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HomeMy WebLinkAbout3.2 - 1887 BART Staff Presentation on BART Alternative Page 1 of 3 STAFF REPORT CITY COUNCIL DATE: April 3, 2018 TO: Honorable Mayor and City Councilmembers FROM: Christopher L. Foss, City Manager SUBJECT: BART Presentation - BART to Livermore Extension Project Alternative Selection Process Prepared by: Obaid Khan, Transporation and Operations Manager EXECUTIVE SUMMARY: The City Council will receive a presentation from BART staff on the proposed alternatives for the BART to Livermore Extension Project. BART staff will also discuss the process of selecting the final alternative by the BART Board. STAFF RECOMMENDATION: Receive the presentation from BART staff, support the Conventional BART alternative, and provide feedback. FINANCIAL IMPACT: None. DESCRIPTION: On July 31, 2017, BART issued a Draft Environmental Impact Report (DEIR) for the proposed BART to Livermore Extension Project. The DEIR also evaluates alternatives to the Conventional BART design and construction. These alternatives include: Diesel Multiple Unit (DMU) or Electric Multiple Unit (EMU) Express Bus/Bus Rapid Transit (BRT) Enhanced Bus No project At the October 3, 2017 meeting, the City Council approved staff comments on the DEIR (Attachment 1). The comments were submitted to BART staff before the October 16, 2017 comment period deadline. On February 16, 2018, BART issued an Evaluation of Alternatives Report (Attachment 2). BART is now seeking public input to assist the BART Board in their selection of a preferred extension plan. The BART Board will review and certify the Final EIR and Page 2 of 3 select a preferred alternative in May, 2018. The BART Board has until June 30, 2018 to select a preferred alternative. If the Board is unable to meet this deadline, the newly formed Tri-Valley San Joaquin Regional Rail Authority will select the preferred alternative. The Tri-Valley San Joaquin Regional Rail Authority was created on January 1, 2018 by Assembly Bill 758. This Authority is tasked with planning, developing, and delivering cost-effective transit connectivity between BART a nd the Altamont Corridor Express (ACE) commuter rail service. BART to Livermore Extension Project Objectives The objectives of the proposed project, as stated in the DEIR, are: Provide a cost-effective intermodal link of the existing BART system to th e inter- regional rail network and a series of Priority Development Areas (PDAs) identified by the City of Livermore, the Metropolitan Transportation Commission, and the Association of Bay Area Governments. These PDAs include the Livermore Isabel Avenue BART Station PDA, the Livermore Downtown PDA, and the Livermore East Side PDA. Support the regional goals of integrating transit and land use policies to create opportunities for transit-oriented development in PDAs in the Livermore area. Provide an effective commute alternative to traffic congestion on I -580. Improve air quality and reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) and other emissions associated with automobile use. Comparison of Alternatives All of the alternatives have more environmental impacts compared to the Conventional BART alternative. The DMU/EMU comes closest to meeting the BART to Livermore Extension Project objectives, but the ridership is lower with the DMU/EMU. It also results in a smaller parking facility constructed at Isabel Station and more vehicles continuing to drive and park at the Dublin/Pleasanton Stations. This in turn increases vehicle miles traveled and greenhouse gas emissions. The Conventional BART alternative is best suited to address growth in traffic congestion in the Tri-Valley Area and has the greatest environmental benefits as compared to other alternatives. Below are some of the key findings on a comparison of Alternatives as presented in the DEIR and the Evaluation of Alternatives Report: Conventional BART would score higher on most measures under the BART system expansion policy. Conventional BART would have the shortest travel time along the I -580 corridor, resulting in the most new transit riders, and most traffic congestion relief west of Livermore on I-580. Conventional BART would increase BART ridership by 11,900 riders per day and up to 13,400 riders per day with the Livermore Isabel PDA. Conventional BART would result in over 3.4 times more riders than the Express Bus/BRT Alternative, resulting in 151,400 f ewer vehicle miles traveled per day and about 7,400 fewer metric tons of GHG emissions per year. The DMU/EMU alternative would cost about the same as full BART ($1.6 billion) Page 3 of 3 but would serve fewer riders. Conventional BART would have the least impacts to the land uses in Dublin. Based on the cost per rider estimates, the Express Bus/BRT would be the most cost-effective alternative, followed by full BART. The ridership projections and associated benefits described in the Draft EIR are based on travel m odel and land use assumptions. The model may overestimate Express Bus/BRT ridership due to land use and operational assumptions. Schedule July 31, 2017 Draft EIR Released Oct. 16, 2017 Comment Period Closed Feb 16, 2018 Release Evaluation of Alternatives Report Feb-March 2018 Public Outreach April 12, 2018 Preliminary BART to Livermore Recommendation to BART Board May 2018 Release Final EIR May 24, 2018 BART Board Consider Certifying EIR and Adopting Project NOTICING REQUIREMENTS/PUBLIC OUTREACH: None. ATTACHMENTS: 1. Staff Comments on BART to Livermore DEIR - City Council Meeting October 3, 2017 2. Evaluation of Alternatives Report - BART to Livermore Extension Project Page 1 of 6 STAFF REPORT CITY COUNCIL DATE: October 3, 2017 TO: Honorable Mayor and City Councilmembers FROM: Christopher L. Foss, City Manager SUBJECT: BART to Livermore Draft Environmental Impact Report - Staff Comments Prepared by: Obaid Khan, Transportation and Operations Manager EXECUTIVE SUMMARY: The City Council will receive Staff comments on the Draft Environmental Impact Report DEIR) for the BART to Livermore Extension Project. Staff comments are focused on DEIR sections for Air Quality, Land-Use, Noise and Transportation. STAFF RECOMMENDATION: Receive Staff comments on the BART to Livermore Extension Project Draft Environmental Impact Report. FINANCIAL IMPACT: None. DESCRIPTION: On July 31, 2017, BART issued a Draft Environmental Impact Report (DEIR) for the proposed BART to Livermore Extension Project. The comment period for the DEIR will close on October 16, 2017. The Proposed Project, which is also referred to as the Conventional BART Project, would extend transit service 5.5 miles east into eastern Alameda County from the existing Dublin/Pleasanton BART Station (Dublin/Pleasanton Station) within and adjacent to the I-580 right-of-way (ROW), through the cities of Dublin and Pleasanton, to a proposed new terminus station located at the Isabel Avenue/I-580 interchange in the City of Livermore. The DEIR evaluates the potential impacts of the Proposed Project and three Build Alternatives - the Diesel Multiple Unit (DMU) Alternative (which includes a variant referred to as the Electrical Multiple Unit [EMU] Option), the Express Bus/Bus Rapid Transit (BRT) Alternative, and the Enhanced Bus Alternative. The three Build Alternatives and a No Project Alternative (or No Build Alternative) are evaluated at the same level as the Proposed Project in the DEIR. Below are summary descriptions of the Proposed Project and the three Build Alternatives. Page 2 of 6 Conventional BART Project (Proposed Project). The Proposed Project involves extending the Daly City-Dublin/Pleasanton Line from its existing terminus at the Dublin/Pleasanton Station approximately 5.5 miles to the east, to a new station located at the Isabel Avenue/I-580 (State Route 84) interchange in the City of Livermore. The new alignment and the new Isabel BART Station (Isabel Station) would be constructed in the I-580 median. New parking facilities, a parking structure and surface lot containing a total of approximately 3,412 spaces, would be constructed immediately south of I-580 along East Airway Boulevard. In addition, a new, approximately 68-acre BART storage and maintenance facility would be constructed north of I -580, beyond the Isabel Station. To accommodate the widening of the I -580 median for the new BART alignment and Isabel Station, the California Department of Transportation (Caltrans) ROW would be widened along approximately 5.6 miles. I-580 lanes would be relocated by a total of approximately 46 feet, from just east of the Hacienda Drive interchange to west of the Portola Avenue/I-580 overcrossing. At the proposed Isabel Station, I-580 would be relocated by approximately 67 feet to accommodate the new station within the median. The relocation of I-580 would require modification of some interchanges and surface frontage roads. DMU/EMU Alternatives. The DMU Alternative differs from the Proposed Project in terms of vehicle technology. DMUs are self-propelled rail cars that use a diesel engine to generate their own power and run on a standard -gauge rail track, whereas BART trains use electricity and run on wide-gauge rail track. The DMU Alternative would have a similar median alignment and station configuration as the Proposed Project, but would have a longer total length of freeway alignment changes and includes a new transfer platform at the Dublin/Pleasanton Station. A new parking structure for the Isabel Station, with approximately 2,428 parking spaces, would be constructed immediately south of I-580 along East Airway Boulevard. In addition, a new, approximately 32-acre storage and maintenance facility would be constructed north of I-580, beyond the terminus of the alignment. To accommodate the median widening, approximately 7.1 miles of I -580 would be relocated by a total of approximately 46 feet, from west of the Dougherty Road/Hopyard Road interchange to the Portola Avenue/I -580 overcrossing. Around the Dublin/Pleasanton Station, the north side of I -580 would be relocated to accommodate the new DMU transfer platform. At the proposed Isabel Station, I-580 would be relocated approximately 67 feet to accommodate the station within the median. The relocation of I-580 would require modification of some interchanges and surface frontage roads. The DMU Alternative includes the same feeder bus component as the Proposed Project, including new and modified bus routes connecting the new sta tion to areas east of the BART system. A variant of the DMU Alternative-the Electric Multiple Unit (EMU) Option is also being considered. The EMU Option is generally the same as the DMU Alternative, except that it is electrically powered rather than diesel-powered. Page 3 of 6 Express Bus/BRT Alternative. The Express Bus/BRT Alternative seeks to achieve the project goals using bus technology only. This alternative does not include an extension of BART rail service or development of a new rail station. Under this alternative, new bus transfer platforms would be constructed at the existing Dublin/Pleasanton Station. Buses would enter these bus-only transfer areas via direct bus-only ramps from the I- 580 express lanes, allowing passengers to transfer from bus to BART within the station. To accommodate the new bus transfer platforms and facilities under this alternative, approximately 2.2 miles of I-580, from west of the Dougherty Road/Hopyard Road interchange to the Tassajara Road/Santa Rita Road interchange, would be relocated by approximately 88 feet. The relocation of I-580 would require modification of some interchanges and surface frontage roads. A new parking lot or garage on the Pleasanton side with approximately 210 parking spaces would be constructed at the Dublin/Pleasanton Station to replace the 210 parking spaces removed for the relocation of I-580 to accommodate the bus platforms. In addition, a remote, approximately 230 -space park-and-ride lot would be constructed at Laughlin Road; regular bus service would be provided during peak hours from the Laughlin parking lot to the Dublin/Pleasanton Station. Enhanced Bus Alternative. Like the Express Bus/BRT Alternative, the Enhanced Bus Alternative uses bus-related technology only and does not include an extensio n of BART rail service or the development of a new rail station. Unlike the Express Bus/BRT Alternative, however, this alternative does not include any major capital improvements and would not involve the development of bus transfer platforms or direct bus ramps. Table 1 provides a summary of ROW take for Conventional BART and Build Alternatives. Table 1 Page 4 of 6 Staff Comments: Staff has reviewed the relevant sections of the DEIR and has prepared comments Attachment 1) for the City Council’s consideration and input. The key issues and concerns for the City to consider are summarized below. Land Use and Business Impacts - While the Proposed Project would have some impacts to the City’s ROW along the north side of the I -580, the two build alternatives DMU/EMU and Express Bus/BRT) would cause significant impacts to the businesses and properties in the City. Staff has significant concerns about some of the ROW acquisition required for the DMU/EMU and Express Bus/BRT Alternatives. Many of Dublin’s key revenue and employment generators are located along I-580. As such, any potential purchase of ROW will need to identify the full impacts, including short and long -term viability of affected businesses and ongoing revenue impacts to both the businesses and to th e City. The DEIR identifies the surface frontage roads and structures adjacent to I -580 that would need to be relocated in order to accommodate the Proposed Project and Alternatives. The relocation of the frontage roads would result in potentially significant impacts to some of the existing and key businesses in the City of Dublin. The DEIR did not provide specific details on each ROW impact. However, BART staff provided additional details that are shown in attached Figures 1 to 3. Staff’s specific comments on the land use concerns are detailed in Attachment 1. Transportation Impacts - The DEIR discloses many Transportation Impacts and provides mitigations. However, Staff noted several modeling assumption errors and issues that could result in incorrect answers. Some of the key issues are listed below: 1) An overall problem with the Draft EIR is its failure to adequately analyze the impacts of the DMU, Express Bus/BRT, and Enhanced Bus alternatives within the City of Dublin, and particularly near the Dublin/Pleasanton BART Station. 2) The DEIR has assumed that the BART garage expansion at the Dublin/Pleasanton Station would only occur with the Isabel Neighborhood Plan INP) implementation in Livermore. However, the DEIR did not include the funding for the garage expansion as part of the BART system. This is not the correct way to assume improvements while not including the funding for it, especially when garage construction is the responsibility of BART on its own property. 3) The DEIR assumed that under the Cumulative scenarios for 2025 and 2040, INP in Livermore will have additional land -use changes that could not be evaluated separately from the Dublin/Pleasanton Garage Expansion traffic patterns. This leads to not knowing the impacts that would be with the INP land-use addition to the Proposed Project and alternatives in conjunction with or without a Dublin/Pleasanton Garage Expansion. Page 5 of 6 4) The DEIR has proposed mitigation at Dublin Blvd and Dougherty Road intersection due to the Proposed Project and the Alternatives. The proposed mitigation would add a third southbound left-turn lane and a second westbound right turn lane, which will require widening of the intersection through property acquisitions from existing businesses. Widening of the intersection is not recommended due to a longer crossing distance for pedestrians and property impacts to existing businesses. As an alternative mitigation, staff suggests that BART should implement an Adaptive Traffic Signal system along Dougherty Road to mitigate the significant impacts. 5) The DEIR has several incorrect model assumptions for the City of Dublin’s roadway infrastructure. The incorrect assumptions would create incorrect model results for impacts to the City of Dublin roadway infrastructure and intersections, and any related mitigations need to be redone. 6) Under the DMU/EMU and Express Bus/BRT Alternatives, DEIR (Chapter 2, Project Descriptions) did not provide any time loss for transfer of passengers from one type of vehicle to the Conventional BART at Dublin/Pleasanton Station. This loss of time is critical in comparing the Conventional BART with other Alternatives. Air Quality and Noise Impacts - The DEIR discusses Air Quality and Noise impacts but did not disclose the impacts associated with the relocation of I-580 that will bring the freeway closer to the City boundary, thus creating potential significant Air Quality and Noise impacts. Additional construction related Noise impacts were disclosed by the DEIR, but it failed to provide alternative approaches and technologies that could fully address these impacts. CONCLUSION: Staff has found significant impacts to the City of Dublin's land -uses due to the BART to Livermore Extension Project's Build Alternatives (Diesel Multiple Unit/Electric Multiple Unit [DMU/EMU] and Express Bus/BRT) as compared to the Proposed Project Conventional BART). These Build Alternatives will significantly alter the City's ROW along the north side of I-580 freeway causing impacts to the existing businesses and public facilities. Furthermore, the DEIR failed to provide appropriate mitigation details for the land-use impacts in the City of Dublin. Staff has noted several errors in modeling assumptions in Transportation impacts analysis. These errors may have led to incorrect res ults associated with various traffic circulation and access impacts for the Proposed Project and Alternatives. Therefore it is requested that the model assumptions be corrected and disclosed in the Final EIR. Air Quality and Noise impacts are not properly analyzed especially those that will occur due to the widening of the I-580. This shift will bring the freeway traffic closer to the City of Dublin’s land-uses, thus creating significant impacts. NOTICING REQUIREMENTS/PUBLIC OUTREACH: None. Page 6 of 6 ATTACHMENTS: 1. Staff Comments on the BART to Livermore Extension Project Draft Environmental Impact Report 2. Exhibit A to the Staff Comments on the BART to Livermore Extension Project Draft Environmental Impact Report 3. Figure 1 - Conventional BART Alternative Impacts 4. Figure 2 - DMU/EMU Alternative Impacts 5. Figure 3 - Express Bus/BRT Alternative Impacts Attachment 1 Staff Comments on the Draft Environmental Impact Report for the BART to Livermore Project Proposed Project and Alternatives Descriptions Conventional BART Project (Proposed Project). The Proposed Project involves extending the Daly City-Dublin/Pleasanton Line from its existing terminus at the Dublin/Pleasanton BART Station (Dublin/Pleasanton Station) approximately 5.5 miles to the east, to a new station located at the Isabel Avenue/I-580 (State Route 84) interchange in the city of Livermore. The new alignment and the new Isabel BART Station (Isabel Station) would be constructed in the I-580 median. New parking facilities—a parking structure and surface lot containing a total of approximately 3,412 spaces—would be constructed immediately south of I-580 along East Airway Boulevard. In addition, a new, approximately 68-acre BART storage and maintenance facility would be constructed north of I-580, beyond the Isabel Station. To accommodate the widening of the I-580 median for the new BART alignment and Isabel Station, the California Department of Transportation (Caltrans) right-of-way (ROW) would be widened along approximately 5.6 miles. I-580 lanes would be relocated by a total of approximately 46 feet, from just east of the Hacienda Drive interchange to west of the Portola Avenue/I-580 overcrossing. At the proposed Isabel Station, I-580 would be relocated by approximately 67 feet to accommodate the new station within the median. The relocation of I- 580 would require modification of some interchanges and surface frontage roads. Diesel Multiple Unit/Electric Multiple Unit Alternatives. The (DMU) Alternative differs from the Proposed Project in terms of vehicle technology. DMUs are self -propelled rail cars that use a diesel engine to generate their own power and run on a standard-gauge rail track, whereas BART trains use electricity and run on wide-gauge rail track. The DMU Alternative would have a similar median alignment and station configuration as the Proposed Project, but would have a longer total length of freeway alignment changes and includes a new transfer platform at the Dublin/Pleasanton Station. A new parking structure for the Isabel Station, with approximately 2,428 parking spaces, would be constructed immediately south of I-580 along East Airway Boulevard. In addition, a new, approximately 32-acre storage and maintenance facility would be constructed north of I-580, beyond the terminus of the alignment. To accommodate the median widening, approximately 7.1 miles of I-580 would be relocated by a total of approximately 46 feet, from west of the Dougherty Road/Hopyard Road interchange to the Portola Avenue/I-580 overcrossing. Around the Dublin/Pleasanton Station, the north side of I-580 would be relocated to accommodate the new DMU transfer platform. At the proposed Isabel Station, I-580 would be relocated approximately 67 feet to accommodate the station within the median. The relocation of I-580 would require modification of some interchanges and surface frontage roads. The DMU Alternative includes the same feeder bus component as the Proposed Project, including new and modified bus routes connecting the new station to areas east of the BART system. A variant of the DMU Alternative—the Electric Multiple Unit (EMU) Option—is also being considered. The EMU Option is generally the same as the DMU Alternative, except that it is electrically powered rather than diesel-powered. Express Bus/BRT Alternative. The Express Bus/BRT Alternative seeks to achieve the project goals using bus technology only. This alternative does not include an extension of BART rail service or development of a new rail station. Under this alternative, new bus transfer platforms would be constructed at the existing Dublin/Pleasanton Station. Buses would enter these bus- only transfer areas via direct bus-only ramps from the I-580 express lanes, allowing passengers to transfer from bus to BART within the station. To accommodate the new bus transfer platforms and facilities under this alternative, approximately 2.2 miles of I-580, from west of the Dougherty Road/Hopyard Road interchange to the Tassajara Road/Santa Rita Road interchange, would be relocated by approximately 88 feet. The relocation of I-580 would require modification of some interchanges and surface frontage roads. A new parking lot or garage on the Pleasanton side with approximately 210 parking spaces would be constructed at the Dublin/Pleasanton Station to replace the 210 parking spaces removed for the relocation of I-580 to accommodate the bus platforms. In addition, a remote, approximately 230-space park-and-ride lot would be constructed at Laughlin Road; regular bus service would be provided during peak hours from the Laughlin parking lot to the Dublin/Pleasanton Station. Enhanced Bus Alternative. Like the Express Bus/BRT Alternative, the Enhanced Bus Alternative uses bus-related technology only and does not include an extension of BART rail service or the development of a new rail station. Unlike the Express Bus/BRT Alternative, however, this alternative does not include any major capital improvements and would not involve the development of bus transfer platforms or direct bus ramps. DEIR’s Analysis Scenarios Year 2040 Land use at Isabel Land use elsewhere DP garage1 expansion BART or Alternative Future Baseline PBA) PBA2 2040 PBA 2040 No No Future Project PBA 2040 PBA 2040 No Yes Future Cumulative INP3 2040 PBA 2040 Yes Yes Year 2025 Land use at Isabel Land use elsewhere DP garage expansion BART or Alternative Future Baseline PBA) PBA 2025 PBA 2025 No No Future Project PBA 2025 PBA 2025 No Yes Future Cumulative INP 2025 PBA 2025 Yes Yes Year 2013 Land use at Isabel Land use elsewhere DP garage expansion BART or Alternative Existing Conditions Existing Existing Existing No 1. DP Garage – Dublin Pleasanton BART Garage expansion 2. PBA – Plan Bay Area/ABAG 3. INP – Isabel Neighborhood Plan City of Dublin COMMENTS A. Land Use Impacts The City of Dublin has significant concerns about some of the right-of-way (ROW) acquisition required by the Proposed Project, DMU & EMU Alternative and Express Bus Alternative currently being considered and we appreciate the opportunity to provide comments on the DEIR. Many of Dublin’s key revenue and employment generators are located along I-580. As such, any potential purchase of ROW will need to identify the full impacts including short and long-term viability of affected businesses and ongoing revenue impact to both the businesses and to the City. The DEIR identifies the surface frontage roads and structures adjacent to I-580 that would need to be relocated outward in order to accommodate the Proposed Project and Alternatives. The relocation of the frontage roads results in potentially significant impacts to some of the existing and key businesses in the City of Dublin. The proposed roadway footprints as provided in Appendix B: Footprint Map Books of the DEIR, provide insufficient information to determine the severity of the potential impact to each parcel. The DEIR does not provide any dimensions or details on the necessary roadway and parcel modifications required to relocate the ROW and how those impacts will be mitigated. For example, under the DMU Alternative, the relocation of Scarlett Court shows the potential roadway to extend into the Hyundai and Volkswagen Dealerships parking areas; however, no details are provided as to how much of the existing parking lots will need to removed, number of parking spaces eliminated, how the removal of the landscape buffer strip will impact the public safety and aesthetics and how the new roadway alignment will impact the on-site circulation. No mitigation has been provided