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HomeMy WebLinkAboutReso 86-22 Adopting the Tri-Valley Transportation Development Fee Pursuant to the Requirements of the Joint Exercise of Powers Agreement Reso. No. 86-22, Item 6.1, Adopted 06/21/2022 Page 1 of 5 RESOLUTION NO. 86 – 22 A RESOLUTION OF THE CITY COUNCIL OF THE CITY OF DUBLIN ADOPTING THE TRI-VALLEY TRANSPORTATION DEVELOPMENT FEE PURSUANT TO THE REQUIREMENTS OF THE JOINT EXERCISE OF POWERS AGREEMENT WHEREAS, on October 13, 2013, the Counties of Alameda and Contra Costa, the Cities of Dublin, Livermore, Pleasanton, San Ramon, and the Town of Danville entered into a Joint Exercise of Powers Agreement (JEPA) in order to establish the Tri-Valley Transportation Council (TVTC), as a separate agency, to jointly coordinate transportation planning efforts within the Tri- Valley Area through collecting and administering the Tri-Valley Development Fee (TVTD Fee) to facilitate the implementation of transportation improvement projects identified in the TVTC Strategic Expenditure Plan (SEP); and WHEREAS, the 2013 JEPA replaced the previous JEPA, adopted in 1998, pursuant to which the member agencies previously collected the TVTD Fee; and WHEREAS, pursuant to Section 6(b) of the JEPA, TVTC shall through resolution, based on the findings of a nexus study, recommend regional impact fee amounts for categories of land use entitlements within the Tri-Valley Area for purposes of funding a portion of transportation improvement projects identified in the TVTC SEP; and WHEREAS, pursuant to Section 6(c) of the JEPA, if the TVTD Fee is recommended for amendment, each member agency shall consider the adoption (by ordinance or resolution) of the TVTD Fee in the amounts recommended by TVTC; and WHEREAS, pursuant to Section 7(b) of the JEPA, member agencies are only eligible to receive the TVTD Fee in accordance with the TVTC SEP if they have adopted the uniform TVTD Fee as recommended by the TVTC; and WHEREAS, there have been significant changes in the funding, planning, and traffic conditions under which the TVTD Fee was originally developed. In addition, many of the original 22 projects identified in the previous SEP have been completed and the TVTC has identified 23 new projects (List C of the Nexus Study) to be considered; and WHEREAS, TVTC entered into a contract with Kimley-Horn Associates, Inc. (“Consultant”) to complete the 2020 TVTC Nexus Study and Strategic Expenditure Plan (SEP) in accordance with the requirements of the California Mitigation Fee Act; and WHEREAS, the 2020 Nexus Study (“Study”) considered the following new projects (“Projects”) and the number of trips generated by the anticipated development of each land use type and determined a Maximum Fee Rate for each of the land uses from Appendix B of the Study. The Projects considered in the Study include the remaining projects from List A and List B, as well as the following new projects: • C-1 Tesla Road Safety Improvement, • C-2 Norris Canyon Road Safety Improvement Project, • C-3 Dublin Boulevard-North Canyons Parkway Extension, Reso. No. 86-22, Item 6.1, Adopted 06/21/2022 Page 2 of 5 • C-4 Vasco Road at Dalton Avenue Intersection Improvements, • C-5 El Charro Road Widening, • C-6 Sunol/680 Interchange Improvements, • C-7 I-680 Express Lanes-Hwy 84 to Alcosta, • C-8 Santa Rita/I-580 Interchange, • C-9 Stoneridge/I-680 Interchange, • C-10 Innovate 680, • C-11A Iron Horse Trail Bicycle Pedestrian Overcrossing-City of San Ramon, • C-11B Iron Horse Trail Bicycle Pedestrian Overcrossing-City of San Ramon, • C-11C Iron Horse Trail Crossing at Dublin Boulevard, • C-11D Iron Horse Trail, • C-11E Iron Horse Trail to Shadow Cliffs Connection, • C-11F Iron Horse Trail Connection Improvements at Santa Rita Road, • C-11G Iron Horse Trail Bicycle/Pedestrian Overcrossing-Town of Danville, • C-11H Iron Horse Trail System-Wide Improvements, • C-12 I-680 Interchange Improvements at Hacienda Drive, • C-13 Fallon/El Charro Interchange, • C-14 Valley Link Rail (Phase 1), • C-15 Technology Enhancements, • C-16 I-680 Express Bus Service; and WHEREAS, the TVTC Technical Advisory Committee and Consultant reviewed forecasts of new development in the Tri-Valley Area, and outlined the status, scope, costs, and anticipated funding for the Projects; and WHEREAS, on August 16, 2021, the TVTC adopted the Tri-Valley Transportation Council 2020 Nexus Study Fee Update attached hereto as Exhibit A, pursuant to TVTC Resolution No. 2021-10; and WHEREAS, since adopting the 2020 Nexus Study in August 2021, Assembly Bill (AB) 602 was approved by the Governor of California and includes additional requirements for nexus fee studies adopted after January 1, 2022; and WHEREAS, while the 2020 Nexus Fee Study was not required to incorporate AB 602 given its adoption date, TVTC retained Kimley-Horn and Associates, Inc. to complete an AB 602 supplemental analysis to (1) outline the future implications of AB 602 and (2) to proactively define the methodologies of future Nexus Fee Study updates such that they will be compliant with AB 602; and WHEREAS, the AB 602 Supplemental Analysis, attached hereto and incorporated herein as Exhibit B, was adopted by the TVTC on April 18, 2022; and WHEREAS, on April 18, 2022, by TVTC Resolution No. 2022-07, the TVTC adopted and recommended, by a vote of all 7 member agencies, the new TVTD Fee rates shown in the table below, which are effective July 1, 2022 (“2022 TVTD Fee rates”); and FY2022/2023 Rate Adjustment Land Use Current % of FY 2022/23 Change from % Change Reso. No. 86-22, Item 6.1, Adopted 06/21/2022 Page 3 of 5 2021 Rate Maximum Rates 2021 Rates Single Family (DU) $5,057 15% $6,596.40 $1,539.40 30.4% Multi-Family (DU) $3,484 15% $3,889.20 $405.20 11.6% Retail (SF) $3.74 6% $5.07 $1.33 35.6% Office (SF) $8.59 15% $8.81 $0.22 2.5% Industrial (SF) $5.00 15% $4.97 -$0.03 -0.6% Other (avg AM/PM trips) $5,620 12% $6,100.68 $480.68 8.6% DU = Dwelling Units; SF=Square Feet WHEREAS, the Mitigation Fee Act (California Government Code § 66001(a)) requires jurisdictions to make certain statutory findings prior to any action establishing, increasing, or imposing a fee as a condition of approval of a development project and TVTC made such findings as part of its adoption of the 2022 TVTD Fee rates; and WHEREAS, the recommended fee rate is 15% of the Maximum Fee Rate for the duration of the SEP for all uses except retail and “other” land uses, which are recommended to be set at 6% and 12% of the Maximum Fee Rates, respectively; and WHEREAS, Transit-oriented housing development projects satisfying the criteria in Government Code Section 66005.1 may conduct a project-level transportation analysis and a smaller proportion of the applicable fee may be imposed; and WHEREAS, the 2022 TVTD Fee recommended retail rate is $5.07 for FY 2022-23 and increased to $5.92 (7% of the maximum) effective July 1, 2023. All other rates for remaining land uses will be adjusted per Construction Cost Index (CCI) as of July 1st of each year consistent with current practice; and WHEREAS, the TVTC adopted the SEP and Prioritization of Projects and Funding Plan, which proposes funding for 22 projects (16 projects from New List C and 6 priority list from previous project lists) over the next 10 years, attached hereto and incorporated herein as Exhibit C; and WHEREAS, in accordance with the requirements of the Mitigation Fee Act, (1) a public hearing notice was published in the newspaper and interested persons were