading zone, and the "inside" lane designated for circulation (with no stopping allowed). To avoid congestion within the loop road, some parents may want to drop-off or pick-up their children on Kohnen Way. For safety reasons, this practice should be prohibited by placing NO STOPPING signs approximately every 150 feet on both sides of Kohnen Way between the exit drivexvay and Graf-ton Street. On-Site and Special Event Parking Assuming one faculty/staff member for every 17 students, the proposed school could employ approximately 71 (=1,200/17) faculty and staff members. The site plan shows two parking lots, with a total of approximately 175 stalls, which is more than enough to meet the expected daily demand from faculty/staff, visitors, and volunteers. Pedestrians Generation The proposed school is expected to generate approximately 160 inbound pedestrians during the morning peak and 210 outbound during the afternoon peak. Because of the expected heavy pedestrian volumes, the sidewalk along the southern frontage of the school should be at least six feet in width. An all-way STOP is recommended where the School exit driveway intersects Kohnen Way, with a painted yellow crosswalk across the west leg of the intersection. Approximately 40 inbound and 50 outbound pedestrians are expected to use this intersection. The Kohnen Way/Grafton Street intersection should also be all-way STOP controlled. Approximately 90 inbound and 110 outbound pedestrians are expected to use this intersection. The remaining pedestrians are expected to live north of the School and therefore would not need to cross at these two all-way STOP controlled intersections. Traffic Study for the Proposed Dublin Ranch Middle School TJKM Transportation Consultants Page 16 February 18, 2004 School Area Signing and Striping To enhance safety, the school area should be clearly defined by appropriate signing and striping. The Caltrans Traffic Manual indicates that crosswalks may be painted yellow when they are contiguous to school buildings or grounds. In addition, any crosswalks within 600 feet of school buildings or grounds may also be painted yelloxv. All marked crosswalks along the southern frontage of the School should be painted yellow. Mid-block crossxvalks not controlled by STOP signs should not be installed in the vicinity of the School. The intersection ofKohnen Way/Grafton Street and the Future School Exit/Kohnen Way should be all-way STOP controlled. The northbound approaches on Shelton Lane and Thorndike Lane should be STOP controlled at Kohnen Way. Because future traffic and pedestrian volumes are unknown at this time, the City should evaluate crossing guard warrants after school-related pedestrian and bicycle patterns have had a chance to develop. Although Kohnen Way/Grafton Street and the Future School Exit/Kohnen Way intersections will be controlled with all-way STOP signs, they may be candidates for evaluation. Bicycles The proposed school, when it becomes a middle school, is expected to generate as many as 110 inbound bicyclists during the morning peak and an equivalent amount outbound during the afternoon peak. The following bicycle-related improvements are recommended in conjunction with the opening of the new school: · Students should be educated about safe bicycle riding and the preferred route to school from their homes. · On-site bicycle racks should be provided. Transit The proposed school, when it becomes a middle school, is expected to generate approximately 50 inbound and 60 outbound transit passengers during the morning and afternoon peaks, respectively. A 'bus-only loading zone is proposed on the north side of Kohnen Way between the driveways for the loop road. Maximized bus use and minimized auto use will smooth the flow of traffic, reduce the number of potential vehicular/pedestrian conflicts, and decrease local vehicle-miles-traveled (VMT). K-8 SCHOOL CONDITIONS Level of Service Analysis Figure 5 illustrates the peak hour turning movement for Baseline plus Area F1 and F2 plus K through 82~ Grade condition. The results of the level of service analysis performed for this scenario are contained in Table IV and detailed calculations are contained in Appendix D. All of the study intersections are expected to operate at acceptable level of service. Traffic Study for the Proposed Dublin Ranch Middle School TJKM Transportation Consultants Page 17 February 18, 2004 Intersection #1 Intersection #2 Intersection #3 Intersection #4 Intersection #5 Tassajare]S. Dublin TassajaraJGleason Dr. TassajareJCentral Pkwy. Tassjara/Dublin Grafton/Antone ~,L~ ~-456 37 ~41 co LO LO ~ ~-._ 1~54 c~,~- ~- 28-~ 62~ ~_ 39 Y 156 Intersection #6 Intersection #7 Intersection #8 Intersection #9 intersection #10 Grafton/Gleason