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HomeMy WebLinkAboutItem 5.5 General Plan and EIR q zo AGENDA STATEMENT CITY COUNCIL MEETING DATE: September 10, 1984 SUBJECT: PUBLIC HEARING Dublin General Plan and EIR EXHIBITS ATTACHED: 1 - Revised Draft General Plan 2 - Revised Draft Housing Element RECOMMENDATION: 1 - Open public hearing and hear Staff presentation 2 - Review and discuss any necessary policy revisions with Staff 3 - Take testimony from public 4 - Close public hearing 5 - Direct Staff to make any necessary policy revisions , 6 - Direct Staff to have Supplement to EIR prepared and released for public review 7 - Direct that Revised Draft General Plan and EIR as revised by Supplement be brought back to City Council for adoption as soon as possible FINANCIAL STATEMENT: (See below) DESCRIPTION: On July 31, 1984 , the City Council completed its initial review of the Draft General Plan policies . The City Council directed Staff to prepare a Revised Draft General Plan with the preliminary policy decisions for City Council adoption and to advise the City Council on the need for a Supplement to the EIR. The Staff and John Blayney, General Plan Consultant, have prepared the Revised Draft General Plan and Revised Draft Housing Element for City Council review, revision and adoption. The Staff and John Blayney have also reviewed the need for a Supplement to the EIR and recommend that a Supplement be prepared. The California Environmental Quality Act (CEQA) Guidelines state that a Supplement to the EIR need only contain ----------------------------------------------------------------- ITEM NO. COPIES TO: the information needed to make the previous EIR adequate for the project as revised. The CEQA Guidelines require a Supplement to be given at least a 30 day public review period. The Staff and John Blayney recommend that only the potential issues of traffic, air quality, and "jobs/housing balance" be addressed, with analysis focused on the potential traffic issues . The firm of TJKM, General Plan Traffic Consultants and City Traffic Engineers, has stated that they could complete the Supplemental traffic analysis in three weeks from authorization. The cost would be $800 . 00 . Staff recommends that the City Council : 1) Review the Revised Draft General Plan and direct Staff to make any necessary policy revisions 2 ) Direct Staff to have a Supplement to EIR prepared and released for public review 3 ) Direct that the Revised Draft General Plan and EIR as revised by the Supplement be .brought 'back to the City Council for adoption as soon �as practical . r t QTY OF DUBLIN GENERAL PLAN VOLUME 1: PLAN POLICIES D R A F T Text revised to include City Council changes through July 31, 1984 Prepared f or the City of Dublin by Blayney-Dyett, Urban and Regional Planners TJKM, Transportation Consultants, �Greek�l,rs�''`�° Hallenbeck & Associates, Consulting Geotechnical Engineers, Emeryville Charles M. Salter do Associates, Inc., Acoustical Consultants, San Francisco f t TABLE OF CONTENTS Page LISTOF TABLES. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. .. .. . . . . . . . .. iii LISTOF FIGURES. . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. .. . . . . . ... . . . . . . 1.0. BACKGROUND . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ... .. .. . . . . . . . . 1 1.1. Introduction. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . ... . . .. . . . . .. . 1 1.2. Development History of Dublin ... . . . ... ... .... . .. . . . . 1 1.3. Nature of the General Plan. .. . . . . . .. .. . . .. .. . . . . . . . . . 2 1.4. Primary Planning Area and Extended Planning Area. . . . . . . . . . . . . . .... .. .. . .. . . . 2 1.5. Public Participation. . .... . .. . .. .. .. . .. .. .... .. . . . . 3 1.6. Report Organization . . .. . . .. . . . . .. . .. .. .. . .. . . . . . . . . 3 1.7. Subregional Development Projections. .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3 1.8. General Plan Map.. . . . . . . .. . . . .. . .. .. . . .. .. .. . ... . . . 4 2.0. LAND USE AND CIRCULATION SECTION: LAND USE ELEMENT .. . .. . . .. . . . . . .. .. .. . .... . .. . .. . . . . 6 2.1. Residential Land Use.. . . . . . .. . . . .. . . . . . .. .. .. . .. 6 2.1.1. Housing Availability . . . . . .. .. . ... .. . . .. .. . . . . 6 2.1.2. Neighborhood Diversity . .... . .. ... ... . . . . . . . . 6 2.1.3. Residential Compatibility . ... . . . .. ... . . . . . ... 7 2.1.4. Extended Planning Area. . ... . . ... .. .. . . . .. . . . 7 2.2. Commercial and Industrial Land Use... . .. . . . .. . . . .. . . . 9 2.2.1. Downtown Dublin . . . .. . .. .. . . .. .... . . .. . . . 9 2.2.2. Automobile Dealerships .. .. .. . ..... .. . ... . . . . 10 2.2.3. Neighborhood Shopping Centers ....... . .. . . . . . 10 2.3.4. Business Parks .. . . . . . . . . .. ... . ....... . ... . . . 10 3.0. LAND USE AND CIRCULATION SECTION: OPEN SPACE ELEMENT ... . . . .. . . .. . ... . ... .. . ... . . 11 3.1. Open Space For Preservation of Natural Resources. . . . .. . . . . . . .. .... .. ..... .... . ... 11 3.2. Agricultural Open Space . . . . . . . . . . ..... ........ .. . . . . 11 3.3. Open Space for Outdoor Recreation .... .... .... ... .. .. 12 4.0. LAND USE AND CIRCULATION SECTION: SCHOOLS, PUBLIC LANDS AND UTILITIES ... .. ... . . .. ... . . . .. .. . . . . 13 4.1. Public Schools. . . .. . . . . . . . . .. . .. ...... .. ...... .. . ... 13 4.2. Public Lands .. . . . . .. . . ... . . . . . . .... .... . .. . .. . .. . 13 4.3. Sewage Treatment and Disposal. . .. ... .. ..... .. .. . . . . . 14 4.4. Water Supply.. . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . ..... .. ... . .. . . . . . . 14 5.0. LAND USE AND CIRCULATION SECTION: CIRCULATION & SCENIC HIGHWAY ELEMENTS .. . . . . . .. . . 15 5.1. Trafficways. . . . . . . . . ... . . . . . . . . .. .. . ... ... . .. . . . . .. 15 5.2. Transit . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . .. . . ... . . . . . . . . . . . . 16 5.3. Southern Pacific Railroad Right of Way. . ... . . .. . . . . . . . 17 i � r a 5.4. Bicycle Routes .. . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ... . .. 17 5.5. Truck Routes. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . .. . . . . . . . .. . 18 5.6. Scenic Highways .. . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . 18 6.0. HOUSING. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . 19 6.1. Housing Element Requirements and Organization. . . .. . . . 19 6.2. Housing Resources and Needs. . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . .. ... . . . 19 6.3. City Housing Goals.. . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . .... . . . .. . . .. . 20 7.0. ENVIRONMENTAL RESOURCES MANAGEMENT SECTION: CONSERVATION ELEMENT . . .. .. .... . . .. . . . .. . . . . .. .. .. . 23 7.1. Riparian Vegetation. . . . . .. . .. . . . .. . .. . .. . .. ... . . . .. . 23 7.2. Erosion and Siltation Control . . . . . . .. . . . . . . .. . . ... . . . . 24 7.3. Oak Woodlands . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . .. .. .. . . . . . . . .. 24 7.4. Air Quality .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . .. . ...... 25 7.5. Agricultural Lands . . . .. . . . .. . . . . ... .. . . ... .. . ... . . . . 25 7.6. Archeologic and Historic Resources .. . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . 25 8.0. ENVIRONMENTAL RESOURCES MANAGEMENT SECTION: SAFETY & SEISMIC SAFETY .. . . ... . . ... . .. . . ..... . . .. ... 26 8.1. Seismic Safety . . . . .. . .. . . . . . . .. . .. ... . .. ..... . .. ... 26 8.1.1. Structural and Grading Requirements . . . . . ... . . 26 8.1.2. Required Geotechnical Analyses. . ..... . .. . .. .. 27 8.1.3. Existing Structures .. . . . . .. ... ... ... .. . .. . . .. 28 8.1.4. Data Review and Collection . . ... ... . . .. .. . . . . 28 8.1.5. Earthquake Response Plan . . . . . . .. . .. .. . . . .. . . 28 8.2 Safety .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . ... ... .. . .. .. ... . .. .. .. . 28 8.2.1. Emergency Preparedness Guiding Policy. .. . . .. . 29 8.2.2. Fire Hazard and Fire Protection. ... .. .... .. ... 29 8.2.3. Flooding . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . .. .. .. . ... . . . .. . . . . 29 8.2.4. Hazardous Materials. . . .. . . .. .. . ... .. . ... . .. . 30 9.0. ENVIRONMENTAL RESOURCES MANAGEMENT SECTION: NOISE ELEMENT . . . ... .. . .. . .. . . . . ... .. .. .. . .. . . . .. ... . 31 ii LIST OF TABLES Page Housing Units and Population - Primary Planning Area . . .. .. . . . . . . 7 Development Policies for Residential Sites .. . . . . ... . . . . . . .. . . . . . 8 City of Dublin Existing and Planned Housing Units By Type, November, 1983 .. . . . . . . . . . .. . .... . .. . .. .. . ... . . . ... . 20 Land Use Compatibility for Community Noise Environments . . . . ... 32 LIST OF FIGURES (Omitted from this draft. Non-reproducible maps have been revised for adoption hearing; report maps will be revised following adoption) Follows Page General Plan: Primary Planning Area Inside Front Cover General Plan: Extended Planning Area Inside Front Cover Available Residential Sites Map . .. . . . . .. .. . ... ... ....... . .. . . . . 9 Dublin Planning Area: Development Potential .. . .... .... .. ... . . . 10 Downtown Concept Sketch . .... .. . . .... ... . .. .... .. ... .... . ... 11 Daily Projected Traffic Volumes ... . . . . . ... . . . ..... ..... . .. .... 17 Geologic Hazards and Constraints Map . . .......... ...... .. 29 1983 Noise Exposure Contours .. . . .. . . . .. . . . . . . .. . . ....... . . ... 33 2005 Projected Noise Exposure Contours . . . . .. . . .. .... ... .. .. . . . 33 iii 1.0 BACKGROUND 1.1 INTRODUCTION The Dublin General Plan consists of the text and plan maps in Volume I, City of Dublin General Plan: Plan Policies. The reader who wants to determine consistency of a proposed project with the an need consult only this volume. Volume H, Cit of Dublin General Plan: Technical Supplement and Environmental Impact Report EIR), contains the background information on the issues that resulted in the plan policies. The EIR must be certified as complete before the plan is adopted, but Volume U material other than the detailed Housing Element (required bylaw) is not suitable for adoption as policy, though some of the information may become the basis for ordi- nances or programs to implement the General Plan. Volume I will be referred to as the "Plan Policies Report" and Volume H will be referred to as the "Technical Supplem ent:' When recommended by the Planning Commission and adopted by the City Council, the text and plan maps in the Plan Policies Report will constitute a guide for the day to day physical development decisions that will shape the social, economic, and environ- mental character of the city and its extended planning area. State Law requires Dublin to adopt a General Plan within 30 months from the time it commenced opera- tion as a city on February 1, 1982. The law (Govt. Code 65300) directs each juris- diction to include "any land outside its boundaries which in the planning agency's judgment bears relation to its planning." Consequently, the Dublin Planning Area as determined by the Planning Commission and City Council includes 19.7 square miles, 4.1 square miles of which are currently in the city. 1.2 DEVELOPMENT HISTORY OF DUBLIN Most of the land in Dublin and San Ramon was granted in 1835 to Jose Maria Amador, one of the area's earliest settlers. In the 1850s, Amador sold portions of his 16,100- acre holding to James Dougherty, Michael Murray, and Jeremiah Fallon, forming a hamlet that grew slowly during most of the next century. During World War H, the Navy built Camp Parks to house 10,000 servicemen. The Tri-Valley had few tract homes or commuters until 1960 when the Volk-McLain Com- pany began work on San Ramon Village — budding several thousand moderately priced homes advertised as "city close; country quiet." Urban services were provided by annexation of San Ramon Village to what is now the Dublin San Ramon Services District (DSRSD). By 1970 four-fifths of Dublin's present homes were complete. In 1967, an effort to incorporate Dublin was denied by the Alameda County Local Agency Formation Commission (LAFCO) as contrary to County policy supporting only one city in the west valley. A subsequent r &sendum on annexation of Dublin to Pleasanton failed in Dublin. Before the Yncorporation election was held, consideration was given to detaching Dublin from DSRSD and making it a"full service" city, but keeping the existing arrangement was simpler and the "full-service" choice did not appear on the ballot. In November, 1981, 75 percent of the votes cast were for incorporation. -1- 1.3 NATURE OF THE GENERAL PLAN The General Plan provides a policy framework for development decisions. It has three f unctions: 1. To enable the City Planning Commission and City Council to reach agreement on long-range development policies. 2. To provide a basis for judging whether specific private development proposals and public projects are in harmony with the policies. 3. To allow other public agencies and private developers to design projects that are consistent with City policies, or to seek changes in those policies through the General Plan amendment process. The plan must be: Long-range: However imperfect our vision of the future is, almost any development decision has eff ects lasting more than 20 years. In order to create a useful context for development decisions, the plan must look at least 20 years ahead. Comprehensive: It must coordinate all major components of the community's physical development. The relationship between land use intensity and traffic is the most obvious. General: Because it is long-range and comprehensive, the plan must be general. Neither time nor knowledge exist to make it detailed or specific. The plan's purpose is to serve as a framework for detailed public and private development proposals. The Plan Policies (maps and text) can be amended as often as three times each year (Gov. Code, Sec. 65361) and should be revised at least every five years. The Technical Supplement should be revised whenever new information becomes available. Except for the Housing Element, the contents of the Technical Supplement are not part of the adopted General Plan and do not require hearings on revisions. 1.4 PRIMARY PLANNING AREA AND EXTENDED PLANNING AREA The General Plan includes site-specific policies for the area within the 1982 City boundaries and for the developable land immediately to the west (the primary planning area). It is essential that the City of Dublin establish guiding policies for the extended planning area because it"bear(s)relation to its planning," regardless of when or whether portions are annexed to the City. Policies for the 15 square miles consti- tuting the extended planning area are conceptual because the information available on environmental constraints, means of providing services, and landowners' intentions is not sufficient to warrant adoption of more specific policies at this time. Text policies take precedence because mapped policies are in schematic farm. Many or most deve- lopment proposals in the extended planning area will require a General Plan amend- ment, but if they are consistent with the text policies, the hearing process will focus mainly on the suitability of the specific site for the type and timing of development proposed. -2- 1.5 PUBLIC PARTICIPATION Since work on the General Plan began in March, 1983, the Planning Commission and City Council each have held three separate meetings and one joint meeting to consider the plan. A Community Workshop held in July 1983 attracted about 25 participants in addition to most members of the Commission and Council. General Plan discussions were thorough, usually lasting more than four hours, but the number of public participants has been small— probably because most residents in a nearly built-out community do not expect the plan to have major effects on their lives or property. During the same period hearings on several controversial medium or medium-high density residential projects drew large audiences. 1.6 REPORT ORGANIZATION State Planning Law calls for nine General Plan elements: Land Use, Circulation, Housing, Conservation, Open Space, Seismic Safety, Noise, Scenic Highways, and Saf ety. A problem in organizing a General Plan report is covering the state's nine mandatory elements without confusion or duplication. For simplicity, the nine elements are grouped in three General Plan sections: Land Use and Circulation Section Land Use, Circulation and Scenic Highways, Parks and Open Space, and Schools, Public Lands, and Utilities. The Schools, Public Lands, and Utilities Element is not mandatory. Housing Section Housing Element Environmental Resources Management Section Conservation, Noise, Safety, and Seismic Safety Elements. 1.7 SUBREGIONAL DEVELOPMENT PROJECTIONS Dublin's 1983 population, estimated at 13,700, represented about 8 percent of the 166,000 residents in the Tri-Valley area (San Ramon, Livermore, and Amador valleys). About half of the employed residents of Dublin and the Tri-Valley commute to jobs outside of the area. By the year 2005 or shortly after, planned business parks, several with large employers assured, are projected to add about 130,000 jobs to the 50,000 existing in the Tri-Valley in 1980. The Association of Bay Area Governments (ABAG) has projected construction of 40,000 additional housing units. Unless that number is substantially exceeded, there are likely to be more in-commuters than out-commuters. Dublin's primary planning area will be built-out long before the business parks are full. Adding the extended planning area would bring job and population totals to about 15 percent of the Tri-Valley totals in 2005. Despite its small share of population, Dublin's site at the junction of the Tri-Valley's two dominant transportation corridors will enable it to remain the "downtown" for the Tri-Valley. -3- w 1.8 GENERAL PLAN MAP The General Plan Map for the Primary Planning Area proposes an arrangement of land uses and a circulation system to serve those uses at full development— expected to occur within 10 years. Because so little land remains uncommitted, boundaries between uses are exact. However, deviations in road alignments or open space con- figurations, and requests for approval of churches or other semi-public facilities typically appropriate to the adjoining uses are not to be considered inconsistent with the General Plan. Both the map and the text should be consulted to determine consistency or inconsistency; the text shall govern. L8.1 Land Use Classifications The following descriptions are intended to aid interpretations of the General Plan map legends. Primary Planning Area Residential Residential: Single family (0.9 to 6.0 units per gross residential acres Detached and zero lot line (no side yard) units are within this density range. Examples are recent subdivisions in Dublin's western foothills at about 2.0 units per acre and Ponderosa Village at 5.8 units per acre. Residential:- Medium Density (6.1 to 14.0 units per gross residential acre). The range allows duplex, townhouse, and garden apartment development suitable for family living. Except where mixed dwelling types are designated, unit types and densities may be similar or varied. Where the plan requires mixed dwelling types, listed policies specific to the site govern the location and distribution of dwelling types. Recently reviewed projects in the medium density range include Parkway Terrace (7.8), and Amador Lakes west of the Dougherty Hills (13.5). ResidentiaL• Medium-High Density(14.1 to 25.0 units per gross residential acre). Projects at the upper end of this range normally will require some under-structure parking and will have three or more living levels in order to meet zoning ordinance open space requirements. Examples of medium-high density projects include The Springs (17.8), and Greenwood Apartments (19.8). Comm er ci alAndustri al Retail/Office. Shopping centers, stores, restaurants, business and professional offices, motels, service stations and sale of auto parts are included in this classification. Residential use is excluded except in the Downtown Intensification Area. Retail/Office and Automotive. This classification includes all retail/office uses and adds auto dealerships, auto body shops, and similar uses. Residential uses are not permitted -4- t w Business Park/Industrial. Uses are non-retail businesses (research, limited manufac- turing and distribution activities, and administrative offices) that do not involve heavy trucking or generate nuisances due to emissions, noise, or open uses. Residential uses are not permitted. Maximum attainable ratios of floor area to site area (FAR) are controlled by parking and landscaping requirements and typically result in .35 to .40 FAR's. Examples: Clark Avenue; Sierra Court. Business Park/Industrial: Outdoor Storage. In addition to the Business Park/Industrial uses described above, this classification includes retail and manufacturing activities conducted outdoors such as mobile home or construction materials storage. Example: Scarlett Court. Public/Semi-Public Public/Semi-Public Facilities. Uses other than parks owned by a public agency that are of sufficient size to warrant differentiation from adjoining uses are labeled. Development of housing on a site designated on the General Plan as semi-public shall be considered consistent with the General Plan. Determination as to whether housing should be permitted on a specific semi-public site and the acceptable density and design will be through review of a Planned Unit Development proposal under the Zoning Ordinance. Examples: Public and private schools, churches. Parks/Public Recreation Publicly owned parks and recreation facilities. Open Space. Included are areas dedicated as open space on subdivision maps, slopes greater than 30 percent, stream protection corridors, woodlands, and grazing lands. Rdended Planning Area Residential and Open Space See General Plan Map and Sections 2.1.4, 3.1, 3.2 and 3.3. Commercial/Industrial Business Park/Industrial; Low Coverage: This classification is intended to provide a campus-like setting for the uses described in the Business Park/Industrial classi- fication for the Primary Planning Area and to allow retail uses to serve businesses and residents. Maximum floor area ratio (building floor area as percent of lot area) to be determined by zoning regulations should be between .25 and .37. See General Plan Map and Section 2.3.4. Business Park/Industrial: Same as in Primary Planning Area. Public Lands Large holdings such as Parks RFTA, Santa Rita and Tassajara Creek Regional Park. -5- r 2.0 LAND USE AND CIRCULATION SECTION: LAND USE ELEMENT The Land Use Element contains policies for the location and intensity of residential, commercial, and industrial land uses. Policies relating specifically to open space, parks and schools appear under those headings. Because. 90 percent of the primary planning area has been developed since 1960 or has development approvals, the Land Use Element focuses on the remaining uncommitted sites and on the potential for more intensive use of partially developed sites. Land use changes in the extended planning area will be more dramatic, but urban development there is likely to occur mainly after the mid-1990's. The primary pl ning area is expected to be built-out within ten years, adding 3,500 J housing units, 8,$00 residents, and 2,400 jobs to the 1983 totals. Except for downtown intensification, the General Plan does not envision highly visible changes in Dublin, but it does provide for more than a 60 percent gain in population. Housing unit and popu- lation projections for the primary and extended planning areas are presented in the tables on the following page. 2.1 RESIDENTIAL LAND USE 2.1.1 Housing Availability Guiding Policy A. Encourage housing of varied types, sizes, and prices to meet current and future needs of all Dublin residents. (Same as Housing Element goal #1.) Implementing Policy B. Designate sites available for residential development in the primary planning area for medium to medium-high density where site capability and access are suitable and where the higher density would be compatible with existing residential development nearby. (See Development Policies table.) 