notified 30 days in advance of the April 18, 2022 TVTC meeting of the TVTC’s proposed action on the 2022 TVTD Fee, (2) notices were sent to any individuals requesting notices pertaining to fee increases by the TVTC 14 days in advance of the meeting at which the new 2022 TVTD Fee is proposed for adoption, (3) the 2020 Nexus Study, AB 602 Supplemental Analysis, and the draft SEP Funding Plan were available for public review on the TVTC Board’s website 10 days in advance of the meeting at which the new 2022 TVTD Fee, 2020 Nexus Study, SEP, and AB 602 Supplemental Analysis was proposed for adoption, and (4) a public notice was posted 10 days in advance of the meeting. NOW THEREFORE, BE IT RESOLVED THAT the City Council of the City of Dublin, in accordance with Government Code § 66001(a) and based on the information presented in the 2020 Nexus Study, adopts and approves the 2022 TVTD Fee rates shown in the table above and makes the following findings: 1. Identify the purpose to which the fee is to be put. Response: TVTC policy, as expressed Reso. No. 86-22, Item 6.1, Adopted 06/21/2022 Page 4 of 5 through the TVTC Action Plan, is that new development shall contribute for the mitigation of their impacts on Routes of Regional Significance and that the cost-sharing of recommended improvements will be implemented through the Tri-Valley Transportation Development Fee regional impact fee program. The fee advances a legitimate public interest by enabling the TVTC to fund improvements to transportation infrastructure required to accommodate and mitigate the impacts of new development. This finding is documented by the analysis of the projected increase in future travel generated by the new development that is projected to occur in the Tri-Valley. Growth in new residents and employees is projected to increase the cumulative average daily delay on the Tri-Valley regional roadways in the morning and evening peak hours, excluding effects from more cut-through traffic. 2. Identify the use to which the fee is to be put. Response: The TVTD Fee will be used to fund projects to expand capacity, traffic signal coordination, and other traffic improvements, improve safety, improve regional transit, improve active transportation/bicycle options, and mitigate the impacts of additional congestion on Routes of Regional Significance to serve new development as designated in the Strategic Expenditure Plan. The projects/public facilities to be funded by the fee are identified in the 2020 Nexus Study and the SEP and the Prioritization of Projects and Funding Plan. 3. Determine how there is a reasonable relationship between the fee’s use and the type of development project upon which the fee is imposed. Response: Based on the analysis in the 2020 Nexus Study, the new development projects within the Tri-Valley will generate additional trips which will impact the transportation system in the region, including on Routes of Regional Significance. As illustrated in the 2020 Nexus Study, the planned projects will expand and improve capacity on the Routes of Regional Significance and alleviate congestion to accommodate the increased trips generated by new development. Thus, there is a reasonable relationship between the use of the fee for these projects and the new development generating these additional trips on which the fee will be imposed. 4. Determine that there is a reasonable relationship between the need for the public facility and the type of development project on which the fee is imposed. Response: The need for the planned projects is based on the forecasted increase in congestion on Routes of Regional Significance, as well as other transportation impacts resulting from new development. The 2020 Nexus Study analyzed the contribution by each land use based on the proportion of average AM/PM trips generated by each land use. As demonstrated in the Study, there is a reasonable relationship between the need for the planned projects and the types of development upon which the fee is imposed because the planned projects will mitigate the transportation impacts generated by new development. 5. Determine that there is a reasonable relationship between the amount of the fee and the cost of public facilities or portion of the public facilities attributable to the development on which the fee is imposed. Response: The 2020 Nexus Study demonstrates that there is a reasonable relationship between the amount of the proposed fee and the cost or portion of the cost of the public facilities attributable to the development on which the fee is imposed because each land use category’s share of the total trips generated was multiplied by the applicable project costs and then divided by the total number of units, square feet or trips that will occur within the development horizon. In this way, there is a reasonable relationship between the amount of the fee and the cost attributable to each land use type because the fee applicable to each land use type is based on the number of trips generated by that applicable land use type. Furthermore, the 2022 TVTD Fee is proposed to be set at between 6% to 15% of the justified maximum fee rate Reso. No. 86-22, Item 6.1, Adopted 06/21/2022 Page 5 of 5 and thus, the amount of the fee is lower than the actual costs attributable to new development. BE IT FURTHER RESOLVED THAT the City of Dublin will: 1. Require each project developer to pay the TVTD Fee prior to issuance of building permits for the project, or no later than occupancy, and to the extent permitted by law. 2. Levy the TVTD Fee on all development projects not exempt from payment of the fee. 3. Apply the TVTD Fee on all significant changes to existing development agreements adopted after the effective date of the JEPA. The TVTD Fee shall be applied to all components of a project that are subject to an amended or renewed development agreement. As used herein, “significant” means any of the following: (a) change in land use type (e.g., office to retail); (b) intensification of land use types (e.g., increases in square footage of approved Office); (c) extension of the term of development agreements; and (d) reduction or removal of project mitigation requirements or conditions of approval. BE IT FURTHER RESOLVED THAT the City Council of the City of Dublin finds that the foregoing recitals are true. PASSED, APPROVED, AND ADOPTED this 21st day of June 2022, by the following votes: AYES: Councilmembers Hu, Josey, Kumagai, McCorriston and Mayor Hernandez NOES: ABSENT: ABSTAIN: ______________________________ Mayor ATTEST: _______________________________ City Clerk Exhibit A to ResolutionTVTC Resolution 2021-10 and 2020 Nexus StudyExhibit A Tri-Valley Transportation Council 2020 Nexus Fee Update Study TVTC MEMBER AGENCIES IN ASSOCIATION WITH AUGUST 2021 | FINAL Prepared By: Exhibit 1 Tri-Valley Transportation Council │ 2020 Nexus Fee Update Study August 2021 │ Final i CONTENTS Acronym List .............................................................................................................................. iv Executive Summary ..................................................................................................................... i 1 Introduction and Background ........................................................................................... 1 2 Forecast of New Development and Travel Demand ......................................................... 4 3 Improvement Projects and Cost Estimates .................................................................... 