to address these impacts. Auto dealerships are very sensitive about location, visibility of dealership and automobiles, and inventory storage. The ability to showcase and store vehicles is critical and these ROW purchases could have significant impacts, not only to the dealership’s revenues, but potentially the City’s tax base. The table below provides an outline of all potentially significant ROW impacts to the City of Dublin identified in Appendix B of the DEIR that are not sufficiently detailed in the analysis. Table A. Potentially Significant ROW Impacts PROPOSED PROJECT – Conventional BART ROW Parcel Impact Potential Impacts Northside Drive Lowe’s 985-0061-007-00/-015- 00) The relocation of Northside Drive shows the potential roadway and ROW need impacting the Lowe’s parking lot. Any reduction in parking level may impact future ability to construct new stores or replace existing tenants in the future. PROJECT ALTERNATIVE – DMU & EMU Alternatives AND Express Bus Alternatives ROW Parcel (APN) Potential Impacts Scarlett Court Hyundai Dealership 941-0550-025-02) Volkswagen Dealership 941-0550-032-02/-03) The relocation of Scarlett Court shows the potential roadway to extend into the Hyundai and Volkswagen Dealerships parking areas, thus removing the landscape buffer, parking area and impacting on-site circulation. This parking impact is a significant impact to access and circulation, and no mitigation has been provided to address this impact. Scarlett Court El Monte RV Rentals 941-0550-016-04) U-Haul Truck Rental 941-0550-037-05) The relocation of Scarlett Court creates potential access issues for the business west of Scarlett Drive. This road serves the recreational vehicle operator, U-Haul Truck Rental and El Monte RV Rentals as well as automotive delivery trucks to the Dublin Mazda Dealership. City staff feels that any narrowing would cause significant impacts to the adjacent uses. Scarlett Court Alameda County Fire Department and Dublin City Maintenance Building 941-0550-077-01) The relocation of Scarlett Court has significant impacts for the City and Alameda County’s operations. In 2014, the Alameda County facility was remodeled and the City Corporation Yard was constructed. Both of these facilities provide maintenance support to local and regional government agencies and will be challenging to relocate, if necessary. The relocation will impact the parking and frontage improvements at a minimum. The loss of the City’s maintenance facility will be costly to replicate. I-580 Frontage Hacienda Crossings 986-0008-001-00) Hacienda Crossings is a very popular regional shopping and entertainment destination with tight parking during the weekend. Express Bus Alternative: ROW expansion identifies removal of the landscape buffer along I-580 which serves both an aesthetic and public safety function between the parking lot and the freeway. This impact could be a significant impact; however, no site level details are provided so that the impacts can be identified and no mitigation has been provided to address this potential impact. DMU/EMU Alternative: The ROW expansion includes those impacts identified above for the Express Bus Alternative and further removal of a large portion of the parking area near the Hacienda Drive off-ramp. This ROW expansion will have a significant impact to parking and on-site circulation in this area of the shopping center and no mitigation has been provided to address this impact. Any proposed ROW adjustment will need to be carefully crafted with the property owner to ensure full replacement of the displaced parking, as well as thoughtful construction placement to ensure no loss of visibility of existing businesses. I-580 Frontage Toyota Dealership 986-0016-023-00/024- 00) ROW expansion identifies removal of the landscape buffer along I-580 which serves both an aesthetic and safety function between the parking lot and the freeway. I-580 Frontage Chevrolet/Cadillac Dealership ROW expansion identifies removal of the landscape buffer along I-580 which serves both 986-0016-004-01) an aesthetic and safety function between the parking lot and the freeway. PROJECT ALTERNATIVE – DMU & EMU Alternatives ONLY ROW Parcel Impact Potential Impacts Northside Drive Lowe’s 985-0061-007-00/-015- 00) The relocation of Northside Drive shows the potential roadway and ROW need impacting the Lowe’s parking lot. Any reduction in parking level may impact future ability to construct new stores or replace existing tenants in the future. I-580 Frontage IKEA Retail Center Project 986-0033-005-02/-006- 00) The impact to the future development of this parcel is significant. The current property owner is exploring development scenarios for this site and we believe the impacts would be unacceptable as they would significantly impact the ability to develop the site. Dublin/Pleasant BART Station Access Road Dublin/Pleasanton BART Station (986- 0034-019-00) This alternative relocates the ROW into the surface parking area of the future garage expansion at the Dublin Pleasanton BART. This alternative will move Altamirano Road into the surface lot for Dublin/Pleasanton BART station on the Dublin side next to the existing BART garage removing available parking. This parking impact is a significant impact to access and circulation, and no mitigation has been provided to address this impact. Our review indicates that a similar parking impact on the south side of I- 580 in Pleasanton under the Express Bus/BRT alternative was mitigated by either providing new surface lot parking or by building a garage (see Chapter 2, Page 151). So it is not clear why BART has not addressed a similar significant impact on the north side of I-580 in Dublin under a different alternative. Additionally, the Cumulative analyses for the Project and all alternatives have assumed a future BART garage expansion at the Dublin Pleasanton BART station. By having the space for the future BART garage expansion impacted without mitigation, cumulative analysis results for the Express Bus/BRT alternative are not valid and need to be redone. As stated in the DEIR, “Acquisition of privately owned land—including businesses, farm operations, and/or parking”—is considered a significant impact. Therefore, the Proposed Project DMU/EMU Alternative and Express Bus Alternative] would result in a potentially significant impact related to displacement of businesses. This impact would be reduced to a less-than- significant level with implementation of Mitigation Measure PH-2, which would require BART to implement an acquisition and relocation program. (p. 543) Mitigation Measure PH-2: Acquisition of Property and Relocation Assistance. (Conventional BART Project and DMU Alternative/EMU Option) BART’s Real Estate Department will implement an acquisition and relocation program that meets the requirements of applicable State acquisition and relocation law. Acquisition will involve compensation at fair market value for properties, and relocation assistance would include, but is not limited to, down payments or rental supplements, moving costs, business reestablishment reimbursement, and goodwill offers as appropriate. All benefits will be provided in accordance with the California Relocation Assistance and Real Property Acquisition Guidelines. While the acquisition and relocation program may meet the applicable State acquisition and relocation law, the issue lies in the DEIR not disclosing the actual physical impacts to each property. The level of detail provided in the DEIR does not provide sufficient information to determine what acquisition would be required and how that acquisition would impact each parcel. As previously stated, the properties along I-580 are home to some of the community’s key businesses and impacts to public safety, aesthetics and functionality of the property that remove parking, modify circulation patterns, limit visibility from I-580 are considered to be significant impacts and no mitigation has been provided to address these impacts. Requested Change: Provide detailed ROW acquisition needs by each parcel and provide description on how each acquisition would impact the property. Include proposed mitigation to address public safety, aesthetics and functionality of the property with removed parking, changed circulation patterns, and visibility from I-580. B. Transportation Impacts An overall problem with the Draft EIR is its failure to adequately analyze the impacts of the DMU, Express Bus/BRT, and Enhanced Bus alternatives within the City of Dublin, and particularly near the Dublin/Pleasanton BART Station. Both the DMU and Express Bus/BRT alternatives contemplate significant infrastructure improvements at the Dublin/Pleasanton BART Station, including new platforms and track extensions. And the Enhanced Bus Alternative contemplates operational changes at the Dublin/Pleasanton BART Station, particularly a significant increase in bus traffic on existing streets. And yet, portions of the EIR expressly exclude analysis of impacts in and around this station. For example, page 252 states that "The bicycle study areas include all bicycle facilities within a 15-minute bike ride of the proposed Isabel Station" and page 256 similarly states that "The study area for pedestrians comprises all pedestrian facilities . . . within a 15-minute walk from the proposed Isabel Station." These statements suggest that the Draft EIR did not study bicycle and pedestrian impacts resulting from project changes to the Dublin/Pleasanton BART Station, notwithstanding the fact that these alternatives contemplate significant infrastructure and/or operational changes at that location. This is a problem with the Draft EIR's analysis of those three Build alternatives but not of the Conventional BART Project alternative, since that alternative does not contemplate significant infrastructure or operational changes at the Dublin/Pleasanton BART Station. Traffic Model Assumptions 1. The Draft EIR (DEIR) has assumed that the BART garage expansion at the Dublin/Pleasanton Station would occur with the Project in Cumulative conditions, but did not include the funding for the garage expansion. This is not the correct way to assume Project Cumulative conditions while not including the funding for it, especially when constructing a garage is the responsibility of BART on its own land. This needs to be corrected in the model to reflect the proper No-Project conditions that would also change the traffic patterns under the “With” and “Without” Project scenarios. Garage Expansion at the Dublin Pleasanton Station should either be part of the future baseline (background development) without Project or be kept as currently it is in the DEIR but with funding provided for the garage construction as part of the Project. Furthermore, as per the Chapter 3, Environmental Analysis, Page 226, DEIR assumed that under the Cumulative scenarios for 2025 and 2040, Isabel Neighborhood Plan (INP) in Livermore will have additional land use changes that could not be evaluated separately from the Garage Expansion traffic patterns, which in turn impacts the With Project analysis results. For example, it is not clear what impacts would be with the INP land use addition in conjunction with the Project and the Alternative alone would have on the system. Requested Change: Move the BART Garage expansion at Dublin/Pleasanton BART Station to the future 2025 and 2040 baseline Without Project Conditions, similar to many other local and regional projects in this corridor. 2. The DEIR’s Chapter 3, Environmental Analysis, Table 3.B-18, Page 281, provides 2025 and 2040 roadway improvements assumptions used in traffic models. There are several incorrect assumptions in this table for the City of Dublin’s roadway infrastructure. The incorrect assumptions would create incorrect model results for impacts to the City of Dublin roadway infrastructure and intersections, and any related mitigations need to be redone. Requested Change: Use the attached (Exhibit A) corrections to Table 3.B-18 and update the traffic models network. Other Transportation Related Technical Issues 1. Under the DMU/EMU and Express Bus/BRT Alternatives, DEIR (Chapter 2, Project Descriptions) did not assume any time loss for transfer of passengers from one type of vehicle to the Conventional BART at Dublin/Pleasanton Station. This loss of time is critical in comparing the Conventional BART with other Alternatives. Additionally, there was no mention of travel time for buses under the Express Bus/BRT Alternative. This will be an important factor to know and compare as part of the information disclosure about project alternatives. Requested Changes: i. Provide the transfer time loss for DMU/EMU and Express Bus/BRT Alternatives. ii. Provide travel time of Express Bus/BRT from Park and Ride facilities connecting the Express Bus/BRT to conventional BART at Dublin Pleasanton BART station. 2. DEIR failed to evaluate bicycle and pedestrian related impacts outside the INP. The bicycle and pedestrian impact evaluation was considered for access within 15 minute ride or walk from the future Isabel Station. Requested Change: Identify and evaluate the bicycle and pedestrian impacts at Dublin/Pleasanton Station and surrounding streets that will be impacted by the Project and Alternatives. 3. Chapter 3 of the DEIR on Page 226 provides the Cumulative Projections for population, employment, and housing. It states that “For the quantitative sections, the cumulative No Project Conditions for 2025 and 2040 are based on the traffic volumes forecast for those years determined by the Travel Demand Model. The Travel Demand Model is a computer model used to forecast travel volumes by different travel modes (BART, bus, automobile, etc.) across a transportation network based on projected land uses.” However in Appendix E, the DEIR states, “the proposed Dublin/Pleasanton Station Parking Expansion and the City of Livermore’s INP are two specific probable future projects/plans that are the focus of the projects/plans considered in the cumulative analysis. In addition, a list of other approved or reasonably foreseeable projects in the BART project corridor was developed.” Then in Chapter 3, Page 226, DEIR states, “This EIR uses a combination of the two approaches for the analysis of cumulative impacts; that is, the projections-based approach is used, but is augmented where appropriate with the list-based approach of past, present, and probable future projects in the project area.” It is not clear if list projects were coded into the model by replacing the assumed land use in the Alameda CTC’s regional model’s TAZs with the projects in the list. Requested Change: Provide a clarification on how the list projects were used in the travel demand model forecasts for Cumulative conditions in 2025 and 2040. Was the model land use modified or not? Or something else? 4. Table 3.B-23 of the DEIR shows the Dublin/Pleasanton BART station boardings. Then on the next page third paragraph, it states “Under 2040 Cumulative Conditions, which includes a net expansion of the Dublin/Pleasanton Station parking by 540 spaces, that station attracts a large number of additional park -and-ride BART patrons—a higher number than the increase in supply, as some spaces are used more than once during the day or serve multiple patrons who are carpooling together.” However, a similar change or relative change did not occur between the No Project and With Project conditions for Park and Ride mode when there will significantly be more BART service to the Isabel Station. So why no change? Additionally, a recent BART Board action has modified the garage construction with hybrid parking supply plan. The supply of hybrid parking will not be concentrated at the planned garage site. How this Board action would impact the assumed circulation under the cumulative scenarios for Project and other build alternatives. Requested Changes: i. Provide the reasoning behind no change in Park and Ride mode share between the No Project and Project Conditions in Table 3.B-23. ii. Provide an analysis on traffic circulation changes due to a decision by the BART Board on supplying planned 540 parking spaces through a hybrid parking supply scheme instead of a parking garage on Dublin Side of the Dublin/Pleasanton BART station. Also to note that the hybrid parking supply will have different traffic circulation and operations due to the distributed location of parking as compared to a garage. Due to these changes many of the current traffic analysis outcomes may no longer be valid. 5. Table 3.B-30 provides VMT Reduction summary for the Project and Alternatives for various future year scenarios. The results indicate an increase in VMT when there is additional parking spaces are provided at the Isabel Station and at the Dublin/Pleasanton Station. The explanation on the next page states; “The cumulative analysis for 2025 results in smaller VMT reductions for the Proposed Project and DMU Alternative than the VMT reductions for the Proposed Project and DMU Alternative in the 2025 project analysis. This is due to the level of parking supply assumed for the Proposed Project and the DMU Alternative under the cumulative analysis in comparison to the project analysis. The Proposed Project and DMU Alternative provide enough parking supply at the Isabel Station to meet the parking demand projected for the station, as well as to absorb a substantial portion of the latent parking demand originating from areas relatively close to the Dublin/Pleasanton Station. The presence of new parking at the Dublin/Pleasanton Station under the cumulative analysis—in addition to the significant proposed supply of parking at the Isabel Station—in total offers enough parking to attract park-and-ride trips to the station from greater distances, ultimately resulting in an increase in auto VMT under the cumulative analysis relative to the project analysis.” This conclusion is confusing. Given the fact that if one passenger goes to BART Station due to the availability of additional parking supply, then there should be a reduction in the length of the trip when compared to the same passenger driving to the final destination, like San Francisco. So it is critical to check the difference or the delta of trip length to BART and to that of driving all the way to the final destination. Also it is not clear what share of riders came from San Joaquin County due to the expanded BART service. This would provide some idea on trip lengths that were attracted to BART with and without expanded parking. Requested Changes: i. Provide a comparison of trips diverted from the roadway network including I-580 under various scenarios for 2025 and 2040 due to the availability of expanded BART service and additional parking at Dublin/Pleasanton BART Station and Isabel Station. ii. Provide an explanation on how the Passenger VMT was calculated as indicated in Table 3.B-30. iii. Provide the actual number of riders that came from San Joaquin County to take BART under the Project and Alternatives to properly disclose the impacts. iv. Provide a table that shows delta of trips that were attracted to BART parking expansion VS those that had to drive after not finding parking. 6. Tables 3.B-32 to 3.B-35 have several discrepancies in V/C for freeway lanes when compared to earlier tables 3.B-14 and 3.B-15. For example, V/C for freeway segment between Vasco Road and Greenville Road is shown as LOS D in Table 3.B-14 with delay of 0.87. But in Table 3.B-32 it is shown as LOS E with a delay of 0.977. Similar issues were noted in Tables 3.B-36 to 3.B-39. Requested Change: Review and reconcile different numbers in tables for Freeway segments. 7. Table 3.B-40 indicates a significant impact at Segment 7 (Livermore Ave to Springtown Blvd/First Street). But the text on Page 337 (page after Table 3.B-43) indicates a wrong segment for mitigation under the DMU Alternative. Requested change: Correct text accordingly. 8. Mitigation Measures TRAN-7a, TRAN-7b, TRAN-19b, TRAN-19c, TRAN-20a, TRAN- 20b, TRAN-20c, and TRAN-20d recommend adding a third southbound left-turn lane and a second westbound right turn lane at the intersection of Dublin Blvd and Dougherty Road. This mitigation is suggested to address the peak hour significant impacts to this intersection in 2025, and 2040 under with project/alternatives and Cumulative Scenarios. The proposed mitigation is not compatible with the existing land use at this intersection. It also would impact the pedestrian access by increasing the crossing distance for pedestrians on two approaches. Therefore this mitigation is not supported by the City of Dublin. In order to improve operations at this intersection, the City recommends that BART contributes towards implementing an Adaptive Traffic Signal system along Dougherty Road. Enhanced signal operations under the Adaptive Traffic Signal system would minimize the significant impacts. Requested Change: Modify TRAN-7a, TRAN-7b, TRAN-19b, TRAN-19c, TRAN-20a, TRAN- 20b, TRAN-20c, and TRAN-20d by providing Adaptive Traffic Signal system along Dougherty Road in the City of Dublin to minimize the significant impacts at the intersection of Dublin Blvd and Dougherty Road. C. Air Quality Impacts 1. The Draft EIR Does Not Adequately Address Toxic Air Contaminants and Health Risks. The methodology and impact analysis (Draft EIR pages 1,120 – 1,125 and pages 1,160 – 1,165, respectively) indicate that the risk/TAC analysis focused on passenger vehicles, DMU vehicles, maintenance trucks, buses, shuttle vans, and emergency generators. However, there is no mention of an analysis associated with widening of the I-580 freeway right-of-way (ROW ). I-580 currently has 219,000 daily vehicles, including 14,828 daily trucks traveling through Dublin.[1] Freeway ROW widening would move truck traffic (and associated diesel particulate matter [DPM] emissions) closer to receptors along the freeway. It should be noted that the VMT reductions associated with implementation of the Build Alternatives would affect passenger vehicles and would not reduce heavy duty truck traffic. As such, the Draft EIR does not demonstrate that it has adequately analyzed operational TAC/risk impacts. Requested Change: The Draft EIR must be revised to clearly identify impacts associated with moving heavy duty diesel vehicles (due to ROW widening) closer to receptors located along the freeway. D. Noise and Vibration Impacts 1. The Draft EIR Should Identify Additional Options to Mitigation Pile Driving Noise. When technically feasible, silent press-in piling (such as the Giken Silent Piler) should be the preferred method rather than drilling to reduce noise and vibration impacts. This option should be included in Mitigation Measure NOI-1. 2. The Draft EIR Does Not Include All Feasible Options to Mitigate Construction Noise. Mitigation Measure NOI-1 should include noise monitoring during construction to ensure the 90 dBA Leq limit is not exceeded. If it is exceeded, construction activities should halt until a remedy is implemented to reduce the noise levels below the 90 dBA Leq limit. Requested Change: The noise monitoring should be incorporated into the following section of Mitigation Measure NOI-1: To reduce potential daytime construction noise impacts to residential uses immediately south of the realignment of the eastern extent of East Airway Boulevard (Proposed Project and DMU Alternative), BART contractors shall employ moveable noise curtains or barriers along the southern side of East Airway Boulevard to shield daytime construction noise impacts to residential uses to the south. These temporary noise barriers shall be employed for construction along East Airway Boulevard, east of Sutter Street. Implementation of this measure will ensure that 1] California Department of Transportation, Traffic Data Branch, Annual Average Daily Truck Traffic on the California State Highway System, 2015. daytime construction activities do not exceed FTA noise criteria for daytime construction at residential uses (90 dBA Leq). Additionally, noise monitoring shall be conducted during construction to ensure this limit is note exceeded. If it is exceeded, construction activities should halt until a remedy is implemented to reduce the noise levels below the 90 dBA Leq limit. 