2.L2 Neighborhood Diversity Guiding Policy A. Avoid economic segregation by city sector. Implementing Policies B. Allocate medium and medium-high residential densities to development sites in all sectors of the primary planning area. Require some of the units approved east of the Dougherty Hills to be single family detached. (See Development Policies Table) C. Require a mixture of dwelling types in large projects. (See Development Policies table.) -6- r HOUSING UNITS AND POPULATION -PRIMARY PLANNING AREA Total Units Multi-Family Units Population a Existing, May 1983 4,428 386 13,700 Approved, as of 1,800 1,100 4,400 November, 1983 Potential Additional 1,700 1,200 4,000 Development TOTAL 7,900 2,700 22,00 a Assumes 3.2 persons per single-family unit; 2.0 persons per multi-family unit. Totals rounded. 2.L3 Residential Compatibility Guiding Policy A. Avoid abrupt transitions between single family development and higher density development on adjoining sites. Implementing Policies B. Require all site plans to respect the privacy and scale of residential development nearby. C. Require a planned development zoning process for all development proposals over 6.0 units per gross residential acre. 2.L4 Extended Planning Area Guiding Policy A. Consider residential development proposals (including support facilities) on moderate slopes, with multi-family densities typically considered on flatter land and next to business park areas. Many potential sites are under Williamson Act contract requiring open space use for at least 10 years. -7- DEVELOPMENT POLICIES FOR RESIDENTIAL SITES Site Sites Map Number Acres Maximum Units General Plan Residential Designations East of Dougherty Hills 1 79 1,105 Medium Density with required mixed dwelling types including single family detached and permitting up to 25 units per acre on portions of the site J Pleasanton Housing Authority, 2 3± 42 Medium Density ~/ southwest portion of site South of Alcosta Boulevard, 3 2 26 Medium Density east of I-680 South side of Betlen Drive 4 9 54 Single Family west of Prow way Abutting approved Nielsen 5 4 32 Medium Density (8 ±per acre to match /tentative map multifamily Neilsen tentative map multi-family density north of Hansen Read.®Y V_zj C0 6 of approved 6 7 20 Single family (density within single family Nielsen tentative map, maximum dependent on site conditions) north of Valley Christian Center Abutting north property 7 6 20 Single family (density within single family line of Valley Christian Center maximum dependent on site conditions) � - _ West of Dougherty Road, 8 - X59Q(Z) Medium-High Density ,� � south of Amador Valley Blvd. retail/office, or mix Fallon School Site 9 8 48 Single Family Dolan Site, Murray 11 22 88 Single Family at 4 units/acre maximum School District Valley Christian Center 12 15+ na Public/Semi-Public facilities Downtown Intensification Area 13 na (200) Estimate of units is tentative and could increase significantly if mid-rise, mixed-use TOTAL 157 1,685 buildings achieve market acceptance Implementing Policies B. The location, extent and density of residential development will be determined when municipal services can be provided and through General Plan refinement studies. C. Approval of residential development in the extended planning area will require determination that: - Utilities and public safety services will be provided at urban stan- dards without financial burden to Dublin residents and businesses. Proposed site grading and means of access will not disfigure the ridgelands. Timing of development will not result in premature termination of viable agricultural operations on adjoining lands. 2.2 COMMERCIAL AND INDUSTRIAL LAND USE Dublin's central location has made it the Tri-Valley's commercial center, with more than 600 retail businesses and a wide variety of distributors, business service provi- ders, builders and building subcontractors, manufacturers, and region-serving offices. The City's ability to provide municipal services depends on the income generated by business. er t o t e n 2.2.1 Downtown Dublin Guiding Policy A. Intensify Downtown Dublin. The present collection of adjoining shopping centers can become a downtown with the variety, convenience, and visual prominence that is rarely found in communities built since the automobile became dominant. (See Downtown Concept Sketch.) Implementing Policies B. Provide a downtown BART station that will serve customers and workers with and without cars. Add offices and apartments within walking dis- tance — and eventually over BART parking. C. Encourage mid-rise office/apartment buildings and parking structures with ground floor retail space. Create store-lined pedestrian connections between existing shopping centers. D. Make downtown more understandable to the first-time visitor by instal- ling standardized identification signs and directories soon. -9- r 2.2.2 Automobile Dealerships Guiding Policy A. Keep automobile dealers in Dublin. hey ac"u tin for or fou o h s�ales Implementing Policy B. Allow for the creation of an auto center east of Parks RFTA. If or when downtown land becomes too costly for car dealers they will have the oppor- tunity to relocate in an auto center with freeway frontage. 2.2.3 Neighborhood Shopping Centers Guiding Policy A. Strengthen existing neighborhood shopping centers. Competition from downtown and from north of the County line leaves no trade area within the primary planning area for neighborhood shopping centers other than Dublin Square, San Ramon Village Plaza, and Village Square. Implementing Policy B. Require a planned development proposal at the Southwest corner of Amador Valley Boulevard and Dougherty Road to include medium-high residential, retail/off ice, or a mix of these uses. 2.3.4 Business Parks Guiding Policy A. % space far new businesses and for expansion of existing Dublin firms. Implementing Policy B. Designate a 600-acre business park on Santa Rita Rehabilitation Center property in accord with Alameda County's long-term plans for site use. C. Consider sites for business parks east of Parks RFTA. Retail uses to serve nearby businesses and residences will be determined by General Plan refinement studies prepared in cooperation with property owners. -10- r 3.0 LAND USE AND CIRCULATION SECTION: OPEN SPACE ELEMENT State planning law calls for an inventory and policies for preserving and managing four categories of open space lands: (1) Open space for the preservation of natural resources. (2) Open space for the managed production of resources. (3) Open space for outdoor recreation. (4) Open space for public health and safety. 3.1 OPEN SPACE FOR PRESERVATION OF NATURAL RESOURCES AND FOR PUBLIC HEALTH AND SAFETY Guiding Policies A. Preserve oak woodlands, riparian vegetation, and natural creeks as open space for their natural resource value. B. Maintain slopes over 30 percent as permanent open space for public health and safety. Implementing Policy C. Continue requiring reservation of steep slopes and ridges as open space as a condition of subdivision map approval. 3.2 AGRICULTURAL OPEN SPACE Excluding parcels fronting on I-580, about 90 percent of the extended planning area is under Williamson Act Agreement (Admin. Code Sec. 51200, et seq.) and Alameda County zoning sets minimum parcel size at 100 acres. Under the Williamson Act, property taxes are based on the agricultural value of land rather than its market value. The contract automatically renews each year for a new 10-year period unless the owner or the County gives notice of non-renewal. Guiding Policy A. Maintain lands currently in Williamson Act agricultural preserve as rangeland, provided that specific proposals for conversion to urban use consistent with the General Plan may be considered not sooner than two years prior to contract expiration. Implementing Policy B. Approval of development of agricultural land not under contract shall require findings that the land is suitable for the intended use and will have adequate urban services and that conversion to urban use will not have significant adverse effects on adjoining lands remaining under contract. -11- 3.3 OPEN SPACE FOR OUTDOOR RECREATION Dublin currently has three main outdoor recreational sites, the Sports Grounds (23 acres), Shannon Park and Community Center (10 acres), and Valley Community Swim Center (3 acres). Additionally, three small neighborhood parks adjoin schools (Mape, Cronin, and Kolb). The need for recreation facilities will increase as popula- tion grows and if surplus school sites are sold, there will be no public play space near the homes of many children. Guiding Policies A. Expand park area to serve new development. B. Maintain and improve outdoor facilities at existing schools and at DSRSD recreation sites. Implementing Policy C. Acquire three five-acre neighborhood parks: - East of Dougherty Hills as land is subdivided. - On Fallon School site (enlarging Kolb Park) when the site is sold by Murray School District. - On Dolan School site when the site is sold by Murray School District. D. Adopt policy to work with DSRSD and Murray School District to enhance DSRSD and School District park and recreation facilities. Guiding Policy E. Restrict structures on the hillsides that appear to project above major ridgelines. The present undisturbed natural ridgelines as seen from the primary planning area are an essential component of Dublin's appearance as a freestanding city ringed by open hills. Implementing Policy F. Use subdivision design and site design review process to preserve or enhance the ridgelines that form the skyline as viewed from freeways or major arterial streets. -12- r 4.0 LAND USE AND CIRCULATION SECTION: SCHOOLS PUBLIC LANDS AND UTILITIES ELEMENT This non-mandatory element is included in the General Plan as a means of expressing the policies of the City of Dublin concerning lands and services critical to the growth and development of Dublin that are operated by independent units of government. 4.1 PUBLIC SCHOOLS Enrollment in the Murray School District (grades K-8) has been declining since 1973. Currently, three K-6 schools (Nielsen, Murray and Cronin) and two 7-8 schools (Wells and Frederiksen) accommodate Dublin students. Frederiksen School is to be closed in 1985. The General Plan envisions that Dublin School, now leased to a private school, will need to be re-opened as a public school as new homes west of San Ramon Road are occupied. Dublin High School (Amador Valley Joint Union High School District) will continue to serve Dublin. Guiding Policy A. Cooperate with Murray School District to ensure preservation of surplus sites compatible with surrounding land uses and Housing Element objectives. Implementing Policy B. Initiate preparation of site plans or specific plans jointly with School District prior to sale. This type of cooperation will achieve harmonious relationships between new develop- ment and existing residential areas and new park sites (See Open Space Element). 4.2 PUBLIC LANDS The Federal and County governments and the East Bay Regional Parks District have large holdings in the extended planning area that are vital to Dublinrs image and its eastward expansion. Guiding Policies A. Maintain communication with military administrators and congressional representatives to urge that Parks RFTA be developed and operated as a good neighbor to Dublin. B. Support retention and development of Tassajara Creek Regional Park, or if it is re-acquired by the Army, replacement by East Bay Regional Park District lands in or adjoining the extended planning area. -13- f C. Request the Alameda County Board of Supervisors and County Planning Commission to formally recognize Dublin's direct interest in uses and development standards for portions of Santa Rita Rehabilitation Center that are to be sold or leased for private development. Implementing Policies D. Negotiate participation by Parks RFTA in design of Dougherty Road improvements and establishment of a landscaped buffer strip. E. Negotiate reservation of an alignment for Dublin Boulevard extension across Parks RFTA and Santa Rita land. Consult with the federal government and the county concerning appropriate uses and development standards between Dublin Boulevard extension and I-580. 4.3 SEWAGE TREATMENT AND DISPOSAL The existing Dublin San Ramon Services District (DSRSD)sewage treatment plant adjoining I-680 in Pleasanton could be expanded to four times its present size, but the Livermore Amador Valley Waste Water Management Agency (LAVWMA) pipeline that carries treated effluent from Livermore, Pleasanton and Dublin through Dublin Can- yon to the Bay is nearing capacity. Growth will be curtailed within two to five years unless valleywide voter approval for expansion is obtained. Studies leading to specific proposals to increase wastewater disposal capacity are underway in early 1984. Guiding Policy A. Expand sewage treatment and disposal capacity to avoid constraining development consistent with the Dublin General Plan. 4.4 WATER SUPPLY Dublin's water is distributed by DSRSD, which purchases water from Zone 7 of the Alameda County Flood Control and Water Conservation District, which, in turn, imports it from the Sierras via the South Bay Aqueduct. The supply may run short in the 1990s if no new sources become available. Guiding Policies A. Base General Plan proposals on the assumption that water supplies will be sufficient and that local wells could be used to supplement imported water if necessary. B. Consider obtaining water service from the East Bay Municipal Utility District. -14- e 5.0 LAND USE AND CIRCULATION SECTION: CIRCULATION AND SCENIC HIGHWAYS ELEMENTS 5.1 TRAFFICWAYS The I-680 freeway is to be widened to eight lanes within the next five years and the freeway to freeway interchange will be rebuilt as both freeways and the arterial street system experience heavy new demands from development in adjoining commu- nities. Guiding Policy A. Improve freeway access. Implementing Policies B. Add an I-680 interchange at or near Amador Valley Boulevard. Access to downtown from the north is needed at a point closer than Alcosta Boulevard and the entire central portion of the City needs an alternative to congested Dublin Boulevard intersections at San Ramon Road and Dougherty Road. C. Work with the City of San Ramon to increase the capacity of the Alcosta Boulevard interchange by relocating southbound I-680 ramps to intersect San Ramon Road north of Alcosta. Guiding Policy D. Reserve right of way and construct improvements necessary to allow arterial and collector streets to accommodate projected traffic with the least friction. The Daily Projected Traffic Volumes map shows existing and projected flows and lane requirements. The General Plan does not include more detailed street improvement proposals. Implementing Policies E. Develop a plan line for a six lane divided extension of Dublin Boulevard from Dougherty Road to Parks RFTA boundary. This route will be the only non-freeway connection between the present city and new residential and business park development east of Parks RFTA. F. Connect existing cul-de-sac streets near proposed BART station south of Dublin Boulevard. The proposed new street parallel to Dublin Boulevard is needed to serve intensive development of a 100 acre commercial area and to distribute BART station traffic to three Dublin Boulevard intersections. -15- G. Reserve right of way for Hansen Drive extension to the western hills. If residential development in the extended planning area is to be part of Dublin, this is the preferred connection. H. Design Dougherty Road as a six lane divided arterial street. Development in Contra Costa County will contribute more than half the traffic, so the full cost should not be borne by Dublin users. I. Prevent misuse of neighborhood collector streets by through traffic. Traffic controls will be considered to correct specific problems. 5.2 TRANSIT BART currently operates two bus lines serving BART rail stations and providing limi- ted local transit service. Dublin taxpayers have been paying their full share for direct rail service as shown on the original BART plan, but other extensions competing for funding have received stronger support from the Metropolitan Transportation Commis- sion staff. The rail service proposal was revised in 1983 to indicate BART in the I-580 freeway median with stations in downtown Dublin and at Hacienda Drive. The Pleasanton/Dublin Short Range Transit Plan, (December, 1983), proposes a nine- bus fleet providing local service on routes within three blocks of 85 percent of Dublin's residents. Guiding Policies A. Support a compact multi-story downtown BART station and a second station to the east along I-580, provided the BART rail line is extended at least to the eastern limits of the City of Pleasanton. B. Support improved local transit as essential to a quality urban environ- ment, particularly for residents who g-s�e-� o drive. Implementing Policies C. Urge BART cooperation in maintaining availability of station sites and develop standards for review of public and private improvements in the vicinity of BART stations that take account of both future traffic needs and development opportunities. D. Pursue formation of a Joint Exercise of Powers Agreement with neigh- boring jurisdictions to enable use of Transportation Development Act funds to begin improved local transit service late in 1984. The proposed bus loop would start at San Ramon Road and Dublin Blvd., proceeding via Dublin Blvd., Hansen Drive, Silvergate, Peppertree, Shannon, San Ramon Road, Alcosta, Davona, Village Parkway, Amador Valley Blvd., Dougherty Road, Dublin Blvd, San Ramon Road, to Stoneridge and Pleasanton. -16- 5.3 SOUTHERN PACIFIC RAILROAD RIGHT OF WAY TRANSPORTATION CORRIDOR Contra Costa and Alameda Counties are considering means of preserving the Southern Pacific right of way. Track has been removed from all but the Alameda County portion of the San Ramon Branch line between Pleasanton and Pleasant Hill, and only one or two rail customers remain. Recent studies have proposed future use for light rail transit or as a busway. Guiding Policy A. Support preservation of the Southern Pacific right of way as a potential transportation corridor. B. Consider potential recreational use in conjunction with transportation use. Committed development will require additional transportation capacity in the San Ramon Valley corridor, so all options should be kept open. 5.4 BICYCLE ROUTES Guiding Policy A. Provide safe bike routes along major arterial streets. Implementing Policy B. Complete the following bikeways system: San Ramon Road: Existing separate bike path. Village Parkway: Existing bike lane north of Amador Valley Boulevard; designate sidewalk to south. Dougherty Road: Incorporate separate bike/jogging path in new design Amador Valley Blvd.: Existing bike lane west of Village Parkway; review need for striped lane east of Village Parkway. Dublin Blvd.: Designate sidewalk. SP Right of Way Trans- portation Corridor: Incorporate bike/jogging path in design. -17- 5.5 TRUCK ROUTES Guiding Policy A. Designate truck routes to minimize noise nuisance on residential arterial streets. Implementing Policy B. Restrict through trucks to I-580 and I-680. 5.6 SCENIC HIGHWAYS I-580, I-680, San Ramon Road and Dougherty Road were designated scenic routes by Alameda County in 1966. These are the routes from which people travelling through Dublin gain their impression of the city, so it is important that the quality of views be protected. In the extended planning area, Tassajara Road and Doolan Road are designated by Alameda County. Guiding Policy A. Incorporate previously designated scenic routes in the General Plan and work to enhance a positive image of Dublin as seen by through travellers. Implementing Policy B. Exercise design review of all projects within 500 feet of a scenic route and visible from it -18- r 6.0 HOUSING 6.1 HOUSING ELEMENT REQUIREMENTS AND ORGANIZATION The Housing Element in full is included in the Technical Supplement. State Requirements. By law (Gov. Code Sect. 65580 through 65589), the Housing Element must contain: 1. An assessment of housing needs and an inventory of resources and con- straints relevant to the meeting of these needs; 2. A statement of the community's goals, quantified objectives, and policies relative to the maintenance, improvement, and development of housing; and 3. A program which sets forth a five-year schedule of actions the local government is undertaking or intends to undertake to implement the policies and achieve the goals and objectives of the Housing Element. The housing program must: identify adequate sites available for residential devel- opment for a variety of types of housing for all income levels; assist in the develop- ment of adequate housing to meet the needs of low and moderate income households; address governmental constraints to the maintenance, improvement, and development of housing; conserve and improve the condition of the existing affordable housing stock; and promote housing opportunities for all persons. 6.2 HOUSING RESOURCES AND NEEDS Most of the City's 4,400 housing units were built by the Volk-McLain Company during the 1960's and are single family, one story houses with three or four bedrooms. Only 386 units, (nine percent) are multi-family, although another 1,100 multi-family units were approved by late 1983. The 1980 Census reported that 23 percent of Dublin residents rent their homes. As all but 10 to 15 percent of multi-family units are occupied by renters, it can be assumed that about 15 percent of Dublin's single family homes were rented in 1980. For many, Dublin's predominance of single-family homes on 5,000 to 8,000 square foot lots is a desirable feature and one that helps to define a community of families with moderate incomes, typically earning 80 to 120 percent of the Bay Area median. Today's moderate income households, however, cannot afford today's new single- family homes, forcing the City to choose between attempting to maintain its tradi- tional type of housing and maintaining a community with housing available to its traditional residents. A household earning 120 percent of median income could not afford a home costing more than $75,000 in 1983, assuming 25 percent of income spent for housing and a 13 percent, 30 year loan with a 10 percent down payment. As moderate income households are faced with increasing difficulty in purchasing homes, low income households are finding it more difficult than ever to obtain housing. The regional housing needs determination prepared-by the Association of Bay -19- Area Governments (ABAG) allocates 1,956 additional units to Dublin by 1990, inc- luding 665 units affordable by low (less than 80 percent of median) and very low in- come (less than 50 percent of median) households. General Plan policies will enable Dublin to exceed the ABAG total unit quota, but the target for low and very low income units is unrealistic unless federal subsidy programs for new construction are revived. Dublin now has 186 subsidized units. With nearly one-quarter of Dublin's housing stock at full development yet to be approved, and 70 percent of the remaining units anticipated to be at medium or medium-high density, Dublin is making a strong effort to meet housing needs. Unless the economy stagnates or sewage capacity increases are blocked, Dublin will be built out within the next five to ten years. Only 157 acres suitable for residential development remain in the City. (See Development Policies table and map in Land Use Element). City of Dublin:' Msting and Planned Housing Units By Type November, 1983 Cumulative Total Single- Multi- Percent Units Family Family Multi-Family Existing Occupied or 4,428 4,042 386 9 Previously Occupied Approved or Under 1,800 700 1,100 _ 24 Consideration Totals (rounded) 6,200 4,700 1,500 6.3 CITY HOUSING GOALS Guiding Policies The following goals direct the City's housing program. Policy objectives that imple- ment City goals are presented with individual housing strategies in the full Housing Element. A. Encourage housing of varied types, sizes, and prices to meet current and future housing needs of all Dublin residents. B. Preserve Dublin's existing housing stock in sound condition. C. Ensure that housing in Dublin will have adequate public services and will be accessible to public facilities and employment and commercial cen- ters. -20- D. Work for equal housing opportunity and access for all persons regardless of race, religion, national origin, sex, marital/family status or other arbitrary factors. 