19 4 Nexus Findings .............................................................................................................. 22 5 Next Steps ..................................................................................................................... 33 APPENDIX ................................................................................................................................ 34 Appendix A – Existing TVTC Projects ....................................................................................... 35 Appendix B – Additional TVTC Projects .................................................................................... 52 Appendix C – Project Improvement Categories ......................................................................... 66 Tri-Valley Transportation Council │ 2020 Nexus Fee Update Study August 2021 │ Final ii TABLES Table 1: Total Household Forecasts by Agency ......................................................................... 5 Table 2: Projected Dwelling Unit Growth, 2020-2040 ................................................................. 6 Table 3: Single Family Household Forecasts by Agency ............................................................ 6 Table 4: Multifamily Household Forecasts by Agency ................................................................ 7 Table 5: Total Employment Forecasts by Agency ...................................................................... 8 Table 6: Total Employment Forecasts by Employment Type ...................................................... 9 Table 7: Employment Growth Converted to Square Commercial Building Space ......................13 Table 8: Overall Growth Comparison ........................................................................................13 Table 9: Household Growth Comparison ...................................................................................15 Table 10: Actual Versus Projected 2020 Household Values ......................................................15 Table 11: Employment Growth Comparison ..............................................................................18 Table 12: Actual Versus Projected 2020 Employment Values ...................................................18 Table 13: Existing Projects – List A& B .....................................................................................20 Table 14: New Selected Projects – List C .................................................................................21 Table 15: Methodology and Improvements ...............................................................................24 Table 16: Future Build vs No Build Scenario Vehicle Hours of Delay (VHD) .............................25 Table 17: HSIP Crash Saving Dollar Amounts ..........................................................................27 Table 18: Future Safety Benefits with Project Improvements ....................................................27 Table 19: Future Project Induced Daily Bicycle Demand ...........................................................27 Table 20: Safety Benefits with Project C-11 ..............................................................................28 Table 21: AM/PM Peak-Hour Average Trip Rate Comparison Between 7th Edition and 10th Edition .......................................................................................................................................29 Table 22: Total Trip Ends by Land Use Category ......................................................................30 Table 23: Total Fee by Land Use Category ...............................................................................31 Table 24: Total Cost and Maximum Fee by Land Use Category ...............................................32 Tri-Valley Transportation Council │ 2020 Nexus Fee Update Study August 2021 │ Final iii FIGURES Figure 1:Total Household Forecasts by Agency ......................................................................... 6 Figure 2: Single Family Household Forecasts by Agency ........................................................... 7 Figure 3: Multifamily Household Forecasts by Agency ............................................................... 8 Figure 4: Total Employment Forecasts by Agency ..................................................................... 9 Figure 5: Retail Employment Forecasts by Agency ...................................................................10 Figure 6: Service Employment Forecasts by Agency ................................................................10 Figure 7: Other Employment Forecasts by Agency ...................................................................11 Figure 9: Manufacturing Employment Forecasts by Agency ......................................................12 Figure 10: Trade/Wholesale Employment Forecasts .................................................................12 Figure 11: 2008 Nexus and 2020 Refined Dwelling Unit Forecast .............................................14 Figure 12: 2008 Nexus Study and 2020 Nexus Study Employment Forecast (Retail, Service, Other) .......................................................................................................................................16 Figure 13: 2008 Nexus Study and 2020 Nexus Study Employment Forecast (Agriculture, Manufacturing, Trading) ............................................................................................................17 Figure 14: Future Build vs No Build Scenario Vehicle Hours of Delay (VHD) ............................25 Tri-Valley Transportation Council │ 2020 Nexus Fee Update Study August 2021 │ Final iv ACRONYM LIST ACTC Alameda County Transportation Commission ATP Active Transportation Program BART Bay Area Rapid Transit BRT Bus Rapid Transit CCTA Contra Costa Transportation Authority CHP California Highway Patrol CMF Crash Modification Factors CPM County Program Manager EIR Environmental Impact Report FHWA Federal Highway Authority HOV High Occupancy Vehicle HSIP Highway Safety Improvement Program I-580 Interstate 580 I-680 Interstate 680 ITE Institute of Transportation Engineers JEPA Joint Exercise of Powers Agreement JPA Joint Power Agreement LAVTA Livermore Amador Valley Transit Authority LRSM Local Roadway Safety Manual MTC Metropolitan Transportation Commission OBAG One Bay Area Grant Program OTS Office of Traffic Safety PM Post Mile PSR Project Study Report PSR-PDS Project Study Report-Project Development Support RRS Routes of Regional Significance RTP Regional Transportation Plan SAV Shared Autonomous Vehicle SB 1 Senate Bill 1 SEP Strategic Expenditure Plan SR 84 State Route 84 STIP State Transportation Improvement Program SWAT Southwest Area Transportation Committee TAC Technical Advisory Committee TAZ Traffic Analysis Zone TBD To Be Determined TDM Travel Demand Model Tri-Valley Transportation Council │ 2020 Nexus Fee Update Study August 2021 │ Final v TEP Transportation Expenditure Plan TFCA Transportation Fund for Clean Air TIF Transportation Improvement Fee TRANSPAC Transportation Partnership and Cooperation TSP Transit Signal Priority TVTC Tri-Valley Transportation Council TVTDF Tri-Valley Transportation Development Fee TVTP/AP Tri-Valley Transportation Plan/Action Plan VHD Vehicle Hours of Delay Tri-Valley Transportation Council │ 2020 Nexus Fee Update Study August 2021 │ Final i EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Completed