3. The Draft EIR Does Not Include All Feasible Options to Mitigate Construction Vibration Impacts. Vibration monitoring should be conducted while these construction activities are taking place to ensure the vibration limit (0.2 PPV in/sec and 72 VdB) is not exceeded. If it is exceeded, construction activities should halt until a remedy is implemented to reduce the vibration levels below the limit. Requested Change: Mitigation Measure NOI-1 should be revised as follows: To reduce potential vibration impacts to residential uses immediately south of the realignment of the eastern extent of East Airway Boulevard (Proposed Project and DMU Alternative), BART contractors shall use non-vibratory excavator-mounted compaction wheels and small smooth drum rollers for final compaction of asphalt base and asphalt concrete. If needed to meet compaction requirements, smaller vibratory rollers will be used to minimize vibration levels during repaving activities where needed to meet vibration standards. These methods shall be employed for construction along East Airway Boulevard, east of Sutter Street. Vibration monitoring shall be conducted while these construction activities are taking place to ensure the vibration limit 0.2 PPV in/sec and 72 VdB) is not exceeded. If it is exceeded, construction activities shall halt until a remedy is implemented to reduce the vibration levels below the limit. Attachments: Exhibit A EXN /B /T_ q JULY 2017 BARTTo LIVERMoRE EXTENSION PROJECT EIR CHAPTER 3 ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS B. TRANSPORTATION TABLE 3.8 -18 LOCAL ROADWAY IMPROVEMENTS, 2025 AND 2040 NO PROJECT CONDITIONS Relevant Relevant Analysis Study Street Limits Improvement Year Intersection # Livermore Isabel Avenue 1 -580 EB Ramps Widen overpass 2040 30 Isabel Avenue 1 -580 WB Ramps Widen overpass 2025 and 28 and #29 Dublin Dougherty Road to North Extension 2040 Isabel Avenue Stanley Boulevard to Ruby Widen to four lanes 2040 33 Fallon Road HIII Drive Extension N/A Isabel Avenue Isabel and Jack London Intersection 2025 and 36 Gleason Drive Boulevard improvements 2040 Csv PLiEta Vasco Road Northfront Road to Las Widen to eight 2040 43 and #44 Fallon Road Positas Road lanes 2040 ' #20 Greenville Road Interchange improvements Widen underpass 2025 and 48 Dublin To Schaefer Ranch Road to six lanes 2040 Greenville Road Las Positas Road to Widen to four lanes 2025 and 48 Paterson Pass Road 2040 Greenville Road Westbound ramp Signalize 2025 and 46 intersection and 2040 add westbound left -turn pocket and eastbound right -turn pocket Greenville Road Greenville Road and Signalize 2025 and 48 Altamont Pass Road intersection 2040 Greenville Road Greenville Road and Signalize 2025 and 50 Patterson Pass Road intersection 2040 Pleasanton El Charro Road Stonerldge Drive to Jack Extension 2040 #23 London Boulevard El Charro Road Jack London to Stanley Extension After N/A Boulevard 2040 Dublin Dublin Brannigan Street to Fallon Widen toj{ -- 2025 and #19 Boulevard Road lanes six 2040 Dublin Dougherty Road to North Extension 2040 N/A Boulevard Canyons Parkway Fallon Road Connect to Tassajara Road Extension N/A 291 2025/2 o jv Gleason Drive To Fallon Road Extension N/A Csv PLiEta 20 S -2o & dREyDf Fallon Road N/A Upgrade 2040 ' #20 Interchange Dublin To Schaefer Ranch Road Extension 010 N/A Boulevard CoA%e/2 281 BART To LIVERMORE EXTENSION PROJECT EIR CHAPTER 3 ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYsis B. TRANsPORTAT1oN JULY 2017 TABLE 3.6 -18 LOCAL ROADWAY IMPROVEMENTS, 2025 AND 2040 No PROJECT CONDITIONS Relevant Relevant Analysis Study Street Limits Improvement Year Intersection # Tassajara Road Dublin Boulevard to 1 -580 Widen to eight 2025 and #14 lanes 2040 Tassajara Road Fallon to Dublin Widen to six lanes 2040 #14 Hacienda Road Dublin Boulevard to Central Widen to six lanes 2040 #9 Dougherty Sierra Court [ ity Limits Widen to 2025 and #1 Road lanes .SiX 2040 Notes: EB = eastbound; WB = westbound; N/A = no applicable. Local roadway improvement assumptions were mad ith input from the Cities of Livermore, and Pleasanton. I/ to 7—,9 .7- Sb —0 6'-* G T Li 11T Sources: 49 % E l O91r# - City of Livermore, 2009; City of Pleasanton, 2009; City of Dublin, 2013. A D 7 The Pleasanton General Plan has identified major roadway improvements. Table 3.13-18 summarizes the intersection and roadway lane improvements near the study area. Completion of the Stoneridge Drive extension, Busch Road, and El Charro Road are significant and necessary parts of Pleasanton's local circulation system. The extension of Nevada Street has the potential to provide some traffic relief to the Stanley Boulevard/Valley Avenue /Bernal Avenue intersection. In addition to these improvements, the Triangle Study" identified projects required for a strategic approach to relieving traffic congestion in the Tri- Valley Area. The Tri - Valley Triangle Study Final Plan Recommendations were approved in February 2011. This included an agreement on the sequencing of projects, specifically that the Stoneridge Drive extension be completed before construction can begin on State Route 84 as a four -lane facility between west of Ruby Hill Drive and 1 -680. Table 3.6 -19 presents the No Project Conditions in 2025 and 2040. n Alameda County Transportation Commission (Alameda CTC), 2007. Tri - Valley Triangle Study. 282 Figure 1 - Conventional BART Alternative Lowes: 30 parking spaces lost N Figure 1 - Conventional BART Alternative Figure 2 - DMU/EMU ALTERNATIVE Dublin Volkswagen: 25 parking spaces lost Dublin Hyundai: 45 parking spaces lost Scarlett Court moved 35 ft North. Turn around at E end of Scarlett court is moved 35 ft. north and 100 ft. west Parking along the southern edge of the Corp yard would be removed I-580 road widening begins .2 miles West of Dougherty/Hopyard overcrossing and reaches maximum at .2 miles West of Iron Horse Trail. Widening continues on Dublin side until Livermore border. N Figure 2 - DMU/EMU ALTERNATIVE Dublin Toyota Scion: 40 parking spaces lost Hacienda Shopping center: 75 parking spaces lost I-580 road widening begins 0.2 mile West of Dougherty/Hopyard overcrossing and continues to Livermore N Figure 2 - DMU/EMU ALTERNATIVE Lowes: 30 parking spaces lost N Figure 2 - DMU/EMU ALTERNATIVE N Figure 3 - Express Bus/BRT Alternative Dublin Volkswagen: 25 parking spaces lost Dublin Hyundai: 45 parking spaces lost Turn around at east end of Scarlett court is moved 35 ft. north and 100 ft. west Parking along the southern edge of the Corp ward would be removed Scarlett Court moved 35 ft. north. Widening of I-580 begins 0.2 miles West of Dougherty/Hopyard overcrossing. Widening gradually starts and reaches maximum at 0.2 miles West of Iron Horse Trail. The maximum widening occurs from there to about .2 miles East of Iron Horse Trail. From there, widening tapers down and ends on Dublin side at Tassajara/Santa Rita overcrossing. Max widening of 88 ft. from about 0.2 miles west of Iron Horse Trail to about 0.2 M east of Iron Horse Trail. More widening on Pleasanton side then on Dublin N Figure 3 - Express Bus/BRT Alternative N Figure 3 - Express Bus/BRT Alternative Widening ends on Dublin side. N BART to Livermore Extension Proposed Project and Build Alternatives Evaluation Report February 2018 BART to Livermore Extension Proposed Project and Build Alternatives Evaluation Report Credits BART Andrew Tang Don Dean Rachel Russell Ellen Smith Val Menotti Arup Chester Fung Chris Hrones Nancy Mathison Jasmine Stitt Allison Dawson BART to Livermore Extension Proposed Project and Build Alternatives Evaluation Report Contents Executive Summary 1 1 Introduction 6 1.1 Background and Project History 6 1.1.1 BART to Livermore Program EIR 6 1.1.2 BART to Livermore Project Draft EIR 6 1.1.3 Proposed Project and Alternatives 7 1.2 Report Purpose 15 1.3 Report Organization 15 1.4 Abbreviations 16 2 Approach and Methodology 17 2.1 Evaluation Frameworks 17 2.1.1 Consistency with Project Goals 17 2.1.2 BART System Expansion Policy 17 2.1.3 Other Considerations 18 2.2 Evaluation Methodology 19 3 Project Goals Evaluation Framework 20 3.1 Overall Performance 21 3.2 Goal 1A: Provide a Cost-Effective Link 22 3.3 Goal 1B: Provide an Intermodal Link Between BART, Inter-Regional Rail and PDAs 24 3.4 Goal 2: Support integrating transit and land use policies to create transit- oriented development opportunities 26 3.5 Goal 3: Provide Alternative to I-580 Congestion 29 3.6 Goal 4: Improve Air Quality, Reduce Greenhouse Gases 31 4 BART System Expansion Policy Evaluation Framework 33 4.1 Approach 34 4.2 Overall Results 34 4.3 Transit Supportive Land Use and Access 36 4.4 Ridership Development Plan 38 4.5 Cost Effectiveness 40 4.6 Regional Network Connectivity 41 4.7 System and Financial Capacity 41 4.8 Partnerships 43 5 Additional Evaluations 44 5.1 Significant Environmental Impacts 44 BART to Livermore Extension Proposed Project and Build Alternatives Evaluation Report 5.2 Equity Assessment 45 5.2.1 Impacts 46 5.3 MTC Performance Assessment 50 5.4 MTC Resolution 3434 TOD Policy 51 Appendix A – Project and Cumulative Results for the Proposed Project and Build Alternatives Appendix B – Summary of Significant Impacts – BART to Livermore Extension Draft Project EIR Appendix C – Air Quality Emissions BART to Livermore Extension Proposed Project and Build Alternatives Evaluation Report Table of Figures Figures Figure 1 – Proposed Project (Conventional BART) Overview 9 Figure 2 – DMU Alternative / EMU Option Overview 11 Figure 3 – Express Bus / BRT Alternative Overview 12 Figure 4 – Enhanced Bus Alternative Overview 14 Figure 5 – Low-Income Population within ½ Mile Buffer of Proposed Project 47 Figure 6 – Minority Population within ½ Mile Buffer of Proposed Project 48 Figure 7 – Limited English Proficiency Population Within ½ Mile Buffer 49 Tables Table 1 – Project Goals and Key Metrics 20 Table 2 – Consistency with Project Goal Comparison: Overall 21 Table 3 – Consistency with Project Goal 1A Comparison: Provide a Cost-Effective Link 23 Table 4 – Consistency with Project Goal 1B Comparison: Provide an intermodal link between BART, inter-regional rail and PDAs 25 Table 5 – Consistency with Project Goal 2 Comparison: Support Integrating Transit and Land Use Policies to Create Transit-Oriented Development (TOD) Opportunities 28 Table 6 – Consistency with Project Goal 3 Comparison: Provide Alternative to I-580 Congestion 30 Table 7 – Consistency with Project Goal 4 Comparison: Improve Air Quality, Reduce Greenhouse Gases (GHGs) 32 Table 8 – BART System Expansion Policy 35 Table 9 – Cost Effectiveness 40 Table 10 – Environmental Justice Populations 45 Table 11 – Resolution 3434 TOD Policy Housing Thresholds 51 BART to Livermore Extension Proposed Project and Build Alternatives Evaluation Report 1 Executive Summary This Evaluation Report supplements the information provided in the Bay Area Rapid Transit (BART) to Livermore Extension Project Environmental Impact Report (EIR). While the purpose of the EIR is to disclose the environmental impacts of the Proposed Project and alternatives and propose mitigation measures to avoid or reduce adverse environmental impacts, the Evaluation Report provides a comparison of the benefits and costs of the Proposed Project and build alternatives. This report is intended to provide an evaluation of the Proposed Project and build alternatives, primarily using two major evaluation frameworks: consistency with established project goals, and the BART System Expansion Policy (BSEP). Additional evaluations considered significant environmental impacts, an equity assessment, and application of the MTC’s Resolution 3434 Transit-Oriented Development Policy. Proposed Project and Build Alternatives The Proposed Project and three build alternatives are as follows: • Proposed Project – The Proposed Project is an extension of the BART system using conventional BART technology from the existing system terminus at the Dublin/Pleasanton Station to a new station located near the Isabel Avenue (State Route 84) / I-580 interchange in the city of Livermore. • DMU Alternative / EMU Option – The Diesel Multiple Unit (DMU) Alternative uses a similar alignment as the Proposed Project but differs in vehicle technology. DMUs are self-propelled rail cars that use a diesel engine to generate power and run on a standard-gauge rail track. The Electric Multiple Unit (EMU) Option is generally the same as the DMU Alternative, except that it is electric-powered rather than diesel-powered. • Express Bus / Bus Rapid Transit (BRT) Alternative – Under this alternative, new bus ramps from the I-580 express lanes to new bus transfer platforms would be constructed at the existing Dublin/Pleasanton Station to facilitate direct connections between BART and connecting buses. No rail extension would be included. • Enhanced Bus Alternative – This alternative provides modest, lower-cost bus enhancements on local streets to improve access to the Dublin/Pleasanton Station, but no new bus transfer platforms or other infrastructure in the median of I-580. Project Goals The BART to Livermore Extension Project goals are as follows: • Provide a cost-effective intermodal link of the existing BART system to the inter-regional rail network and to a series of Priority Development Areas (PDAs) identified by the City of Livermore, the MTC, and the Association of Bay Area Governments. These PDAs include the Livermore Isabel Avenue BART Station PDA, the Livermore Downtown PDA and the Livermore East Side PDA. • Support the regional goals of integrating transit and land use policies to create opportunities for transit-oriented development (TOD) in the Livermore-area PDAs. BART to Livermore Extension Proposed Project and Build Alternatives Evaluation Report 2 • Provide an effective alternative to traffic congestion on I-580. • Improve air quality and reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) and other emissions associated with automobile use. Project Goals Evaluation The BART to Livermore Extension Program EIR, adopted in 2010, established the project’s goals for improving transit mobility, increasing BART ridership and supporting TOD. These goals were further developed in the Notice of Preparation for the Project EIR (2012) and refined in the BART to Livermore Extension Project Draft EIR (DEIR). This Evaluation Report analyzes the extent to which the Proposed Project and build alternatives meet these goals. Table ES-1 provides an overview of the performance of the Proposed Project and build alternatives in light of each of the project goals. The Proposed Project has medium or medium-high ratings for all five goals. The DMU Alternative and EMU Option rate medium or low-medium on all goals. The Express Bus / BRT Alternative rates medium-high under the first goal, to “provide a cost-effective link.” However, the Express Bus / BRT Alternative rates as medium or low-medium for all other goals. The Enhanced Bus Alternative rates as medium for one goal, low-medium for one goal, and low for three of the goals. BART to Livermore Extension Proposed Project and Build Alternatives Evaluation Report 3 Table ES-1 – Proposed Project and Alternatives Compared to Project Goals Project Goals and Objectives Proposed Project - Conventional BART DMU Alternative EMU Option Express Bus/BRT Alternative Enhanced Bus Alternative Provide a cost-effective intermodal link Link existing BART, inter- regional rail, Priority Development Areas (Isabel, downtown, East Side) Create transit-oriented development (TOD) opportunities Provide alternative to I-580 congestion Improve air quality, reduce greenhouse gases (GHG) High Medium-high Medium Medium-low Low The BART System Expansion Policy (BSEP) is a BART Board-adopted policy for considering system expansions. This policy includes several criteria that must be considered: the potential for generating new ridership, cost effectiveness, surrounding land uses, accessibility, connectivity with other transit systems, effects on the existing BART system, and the degree of inter-agency partnering and community support. These criteria constitute the second framework used for evaluating the Proposed Project and build alternatives. As shown in Table ES-2, neither the Proposed Project nor any of the build alternatives rate high across a majority of evaluation criteria. The Proposed Project rates high for only one criterion — the Operating Finance Plan. It rates medium or medium-high for most other criteria but rates low in the areas of Existing Land Use, Existing Intermodal Connections, Station Context, and Regional Transportation Gap Closure. The DMU Alternative / EMU Option rates high for Operating Finance Plan as well, and low under the same criteria as the Proposed Project, and rates medium or low- medium in other categories. The Express Bus / BRT Alternative rates high for two criteria, Capital Finance Plan and Operating Finance Plan, and medium-high for one criterion, Cost per New Rider: Base Case. It rates low or low-medium for all other criteria. The Enhanced Bus Alternative rates high for Capital Finance Plan, low for Existing Land Use and Regional Transportation Gap Closure, and medium or low-medium for all other categories. BART to Livermore Extension Proposed Project and Build Alternatives Evaluation Report 4 Table ES-2 – Proposed Project and Alternatives Compared to BART System Expansion Policy Criteria Proposed Project DMU Alternative / EMU Option Express Bus / BRT Alternative Enhanced Bus Alternative Transit-Supportive Land Use and Access Existing Land Use: Residential and/or Employment Existing Intermodal Connections Land Use Plans and Policies Ridership Development Plan Ridership Threshold N/A N/A Station Context N/A N/A Cost-Effectiveness 1 Cost per New Rider: Base Case Cost per New Rider: with Transit- Oriented Development N/A N/A Regional Network Connectivity Regional Transportation Gap Closure System and Financial Capacity Core System Improvements Capital Finance Plan Operating Finance Plan Partnerships Community and Stakeholder Support Not assessed at this time. Not assessed at this time. Not assessed at this time. Not assessed at this time. High Medium-High Medium Low-Medium Low 1 Cost/Transportation System User Benefit, a suggested BSEP metric, was not utilized as it is no longer employed by the Federal Transit Administration and was never phased into the BSEP by BART. BART to Livermore Extension Proposed Project and Build Alternatives Evaluation Report 5 Overall Results The evaluation results of the Proposed Project and build alternatives are as follows: • The Proposed Project (conventional BART) and the Express Bus / BRT Alternative perform better than the other alternatives. The Proposed Project, which has the highest ridership projections, would result in the greatest number of benefits, such as reductions in regional vehicle miles traveled and GHG emissions. • The DMU Alternative / EMU Option has higher benefits, such as improved transit travel time, increased transit ridership, and reduced regional vehicle miles traveled, than the two bus alternatives, but less than the Proposed Project. Its costs are comparable to the Proposed Project. • The Express Bus / BRT Alternative performs better than the Proposed Project for the cost- effectiveness and financial capacity measures, but generally worse for the other measures. • The Enhanced Bus Alternative performs equal to or worse than the Express Bus / BRT Alternative under all frameworks. Neither the Proposed Project nor any of the alternatives achieves a high rating for any of the goals. The BSEP ratings, meant to guide decisions about expansions, are highly variable for the Proposed Project and all the build alternatives. BART to Livermore Extension Proposed Project and Build Alternatives Evaluation Report 6 1 Introduction This report evaluates the proposed Bay Area Rapid Transit (BART) to Livermore Extension Project (Proposed Project) and three build alternatives to the Proposed Project. The Proposed Project, also referred to as the Conventional BART Project, was developed in partnership with the City of Livermore and consists of a proposed 5.5-mile BART extension along I-580 to a new station near the Isabel Avenue/I-580 interchange. The purpose of this evaluation is to compare the Proposed Project and build alternatives and provide information to policymakers, stakeholders, and the general public. 1.1 Background and Project History 1.1.1 BART to Livermore Program EIR In November 2009, BART released the Draft Program Environmental Impact Report (PEIR) for the BART to Livermore Extension Program. The Draft PEIR considered nine alignment alternatives for extending the existing BART service eastward from the Dublin/Pleasanton BART Station (Dublin/Pleasanton Station) to Livermore. The PEIR assumed use of conventional BART technology; its analysis focused on alignment alternatives and was not intended to evaluate alternative technologies. The evaluation of alternative technologies was deferred to a project-level EIR. On July 1, 2010, the BART Board of Directors certified the Final PEIR and selected Alternative 2B (Portola-Vasco) as the preferred alternative. This alternative would originate at the existing Dublin/Pleasanton Station in the median of I-580, diverge from the I-580 corridor (just west of the existing Portola interchange), transition to a subway under Portola and Junction Avenues to an underground station adjacent to the existing Altamont Corridor Express (ACE) station in downtown Livermore, and extend at-grade parallel to the existing Union Pacific Railroad tracks to a terminus station and maintenance yard at Vasco Road. Initially, the City of Livermore recommended the Alternative 2B (Portola-Vasco) alignment; however, following further public discussion, the City determined that it preferred an alignment along I-580 from Dublin/Pleasanton Station to Greenville Road, with stations at Isabel Avenue and Greenville Road. This alignment was then incorporated into the City of Livermore’s General Plan. As part of the continuing BART to Livermore planning process, BART released a project-level Draft EIR (DEIR) in July 2017 for a BART extension to a new station at Isabel Avenue. The Proposed Project in the project-level DEIR corresponds to the alignment of Alternative 4 (Isabel Avenue/I-580 interchange) in the PEIR. In addition, both the City’s preferred I-580 alignment and BART’s adopted Portola-Vasco alignment share the 5.5-mile segment from Dublin/Pleasanton Station to Isabel Avenue in the I-580 median. 1.1.2 BART to Livermore Project Draft EIR The project-level DEIR evaluates a Proposed Project and three build alternatives. The Proposed Project would extend the existing BART system in the I-580 median to a proposed station east of the Isabel Avenue/I-580 interchange, together with tail track, a storage and maintenance facility, and other facilities such as wayside facilities and station parking. BART to Livermore Extension Proposed Project and Build Alternatives Evaluation Report 7 The Proposed Project does not preclude extending transit service farther east in an alignment within or extending out of the I-580 median. From Isabel Avenue, a future expansion farther east beyond Isabel using conventional BART or another technology could extend to either Downtown Livermore or along I-580 to Greenville Road. Such an extension, as contemplated in the PEIR, would be the subject of a separate project-level evaluation in a future environmental document. BART released the project-level DEIR for public review in July 2017. The DEIR informs public agency decision-makers and the public of the significant environmental impacts of the Proposed Project and its alternatives, and includes mitigation measures for significant impacts where feasible. Following a 77-day public review and comment period, BART is preparing the Final EIR (FEIR). The FEIR will contain all the comments received on the DEIR and a written response to each substantive comment. The FEIR is scheduled to be completed by late spring 2018. 1.1.3 Proposed Project and Alternatives The Proposed Project and three build alternatives, as well as the No Project Alternative (or No Build Alternative), are evaluated in the DEIR in accordance with the California Environmental Quality Act (CEQA). The three build alternatives were identified in initial screening as alternatives with the potential to meet most of the project goals and be completed within a reasonable timeframe; therefore, they merited full evaluation in the DEIR. The three build alternatives (shown with Proposed Project in the figures on the following pages) are as follows: • Diesel Multiple Unit (DMU) Alternative, which includes a variant referred to as the Electrical Multiple Unit (EMU) Option; • Express Bus / Bus Rapid Transit (BRT) Alternative; and • Enhanced Bus Alternative. Proposed Project The Proposed Project, shown in Figure 1, involves extending the BART system using conventional BART technology, from the existing terminus of the Dublin/Pleasanton–Daly City Line at the Dublin/Pleasanton Station to a new station located at the Isabel Avenue (State Route 84) / I-580 interchange in the city of Livermore. The new alignment and the new Isabel BART Station (Isabel Station) would be constructed in the I-580 median. New parking facilities — consisting of a parking structure and a surface lot containing approximately 3,412 spaces — would be constructed immediately south of I-580 along East Airway Boulevard. In addition, a new, approximately 68-acre BART storage and maintenance facility would be constructed north of I-580, beyond the Isabel Station near Hartman Road. To accommodate the widening of the I-580 median for the new BART alignment and Isabel Station, the California Department of Transportation right-of-way would be widened along approximately 5.6 miles. The I-580 lanes would be relocated by a total of approximately 46 feet, from just east of the Hacienda Drive interchange to west of the Portola Avenue/I-580 overcrossing. At the proposed Isabel Station, I-580 would be relocated by approximately 67 feet to accommodate the new station within the median. The relocation of I-580 would require the modification of some interchanges and surface frontage roads. BART to Livermore Extension Proposed Project and Build Alternatives Evaluation Report 8 The Proposed Project includes new and modified feeder bus routes that would connect the new Isabel Station to the Livermore Downtown Priority Development Area (PDA), the Livermore East Side PDA (which includes the Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory), and other areas east of the BART system, as well as to the ACE Stations in downtown Livermore and Vasco Road. The overall performance of these bus routes would be improved via the implementation of transit priority infrastructure enhancements, such as signal timing priority, bus shelters and bus bulbs. BART to Livermore Extension Proposed Project and Build Alternatives Evaluation Report 9 Figure 1 – Proposed Project (Conventional BART) Overview BART to Livermore Extension Proposed Project and Build Alternatives Evaluation Report 10 DMU Alternative / EMU Option The DMU Alternative, shown in Figure 2, differs from the Proposed Project in terms of vehicle technology. DMUs are self-propelled rail cars that use a diesel engine to generate their own power and run on a standard-gauge rail track, whereas BART trains use electricity and run on wide-gauge rail track. The DMU Alternative would have a similar median alignment and station configuration as the Proposed Project, but would have a longer alignment and include a new transfer platform at the Dublin/Pleasanton Station. A passenger wishing to travel further on the BART system would need to transfer from DMU to BART at Dublin / Pleasanton Station. A BART-to-DMU or BART-to-EMU platform would provide a direct transfer across a platform. This transfer facility would require widening of the BART right-of-way at the existing Dublin/Pleasanton Station with corresponding relocation of I-580 and reconfiguration of adjacent roadways beyond that required for the Proposed Project. A new parking structure for the Isabel Station, with approximately 2,428 parking spaces, would be constructed immediately south of I-580 along East Airway Boulevard. In addition, a new, approximately 32-acre storage and maintenance facility would be constructed north of I- 580, between the terminus of the alignment and Hartman Road. To accommodate the median widening, approximately 7.1 miles of I-580 would be relocated by a total of approximately 46 