Brannigan/Gleason Driveway OutJKohnen Graftor~Central Graftom'Kohnen LEGEND · Existing Intersection 0 Future Intersection -- Existing Road ..... Future Road North Not to Scale y of Dublin I-'roposed Dublin Ranch Middle School Baseline + Area F1 + F2 + K-8 Peak Hour Turning Movement Volumes 157-145 - 2/17/04 - GL Figure 5 TABLE IV: PEAK HOUR INTERSECTION LEVELS OF SERVICE ~ BASELINE PLUS AREAS F1 & F2 PLUS K THROUGH 8TM GRADE Baseline plus F1 & F2 Baseline plus K-8 Intersections Control A.M. Peak Hour * LOS * LOS 1 Tassajara Road / So. Dublin Ranch Pkwy, Signal 0,65 B 0.65 B 2 Tassajara Road / Gleason Drive Sign al 0,43 A 0.51 A 3 Tassajara Road / Central Parkway Signal 0.53 A 0.67 B 4 Tassajara Road / Dublin Boulevard Signal 0.62 B 0.73 C 5 Grafton Street / Antone Way One-Way STOP 1.4 (3,8) A (A) 4,7 (12.1) A (B) 6 Grafton Street / Gleason Drive Signal 0,04 A 0.13 A 7 Brannigan Street / Gleason Drive Signal 0.09 A 0.47 A 8 Future School Exit / Kohnen Way All-Way STOP N/A N/A 9.9 A 9 Grafton Street/Central Parkway Signal 0,03 A 0.05 A 10 Grafton Street/Kohnen Way All-Way STOP 7,2 A 8.8 A Notes: * = Volume-to-capacity (V/C) ratio for signalized intersections and Average Delay in Seconds for stopping and yielding movements at STOP-controlled intersections. X.X (X.X) = Overall intersection delay or LOS (Minor Movements Delay or LOS) Traffic Signal Warrant Analysis Traffic signal warrants were analyzed for the non-signalized study intersections. The analyses revealed that none of these intersections are projected to warrant traffic signalization under Baseline plus FI & F2 plus K-8 School conditions. However, the intersections of Grafton Street/Gleason Drive, Brannigan Street/Gleason Drive and Grafton Street/Central Parkway should be signalized for safety reasons. Therefore, these three study intersections ~vere assumed to be signalized for the level-of-service analysis. Traffic Study for the Proposed Dublin Ranch Middle School TJKM Transportation Consultants Page 19 February 18, 2004 Buildout Conditions (6-8 school) Trip Distribution and Assignment The following estimate of occupied units for Buildout Conditions was provided by staff from MacKay and Somps. The traffic analysis zones were previously shown on Figure 4b. Zone 1: California Creekside, Archsone, Jefferson, and Summer Glen (238 single-family (SF), 263 small lot single family (SSF), 123 townhouses (TH), and 693 multi-family (MI?)). Zone 2: Greenbriar, Tassajara Meadows Phases 1 and 2 (456 SSF, 193 TH) Zone 3: Toll Brothers and Shea Apartments (143 SSF, 152 TH, 390 MF) Zone 4: Dublin Ranch Phase 1 (568 SF, 279 SSF) Zone 5: Dublin Ranch Areas F and G (557 SSF and 1,404 MF) Zone 6: Dublin Ranch Areas B and C (958 SSF and 916 MF) Zone 7: Dublin Ranch Area A (552 SF) Zone 8: Dublin Ranch Area F2 (119 SF) Zone 9: Dublin Ranch Area F1 (102 SF) Zone 10: Di Manto Property (261 SSF) Zone 11: Transit Center (1,500 MF) Zone 12: Northern Properties (869 SF and 421 SSF) A total of approximately 4,903 dwelling units are assumed to be served by the 6-8 Middle School. For Buildout Conditions, a Day Care and Church School consisting of a 3,400 square feet day care and a 120-student church school are assumed to be located on the west side of Brannigan Street north of Gleason Drive. Based on calculations presented in TJKM's letter report dated October 25, 2002, these two developments are expected to generate a total of 154 trips in the a.m. weekday peak hour and 69 trips during the p.m. peak hour. Level of Service Analysis Figure 6 illustrates the peak hour turning movement volumes for Buildout conditions (Dublin Ranch Middle School serving grades 6 through 8). The results of the level of service analysis performed for this scenario are contained in Table V and detailed calculations are contained in Appendix E. The analysis assumes that the southbound Brannigan Street approach at Gleason Drive is in its ultimate configuration, which would include two right turn lanes and a shared through/left lane. All of the study intersections are expected to operate at acceptable level of service. Traffic Study for the Proposed Dublin Ranch Middle School TJKM Transportation Consultants Page 20 February 18, 2004 TABLE V: PEAK HOUR INTERSECTION LEVELS OF SERVICE - BUILDOUT Baseline plus F1 & F2 plus K-8 Buildout Assumed Intersections Control A.M. Peak Hour * LOS * LOS 1 Tassajara Road / So, Dublin Ranch Pkwy. Signal 0.65 B 0.68 B 2 Tassajara Road / Gleason Drive Signal 0.82 D 0.61 B 3 Tassajara Road / Central Parkway Signal 0.67 B 0.80 C 4 Tassaiara Road / Dublin Boulevard Signal 0.73 C 0.52 A 5 Grafton Street / Antone Way One-Way STOP 2,2 (3,4) A (A) 3.0 (11.0) A (B) 6 Graflon Street / Gleason Brive Signal 0.13 A 0.24 A 7 Brannigan Street / Gleason