and adopted in early 2008, the Tri-Valley Transportation Council (TVTC) Nexus Study: Fee Update (“2008 Nexus Study”) identified 22 projects that the TVTC elected for eligibility to receive funding from the Tri-Valley Transportation Development Fee (TVTDF). The first 11 projects (List A, Table 13) were adopted into the original program in 1995. The second set of 11 (List B, Table 13), were new projects that were included in the 2008 Nexus Study. The travel demand modeling documented in the 2008 Nexus Study projected that these projects would reduce the congestion created by new development within the Tri- Valley. Since 2008, there have been changes in the funding, planning and traffic conditions under which the TVTDF was originally developed. In addition, many of the 27 original projects have been completed and the TVTC has identified 23 new projects (List C, Table 14) to be considered. Based on these factors an updated nexus study is needed to support updates to the TVTDF. FORECAST GROWTH New development within the Tri-Valley is forecast to add 33,312 household and 63,947 jobs between 2018 and 2040. This growth will produce an increase of 57,596 average AM/PM peak hour trips. PROJECT BENEFITS Based on forecast projection, the vehicle hour of delay is expected to increase by 60 percent during the AM and 88 percent during the PM peak. With the construction remaining improvement projects, this delay is expected to decrease by 15 percent during the AM peak and 23 percent during the PM peak when compared to the 2040 No-Build Scenario. In addition, these projects will result in other benefits to the Tri- Valley Area including improving roadway safety, improving roadway operations, and increasing bicycle ridership. Figure E-1: Future Build vs No Build Scenario Vehicle Hours of Delay (VHD) 24,718 15,613 39,570 29,376 35,852 25,813 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 40,000 45,000 Morning Peak Hour Evening Peak HourVehicle Hours of Delay (VHD)2020 2040 No-Build 2040 Build Tri-Valley Transportation Council │ 2020 Nexus Fee Update Study August 2021 │ Final ii Note: Hours of delay are based on trips with origin or destination in the TVTC region. UPDATED FEE The total investment for projects eligible to receive TVTDF funding is estimated to be $4.470 billion, where $3.677 Billion is unfunded. An additional reduction was applied to account for external “cut-though” trips on roadway congestion projects. Future development within the Tri-Valley area is not responsible to pay for these trips since these trips are caused by growth outside of the Tri-Valley area. This reduces the total unfunded cost to be covered by the maximum TVTDF to $2.928 billion. Note that this does not change the overall project costs. The $2.928 billion unfunded cost was allocated across future development land use type based on the proportion of forecast peak-hour trips to determine the Total Fee per Land Use. Then the maximum fee schedule was determined by dividing Total Fee per Land Use by the 2020-2040 Growth as shown in Table E-1 below. Table E-1: Maximum Fee by Land Use Category Land Use Type Growth Maximum Fee Single-Family Residential 15,857 DU $43,976 per DU Multi-Family Residential 17,456 DU $25,928 per DU Retail 5,117,500 SF $84.52 per SF Office 6,796,800 SF $58.72 per SF Industrial 9,289,800 SF $33.81 per SF Other 12,441 trips* $50,839 per trip* * Average AM/PM trip The maximum fee schedule shown in in Table E-1 would generate sufficient revenues to fund the total unfunded cost of all selected projects, however TVTC jurisdictions are not obligated to apply this fee schedule. For instance, the TVTC jurisdiction set rates at approximate 1/3 of the maximum fee calculated in the 1995 and 2008 Nexus studies to help foster growth within the Tri-Valley area, while providing a regional funding source that could be used to match and help compete for Federal and State transportation grants and funding programs. Tri-Valley Transportation Council │ 2020 Nexus Fee Update Study August 2021 │ Final 1 1 INTRODUCTION AND BACKGROUND 1.1 BACKGROUND AND HISTORY In 1991, the seven jurisdictions of Alameda County, Contra Costa County, Dublin, Pleasanton, Livermore, Danville, and San Ramon signed a Joint Powers Agreement (JPA) that established the Tri-Valley Transportation Council (TVTC). The purpose of the JPA was for the joint preparation of a Tri-Valley Transportation Plan/Action Plan (TVTP/AP) for Routes of Regional Significance (RRS) and cost sharing of recommended improvements. The TVTP/AP was prepared and presented to all member jurisdictions in April 1995 and updated in 2000. The TVTP/AP created a common understanding and agreement on the Tri-Valley’s transportation concerns regarding prioritizing projects for funding and implementation. In addition to the project priorities, the TVTP/AP also recommended the development of a TVTDF to allocate a fair share of regional infrastructure cost to go towards new development. The nexus study for the fee program, completed in 1995, justified allocating the unfunded cost needed to complete all of the 11 projects identified in the TVTP/AP to new development. The TVTC, however, recommended scaling back by roughly two-thirds the total amount the fee program would collect from the maximum funding needed. The TVTC and its member jurisdictions subsequently created and adopted the TVTDF in 1998 through a Joint Exercise of Powers Agreement (JEPA). The original Strategic Expenditure Plan (SEP) was adopted in 1999. The JEPA called for a periodic update of the fee program to reflect any significant changes in population growth, project status, and other conditions that would require revisions to the fee program. Since 1995, there have been substantial changes in the funding, planning, and traffic setting in which the TVTDF was originally developed. New funding sources were established; the TVTP/AP was updated in 2000; projects were completed; project schedules and/or funding plans shifted; traffic patterns changed; and new regional transportation projects were identified through various traffic studies. The TVTC responded to these changes by directing the Technical Advisory Committee (TAC) to conduct its first update to the fee nexus study to update the fee and project list. Completed and adopted in early 2008, the first update to the TVTC Nexus Study: Fee Update (“2008 Nexus Study”) identified 22 projects that the TVTC elected for eligibility to receive funding from the TVTDF. The first 11 projects (List A, Table 13) were adopted into the original program in 1995. The second set of 11 (List B, Table 13), were new projects that were included in the 2008 Nexus Study. The travel demand modeling documented in the 2008 Nexus Study projected that these projects would further reduce congestion created by new development within the Tri-Valley. A revised fee structure was released by TVTC for consideration by each member agency in late 2008. While each member agency communicated support for the revised fee structure, it was not approved by all member agencies pending preparation and approval of a corresponding SEP. A TVTC SEP Subcommittee was therefore formed to commence preparation of an SEP. To facilitate the progress of existing projects while an update to the SEP was underway, an Interim Funding Plan was approved by TVTC in April 2010. The Interim Funding Plan matched the programmed amounts and priorities established in the 2004 SEP Update. It also included a revised