feet, from west of Dougherty Road/Hopyard Road interchange to the Portola Avenue / I-580 overcrossing. Around the Dublin/Pleasanton Station, the north side of I-580 would be relocated to accommodate the new DMU transfer platform. At the proposed Isabel Station, I-580 would be relocated by a total of approximately 67 feet to accommodate the station in the median. The relocation of I-580 would require modification of some interchanges and surface frontage roads. The DMU Alternative includes the same bus components as the Proposed Project, including new and modified feeder bus routes connecting the new station to areas east of the BART system. A variant of the DMU Alternative — the EMU Option — is also being considered. The EMU Option is generally the same as the DMU Alternative, except that it uses electrical-powered vehicles rather than diesel-powered vehicles. Express Bus / BRT Alternative The Express Bus / BRT Alternative, shown in Figure 3, seeks to achieve the project goals using bus technology only. Under this alternative, new bus transfer platforms would be constructed at the existing Dublin/Pleasanton Station. The bus platforms would be located to the outside of the existing BART station platforms. New bus ramps from the I-580 express lanes would be constructed for buses to enter and connect directly to the bus transfer platforms, allowing passengers to transfer from bus to BART without leaving the station. BART to Livermore Extension Proposed Project and Build Alternatives Evaluation Report 11 Figure 2 – DMU Alternative / EMU Option Overview BART to Livermore Extension Proposed Project and Build Alternatives Evaluation Report 12 Figure 3 – Express Bus / BRT Alternative Overview BART to Livermore Extension Proposed Project and Build Alternatives Evaluation Report 13 To accommodate the new bus transfer platforms and facilities under this alternative, approximately 2.2 miles of I-580, from west of the Dougherty Road/Hopyard Road interchange to the Tassajara Road/Santa Rita Road interchange, would be relocated by approximately 88 feet. The relocation of I-580 would require modification of some interchanges and surface frontage roads. A new parking lot (or garage) with 210 parking spaces would be constructed at the Dublin/Pleasanton Station to replace the existing parking lost due to the I-580 relocation. In addition, a remote, approximately 230-space park-and-ride lot would be constructed at Laughlin Road, with regular bus service during peak hours from the lot to the Dublin/Pleasanton Station. This alternative includes a feeder bus operation like that of the Proposed Project and DMU Alternative. It would be designed to enhance direct connections between the Dublin/Pleasanton Station, downtown Livermore, both the downtown Livermore and Vasco Road ACE stations, and Livermore-area PDAs, as well as to maximize use of the I-580 high-occupancy vehicle/high- occupancy toll lanes. Bus service improvements include, but are not limited to, two new express/rapid bus routes. Enhanced Bus Alternative Like the Express Bus / BRT Alternative, the Enhanced Bus Alternative, shown in Figure 4, uses bus- related technology only and does not include an extension of BART rail service or the development of a new rail station. Unlike the Express Bus / BRT Alternative, this alternative does not include any major capital improvements and would not include the development of bus transfer platforms or direct bus ramps. This alternative provides lower-cost bus service improvements to enhance access to the Dublin/Pleasanton Station. The Enhanced Bus Alternative includes bus operation like those for the Proposed Project and other build alternatives, designed to enhance direct connections to the Dublin/Pleasanton Station from Las Positas College, downtown Livermore, and both the downtown Livermore and Vasco Road ACE stations, as well as to serve existing and future Livermore PDAs. BART to Livermore Extension Proposed Project and Build Alternatives Evaluation Report 14 Figure 4 – Enhanced Bus Alternative Overview BART to Livermore Extension Proposed Project and Build Alternatives Evaluation Report 15 1.2 Report Purpose This report is intended to provide an evaluation of the Proposed Project and build alternatives, primarily using two major evaluation frameworks — consistency with established project goals and the BART System Expansion Policy (BSEP). The report will be used in association with a public outreach process in early 2018 to inform stakeholders about the merits and demerits of the Proposed Project and build alternatives and to receive stakeholder input. This report supplements the information provided in the EIR prepared for the BART Livermore Extension Project. While the purpose of the EIR is to disclose the environmental impacts of the Proposed Project and alternatives and to propose mitigation measures to avoid or reduce adverse environmental impacts, the Evaluation Report provides a comparison of the benefits and costs of the Proposed Project and build alternatives. This report is included in the administrative record for the FEIR. However, this report is not a part of the EIR itself — the public comment period for the EIR has ended, and any stakeholder input received by BART in response to this report will not be considered as comments on the EIR. The BART Board of Directors must certify that it has reviewed and considered the information in the FEIR and that the FEIR has been completed in conformity with CEQA requirements before any decision can be made regarding the project. The Board will also consider this Evaluation Report in weighing the potential project impacts against the benefits and any other economic, legal, social, technological and other considerations, and the feasibility of alternatives, to determine whether the Proposed Project or an alternative should be approved as proposed, approved with modifications, or not approved. 1.3 Report Organization Section 2 provides an overview of the approach and methodology employed in this report, including a description of the two major evaluation frameworks. Section 3 presents an evaluation of the Proposed Project and build alternatives based on the consistency with the established project goals evaluation framework. Section 4 presents an evaluation of the Proposed Project and build alternatives based on the consistency with the BSEP evaluation framework. Section 5 discusses other evaluation considerations. Appendix A presents evaluation data assembled or generated for this report in a comprehensive form. Appendix B provides a summary of significant impacts from the BART to Livermore Project EIR. Appendix C provides details on the impact of the Proposed Alternatives and the build alternatives on air quality emissions. BART to Livermore Extension Proposed Project and Build Alternatives Evaluation Report 16 1.4 Abbreviations The following abbreviations are used throughout this report. ACE Altamont Corridor Express BART Bay Area Rapid Transit BRT bus rapid transit BSEP BART System Expansion Policy CEQA California Environmental Quality Act DEIR Draft Environmental Impact Report DMU Diesel Multiple Unit EIR Environmental Impact Report EMU Electric Multiple Unit FEIR Final Environmental Impact Report GHG greenhouse gas INP Isabel Neighborhood Plan MTC Metropolitan Transportation Commission PDA Priority Development Area PEIR Program Environmental Impact Report TOD transit-oriented development VMT vehicle miles traveled BART to Livermore Extension Proposed Project and Build Alternatives Evaluation Report 17 2 Approach and Methodology 2.1 Evaluation Frameworks In this report, the Proposed Project and build alternatives are evaluated based on a set of categories and metrics that provide a rational and comprehensive basis for comparison. The categories and metrics for this evaluation primarily come from two sources: 1) the stated goals for the project and 2) the adopted BART System Expansion Policy. Other considerations are also discussed below. 2.1.1 Consistency with Project Goals The project goals to improve transit mobility, increase BART ridership, and support transit-oriented development (TOD) were expressed in the adopted 2010 BART to Livermore Extension PEIR. These goals were further developed in the Notice of Preparation for the Project EIR (2012) and refined in the BART to Livermore Extension Project DEIR. This report analyzes the extent to which the Proposed Project and build alternatives meet these goals. The BART to Livermore Extension Project goals, as listed in the DEIR, are as follows: • Provide a cost-effective intermodal link of the existing BART system to the inter-regional rail network and a series of Priority Development Areas (PDAs) identified by the City of Livermore, the Metropolitan Transportation Commission (MTC) and the Association of Bay Area Governments. These PDAs include the Livermore Isabel Avenue BART Station PDA, the Livermore Downtown PDA and the Livermore East Side PDA. • Support the regional goals of integrating transit and land use policies to create opportunities for TOD in the Livermore area PDAs. • Provide an effective alternative to traffic congestion on I-580. • Improve air quality and reduce GHG and other emissions associated with automobile use. Specific metrics were selected for evaluating the Proposed Project and build alternatives under each of these goals. The metrics used for the analysis are detailed in Section 3. 2.1.2 BART System Expansion Policy The BSEP is a BART Board-adopted policy for considering system expansions. This policy includes several criteria that must be considered. These criteria include the potential for generating new ridership, cost effectiveness, surrounding land uses, accessibility, connectivity with other transit systems, effects on the existing BART system, and the degree of inter-agency partnering and community support. These criteria constitute the second framework used for evaluating the Proposed Project and build alternatives. The metrics used for analyzing each of these criteria are specified in Section 4. BART to Livermore Extension Proposed Project and Build Alternatives Evaluation Report 18 2.1.3 Other Considerations The report also includes several other factors that are useful for comparing the Proposed Project and build alternatives, but which are not explicitly covered by the two evaluation frameworks discussed above. Environmental impacts, disclosed in the EIR for this project, are relevant not only to meeting CEQA requirements, but also in alternatives evaluation. Section 5 provides an overview of impacts and mitigation measures associated with the Proposed Project and build alternatives. Equity is a category not explicitly addressed in the project BSEP or the project goals. Equity is nonetheless an important consideration and BART has a written environmental justice policy that outlines its commitment “to taking reasonable steps in order to ensure equitable public transportation service.” Accordingly, a separate assessment of equity is included in Section 5. Section 5 also includes a discussion of the MTC’s process for assessing projects competing for discretionary regional funding, and a performance assessment of the Proposed Project and build alternatives under MTC’s Resolution 3434 TOD policy. BART to Livermore Extension Proposed Project and Build Alternatives Evaluation Report 19 2.2 Evaluation Methodology For each goal/criterion of the two evaluation frameworks, one or more specific performance metrics were developed to assess how well the Proposed Project and build alternatives perform in comparison with each other. For the project goal framework, the evaluation identified performance metrics for each project goal, as detailed in Section 3. For the BSEP framework, quantitative and qualitative BSEP metrics for each criterion were used to assign a low to high evaluation rating, as detailed in Section 4. Performance of the Proposed Project and build alternatives by evaluation categories are presented and allow for some overall conclusions about the merits and demerits of the Proposed Project and build alternatives. No weights were assigned to individual categories, nor was there an effort to total or average the category ratings to create a total or average score. The DEIR has two different future analysis years — 2025 and 2040. This Evaluation Report uses 2040 as the evaluation year, as it represents a timeframe when the full impacts and benefits of the Proposed Project and the build alternatives will be realized. The DEIR also has two different scenarios for future years — project scenarios and cumulative scenarios. The project scenarios include the Proposed Project or alternative, and assume only population and employment growth and transportation network improvements consistent with regional projections. The cumulative scenarios include, in addition to the growth and improvements assumed in the project scenario, (1) the build-out of the Isabel Neighborhood Plan (INP), which proposes a mixed-use TOD near the proposed Isabel station, and (2) the construction of additional parking at the Dublin/Pleasanton station. 2 Unless otherwise noted, the evaluations in this report utilize data from the project scenario. Appendix A provides more detail on the evaluation metrics using the project scenario and the cumulative scenario. 2 BART has expanded its consideration to include a variety of parking strategies to increase parking near the Dublin/Pleasanton and West Dublin/Pleasanton station. The results in this report are not substantially affected by the use of alternative parking strategies. BART to Livermore Extension Proposed Project and Build Alternatives Evaluation Report 20 3 Project Goals Evaluation Framework An important consideration in comparing the Proposed Project and build alternatives is determining how well they meet the project goals established in the DEIR. For purposes of evaluation, these goals as worded in the DEIR and shown in 2.1.1 are abbreviated in Table 1 below. In addition, the first DEIR goal is expressed in two parts to differentiate between cost effectiveness and intermodal connectivity. Metrics were selected to represent the project goals, as shown in Table 1. Some of these metrics were previously employed in the DEIR. In these cases, the results from the DEIR analyses were used here. A full set of analysis results is presented in Appendix A. Table 1 – Project Goals and Key Metrics Project Goals Key Metrics Provide a cost-effective link New Net BART Systemwide Boardings Total Capital Cost Annual Operating and Maintenance (O&M) Cost Farebox Recovery Ratio 3 Lifecycle Cost 4 per New BART Boarding Provide an intermodal link between BART, inter- regional rail and PDAs Accessibility: Isabel Station to Downtown San Francisco travel time (measures link to Isabel PDA) Accessibility: Downtown Livermore to downtown San Francisco travel time (measures link to downtown Livermore PDA) Regional Transportation Gap Closure (measures link to regional rail) Support integrating transit and land use policies to create transit-oriented development (TOD) opportunities Land Use Plans and Policies Provide alternative to I-580 congestion Travel Time (downtown Livermore to downtown San Francisco) Reduction in Regional Vehicle Miles Traveled (VMT) Improve air quality, reduce greenhouse gases (GHGs) GHG Emission Reduction Reduction in Regional VMT EIR Emissions Thresholds A performance matrix comparing the Proposed Project and build alternatives was developed for each project goal, using the selected metrics to provide a rating for each goal. The following section provides a summary of the overall performance assessment. Subsequent sections provide results for each individual goal. 3 Farebox recovery ratio is the percentage of operating and maintenance costs covered by fares. Both bus and rail costs and revenues were considered in this analysis. 4 Lifecycle costs add annualized rehabilitation and replacement costs over the course of the expected lifetime of a project to capital expenses and annual operating expenses. BART to Livermore Extension Proposed Project and Build Alternatives Evaluation Report 21 3.1 Overall Performance Table 2 provides an overview of the performance of the Proposed Project and build alternatives in light of each of the project goals. The Proposed Project has medium or medium-high ratings for all five goals. The DMU Alternative and EMU Option rate medium or low-medium on all goals. The Express Bus/ BRT Alternative rates medium-high under the first goal, to “provide a cost-effective link.” However, the Express Bus / BRT Alternative rates as medium or low-medium for all other goals. The Enhanced Bus Alternative rates medium for one goal, low-medium for one goal, and low for three of the goals. Table 2 – Consistency with Project Goal Comparison: Overall Project Goals Proposed Project - Conventional BART DMU Alternative EMU Option Express Bus / BRT Alternative Enhanced Bus Alternative Goal 1A: Provide a cost- effective link Goal 1B: Provide an intermodal link between BART, inter-regional rail and PDAs Goal 2: Support integrating transit and land use policies to create transit-oriented development (TOD) opportunities Goal 3: Provide alternative to I-580 congestion Goal 4: Improve air quality, reduce greenhouse gases High Medium-High Medium Low-Medium Low BART to Livermore Extension Proposed Project and Build Alternatives Evaluation Report 22 3.2 Goal 1A: Provide a Cost-Effective Link Table 3 summarizes the evaluation of the Proposed Project and build alternatives for the goal of providing a cost-effective link. This goal is focused on the affordability and effectiveness for BART to provide new service. Systemwide boardings represent ridership, an important component of cost-effective service. To evaluate affordability, the total capital cost, operations and maintenance costs, farebox recovery, and lifecycle costs for the Proposed Project and build alternatives were analyzed and rated. Capital costs are provided primarily in year of expenditure dollars (YOE$); that is, inflating current costs to the estimated midpoint of construction of each build alternative. Values in 2016 dollars are provided in parenthesis. Operating and maintenance (O&M) costs are provided in 2016 dollars.  Conventional BART Project: Medium. The Proposed Project would have an estimated capital cost of YOE $1.635 billion (2016 $1.329 billion), annual O&M costs of $22.8 million, and would generate 11,900 net new BART boardings in 2040. The Proposed Project would thus be the most expensive option but also the one that attracts the greatest number of users. It would have a farebox recovery rate of 88% and a total cost per boarding of $20.56. The Proposed Project rates medium because its higher ridership is offset by high costs, making it less cost effective than the Express Bus/BRT Alternative.  DMU Alternative / EMU Option: Low-Medium. The DMU Alternative would have an estimated capital cost of YOE $1.599 billion (2016 $1.353 billion) and would generate 7,000 net new weekday BART boardings in 2040. Its yearly O&M cost would be $16.8 million, 74% of the Proposed Project’s O&M cost. The DMU Alternative would have a farebox recovery rate of 72% and a total cost per boarding of $30.60. The EMU Option for this alternative would have a slightly higher capital cost of YOE $1.665 billion (2016 $1.353 billion) due to the additional electrical infrastructure (catenary system and wayside facilities), but a slightly lower annual O&M cost of $16.6 million. It would have a farebox recovery rate of 73% and a total cost per boarding of $31.33. The DMU Alternative/EMU Option rates low-medium because it has similar costs as the Proposed Project, but would attract fewer users.  Express Bus / BRT Alternative: Medium-High. The Express Bus/BRT Alternative would have 3,500 net new BART boardings in 2040, which is only 29% of the Proposed Project’s net new boardings. However, it would also have a lower capital cost of YOE $367 million (2016 $305 million), which is 23% of the Proposed Project’s capital cost, and a yearly O&M cost of $3 million or 13% of the Proposed Project’s O&M cost. It would have an excellent farebox recovery of 196% and a total cost per boarding of $14.11. The Express Bus/BRT Alternative rates medium-high because it is the most affordable and effective option that would attract any significant number of passengers.  Enhanced Bus Alternative: Medium. The Enhanced Bus Alternative would have 400 net new BART boardings in 2040, which is only 3% of the Proposed Project’s boardings. The Enhanced Bus Alternative would have a low capital cost of YOE $25 million (2016 $21 million), which is 1.6% of the Proposed Project’s capital cost, and a low yearly O&M cost of $1.7 million or 7% of the Proposed Project’s O&M cost. It would have a comparatively low farebox recovery of 42% and a total cost per boarding of $21.24. The Enhanced Bus Alternative rates medium under this goal because it is the most affordable option, but would attract a low number of additional users to BART. BART to Livermore Extension Proposed Project and Build Alternatives Evaluation Report 23 Table 3 – Consistency with Project Goal 1A Comparison: Provide a Cost-Effective Link Project Goal Provide a cost-effective link Metrics Proposed Project - Conventional BART DMU Alternative EMU Option Express Bus / BRT Alternative Enhanced Bus Alternative Net New BART Systemwide Boardings in 2040 11,900 7,000 7,000 3,500 400 Total Capital Cost (Millions of YOE$) $1,635 $1,599 $1,665 $376 $25 Total O&M Cost in 2040 (2016$) $22,800,000 $16,800,000 $16,600,000 $3,000,000 $1,700,000 Farebox Recovery Ratio 88% 72% 73% 196% 42% Lifecycle Costs per New BART Boarding $20.56 $30.60 $31.33 $14.11 $21.24 Overall Performance High Medium-High Medium Low-Medium Low Notes: YOE$: Year of expenditure BART to Livermore Extension Proposed Project and Build Alternatives Evaluation Report 24 3.3 Goal 1B: Provide an Intermodal Link Between BART, Inter-Regional Rail and PDAs Table 4 summarizes the evaluation of the Proposed Project and build alternatives for this goal. To evaluate this goal, transit travel times 5 from key origins and destinations under the Proposed Project and build alternatives were calculated, and the regional gap closure was evaluated qualitatively. The Proposed Project and all build alternatives make transit travel time improvements to PDAs in Livermore, but none provide a rail connection to ACE and therefore do not close this regional transportation gap. Livermore Amador Valley Transit Authority (LAVTA) express, Rapid and local routes currently connect ACE stations to the Dublin/Pleasanton and West Dublin/Pleasanton BART stations. The Proposed Project and all build alternatives improve marginally on these connections with more frequent express bus service. Only the Proposed Project was rated as medium for providing the best transit connections in terms of travel time to Livermore destinations.  Conventional BART Project: Medium. The Proposed Project would link the existing BART system to the Livermore Isabel Avenue/BART Station PDA and improve travel times to this PDA and the downtown Livermore PDA more than any of the build alternatives. However, it does not provide a rail connection to ACE and therefore does not close this regional transportation gap. For this reason, the Proposed Project rates medium under this goal. DMU Alternative / EMU Option: Low-Medium. The DMU Alternative//EMU Option would link the existing BART system to the Livermore Isabel Avenue/BART Station PDA (with a transfer required) and improve travel times to this PDA and the downtown Livermore PDA, though travel times savings would be less than the Proposed Project. Like the Proposed Project, it does not provide a rail connection to ACE and therefore does not close this regional transportation gap. The DMU Alternative//EMU Option is rated low-medium under this goal. Express Bus / BRT Alternative: Low-Medium. It is unlikely that the Livermore Isabel Avenue/BART Station PDA would be implemented under the Express Bus / BRT alternative. However, this alternative would have improved travel times to this PDA as well as to the downtown Livermore PDA, but not as much as either the Proposed Project or the DMU Alternative//EMU Option. Like the Proposed Project and all the build alternatives, it does not provide a rail connection to ACE and therefore does not close this regional transportation gap. The Express Bus / BRT Alternative is rated low-medium under this goal.  