6.4 SUMMARY OF HOUSING PROGRAM STRATEGIES Implementing Policies A. Designate sites available for residential development in the primary planning area for medium to medium-high density where site capability and access are suitable and where the higher density would be compatible with existing residential development nearby. (See Development Policies table.) B. Treat one-bedroom and studio apartments as equivalent to 75 percent of a housing unit when computing allowable density, provided that the maximum number of units permitted on a site shall not be increased by more than 25 percent including any state-mandated bonus. Regulating density solely on the basis of units per acre provides an unintended incen- tive to build the largest units that can be marketed. Because small units have less impact as measured by household size, floor area, and vehicle trip generation, it is logical to permit more of them. With no limit, the 75 percent rate could increase the number of units on a site by one-third. The 25 percent maximum allowable increase will encourage variety in unit sizes. C. Allow residential development in Downtown Intensification Area. The potential for residential development in mixed use buildings downtown is esti- mated at 200 units, but more could be built. D. Support semi-public institutions in efforts to add affordable housing on their sites. The land use definitions consider housing on a semipublic site consistent with the General Plan, subject to Planned Unit Development approval. E. Require a percentage of units in large multi-family projects be rented for a specified period of time. This appears to be the most feasible means of insuring the availability of rental housing. F. Encourage development of second units in existing single family homes State law requires jurisdictions to provide for second units. The City has adopted an ordinance establishing standards for second units and will implement a public aware- ness program intended to achieve a goal of second units in ten percent of homes with three or more bedrooms. -21- G. Cooperate with non-profit housing provider to develop below-market rate urdis This strategy has been used in several Alameda County cities to produce up to 20 percent below-market rate units on sites similar to Dublin's surplus school sites. H. Work with Pleasanton toward establishing a joint housing authority. Dublin's only public housing project, Arroyo Vista, is owned and operated by the Plea- santon Housing Authority. Participation in a joint authority would give Dublin an official voice in Housing Authority decisions affecting Dublin. I. Encourage development of additional units on Housing Authority land in Dublin Several acres of undeveloped land remaining on the Pleasanton Housing Authority Arroyo Vista site would be appropriate f or senior or other subsidized housing. J. Monitor availability of rental housing. If deemed necessary, consider enactment of an ordinance regulating conversion to condominium ownership. K. Require evidence of developer effort to receive public financial assis- tance for the purpose of including below market rate units in proposed projects; assist developers in obtaining information on available prog- rams. This would ensure that available subsidy programs are being used where appropriate. L. Grant 25 percent density bonuses for provision of 25 percent affordable units in a project as required by state law. Developers have rarely found this provision to provide adequate incentive for volun- tary action. M. Promote equal housing opportunity for all Dublin residents and others seeking housing in Dublin Existing governmental and private agencies assist victims of housing discrimination; the City will refer complaints to those agencies. N. Continue code enforcement program. Aid low income households in obtaining financial assistance for housing rehabilitation. The City's building inspection program will be continued and will be expanded to include provision of information on rehabilitation assistance for low income house- holds. -22- 7.0 ENVIRONMENTAL RESOURCES MANAGEMENT SECTION: CONSERVATION ELEMENT Air quality and wastewater disposal have been the Tri-Valley's most difficult conser- vation issues affecting urban growth, even with construction of the Livermore Amador Valley Wastewater Management Association (LAVWMA) pipeline, and significantly improved air quality. The extent of anticipated development now draws greater attention to other conservation issues — conversion of agricultural land to urban uses; loss of open space; hazards posed by development in steep and landslide-prone areas; increased runoff; and erosion and stream siltation. Additionally, the prospect of renewed or intensified air quality and sewage disposal problems accompanies plans approved or under consideration that would result in up to 200,000 jobs in the Tri- Valley. Open space resources are discussed in the open space element; the seismic safety and safety elements consider natural hazards. This section and its counterpart in the Technical Supplement consider hydrology, habitats, agricultural open space, air, soil resources, and archaeologic and historic resources. The planning area includes three zones that are distinct in terms of topography, vege tation, and soils. The urban area within the city's borders and the undeveloped area just north of I-580 east of Tassajara Road form part of the flat valley floor. The land east of Parks RFTA and Santa Rita and south of the county line consists of grassy rolling hills with occasional steep slopes, and the westernmost part of the planning area is composed of ridgelands covered primarily by grasslands with oak and woodlands on steep slopes and in winding canyons. (These zones are referred to below as the valley, eastern hills, and western hills portions of the planning area, respectively.) The western hills form part of the ridgelands extending from Contra Costa to Santa Clara counties, established as an area of regional significance by a 1980 National Parks Service study. The ridgelands have been the subject of preservation efforts over the years, and also have been protected by the difficulty of development on the steep slopes and ridges. The ridgelands of the western hills are characterized by good quality grazing land and woodland and forest habitats with high natural resource values. Perhaps most important, the western hills form part of a greenbelt that rings the Bay Plain, preventing continuous urban spread. The eastern hills are not as valuable as the western hills in terms of habitat, but do include grazing and hay-growing land of unusually high quality. Throughout the ex- tended planning area most of the land is under Williamson Act contracts that prohibit development for a minimum of ten years while providing tax advantages to landowners. 7.1 RIPARIAN VEGETATION Guiding Policies A. Protect riparian vegetation as a protective buffer for stream quality and for its value as a habitat and aesthetic resource. -23- B. Promote access to stream corridors for passive recreational use and to allow stream maintenance and improvements as necessary, while respec- ting the privacy of owners of property abutting stream corridors. Implementing Policies C. Enforce watercourse ordinance in developed areas of the city. D. Require open stream corridors of adequate width to protect all riparian vegetation, improve access and prevent flooding caused by blockage of streams. E. Require revegetation of creek banks with species characteristic of local riparian vegetation, where construction requires creek bank alteration. 7.2 EROSION AND SILTATION CONTROL Guiding Policies A. Maintain natural hydrologic systems. B. Regulate grading and development on steep slopes. Implementing Policies C. Enact and enforce erosion and sedimentation ordinance establishing performance standards in relation to maintenance of water quality and protection of stream courses. D. Enact ordinance requiring on-site runoff control E. Review development proposals to insure site design that minimizes soil erosion and volume and velocity of surface runoff. F. Restrict development on slopes of over 30 percent. 7.3 OAK WOODLANDS Guiding Policy A. Protect oak woodlands. Implementing Policy B. Prohibit removal of oak woodlands. Where woodlands occupy slopes that otherwise could be graded and developed, permit allowable density to be transferred to another part of the site. Removal of an individual oak tree may be considered through the project review process. C. Develop a heritage tree ordinance. -24- • 1 7.4 AIR QUALITY Implementing Policy A. Request the Bay Area Air Quality Management District to establish an air quality monitoring station in Dublin. Information on localized carbon monoxide problems will not be available unless monitoring is conducted within the city. 7.5 AGRICULTURAL LANDS Guiding Policy A. Prevent premature urbanization of agricultural lands. (See Open Space policies.) Implementing Policy B. Approval of urban development shall require findings that the land is suitable for the proposed use and will have adequate urban services; and that conversion to urban use will not have significant adverse effects on adjoining lands remaining under Williamson Act contract. 7.6 ARCHAEOLOGIC AND HISTORIC RESOURCES Guiding Policies A. Preserve Dublin's historic structures. Seven sites in Dublin are listed in the California Historic Resources Inventory, inclu- ding the church and school on the grounds of the heritage park. B. Follow state regulations regarding discovery of archaeological sites. -25- 8.0. ENVIRONMENTAL RESOURCES MANAGEMENT SECTION: SEISMIC SAFETY AND SAFETY ELEMENTS 8.L SEISMIC SAFETY The planning area offers examples of most of the geologic hazards commonly found in California, but only two — downslope movement (mainly landslides) and earthquake fault surface rupture — are significant constraints on the location of urban develop- ment. Downslope movement includes landslides, rockfalls, debris flows, and soil creep. Factors affecting downslope movement are groundwater, rock and soil type, slope angle, propensity to erosion, seismic activity, vegetation, and grading or other human alterations. The Calaveras'Fault is the major active fault in the planning area with rupture poten- tial, and runs parallel to and just west of San Ramon Road. The Pleasanton Fault, near the west edge of Camp Parks, is difficult to locate precisely. The State has established Alquist-Priolo Special Studies Zones along both faults, requiring detailed studies of rupture hazards prior to construction. Few potential building sites within the City of Dublin or the extended planning area are without geologic impact or hazard. The hazard may be actual, such as an active landslide or proximity to an active fault, or potential, such as a proposed cut that might activate a landslide. Mitigation of hazards may increase construction cost, but will reduce long-term costs to both owners and the city Guiding Policy A. Geologic hazards shall be mitigated or development shall be located away from geologic hazards in order to preserve life, protect property, and reasonably limit the financial risks to the City of Dublin and other public agencies that would result from damage to poorly located public facili- ti es. Implementation Policies 8.L1 Structural and Grading Requirements A. All structures shall be designed to the standards delineated in the Uni- form Building Code and Dublin grading ordinance. A design earthquake shall be established by an engineering geologist for each structure for which ground shaking is a signif icant design f actor. B. Structures intended for human occupancy shall be at least 50 feet from any active fault trace; freestanding garages and storage structures may be as close as 25 feet. These distances may be reduced based on adequate exploration to accurately locate the fault trace. C. Generally, facilities should not be built astride potential rupture zones, although certain low-risk facilities may be considered. Critical facilities -26- that must cross a fault, such as oil, gas and water lines, should be designed to accommodate the maximum expected offset from fault rupture. Site specific evaluations should determine the maximum credible offset. 8.L2 Required Geotechnical Analyses A. A preliminary geologic hazards report must be prepared for all subdivi- sions. Any other facility that could create a geologic hazard, such as a road or a building on hillside terrain, must also have such a study. Each of the hazards described in the Seismic Safety and Safety elements must be evaluated. This hazard analysis shall be prepared by a registered engineering geologist. B. Detailed geologic studies will be required at the tentative subdivision map stage for all projects within the Landslide Hazard Area Boundary on the Geologic Hazards and Constraints map, and for other proposed pro- jects if the preliminary investigation indicates a potential geologic hazard. Proposals for mitigation should be included at this stage. The detailed analysis for projects in the Landslide Hazard Area Boundary must consider: - cumulative effect of new development on a partially developed slide; - eff ects of septic leach systems, garden watering, and altered drainage patterns; - impact of a maximum credible earthquake; - where applicable, passage of the Calaveras Fault through or under landslide deposits; and - debris flow and other downslope hazards (especially common east of Dublin). Care must be taken not to locate structures in the path of potential debris flows. - Where published maps identify or show "ancient" or Quaternary slides on sites of proposed development, their stability must be analyzed, and effects of the proposed development on the area's stability must be evaluated by a soils engineer. C. If the preliminary report indicates liquefaction potential, an engineering analysis and design, if necessary, to mitigate liquefaction hazards, shall be required for all structures planned for human occupancy. D. Evaluation for shrink-swell potential shall be included with all soils reports and design recommendations formulated where the potential is present. These analyses and recommendations shall include public streets and utilities, in order to reduce future public repair costs. -27- E. A fault rupture evaluation, as outlined by the State of California for Special Study Zones (Alquist-Priolo Act), shall be required for all development within the Revised Special Studies Zones as shown on the Geologic Hazards and Constraints map. The fault rupture evaluation should be conducted after building sites are specifically defined. Sites situated outside of this zone but within the Preliminary Zones (Slossen, 1973) shall be evaluated if proposed for multi-family dwellings or for public or recreational facilities. F. Any changes in grading or building design that would be significantly affected by geologic hazards or soils conditions, or in turn would signifi- cantly alter geologic or soils conditions, shall be accompanied by a re- analysis of those conditions. In addition, any conditions discovered during excavation or grading that significantly depart from the previously des- cribed geologic and soils setting shall be evaluated. 8.L3 Existing Structures A. Post-earthquake or damage reconstruction of existing structures shall be permitted only if mitigating factors are incorporated. 8.L4 Data Review and Collection A. A procedure to review all required reports and data shall be established with the Alameda County Geologist or a consulting engineering geologist shall be retained as reviewer. This individual shall participate in the review process from the earliest proposal stage to completion of the project. B. A file of all geologic and soils reports and grading plans shall be main- tained as reference material for future planning and design on each site as well as on adjacent sites. C. City and developer shall endeavor to fully disclose hazards to present and future occupants and property owners. 8.L5 Earthquake Response Plan A. In 1978 Alameda County adopted an Earthquake Response Directive to be incorporated in the County Emergency Operations Plan updated March 1980). The directive applies fully to the unincorporated area and to eight contract cities. Dublin will adopt the County directive or will formulate its own plan. 8.2 SAFETY Policies relating to land slides, a significant geologic hazard, are included in the seismic safety element although not all slides are likely to be induced by earth- -28- quakes. Fire, flood, and hazardous materials are the remaining safety concerns addressed in the General Plan. 8.2.1 Emergency Preparedness Guiding Policy A. Develop an emergency preparedness plan in coordination with other public agencies. 8.2.2 Fire Hazard and Fire Protection The Dublin San Ramon Services District provides urban fire protection with a sworn staff of 38 responding to 1,250 calls per year from two stations. The 113" insurance rating given to the District is the best reasonably achievable. Steep, inaccessible slopes and brush create a high fire hazard in the western hills Major personnel and equipment additions would be needed to protect development in the extended planning area. 'DSRSD does not provide protection to Parks RFTA or to Santa Rita Rehabilitation Center and is not able to serve these areas at present. Guiding Policy A. Require special precautions against fire as a condition of development approval in the western hills outside the primary planning area. Implementing Policies B. Enact a high hazard ordinance specifying: - Fire retardant roof materials, spark arrestors, water storage, and vegetation clearance around structures. - Sprinklers for all habitable structures beyond five minutes response time from a station. Guiding Policy C. Prepare and implement a plan for facilities and personnel at one or more fire stations east of Tassajara Road as a condition of development approval in the eastern extended planning area. 8.2.3 Flooding Heavy storms in early 1983 carried debris down from the western hills, blocking drains and causing flooding of backyards and several homes in the Silvergate area. Guiding Policy A. Regulate development in hill areas to minimize runoff by preserving woodlands and riparian vegetation. Retain creek channels with ample r right of way for maintenance and for maximum anticipated flow. -29- Implementing Policies (See also Conservation Element policies) B. Require dedication of broad stream corridors as a condition of subdivision approval. C. Protect riparian vegetation and prohibit removal of woodlands. Removal of an individual oak tree may be considered through the project review process. D. Require drainage studies of entire small watersheds and assurance that appropriate mitigation measures will be completed as needed prior to approval of development in the extended planning area. 8.24 Hazardous Materials Hazardous materials are transported on the freeways and some are used by Dublin industries. The DSRSD Fire Department and the Dublin Police Department form the City's hazardous materials team. Guiding Policy A. Maintain and enhance ability to regulate use, transport and storage of hazardous materials and to quickly identify substances and take appropriate action during emergencies. Implementing Policy B. Consider formation of a hazardous materials team consisting of specially trained personnel from all Tri-Valley public safety agencies. C. Adopt an ordinance to regulate handling, transport, and storage of hazardous materials and hazardous waste. a :i -30- 9.0 ENVIRONMENTAL RESOURCES MANAGEMENT SECTION: NOISE ELEMENT Traffic is the primary source of continuous noise in Dublin. Noise exposure contours have been plotted for 1983 (based on noise measurements and current traffic data) and projected to 2005 based on traffic volume increases (see figures). The Community Noise Equivalent Level (CNEL) describes 24-hour average noise levels measured in decibels (dB) taking account of the increased sensitivity to noise of people during evening and nighttime hours. Sound levels between 7:00 and 10:00 p.m. are penalized 5dB and those between 10:00 p.m. and 7:00 a.m. are penalized 10 dB. The dB scale is logarithmic; a 3 dB difference normally is discernable and a 10 dB increase is subjectively heard as a doubling in loudness. The Land Use Compatibility Table provides the basis for decisions on location of land uses in relation to noise sources, and f or determining noise mitigation needs. Guiding Policy A. Where feasible, mitigate traffic noise to levels indicated by the table: Land Use Compatibility for Community Noise Environments. Implementing Policies B. Request Caltrans to provide noise walls at least seven f eet high along both sides of I-680 between Amador Valley Boulevard and the Alcosta interchange when additional freeway lanes are constructed. Future noise, if not mitigated, will subject about 2,700 residents to levels exceeding 65 CNEL. The noise wall would reduce noise by 10 dB, making this the most cost effective noise reduction project in Dublin. Actual wall height would be determined during project design. C. Encourage homeowners west of San Ramon Road who are affected by I- 580 noise to construct noise barriers on their properties where these would be effective and require such barriers for new development. This policy also applies to sites adjoining the west side of San Ramon Road at higher elevations. + Where the noise source is below the receptors, only barriers near the receptor will be effective. About 5 dB noise reduction could be achieved 3 D. Support unif ied action by residential owners on the east side of San Ramon Road and along Village Parkway to install, repair, or extend noise barriers. Much of this frontage was developed before effective noise barriers were required as a condition of subdivision approval. Because construction for a single lot is costly, rela- tively ineffective, and potentially unattractive, the City should assist in the formation of assessment districts or otherwise promote group action where there is consensus that a problem exists. E. Design Dougherty road improvements and adjoining residential develop- ment for compliance with noise standards. -31- • ° J M LAND USE COMPATIBILYTY FOR COMMUNITY NOISE ENVIRONMENTS COMMUNITY NOISE EXPOSURE (dB) Conditionally Acceptable Normally (Noise Insulation Normally Clearly Land Use Category Acceptable Features Required) Unacceptable Unacceptable Residential 60 or less 60-70 70-75 Over 75 Motels, hotels 60 or less 60-70 70-80 Over 80 Schools, churches, 60 or less 60-70 70-80 Over 80 nursing homes Neighborhood parks 60 or less 60-65 65-70 Over 70 Offices: retail 70 or less 70-75 75-80 Over 80 commercial Industrial 70 or less 70-75 Over 75 Conditionally acceptable exposure requires noise insulation features in building design. Conventional construction, but with closed windows and fresh air supply systems or air conditioning will normally suffice. Source: California Office of Noise Control, 1976, as modified by Charles M. Salter Associates, Inc. This corridor offers the opportunity to do it right the first time without continuous walls. Berms, open space, garages near the road, and noise-conscious site planning can be used. F. Request demonstration of ability to mitigate noise prior to approval of light rail or bus service in the Southern Pacific Right of Way Transporta- tion Corridor. A depressed rail line or noise walls close to the tracks could make light rail a good neighbor. G. Review all multi-family development proposals within the projected 60 CNEL contour for compliance with noise standards (45 CNEL in any habi- table room) as required by State law. Because the General Plan designates almost all residential sites subject to 60 or greater CNEL for multi-family development, this standard will be effective in Dub- lin. Project designers may use one or more of four available categories of mitigation measures: site planning, architectural layout (bedrooms away from noise source, for example,) noise barriers, or construction modifications. -32- BLAYNEY-DYETT, URBAN AND REGIONAL PLANNERS PROJECT STAFF John Blayney, Project Manager Ellen Greenberg, Planning Analyst Nicklaus Von Rotz, Environmental Designer; Graphics Designer Nicholas Gravina, Graphics Scott Kingsley, Graphics Pamela Minet, Word Processing Daryl Hewitt, Word Processing SECTION 3 HOUSING ELEMENT DETAILED TABLE OF CONTENTS 3.1 OVERVIEW . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . 3-1 3.1.1 Profile Of Dublin—The Primary Planning Area . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. 3-1 3.1.2 Extended-Planning Area . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . 3-2 3.1.3 Subregional Development Trends . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3-2 3.2 HOUSING ELEMENT REQUIREMENTS AND ORGANIZATION .. . . . . . 3-5 3.2.1 State Requirements . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. .. . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . .. . 3-5 3.2.2 Organization of Housing Element . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . 3-5 3.2.3 Public Participation . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3-6 3.2.4 Consistency With Other Elements of The General Plan . . . . . .. . 3-7 3.3 POPULATION AND HOUSEHOLD CHARACTERISTICS. . . . . . . . . . . . . 3-8 3.4 EXISTING HOUSING RESOURCES . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3-11 3.4.1 Existing Housing Stock . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ... . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . .. 3-11 3.4.2 Subsidized Housing in Dublin and the Tri-Valley . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3-15 3.4.3 Housing Services Available to Dublin Residents . . . .. . . . . .. . . . 3-17 3.5 EVALUATION OF HOUSING NEED . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . 3-18 3.5.1 Overview of Housing Affordability and Need Issues . . . . . . . . . . . 3-18 3.5.2 Association of Bay Area Governments' (ABAG) HousingNeeds Determination . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . 3-18 Definitions of Income Categories for Dublin . . .. . . . .. . . . . . . . . . 3-21 Determination of Moderate Income Unit Price . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3-21 3.5.3 Immediate Housing Need. . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. .. . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . 3-22 Waiting Lists for Subsidized Housing . . . . . ... . .. .. . .. . . . . . .. . . 3-23 Level of Payment as a Function of Ability to Pay. . . .. .. .. .. .. . 3-23 VacancyRates . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . .. . . .. . . 3-26 Overcrowding. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. .. . . . . . . .. . . . .. . 3-26 3.5.4 Special*Housing Needs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ... .. .. . . . . . . . . . .. . . 3-27 Housing for the Elderly . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. .. . . . . . . . . . .. .. .. . 3-27 Housing Accessible to Disabled Persons . . ... .. . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . 3-27 Needs of Female Headed Households. . . . .. .. . .. .. .. .. . . . . . . . . 3-29 Other Groups with Special Housing Needs. . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . .. . . 3-29 3.5.5 Jobs/Housing Balance . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ... . ... .. .. .. . . . .. . 3-29 3.6 IDENTIFICATION OF SITES AVAILABLE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF HOUSING .. . . . .. . . . .. . . . .. . . . . . . .. . . . . 3-31 3'.6.1 Sites Currently Zoned for Residential Use. .. . . . . . . . . .. . . . . .. 3-31 3.6.2 Sites Not Currently Designated For Residential Use . . . .. . . . . . 3-31 3.6.3 Sites for the Development of Mobile Homes andManufactured Housing. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . 3-33 i Y t 3.7 CONSTRAINTS TO THE PRODUCTION OF HOUSING . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3-35 3.7.1 Governmental Constraints . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3-35 Lack of Programs for Subsidized Housing . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3-35 ExistingZoning . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3-35 DevelopmentFees. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3-36 3.7.2 Non-Governmental Constraints . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3-36 Possible Lack of Infrastructural Capacity. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3-36 Limited Land Availability . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. 3-37 CompetitionAmong Uses. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . 3-7 Interest Rates . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . 3-37 Community Opposition to Medium and HighDensity Housing . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. .. . . . . .. . 3-39 3.8 HOUSING PROGRAM . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . 3-40 3.8.1 Summary of Housing Program . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3-40 3.8.2 City Housing Goals. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . 3-40 3.8.3 Housing Program Strategies Requiring Adoption of General Plan and Consistent Zoning Ordinance Amendments for Implementation. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . .. . . . .. .. 3-42 3.8.4 Housing Program Strategies Requiring Additional City Action for Implementation . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . .. . .. . .. . . . . . 3-47 3.8.5 Strategies Requiring Ongoing City Effort Using ExistingPrograms . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . .. . . .. .. . . .. . . 3-51 3.8.6. Opportunities for Energy Conservation . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . 3-53 ii LIST OF TABLES No. Title Page 3-1 Projected Tri-Valley Employment Additions at Full Development in 2005 .. . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . .. 3-3 3-2 Existing and Projected Tri-Valley Housing and Jobs . . . . .. . . .. . . 3-4 3-3 Index to Required Housing Element Components. . . . .. . . . . . . ... 3-6 3-4 City of Dublin - Population Characteristics . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. 3-9 3-5 City of Dublin - Household Characteristics . . . . .. . .. . .. .. . . . . . 3-10 3-6 Housing Units By Tenure and Year Structure Built, 1980 . . . . . . . . 3-12 3-7 Tri-Valley Single-Family Homes: Average and Median Resale Prices, 1st Quarter 1983 . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3-13 3-8 1980 Housing Units by Number of Bedrooms, Occupancy Status, and Tenure . . . . . 3-14 3-9 Subsidized Housing in the•Livermore/Amador•Valley, 1983 . . . ... 3-16 3-10 Tri-Valley Housing Services. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . .. . . . 3-17 3-11 Dublin Households: Distribution by Income Category, and ABAG Projected Need. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. .. .. .. . . . 3-20 3-12 City of Dublin: Ability to Meet ABAG Projected Need . . . 3-20 3-13 Waiting Lists For Subsidized Housing. . . . . . . . . . .. . .. . . .. . . . . . . 3-24 3-14 Monthly Ownership Cost as a Percentage of Income . . .... . . . . . . 3-25 3-15 Monthly Gross Rent as a Percentage of Income . . .. . . . . . . .. . . .. 3-25 3-16 Dublin Households Spending 25 Percent or More . . . . .. . .. . . . . . . 3-26 3-17 Persons With Major Disabling Conditions: . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . ... 3-28 3-18 Sites Available for Development of Housing Currently Zoned for Residential Use . . . . . .. . . .. . . . . . . .. ... . . .. 3-32 3-19 Sites Available for Development of Housing Not Currently Designated for Residential Use. . . . . . .. ... .. . .. . 3-33 3-20 Single Family Mortgage Payments, $ 100,000 Mortgage. . .. . . . .. 3-38 3-21 Summary of Housing Program Strategies Related To City Goals and Housing Program Requirements.. . . .. . .. . .. . . .. 3-41 A 111 3.1 OVERVIEW 3.L1 PROFILE OF DUBLIN THE PRIMARY PLANNING AREA The City of Dublin, incorporated in 1982, is 4.1 square miles in area, with an estimated 1983 population of 13,700. The primary planning area for the City's first Housing Element and other elements of the General Plan consists of the incorporated area plus .3 square miles to the west, consisting largely of a portion of an approved subdivision which is partly within the City's boundaries. Most of the City's approximately 4,400 housing units were built by the Volk-McLain Company during the 1960's and are single family, single story houses with three or four bedrooms. Only 386 units, nine percent of the City's stock, are multi-family. The 1980 Census reported that 23 percent of Dublin residents rent their homes. As 85 to 90 percent of multi-family units are occupied by renters, it can be assumed that about 15 percent of Dublin's single family homes were rented in 1980. For many, Dublin's predominance of single-family homes on 5,000 to 8,000 square foot lots is a desirable feature and one that helps to define a community of families with moderate incomes, typically earning 80 to 120 percent of the Bay Area median. Today's moderate income households, however, cannot afford today's new single-family homes, forcing the City to choose between attempting to maintain its traditional type of housing and maintaining a community with housing available to its traditional residents. As moderate income households are faced with increasing difficulty in purchasing homes, low income households, those with less than 80 percent of area median income, are finding it more difficult than ever to obtain housing. The regional housing needs determination prepared by ABAG for Dublin projects total housinj need as 1,956 units, including 665 units for low and very low income households. Under General Plan policies, total units in excess of the figure prepared by ABAG will be produced. The target for units available to low and very low income households, however, will prove unrealistic unless federal subsidy programs for new construction are revived and sites for construction of affordable housing made available. Regardless of Dublin's interest.in meeting this need, households having 80 percent or less of median income must have substantial subsidies to be able to afford to live in an area where nearly all housing is less than 25 years old and there are no older multi family units. Unless the economy stagnates or sewage capacity increases are blocked, Dublin will be built-out within the next five to ten years. Only 157 acres of non-commercial land remain undeveloped in the City, including several surplus school sites. As housing demands and City population increase so will other needs, such as those for recreation and public facilities. These needs must be balanced in assigning land use designations to Dublin's remaining undeveloped land. Association of Bay Area Governments, Housing Needs Determination, San Francisco- Bay Region, July 1983, p.44. 3-1 Dublin is a compact city—construction on the sites identified as available for housing development would not result in non-contiguous urbanization; all are infill sites. Under Alameda County zoning (adopted by the City), most of the city is classified R- 1-13-E, a single-family residential combining district allowing lot sizes from 5,000 to 10,000 square feet. Some of the City's larger sites appropriate for residential development are zoned P-D (Planned Development). All residential structures are one or two stories and building heights in commercial districts have not exceeded three stories. 3.L2 EXTENDED PLANNINR AREA Dublin has designated a -square-mile extended planning area that "bears relation to its planning" (Govt. Code 65300). The extended planning area is largely undeveloped and is characterized by steep slopes with oak woodlands west of the City and rolling grasslands east of the City. The area also includes the public lands comprising Parks Reserve Forces Training Area (RFTA), Santa Rita Prison, and Tassajara Regional Park. (See map in Plan Policies Report). General Plan designations for the extended planning area are schematic in nature. Policy 2.1.4 calls for consideration of residential development on moderate slopes with multi-family densities on flatter land and next to business park areas. The potential number of units cannot be determined until plans for extension of urban services are prepared and General Plan refinement studies are completed. While land values are likely to preclude development of mobilehome parks on avail- able level sites in the primary planning area, portions of the extended planning area could accommodate them. An area that provides the exception to the rule of steep slopes and inaccessibility in the extended planning area is the land adjoining the . proposed business park area north of I-580 on either side of Tassajara Road. When the General Plan is reviewed and refined for this area, consideration will be given to designating some portion f or mobile home parks. The details of developing infrastructure and providing services to the extended planning area have not begun to be worked out. It is therefore assumed that resi- dential development in the extended planning area, with the exception of individual rural residences, will not occur within the time frame of the housing program included in the Housing Element. State law requires Housing Element revision every five years so the document's first or second revision and program update will appropriately include detailed policies and plans for the extended planning area. 3.L3 SUBREGIONAL DEVELOPMENT TRENDS Dublin, like other cities in the Tri-Valley area (the San Ramon, Livermore, and Amador valleys), was developed as a bedroom community oriented toward the major urban centers of Oakland and San Francisco. Now the area is facing a dramatic change as, for the first time, employment growth is expected to outpace housing development, resulting in a net in-commute of workers. 3-2 In 1980 the area had 160,000 residents, 51,300 housing units, and 35,000 local jobs. The Association of Bay Area Governments (ABAG) projected a 43 percent population gain to 228,300 by the year 2000. The Tri-Valley was expected to remain a bedroom area, with the 1980 ratio of local jobs to employed residents about 0.73, sliding to about 0.44 as housing for commuters continued to be built during the 20-year projec- tion period (Las Positas DEIR, Tables 5.5 and 5.17). Total job additions by the year 2000 were projected by ABAG at 16,600—far short of the current build-out projec- tion of 129,615 based on announced projects (see Table 3-1). Although this high figure may reflect developer ambitions that will not be fully attained, the Tri-Valley has demonstrated its appeal to employers. Among the attractive features are the relatively low cost of land in comparison to the Bay plain, freeway accessibility to the region, proximity to desirable residential areas, and absence of the political uncertainty characteristic of larger cities. Projections of jobs and housing units for the Tri-Valley are in Table 3-2. TABLE 3-1 PROJECTED TRI VALLEY EMPLOYMENT ADDITIONS AT FULL DEVELOPMENT IN 2005+a City Jobs Added Dublin 22400 Pleasanton 48,945 Livermore 17,800 San Ramon 21,375 Subtotal 90,520 Spillover secondary employment @ 20 percentb 18,100 Las Positas 22 195 TOTAL 1309817 aAlameda County Planning Department. Las Positas DEIR. June, 1982, Tables 2.2, 5.6, 5.7, 5.8, and 5.9. bGruen Gruen + Associates. An Analysis of the Secondary Employment Impacts of Approved North Pleasanton Commercial/Industrial Development. November, 1982, p. 42. Spill-over impacts are projected at 21 to 28 percent of employment in industrial/business park projects.) 3-3 . 1 ` TABLE 3-2 EXISTING AND PROJECTED TRI VALLEY HOUSING AND JOBS Ratio of Tri- Jobs to Housing Valley Employed Employed Populationa Units a Jobs a Residentsb Residents 1980 160,000 51,302 509373 75,900 0.66 2000; ABAG '83 with Las Positas 253,000 90,000 132,200a 133,200 0.99 aABAG Series 183: Preliminary Population, Household, and Employment Projections: 1980-2000, Working Draft, March 1983. bAssumes 1.48 per housing unit valley-wide 1980 census. 3-4 3.2 HOUSING ELEMENT REQUIREMENTS AND ORGANIZATION 3.2.1 STATE REQUIREMENTS Government Code Sections 65580 through 65589 set forth requirements relating to the preparation and content of Housing Elements. By law, the Housing Element must contain: 1) an assessment of housing needs and an inventory of resources and constraints relevant to the meeting of these needs; 2) a statement of the community's goals, quantified objectives, and policies relative to the maintenance, improvement, and development of housing; and 3) a program which sets forth a five-year schedule of actions the local government is undertaking or intends to undertake to implement the policies and achieve the goals and objectives of the Housing Element. The housing program must: identify adequate sites available for residential development for a variety of types of housing for all income levels; assist in the development of adequate housing to meet the needs of low and moderate income households; address governmental constraints to the maintenance, improvement, and development of housing; conserve and improve the condition of the existing affordable housing stock; and promote housing opportunities for all persons. This Housing Element is intended to comply with state law. 3.2.2 ORGANIZATION OF HOUSING ELEMENT The Housing Element is organized into nine main sections. Table 3-3 provides an index to State required Housing Element Components. Section 3 presents the basic population and household data used to develop needs assessments and projections. Existing market-rate and below market-rate housing resources and services are surveyed in Section 4. Section 5 evaluates housing need, and includes discussion of Dublin's "fair share" allocation as well as city and valley-wide jobs/housing balance. The five required components of the housing program are described in the remaining sections. Sites available for the development of housing are inventoried in Section 6; constraints are addressed in Section 7, and housing program goals are at the beginning of Section 8. Section 8 also includes all of the strategies for the housing program, separated into three groups on the basis of actions necessary for implementation. All housing program strategies are presented with their associated policy objective, quan- tified objectives as appropriate, and financing and implementation responsibilities. Housing strategies are related to Dublin's housing goals and State Housing Element requirements in Table 3-21. 3-5 TABLE 3-3 INDEX TO REQUIRED HOUSING ELEMENT COMPONENTS Statutory Requirement Section(s) Page Number(s) Analysis of population and employment trends 3.113.3 3,4,9,10 Quantification of existing and projected housing needs for all income levels - share of the regional housing need 3.5 18-23 Analysis of household character- istics 3.3 10 Analysis of characteristics of the housing stock 3.4 11-17 Inventory of land suitable for residential development 3.6 31-34 Analysis of governmental constraints 3.7 35136 Analysis of non-governmental constraints 3.7 36-39 Analysis of special housing needs 3.5 28-30 Analysis of opportunities for energy conservation 3.8 53 Statement of community housing goals, quantified objectives and policies 3.8 40 Five year housing program to achieve 3 community housing goals and objectives 3.8 41-53 3.2.3 PUBLIC PARTICIPATION The General Plan preparation process in Dublin has included a citizen's workshop-on the General Pldn and a series of Planning Commission and City Council meetings to consider three working papers and alternative sketch plans. Copies of working papers have been available to members of the community; sketch plans and, earlier, maps of the planning area were displayed in the City offices. Throughout the planning process, and at all Planning Commission and City Council meetings, housing has been a primary concern. The major area of community 3-6 controversy relative to project approval was the density of proposed multi-family residential projects. Through the General Plan the major density questions were resolved, thereby easing community concern, stabilizing developer and citizen expectations, and speeding the approval process of future development proposals. Another issue raised by Dublin residents was a potential economic gap between sectors of the City created by differences in housing cost. The policies of the Housing and Land Use elements are intended to counter any such trend. 3.2.4 CONSISTENCY WITH OTHER ELEMENTS OF THE GENERAL PLAN The Housing Element is intended to be consistent with all elements of the General Plan. All elements of the Plan have been prepared concurrently. This planning process, in which housing, land use, circulation, and environmental issues are considered as a set of interrelated concerns, facilitates the development of a General Plan that is internally consistent and supportive of community goals. 3-7 3.3 POPULATION AND HOUSEHOLD CHARACTERISTICS Dublin's population is relatively homogeneous in terms of age and ethnic character- istics. The short span of time during which most of the City's single family homes were constructed, and low original housing prices resulted in a predominance of young families in the 1960's and then a slowing down of growth and overall aging of the population. Development in accord with the General Plan will result in about 7,900 dwelling units and 22, '00 residents at full development—a 61 percent population addition to the 1983 total. Even with this population increase, Dublin will probably never again have a school-age population that will fill its built public elementary school capacity. The high cost of new housing and declining family size are among the causes. Current population data for Dublin is included in Table 3-4. Household characteristics, including mobility and household size, are presented in Table 3-5. Except where otherwise noted, data is from the 1980 U.S. Census, Summary Tape Files (STF) 1 and 3. This data is already four years old, but is in many cases the only available information on Dublin population and households. 3-8 TABLE 3-4 CITY OF DUBLIN -POPULATION CHARACTERISTICS Total Percentb Population, 1983 13,700c Households, 1983 4,428d Persons in Group Quarters 0 Age characteristics, 1980 persons under 18 5,262 38.9 persons 18-61 7,805 57.8 persons 62 and over 429 3.2 Ethnic Characteristics, 1980 White Population 129470 92.4 Black Population 350 2.6 Chinese Population 110 0.8 Native American Population 82 0.6 Japanese Population 71 0.5 Persons of Spanish Origin, 1980 1,159 8.4 a1980 U.S. Census. bMay not equal 100 percent due to rounding. cDerived from 1983 household count assuming 3.2 persons per single family unit and 2 persons per multi-family unit dOrville McDonald, U.S. Post Master, Pleasanton, CA, personal communication, 5/23/83. 3-9 TABLE 3-5 CITY OF DUBLIN -HOUSEHOLD CHARACTERISTICS Percent of Total Dublin Households Total Households, 1983 4,428 100 Residence in 1975 (persons over 5 years old), 1980 same house 5,332 39.5 different house, same county 3,697 27.4 different house, different county 2,299 17.0 different state 803 5.9 abroad 262 1.9 Median Household Income,a 1983 $33,180 Households by size, 1980 1 person households 311 7.9 2 person households 899 23.0 3 person households 859 22.1 4 person households 1,035 26.5 5 person households 566 14.5 6 or more person households 213 5.5 Average Household Size, 1980 3.41 Single-parent households, 1980 Female-headed Households 222 5.3 Male-headed Households 57 1.4 Female-headed households below povertyb (with children), 1979 135 3.0 aFigure derived from HUD 1983 Bay Area median income. bFamilies and unrelated individuals in the census were classified as being below or above the poverty level, based on income in 1979 using an index which provides "poverty thresholds.". These thresholds vary by size of family, number of children, and age of the family householder or unrelated individual. The threshold used for a four person family, for example, was $7,412. Source: 1980 U.S. Census; extrapolation by Blayney-Dyett. 