disbursement timeline to reflect the current Joint TVTDF account balance and projected fee collections over the next five years. With respect to the TVTC JEPA, in October 2013 TVTC entered into a new Joint Exercise of Powers Agreement (JEPA) comprised of seven member agencies: the County of Alameda, the County of Contra Costa, the City of Livermore, the City of Pleasanton, the City of San Ramon, the City of Dublin, and the Town of Danville. The purpose of the new JEPA agreement was to establish the TVTC as a separate agency responsible for planning, coordinating, and receiving disbursement of traffic impact fee Tri-Valley Transportation Council │ 2020 Nexus Fee Update Study August 2021 │ Final 2 revenues from member agencies to help implement transportation improvement projects within the Tri- Valley Area. Strategic Expenditure Plan (SEP) In January 2015, the TVTC adopted Resolution No. 2015-01 – Adopting the updated Tri-Valley Transportation Development Fee Schedule as a two-year phase-in plan, with no change during the initial year (FY 14-15), an increase to 25% of the maximum allowable rate by the fee nexus study in the second year (FY 15-16) and a final increase to 35% of the maximum allowable rate by the third year (FY 16-17). The new fee was based on the Fee Nexus Study adopted in 2008. In November 2015, a review of the 2008 Nexus Study was conducted to determine if the analysis establishing a reasonable relationship between the unexpended fees and the purpose for which those fees were collected remained valid. This review analyzed the 2008 Nexus Study Fee Update with current traffic conditions, forecasted growth, and project updates and found that the analysis establishing a reasonable relationship between the unexpended fees and the purpose of which those fees were collected was still valid. The review also identified a number of conditions that had changed since the completion of the 2008 Nexus Study, such as growth projections were lower in the more recent forecasts than at the time of the 2008 Nexus Study. This translated to lower trip generation rate from new development. In addition, a number of the projects in the Nexus Study had been completed or had a change in project description or cost estimate. However, due to inflation and updated cost estimates, the total unfunded project cost had only decreased by 9 percent. The minor decrease in unfunded cost, paired with a decrease in expected new peak hour trips to which the fee would be applied, meant that the maximum fee identified in the 2008 Nexus Study would be higher in an updated calculation. In January 2017, the TVTC approved the 2008 TVTC Nexus Study Validation Review and adopted the 2017 Strategic Expenditure Plan (SEP)* Update. At that time, the TVTC elected to maintain the current fee rate, with exception of the annual Construction Cost Index (CCI) adjustment. The 2017 SEP update incorporated and built upon the updated project descriptions, funding programs, and progression of the TVTDF over the previous six years. Some of the transportation improvement projects on the original list were completed and schedules and funding for others had changed. The JEPA, adopted in 2013, required approval for the SEP, by a supermajority of the TVTC – six members. Since 2008, there have been changes in the funding, planning and traffic conditions under which the TVTDF was originally developed. In addition, many of the 22 projects have been completed and the TVTC has identified 16 new projects (List C, Table 14) to be considered. Based on these factors the 2020 updated nexus study was undertaken. On August 16, 2021, the TVTC approved Resolution No. 2021-10 Adopting the Tri-Valley Transportation Council 2020 Nexus Fee Update Study. Tri-Valley Transportation Council │ 2020 Nexus Fee Update Study August 2021 │ Final 3 1.2 REPORT ORGANIZATION The remainder of the report is divided into the following chapters: • Chapter 2 - Forecast of New Development and Travel Demand: Describes the methodology, assumption, and results used to determine future development forecast • Chapter 3 - Improvement Projects and Cost Estimates: Presents list of improvement projects the TVTC elected to receive funding from the TVTDF. Detailed project descriptions are provided in Appendix A and Appendix B. • Chapter 4 - Nexus Findings: Describes relevant findings for the imposition of development impact fees, • Chapter 5 - Next Steps: Identifies next steps for adopting the updated fee schedule. Tri-Valley Transportation Council │ 2020 Nexus Fee Update Study August 2021 │ Final 4 2 FORECAST OF NEW DEVELOPMENT AND TRAVEL DEMAND This chapter describes the methodology, assumption, and results for travel demand forecasting. 2.1 METHODOLOGY AND APPROACH Travel demand forecasting was conducted using the current version of Contra Costa Transportation Authority Travel Demand Model (CCTA TDM). The use of the CCTA TDM is consistent with the previous 2008 Nexus Study. Based on the outcome of initial discussions with the TAC, the following steps were taken regarding the development of travel demand forecasts: • Travel demand forecasting was reaffirmed to be based on the latest version of CCTA TDM. In 2019, the CCTA TDM was updated to incorporate assumptions consistent with the current (as of 2017) Metropolitan Transportation Commission (MTC) Regional Transportation Plan (RTP). A 2018 base year validation was also completed as part of that update. The growth projections were based on a base year of 2020 and a horizon year of 2040. Note that the CCTA TDM base year was updated to reflect 2020 conditions and that the 2040 horizon year was also modified to address the specific needs of this study. • Land use assumptions for households and employment were broken down for the 2020 base and 2040 horizon years by jurisdiction and were distributed to member agencies for review. Detailed data submitted to each jurisdiction included household and employment data at the traffic analysis zone (TAZ) level. In addition, supplemental data from the Alameda County Transportation Commission (ACTC) travel demand model was also provided to member agencies within Alameda County. Kimley Horn worked closely with the individual agencies to appropriately finalize growth forecasts prior to their use in the final modeling for this study. Given that a recent land use forecast for the Tri-Valley region already exists as incorporated into the 2019 update of the CCTA Model, it is important to provide a context for the basis of this forecast. Specifically, the focus of this effort, unlike the more recent application of the CCTA model which was in support of a Region‐ Wide RTP, is confined to a limited area that primarily includes City of Dublin, Pleasanton, Livermore, Danville, and San Ramon and parts of unincorporated Contra Costa and Alameda counties. As this constitutes sub‐area analysis (although the entirety of the model will be used during analysis), the typical best practice includes carefully assessing land use within the study area to make sure that it is prepared in a manner consistent with the specific goals of the study for which the TDM will be applied. It is important to note that TDMs used in support of RTPs are prepared in accordance with strict control totals and, as such, their land use forecasts do not necessarily reflect certainty as to whether a given development will occur, rather they are more akin to a process of prioritization (the forecaster determines the magnitude and location of