Enhanced Bus Alternative: Low. It is unlikely that the Livermore Isabel Avenue/BART Station PDA would be implemented under the Enhanced Bus Alternative. However, this alternative would have improved travel times to this PDA as well as to the downtown Livermore PDA, but not as much as either the Proposed Project or other build alternatives. Like the Proposed Project and all the build alternatives, it does not provide a rail connection to ACE and therefore does not close this regional transportation gap. The Express Bus / BRT Alternative is rated low under this goal. 5For travel time estimations, it was assumed that travelers used the fastest transit option (bus or train) for all legs of their total trip. BART to Livermore Extension Proposed Project and Build Alternatives Evaluation Report 25 Table 4 – Consistency with Project Goal 1B Comparison: Provide an intermodal link between BART, inter-regional rail and PDAs Project Goal Provide an intermodal link between BART, inter-regional rail and PDAs Metrics Proposed Project - Conventional BART DMU Alternative EMU Option Express Bus / BRT Alternative Enhanced Bus Alternative Transit travel time Isabel to downtown San Francisco (minutes/minutes less than no project )* 57/23 60/20 60/20 66/14 71/9 Transit travel time downtown Livermore to downtown San Francisco (minutes/minutes less than no project )** 71/19 74/16 74/16 74/16 90/0 Regional Transportation Gap Closure*** Low Low Low Low Low Overall Performance High Medium-High Medium Low-Medium Low *Connection to Isabel PDA; **Connection to downtown Livermore PDA, ***Connection to inter-regional rail BART to Livermore Extension Proposed Project and Build Alternatives Evaluation Report 26 3.4 Goal 2: Support integrating transit and land use policies to create transit-oriented development opportunities Table 5 summarizes the evaluation of the Proposed Project and build alternatives against this goal. To measure how well each contributes to TOD opportunities, the single metric of land use policy and plans was employed. Plans that were reviewed included the following: • Isabel Neighborhood Plan (draft); • Livermore General Plan; • Livermore Downtown Specific Plan; and • Plan Bay Area. There are three PDAs in Livermore: Isabel Avenue/BART Station Planning Area, Downtown and East Side (east of Vasco Road). PDAs are transit-accessible areas designated by municipalities for growth, and are used by the regional Plan Bay Area to allocate planned future growth. The first two are addressed in the proposed INP and Downtown Specific Plan, while there is no Specific Plan underway for the redevelopment of the East Side. Land use plans and policies in the area were reviewed and rated for transit supporting land use and access. For the Proposed Project, land use plans and policies provide a medium-high level of transit supportive land use and access. The City of Livermore is in the process of creating the INP which, if implemented, would increase development density around the transit station. The City of Livermore expects to consider adopting the INP before the BART Board is expected to consider adopting the BART to Livermore Extension Project; however, the INP is being developed only for the Proposed Project. Should BART wish to adopt the DMU Alternative / EMU Option, the City of Livermore would need to reassess the INP and potentially undergo a new planning process. The INP does not apply to the Express Bus / BRT Alternative because it does not include a new Isabel station, nor for the Enhanced Bus Alternative, which consists of minor bus infrastructure improvements. The INP proposes increasing development density around the station, encouraging mixed-use development and enhancing the transit-oriented character of the area. However, even with these plans implemented, the development will not result in the level of densities observable at many other BART stations (e.g., downtown Oakland and downtown Berkeley). A medium-high rating is given to the Proposed Project, recognizing that the INP is proposed specifically for a conventional BART extension. A medium rating is given to the DMU Alternative / EMU Option, with the understanding that a new INP process would be required to develop a transit oriented development plan for this alternative. For the Express Bus / BRT Alternative and the Enhanced Bus Alternative, land use plans provide a low-medium level of transit supportive land use and access. The bus alternatives’ bus stops are located throughout the City of Livermore. Some locations have land use plans and policies in place to support transit use, such as the Downtown Livermore PDA, while others do not. Downtown Livermore is zoned to concentrate development around existing ACE rail stations and established communities. A Downtown Livermore Plan encourages medium density housing and mixed-use development. Other bus stop locations have low opportunities that would likely not support TOD with zoning and parking requirements that do not encourage transit usage. Many bus stops are in BART to Livermore Extension Proposed Project and Build Alternatives Evaluation Report 27 built-out neighborhoods with limited transit-oriented in-fill development potential, especially given that much of Livermore’s existing neighborhoods are predominantly low density. • Proposed Project: Medium-High. The plan that would most significantly create TOD opportunities in association with the Proposed Project is the INP. This plan, which is currently in draft form and has not yet been approved, proposes zoning the station area to increase development density, encourage mixed-use development and enhance the transit-oriented character of the area. However, even with these plans implemented, the development will not result in the level of densities observable at many other BART stations (e.g., downtown Oakland and downtown Berkeley). The Downtown Specific Plan encourages strengthening Livermore’s Downtown through redevelopment as a mix of uses including housing. However, it is not particularly relevant to the Proposed Project, given that rail will not be extended to Downtown Livermore. A medium-high rating is given to the Proposed Project for land use plans and policies.  DMU Alternative / EMU Option: Medium. It is likely but not certain that the INP would also be implemented in association with the DMU Alternative / EMU Option. The City of Livermore would need to reassess and potentially conduct a new planning process. For this reason, a medium rating is given to the DMU Alternative / EMU Option for the land use plans and policies.  Express Bus / BRT Alternative: Low-Medium. It is not expected that the INP would be implemented in association with the Express Bus / BRT Alternative, as the INP builds around a future rail station. Therefore, the most relevant plan is the Downtown Specific Plan. The Downtown Specific Plan encourages strengthening Livermore’s Downtown through redevelopment as a mix of uses including housing. It is debatable whether this alternative’s improvements to bus routes accessing the Livermore Transit Center and ACE station will create TOD opportunities. The Express Bus / BRT Alternative is rated low-medium for this reason.  Enhanced Bus Alternative: Low-Medium. It is not expected that the INP would be implemented in association with the Enhanced Bus Alternative, as the INP builds around a future rail station. Same as Express Bus / BRT Alternative. BART to Livermore Extension Proposed Project and Build Alternatives Evaluation Report 28 Table 5 – Consistency with Project Goal 2 Comparison: Support Integrating Transit and Land Use Policies to Create Transit-Oriented Development (TOD) Opportunities Project Goal Support integrating transit and land use policies to create TOD opportunities Metrics Proposed Project - Conventional BART DMU Alternative EMU Option Express Bus / BRT Alternative Enhanced Bus Alternative Land Use Plans and Policies Medium-High Medium Medium Low-Medium Low-Medium Overall Performance High Medium-High Medium Low-Medium Low . BART to Livermore Extension Proposed Project and Build Alternatives Evaluation Report 29 3.5 Goal 3: Provide Alternative to I-580 Congestion Table 6 summarizes the evaluation of the Proposed Project and build alternatives against this goal. Metrics were chosen that represent the potential for each to provide a viable alternative to congestion. The metric “Transit Travel Time 6 - downtown Livermore to downtown San Francisco” is an important indication of how competitive the Proposed Project and build alternatives are, and the metric “Reduction in Regional Vehicle Miles Traveled (VMT)” directly indicates vehicles being taken off the road. This goal does not directly address the impact of the Proposed Project and build alternatives on I-580 congestion, but rather the degree to which they provide an alternative to that congestion. The EIR did evaluate level of service (LOS)7 and volume-to-capacity (V/C)8 ratios for freeway segments. This is presented in detail in the Transportation Chapter of the EIR.  Conventional BART Project: Medium-High. The Proposed Project would offer the fastest transit travel times between downtown Livermore and downtown San Francisco (71 minutes), and reduce regional VMTs by 244,000 per weekday in 2040.  DMU Alternative / EMU Option: Medium. The DMU Alternative / EMU Option would provide a transit travel time of 74 minutes between and Downtown Livermore and Downtown San Francisco. It would reduce regional VMTs by 140,600 per day in 2040. For all three metrics, the DMU Alternative / EMU Option performs worse than the Proposed Project but better than any other build alternative. For this reason, it rates as medium.  Express Bus / BRT Alternative: Low-Medium. The Express Bus / BRT Alternative would provide a transit travel time of 74 minutes between and downtown Livermore and downtown San Francisco (identical to the DMU Alternative / EMU Option). It would reduce regional VMTs by 92,600 per day in 2040. It generally performs worse than the DMU Alternative / EMU Option and thus rates as low-medium.  Enhanced Bus Alternative: Low. The Enhanced Bus Alternative performs significantly worse than the Proposed Project and other build alternatives with a travel time of 90 minutes between and downtown Livermore and downtown San Francisco, and a regional weekday VMT reduction of 6,500 per day in 2040. It rates as low. 6For travel time estimations, it was assumed that travelers used the fastest transit option (bus or train) for all legs of their total trip 7 Level of Service (LOS) is a qualitative measure of operating conditions within a traffic stream, and their perception by motorists/passengers. A LOS definition generally describes these conditions in terms of such factors as speed, travel time, freedom to maneuver, comfort and convenience, and safety. 8 Volume to capacity (V/C) is a ratio of vehicle volume to roadway capacity, with numbers greater than 1.0 indicating the roadway capacity is exceeded. BART to Livermore Extension Proposed Project and Build Alternatives Evaluation Report 30 Table 6 – Consistency with Project Goal 3 Comparison: Provide Alternative to I-580 Congestion Project Goal Provide alternative to I-580 congestion Metrics Proposed Project - Conventional BART DMU Alternative EMU Option Express Bus / BRT Alternative Enhanced Bus Alternative Transit travel time downtown Livermore to downtown San Francisco (minutes/minutes less than no project) 71/19 74/16 74/16 74/16 90/0 Reduction in Regional Vehicle Miles Traveled (VMT) in 2040 244,000 140,600 140,600 92,600 6,500 Overall Performance High Medium-High Medium Low-Medium Low BART to Livermore Extension Proposed Project and Build Alternatives Evaluation Report 31 3.6 Goal 4: Improve Air Quality, Reduce Greenhouse Gases Table 7 summarizes the evaluation of the Proposed Project and build alternatives against this goal. As there is a strong correlation between VMT reduction and air quality, VMT reductions are used to measure this goal along with relevant emissions and GHG reductions.  Conventional BART Project: Medium-High. In 2040, the Proposed Project would reduce GHG emissions by 11,200 metric tons of carbon dioxide equivalent (CO2e) per year, and reduce regional VMT by 244,000 per day. The Proposed Project will also have net reduction in emissions for PM2.5 and PM10. ROG and NOx emissions would increase but not exceed the threshold of significance. For these reasons, the Proposed Project is rated medium-high under this goal.  DMU Alternative: Medium. In 2040, the DMU Alternative would reduce GHG emissions by 3,500 metric tons of carbon dioxide equivalent (CO2e) per year, and reduce regional VMT by 140,600 per day. The EMU Option would remove an additional 2,500 metric tons of CO2e per year because of cleaner vehicle technology. The DMU/EMU Alternative would also have reductions in PM2.5 and PM10 compared to the No Project Alternative. ROG and NOx emissions would increase but not exceed the threshold of significance. For these reasons, the DMU Alternative and EMU Option are rated medium.  Express Bus / BRT Alternative: Medium. In 2040, the Express Bus / BRT Alternative would reduce GHG emissions by 3,700 metric tons of carbon dioxide equivalent (CO2e) per year, and reduce regional VMT by 92,600 per day. This reduction is significantly less than those of the Proposed Project. The Express Bus / BRT Alternative would have lower ROG emissions compared to the Proposed Project, but higher NOx, PM2.5 and PM10. For these reasons, the Express Bus / BRT Alternative is rated medium.  Enhanced Bus Alternative: Low. The Enhanced Bus Alternative would not reduce GHG emissions. VMT reduction is also very low compared with the Proposed Project and the other build alternatives. The Enhanced Bus Alternative would have lower ROG emissions compared to the Proposed Project, but higher NOx, PM2.5 and PM10 emissions. For these reasons, the Enhanced Bus Alternative rates low. BART to Livermore Extension Proposed Project and Build Alternatives Evaluation Report 32 Table 7 – Consistency with Project Goal 4 Comparison: Improve Air Quality, Reduce Greenhouse Gases (GHGs) Notes: Emissions types include ROG = reactive organic gas; NOx = nitrogen oxides; PM10 = respirable particulate matter; PM25 = fine particulate matter More detail on the impact of the Proposed Project and the build alternatives on air quality emissions is provided in Appendix C. Project Goal Improve air quality, reduce GHGs Metrics Proposed Project - Conventional BART DMU Alternative EMU Option Express Bus / BRT Alternative Enhanced Bus Alternative Annual GHG Emission Reduction in 2040 (Metric Tons CO2e) 11,200 3,500 6,000 3,700 No Benefit Reduction in Weekday Regional Vehicle Miles Traveled (VMT) in 2040 244,000 140,600 140,600 92,600 6,500 EIR Emissions Thresholds Does not exceed thresholds Does not exceed thresholds Does not exceed thresholds Does not exceed thresholds Does not exceed thresholds Overall Performance High Medium-High Medium Low-Medium Low BART to Livermore Extension Proposed Project and Build Alternatives Evaluation Report 33 4 BART System Expansion Policy Evaluation Framework To guide BART in the extension and expansion of its system, its Board of Directors adopted a Policy Framework for System Expansion in 1999 and a System Expansion Project Advancement Criteria and Process in 2002 (together known as the BSEP). The BSEP identifies criteria for project advancement to be applied when determining whether a new BART expansion project should be recommended for advancement. These criteria include: • Transit Supportive Land Uses and Access – How well do existing residential and/or employment land uses, intermodal connections, and local land use plans and policies support transit use? • Ridership Development Plan (RDP) – How well does the project support BART ridership goals, and have the local jurisdictions prepared plans to promote transit supportive land uses and improve access to proposed stations? • Cost-Effectiveness – How much does it cost to increase ridership? • Regional Network Connectivity – How well does the project close gaps in the regional transportation network? • System and Financial Capacity – How does the project affect BART’s existing system, and is there a viable capital financing plan and operating financing plan? • Partnerships – How much community and stakeholder support exists for the project? Among the chief elements of the BSEP is the requirement that one or more RDPs be undertaken for proposed expansion projects of the existing BART system. The RDP(s) seek to increase ridership to support the proposed BART extension and to support development of that ridership through local measures such as transit-supportive land uses and investment in access programs and projects. As a steward of public funding for transportation investments, BART employs this policy to: • Ensure cost-effective transportation investment decisions; • Protect the taxpayers’ investment in the District’s physical infrastructure; • Ensure the financial health and sustainability of the District; and • Enhance the Bay Area’s environment and quality of life. BART to Livermore Extension Proposed Project and Build Alternatives Evaluation Report 34 4.1 Approach The BSEP evaluation categories and the metrics used in each category are shown in Table 8. The rating scale for each criterion is from low to high. For some metrics, the BSEP provides guidelines on how to conduct quantitative assessments, along with thresholds that correspond to the low to high rating scale. In certain cases, the provided guidelines are more applicable to a rail extension rather than a bus extension, particularly for the station-related evaluations. In those cases where the methodology for evaluating the bus alternatives was not clear, approaches that are rational and consistent with the perceived intentions of the BSEP were developed and employed. 4.2 Overall Results Neither the Proposed Project nor any of the build alternatives rate high across a majority of evaluation criteria. The Proposed Project rates high for only one criterion — the Operating Finance Plan. It rates medium or medium-high for most other criteria but rates low in the areas of Existing Land Use, Existing Intermodal Connections, Station Context, and Regional Transportation Gap Closure. The DMU Alternative / EMU Option rates high for Operating Finance Plan as well, and low under the same criteria as the Proposed Project, and rates medium or low-medium in other categories. The Express Bus / BRT Alternative rates high for two criteria – Capital Finance Plan and Operating Finance Plan – and medium-high for one criterion – Cost per New Rider: Base Case. It rates low or low-medium for all other criteria. The Enhanced Bus Alternative rates high for Capital Finance Plan, low for Existing Land Use and Regional Transportation Gap Closure, and medium or low-medium for all other categories. BART to Livermore Extension Proposed Project and Build Alternatives Evaluation Report 35 Table 8 – BART System Expansion Policy 9 Cost/Transportation System User Benefit, a suggested BSEP metric, was not utilized as it is no longer employed by the Federal Transit Administration and was never phased in to the BSEP by BART. Notes: N/A: Not applicable Proposed Project - Conventional BART DMU Alternative / EMU Option Express Bus / BRT Alternative Enhanced Bus Alternative Transit Supportive Land Use and Access Existing Land Use: Residential and/or Employment Existing Intermodal Connections Land Use Plans and Policies Ridership Development Plan Ridership Threshold N/A N/A Station Context N/A N/A Cost-Effectiveness 9 Cost per New Rider: Base Case Cost per New Rider: with TOD N/A N/A Regional Network Connectivity Regional Transportation Gap Closure System and Financial Capacity Core System Improvements Capital Finance Plan Operating Finance Plan Partnerships Community and Stakeholder Support Not assessed at this time. Not assessed at this time. Not assessed at this time. Not assessed at this time. High Medium-High Medium Low-Medium Low BART to Livermore Extension Proposed Project and Build Alternatives Evaluation Report 36 4.3 Transit Supportive Land Use and Access The metrics used for evaluating transit supportive land use and access around the proposed new Isabel Station include the existing residential and employment densities, existing intermodal connections, and land use plans and policies. For the Express Bus / BRT Alternative and the Enhanced Bus Alternative, the quality of land use and access around areas served by bus routes was evaluated, as these alternatives do not include a major station. Existing Land Use: Residential and/or Employment Densities The staff-recommended BSEP metrics include density thresholds for this category. For the Proposed Project and the DMU Alternative / EMU Option, existing residential and employment densities within a ½ mile radius of the proposed Isabel Station were calculated using census data. Residential density is 0.85 households per acre, and employment density is 6.11 employees per acre. This results in a low Existing Land Use rating for the Proposed Project and the DMU Alternative / EMU Option. For the Express Bus / BRT Alternative and the Enhanced Bus Alternative, no major stations are planned at Isabel or elsewhere. Thus, the existing residential and employment densities were measured within a ¼ mile buffer of major bus routes serving Dublin/Pleasanton Station. The result was a density of 1.99 households per acre, and 4.52 employees per acre, translating into a low Existing Land Use rating for the Express Bus / BRT Alternative and the Enhanced Bus Alternative. Existing Intermodal Connections Existing pedestrian, bicycle and transit connections to the Proposed Project and build alternatives are evaluated qualitatively. Overall, a low rating is assigned to the Proposed Project / DMU Alternative / EMU Option and a low-medium rating is assigned to the Express Bus / BRT Alternative and the Enhanced Bus Alternative. Proposed Project and the DMU Alternative / EMU Option. Existing pedestrian conditions in the future Isabel station area provide low connectivity. The ½ mile area surrounding the station has sidewalks, but it lacks consistency and continuity. The roadways that surround the station area, including Isabel Avenue and Airway Boulevard, are wide, multi-lane arterials, and adjacent development is sporadic, with stretches of undeveloped land in between developed parcels. Crosswalks exist at most of the surrounding intersections, but on many major arterials, pedestrian crossings are only in place along one approach in the north-south or east-west directions, with long crossing distances that expose pedestrians to vehicle traffic and long signal cycles that cause pedestrian delay. Existing bicycle conditions for the Proposed Project and the DMU Alternative / EMU Option provide similarly poor connectivity. While some roadways have bicycle lanes, these facilities are uncomfortable for bicyclists of all ages and ability and do not provide key connections. The bicycle lanes along Isabel Avenue are particularly stressful, requiring cyclists to ride adjacent to high-speed traffic that is merging on and off the I-580 freeway. There is one bike path within a ½ mile radius of the rail station along Stealth Street, but this path dead-ends at a four-lane arterial, providing no connection across for cyclists traveling south. Existing transit connections for the Proposed Project and the DMU Alternative / EMU Option also provide low connectivity. The area around the potential Isabel Station currently has very limited BART to Livermore Extension Proposed Project and Build Alternatives Evaluation Report 37 transit connections. The closest bus stop served by Wheels route 30R is at Las Positas College, which is about ¾ mile away. Express Bus / BRT Alternative and the Enhanced Bus Alternative. Existing pedestrian conditions were rated low-medium. Areas in a quarter-mile buffer around proposed bus routes generally have completed sidewalks. Pedestrian facilities around downtown Livermore are well connected with high intersection density, pedestrian-oriented land uses and many pedestrian amenities such as benches, trees, blub outs and pedestrian-scale lighting. Other areas around bus stops have land uses that are not oriented towards pedestrians. These places appear uninviting towards pedestrians and are closed off from the activity of the street. Many streets are wide, high-speed arterial roadways that act as a barrier to pedestrians, such as Vasco Road, East Avenue, Portola Avenue, West Jack London Boulevard and North Canyon Parkway. These roadways have been built particularly wide to accommodate peak traffic levels, with large crossing distances and high vehicle speeds that are problematic for pedestrians by making them vulnerable to more severe collisions. Existing bicycle connections for the Express Bus / BRT Alternative and the Enhanced Bus Alternative were also rated low-medium. Bicycle facilities exist, but many are adjacent to high volume streets, making them uncomfortable for most cyclists. There are some bike paths adjacent to bus routes, but these do not provide access to the majority of Livermore. The lack of high-quality and connected facilities is reflected in the existing bicycle usage for Livermore, which is 0.7% according to the US Census Journey-to-Work data, lower than the California average of 1.1%. For the bus alternatives, existing transit connections are of low-medium quality. The areas within a ¼ mile buffer of proposed bus routes have multiple bus routes, including Wheels routes 11, 14, 15, 20X, 580X, 10R and 30R, and a rail station in downtown Livermore and Vasco road, served by ACE. While the bus alternatives are connected to many existing transit routes, only the 10R and the 15R have peak minute headways of 15 minutes. Land Use Plans and Policies Land use plans and policies in the area were reviewed and rated for transit supporting land use and access. For the Proposed Project, land use plans and policies provide a medium-high level of transit supportive land use and access. The City of Livermore is in the process of creating the INP which, if implemented, would increase development density around the transit station. The City of Livermore expects to consider adopting the INP before the BART Board is expected to consider adopting the BART to Livermore Extension Project; however, the INP is being developed only for the Proposed Project. Should BART wish to adopt the DMU Alternative / EMU Option, the City of Livermore would need to reassess the INP and potentially undergo a new planning process. The INP does not apply to the Express Bus / BRT Alternative because it does not include a new Isabel station, nor for the Enhanced Bus Alternative, which consists of minor bus infrastructure improvements. The INP proposes increasing development density around the station, encouraging mixed-use development and enhancing the transit-oriented character of the area. However, even with these plans implemented, the development will not result in the level of densities observable at many other BART stations (e.g., downtown Oakland and downtown Berkeley). A medium-high rating is given to the Proposed Project, recognizing that the INP is proposed specifically for a conventional BART extension. A medium rating is given to the DMU Alternative / EMU Option, with the understanding that a new INP process would be required to develop a transit oriented development plan for this alternative. BART to Livermore Extension Proposed Project and Build Alternatives Evaluation Report 38 For the Express Bus / BRT Alternative and the Enhanced Bus Alternative, land use plans provide a low-medium level of transit supportive land use and access. The bus alternatives’ bus stops are located throughout the City of Livermore. Some locations have land use plans and policies in place to support transit use, such as the Downtown Livermore PDA, while others do not. Downtown Livermore is zoned to concentrate development around existing ACE rail stations and established communities. A Downtown Livermore Plan encourages medium density housing and mixed-use development. Other bus stop locations have low opportunities that would likely not support TOD with zoning and parking requirements that do not encourage transit usage. Many bus stops are in built-out neighborhoods with limited transit-oriented in-fill development potential, especially given that much of Livermore’s existing neighborhoods are predominantly low density. 