3-10 3.4 EXISTING HOUSING RESOURCES 3.4.1 EXISTING HOUSING STOCK Dublin's housing stock is characterized by single-family detached homes built within the last 25 years (See Table 3-6). In terms of price, size and type, the City's supply of housing units is relatively homogenous. However, with the completion of approved projects, the overall nature of the housing stock will begin to change, as is indicated by the anticipated increase in the percentage of multi-family units in the City. City of Dublin Existing and Planned Housing Units By Type Cumulative Total Single- Multi- Percent Units Family Family Multi-Family Existing Occupied or 4,428 4,042 386 9 Previously Occupieda Approved or Ugder 1,800 700 1,100 24 Consideration aOrville McDonald, U.S. Post Master, Pleasanton, CA, personal communication, 5/23/83. bCity of Dublin Planning Department, updated 11/15/83. A May, 1983 Postal Service count shows 4,428 housing units in the City currently or previously occupied (the only units omitted are new units as yet unoccupied). Of these, 4,042, or 91 percent, were single-family homes. There were 386 multi-family units. Approximately 15 percent of Dublin's single-family homes were rented in 1980. 3-11 TABLE 3-6 HOUSING UNM BY TENURE AND YEAR STRUCTURE BUILT, 1980 Units Percent of Owner Renter Built Existing Units Occupied Occupied 1979 to March 1980 35 .8 18 5 1975 to 1978 123 2.9 107 7 1970 to 1974 304 7.3 182 109 1960 to 1969 3,314 80.2 27605 656 1950 to 1959 156 3.8 91 65 1940 to 1949 186 4.5 0 94 1939 or earlier 15 3.6 0 15 Source: 1980 U.S. Census. While the single-family house has remained dominant, the composition of Dublin households has been changing. The 1980 Census reported an average household size of 3.41, as compared with 4.0 in 1970. We estimate a 1983 average household size of 3.2. This sharp decline is typical of similar communities in the state and nation. At what point household size will "bottom out" is unclear; factors influencing household size and structure include marriage and divorce trends, birth and death rates, general economic conditions, patterns of young adult behavior, and regional housing availability. Not all change is toward small household size. There is evidence that "doubling up," i.e. more than one family living in a single-family house, is becoming increasingly common. While data are not available to gauge this phenomenon precisely, it was mentioned several times in the course of interviews conducted for this report. Doubling up is a typical consequence of hard economic times, when young people cannot afford their first homes, elderly family members move in with children, and many people are reluctant or unable to make major financial commitments. Difficulty in affording housing may not be the only reason for doubling up in Dublin; small families may choose to share a home for convenience, companionship, or reluc- tance to assume responsibility for an unneccesarily large unit. This trend indicates both a change in the nature of the community's households and a mismatch between available housing and those in the housing market, in terms of both price and type of units available. Some amount of doubling represents efficient use of single-family stock as family size declines. The next five to ten years will bring the second major burst of growth in Dublin's housing stock, with over 1,600 units approved but not built or occupied by the end of 1983. These units will result in a major &,ange in the type of unit in Dublin—with multi-family units approved, the City will see an increase in the percentage of multi- family units even if all units yet to be approved were single family. 3-12 The predominance of buildings constructed within the past twenty years means that few units in the City are obsolete. Maintenance varies from poor to excellent, but instances of poor maintenance are few and are scattered. Dublin's building inspector reports few code violations as of early 1984. Most violations reported stem from landlord/tenant conflicts. Dublin offers a somewhat narrower range of housing prices than other Tri-Valley communities. Because it is a new community, there are no modest cottages remaining from a "pre-commuter" era available now to low income households. Because Dublin's initial subdivisions were moderately priced, developers have been slow to add luxury homes. However, Dublin's western hills offer an environment attractive to higher- priced homes and some are beginning to appear, as are less costly multi-family units elsewhere in the City. Developments now being completed in Dublin consist mainly of single-family homes that are considerably more expensive than resale units in the city. New homes in three subdivisions surveyed range from $115,000 to $209,000 in May, 1983, while city- wide average resale price in the first quarter of 1983 as reported by the Southern Alameda County Board of Realtors was close to $111,000 (see Table 3-7). As reported by sales representatives, buyers of these new homes seem to be divided evenly among those moving from within the Tri-Valley, from the nine-county Bay Area, and from outside of the Bay Area, with many of those in this last group coming from out of state as corporate transferees. Sales representatives, apartment managers, and public housing officials have all noted a significant increase in the number of transferees beginning in 1982, reflecting new major commercial/industrial development in the Tri- Valley. TABLE 3-7 TRI VALLEY SINGLE-FAMILY HOMES: AVERAGE AND MEDIAN RESALE PRICES, 1ST QUARTER 1983 Dublin San Ramon Pleasanton Livermore Average Sales Price, 1st Quarter 1983 $110,831 $154,709 $145,291 $109,538 Median Price, January 1983 $109,225 $154,225 $135,500 $1029225 Median Price, February 1983 $107,060 $142,250 $137,500 $102,896 Median Price, March 1983 $99,900 $138,000 $135,000 103,225 Average Home Value, 1980 U.S. Census $92,397 na na na Source: Southern Alameda County Board of Realtors 3-13 It can be seen that while home prices have risen over the past 4 years, homes in Dublin remain available to a wider range of households than units in other Tri-Valley cities. The median home price for Dublin, when compared with that of San Ramon, and Pleasanton, suggests that there are a greater percentage of resale units available in the $100,000 range, and thus relatively more opportunities for homeownership by moderate income households in Dublin than elsewhere in the area. Home ownership is out of reach for many area residents, and this fact increases the demand for rental housing. The number of single-family homes offered as rentals boosts Dublin's rental stock significantly. While Dublin's housing stock includes only 356 multi-family units, at least 950 additional units, all single-family, were rented out in 1979. Counting multi and single family units, Dublin's rental housing stock included 988, or 23 percent, of the City's housing units, as compared with 44 percent for the nine-county Bay Area, according to the 1980 Census. The 1980 Census reported slightly over 85 percent of Dublin's housing units as having 3 or 4 bedrooms, with the breakdown by occupancy and tenure as follows: TABLE 3-8 1980 HOUSING UNITS BY NUMBER OF BEDROOMS, OCCUPANCY STATUS, AND TENURE Total Total Occupied Renter Occupied None 5 5 5 1 118 118 97 2 269 239 196 3 21045 1,926 428 4 1,495 1,469 218 5 or more 201 197 1 i TOTAL 4,133 3,954 945 a Source: 1980 U.S. Census. 3-14 3.4.2 SUBSIDIZED HOUSING IN DUBLIN AND THE TRI VALLEY In addition to the market rate housing units in Dublin, Livermore and Pleasanton, some form of subsidized housing exists in each of the three cities (See Table 3-9). In Dublin, the Pleasanton Housing Authority owns and manages Arroyo Vista, a 150-unit housing complex for low income families on the site of the former Koman- dorski Village. The Arroyo Vista project was approved by a two-thirds majority in a vote in the unincorporated area of Alameda County under Article 34 of the California Constitution as required for publicly owned subsidized housing. Applicants for Arroyo Vista are selected on the basis of housing authority policies that make income the primary criterion. Local applicants are given preference. Local is defined by the Housing Authority as currently living or working in Dublin or Pleasanton. Numerous applications have been received from families being transferred to the area. Most Arroyo Vista tenants and applicants are young families from Dublin and Pleasanton with preschool-age children. The majority of requests received by the housing authority are for two-bedroom units, suggesting that the average household size at Arroyo Vista is close to that in Dublin as a whole. Racially, the population of Arroyo Vista is more diverse than that of the City, with 60 percent Caucasian tenants, 22 percent Hispanic, 11 percent Asian, 6 percent Black, and 1 percent American Indian. Other subsidized housing in Dublin is available through two Section 8 programs. Section 8 new construction funds were used in the construction of The Springs apartments, a 176-unit complex including 36 subsidized units. There is a short-term waiting list continuously maintained for the Section 8 units at The Springs, and turnover is very low. The Section 8 certificate program for Dublin is administered by the Alameda County Housing Authority. Currently, the Housing Authority contracts for 19 Section 8 units in Dublin. According to a representative of the County Housing Authority, applications for certificates by Dublin residents are few, and Dublin is the Alameda County city with the least participation in the Section 8 certificate program. 3-15 TABLE 3-9 SUBSIDIZED HOUSING IN THE LIVERMORE/AMADOR VALLEY, 1983 Unit Size Type Total (# of Age Group Rent City Complex (# of Units) Bedrooms) of Tenants Subsidy Dublin Arroyo Vista 150 16 - 1's Elderly Q.I. (Pleasanton (85 complete 78 - 2's Family Housing as of 6/83) 32 - 3's Handicapped Authority) 24 - 4's 8 - Hdcp. Dublin The Springs 176 7 - 1's Elderly Q.1. (36 subsidized) 29 - 2's Family 3 - Hdcp. Handicapped Livermore Hillcrest Gardens 54 28 - Studio Elderly Q.I. 26 - 1's Handicapped S.S. Livermore Leahy Square 125 12 - 1's Family Q.I. (Livermore 48 - 2's Elderly Housing 45 - 3's Handicapped Authority) 18 - 4's 2 - 5's Livermore Livermore Gardens 96 56 - 2's Family Q.11. 32 - 3's 8 - 4's Livermore Meadowbrook 47 20 - 1's Elderly Q.I. 22 - 2's Family 3 - 3's Handicapped 2 - Hdcp. } Livermore Vineyard Village 74 74 - 1's Elderly Q•1• 8 - Hdcp. Handicapped Pleasanton Kottinger Place 50 32 - Studio Elderly Q.I. 16 - 1's Handicapped 2 - 2's Pleasanton Pleasanton Gardens 39 19 - Studio Elderly S.S. 20 - 1's Handicapped Pleasanton Pleasanton Greens 131 31 - 1's Elderly S.S. 66 - 2's Family 34 - 3's Handicapped Q.I. = 25 percent of income S.S. = Sliding Scale Source: Blayney-Dyett survey, May, 1983 3-16 3.4.3 HOUSING SERVICES AVAILABLE TO DUBLIN RESIDENTS For those in need of housing counseling or emergency shelter, a variety of services exist (see Table 3-10). Providers of housing services interviewed for the Housing Element feel that their programs would be more effective if area residents were better informed about available housing services and resources. TABLE 3-10 TRI VALLEY HOUSING SERVICES For Seniors Alameda County Department of Aging - housing services for seniors, Hayward. General Advisory and Counseling Service, Shared Housing Placement ECHO Housing Assistance - Housing advisory Services, discrimination investigation, shared housing placement, mediation services. Free to Southern Alameda County Residents, Livermore. Emergency Shelter Emergency Fund Center - Emergency shelter and health services, free to all, Livermore. Good Samaritan Family Crisis Center - Emergency shelter for low income area residents, Livermore. Emergency Shelter Program, Inc. -Temporary shelter for women and children, with meals provided. Also education, and mental health and counseling services, Hayward. Tri-Valley Haven for Women -Housing for victims of domestic violence and rape. Information and referral service, counseling, advocacy, Livermore. Buenas Vidas Ranch - Emergency Housing for youth ages 10 to 19 years, Livermore Source: Valley Human Services Directory, City of Pleasanton 3-17 3.5 EVALUATION OF HOUSING NEED 3.5.1 OVERVIEW OF HOUSING AFFORDABILITY AND NEED ISSUES Given the limited amount of undeveloped land remaining in Dublin and the extent of planned commercial and industrial growth in the Tri-Valley area, it can be reasonably assumed that there will be demand for as many units as can be produced in the city. At issue, then, are the types of units to be produced, primarily in relation to density, tenure, and cost. General Plan policies will result in the production of more housing units at higher densities than could be expected if zoning based on the Alameda County General Plan at the time of incorporation were to continue. Housing construction in Dublin will exceed "projected need" as included in Bay Area Regional Housing Needs Determina- tion by over 80 percent. However, needs by income category as determined by ABAG and accepted by the City will likely not be met. The major constraint on production of below-market rate units is the lack of public funds devoted to that purpose. While Dublin has had and will continue to have relatively affordable homes for the Tri- Valley area, current market conditions make production of units affordable to even moderate income households a challenge. Using a method developed by the Bay Area Council, assuming the traditional 25 percent of income spent for housing, the maximum affordable home price for a moderate income Dublin household is $75,000. Few if any units are currently being built at or below that price. For example, while a recent proposal for a "mini-condominium" project initially proposed units priced at $60,000 - $70,000, approval has been made contingent on density reductions and provision of some townhouse units, raising expected unit prices to the $65,000 - $130,000 range. New higher cost units in Dublin are selling, indicating that households with higher incomes are moving into the City. Some households are able to purchase homes which, according to the formula on page 22, they cannot afford because they purchased homes when home prices and interest rates were low and they now have assets that enable them to "move up" into houses which they would not be able to afford on their incomes alone. Renters, who have no equity from a current home, have much more difficulty purchasing a first unit. The relatively low cost of renting and absence of a requirement of a large down payment makes rentals an important source of affordable market rate housing. 3.5.2 ASSOCIATION OF BAY AREA GOVERNMENTS' (ABAG) HOUSING NEEDS DETERMINATION Dublin's regional fair share allocation is presented in Housing Needs Determinations - San Francisco Bay Region (July 1983). Needs determinations have been prepared for the nine Bay Area counties, their incorporated cities, and the total unincorporated area for each county. Existing Need represents the number of additional units a jurisdiction would have provided in 1980 in order to have a housing market in "better" supply-demand balance based on the "optimum vacancy rate." According to ABAG, Dublin's "existing need" in 1980 was 296 units. The "existing need" figure is, in effect, an analysis of the city's housing situation, reflecting the extent of unmet housing demand. "Existing need" is included in "projected need." 3-18 Projected Need is the total number of units needed to accommodate anticipated growth in the city and provide for a desirable vacancy rate. The "projected need" figure is the number of additional units that would ideally be developed in the City by 1990, based on the household projections developed by ABAG and presented in its Projections 183. Household projections reflect the distribution of employment opportunities, availability of suitable sites, and commuting patterns, although no detailed information is presented by ABAG to show how the figures were derived. ABAG's determination of Dublin's "projected need" is 1,956 housing units. Projected Housing Need by Type and Tenure is one of the factors that must be taken into account in the determination of the regional need for housing as required by state law. ABAG presents "housing need by type and by tenure" in two separate sets of tables. Distribution by type and tenure rests on the assumption that "the relative distribution of housing would be approximately that of the 1980 Census" (ABAG, p.17). Using this assumption, ABAG has projected a need for 1,794 single family units (92%), 162 multi family units (8%), and no mobile homes. ABAG projects a need for 1,485 owner-occupied units (76%) and 471 rental units. Projected Need by Income Category is not a continuation of current patterns but rather a figure that includes a redistribution of households by income category throughout the region. The objective of the redistribution is to "avoid further impaction of localities with relatively high proportions of lower income households" (Government Code Section 65584). To generate the figures, ABAG averaged existing city percentages in each income category with the existing county and regional percentages. For example, to derive Dublin's projected need for very low income households, ABAG averaged Dublin's existing percentage of very low income house- holds (9 percent) with Alameda County's percentage of very low income households (28 percent) and the regional percentage (23 percent), to come up with a projected need for 20% of units for very low income households (9+28+23=60; 60/3=20). Median household income as reported by the Census and definitions of income grouping established by the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development form the basis of ABAG's calculations. Existing distribution of households by income category is presented in addition to "projected housing need by income category." Planned and projected units will produce a more diverse mix of housing types than has previously been available in Dublin, which means greater opportunity for production of affordable units. The number of rental units that will be developed cannot be pro- jected, since the division of multi family units between condominiums and rental units is not known. However, with 2,600 multi-family units anticipated, the City will meet the projected need for 471 additional rental units if only 18 percent are rental. ABAG presents "projected need by income category" as both an absolute number of units and a percentage of units in each income grouping. It is very unlikely that 34 percent of the units produced in Dublin over the next ten years could be made affordable to low and very low income households. This percentage seems particularly unrealistic in light of the extremely limited availability of public subsidies for housing, which would be necessary for production of affordable units at such a large scale. 3-19 TABLE 3-11 DUBLIN HOUSEHOLDS: DISTRIBUTION BY INCOME CATEGORY, 1980 AND ABAG PROJECTED NEED Income Categories Above Very Low Low Moderate Moderate Household income by percent distribution, 1980 Census 9% 11% 26% 54% Projected need for housing units by income category (ABAG),1983 391 274 450 841 Desired distribution of households by income category (ABAG),1983 20% 14% 23% 43% ABAG's regional redistribution of households by income category would result in more than double the percentage of very low income households in Dublin with relatively slight changes in the percentages of low and moderate income households. The total "projected need" for Dublin represents slightly more than the number of units currently approved or under consideration by the City. Comparing ABAG's total "projected need" figure of 1,956 to the 3,500 total additional units expected under General Plan policies, it can be seen that the demand for housing units in Dublin as determined by ABAG will be more than satisfied by anticipated construction. (See Table 3-12). TABLE 3-12 CITY OF DUBLIN: ABILITY TO MEET ABAG PROJECTED NEEDS, 1980-1990 Buildout Under General Plan Policies Existing Units, May, 1983 4,428 Units Approved or Under Consideraton, November, 1983 1,800 Anticipated Units on Currently Unsubdivided Land 1,700 Total Additional Units 3,500 Units in Excess of ABAG Projected Need 1,544 Percent in Excess of ABAG Projected Need 79% 3-20 Planned and projected units will produce a more diverse mix of housing types than has previously been available in Dublin, which means greater opportunity for production of affordable units. The number of rental units that will be developed cannot be projected, since the division of multi family units beteen condominiums and rental units is not known. However, with 2,300 multi-family units anticipated, the city will meet the projected need for 471 additional rental units if only 20 percent are rental. ABAG presents "projected need by income category" as both an absolute number of units and a percentage of units in each income grouping. It is very unlikely that 34 percent of the units produced in Dublin over the next ten years could be made affordable to low and very low income households. This percentage seems particularly unrealistic in light of the extremely limited availability of public subsidies for housing, which would be necessary for production of affordable units at such a large scale. The City of Dublin accepted the Housing Needs Determination after the legal com- ment period following issuance of the ABAG document in July, 1983. The action by the City does not indicate adoption of the ABAG figures as the City's housing goals, but rather acceptance of the figures as accurately reflecting the City's housing needs. Definitions of Income Categories for Dublin. Discussion of housing needs refer to households of "low," "moderate," or "above moderate" income. These terms are precisely defined in state law, and establish the categories used in determining eligibility of housing consumers to a variety of housing programs, as well as availability of public funds and assistance to housing providers. State statute bases the definitions on a household of four, and does not relate income definitions to different household sizes for most purposes. In 1979, the most recent year for which income data for Dublin households is available, median household income in the City was 105 percent of the Five County San Francisco Area Standard Metropolitan Statistical Area (SMSA) median as reported by U.S. Housing and Urban Development (HUD). To update these figures, the Housing Element assumes that the same relationship prevailed in 1983, and uses available data to derive a 1983 median Dublin household income of $33,180. Income categories for Dublin are defined as follows based on derived Dublin income of $33,180. Explanations of each income grouping is as per Chapter 6.5 (commencing with Section 6910) of Title 25 of the California Administrative Code. Very low income- $16,590 and below. Less than 50% of the area or county median income. Other lower income- $16,590 - $26,544 Between 51% and 80% of the area or county median income. Lower income- $26,544 and below Less than or equal to 80% of the area or county median income (i.e., combination of very low income and other low income). Moderate income- $26,544 - $39,816 Between 81% and 120% of the area or county median income. Above moderate income- $39,816 and above Above 120% of the area or county median income. Determination of Moderate Income Unit Price. While State law establishes definitions for different income categories, it does not define affordability for the purposes of housing programs. Determination of a unit price affordable to moderate income households is important, as the State requires jurisdictions give developers density bonuses if 25 percent of the units in a project are affordable to low and moderate income households. 