development that is most likely to occur rather than determining whether something will NOT occur). Not surprisingly, local jurisdictions sometimes have more detailed perspectives on whether certain concentrations of development within their communities will occur before the RTP planning horizon. A land use assessment, such as that carried out as part of a typical sub‐area analysis, is often an opportunity to reconsider jurisdictional land use input without the necessary limitations that an RTP puts on land use forecasting. Based on these considerations and information shared by the TAC members, as well as input from staff from the member agencies at several individual agency meetings, it was determined that the 2040 land use forecast for the study area as included in the 2019 version of the CCTA TDM had unlikely development patterns in several locations within the study area as compared to the collective perspectives of member Tri-Valley Transportation Council │ 2020 Nexus Fee Update Study August 2021 │ Final 5 agencies. Accordingly, it was agreed that a process to refine the existing CCTA forecast in a manner that could be reasonably justified based on readily available information and data would be undertaken. Specifically, this forecast is intended to reflect both realistic and achievable 2040 growth within the study area, and not necessarily circumstances that would be reflective of the full potential of the study area or an overly conservative approach such as a “worst‐case” scenario. 2.2 TRAVEL DEMAND FORECAST This section presents the growth forecast based on feedback from member agencies. 2.2.1 HOUSEHOLD GROWTH Table 1 and Figure 1 summaries the estimated household growth between 2020 and 2040 the resulted from the process described in the prior section. Between 2020 and 2040 there is an expected total growth of 33,312 households within the Tri-Valley Area. This equates to a 24 percent change or an annual growth rate of 1.09%. Table 1: Total Household Forecasts by Agency Agency 2020 2040 2020-2040 Growth Percent Change Annual Growth Rate Danville 15,564 16,557 993 6% 0.31% Dublin 21,708 29,105 7,397 34% 1.48% Livermore 30,685 39,759 9,074 30% 1.30% Pleasanton 27,783 34,099 6,316 23% 1.03% San Ramon 27,624 36,638 9,014 33% 1.42% Alameda Unincorporated 2,108 2,362 254 12% 0.57% Contra Costa Unincorporated 11,921 12,185 264 2% 0.11% Total Tri-Valley 137,393 170,705 33,312 24% 1.09% Tri-Valley Transportation Council │ 2020 Nexus Fee Update Study August 2021 │ Final 6 Figure 1:Total Household Forecasts by Agency Table 2 presents the overall change based on dwelling type. As shown, it is expected that single family units will grow by 15,856 units at an annual growth rate of 0.69%. It is expected that multi-family units will go by 17,456 units at an annual growth rate of 2.35%. Table 3 and Figure 2 summarizes growth for single family household by agency. Table 4 and Figure 3 summarizes the growth for multifamily households by agency. Table 2: Projected Dwelling Unit Growth, 2020-2040 Dwelling Type 2020 2040 2020-2040 Growth Percent Change Annual Growth Rate Single Family 107,944 123,800 15,856 15% 0.69% Multifamily 29,449 46,905 17,456 59% 2.35% Total 137,393 170,705 33,312 24% 1.09% Table 3: Single Family Household Forecasts by Agency Agency 2020 2040 2020-2040 Growth Percent Change Annual Growth Rate Danville 14,346 14,882 536 4% 0.18% Dublin 14,579 17,506 2,927 20% 0.92% Livermore 23,631 29,091 5,460 23% 1.04% Pleasanton 20,689 24,202 3,513 17% 0.79% San Ramon 21,704 24,821 3,117 14% 0.67% Alameda Unincorporated 1,767 1,953 186 11% 0.50% Contra Costa Unincorporated 11,228 11,345 117 1% 0.05% Total Tri-Valley 107,944 123,800 15,856 15% 0.69% 6%, 993 34%, 7,397 30%, 9,074 23%, 6,316 33%, 9,014 12%, 254 2%, 264 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 40,000 45,000 Danville Dublin Livermore Pleasanton San Ramon Alameda Unincorporated Contra Costa UnincorporatedDwelling UnitsExisting Total Household Total Household Growth Tri-Valley Transportation Council │ 2020 Nexus Fee Update Study August 2021 │ Final 7 Figure 2: Single Family Household Forecasts by Agency Table 4: Multifamily Household Forecasts by Agency Agency 2020 2040 2020-2040 Growth Percent Change Annual Growth Rate Danville 1,218 1,675 457 38% 1.61% Dublin 7,129 11,599 4,470 63% 2.46% Livermore 7,054 10,668 3,614 51% 2.09% Pleasanton 7,094 9,897 2,803 40% 1.68% San Ramon 5,920 11,817 5,897 100% 3.52% Alameda Unincorporated 341 409 68 20% 0.91% Contra Costa Unincorporated 693 840 147 21% 0.97% Total Tri-Valley 29,449 46,905 17,456 59% 2.35% 4%, 536 20%, 2,927 23%, 5,460 17%, 3,513 14%, 3,117 11%, 186 1%, 117 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 Danville Dublin Livermore Pleasanton San Ramon Alameda Unincorporated Contra Costa UnincorporatedDwelling UnitsExisting Single Family Single Family Growth Tri-Valley Transportation Council │ 2020 Nexus Fee Update Study August 2021 │ Final 8 Figure 3: Multifamily Household Forecasts by Agency 2.2.2 EMPLOYMENT GROWTH Table 5 and Figure 4 summarizes the estimated employment growth between 2020 and 2040. Between 2020 and 2040 there is an expected total growth of 63,947 jobs within the Tri-Valley Area. This equates to an approximate 30% change or an annual growth rate of 1.34%. Detailed information for specific Traffic Analysis Zones (TAZ) are included in Attachment B and C. Table 5: Total Employment Forecasts by Agency Agency 2020 2040 2020-2040 Growth Percent Change Annual Growth Rate Danville 19,330 19,519 189 1% 0.05% Dublin 23,402 32,716 9,314 40% 1.69% Livermore 46,038 66,795 20,757 45% 1.88% Pleasanton 62,196 86,489 24,293 39% 1.66% San Ramon 50,539 59,027 8,488 17% 0.78% Alameda Unincorporated 4,358 4,913 555 13% 0.60% Contra Costa Unincorporated 4,460 4,811 351 8% 0.38% Total Tri-Valley 210,323 274,270 63,947 30% 1.34% 38%, 457 63%, 4,470 51%, 3,614 40%, 2,803 100%, 5,897 20%, 68 21%, 147 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 Danville Dublin Livermore Pleasanton San Ramon Alameda Unincorporated Contra Costa UnincorporatedDwelling UnitsExisting Multifamily MultiFamily Growth Tri-Valley Transportation Council │ 2020 Nexus Fee Update Study August 2021 │ Final 9 Figure 4: Total Employment Forecasts by Agency Table 6 presents the estimate growth between the base year of 2020 and the 2040 horizon year by employment type. Manufacturing, Service, and Other-type employment are forecasted to have the highest growth with a 60%, 33%, and 31% change, respectively. Retail and Trade/Wholesale-type employment are forecasted to have the smaller growth with a 20% and 19% change respectively. Agricultural-type employee is expected to have very little change. Figure 5 through Figure 10 summarizes the growth for each employment type by agency. Table 6: Total Employment Forecasts by Employment Type Employment Type 2020 2040 2020-2040 Growth Percent Change Annual Growth Rate Retail 50,168 60,403 10,235 20% 0.93% Service 69,029 91,685 22,656 33% 1.43% Other 67,621 88,356 20,735 31% 1.35% Agricultural 1,225 1,224 -1 0% 0.00% Manufacturing 14,942 23,842 8,900 60% 2.36% Trade/Wholesale 7,338 8,760 1,422 19% 0.89% Total Employment 210,323 274,270 63,947 30% 1.34% Note: Service employment includes professional services/offices, public administration, health services, educational services, hotel, etc. Other employment includes car washes, repair-maintenance services, personal care services, civic and social organization etc. 1%, 189 40%, 9,314 45%, 20,757 39%, 24,293 