4.4 Ridership Development Plan BART’s BSEP requires a Ridership Development Plan (RDP) be developed for each proposed new station to support increased ridership along with meeting the goals of the BSEP. Strategies for boosting ridership include planning and implementation of transit supportive land uses, improvements in local transportation programs and infrastructure, improvements to multi modal access including pedestrian and bicycle access, increases in transit feeder services, and development of additional automobile serving parking facilities (including parking in the station area). To meet the requirement for a RDP, the City of Livermore is preparing the INP to guide future development around a potential Isabel Station. The draft plan consists of a mixed-use development with over 4,000 residential units, 1.6 million square feet of office space, and other commercial uses. The City of Livermore expects to consider adopting the INP before the BART Board is expected to consider adopting the BART to Livermore Extension Project; however, the INP is being developed only for the Proposed Project. Should BART wish to adopt the DMU Alternative / EMU Option, the City of Livermore would need to reassess the INP. For the purposes of evaluation only, BART is assuming the INP would apply to the DMU Alternative / EMU Option. The City of Livermore has indicated this would reasonably characterize the maximum amount of development around the Isabel station under this alternative. A RDP is not required for the Express Bus / BRT Alternative because it does not include a new station, nor for the Enhanced Bus Alternative, which consists of minor bus infrastructure improvements. The effectiveness of the RDP is measured by assessing ridership thresholds and station context evaluation. Ridership Threshold The ridership assessment compares the ridership forecasted for proposed extensions with ridership thresholds. This assessment evaluates the effectiveness of extension projects in achieving adequate ridership. The staff-recommended BSEP metric, projected average daily trips for an extension (daily entries and exits associated with new stations), is categorized into five grades from low to high: • Low: less than 5,000 average daily trips BART to Livermore Extension Proposed Project and Build Alternatives Evaluation Report 39 • Low-Medium: 5,000 to 9,999 average daily trips • Medium: 10,000 to 13,999 average daily trips • Medium-High: 14,000 to 20,000 average daily trips • High: above 20,000 average daily trips Based on year 2040 BART ridership projections, the Proposed Project would have an average of 15,800 daily boardings and alightings at Isabel Station, attaining a medium-high rating. The DMU Alternative / EMU Option would have an average of 9,400 daily boardings and alightings at Isabel Station, attaining a low-medium rating.10 The BSEP ridership criterion is not used for the Express Bus / BRT Alternative because it does not include a new station, nor for the Enhanced Bus Alternative, which consists of minor bus infrastructure improvements. The ridership projections cited above are from the cumulative scenario which include the INP. The analysis was also performed using the project scenario ridership projections and yielded the same ratings.11 Station Context This is a qualitative assessment of how well a station location would support TOD and the station experience for patrons. The proposed Isabel station site has space to provide a mixed-use neighborhood with both employment and residential centers with high densities of uses for the Tri- Valley area. However, the station location in the median of I-580 will negatively affect patron experience. The freeway acts as a barrier between land uses to the south and the north of the station, and provides a poor environment for walking and biking. The BSEP guidelines indicate that a medium rating is only achieved with an acceptable station experience for patrons; thus, a low rating was selected for the Proposed Project and DMU Alternative / EMU Option. Station context is not applicable to the bus alternatives since no new stations are provided as part of those alternatives. 10 The number of projected entries at Isabel Station was doubled to determine the BART ridership numbers (entries and exists) consistent with the BSEP. 11Cumulative scenario projections for Isabel Station boardings and alightings are slightly lower than project scenario projections. This is because the additional parking capacity included at Dublin/Pleasanton attracts passengers from Isabel Station, despite the overall ridership increases generated by INP development. BART to Livermore Extension Proposed Project and Build Alternatives Evaluation Report 40 4.5 Cost Effectiveness This category evaluates cost effectiveness through a cost per rider measure with and without the inclusion of future TOD. The annualized lifecycle costs per net new annual BART boarding for 2040 in 2016 dollars were calculated. To develop BESP ratings, the costs were adjusted to 2002 dollars based on historic inflation rates. The BESP cost per rider scale ranges from low (more than $40 per rider in 2002 dollars) to high (less than $10 per rider in 2002 dollars). Table 9 shows the results of these calculations and the BSEP cost effectiveness ratings for the Proposed Project and the build alternatives. Table 9 – Cost Effectiveness Proposed Project - Conventional BART DMU Alternative EMU Option Express Bus / BRT Alternative Enhanced Bus Alternative Lifecycle Cost per BART Boarding – Base Case 2016 Dollars $20.56 $30.60 $31.33 $14.11 $21.24 2002 Dollars $15.40 $22.94 $23.50 $10.60 $16.09 Cost per Rider - Base Case rating Medium Medium Medium Medium-High Medium Lifecycle Cost per BART Boarding – With TOD 2016 Dollars $18.26 $25.81 $26.43 N/A N/A 2002 Dollars $13.68 $19.34 $19.82 N/A N/A Cost per Rider - with TOD Medium-High Medium Medium N/A N/A Notes: N/A: Not applicable Cost per New Rider: Base Case The cost per new rider is first evaluated for the Proposed Project and build alternatives under base case land use assumptions that do not include future TOD. The base case corresponds to the EIR project scenario. As shown in Table 9 the Proposed Project earns a medium rating. The DMU Alternative and EMU Option both also receive a medium rating. The Express Bus / BRT Alternative receives a medium-high rating. The Enhanced Bus Alternative, result is a medium rating. Cost per New Rider: with TOD The cost per new rider is also evaluated for the Proposed Project and DMU Alternative / EMU Option under future TOD conditions (see Table 9). The future TOD conditions correspond with the EIR cumulative scenario, which includes the INP. The Express Bus / BRT and Enhanced Bus BART to Livermore Extension Proposed Project and Build Alternatives Evaluation Report 41 alternatives were not evaluated with TOD because development of the INP is not assumed to occur under these alternatives. The Proposed Project receives a medium-high rating. The DMU Alternative and the EMU Option both earn a medium rating. 4.6 Regional Network Connectivity Regional Transportation Gap Closure The regional transportation gap closure measure is the only metric used to evaluate regional network connectivity. The evaluation of this metric qualitatively “assess[es] the interconnected relationship of the transit expansion project and the existing transportation network, identifying opportunities for major gap closures.” The Proposed Project and the DMU Alternative / EMU Option perform low in terms of regional transit gap closure since they do not establish any new rail connections. Most notably, no new ACE/BART rail connections are made with this project, though the project does not preclude a rail connection in the future. While no new rail connections are made, rail-bus connections to ACE, Amtrak, LAVTA and San Joaquin Regional Transit District (SJTRD) are made more convenient than current, with decreased travel times, and more frequent service. The Express Bus / BRT Alternative and the Enhanced Bus Alternative also rate low in terms of regional transit gap closure since neither establishes any new rail connections, though they improve rail-bus connections with ACE, Amtrak, LAVTA and SJRTD with decreased travel times and more frequent service. 4.7 System and Financial Capacity The system and financial capacity category is evaluated through a qualitative evaluation of the core system improvements, capital finance plan and operating finance plan. Core System Improvements The core system improvements evaluation is a qualitative assessment of how well the expansion project “enhances (at best) or minimizes demands on core system yard/support facilities, redundancy/recovery capabilities and station and line haul capacity.” Overall, the Proposed Project is rated as medium-high for core system improvements. The Proposed Project is rated high for yard and support facilities because it includes a new BART yard and shop facility at the start/end of line able to support the entire Blue Line. Its redundancy and recovery capabilities are medium, as the new yard and shop facility may provide some greater ability to respond to incidents on the Blue Line. The impact on station and line haul capacity is rated medium, since the impact on any individual station or car crowding is minimized by providing additional Blue Line peak period BART service included as part of the Proposed Project. Overall, the DMU Alternative / EMU Option is rated as low-medium for core system improvements. The DMU Alternative / EMU Option is rated medium for yard and support facilities because it provides additional BART tail track capacity to support the increased load on the BART system generated by the DMU Alternative / EMU Option, but not additional BART yard or shop capacity to BART to Livermore Extension Proposed Project and Build Alternatives Evaluation Report 42 support the entire Blue Line.12 Its redundancy and recovery capabilities are rated low, as no new facilities that benefit the system as whole are constructed. The impact on station and line haul capacity is rated medium, since the impact on any individual station or car crowding would be minimal due to the new capacity proposed as part of the DMU Alternative / EMU Option and due to the increased headways assumed in 2040. Overall, the Express Bus / BRT Alternative is rated as low-medium for core system improvements. The Express Bus / BRT Alternative is rated medium for yard and support because it provides additional BART tail track capacity to support the increased load on the BART system generated by the Express Bus / BRT Alternative, but not additional BART yard or shop capacity to support the entire Blue Line. Its redundancy and recovery capabilities are low, as no new facilities that benefit the system as whole are constructed. The impact on station and line haul capacity is rated as medium, since the impact on any individual station or car crowding is minimized by providing additional Blue Line peak period BART service included as part of the Express Bus / BRT Alternative. Overall, the Enhanced Bus Alternative is rated as low-medium for core system improvements. The Enhanced Bus Alternative is rated medium for yard and support facilities because it generates minimal added load on the BART system and thus minimal added demand on support facilities. Its redundancy and recovery capabilities are rated low, as no new facilities that benefit the system as whole are constructed. The impact on station and line haul capacity is rated as medium, since it generates minimal added load on the BART system. Capital Finance Plan The capital finance plan assessment evaluates whether the system expansion is fully funded and considers the stability, reliability and availability of the proposed funding sources, and whether those sources are competing with renovation and core system capacity needs. The Proposed Project is not fully funded; however, a significant amount, approximately $533 million in funding, has been committed to design and construction. The funding comes from Alameda County’s sales tax funds (Measure BB), Livermore development impact fees and regional bridge tolls. This funding is dedicated, secure, and is not easily transferable to other BART projects. It also has the potential to be matched by state or federal sources. The Proposed Project is rated medium for Capital Finance Plan for these reasons. The DMU Alternative / EMU Option has the same funding identified as the Proposed Project. The available funds do not fully cover the costs, but they are a dedicated and stable source of funding that could be used as a local match. This Alternative is rated medium. The Express Bus / BRT Alternative and the Enhanced Bus Alternative are fully funded with available funding sources, and these sources are dedicated and stable. Thus, these build alternatives are rated high for Capital Finance Plan. 12 The DMU Alternative and EMU Option do include a yard and shop. BART to Livermore Extension Proposed Project and Build Alternatives Evaluation Report 43 Operating Finance Plan The operating finance plan evaluation is an assessment of the estimated farebox recovery ratios and the stability, reliability and availability of the operating subsidy. The staff recommended BSEP metric includes ratings for farebox recovery with a high rating for over 50% farebox recovery, medium for 30-50%, and low for <30%. For the Proposed Project, the DMU Alternative/EMU Option, and the BRT/Express Bus Alternative, farebox recovery ratios are all higher than 50%. Therefore, they all receive a rating of high for this assessment. The Enhanced Bus Alternative has a farebox recovery ratio of 40%, and thus receives a medium rating. 4.8 Partnerships The partnership assessment is based on community support and stakeholder support. These will be assessed after BART has conducted its planned BART to Livermore outreach program in the first half of 2018. BART to Livermore Extension Proposed Project and Build Alternatives Evaluation Report 44 5 Additional Evaluations In addition to the primary two frameworks described above for evaluating the Proposed Project and build alternatives, other assessments are also useful for evaluation. This section includes a reference to environmental impacts declared in the DEIR, an equity assessment, the MTC project performance assessment process and MTC Resolution 3434 TOD Policy. 5.1 Significant Environmental Impacts This section, referencing the DEIR, was included in recognition that environmental impacts not only need to be disclosed and mitigated per CEQA, but also may play a role in evaluating the Proposed Project and build alternatives. The Proposed Project and build alternatives would result in several potentially significant impacts. Most of the impacts identified would be mitigated to a less-than-significant level with implementation of the recommended mitigation measures. However, either project or cumulative impacts would be significant and unavoidable for the following areas: • Transportation (permanent impacts for the Proposed Project, DMU Alternative / EMU Option, Express Bus / BRT Alternative, and Enhanced Bus Alternative); • Land Use and Agricultural Resources (permanent impacts for the Proposed Project and DMU Alternative / EMU Option); • Visual Quality (permanent impacts for the Proposed Project, DMU Alternative / EMU Option, and Express Bus / BRT Alternative); • Cultural Resources (permanent impact for the Proposed Project, DMU Alternative / EMU Option, Express Bus / BRT Alternative, and Enhanced Bus Alternative); • Biological Resources (permanent impact for the Proposed Project and DMU Alternative / EMU Option); • Air Quality (temporary construction and permanent impacts for the Proposed Project, DMU Alternative / EMU Option, and Express Bus / BRT Alternative); and • Energy (permanent impact for the Enhanced Bus Alternative only). Appendix B provides details on individual impacts and mitigation measures. The BART to Livermore Project Extension EIR may also be consulted for further details on environmental impacts. BART to Livermore Extension Proposed Project and Build Alternatives Evaluation Report 45 5.2 Equity Assessment Although not an evaluation category in the BSEP nor mentioned in the BART to Livermore project goals, equity is nonetheless an important consideration, and BART has a written environmental justice policy that outlines its commitment “to taking reasonable steps in order to ensure equitable public transportation service.” Accordingly, an assessment focused on equity was undertaken. Equity is measured by impacts on environmental justice populations (minority, low-income, and limited English proficiency households). Table 10 provides definitions of these populations. Table 10 – Environmental Justice Populations Environmental Justice Population Description Low-income households Households with an income of less than $40,000 per year according to the 2015 Census, American Community Survey. Minority population Minority population, or a person who is black, Hispanic or Latino, Asian American, American Indian or Alaskan Native, Native Hawaiian and other Pacific Islander according to the 2015 Census, American Community Survey. Limited English proficiency households Households with limited English proficiency according to the 2015 Census, American Community Survey. BART to Livermore Extension Proposed Project and Build Alternatives Evaluation Report 46 5.2.1 Impacts An evaluation of the impacts of the Proposed Project and build alternatives on environmental justice populations is presented below. It uses a geographic information systems (GIS) platform to analyze project area populations within a ½-mile on either side of the Proposed Project and build alternatives, with the exception of the Enhanced Bus Alternative, which does not include major infrastructure that would substantially change the existing condition of the surrounding environment. Figure 5 identifies Census block groups with a large low-income percentage and Figure 6 identifies Census block groups with a large minority percentage. Six of 17 block groups within the ½-mile buffer have minority populations greater than the BART service area average. No block groups have low-income populations greater than the BART service area average. In addition, this analysis identifies Census tracts 13 in the study area with percentages of people with limited English proficiency greater than the BART Service Area average. As shown in Figure 7, one Census tract exceeded the BART service area average and one nearly equals but is slightly lower than the average. The following impact categories were investigated, using the DEIR as the source: • Transportation; • Community; • Visual and Aesthetic; • Noise and Vibration; • Relocations; • Air Quality; and • Construction Effects. The Proposed Project and build alternatives, with the exception of the Enhanced Bus Alternative 14, are each expected to have some community, noise, visual, relocation, and air quality impacts on affected populations, which include minority and low-income individuals. Many of these are addressed through mitigations included in the DEIR. Importantly, it was found that with mitigations included, neither the Proposed Project nor the build alternatives would have environmental impacts with a high or disproportionate 15 effect on environmental justice populations. Based on these conclusions, there is no practical difference between the Proposed Project and build alternatives in terms of impacts to environmental justice population 13 Unlike for racial/ethnic and household economic data, the data concerning languages is not available at the block group level. 14 The Enhanced Bus Alternative would implement only modest changes to existing conditions in the study area, such as bus bulbs and bus stop shelters, but would not involve construction of any major transit infrastructure. For these reasons, it would not have high or disproportionate impacts to environmental justice populations. 15 A disproportionate effect would impact environmental justice groups more than other populations. BART to Livermore Extension Proposed Project and Build Alternatives Evaluation Report 47 Figure 5 – Low-Income Population within ½ Mile Buffer of Proposed Project BART to Livermore Extension Proposed Project and Build Alternatives Evaluation Report 48 Figure 6 – Minority Population within ½ Mile Buffer of Proposed Project BART to Livermore Extension Proposed Project and Build Alternatives Evaluation Report 49 Figure 7 – Limited English Proficiency Population Within ½ Mile Buffer BART to Livermore Extension Proposed Project and Build Alternatives Evaluation Report 50 5.3 MTC Performance Assessment A full assessment per MTC’s Plan Bay Area project performance assessment process was not conducted as part of this Evaluation Report. However, as it is a required step for accessing discretionary regional funding, possible outcomes in this process for the Proposed Project or build alternatives are discussed below. Transportation projects in MTC’s Plan Bay Area 2040 with total project costs greater than $100 million and desiring discretionary regional funding were subject to MTC’s project performance assessment process. The BART to Livermore Extension Project is included in Plan Bay Area 2040. However, because BART has not yet adopted the Proposed Project or one of the alternatives, the Livermore Extension Project was not included in the Plan Bay Area 2040 project performance assessment. Should BART adopt the Proposed Project or the DMU Alternative / EMU Option and desire discretionary regional funding to design and construct it, the adopted project would be subject to MTC’s project performance assessment project (assuming MTC continues to use this process to prioritize discretionary regional funding in future updates to Plan Bay Area). The Express Bus / BRT Alternative and the Enhanced Bus Alternative are fully funded and would not be subject to this project performance assessment, which is required only for projects seeking discretionary regional funding. The Plan Bay Area 2040 project performance assessment was conducted using qualitative and quantitative metrics. The targets assessment (qualitative) evaluated the extent to which a project supports the region’s ability to meet the targets in Plan Bay Area 2040. The benefit-cost assessment (quantitative) evaluated the cost-effectiveness of each project. Benefits included travel time, travel time reliability, travel cost, air pollution, collisions, noise and health. Relative to other projects seeking regional discretionary funding, high-performing projects would have both a high targets score and a high benefit-cost ratio. In addition, MTC used a qualitative approach to identify the project’s level of support for communities of concern and confirmed that the process provides access to residents of the affected community. Some low-performing projects were included in Plan Bay Area 2040 under the compelling case process, which required project sponsors to document that either: 1) the travel model used to quantify benefits did not adequately capture project benefits; 2) the project was a cost-effective means of reducing CO2, PM, ozone precursor emission; or 3) the project improved transportation mobility/reduces air toxics and PM emissions in communities of concern. BART to Livermore Extension Proposed Project and Build Alternatives Evaluation Report 51 5.4 MTC Resolution 3434 TOD Policy Although this policy does not apply to the BART to Livermore Extension project, it is an established regional method of assessing whether transit investments are occurring in corridors with existing and planned TOD. Therefore, it is instructive to assess how it would theoretically apply to a BART to Livermore extension. Resolution 3434, adopted in 2001, set forth MTC’s regional transit expansion program of projects. The resolution was amended in 2005 to condition these transit expansion projects on supportive land use policies and further amended in 2007 to reflect changes in the TOD policy. This TOD policy includes three elements: 1. Corridor-level development thresholds around transit stations; 2. Local station area plans; and 3. Corridor working groups. Corridor development thresholds are focused on existing and planned housing and shown in Table 11. The total number of existing and planned housing units within ½ mile of new stations and the existing end station must meet the appropriate threshold multiplied by the number of stations. As an example, the BART to Livermore Proposed Project would require 7,700 units, or the BART housing threshold multiplied by two stations (Dublin/Pleasanton and Isabel). New below-market housing counts as 1.5 units for this calculation. As indicated in Table 11, the Proposed Project and DMU Alternative / EMU Option would meet the housing target. Table 11 – Resolution 3434 TOD Policy Housing Thresholds Dublin/Pleasanton Station Isabel Station Average for both Stations (2040) MTC Target Target Satisfied Existing (2015) Future (2040) Existing (2015) Future (2040) Conventional BART Project (BART) 924 5,003 565 4,831 4,917 3,850 Yes DMU Alternative (Commuter Rail) 924 5,003 565 4,831 4,917 2,200 Yes EMU Option (Light Rail) 924 5,003 565 4,831 4,917 3,300 Yes Note: MTC = Metropolitan Transportation Commission. The Express Bus/BRT Alternative and Enhanced Bus Alternative are not shown because neither of those alternatives physically extends the transit system. The DMU Alternative is classified as a Commuter Rail project type based on MTC’s classification of the East Contra Costa County BART extension as Commuter Rail. The DMU Alternative is similar to the East Contra Costa County BART extension, as both entail the operation of DMU vehicles in the median of a freeway. Sources: Housing units within ½ mile of the Dublin/Pleasanton Station (Existing and planned): CD+A, 2015. Housing units within ½ mile of the proposed Isabel Station (Existing): CD+A, 2015. Housing units within ½ mile of the proposed Isabel Station (Proposed): Szydlik, 2017. BART to Livermore Extension Proposed Project and Build Alternatives Evaluation Report 52 Under Resolution 3434, station area plans must be initiated by the local jurisdiction according to guidelines established in MTC’s Station Area Planning Manual. The INP is the station area plan that is associated with the Proposed Project; however, as stated earlier, compliance of the INP with Resolution 3434 TOD policy or MTC guidelines is not required because BART to Livermore is not a designated Resolution 3434 transit extension. Similarly, a Resolution 3434 corridor working group is not required for the BART to Livermore project, but the City of Livermore and BART have been coordinating their respective transit expansion and TOD planning efforts. BART to Livermore Extension Proposed Project and Build Alternatives Evaluation Report Appendix A – Project and Cumulative Results for the Proposed Project and Build Alternatives This appendix provides the results for a comprehensive set of metrics that were assessed under the project and cumulative scenarios for the Proposed Project and build alternatives. The project scenario assumes only background growth consistent with regional growth projections.16 The cumulative scenario also considers effects of probable future projects. Most significant of these are the Dublin/Pleasanton Station Parking Expansion, and the Isabel Neighborhood Plan (INP). The Dublin/Pleasanton Station Parking Expansion would increase the total available parking spaces at that station from 2,890 to 3,430.17 The City of Livermore is preparing the INP to guide future development around a potential Isabel Station. The draft plan consists of a mixed-use development with over 4,000 residential units, 1.6 million square feet of office space, and other commercial uses. The INP is being developed by the City of Livermore only for the Proposed Project. For the purposes of evaluation only, BART is assuming the INP would apply to the DMU Alternative / EMU Option. The City of Livermore has indicated this would reasonably characterize the maximum amount of development around the Isabel station under this alternative. The INP does not apply to the Express Bus / BRT Alternative because it does not include a new station, nor for the Enhanced Bus Alternative, which consists of minor bus infrastructure improvements. 