Drive Signal 0.47 A 0.42 A 8 Future School Exit / Kohnen Way All-Way STOP 9,9 A 11.3 B 9 Graflon Street/Central Parkway Signal 0.05 A 0.13 A 10 Graflon Street/Kohnen Way All-Way STOP 8.8 A 8.8 A Notes: * =Volume-to-capacity (V/C) ratio for signalized intersections and Average Delay in Seconds for stopping and yielding movements at STOP-controlled intersections. X.X (X.X) = Overall intersection delay or LOS (Minor Movements Delay or LOS) ** = In case Grafton Street/Gleason Drive is signalized. Traffic Signal Warrant Analysis Traffic signal warrants were analyzed for the non-signalized study intersections. The analyses revealed that none of these intersections are projected to warrant traffic signalization under Buildout conditions. However, the intersections of Grafton Street/Gleason Drive, Brannigan Street/Gleason Drive and Grafton Street/Central Parkway should be signalized for safety reasons. Therefore, these three study intersections were assumed to be signalized for the level-of-service analysis. Traffic Study for the Proposed Dublin Ranch Middle School TJKM Transportation Consultants Page 21 February 18, 2004 intersection #1 Intersection #2 Intersection #3 Intersection #4 intersection #5 TassajaraJS. Dublin Tassajara/Gleason Dr. TassajaraJCentral Pkwy. Tassjara/Dublin Grafton/Antone ~ 69 ~.~85 46-+~ intersection #6 Intersection #7 Intersection #8 Intersection #9 Intersection #10 Grafton/Gleason Brannigan/Gleason Driveway OutJKohnen GraftordCentral Grafton/Kohnen ,~-,o I ~,_45 u~p I~- 155 ~8~ 134 ~-o~ ~-o~ ~63 ~J ~r I,~ ~- 279 164-~ oj~ 23-~ *r,-. ,~ t .~-30 273-4~ ~/~ LEGEND · Existing Intersection ,~'~ O Future Intersection FUtUrE -- Existing Road , ALIGNMENT ..... Future Road ~,- ~~ f ,--- ~ '~ *', .- ..... k ....... No~h ' to S~le City of Dublin Dublin Ranch Areas F1 & F2 Buildout AM Peak Hour Turning Movement Volumes 157-145 - 2J17/04- GL Figure 6 CONCLUSIONS In summary, TJKM has reached the following conclusions regarding the proposed Middle School development: · Under the Baseline condition, all of the ten study intersections operate at an acceptable level of service. With the additional traffic from the proposed project, all of the ten study intersections are projected to continue to operate at acceptable level of service. Therefore, the project is not considered to cause significant traffic impact on the study intersections. Under both the 'Baseline' and the 'Baseline plus Project' scenarios, none of the unsignalized study intersections are projected to warrant traffic signalization. However, the intersections of Grafton Street/Gleason Drive, Brannigan Street/Gleason Drive and Grafton Street/Central Parkway should be signalized for safety reasons. · Mid-block crosswalks not controlled by STOP signs should not be installed in the vicinity of the school. · Parking should be prohibited on both sides of Kohnen Way between the School exit driveway and Grafton Street. Traffic Study for the Proposed Dublin Ranch Middle School TJKM Transportation Consultants Page 23 February 18, 2004 STUDY PARTICIPANTS AND REFERENCES TJKM Personnel: Gordon Lum, P.E., Project Director Pratyush Bhatia, Project Engineer Geri Foley, Graphics Designer Lily Moore, Word Processor Persons/Agencies Consulted Mr. Dave Chadbourne, MacKay & Somps Mr. Rod Andrade, MacKay & Somps Mr. Peter Quady, MacKay & Somps Mr. Ray Kuzbari, City of Dublin Mr. Mike Porto, City of Dublin Mr. Paul Kruger, City of Dublin References Trip Generation, Sixth Edition, Institute of Transportation Engineers, 1997 Highway Capacity Manual, Transportation Research Board, 1994 and 2000 Traffic Manual, Caltrans, 1992 School Facility Needs Analysis for Dublin Unified School District, Shilts Consultants, July 2003 Expected Level-of-Service at Gleason Drive/Brannigan Street in Dublin, TJKM, October 2002 A Trafficlmpact Study for the Villas at Santa Rita Apartments, TJKM, March 1997 Traffic Traffic Traffic Traffic Traffic Traffic Traffic Traffic Traffic Impact Study for Santa Rita Property Sites ]IA and liB Development, TJKM, October 1997 Impact Study for Casterson Property Residential Development, TJKM, November 1997 Impact Study for Creekside Business Park III Development, TJKM, March 1998 Impact Study for General Motors Development, TJKM, July 1998 Impact Study for Koll Dublin Corporate Center Development, TJKM, July 1998 Impact Study for Dublin Ranch Phase I Residential Development, TJKM, July 1998 Impact Study for Emerald Glen Residential Development, TJKM, February 1999 Impact Study for Yarra Yarra Residential Development, TJKM, January 1999 Study for the Proposed Dublin Ranch Areas F-H, TJKM, September 1999 Traffic Study for the Proposed Dub/in Ranch Middle School TJKM Transportation Consultants Page 24 February 18, 2004