17%, 8,488 13%, 555 8%, 351 0 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 70,000 80,000 90,000 100,000 Danville Dublin Livermore Pleasanton San Ramon Alameda Unincorporated Contra Costa UnincorporatedEmployment Existing Total Employment Total Employment Growth Tri-Valley Transportation Council │ 2020 Nexus Fee Update Study August 2021 │ Final 10 Figure 5: Retail Employment Forecasts by Agency Figure 6: Service Employment Forecasts by Agency 4%, 166 9%, 711 50%, 3,468 19%, 3,864 25%, 1,817 8%, 85 10%, 124 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 Danville Dublin Livermore Pleasanton San Ramon Alameda Unincorporated Contra Costa UnincorporatedEmploymentExisting Retail Employment Retail Employment Growth 0%, 3 57%, 3,770 28%, 3,900 57%, 10,666 20%, 3,958 20%, 270 5%, 89 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 Danville Dublin Livermore Pleasanton San Ramon Alameda Unincorporated Contra Costa UnincorporatedEmployment Existing Service Employment Service Employment Growth Tri-Valley Transportation Council │ 2020 Nexus Fee Update Study August 2021 │ Final 11 Figure 7: Other Employment Forecasts by Agency 2%, 128 56%, 3,762 41%, 7,083 44%, 6,952 14%, 2,521 13%, 159 10%, 130 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 Danville Dublin Livermore Pleasanton San Ramon Alameda Unincorporated Contra Costa UnincorporatedEmploymentExisting Other Employment Other Employment Growth -71%, -90 6%, 3 16%, 37 3%, 4 6%, 38 10%, 7 0%, 0 -200 0 200 400 600 800 1,000 Danville Dublin Livermore Pleasanton San Ramon Alameda Unincorporated Contra Costa UnincorporatedEmployment Existing Agriculture Employment Agriculture Employment Growth Tri-Valley Transportation Council │ 2020 Nexus Fee Update Study August 2021 │ Final 12 Figure 8: Manufacturing Employment Forecasts by Agency Figure 9: Trade/Wholesale Employment Forecasts -1%, -3 85%, 903 130%, 5,472 43%, 2,358 4%, 147 7%, 16 7%, 7 -2,000 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 Danville Dublin Livermore Pleasanton San Ramon Alameda Unincorporated Contra Costa UnincorporatedEmployment Existing Manufacturing Employment Manufacturing Employment Growth -4%, -15 24%, 165 23%, 797 36%, 449 1%, 7 6%, 18 1%, 1 -1,000 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 Danville Dublin Livermore Pleasanton San Ramon Alameda Unincorporated Contra Costa UnincorporatedEmployment Existing Trade/Wholesale Employment Trade/Wholesale Employment Growth Tri-Valley Transportation Council │ 2020 Nexus Fee Update Study August 2021 │ Final 13 Employment growth was converted to square feet of commercial building space based on employee density assumed from the 2008 Nexus Study. These conversions are shown in Table 7 below. Table 7: Employment Growth Converted to Square Commercial Building Space Land Use Type Employee Growth 2020-2040 Employee Density (SF/Employee) In Building Square Footage 2020-2040 Retail 10,235 500 5,117,572 Office/Service 22,656 300 6,796,911 Industrial1 10,321 900 9,289,204 Other 20,735 600 12,440,969 Total 63,947 - 33,644,656 1 Industrial includes agriculture, manufacturing, and trading employment-types. 2.2.3 COMPARISON WITH 2008 NEXUS STUDY A comparison of the total growth (base year to horizon year) and the annual growth rates between the 2008 Nexus Study and the 2020 Nexus Study forecast is presented in Table 8. The household growth estimated in the current 2020 Nexus Study is approximately half as much as estimated in the 2008 Nexus Study. The employment growth is estimated to be slightly lower than the 2008 Nexus Study. A slower build-out results in smaller amount of development being available to pay towards improvement projects. Table 8: Overall Growth Comparison Total Growth Annual Growth Household Employment Household Employment 2008 Nexus Study (2007 to 2030 Growth) 51% 42% 1.81% 1.54% 2020 Nexus Study (2020 to 2040 Growth) 24% 30% 1.09% 1.34% Detailed comparison household and employment are discussed in the following sections. 2.2.3.1 Household Table 9, Table 10 and Figure 11 presents a comparison of the household growth between 2008 Nexus Study and the 2020 refined growth forecast. Single family housing experienced 4% less growth than anticipated in the 2008 Nexus Study. Multifamily housing experienced 10% less growth than anticipated in the 2008 Nexus Study. The multifamily growth trend is similar between the 2008 and 2020 Nexus Study. Tri-Valley Transportation Council │ 2020 Nexus Fee Update Study August 2021 │ Final 14 Figure 10: 2008 Nexus and 2020 Refined Dwelling Unit Forecast 0 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 120,000 140,000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045Dwelling Units2008 Nexus - Single Family 2020 Update - Single Family 2008 Nexus - Multifamily 2020 Update - Multifamily Tri-Valley Transportation Council │ 2020 Nexus Fee Update Study August 2021 │ Final 15 Table 9: Household Growth Comparison Dwelling Type 2008 Nexus Study 2020 Nexus Study 2007 2030 2007- 2030 Growth Percent Change Annual Growth 2018 2040 2020- 2040 Growth Percent Change Annual Growth Single Family 91,136 129,818 38,682 42% 1.55% 107,944 123,800 15,856 15% 0.69% Multifamily 21,959 41,042 19,083 87% 2.76% 29,449 46,905 17,456 59% 2.35% Total 113,095 170,860 57,765 51% 1.81% 137,393 170,705 33,312 24% 1.09% Table 10: Actual Versus Projected 2020 Household Values Dwelling Type 2020 Projected 2020 Actual Difference Percent Difference Single Family 113,000 107,944 -5,056 -4% Multifamily 32,745 29,449 -3,296 -10% Total 145,745 137,393 -8,352 -6% Note: 2020 Projected assumes linear growth based on 2007-2030 growth assumed in 2008 Nexus Study Tri-Valley Transportation Council │ 2020 Nexus Fee Update Study August 2021 │ Final 16 2.2.3.2 Employment Table 11, Table 12, Figure 12, and Figure 13 presents a comparison of the employment growth between 2008 Nexus Study and the 2020 Nexus Study. All employment types except for Other are forecast to experience less growth than anticipated in the 2008 Nexus Study. Retail and Other employment experience higher growth at 15% and 8% more than 2020 estimate. For Agriculture employment, there was a -7% difference. Service, manufacturing, and trading employment experienced the greatest difference, ranging from -37% to -43% compared to employment numbers anticipated for 2020 in 2008 Nexus Study. While the actual numbers differ from the anticipated growth assumed in 2008 Nexus Study, the 2020 Nexus Study is anticipating similar growth trends as the previous study for all employment types. Figure 11: 2008 Nexus Study and 2020 Nexus Study Employment Forecast (Retail, Service, Other) 0 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 120,000 140,000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045Employment 2008 Nexus - Retail 2020 Update - Retail 2008 Nexus - Service 2020 Update - Service 2008 Nexus - Other 2020 Update - Other Tri-Valley Transportation Council │ 2020 Nexus Fee Update Study August 2021 │ Final 17 Figure 12: 2008 Nexus Study and 2020 Nexus Study Employment Forecast (Agriculture, Manufacturing, Trading) 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045Employment 2008 Nexus Agriculture 2020 Update - Agriculture 2008 Nexus - Manufacturing 2020 Update - Manufacturing 2008 Nexus - Trading 2020 Update - Trading Tri-Valley Transportation Council │ 2020 Nexus Fee Update Study August 2021 │ Final 18 Table 11: Employment Growth Comparison Employment Type 2008 Nexus Study 2020 Nexus Study 2007 2030 2007- 2030 Growth Percent