16 From Plan Bay Area and SJCOG’s Regional Transportation Plan/Sustainable Communities Strategy 17 BART has expanded its consideration to include a variety of parking strategies to increase parking near the Dublin/Pleasanton and West Dublin/Pleasanton station. The results in this report are not substantially affected by the use of alternative parking strategies. Project Scenario Results 2040 Metric No Project Proposed Project - Conventional BART DMU/EMU Alternative Express Bus/BRT Alternative Enhanced Bus Alternative Ridership Development Plan/Market Demand Net New BART Systemwide Boardings BART Average Weekday Increase N/A 11,900 7,000 3,500 400 Source: EIR, Project Merits page 1495, Table 5-1 Net New Transit Trips (BART and all other transit) Transit Average Weekday Increase N/A 10,100 6,200 3,400 600 Source: BART to Livermore Ridership Projection, Cambridge Systematics, page 43, Table 18 Change in Systemwide Transit Boardings (other transit) Systemwide Average Weekday Boardings for ACE N/A (1,400) (900) (400) (100) Systemwide Average Weekday Boardings for LAVTA N/A (400) 200 2,200 500 Systemwide Average Weekday Boardings for SJRTD N/A (290) (290) (260) - Source: BART to Livermore Ridership Projection, Cambridge Systematics, page 43, Table 18 Ridership Threshold Number Calculated Using Isabel Station Boardings and Alightings, ranking based on BART SE Policy N/A Medium-High Low-Medium N/A N/A Source: BART to Livermore Ridership Projection, Cambridge Systematics, page 41, Figure 30, BART System Expansion Policy, page 18 Station Context (qualitative assessment) Transit-Orientated Development Potential and Patron Station Experience N/A Low Low N/A N/A Source: BART System Expansion Policy, page 19 Tri-Valley BART Station Daily Boarding West Dublin Pleasanton Station Daily Boarding 3,400 3,600 3,500 3,400 3,500 Dublin Pleasanton Station Daily Boarding 10,800 9,000 9,800 12,700 10,900 Isabel Station Daily Boarding N/A 8,100 4,800 N/A N/A All Stations Daily Boarding 14,200 20,700 18,100 16,100 14,400 Source: EIR, transportation page 293, Figure 3.B-22 Project Scenario Results 2040 Metric No Project Proposed Project - Conventional BART DMU/EMU Alternative Express Bus/BRT Alternative Enhanced Bus Alternative Regional Network Connectivity Regional transportation gap closure (qualitative assessment) Alternative closes a major regional transportation gap N/A Low Low Low Low Note: Metric from BART System Expansion Policy, page 22 Cost Total capital Total capital (2016 dollars) N/A $1,329,000,000 $1,300,000,000 / $1,353,000,000 $305,000,000 $21,000,000 Source: EIR, executive summary page 16, Table S-2 Total capital (YOE dollars) N/A $1,635,000,000 $1,599,000,000/ $1,665,000,000 $376,000,000 $25,000,000 Source: EIR, executive summary page 16, Table S-2 Annual O&M 2016 dollars N/A $22,800,000 $16,800,000/ $16,600,000 $3,000,000 $1,700,000 Source: EIR, executive summary page 17, Table S-3 Annual O&M Net of Fares Annual Rail O&M Net of Rail Fares Cost 2016$ N/A $410,000 $2,708,000 / $2,534,000 -$4,034,000 -$474,000 Annual Rail+Bus O&M Net of Rail + Bus Fares 2016$ N/A $2,643,000 $4,716,000 / $4,542,000 -$2,822,000 $1,039,000 Note: Annualization factor for revenue to daily X 290 days Annualized Replace and Rehab Cost 2016 dollars N/A $21,062,000 $18,817,000 / $19,395,000 $5,091,000 $330,000 Source: Arup, Cost Team Note: This cost does not include capital cost Annualized Lifecycle Costs 2016 dollars N/A $70,963,000 $62,117,000 / $63,607,000 $14,318,000 $2,464,000 Source: Arup, Cost Team Note: Lifecycle costs include capital cost + replace and rehab cost + operation and maintenance cost Project Scenario Results 2040 Metric No Project Proposed Project - Conventional BART DMU/EMU Alternative Express Bus/BRT Alternative Enhanced Bus Alternative Cost-Effectiveness Farebox Recovery Ratio Farebox Recovery Rail 2040 (2016 dollars) N/A 98% 82% / 83% 379% 1857% Farebox Recovery Rail+Bus 2040 (2016 dollars) N/A 88% 72% / 73% 193% 40% Source: Arup, based on revenue and O&M costs Lifecycle Costs per New BART Boarding in 2040 Lifecycle Cost per net new Annual BART Boardings 2016 $ N/A $20.56 $30.60 / $31.33 $14.11 $21.24 Note: Lifecycle cost +Replacement Cost + O&M Cost/ Annual BART Boardings Costs Net of Fares per New BART Boarding in 2040 Cost Net of Fares per net new Annual BART Boardings 2016 $ N/A $14.56 $24.60 / $25.33 $8.11 $15.24 Cost per Rider: Base Case N/A Medium Medium / Medium Medium High Medium Note: Metric from BART System Expansion Policy, page 20. Number adjusted from 2002 dollars to 2016 dollars Annual O&M cost per Net New BART Boarding in 2040 N/A $6.61 $8.28 / $8.18 $2.96 $14.66 System and Financial Capacity Enhances or minimizes demand on core system - Qualitative assessment: Yard/Support Facilities N/A High Medium Medium Medium Redundancy/Recover y Capabilities N/A Medium Low Low Low Station and Line Haul Capacity N/A Medium Medium Medium Medium Combined Summary Rating: N/A Medium High Low Medium Low Medium Low Medium Project Scenario Results 2040 Metric No Project Proposed Project - Conventional BART DMU/EMU Alternative Express Bus/BRT Alternative Enhanced Bus Alternative Capital finance plan (qualitative) Fully Funded Project N/A Not Fully Funded Not Fully Funded Fully Funded Fully Funded Stability, Reliability and Availability of proposed Funding Sources N/A High High High High Sources not competing for BART System renovation and Core System Capacity needs N/A High High High High Combined Summary Rating: N/A Medium Medium High High Operating finance plan (qualitative) Special fleet/maintenance requirements N/A High High High Medium Transit Supportive Land Use and Access Existing Densities Residential N/A Low Low Low Low Employment N/A Low Low Low Low Source: BLVX Model, Cambridge Systematics Existing Intermodal Connections Pedestrian N/A Low Low Low-Medium Low-Medium Bicycle N/A Low Low Low-Medium Low-Medium Transit N/A Low Low Medium Medium Land Use Plans and Policies Low Medium Medium-High Medium Low-Medium Low-Medium Note: Metric from BART System Expansion Policy, page 26 Parking Supply Net New Parking Spaces N/A 3,412 2,428 230 0 Source: EIR, project description page 80, Table 2-1 Tri- Valley BART Station Average Access Mode Share Drive and Park 43% 50% 46% 38% 42% Other 57% 50% 54% 62% 58% Project Scenario Results 2040 Metric No Project Proposed Project - Conventional BART DMU/EMU Alternative Express Bus/BRT Alternative Enhanced Bus Alternative Traveller Experience In Vehicle Crowding Red line: 106 (116) Yellow line: 109 (103) Green line: 113 (112) Blue line: 112 (115) Orange line: 88 (96) Tube: 108 (108) Red line: 106 (116) Yellow line: 109 (103) Green line: 113 (112) Blue line: 105 (109) Orange line: 90 (98) Tube: 107 (107) Red line: 106 (116) Yellow line: 109 (103) Green line: 113 (112) Blue line: 101 (104) Orange line: 89 (97) Tube: 106 (106) Red line: 106 (116) Yellow line: 109 (103) Green line: 113 (112) Blue line: 98 (100) Orange line: 88 (96) Tube: 106 (106) Red line: 106 (116) Yellow line: 109 (103) Green line: 113 (112) Blue line: 113 (115) Orange line: 88 (96) Tube: 108 (108) Source: Appendix B BART BLVX Operstat - 2040 spreadsheet Service Reliability N/A High High Medium Low Environmental GHG Emission Reduction reduction in metric tons of CO2 equivalents/year No Impact 11,200 3,500/ 6,000 3,700 No Benefit Source: EIR, project merits page 1495, Table 5-1 Air Quality Construction Impacts No No No No No Operational Impacts Yes No No No No Source: EIR, air quality, page 1128, Table 3.K-7 and Table 3.K-8 Energy Usage Reduction Regional Energy Consumption (million British Thermal Units/ year) No Impact 130,800 35,000/ 66,500 56,800 No Benefit Source: EIR, project merits page 1495, Table 5-1 Permanent Impact to Sensitive Habitat acres No Impact approx. 400 acres mitigation required. approx. 250 acres mitigation required. Approx. 7 acres mitigation required. No Impact Source: EIR, Biological resources page 881, Table 3.I-8 Permanent Impact to Waters/Wetlands acres No Impact 0.7 acres mitigation required 0.7 acres mitigation required 0.5 acres mitigation required No Impact Source: EIR, Biological resources page 881, Table 3.I-8 Project Scenario Results 2040 Metric No Project Proposed Project - Conventional BART DMU/EMU Alternative Express Bus/BRT Alternative Enhanced Bus Alternative Construction Noise Exceeds one or more noise threshold during construction (after mitigation) No Impact No No No No Source: EIR, Noise and Vibrations page 987, Table J-11 Operations Noise Exceeds one or more noise threshold during operations (after mitigation) No Impact No No No No Source: EIR, Noise and Vibrations page 985, Table J-11 Impact to Viewsheds No Impact Significant and Unavoidable, Highest Impact Among Alternatives Significant and Unavoidable, Highest Impact Among Alternatives Significant and Unavoidable, Less of an Impact compared to BART and DMU Alternative No Impact Source: EIR, Visual Quality page 582, Table 3.E-1 Community Impacts ROW impacts Acres (not including BART property) No Impact 147 102 10 No Impact Source: EIR, executive summary page 7, Table S-1 Equity Number of Low Income Households within Transit Catchment See Map See Map See Map See Map See Map Minority Population within Transit Catchment See Map See Map See Map See Map See Map Number of Limited English Proficiency Households within Transit Catchment See Map See Map See Map See Map See Map Impacts on Protected Populations Potentially High and Disproportionate Impacts None None None None None Source: Environmental Justice Technical Report BART to Livermore Extension Project, Parsons, 2017 Roadway Reduction in Regional Vehicle Miles Travelled (VMT) Average Weekday VMT Reduction N/A 244,000 140,600 92,600 6,500 Source: EIR, executive summary page 20, Table S-4 Project Scenario Results 2040 Metric No Project Proposed Project - Conventional BART DMU/EMU Alternative Express Bus/BRT Alternative Enhanced Bus Alternative Congestion (Change in AM peak Hour Delay in Seconds) Traffic Delay at Isabel Ave & Airway Blvd (no mitigation proposed) N/A 24 11 0 0 Traffic Delay at Dublin Blvd & Tassajara Dr (no mitigation proposed) N/A -10 -3 0 0 Traffic Delay at Dougherty Rd & Amador Valley Rd (Incl. mitigation) N/A See Note See Note See Note See Note Traffic Delay at Hopyard Rd & Owens Rd (no AM mitigation proposed) N/A 3 1 0 0 Source: EIR, Transportation page 433, table 3.B-69, Arup Synchro Results Master Spreadsheet Note: Dougherty Road and Amador Valley Road Delay not calculated with mitigation, Mitigation = EBR overlap phase in AM; mitigated calculated for worst case only (Conventional BART alternative, cumulative scenario). Other alternatives will have no significant impact after mitigation. Traffic Volume (Change in AM peak Hour Volume) Dublin Blvd east of Fallon Rd N/A EB: - 10 WB: - 460 EB: - 10 WB: - 150 EB: - 10 WB: 50 EB: 0 WB: -20 Airway Blvd west of Isabel Ave N/A EB: 300 WB: 10 EB: 160 WB: 30 EB: 20 WB: 0 EB: -20 WB: 10 Airway Blvd east of Isabel Ave N/A EB: 980 WB: 140 EB: 760 WB: 140 EB: 0 WB: 0 EB: 0 WB: 0 Dougherty north of Dublin Blvd N/A NB: 70 SB: 280 NB: 40 SB: 200 NB: 10 SB: 20 NB: 0 SB: 10 Source: EIR Synchro Model Highway Volume (Change in AM Westbound peak hour volumes) I-580 East of Greenville Road at Livermore Border N/A 173 122 36 32 I-580 at the Dublin- Livermore Border (between Fallon and Airway) N/A -254 -196 1 19 Source: EIR, Appendix F2 pages 1890 - 1905 Project Scenario Results 2040 Metric No Project Proposed Project - Conventional BART DMU/EMU Alternative Express Bus/BRT Alternative Enhanced Bus Alternative Screenline Volumes Screenline 1 (Livermore West Boarder) N/A -1017 -529 -47 -12 Screenline 2 (Livermore East Border) N/A 311 234 -11 -5 Note: Screenline 1: Change in peak hour WB volumes at Livermore West Border (I-580, Dublin Blvd, Stanley, Jack London, Vineyard Ave, Route 84); Screenline 2: Change in peak hour WB volumes on Livermore East Border (I-580, Altamont Pass, Patterson Pass Rd, Tesla Rd) Source: BLVX Model, Cambridge Systematics Cumulative Scenario Results 2040 Metric No Project Proposed Project - Conventional BART DMU/EMU Alternative Express Bus/BRT Alternative Enhanced Bus Alternative Ridership Development Plan/ Market Demand Net New BART Systemwide Boardings BART Average Weekday Increase N/A 13,400 8,300 4,800 1,800 Source: EIR, Project Merits page 1495, Table 5-1 Net New Transit Trips Transit Average Weekday Increase N/A 12,400 8,100 4,500 1,500 Source: BART to Livermore Ridership Projection, Cambridge Systematics, page 43, Table 18 Change in Systemwide Transit Boardings – other transit Systemwide Average Weekday Systemwide Boardings for ACE N/A (1,400) (1,000) (500) (200) Systemwide Average Weekday Systemwide Boardings for LAVTA N/A 700 1,000 2,000 (100) Systemwide Average Weekday Systemwide Boardings for SJRTD N/A (290) (290) (270) - Source: BART to Livermore Ridership Projection, Cambridge Systematics, page 43, Table 18 Ridership threshold Isabel Station Boardings and Alightings Threshold N/A Medium-High Low-Medium N/A N/A Note: Ranking based on BART SE Policy Source: BART to Livermore Ridership Projection, Cambridge Systematics, page 41, Figure 30, BART System Expansion Policy, page 18 Station Context (qualitative assessment) Transit- Orientated Development Potential and Patron Station Experience N/A Low Low N/A N/A Source: BART System Expansion Policy, page 19 Cumulative Scenario Results 2040 Metric No Project Proposed Project - Conventional BART DMU/EMU Alternative Express Bus/BRT Alternative Enhanced Bus Alternative Tri-Valley BART Station Daily Boarding: West Dublin Pleasanton Station Daily Boarding 3,400 3,600 3,500 3,500 3,500 Dublin Pleasanton Station Daily Boarding 10,800 10,000 10,500 13,300 11,600 Isabel Station Daily Boarding N/A 7,900 4,700 N/A N/A All Stations Daily Boarding 14,200 21,500 18,700 16,800 15,100 Source: EIR, transportation page 293, Figure 3.B-22 Regional Network Connectivity Regional transportation gap closure (qualitative assessment) Alternative closes a major regional transportation gap N/A Low Low Low Low Source: BART System Expansion Policy, page 22 Cost Total capital Total capital (2016 dollars) N/A $1,329,000,000 $1,300,000,000 / $1,353,000,000 $305,000,000 $21,000,000 Total capital (YOE dollars) N/A $1,635,000,000 $1,599,000,000 / $1,665,000,000 $376,000,000 $25,000,000 Source: EIR, executive summary page 16, Table S-2 Annual O&M 2016 dollars N/A $22,800,000 $16,800,000 / $16,600,000 $3,000,000 $1,700,000 Source: EIR, executive summary page 17, Table S-3 Annual O&M Net of Fares Annual Rail O&M Net of Rail Fares Cost N/A -$2,151,000 $650,000 / $476,000 -$6,183,000 -$2,689,000 Annual Rail+Bus O&M Net of Rail + Bus Fares N/A -$329,000 $2,360,000 / $2,186,000 -$4,880,000 -$952,000 Note: Annualization factor for revenue to daily X 290 days Annualized Replacement and Rehabilitation Cost 2016 dollars N/A $21,062,000 $18,817,000 / $19,395,000 $5,091,000 $330,000 Note: cost does not include capital cost Cumulative Scenario Results 2040 Metric No Project Proposed Project - Conventional BART DMU/EMU Alternative Express Bus/BRT Alternative Enhanced Bus Alternative Annualized Lifecycle Costs 2016 dollars N/A $70,963,000 $62,117,000 / $63,607,000 $14,318,000 $2,464,000 Note: Lifecycle costs include capital cost + replace and rehab cost + operation and maintenance cost Cost-Effectiveness Farebox Recovery Ratio Farebox Recovery Rail 2040 (2016 dollars) N/A 110% 96% / 97% 528% 10060% Farebox Recovery Rail+Bus 2040 (2016 dollars) N/A 101% 86% / 87% 260% 155% Source: Arup calculation based on revenue and O&M costs Lifecycle Costs per New BART Boarding in 2040 Lifecycle Cost per net new Annual BART Boardings 2016 $ N/A $18.26 $25.81 / $26.43 $10.29 $4.72 Note: Lifecycle cost +Replacement Cost + O&M Cost/ Annual BART Boardings Costs Net of Fares per New BART Boarding in 2040 Cost Net of Fares per net new Annual BART Boardings 2016 $ N/A $12.26 $19.81 / $20.43 $4.29 -$1.28 Cost per Rider: with TOD N/A Medium-High Medium/ Medium N/A N/A Note: BART System Expansion Policy, page 20. Number adjusted from 2002 dollars to 2016 dollars Annual O&M cost per Net New BART Boarding in 2040 N/A $5.87 $6.98 / $6.90 $2.16 $3.26 System and Financial Capacity Enhances or minimizes demand on core system - Qualitative assessment: Yard/Support Facilities N/A High Medium Medium Medium Redundancy/Reco very Capabilities N/A Medium Low Low Low Station and Line Haul Capacity N/A Medium Medium Medium Medium Combined Summary Rating: N/A Medium High Low Medium Low Medium Low Medium Cumulative Scenario Results 2040 Metric No Project Proposed Project - Conventional BART DMU/EMU Alternative Express Bus/BRT Alternative Enhanced Bus Alternative Capital finance plan (qualitative) Fully Funded Project N/A Not Fully Funded Not Fully Funded Fully Funded Fully Funded Stability, Reliability and Availability of proposed Funding Sources N/A High High High High Sources not competing for BART System renovation and Core System Capacity needs N/A High High High High Combined Summary Rating: N/A Medium Medium High High Operating finance plan (qualitative) Special fleet/maintenance requirements N/A High High High Medium Transit Supportive Land Use and Access Existing Densities Residential N/A Low Low Low Low Employment N/A Low Low Low Low Source: BLVX Model, Cambridge Systematics Existing Intermodal Connections Pedestrian N/A Low Low Low-Medium Low-Medium Bicycle N/A Low Low Low-Medium Low-Medium Transit N/A Low Low Medium Medium Land Use Plans and Policies Low Medium Medium-High Medium Low-Medium Low-Medium Note: Metric from BART System Expansion Policy, page 26 Parking Supply Net New Parking Spaces N/A 3,952 2,968 770 540 Source: EIR, project Description page 80, Table 2-1 Tri- Valley BART Station Average Access Mode Share Drive and Park 43% 49% 46% 41% 46% Other 57% 51% 54% 59% 54% Cumulative Scenario Results 2040 Metric No Project Proposed Project - Conventional BART DMU/EMU Alternative Express Bus/BRT Alternative Enhanced Bus Alternative Traveller Experience In Vehicle Crowding Peak Hour Load/car at max load point AM (PM) Red line: 106 (116) Yellow line: 109 (103) Green line: 113 (112) Blue line: 112 (115) Orange line: 88 (96) Tube: 108 (108) Red line: 106 (116) Yellow line: 109 (103) Green line: 113 (112) Blue line: 108 (112) Orange line: 90 (98) Tube: 108 (108) NA NA NA Source: "Appendix B BART BLVX Operstat - 2040" spreadsheet Service Reliability N/A High High Medium Low Environmental GHG Emission Reduction reduction in metric tons of CO2 equivalents/year No Impact 11,200 3,500/ 6,000 3,700 No Benefit Source: EIR, project merits page 1495, Table 5-1 Air Quality Construction Impacts No Yes Yes No No Operational Impacts Yes Yes Yes No No Source: EIR, air quality, page 1128, Table 3.K-7 and 3.K-8 Energy Usage Reduction Regional Energy Consumption (million British Thermal Units/ year) No Impact 155,900 55,900 / 87,500 74,600 9,600 Source: EIR, project merits page 1495, Table 5-1 Permanent Impact to Sensitive Habitat acres No Impact approx. 400 acres mitigation required. approx. 250 acres mitigation required. Approx. 7 acres mitigation required. No Impact Source: EIR, Biological resources page 881, Table 3.1-8 Permanent Impact to Waters/Wetlands acres No Impact 0.7 acres mitigation required 0.7 acres mitigation required 0.5 acres mitigation required No Impact Source: EIR, Biological resources page 881, Table 3.I-8 Cumulative Scenario Results 2040 Metric No Project Proposed Project - Conventional BART DMU/EMU Alternative Express Bus/BRT Alternative Enhanced Bus Alternative Construction Noise Exceeds one or more noise threshold during construction (after mitigation) No Impact No No No No Source: EIR, Noise and Vibrations page 987, Table J-11 Operations Noise Exceeds one or more noise threshold during operations (after mitigation) No Impact No No No No Source: EIR, Noise and Vibrations page 985, Table J-11 Impact to Viewsheds No Impact Significant and Unavoidable, Highest Impact Among Alternatives Significant and Unavoidable, Highest Impact Among Alternatives Significant and Unavoidable, Less of an Impact compared to BART and DMU Alternative No Impact Source: EIR, Visual Quality page 582, Table 3.E-1 Community Impacts ROW Impacts acres (not including BART property) No Impact 147 102 10 No Impact Source: EIR, executive summary page 7, Table S-1 Equity Number of Low Income Households within Transit Catchment See Map See Map See Map See Map See Map Minority Population with Transit Catchment See Map See Map See Map See Map See Map Number of Limited English Proficiency Households within Transit Catchment See Map See Map See Map See Map See Map Impacts on Protected Populations Potentially High and Disproportionate Impacts None None None None None Source: Source: Environmental Justice Technical Report BART to Livermore Extension Project, Parsons, 2017 Roadway Reduction in Regional Vehicle Miles Travelled (VMT) Average Weekday VMT Reduction N/A 272,700 164,500 112,900 26,800 Source: EIR, executive summary page 20, Table S-4 Cumulative Scenario Results 2040 Metric No Project Proposed Project - Conventional BART DMU/EMU Alternative Express Bus/BRT Alternative Enhanced Bus Alternative Congestion (Change in AM peak Hour Delay in Seconds) Traffic Delay at Isabel Ave & Airway Blvd (no mitigation proposed) N/A 43 29 0 0 Traffic Delay at Dublin Blvd & Tassajara Dr (no mitigation proposed) N/A -5 -4 0 0 Traffic Delay at Dougherty Rd & Amador Valley Rd (Incl. mitigation) N/A -7 see note see note see note Traffic Delay at Hopyard Rd & Owens Rd (no AM mitigation proposed) N/A -4 -4 -6 -7 Source: EIR, Transportation page 433, table 3.B-69, Arup Synchro Results Master Spreadsheet Note: Dougherty Road and Amador Valley Road Delay not calculated with mitigation, Mitigation = EBR overlap phase in AM; mitigated calculated for worst case only (Conventional BART alternative, cumulative scenario). Other alternatives will have no significant impact after mitigation. Traffic Volume (Change in AM peak Hour Volume) Dublin Blvd east of Fallon Rd N/A EB: 10 WB: -300 EB: 10 WB: -240 EB: 0 WB: -10 EB: 10 WB: -10 Airway Blvd west of Isabel Ave N/A EB: 380 WB: 70 EB: 280 WB: 70 EB: -10 WB: 10 EB: -20 WB: 10 Airway Blvd east of Isabel Ave N/A EB: 670 WB: 250 EB: 670 WB: 180 EB: 0 WB: 0 EB: 0 WB: 20 Dougherty north of Dublin Blvd N/A NB: 60 SB: 310 NB: 40 SB: 250 NB: 10 SB: 30 NB: 10 SB: 40 Source: EIR Synchro Model, Arup Highway Volume (Change in AM Westbound peak hour volumes) I-580 East of Greenville Road at Livermore Border N/A 264 172 35 32 I-580 at the Dublin-Livermore Border (between Fallon and Airway) N/A -253 -139 24 19 Source: EIR, Appendix F2 pages 1890 - 1905 Cumulative Scenario Results 2040 Metric No Project Proposed Project - Conventional BART DMU/EMU Alternative Express Bus/BRT Alternative Enhanced Bus Alternative Screenline Volumes Screenline 1 (Livermore West Boarder) N/A -556 -505 26 30 Screenline 2 (Livermore East Border) N/A 474 405 19 16 Note: Screenline 1: Change in peak hour WB volumes at Livermore West Border (I-580, Dublin Blvd, Stanley, Jack London, Vineyard Ave, Route 84); Screenline 2: Change in peak hour WB volumes on Livermore East Border (I-580, Altamont Pass, Patterson Pass Rd, Tesla Rd) Source: BLVX Model, Cambridge Systematics BART to Livermore Extension Proposed Project and Build Alternatives Evaluation Report Appendix B – Summary of Significant Impacts – BART to Livermore Extension Draft Project EIR JULY 2017 BART TO LIVERMORE EXTENSION PROJECT EIR SUMMARY 27 TABLE S-5 SUMMARY OF SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS Impact Summary No P r o j e c t Al t e r n a t i v e Co n v e n t i o n a l BA R T P r o j e c t DM U A l t e r n a t i v e EM U O p t i o n Ex p r e s s B u s / B R T Al t e r n a t i v e En h a n c e d B u s Al t e r n a t i v e Mitigation Measure Title Impact Significance after Mitigation 3.B TRANSPORTATION Impact TRAN-1: Result in a significant delay, safety hazard, or diminished access during construction     Mitigation Measure TRAN-1: Develop and Implement a Construction Phasing and Traffic Management Plan LSM Impact TRAN-3: General-purpose lane freeway segments operating at unacceptable LOS, under 2025 Project Conditions     No feasible mitigation measures SU Impact TRAN-4: General-purpose lane