3-21 The following method for determining housing cost affordable by a moderate income household was developed by the Bay Area CounciLS This approach takes into account likely interest rates and loan periods, but does not consider assets of the household. It should be recognized that many moderate income households live in homes which they "should not" be able to afford, as they were purchased with large down payments or when home prices and mortgage rates were lower. The advantage such households have in moving to a new home is clear. The flip side of the coin reveals the diffi- culties faced by first time home-buyers of moderate income, without similar assets. DETERMINATION OF THE MODERATE-INCOME UNIT PRICE a. Moderate-income definition (120% of median) _ $39,816 b. $39,816 x .9 = $35,834 income to be used in determining price. In order to establish a practical range of incomes able to afford a specific price for a unit, it must be affordable to those having 90 percent of the calculated income. Without this "window" only those whose income was $39,816 or more would qualif y. C. $359834/12 = $746, maximum monthly mortgage payment, or maximum rent 4 payment at 25 % of gross income. (Utilities and insurance not included). d. $746 payment at 13% fixed rate, 30-year term = $67,438 mortgage e. $67:438 = $74,931 moderate income affordable purchase price assuming .9 downpayment 10% downpayment adjustment) 3.5.3 IMMEDIATE HOUSING NEED State law requires that the Housing Element include an identification and analysis of existing and projected housing needs (Government Code 65583). Indicators of need include level of payment compared to ability to pay, analysis of special housing needs, vacancy and overcrowding. While data regarding overcrowding and"overpayment" can be readily assembled and presented, such figures need to be qualified before they are "translated" into existing need. By long standing rule of thumb, overpayment occurs when a household pays more than 25 percent of monthly income for housing, although some of the recent literature uses 30 percent. Clearly, higher income households are more able to spend a greater portion of income on housing without sacrificing basic needs than are low income households. However, households that are technically"overpaying" are not necessarily in immediate need of affordable units. Put another way, there is no evidence to suggest that all (or even a majority)of overpaying households in Dublin or the region would relocate were affordable housing available in the City. The fact that those households identified by the Census as overpaying are living in Dublin indicates the ability to pay. 5 Bay Area Council, Proposal for a San Mateo County Affordable Housing Incentive Program, June 1983, prepared by the Bay Area Council and submitted to the San Mateo Uounty Board of Supervisors. 3-22 The impossibility of pairing households and housing units raises a basic difficulty in solving overcrowding and overpayment problems. For example, while production of additional large units would surely provide the opportunity for large households to be adequately housed, it does not guarantee it. If it can be supposed that households living in overcrowded conditions are those with the least housing choice because of limited ability to pay, it becomes even less likely that the production of market rate large units would alleviate overcrowding in Dublin. The policies and programs of the Housing Element are not likely to reduce the number of overpaying households in the City. If successful the housing program will limit the increases in the incidences of overpayment and overcrowding in Dublin. Waiting Lists for Subsidized Housing. One index of immediate need is the length of waiting lists for subsidized housing in the Tri-Valley. Households on waiting lists are in need of affordable housing and actively seeking to relocate. Table 3-13 reports on waiting lists for subsidized housing. There is probably some overlap, with a number of households on lists for more than one housing complex. Level of Payment as a Function of Ability to Pay. Tables 3-14 and 15 compare level of payment for housing to ability to pay. As discussed above, overpayment has traditionally been defined as expenditure of over 25 percent of income on housing. As can be seen from Table 3-16, over 1,300 Dublin households, occupants of 33 percent of the City's housing units, spend more than 25 percent of their income on housing. This figure suggests one of two possible interpretations—that there is a major overpayment problem in Dublin, or that the accepted standard used to define overpayment does not hold true in today's housing market. The latter interpretation seems to have validity, as an increasing number of households make the choice to spend a relatively large portion of household income on housing. Such choices are available to some households and not to others; clearly the fact that no households that reported 1979 earnings of less than $5,000 pay less than 33 percent of income for housing indicates a group of households that are overpaying f or housing; f or those households, housing expenditures "take away" from expenditures for other basic needs. 3-23 TABLE 3-13 WAITING LISTS FOR SUBSIDIZED HOUSING a On Waiting List (June 1983) From From From City Complex Dublin Pleasanton Livermore Dublin Arroyo Vista 4 Elderly 9 Elderly N/A (Pleasanton 86 Family 88 Family Housing Authority) Dublin The Springs Long term waiting list not maintained Pleasanton Kottinger Place N/A 29 Elderly N/A (Pleasanton Housing Authority) Pleasanton Pleasanton Gardens N/A 27 Elderly N/A Pleasanton Pleasanton Greens N/A 57 Elderly N/A Livermore Hillcrest Gardens Estimated at 110, almost all from Livermore; no breakdown available Livermore Leahy Square Estimated at 150; no breakdown available (Livermore Housing Authority) Livermore Livermore Gardens Estmated at 50; no breakdown available Livermore Meadowbrook 70 on waiting list; no breakdown available Livermore Vineyard Village Estimated at 85 elderly, 1 disabled; no breakdown available aDescriptions of housing complexes are in Table 3-9. Source: Blayney-Dyett telephone survey, Spring, 1983 3-24 TABLE 3-14 MONTHLY OWNERSHIP COST AS A PERCENTAGE OF INCOME (Selected Noncondominium Units - City of Dublin) income Level Less Than $5,000 $5,000 to $9,999 $10,000 to $14,999 $15,000 to $19,999 $20,000 or more Households 50 116 131 337 2,185 Surveyed Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent Households Distribution Households Distribution Households Distribution Households Distribution Households Distribution Less Than 20% 13 11.2 35 26.7 88 26.0 1,248 57.0 20%-24% 5 4.3 32 24.4 68 20.2 327 14.9 wx 0 25%-34% 24 20.7 25 19.1 84 25.0 437 20.0 p � a 35% or more 50 100 74 63.8 39 29.8 97 28.8 173 8.1 Source: 1980 U.S. Census TABLE 3-15 N MONTHLY GROSS RENT AS A PERCENTAGE OF INCOME (Selected Units- City of Dublin) Income Level Less Than $5,000 $5,000 to $9,999 $10,000 to $14,999 $15,000 to $19,999 $20,000 or more Households 50 116 131 337 2,185 Surveyed Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent Households Distribution Households Distribution Households Distribution Households Distribution Households Distribution Less Than 20% 5 5.8 35 24.0 29 16.6 238 52.0 20%-24% 14 16.3 7 4.7 21 12.0 124 27.0 o 25%-34% 15 17.4 18 12.3 74 42.3 82 17.9 � I a 35% or more 57 76 52 60.5 86 60.0 51 29.1 8 1.7 Not Completed 18 24 Source: 1980 U.S. Census TABLE 3-14 MONTHLY OWNERSHIP COST AS A PERCENTAGE OF INCOME - (Selected Noncondominium Units- City of Dublin) Income Level Less Than $5,000 $5,000 to $9,898 $10,000 to $14,999 $15,000 to $18,999 $20,000 or more Honeholds 50 118 131 337 2,185 surveyed Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent Households Distribution Households Distribution Households Distribution Households Distribution Households Distribution Less Than 20% 13 11.2 35 26.7 88 26.0 1,248 57.0 e . 20%-24% 5 4.3 32 24.4 68 20.2 327 14.9 0 25%-34% 24 20.7 25 18.1 84 25.0 437 20.0 a 35% or more 50 100 74 63.8 38 28.8 97 28.8 173 8.1 Source: 1980 U.S.Census TABLE 3-15 MONTHLY GROSS RENT AS A PERCENTAGE OF INCOME Ln (Selected Units- City of Dublin) Income Level Less Than $5,000 $5,000 to $8,999 $10,000 to $14,999 $15,000 to $19,999 $20,000 or more Households 50 116 131 337 2,185 surveyed Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent Households Distribution Households Distribution households Distribution Households Distribution Households Distribution Less Than 20% 5 5.8 35 24.0 29 16.6 238 52,0 g 20%-24% 14 16.3 7 4.7 21 12.0 124 27.0 o � 25%-34%' 15 17.4 18 12.3 74 42.3 82 17.9 A~ 35% or more 57 76 52 60.5 86 60.0 51 29.1 8 1.7 a Not Completed 18 24 - - - - - - - Source: 1980 U.S.Census TABLE 3-16 DUBLIN HOUSEHOLDS SPENDING 25 PERCENT OR MORE OF INCOME ON HOUSING, 1980 Percent of Income Spent on Housing 25%-35% 35%+ Renting Households Total 190 100 Percent of All Renting Households 20% 10% Home-Owning Households Total 604 459 Percent of All Home-Owning Households 20% 15% Source: 1980 U.S. Census; extrapolation by Blayney-Dyett. Vacancy rates. Vacancy rates, a commonly used indicator of the adequacy of the existing housing stock in meeting market area needs, are particularly difficult to obtain for Dublin because several of the customary providers of vacancy data have not conducted surveys in the city. The 1980 census reported vacancy rates as follows: VACANCIES - DUBLIN HOUSING UNITS, 1980 Vacant Units Percent of Total Units Vacant for Sale 28 •9 Vacant for Rent 17 1.8 x The California Department of Housing and Community Development reports that in { California a rental vacancy rate of six percent and a for sale vacancy rate of two percent are desirable to provide for the number of moves generally made by households in a period of a year. The for sale and for rent vacancy rates as reported by the 1980 Census are considerably lower than these standards. A sample survey of Dublin apartments conducted in mid-1983 by Blayney-Dyett found virtually no vacancies in Dublin apartments, with waiting lists typical. Overcrowding. An overcrowded housing unit is defined as one in which there are more than 1.01 persons per room. The 1980 Census reported 109 overcrowded units in Dublin, 2.6 percent of the City's housing units. While overcrowding has been declining statewide since the 19601s, the 7.4 percent overcrowding in California reported in 1980 represents a substantially higher incidence of overcrowding statewide than in the City. 3-26 3.5.4 SPECIAL HOUSING NEEDS Housing for the Elderly. The 1980 Census reported 429 Dublin residents over age 62, representing 3.2,percent of the City's population, considerably below the nine-county Bay Area total of 12.6 percent. Unfortunately, data is not available which indicates what portion of Dublin's elderly households are overpaying. The generally low inci- dence of overcrowded and unsafe housing units city-wide suggests that these are not problems for the elderly or other groups with special housing needs. There is evidence for a need for small units in Dublin, desirable for both their lower cost and convenience to small households, many of which are elderly. While the Census reported 29 percent (1,210) of Dublin's households having only 1 or 2 persons, only 392 1980 housing units, or 9.5 percent of the City's housing stock, were studio or one or two bedroom units. Cost is not the only housing concern of the elderly. Access to services and facilities is another. The shopping opportunities in Dublin's relatively compact downtown are attractive to those with mobility problems, but may be offset by the minimal public transit within the City. Below market rate elderly households have greater opportunities to find subsidized housing in the Tri-Valley area then do families, attributable to the relative ease of gaining acceptance for affordable housing when it is provided for seniors instead of families with children. Five of the area's subsidized housing complexes are for elderly and disabled households only. One type of housing for the elderly which is not avail- able in the Tri-Valley is congregate housing, which provides a level of independence and privacy between individual units or senior complexes and nursing homes or other institutions. Housing Accessible to Disabled Persons. Table 3-17 reports on the number of persons in Dublin and the Valley corridor with major disabling conditions. Some unavoidable double-counting may have resulted in slightly inflated totals. While those conditions surveyed are not correlated with special housing needs, it may be assumed that none of the categories of mental disorders and only some of the categories of physical disorders represent populations in need of accessible housing. Taken together, the two categories likely to include the greatest portion of people with special housing needs "Amputees and Others" and "Other Physical Disorders" total 803, or 5.9 percent of Dublin's population. This figure can be compared with the 1980 Census counts of those with workplace and public transportation disabilities, totalling 722, or 5.3 percent of the City's residents. The figure double counts an unknown number of people who have both workplace and public transportation disabilities, and includes an unknown number of disabled persons who do not have special housing needs. In sum, 5 percent represents the high end of an estimated portion of Dublin's households with special housing needs relating to disabling conditions. 3-27 TABLE 3-17 PERSONS WITH MAJOR DISABLING CONDITIONS: VALLEYS CORRIDOR AND DUBLIN, 1982 Valleys Corridora Dublinb Percent of Number Number City Pop. Total Disabling Conditions 25,199 2,219 16.4 Total Sensory Disorders 2,418 212 1.5 Blind 176 15 .1 Visually Impaired 453 39 .3 Deaf 554 49 .4 Hearing Impaired 11235 109 .8 Total Physical Disorders 121373 1,088 8.1 Amput. and Othersc 4,713 415 3.1 Epilepsy 252 22 .2 Heart Disease 1,638 144 1.1 Speech Impaired 327 29 .2 Digestion Disorder 1,033 90 .7 Other Physical Disordersc 4,410 388 2.9 Total Mental Disorders 10,408 916 6.8 Mental Illness 907 80 .6 Mentally Retarded 1,588 140 1.0 Drug and Alcohol 6,779 596 4.4 Other Character Disorders 1,134 100 .7 a"Valleys Corridor" includes the cities and Census designated places of Alamo, Danville, San Ramon, Dublin, Pleasanton, and Livermore, total 1980 population 154,312. bAssumes even distribution of disabled population throughout Valleys Corridor. cPopulations most likely to have special housing needs, totaling 803, 5.9 percent of Dublin's population. Source: Valleys Corridor Project, United Way of the Bay Area: extrapolation by Blayney- yett. 3-28 Unfortunately, no data is available on the ability of disabled households to pay for housing. Like low income elderly households, below-market rate disabled households have a relatively great opportunity to obtain subsidized housing somewhere in the Tri- Valley. For market-rate households, finding accessible housing is the challenge. Information on the number of accessible units currently in the City is not available. The bulk of Dublin's housing units, those constructed by Volk-McLain in the 19601s, are single story structures. These are, and will probably continue to be, the units most easily adapted for accessibility. Expenses incurred due to remodeling in order to permit access by elderly or disabled persons are tax deductible. Needs of Female Headed Households. The 1980 Census reported 222 female headed households with children present, 5.3 percent of the City's population, as compared with almost 10 percent reported for the nine-county Bay Area. The number of female headed households with children living below poverty is 22, 0.6 percent of all Dublin households. The corresponding'figure for the nine-county Bay Area is 44,061, or 2.2 percent of all households. Other Groups with Special Housing Needs. Two groups often identified as having special housing needs are large families and farmworker households. There is no evidence that either of these groups represent a significant number of households with housing problems in Dublin. Though data is not available that relates family size to ability to pay, the frequency of large families living in unsuitable housing units would presumably be evident by a high incidence of overcrowding. As overcrowding is reported to occur in less than 3 percent of Dublin's housing units, it appears that large families are not facing severe housing problems in the City. The ABAG housing needs determination does not present figures relating to farm- workers' housing needs. The report does note that there will be a decline in the number of farmworker households in the Bay Area, and that the need for additional housing for farmworkers in the region is not demonstrable. Given this general projec- tion, along with the limited extent of agricultural activities other than grazing in the Dublin area, farmworker household needs are not considered in this Housing Element. 3.5.5 JOBS/HOUSING BALANCE State law requires that the Housing Element include an assessment of population and employment trends. In Government Code Section 65913.1, State Statute mandates that: A city, county, or city and county shall designate and zone sufficient vacant land for residential use with appropriate standards, in relation to zoning for nonresidential use, and in relation to growth projections of the General Plan to meet housing needs as identified in the General Plan. 3-29 The jobs/housing balance, reflecting the relationship between persons employed and employed persons residing in a given area, is included in the Housing Element to satisfy the State requirement. A 1:1 ratio would equalize the number of in-commuters and out-commuters. In 1979, 5,992 Dublin residents, 1.45 persons per household, a slightly lower average than that reported Valley-wide, were employed. Using 1980 Alameda County data on commercial and industrial floor area, we estimate that there are about 6,000 jobs in Dublin, roughly the same number as employed residents. At build-out the Primary Planning Area is expected to have 8,400 jobs and 7,900 housing units. If the number of workers per household continues at 1.45, 11,455 employed persons would be housed in the city, indicating a net out-commute. When anticipated development of the extended planning area is included in a job/housing balance calculation for Dublin a different picture emerges. While the General Plan designations for the extended planning area are only schematic, the proposals suggest that as many as 38,000 jobs and an unknown number of housing units could exist there. Adding these figures to the total anticipated jobs and housing units for the primary planning area results in a projection of 46,400 total jobs, requiring 24,100 housing units in the extended planning area if housing balance is to be achieved. ABAG's preliminary 1983 projections anticipate 253,000 Tri-Valley residents by the year 2000 with Las Positas new town included. This would result in 90,000 housing units and 130,500 employed residents (at 1.45 per unit). ABAG projects 132,200 jobs in the Tri-Valley, so the ratio of jobs to employed residents would be 1:1. If, however, all of the 129,615 "planned jobs" listed in Table 3-1.materialize and are added to the 50,400 jobs existing in 1980, the job total will be 180,000 instead of 132,000 and the jobs to employed residents ratio will rise to 1.4:1 unless housing construction also exceeds ABAG's projection. The ABAG projections do not include development in the Dublin extended planning area. With 218,000 jobs (including 38,000 in the Dublin Extended Planning Area) and the 90,000 housing units projected by ABAG the jobs/employed residents ratio would be 1.67:1 assuming there are 1.45 employed persons per household. With 218,000 jobs, 150,000 housing units would be needed to achieve balance — three times the number existing. Valley-wide "fair shares" are essential if jobs-housing balance is to be attained because each jurisdiction tends to act in its perceived fiscal self-interest. Dublin, with lower per household income than Pleasanton, cannot be expected to accept more market minimum housing so that Pleasanton can devote similarly situated land to employment if both cities believe jobs to be more beneficial. 3-30 3.6 IDENTIFICATION OF SITES AVAILABLE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF HOUSING Only one large undeveloped site zoned for residential development remains in the Dublin primary planning area. Fortunately, several sites previously reserved for other purposes are expected to become available for development within the housing pro- gram time frame of five years. These are school sites, two of which are currently developed as schools with parks on the grounds and one, the Dolan site, which has never been developed for school use. All of the sites except for the largest, an approximately 80 acre area west of Dougherty Road and north of Amador Valley Boulevard, are inf ill sites. The Dough- erty Road site is adjacent to.another large site for which townhouse-type development has been approved. Services will be provided to new development by the Dublin San Ramon Services District (DSRSD) and the Dublin police and (DSRSD) fire departments. 3.6.1 SITES CURRENTLY ZONED FOR RESIDENTIAL USE The sites listed in Table 3-18 and identified in Figure 3-1 are currently zoned for residential development. As the table shows, none (with the possible exception of the two small sites located in planned development (PD) districts are in zoning districts that permit lots smaller than 5,000 square feet. Table 3-18 includes three sites that are outside the incorporated area. 3.6.2 SITES NOT CURRENTLY DESIGNATED FOR RESIDENTIAL USE Table 3-19 lists sites not currently designated for residential use, but with potential for the development of housing. These range from school sites surrounded by residential development to the downtown intensification area, where mixed commercial/residential buildings might include apartments or condominiums. Murray School District intends to sell the entire Dolan site and all or a portion of the Fallon site. 3-31 TABLE 3-18 SITES AVAILABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT OF HOUSING CURRENTLY ZONED FOR RESIDENTIAL USE Site Number Appro.amate Current Location On Map Acreage Zoning East of Dougherty Hills, north of Amador Valley Boulevard to County line 1 79a R-1-13-Eb Pleasanton Housing Auth- ority property, southwest portion of site 2 3 PD South of Alcosta Boule- vard, east of I-680 3 2 South side of Betlen Drive north of Prow Way 4 9 R-1-13-E Abutting approved Neilsen tentative map multi-family north of Hansen Road 5 4 — Southwest of approved Neilsen tentative map, north of Valley Christian Center 6 7 — Abutting north property line of Valley Christian Center 7 6 — aThe almost 100 acres of the total site includes a designated park and Alamo Creek. Estimated area available for residential development is 79 acres. bR-1-B-E allows for sites from 5,000-7,500 square feet. 3-32 TABLE 3-19 SITES AVAILABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT OF HOUSING NOT CURRENTLY DESIGNATED FOR RESIDENTIAL USE Site Number Approximate Current Location On Map Acreage Zoning West of Dougherty Road, C-N south of Amador Valley Neighborhood Boulevard 8 -2-- ' Business Fallon School 9 8 R-1-13-E Dolan School Site 11 27 R-1-13-E Valley Christian Center property— southeast portion 12 1-12 Agricultural Downtown Intensifi- cation Area 13 —a :Mostly C-1, some M-1, C-2, and PD aThe extent to which residential development is appropriate in the downtown, and the area of future intensification is not known at this time. 3.6.3 SITES FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF MOBILE HOMES AND MANUFACTURED HOUSING Opposition to mobile homes and manufactured housing sometimes arises when a landowner proposes mobile home or manufactured housing on an undeveloped parcel in a developed neighborhood of traditional single family detached homes. Such conflict is unlikely in Dublin, where very few subdivided parcels are available for development. Development of mobile home parks is also unlikely in Dublin. The few large sites available are designated medium density residential (6.0 to 14.0 units per acre) by the General Plan, allowing more intensive use than can be achieved under most mobile home park standards6. The strategies of the housing element presented in Section 8 U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, Office of Policy Development and Research, Guidelines for Improving the Mobile Home Living Environment, August 1977, p. 7. National average densities are 6 to 7 units per acre. 3-33 I; .. ... M, .a g "Al VI .......... i '? ti v1 3 � Approxim_ate Location X. . .. .ti..w., 5 (, 13 , 2;N. i ory .': .:'::'..•: N Try, :':::: S. 3 ,5 :; 7 �F qq e\ b 3:. 1 ., x�.