freeway segments operating at unacceptable LOS, under 2040 Project Conditions    No feasible mitigation measures SU Impact TRAN-5: HOV/express lane freeway segments operating at unacceptable LOS, under 2025 Project Conditions   No feasible mitigation measures SU BART TO LIVERMORE EXTENSION PROJECT EIR JULY 2017 SUMMARY 28 TABLE S-5 SUMMARY OF SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS Impact Summary No P r o j e c t Al t e r n a t i v e Co n v e n t i o n a l BA R T P r o j e c t DM U A l t e r n a t i v e EM U O p t i o n Ex p r e s s B u s / B R T Al t e r n a t i v e En h a n c e d B u s Al t e r n a t i v e Mitigation Measure Title Impact Significance after Mitigation Impact TRAN-7: Intersections operating at unacceptable LOS, under 2025 Project Conditions     Mitigation Measure TRAN-7a: Improvements for Intersections #2, #5, #39, and #48 under 2025 Project Conditions (Conventional BART Project ) Mitigation Measure TRAN-7b: Improvements for Intersections #2, #5, and #48 under 2025 Project Conditions (DMU Alternative/EMU Option) Mitigation Measure TRAN-7c: Improvements for Intersection #48 under 2025 Project Conditions (Express Bus/BRT Alternative) LSM (Express Bus/BRT Alternative) SU (Conventional BART and DMU Alternative/EMU Option) Impact TRAN-8: Intersections operating at unacceptable LOS, under 2040 Project Conditions     Mitigation Measure TRAN-8a: Improvements for Intersections #1, #2, #5, #35, #39, #45, #48, and #50 under 2040 Project Conditions (Conventional BART Project) Mitigation Measure TRAN-8b: Improvements for Intersections #1, #2, #5, and #48 under 2040 Project Conditions (DMU Alternative/EMU Option) Mitigation Measure TRAN-8c: Improvements for Intersection #5 under 2040 Project Conditions (Express Bus/BRT Alternative) SU JULY 2017 BART TO LIVERMORE EXTENSION PROJECT EIR SUMMARY 29 TABLE S-5 SUMMARY OF SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS Impact Summary No P r o j e c t Al t e r n a t i v e Co n v e n t i o n a l BA R T P r o j e c t DM U A l t e r n a t i v e EM U O p t i o n Ex p r e s s B u s / B R T Al t e r n a t i v e En h a n c e d B u s Al t e r n a t i v e Mitigation Measure Title Impact Significance after Mitigation Impact TRAN-16(CU): General- purpose lane freeway segments operating at unacceptable LOS, under 2040 Cumulative Conditions    No feasible mitigation measures SU Impact TRAN-19(CU): Intersections operating at unacceptable LOS, under 2025 Cumulative Conditions      Mitigation Measure TRAN-19a: Improvements for Intersections #5, #38, #39, and #48 under 2025 Cumulative Conditions (Conventional BART Project) Mitigation Measure TRAN-19b: Improvements for Intersections #2, #5, #48, and #50 under 2025 Cumulative Conditions (DMU Alternative/EMU Option) Mitigation Measure TRAN-19c: Improvements for Intersection #2 under 2025 Cumulative Conditions (Express Bus/BRT Alternative) Mitigation Measure TRAN-19d: Improvements for Intersection #48 and #50 under 2025 Cumulative Conditions (Enhanced Bus Alternative) LSM (Express Bus/BRT Alternative and Enhanced Bus Alternative) SU (Conventional BART and DMU Alternative/EMU Option) BART TO LIVERMORE EXTENSION PROJECT EIR JULY 2017 SUMMARY 30 TABLE S-5 SUMMARY OF SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS Impact Summary No P r o j e c t Al t e r n a t i v e Co n v e n t i o n a l BA R T P r o j e c t DM U A l t e r n a t i v e EM U O p t i o n Ex p r e s s B u s / B R T Al t e r n a t i v e En h a n c e d B u s Al t e r n a t i v e Mitigation Measure Title Impact Significance after Mitigation Impact TRAN-20(CU): Intersections operating at unacceptable LOS, under 2040 Cumulative Conditions      Mitigation Measure TRAN-20a: Improvements for Intersections #1, #2, #17, #35, #38, #39, #45, #48, and #50 under 2040 Cumulative Conditions (Conventional BART Project) Mitigation Measure TRAN-20b: Improvements for Intersections #1, #2, #5, #17, #35, #39, #48, and #50 under 2040 Cumulative Conditions (DMU Alternative/EMU Option) Mitigation Measure TRAN-20c: Improvements for Intersections #1, #2, #5, and #50 under 2040 Cumulative Conditions (Express Bus/BRT Alternative) Mitigation Measure TRAN-20d: Improvements for Intersections #1, #2, #5, #17, and #50 under 2040 Cumulative Conditions (Enhanced Bus Alternative) SU 3.C LAND USE AND AGRICULTURAL RESOURCES Impact AG-1: Directly convert Farmland    Mitigation Measure AG-1: Provide Compensatory Farmland under Permanent Protection SU Impact AG-3: Conflict with zoning for agricultural use    See Mitigation Measure AG-1 (above) SU Impact AG-5(CU): Convert or result in conversion of Farmland    No feasible mitigation measures SU JULY 2017 BART TO LIVERMORE EXTENSION PROJECT EIR SUMMARY 31 TABLE S-5 SUMMARY OF SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS Impact Summary No P r o j e c t Al t e r n a t i v e Co n v e n t i o n a l BA R T P r o j e c t DM U A l t e r n a t i v e EM U O p t i o n Ex p r e s s B u s / B R T Al t e r n a t i v e En h a n c e d B u s Al t e r n a t i v e Mitigation Measure Title Impact Significance after Mitigation 3.D POPULATION AND HOUSING Impact PH-2: Displace substantial numbers of existing housing or people necessitating the construction of replacement housing elsewhere    Mitigation Measure PH-2: Acquisition of Property and Relocation Assistance LSM Impact PH-3: Displace substantial numbers of existing businesses     See Mitigation Measure PH-2 (above) LSM 3.E VISUAL QUALITY Impact VQ-1: Substantially degrade the existing visual quality or create a new source of substantial light or glare during construction     Mitigation Measure VQ-1.A: Visually Screen Staging Areas Mitigation Measure VQ-1.B: Minimize Light Spillover During Construction LSM Impact VQ-3: Substantially degrade the existing visual quality    Mitigation Measure VQ-3.A: Design Sound Wall with Architectural Treatments Mitigation Measure VQ-3.B: Design Parking Garage with Architectural Treatments Mitigation Measure VQ-3.C: Screen Storage and Maintenance Facility SU Impact VQ-4: Have a substantial adverse effect on a scenic vista    No feasible mitigation measures SU Impact VQ-5: Substantially damage scenic resources within State scenic highway     Mitigation Measure VQ-5: Revegetate Areas of Removed Landscaping SU BART TO LIVERMORE EXTENSION PROJECT EIR JULY 2017 SUMMARY 32 TABLE S-5 SUMMARY OF SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS Impact Summary No P r o j e c t Al t e r n a t i v e Co n v e n t i o n a l BA R T P r o j e c t DM U A l t e r n a t i v e EM U O p t i o n Ex p r e s s B u s / B R T Al t e r n a t i v e En h a n c e d B u s Al t e r n a t i v e Mitigation Measure Title Impact Significance after Mitigation Impact VQ-6: Create a new source of substantial light or glare     Mitigation Measure VQ-6: Design and Install Lighting Fixtures to Reduce Spillover LSM (Express Bus/BRT Alternative) SU (Conventional BART and DMU Alternative/EMU Option) Impact VQ-7(CU): Have a substantial visual impact under Cumulative Conditions     No feasible mitigation measures SU 3.F CULTURAL RESOURCES Impact CUL-2: Cause a substantial adverse change in the significance of an archaeological resource      Mitigation Measure CUL-2.A: Archaeological Resources Investigation for the Cayetano Creek Area (Conventional BART Project and DMU Alternative/EMU Option) Mitigation Measure CUL-2.B: Discovery of Previously Unknown Archaeological Resources (Conventional BART Project, DMU Alternative/EMU Option, Express Bus/BRT Alternative, and Enhanced Bus Alternative) LSM Impact CUL-3: Disturb any human remains      Mitigation Measure CUL-3: Discovery of Previously Unknown Human Remains LSM JULY 2017 BART TO LIVERMORE EXTENSION PROJECT EIR SUMMARY 33 TABLE S-5 SUMMARY OF SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS Impact Summary No P r o j e c t Al t e r n a t i v e Co n v e n t i o n a l BA R T P r o j e c t DM U A l t e r n a t i v e EM U O p t i o n Ex p r e s s B u s / B R T Al t e r n a t i v e En h a n c e d B u s Al t e r n a t i v e Mitigation Measure Title Impact Significance after Mitigation Impact CUL-4(CU): Cause a substantial adverse change in the significance of a historical resource, archaeological resources, or disturb human remains under Cumulative Conditions      See Mitigation Measure CUL-2.A, CUL-2.B , and CUL-3 (above) SU 3.G GEOLOGY, SOILS, SEISMICITY, MINERAL, AND PALEONTOLOGICAL RESOURCES Impact PALEO-1: Loss of paleontological resources     Mitigation Measure PALEO-1A: Surface Paleontological Survey of the Cayetano Creek Area (Conventional BART Project and DMU Alternative/EMU Option) Mitigation Measure PALEO-1B: Paleontological Monitoring (Conventional BART Project, DMU Alternative/EMU Option, and Express Bus/BRT Alternative) Mitigation Measure PALEO-1C: Discovery of Previously Unknown Paleontological Resources (Conventional BART Project, DMU Alternative/EMU Option, and Express Bus/BRT Alternative) LSM Impact GEO-5: Fault rupture  Mitigation Measure GEO-5: Geotechnical Investigation of the Cayetano Creek Area and Development of Project Design Features LSM BART TO LIVERMORE EXTENSION PROJECT EIR JULY 2017 SUMMARY 34 TABLE S-5 SUMMARY OF SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS Impact Summary No P r o j e c t Al t e r n a t i v e Co n v e n t i o n a l BA R T P r o j e c t DM U A l t e r n a t i v e EM U O p t i o n Ex p r e s s B u s / B R T Al t e r n a t i v e En h a n c e d B u s Al t e r n a t i v e Mitigation Measure Title Impact Significance after Mitigation 3.H HYDROLOGY AND WATER QUALITY Impact HYD-5: Substantially alter drainage patterns – erosion, sedimentation, flooding     Mitigation Measure HYD-5: Hydraulic Capacity for Non-Flood Hazard Area Crossings LSM Impact HYD-9: Impede or redirect flood flows within a 100-year flood hazard area     Mitigation Measure HYD-9: Floodway Hydraulic Analysis LSM 3.I BIOLOGICAL RESOURCES Impact BIO-1: Adversely affect special-status plants, either directly or through habitat modifications     Mitigation Measure BIO-1.A: Botanical Surveys for Areas Not Previously Surveyed and Refinement of Project Design Mitigation Measure BIO-1.B: Salvage and Relocation of Rare Plants that Cannot be Avoided LSM Impact BIO-2: Adversely affect vernal pool fairy shrimp and longhorn fairy shrimp    Mitigation Measure BIO-2: Consult with USFWS and Reduce Impacts on Vernal Pool Invertebrates and Their Habitat in the I-580 Corridor Area (north of Croak Road) and Cayetano Creek Area LSM JULY 2017 BART TO LIVERMORE EXTENSION PROJECT EIR SUMMARY 35 TABLE S-5 SUMMARY OF SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS Impact Summary No P r o j e c t Al t e r n a t i v e Co n v e n t i o n a l BA R T P r o j e c t DM U A l t e r n a t i v e EM U O p t i o n Ex p r e s s B u s / B R T Al t e r n a t i v e En h a n c e d B u s Al t e r n a t i v e Mitigation Measure Title Impact Significance after Mitigation Impact BIO-3: Adversely affect California tiger salamander and California red-legged frog     Mitigation Measure BIO-3.A: Consult with USFWS, Survey Potential Habitat, and Reduce Impacts on Special-status Amphibians during Construction Mitigation Measure BIO-3.B: Provide Compensatory Habitat to Mitigate for the Loss and Disturbance of CTS and CRLF Habitat Mitigation Measure BIO-3.C: General Measures for Biological Resources Protection during Construction LSM Impact BIO-4: Adversely affect western spadefoot    Mitigation Measure BIO-4: Preconstruction Survey and Avoidance Measures for the Western Spadefoot LSM Impact BIO-5: Adversely affect western pond turtle     Mitigation Measure BIO-5: Preconstruction Surveys and Relocation of Western Pond Turtle LSM Impact BIO-6: Adversely affect western burrowing owl     Mitigation Measure BIO-6.A: Preconstruction Surveys for Burrowing Owl (Conventional BART Project, DMU Alternative/EMU Option, and Express Bus/BRT Alternative) Mitigation Measure BIO-6.B: Off-site Compensatory Habitat for Burrowing Owl (Conventional BART Project and DMU Alternative/EMU Option) LSM BART TO LIVERMORE EXTENSION PROJECT EIR JULY 2017 SUMMARY 36 TABLE S-5 SUMMARY OF SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS Impact Summary No P r o j e c t Al t e r n a t i v e Co n v e n t i o n a l BA R T P r o j e c t DM U A l t e r n a t i v e EM U O p t i o n Ex p r e s s B u s / B R T Al t e r n a t i v e En h a n c e d B u s Al t e r n a t i v e Mitigation Measure Title Impact Significance after Mitigation Impact BIO-7: Adversely affect nesting raptors and other nesting birds      Mitigation Measure BIO-7: Identify and Avoid Active Nesting Birds during Nesting Season LSM Impact BIO-8: Adversely affect special-status bats     Mitigation Measure BIO-8: Preconstruction Surveys and Avoidance Measures for Pallid Bat LSM Impact BIO-9: Adversely affect American badger    Mitigation Measure BIO-9: Preconstruction Surveys and Avoidance Measures for American Badger LSM Impact BIO-10: Adversely affect San Joaquin kit fox     Mitigation Measure BIO-10.A: Preconstruction Surveys and Avoidance Measures for the San Joaquin Kit Fox (Conventional BART Project and DMU Alternative/EMU Option) Mitigation Measure BIO-10.B: Provide Compensatory Habitat to Mitigate for the Loss and Disturbance of San Joaquin Kit Fox Habitat (Conventional BART Project and DMU Alternative/EMU Option) See Mitigation Measure BIO-3.C above (Express Bus/BRT Alternative) LSM Impact BIO-11: Have a substantial adverse effect on State or federally protected wetlands or waters     Mitigation Measure BIO-11.A: Avoid and Minimize Impacts to Wetlands, Waters of the U.S. and/or Waters of the State Mitigation Measure BIO-11.B: Compensatory Mitigation for Wetlands, Waters of the U.S. and/or Waters of the State LSM JULY 2017 BART TO LIVERMORE EXTENSION PROJECT EIR SUMMARY 37 TABLE S-5 SUMMARY OF SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS Impact Summary No P r o j e c t Al t e r n a t i v e Co n v e n t i o n a l BA R T P r o j e c t DM U A l t e r n a t i v e EM U O p t i o n Ex p r e s s B u s / B R T Al t e r n a t i v e En h a n c e d B u s Al t e r n a t i v e Mitigation Measure Title Impact Significance after Mitigation Impact BIO-12: Have a substantial adverse effect on riparian habitat or sensitive natural communities     Mitigation Measure BIO-12.A: Identify and Avoid Sensitive Natural Communities Mitigation Measure BIO-12.B: Compensate for Impacts to CDFW-regulated Sensitive Upland Plant Communities LSM Impact BIO-15: Result in loss of protected tees identified in local policies or ordinances     Mitigation Measure BIO-15: Conduct an Inventory of Protected Trees, Protect Trees that Remain, and Plant Replacement Trees LSM Impact BIO-16(CU): Adversely affect species identified as a candidate, sensitive, or special-status under Cumulative Conditions    No additional mitigation measures beyond those identified for project impacts SU 3.J NOISE AND VIBRATION Impact NOI-1: Expose persons to or generate noise or vibration levels in excess of standards during construction     Mitigation Measure NOI-1: Limit Construction Hours and Methods for Pile Driving and Other Construction Activities LSM Impact NOI-5: Result in a substantial permanent increase in ambient noise levels from roadway realignment and traffic distribution in the project vicinity under 2025 Project Conditions    Mitigation Measure NOI-5: Construct Noise Barrier along Airway Boulevard LSM BART TO LIVERMORE EXTENSION PROJECT EIR JULY 2017 SUMMARY 38 TABLE S-5 SUMMARY OF SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS Impact Summary No P r o j e c t Al t e r n a t i v e Co n v e n t i o n a l BA R T P r o j e c t DM U A l t e r n a t i v e EM U O p t i o n Ex p r e s s B u s / B R T Al t e r n a t i v e En h a n c e d B u s Al t e r n a t i v e Mitigation Measure Title Impact Significance after Mitigation Impact NOI-6: Result in a substantial permanent increase in ambient noise levels from roadway realignment and traffic distribution in the project vicinity under 2040 Project Conditions    See Mitigation Measure NOI-5 (above) LSM Impact NOI-7: Expose persons to or generate excessive groundborne vibration or groundborne noise levels under 2025 and 2040 Project Conditions  Mitigation Measure NOI-7: Vibration-Reducing Design Elements LSM 3.K AIR QUALITY Impact AQ-1: Result in potentially significant, localized dust-related air quality impacts during construction      Mitigation Measure AQ-1: BAAQMD Construction Best Management Practices LSM Impact AQ-2: Generate emissions of NOx, PM, and ROGs exceeding BAAQMD significance thresholds during construction    Mitigation Measure AQ-2: Construction Emissions Reduction Plan – for Mitigating Mass Emissions for NOx LSM Impact AQ-3: Generate TAC and PM 2.5 emissions that result in health risks above the BAAQMD significance thresholds during construction     Mitigation Measure AQ-3: Construction Emissions Reduction Plan – for Mitigating Cancer Risk LSM JULY 2017 BART TO LIVERMORE EXTENSION PROJECT EIR SUMMARY 39 TABLE S-5 SUMMARY OF SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS Impact Summary No P r o j e c t Al t e r n a t i v e Co n v e n t i o n a l BA R T P r o j e c t DM U A l t e r n a t i v e EM U O p t i o n Ex p r e s s B u s / B R T Al t e r n a t i v e En h a n c e d B u s Al t e r n a t i v e Mitigation Measure Title Impact Significance after Mitigation Impact AQ-7(CU): Generate TAC and PM 2.5 emissions that result in health risks above the BAAQMD significance thresholds during construction under Cumulative Conditions    See Mitigation Measure AQ-3 (above) SU Impact AQ-12: Result in increased emissions of TACs and PM 2.5 , resulting in increased health risk above BAAQMD significance thresholds under 2040 Project Conditions  Not applicable S Impact AQ-18(CU): Result in increased emissions of TACs and PM 2.5 , resulting in increased health risk above BAAQMD significance thresholds under 2025 Cumulative Conditions     No feasible mitigation measures SU Impact AQ-19(CU): Result in increased emissions of TACs and PM 2.5 , resulting in increased health risk above BAAQMD significance thresholds under 2040 Cumulative Conditions     No feasible mitigation measures S (No Project Alternative) SU (Conventional BART and DMU Alternative /EMU Option) BART TO LIVERMORE EXTENSION PROJECT EIR JULY 2017 SUMMARY 40 TABLE S-5 SUMMARY OF SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS Impact Summary No P r o j e c t Al t e r n a t i v e Co n v e n t i o n a l BA R T P r o j e c t DM U A l t e r n a t i v e EM U O p t i o n Ex p r e s s B u s / B R T Al t e r n a t i v e En h a n c e d B u s Al t e r n a t i v e Mitigation Measure Title Impact Significance after Mitigation 3.L GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS Impact GHG-3: Generate GHG emissions, either directly or indirectly, above BAAQMD significance thresholds, or conflict with plans, policies, or regulations that reduce GHG emissions, under 2025 Project Conditions  Mitigation Measure GHG-3: Obtain Carbon Offsets For Bus Emissions LSM Impact GHG-4: Generate GHG emissions, either directly or indirectly, above BAAQMD significance thresholds, or conflict with plans, policies, or regulations that reduce GHG emissions, under 2040 Project Conditions  Not applicable S Impact GHG-6(CU): Generate GHG emissions, either directly or indirectly, above BAAQMD significance thresholds, or conflict with plans, policies, or regulations that reduce GHG emissions under 2040 Cumulative Conditions  Not applicable S JULY 2017 BART TO LIVERMORE EXTENSION PROJECT EIR SUMMARY 41 TABLE S-5 SUMMARY OF SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS Impact Summary No P r o j e c t Al t e r n a t i v e Co n v e n t i o n a l BA R T P r o j e c t DM U A l t e r n a t i v e EM U O p t i o n Ex p r e s s B u s / B R T Al t e r n a t i v e En h a n c e d B u s Al t e r n a t i v e Mitigation Measure Title Impact Significance after Mitigation 3.M ENERGY Impact EN-3: Result in wasteful, inefficient, or unnecessary consumption of energy, under 2025 Project Conditions  Mitigation Measure EN-3: Incorporate Renewable Energy Features SU Impact EN-4: Result in wasteful, inefficient, or unnecessary consumption of energy, under 2040 Project Conditions   See Mitigation Measure EN-3 (above) S (No Project Alternative) SU (Enhanced Bus Alternative) Impact EN-6(CU): Result in wasteful, inefficient, or unnecessary consumption of energy, under 2040 Cumulative Conditions  Not applicable S 3.N PUBLIC HEALTH AND SAFETY Impact PHS-1: Create a potential public or environmental health hazard; undue potential risk for health -related accidents; or result in a safety hazard for people residing or working in the project area during construction      Mitigation Measure PHS-1.A: Prepare Phase I ESA and Phase II ESA, as Necessary Mitigation Measure PHS-1.B: Soil Management Plan Mitigation Measure PHS-1.C: Hazardous Materials and Hazardous Waste Management Plan Mitigation Measure PHS-1.D: Fueling Procedures during Construction Mitigation Measure PHS-1.E: Emergency Response Plan during Construction LSM BART TO LIVERMORE EXTENSION PROJECT EIR JULY 2017 SUMMARY 42 TABLE S-5 SUMMARY OF SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS Impact Summary No P r o j e c t Al t e r n a t i v e Co n v e n t i o n a l BA R T P r o j e c t DM U A l t e r n a t i v e EM U O p t i o n Ex p r e s s B u s / B R T Al t e r n a t i v e En h a n c e d B u s Al t e r n a t i v e Mitigation Measure Title Impact Significance after Mitigation Impact PHS-2: Physically interfere with an adopted emergency response or evacuation plan during construction     See Mitigation Measure TRAN-1 (above) LSM 3.O COMMUNITY SERVICES Impact CS-1: Need for new or physically altered governmental facilities to maintain acceptable service ratios, response times, or other performance objectives for police, fire, and emergency response during construction     See Mitigation Measure TRAN-1 (above) LSM 3.P UTILITIES Impact UTIL-1: Substantially disrupt utility services, including power, natural gas, communications, drinking water supplies, wastewater transport, or stormwater transport, during construction activities     UTIL-1.A: Restrict Service Interruptions to Off-Peak Periods UTIL-1.B: Arrange Temporary Backup Service UTIL-1.C: Notify Customers of Service Interruptions LSM Notes: LSM=Less-than-Significant impact with mitigation; S=Significant impact of No Project Alternative (mitigation is inapplicable); SU=Significant and unavoidable, even with mitigation or no feasible mitigation available. DMU = diesel multiple unit; EMU = electrical multiple unit; BRT = bus rapid transit; LOS = level of service; USFWS = United States Fish and Wildlife Service; CTS = California tiger salamander; CRLF = California red-legged frog; BUOW = burrowing owl; SJKF = San Joaquin kit fox; NOx = nitrogen oxides; PM = particulate matter; ROG = reactive organic gas; BAAQMD = Bay Area Air Quality Management District; TAC = toxic air contaminant; PM 25 = fine particulate matter less than 2.5 microns in diameter; GHG = greenhouse gas. BART to Livermore Extension Proposed Project and Build Alternatives Evaluation Report Appendix C – Air Quality Emissions The operational emissions for the Proposed Project and build alternatives are shown in Table C-1 (average net daily emissions) and Table C-2 (net annual emissions). The Proposed Project and alternatives would not result in significant impacts related to emissions of Reactive Organic Gases (ROGs), Nitrogen Oxides (NOx) and Particulate Matter (PM) in 2040, and no mitigation measures are required. In 2040, the Proposed Project would result in a net reduction in VMT for passenger vehicles compared to the 2040 No Project Conditions. The passenger vehicles would also have fewer emissions due to the California Air Resource Board’s (CARB’s) requirements for cleaner vehicles in 2040. Thus, there would be a net reduction in emissions for PM10 and PM2.5 for passenger vehicles. Buses also would have lower emissions in 2040, consistent with regulatory requirements. The DMU Alternative would also have reductions in PM10 and PM2.5 compared to the No Project Alternative, but these reductions would not be as great as the Proposed Project. The emissions for the EMU Option would be slightly lower than the DMU Alternative, as EMU vehicles have no direct emissions. The Express Bus / BRT Alternative would have lower ROG emissions compared to the Proposed Project, but higher NOx and PM2.5 emissions. Similarly, the Enhanced Bus Alternative would have lower ROG emissions compared to the Proposed Project, but higher NOx and PM2.5 emissions. Table C-1 – Average Net New Daily Operational Emissions in 2040* Notes: lbs/day = pounds per day; ROG = reactive organic gas; NOx = nitrogen oxides; PM10 = respirable particulate matter; PM25 = fine particulate matter *Compared with 2040 No Project Conditions Average Net New Daily Operational Emissions (lbs/day) ROG NOx PM10 PM2.5 Significance Thresholds 54 54 82 54 Conventional BART Project Total Emissions Above Threshold? 0.37 No 11 No -20 No -7.9 No DMU Alternative Total Emissions Above Threshold? 6.5 No 25 No -11 No -3.9 No EMU Option Total Emissions Above Threshold? 1.8 No 15 No -11 No -4.4 No Express Bus/BRT Alternative Total Emissions Above Threshold? -0.68 No 18 No -7.7 No -3.0 No Enhanced Bus Alternative Total Emissions Above Threshold? -3.0 No 19 No -0.59 No -0.15 No BART to Livermore Extension Proposed Project and Build Alternatives Evaluation Report Table C-2– Net New Annual Operational Emissions in 2040* Notes: tons/yr = tons per year; ROG = reactive organic gas; NOx = nitrogen oxides; PM10 = respirable particulate matter; PM25 = fine particulate matter A short ton is a unit of weight that is equivalent to 2,000 pounds. While typically referred to simply as a ton, it is distinguished here to clarify that it is not a metric ton, which is equivalent to 1,000 kilograms. *Compared with 2040 No Project Conditions Maximum Net New Annual Operational Emissions (short tons/yr) ROG NOx PM10 PM2.5 Significance Thresholds 10 10 15 10 Conventional BART Project Total Emissions Above Threshold? 0.068 No 2.0 No -3.6 No -1.4 No DMU Alternative Total Emissions Above Threshold? 1.2 No 4.5 No -2.0 No -0.72 No EMU Option Total Emissions Above Threshold? 0.32 No 2.8 No -2.1 No -0.81 No Express Bus/BRT Alternative Total Emissions Above Threshold? -0.12 No 3.3 No -1.4 No -0.55 No Enhanced Bus Alternative Total Emissions Above Threshold? -0.54 No 3.5 No -0.11 No -0.027 No