�>... r ' Approximate Locato t• i Figure 3-1: Sites for Housing Development TABLE 3-19 SITES AVAILABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT OF HOUSING NOT CURRENTLY DESIGNATED FOR RESIDENTIAL USE Site Number Approximate Current Location On Map Acreage Zoning West of Dougherty Road, C-N south of Amador Valley Neighborhood Boulevard 8 2 Business Fallon School 9 8 R-1-B-E Frederiksen School 10 7 R-la Dolan School Site 11 27 R-1-13-E Valley Christian Center property— southeast portion 12 1-12 Agricultural Downtown Intensifi- cation Area 13 —b Mostly C-1, some M-1, C-2, and PD aMinimum lot size in an R-1 district is 5,000 square feet. bThe extent to which residential development is appropriate in the downtown, and the area of future intensification is not known at this time. 3.6.3 SITES FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF MOBILE HOMES AND MANUFACTURED HOUSING Opposition to mobile homes and manufactured housing sometimes arises when a landowner proposes mobile home or manufactured housing on an undeveloped parcel in a developed neighborhood of traditional single family detached homes. Such conflict is unlikely in Dublin, where very few subdivided parcels are available for development. Development of mobile home parks is also unlikely in Dublin. The few large sites available are designated medium density residential (6.0 to 14.0 units per acre) by the General Plan, allowing more intensive use than can be achieved under most mobile home park standards 6. The strategies of the housing element presented in Section 8 U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, Office of Policy Development and Research, Guidelines for Improving the Mobile Home Living Environment, August 1977, p. 7. National average densities are 6 to 7 units per acre. 3-33 focus on providing opportunities for multi-family units at medium densities. Such designations remove developer incentive for mobile home parks on undeveloped sites in the primary planning area and will result in production of more units than would mobile home park development. As mentioned in Section 1, opportunities for mobile home park development in the extended planning area should be considered when the Housing Element is updated and when development proposals are reviewed. 3-34 3.7 CONSTRAINTS TO THE PRODUCTION OF HOUSING 3.7.1 GOVERNMENTAL CONSTRAINTS State law requires that the Housing Element "address" and, where appropriate and legally possible, remove governmental constraints to the maintenance, improvement, and development of housing. With 1,619 units approved or under consideration in Dublin, increasing the city's housing stock by 36 percent, it becomes clear that, overall, governmental constraints are not impeding development. However, the level of activity does not indicate whether governmental constraints are increasing housing costs. Lack of Programs for Subsidized Housing. The major housing problem area is the failure to produce units affordable to low and moderate income households. While several of the strategies outlined in Section 8 of the Housing Element will bring more market-rate housing within the reach of moderate income households, below market- rate households will not be assisted by most of the steps the City is capable of taking. The primary governmental constraint relative to the production of housing for low income households is the drastic cut-back in federal funds and programs previously available to subsidize housing. For example, Section 8 funds, formerly the main federal housing subsidy program, decreased from $30 billion in fiscal year 1981 to less than $9 billion in fiscal year 1983. The president's proposed budget for fiscal year 1984 included only $514 million in new budget authority for assisted housing under Section 8, to be used for the construction of 10,000 units nationwide for the elderly and handicapped. Dublin's arithmetical share would be half of one unit. The current federal strategy is to provide assistance to the states through the Block Grant Program, shifting the burden of allocation of a dwindling "pie." As part of Alameda County's "urban county," Dublin is eligible for Community Development Block Grant (CDBG) funds. Though Block Grant funds may not be allocated for hous- ing construction, they may be used for site development and other related costs. Competition for Block Grants is intense, both among jurisdictions and between activities. Currently, Alameda County nonentitlement cities that are part of the urban county receive a maximum of $250,000 per year. Dublin used its 1982 allocation to assist the Kaleidoscope Center for the developmentally disabled and for Dougherty Road improvements. These allocations indicate the range of deserving uses to which CDBG funds can be put, and suggest that they will not be a major source of housing subsidies. Existing Zoning. Alameda County zoning, adopted by Dublin after incorporation, designated most of the City for single family residential development. Existing zoning constrains both the total number of units which can be produced and the number of multi-family units constructed, thereby limiting opportunities for the development of affordable housing in Dublin. Processing and Permit Procedures. None of the land owners, realtors, or developers contacted in the course of the General Planning process cited building code requirements, site improvements, permitting procedures, or other governmental actions as obstacles to the,approval and construction of residential developments. 3-35 Limited planning staff may have slowed down some permit processing by the City in its first year of operation, but the staff has recently been expanded and should now be able to handle applications and requests without delay. Development Fees. One often cited constraint is the high cost of development fees and permits. These include fees for sewer and water hookup and park dedication. Fees for a recently approved Dublin townhouse development totalled almost $5,000 per unit. Development fees raise housing cost, diminishing the pool of possible buyers for any given project. Though high fees act to reduce the rate of residential development, they are essential as means of funding necessary services for new development. Given the choice made by Californians in 1978 when Proposition 13 passed, Dublin (like other jurisdictions) has no practical alternative resources with which to fund basic improvements to serve new residences. 3.7.2 NON-GOVERNMENTAL CONSTRAINTS The inventory of non-governmental constraints can be separated into two groups: those factors that reduce or slow down housing development, and those that increase housing cost to the consumer. In the first category are possible lack of infrastructural capacity; limited land availability; and competition of different uses for undeveloped land. In the second category fall high and unpredictable interest rates; high land prices; and community opposition to high density housing. There is overlap between categories, as, for example, community opposition to medium and high density housing results in extended delay in development, and eventual resolution of the problem of sewage capacity will doubtless result in increased sewer hookup fees. Possible Lack of Infrastructural Capacity. The most prominent public facilities issue faced by Dublin and other Tri-Valley cities is limited sewer capacity. Sewage collec- tion and treatment and effluent disposal are provided to Dublin residents and busi- nesses by the Dublin San Ramon Services District (DSRSD), a member of the Liver- more Amador Valley Waste Water Management Agency (LAVWMA). DSRSD owns and operates its own sewage treatment plant, while LAVWMA owns an effluent pipeline used by member jurisdictions, DSRSD and the cities of Pleasanton and Livermore. DSRSD's treatment plant can be expanded to four times its present size, but the LAVWMA pipeline that carries treated effluent through Dublin Canyon to the Bay is nearing capacity. Development of additional LAVWMA capacity in the form of another pipeline in the Valley would require Valley-wide voter approval. Sewage capacity is allocated by DSRSD through issuance of connection permits. As of Summer 1983, there were approximately 580 outstanding residential permits in Dublin; i.e., permits that have been issued for dwelling units not yet hooked up to the system. At that time an additional 1,700 residential permits remained to be issued to users throughout the District on a first come, first served basis. With remaining residential development capacity in Dublin alone allowing approxi- mately 3,100 additional units that do not hold permits, it seems probable that pipeline capacity will be reached before Dublin is built out, and that growth will be curtailed, at least temporarily, within 2 to 5 years if additional effluent disposal capacity is not 3-36 available. Although a major new system would take 5 to 7 years to construct, minor capacity increases could be implemented soon after authorization, possibly alleviating development constraints during pipeline expansion. Limited Land Availability. As noted in Section 1, only 157 acres of undeveloped land remain in Dublin outside of commercially zoned sites. Given the strength of the housing market in Dublin, it is likely that more land would be developed were it available in an area served by public facilities and services. With small lots, very few units over twenty years old, and a small number of units needing repair, it is unlikely that redevelopment resulting in more intensive use of presently developed land will occur within the five year time frame of the housing program. Residential designations have been considered for several commercially zoned sites and rejected. Planning Commission and City Council members chose to retain com- mercial designations because of concerns regarding traffic and land use compatibility and in recognition of anticipated demand for commercial sites. Mixed commercial/ residential uses are allowed in the Downtown Intensification Area. Competition Among Uses. Closely related to the limited availability of land in Dublin is the tension between competing uses for what limited undeveloped land does exist. For example, in deciding on General Plan designations for the Fallon school site, the need for housing was weighed against growing need for recreation facilities as the city's population grows. The resulting plan continues devoting a portion of the site to park while designating the remaining acreage for residential development. In the Extended Planning Area, landowners have already stated their desire for business park development north of I-580 in the vicinity of Tasajara Road. This relatively flat accessible area is unique in the extended planning area for a lack of the topographic constraints that will likely make housing units constructed elsewhere affordable only to households of above-moderate income. Though the Tassajara road area does have the potential for development of affordable housing, especially on County surplus land, the adverse effects of proximity to the new County jail and the freeway combined with the greater profitability of business park development weaken support for residential development. Interest Rates. Rising interest rates in the 1970's and early 1980's have been a major contributor to high costs for both housing providers and consumers. The dramatic rise in monthly mortgage payments attributable to high interest rates is illustrated in Table 3-20, which compares payments on a $100,000 mortgage at different interest rates and varying terms. In Section 5, $67,400 was established as the maximum mort- gage assumable by a moderate income Dublin household, based on a 13% 30 year loan. The $ 100,000 mortgage, however, is necessary for a large number of buyers of Dublin homes. Increasing acceptance of adjustable rate mortgages that fluctuate within a predetermined range depending on changes in the prime rate have helped maintain housing demand by reducing initial interest to about three points below the fixed interest rate. Lower interest rates increase the number and income range of households that can qualify for mortgages. High monthly payments associated with current interest rates explain why many who purchased homes before the interest rate rise of the 1970's are able to pay for homes that renting households of the same income cannot now afford to purchase. High interest rates are a major factor that makes it much easier to remain a homeowner than to become one for the first time. 3-37 TABLE 3-20 SINGLE FAMILY MORTGAGE PAYMENTS $ 100,000 MORTGAGE Interest Term Monthly Payment Rate Years Principal do Interest 0% 25 333.33 30 277.78 35 238.10 40 208.33 8% 25 771.82 30 733.77 35 710.27 40 695.32 12% 25 1,053.23 30 1,028.62 35 1,015.55 40 1,008.50 16% 25 1,358.89 30 1,344.76 35 1,338.47 40 1,335.65 20% 25 1,678.46 30 1,671.02 35 1,668.28 40 1,667.27 Source: The California Housing Plan 1982, Volume 2, California Department of Housing and Community Development, p.c-26. 3-38 . , Community Opposition to Medium and High Density Housing. Two multi-family residential projects recently proposed in Dublin were delayed and finally were approved at reduced density as a consequence of opposition of nearby residents to multi-family dwellings at high densities. Community concerns that have been raised center on noise and traffic impacts, aesthetics and neighborhood character. Opposition of some Dublin residents to higher density housing has impeded development of a wider variety of housing types than the city has had in the past. Approvals contingent on redesign have meant projects with fewer and larger, more costly units than initially proposed by the developers. Despite density reductions resulting from community sentiment, medium-high density development has been approved in Dublin in 1983. The General Plan process is intended to set densities that are consistent with accepted design standards and community policies and will not be subject to negotiations when future project designs are submitted. High Construction Costs. The calculation on page 3-22 establishes $74,931 as the af- fordable purchase price for moderate-income households. Table 3-21 provides infor- mation on housing construction costs which show the cost (without profit to the devel- oper) of a single-family home is considerably higher than would be affordable to moderate-income households. Condominiums, however, are produced at an affordable cost, anaa smaller developer profit or somewhat higher proportion of household income spent on housing, could make such units available to moderate-income households. The higher density (in the example, 15 units/acre) is clearly necessary for the production of these lower-priced units. TABLE 3-21 HOUSING CONSTRUCTION COSTS Single-Family Construction 1570 Sq.Ft. Living Area $65,500 Construction Loan Interest 5,240 Land ($2.50 Sq. Ft.) 28,000 Site Improvements and Fees 18,000 Land and Improvements Financing 31680 $1207420 15 Percent Developer's Profit 18,060 138, 80 Condominium Construction 900 Sq. Ft. Living Area $45,000 Construction Loan 3,600 Land ($4.30 Sq. Ft.) 15 units/acre 12,500 Site Improvements and Fees 7,500 Land and Improvements Financing 1,600 $70,200 15 Percent Developer's Profit 10,530 80,7 Source: Bank of America, Blayney-Dyett 3-39 TABLE 3-22 SUMMARY OF HOUSING PROGRAM STRATEGIES RELATED TO CITY GOALS AND HOUSING PROGRAM REQURIEMENTS Housing program strategies requiring adoption of General Plan and consistent Zoning Ordinance amendments for implementation: Increase residential densities (C, 1) Designate additional land for residential use(A,C, 1) Treat one-bedroom and studio units as equivalent to 75 percent of a housing unit when computing allowable density(B, 1) Allow residential development in Downtown Intensification Area(A,C, 1) Support semi-public institutions in efforts to add affordable housing on their sites(B, 1) Require a percentage of units in large multifamily projects be rented for a specified period of time(B, 1) Housing program strategies requiring additional City action for implementation: Encourage development of second units in existing single-family homes(B, 1) Cooperate with nonprofit housing provider to develop below-market rate units (B,1) Work with Pleasanton toward establishng a joint housing authority(B, 1, 4) Encourage development of additional units on Housing Authority land in Dublin(B, 1) Require evidence of developer effort to receive public financial assistance for the purpose of including below- market rate units in proposed projects; assist developers in obtaining information on available programs(B, 1) Housing program strategies requiring ongoing City effort using eristing programs: Grant 25 percent density bonuses for provision of 25 percent affordable units as required by State law(B, 1) Promote equal housing opportunity for all Dublin residents and others seeking housing in Dublin(E, 4) Continue City code enforcement program; aid low-income households in obtaining financial assistance for housing rehabilitation (D, 2) i Statutory Housing Program Requirements City Housing Goals: The program must: 1. -S= using of varied types, sizes and prices i in Dublin in order to satisfy current and future A. identify adequate sites for the development of a housing needs of all Dublin residents. variety of types of housing for all income levels 2. Preserve Dublin's eidsting housing stock in sound B. Assist in the development of adequate housing to condition. meet the needs of low- and moderate-income households 3. Erasure that housing in Dublin will have adequate public services and will be fully served by public C. Address and, where possible, remove facilities and accessible to public facilities and governmental constraints to the maintenance, employment and commercial centers. improvement, and development of housing 4. Work for equal housing opportunity and access for D. Conserve and improve the condition of the all persons regardless of any arbitrary factors. existing affordable housing stock E. Promote housing opportunities for all persons regardless of race, religion, sex, marital status, ancestry, national origin, or color 3-41 3.8 HOUSING PROGRAM 3.8.1 SUMMARY OF HOUSING PROGRAM The housing strategies that together compose Dublin's housing program will result in production of more units and greater variety in unit types than would be acheived if current policies were continued. This increased production is clearly warranted given the significant growth in planned employment in the Tri-Valley within the five-year time frame of the housing program. Several of the strategies in process of implementation will be accomplished through adoption of the General Plan and a Zoning Ordinance consistent with General Plan policies and designations as required by law. Implementation of other strategies will require City actions in addition to Plan adoption. Still others assume ongoing City efforts based on existing programs. The Housing Element text presents housing strat- egies in three groups consistent with these,distinctions relating to implementation. Table 3-21 summarizes the housing program strategies and relates them to required program components and City goals. Taken together the strategies increase residen- tially zoned land in the city and raise permitted residential densities. Higher densities are expected to result in smaller units and lower land cost per unit, so the new desig- nations should expand the housing stock to better fit Dublin's population, recognizing both decreasing household size and increased difficulty in affording single family detached homes. Quantification of the objectives of the housing program is difficult in some areas and simple in others. Build-out of the City is expected to occur within ten years - perhaps considerably sooner. Approvals have been granted for 1,600 units and a conservative estimate projects construction of half of the City's remaining dwelling units, 950 units, during the next five years. Over 70% of these will be multi-family units. Given the extremely limited availability of public funds for housing subsidies, the housing program consists of actions feasible for the City (generally without financial obligation) or for private interests. Should public monies become available for housing assistance the City will re-evaluate opportunities for production of affordable units. The City's housing goals are presented in the next section, followed by housing strategies. Each of the housing strategies is associated with a particular policy objective. Quantified objectives for the individual strategies are included as appropriate. 3.8.2 CITY HOUSING GOALS The following goals direct the City's housing program. Policy objectives which implement City goals are presented with individual housing strategies. P o 1. - housing of varied types, sizes and prices to meet current and future housing needs of all Dublin residents. 2. Preserve Dublin's existing housing stock in sound condition. 3-40 3. Ensure that housing in Dublin will have adequate public services and will be accessible to public facilities and employment and commercial centers. 4. Work for equal housing opportunity and access for all persons regardless of race, religion, national origin, sex, marital/family status or other arbitrary factors. 3.8.3 HOUSING PROGRAM STRATEGIES REQUIRING ADOPTION OF GENERAL PLAN AND CONSISTENT ZONING ORDINANCE AMENDMENTS FOR IMPLEMENTATION Increase Residential Densities. Under Alameda County policies, most of Dublin's residential land was zoned for single family detached houses. There are no circulation system or public service constraints that dictate low density for remaining un- developed land. Higher densities will increase the variety in type and price of units available in the City. The General Plan increases the density from single family on Site #1, the 79 acres east of the Dougherty Hills and north of Amador Valley Boulevard, to medium density with required mixed dwelling types. The Land Use Element defines General Plan residential designations as follow: Residential: Single Family (0.9 to 6.0 units per acre). This category includes single amily detached and zero lot line development. Residential: Medium Density/Required Mixed Dwelling Types (6.1 to 14.0 units per acre). Except where required mixed dwelling types are designated, unit types and densities may be similar or varied at the developer's discretion. Where mixed dwelling types are required, site-specific policies would designate the location, number, and maximum density of lower density development and densities up to 20 units per acre could be combined to reach the 14.0 average. Residential: Medium-High Density. (14.1 to 25.0 units per acre.) Examples of medium-high density developments include the Springs (17.8) and Greenwood Apartments (19.8). Policy Objective: Allow construction at higher densities to increase number of units constructed and lower land price per unit Quantified Objective: Additional 250 units within five years; at buildout 500 units above number that would be produced under previous policies Action Undertaken: Sites designated medium density residential or medium density residential/required mixed dwelling type on General Plan Actions Needed: Adoption of General Plan and Zoning Ordinance amendment(s) consistent with Plan policies and designations Financing: No cost to City 3-42 Implementation Responsibility: Dublin Planning Commission and City Council Time Frame: 1984; Amendments to Zoning Ordinance within six months of General Plan adoption Designate Additional Land for Residential Use. The inventory of sites available for residential use (Section 6)shows several sites appropriate for housing where residential uses are not currently permitted. These include two school sites, and the small commercially-zoned parcel at the corner of Dougherty Road and Amador Valley Boulevard. Policy Objective: Increase total number of units produced in Dublin by providing additional sites for residential development Quantified Objective: 186 units total; 93 over next five years Action Undertaken: Residential designation on General Plan Actions Needed: Adoption of General Plan and Zoning Ordinance amendments consistent with Plan policies and designations. Financing: No cost to City Implementation Responsibility: Dublin Planning Commission and City Council Time Frame: 1984; Amendments to Zoning Ordinance within six months of General Plan adoption Treat One-bedroom and Studio Units as Equivalent to 75 Percent of a Housing Unit When Computing Allowable Density, Provided that the Maidmum Number of Units Permitted on a Site Shall mt be Increased by More Than 25 Percent. Attached and multi-family housing units may vary in size from studios to three bedroom units as large as many single family detached houses. If density policies treat all sizes identi- cally, regulating density solely on the basis of units per acre, all units on a given site carry the same land cost, regardless of size. As a result, developers tend to build the largest units they can sell or rent to allow the greatest profit margin. Small units, defined as having one or no bedroom, are on average equivalent to no more than 75 percent of a large unit, defined as having two or more bedrooms, as measured by household size, vehicle trip generation, and floor area. To incorporate this concept in the General Plan definitions, base densities are set assuming all units will be large units. Substitution of small units would allow the total number of units to increase up to one-third. To avoid encouraging projects with only small units, the General Plan limits the increase above base density to 25 percent. Policy Objective: Avoid unintentional incentive to build large units; increase profitability of small, lower cost units 3-43 Action Undertaken: Flexible definition included in General Plan Actions Needed: Adoption of General Plan and Zoning Ordinance amendments consistent with Plan policies and designations Financing: No cost to City Implementation Responsibility. Dublin Planning Commission and City Council Time Frame: 1984; Amendments to Zoning Ordinance within six months of General Plan adoption Allow Residential Development in Downtown Intensification Area The Land Use element establishes a "Downtown Intensification Area," where mid-rise buildings will be permitted along with a range of land uses. Mixed commercial/residential use will be allowed in the area, and is most likely to occur in the vicinity of the proposed BART station between I-580 and Dublin Boulevard. While it is difficult to project the number of dwelling units that will be built downtown, 200 is a reasonable assumption- whether or not this potential will be realized depends on market factors affecting the profitability of residential vs. commercial development, other intensification plans for the area, and an increased acceptance of mixed use projects in general. Mixed-use, mid-rise housing would cost more than the current market will pay, and is unlikely in a five year housing program. However, second and third floor residential space over ground floor commercial recently has been successful elsewhere in the Bay Area. Such space is virtually "free" of land cost except for parking if the developers' alternative is a one-story retail store . Policy Objective: Increase units produced in Dublin; increase sites appropriate for affordable housing and accessible to downtown Action Undertaken: General Plan designation of Downtown Intensification Area Actions Needed: Adoption of General Plan and Zoning Ordinance amendments consistent with Plan policies and designations. Financing: No cost to City Implementation Responsibility: Dublin Planning Commission and City Council Time Frame: 1984; Amendments to Zoning Ordinance within six months of General Plan adoption Support Semi-Public Institutions in Efforts to Add Affordable Housing on Their Sites. With public funding for the development of affordable housing extremely limited, the City will support efforts by semi-public institutions to provide housing. The Valley Christian Center, for example, is considering construction of senior housing on a por- 3-44 tion of its property at the west end of Dublin Boulevard. To facilitate the center or any other land-owning institution in developing affordable housing on an appropriate site, the definition of the General Plan's"semi-public" designation makes provision for residential uses. The definition reads: "Development of housing on a site designated on the General Plan as semi-public shall be considered consistent with the General Plan. Determination as to whether housing should be permitted on a specific semi- public site and the acceptable density and design will be through review of a Planned Unit Development under the Zoning Ordinance." Policy Objective: Encourage development of affordable housing by private organizations not primarily engaged in housing construction or management Action Undertaken: Inclusion of "Semi-public use" definition that allows approval of housing as an accessory use in General Plan Actions Needed: Adoption of General Plan and Zoning Ordinance amendments consistent with Plan policies and designations Financing: No cost to City Implementation Responsibility: Dublin Planning Commission and City Council Time Frame: 1984; Amendments to Zoning Ordinance within six months of General Plan adoption Require a Percentage of Units in Large Multi-family Projects be Rented for a Specified Period of Time. The difficulties of first-time homebuying make rental units the only affordable housing for many moderate income households that do not have the assets to make a down-payment on a home. Other households may choose to rent for other than financial reasons. While the General Plan designates sites for multi-family housing there is no assurance of production of additional rental units in the city. Some developers choose initial rental followed by sale in expectations of tax advantage and price appreciation. If rentals are scarce, and the choice is no rental unit additions or short-term rental additions, the City will enforce a type of "advance condominium conversion" limitation by requiring that a percentage of the units in large multi-family projects be offered as rental for a specified period of time. If average household income is expected to increase, allowing renters to buy their units, or if rental units are expected to be added continually to the market, this approach meets needs well in the long term. Policy Objective: Insure availability of rental units in the city. Action Undertaken: Inclusion of strategy in Housing Element 3-45 • Actions Needed: Adoption of General Plan Financing: No Cost to City Implementation Responsibility: Planning Staff, Dublin Planning Commission and City Council Time Frame: 1984 3.8.4 HOUSING PROGRAM STRATEGIES REQUIRING ADDITIONAL CITY ACTION FOR IMPLEMENTATION Encourage Development of Second Units in Existing Single Family Homes. A 1982 survey conducted by the State Department of Housing and Community Development found that a?Froximately 15 percent of the state's single-family homes are underutilized . Given decreasing household size and the increasing cost of housing, second units added to or converted from single-family homes may be a way to use this housing resource to provide needed new housing at minimal financial and environmental costs. Objections to second units have centered around a few major concerns—character of single-family neighborhoods, adequacy of water supply and sewage disposal, traffic and parking problems—all related to population density. It is important to realize that second units represent a way for homes and services to be used to the capacity they were designed for by accommodating more households in a given number of housing units as household size decreases. Overall density and trip generation would be lower than previous peak levels. Recent legislation requires local jurisdictions to provide for second units. Section 65852.2 of the Government Code gives cities two options with regard to second units: they may adopt ordinances to establish zones in which second units are allowed, establishing criteria and standards relating to parking, service, and unit design. If no ordinance is adopted the jurisdiction must grant conditional use permits for all second units complying with criteria established bylaw. A locality can adopt an ordinance that totally precludes second units only if specified findings are made. In 1984, Dublin adopted an ordinance setting forth design criteria and parking standards for second units. While it is difficult to anticipate how many second units will be built in Dublin, a target goal if the City actively promotes the development of second units would be 350 units, representing one-tenth of all units in the City with three or more bedrooms. For such an ambitious goal to be achieved the City would need to develop a public awareness plan about second units, publicizing relevant regulations, benefits to the Underutilized means one or two people occupying a three or more bedroom home; three people occupying a four or more bedroom home; or four people occupying a five or more bedroom home. 3-46 homeowner, and information on how to create a second unit - from getting necessary permits to hiring a reputable contractor to deciding how much rent to charge when the unit is complete. Predictions of the effect of second unit conversions on the City's housing stock are by necessity speculative. Results of the second unit program will be monitored to determine whether or not additions of second units are resulting in a depletion of the City's supply of single family units which has an overall negative effect on the housing mar ket. Policy Objective: Encourage efficient use of existing housing stock; promote development of small units at low cost. Quantified Objective: Development of 350 second units in Dublin Action Undertaken: Draf ting of ordinance relating to second units. Actions Needed: Implementation of program to promote second unit development Implementation Responsibility: Dublin Planning Commission and City Council, City Staff Time Frame: Five years for meeting quantitative objective Cooperate with Non-Profit Housing Provider to Develop Below-Market Rate Units. Private non-profit housing organizations often have advantages in securing funds for development of housing as well as in reducing housing cost to the consumer. In the Tri-Valley area and the Bay Plain, Eden Housing have been active in developing affordable housing , and has worked with the cities of Livermore, Hayward, Union City and Pleasanton and Alameda County. Other non-profit developers have also been active in the area, and might be interested in working in Dublin. Eden Housing has experience in joint ventures, in use of surplus school sites, and in acting in a consulting capacity as well as in developing housing. For example, a recent 250 unit project on a surplus school site in Union City involved cooperation with a private developer. Tax-exempt mortgage revenue bonds financed the project, which will be maintained as rental for 20 years, with 20 percent of the units affordable to low income renters. Section 39363.5 of the Education Code requires public agencies to offer surplus lands to potential recreation agencies and charitable corporations before offering to the general public. Eden Housing has indicated to the Murray School District Board of Trustees its interest in purchasing or leasing a portion of the Fallon school site. In a letter to the mayor and City Council of Dublin, Eden's Executive Director offered to work with the City to purchase a portion of the site in order to develop affordable housing. While it is unclear what the precise nature of the development would be, it is virtually certain that only a portion of the units developed would be below-market rate units. The City intends to cooperate with Eden, though the nature of such cooperation is undetermined at this time. 3-47 If development of affordable housing on Fallon (or another surplus school site) does not occur, the City will consider contracting with Eden or another organization to assist in investigating possibilities for the production of affordable housing on a consulting basis. Policy Objective: Promote development of affordable housing in Dublin Actions to be Undertaken: Cooperate with Eden Housing in developing surplus school site or contract with Eden or another agency for assistance in investigating ways to provide affordable housing. Financing: No financing necessary. Assistance to the development of affordable housing might include providing a short-term low interest loan to the housing developer. Implementation Responsibility: City Staff, Planning Commission and City Council Time Frame: Plan for Fallon Site by mid-1985. Work With Pleasanton Toward Establishing a Joint Housing Authority. Dublin's only public housing project, Arroyo Vista, is owned and operated by the Pleasanton Housing Authority. Though Arroyo Vista is physically in Dublin, the City is represented on the decision-making body which manages the complex only by chance - one of the tenant commissioners appointed by the Pleasanton City Council lives at Arroyo Vista. Participation with Pleasanton in the Housing Authority would demonstrate Dublin's commitment to working for housing opportunities for all income groups and to provid- ing a range of housing services, and will give Dublin a voice in future decisions regarding use of Housing Authority land. Both Dublin and Pleasanton would need to take legislative action in order to expand the Housing Authority. This obviously ambitious task would have to begin with a positive dialogue initiated by Dublin regarding broadening the Housing Authority's domain to include both cities. Another possibility is a Livermore-Amador Valley Authority governed jointly by Livermore, Pleasanton and Dublin and serving an area that clearly is part of a single housing market. Policy Objective: Share control of Housing Authority activities in Dublin; support housing information and referral services. Actions to be Undertaken: Dialogue with Pleasanton City staff and City Council; passage of resolution. Financing: No Cost to City Implementation Responsibility: City Council 3-48 Time Frame: Initiate discussions with Pleasanton in 1984 Encourage Development of Additional Units on Housing Authority Land in Dublin. The Arroyo Vista site includes three to four acres of undeveloped land suitable for additional development. Pleasanton Housing Authority staff has indicated interest in possible future development of senior housing on the site. Policy Objective: Promote development of below market-rate units affordable to low income households Actions to be Undertaken: Work towards forming joint housing authority, provide assistance as requested by Housing Authority staff Financing: None required Implementation Responsibility: Dublin City Council, Housing Authority Board Time Frame: Five years Monitor Availability of Rental Housing. If Deemed Necessary, Consider Enactment of Condominium Conversion Ordinance. Though condominium conversions have not yet occurred in Dublin, there are indications that they may be a concern in the not-too distant future. Several apartment buildings in San Ramon have converted to condos, probably resulting in increased demand for rental units in Dublin. One Dublin apartment received permission for conversion from Alameda County prior to incorporation but has remained as rental. A program which monitors the availability of rental housing would insure that a condominium conversion ordinance would only be passed if necessary to satisfy rental demand in the City. Conversion regulations typically limit the number or percentage of rental units to be converted annually or use a minimum rental vacancy rate as a trigger for conversion permission. Near zero rental vacancies are likely to continue, so a vacancy requirement might prevent conversions. Policy Objective: Assist in maintaining rental stock as housing affordable to ? moderate income Dublin households Actions to be Undertaken: Establishment of monitoring program; passage of condominium conversion ordinance if necessary Financing: Minor administrative cost Implementation Responsibility: City staff, Dublin Planning Commission and City Council Time Frame: Monitoring program in place in 1984, ordinance as needed 3-49 Require Evidence of Developer Effort to Receive Public Financial Assistance for the Purpose of Including Below Market Rate Units in Proposed Projects; Assist Developers in Obtaining Information on Available Programs. The range of available state and federal programs designed to increase housing affordability varies constantly. To insure that developers are participating in appropriate programs when possible, the City will require evidence that developers of multi-family housing have investigated program availability and are using available funding assistance whenever possible. To reduce the burden on developers created by this requirement, the City should prepare and regularly update a packet of information on available programs, including a list of agency contact persons responsible for program implementation. This information should be given to developers as early as possible in the project approval process. This requirement shall apply only to developers of project that will contain 75 or more multi-family units. Policy Objective: Promote use of available funds and funding mechanisms in private sector housing development Actions to be Undertaken: Assign staff time, print standard information for developers, develop review process for implementation Financing: Cost of staff time equivalent to five percent of the time of a full time staff person; from planning budget or through use of Block Grant funds Implementation Responsibility: City planning staff, Dublin Planning Commission and City Council Time Frame: Program in place by 1985 3.8.5 STRATEGIES REQUIRING ONGOING CITY EFFORT USING EXISTING PROGRAMS Grant 25 Percent Density Bonuses for Provision of 25 Percent Affordable Units as Required by State Law. The State's first density bonus law was enacted in 1979 and clarified in 1982. Together, the two laws (Government Code section 65 915) require that developers of housing that agree to construct at least 25 percent of the total units of a development for low or moderate income households, or ten percent for low income households, must be granted a density bonus of at least 25 percent or other incentives of equivalent financial value. The law contains additional clarifying language regarding the procedures and definitions relevant to granting density bonuses. Little use of the required density bonus provision is anticipated. For the bonus incentive to result in construction of a significant number of affordable units the incentives would have to be increased._ Some jurisdictions offer additional density incentives. Rather than develop a complex density bonus system, this housing program 3-50 incorporates the concept of higher-than-base densities through adopting a flexible, density definition. This approach provides incentives for the production of more small units priced at full market value, rather than providing incentives for the development of lesser numbers of below market rate units. Policy Objective: Provision of incentives for providing affordable units; compliance with State law Actions to be Undertaken: Granting of density bonuses as mandated in Government Code 65915 Financing: Minor administrative cost to City Implementation Responsibility: Planning Staff Time Frame: Immediate Promote Equal Housing Opportunity for All Dublin Residents and Others Seeking Housing in Dublin. Federal and state programs guarantee equal housing opportunity. The Rumford Fair Housing Act prohibits arbitrary discrimination on any basis, including race, color, religion, sex, marital status, national origin or ancestry, in the rental, lease, sale or financing of any residential dwelling other than an individual room in an owner's house. The Unruh Civil Rights Act prohibits discrimination on the basis of a person's race, color, sex, national origin, religion, or ancestry in the provision of goods and services by all business entities. A business entity includes landlords, real estate brokers acting as agents in the sale of real property and financial institutions. The State Fair Employment and Housing Commission receives complaints of housing discrimination and takes necessary actions to relieve discrimination. In the Tri- Valley, Eden Council for Hope and Opportunity (ECHO) provides services to victims of housing discrimination. While the City of Dublin does not contribute to ECHO, services are provided to City residents through the organization's Livermore office. City staff will refer cases to ECHO, other housing organizations and to the State as appropriate, and make available to all persons information regarding anti- discrimination laws and enforcement agencies. Policy Objective: Support services and programs which fight housing discrimination; direct persons towards agencies which provide assistance to victims of discrimination as needed. Actions to be Undertaken: Development of information on housing discrimination for public distribution. Financing: Minor administrative cost 3-51 � Implementation Responsibility: City Staff Time Frame: 1984 for information development, ongoing implementation Continue City Code Enforcement Program; Aid Low Income Households in Obtaining Financial Assistance for Housing Rehabilitation. For a year following its incorporation, Dublin contracted with Alameda County for building inspection services. Now Dublin has its own inspection program conducted by two part-time staff members responsible for plan checking and zoning and building code enforcement. Code enforcement is conducted only in response to complaints. Both County and City staff responsible for building inspection have reported only minor code violations in the City, attributed to the newness of the housing stock. Additionally, where market conditions result in steadily increasing property values, homeowners have a strong incentive to maintain their property. Even so, as buildings age the incidence of deterioration and code violations will almost certainly increase. When the Housing Element is revised the City should consider implementing an active rehabilitation program suiting the age of most of the City's units. Currently, low income households may obtain low interest loans for required rehabilitation through a program operated by Alameda County Department of Housing and Community Development. To qualify, units must have at least one code violation; funds may be used for general property improvements as long as violations are corrected as well. City inspectors will inform households living in units found to have code violations of possible eligibility for the loan program. Policy Objective: Enforce building and zoning codes in Dublin. Action Undertaken: Expansion of City staff to include budding inspector(s) Actions to be Undertaken: Continue enforcement program; provide information on appropriate loan programs Financing: City Funds Implementation Responsibility: City staff Time Frame: Ongoing 3.8.6 OPPORTUNITIES FOR ENERGY CONSERVATION The State of California sets energy conservation standards for new residential construction. The City can promote energy conservation in project design through a variety of measures. It should be recognized that since all parcels in Dublin available for residential development are inf ill sites they are inherently energy conserving, locating new residents near employment and commercial centers. Designating sites 3-52 for multi-family densities, a major change resulting from the City's first Housing Element and General Plan, will result in the construction of units which are energy efficient due to minimal exterior walls. It is in approving site plans that the City can assure new developments will have energy efficient design. Prior to project approval, the City should require developers (or their designers) to demonstrate that solar orientation has been a consideration in site design. Several state and federal programs are available to assist homeowners in improving the energy-efficiency of their units. These include Federal Residential Conservation Tax Credits, which provide for a 15 percent tax reduction for qualified energy source expenditures up to $300, and a credit of 40 percent of the first $10,000 invested in solar, wind or geothermal systems. In California, investor-owned utilities are required to offer financing for energy.conservation measures that are found to be cost- effective through a zero interest program (ZIP). The State also requires all major utilities to offer residential customers free energy audits. 3-53