Change Annual Growth 2020 2040 2020- 2040 Growth Percent Change Annual Growth Retail 36,806 48,927 12,121 33% 1.25% 50,168 60,403 10,235 20% 0.93% Service 83,608 129,427 45,819 55% 1.92% 69,029 91,685 22,656 33% 1.43% Other 54,076 69,459 15,383 28% 1.09% 67,621 88,356 20,735 31% 1.35% Agriculture 1,483 1,182 -301 -20% -0.98% 1,225 1,224 -1 0% 0.00% Manufacturing 20,048 30,895 10,847 54% 1.90% 14,942 23,842 8,900 60% 2.36% Trading 10,986 14,371 3,385 31% 1.17% 7,338 8,760 1,422 19% 0.89% Total 207,007 294,261 87,254 42% 1.54% 210,323 274,270 63,947 30% 1.34% Table 12: Actual Versus Projected 2020 Employment Values Employment Type 2020 Projected 2020 Actual Difference Percent Difference Retail 42,603 42,603 7,565 15% Service 105,521 105,521 -36,492 -37% Other 61,433 61,433 6,188 8% Agriculture 1,339 1,339 -114 -7% Manufacturing 25,236 25,236 -10,294 -43% Trading 12,605 12,605 -5,267 -43% Total 248,737 248,737 -38,414 -18% Note: 2020 Projected assumes linear growth based on 2007-2030 growth assumed in 2008 Nexus Study Tri-Valley Transportation Council │ 2020 Nexus Fee Update Study August 2021 │ Final 19 3 IMPROVEMENT PROJECTS AND COST ESTIMATES This chapter presents the 38 improvement projects included as part of the 2020 Nexus Updates. 3.1 IMPROVEMENT PROJECTS There are 38 improvement projects that the TVTC has included in the Tri-Valley Transportation Development Fee (TVTDF) for the 2020 Nexus Study. Of those projects, 15 projects exist in the current TVTDF and 23 that are to be considered as part of this nexus update study. 3.1.1 CURRENT PROJECT LIST Current projects are divided into two lists. The first list, List A, includes 7 projects that were included in the original program adopted in 1995. The second list, List B, includes 8 projects that were included in the 2008 Nexus Study. Out of the 27 existing projects, 10 projects have been completed and are no longer considered for further funding. In addition, two projects (B-9 Danville Boulevard/Stone Valley Road I-680 Intersection and B-11a I-680 HOV Direct Access Ramps) have been removed from the project list and are no longer being considered for funding (for a total of 12 projects removed from the prior lists). The remaining projects have not been fully completed. Table 13 summaries the projects in List A and B along with their total project costs and their remaining unfunded cost. Detailed description of projects in Lists A and B are provided in Appendix A. 3.1.2 NEW SELECTED PROJECT LIST With almost half of the current project list completed and no longer receiving funding, TVTC reviewed and selected additional projects to be considered for receiving funding from the TVTDF. This selection process involved a comprehensive planning process to develop a project list that mitigates the impacts of new development based on feasibility and stakeholder support. From this process, 23 additional projects (List C) were identified to receive funding from the TVTDF. List C projects, along with their total project costs and their remaining unfunded costs are listed in Table 14. Detailed descriptions of projects in List C are provided in Appendix B. 3.2 UNFUNDED COST Tables 13 and 14 presents total project cost and their remaining unfunded cost. The total investment for projects eligible to receive TVTDF funding is estimated to be $4.470 billion, where $3.677 billion is unfunded. An additional reduction was applied to account for external “cut-though” trips on roadway congestion projects. Future development within the Tri-Valley area is not responsible to pay for these trips since these trips are caused by growth outside of the Tri-Valley area. This reduces the total unfunded cost to be covered by the maximum TVTDF to $2.928 billion. Note that this does not change the overall project costs. The funded amount includes the current TVTDF amount currently allocated toward projects as well as additional federal, state, regional, or local funding sources. Based on input received from member Tri-Valley Transportation Council │ 2020 Nexus Fee Update Study August 2021 │ Final 20 jurisdictions, it is anticipated that approximately $793.24 million of funding has been identified for the current project list. Appendices A and B include a cost estimate and a portfolio of likely funding sources. Table 13: Existing Projects – List A& B Project Total Cost (2021 $Millions) Unfunded Cost (2021 $Millions) A-1 Interstate 580 (I-580)/Interstate 680 (I-680) Interchange (southbound to eastbound) - - A-2a State Route 84 (SR 84) Expressway (I-580 to I-680) $325.4 - A-2b SR 84/I-580 Interchange $22.7 $6.42 A-3 I-680 Auxiliary Lanes (Segment 2) - - A-4 West Dublin/Pleasanton Bay Area Rapid Transit (BART) Station - - A-5a I-580 Eastbound Auxiliary Lane - - A-5b I-580 High Occupancy Vehicle (HOV) Lane Westbound - - A-6 I-680 HOV Lanes, SR 84 to Top of Sunol Grade - - A-7 I-580/Foothill Road/San Ramon Road Interchange Modifications - - A-8 I-680/Alcosta Boulevard Interchange - - A-9a Crow Canyon Road Improvements Phase 1 $10.87 $8.42 A-9b Crow Canyon Road Improvements Phase 2 $58.77 $57.08 A-10a Vasco Road Safety Improvements Phase 1 $40.57 $11.14 A-10b Vasco Road Safety Improvements Phase 2 $31.20 $28.62 A-11 Express Bus/Bus Rapid Transit (BRT) – Phase 2 $22.35 $21.21 B-1 I-580/I-680 Interchange (westbound to southbound) $1,785.65 $1,746.65 B-2 Fifth Eastbound Lane on I-580 from Santa Rita Road to Vasco Road - - B-3 I-580/First Street Interchange Modification $61.00 $7.93 B-4 I-580/Vasco Road Interchange Modification $85.65 $16.61 B-5 I-580/Greenville Road Interchange Modification $86.00 $18.92 B-6 Jack London Boulevard Extension $28.16 $10.08 B-7 El Charro Road Extension (Stoneridge Drive/Jack London Boulevard to Stanley Boulevard) $72.48 $72.48 B-8 Camino Tassajara/Tassajara Road Widening Project (East of Blackhawk Drive to North Dublin Ranch Drive) $88.08 $54.55 B-9 Danville Boulevard/Stone Valley Road I-680 Interchange Improvements - - B-10 I-680 Southbound HOV Lane Gap Closure (North Main Street to Rudgear Road) - - B-11a I-680 HOV Direct Access Ramps - - B-11b I-680 Transit Corridor Improvements $277.85 $274.85 Note: Completed or removed projects that are no longer considered for further funding are shaded. Tri-Valley Transportation Council │ 2020 Nexus Fee Update Study August 2021 │ Final 21 Table 14: New Selected Projects – List C Project Total Cost (Millions) Unfunded Cost (Millions) C-1 Tesla Road Safety Improvements $13.19 $13.19 C-2 Norris Canyon Road Safety Improvement $24.49 $18.49 C-3 Dublin Boulevard – North Canyons Parkway Extensions $160.39 $134.91 C-4 Vasco Road at Dalton Avenue Intersection Improvements $3.39 $3.39 C-5 El Charro Road Widening $68.09 $38.09 C-6 Sunol/680 Interchange Improvements $16.60 $7.60 C-7 I-680 Express Lanes – Hwy 84 to Alcosta $527.57 $507.57 C-8 Santa Rita/I-580 Interchange $10.33 $2.63 C-9 Stoneridge/I-680 Interchange $11.98 $4.08 C-10 Innovate 680 $57.21 $54.66 C-11a Iron Horse Trail Bicycle-Pedestrian Overcrossing – Bollinger Canyon Road $22.88 $8.58 C-11b Iron Horse Trail Bicycle-Pedestrian Overcrossing – Crow Canyon Road $19.69 $19.69 C-11c Iron Horse Trail – Dublin $11.60 - C-11d Iron Horse Trail – Livermore $26.99 $26.99 C-11e Iron Horse Trail to Shadow Cliffs $1.65 $0.30 C-11f Iron House Trail Connection Improvements at Santa Rita Road $0.87 $0.48 C-11g Iron Horse Trail Bicycle/Pedestrian Overcrossing – Sycamore Valley Road $19.78 $19.78 C-11h Iron Horse Trail Safety Improvements $85.60 $85.60 C-12 Hacienda/I-580 Interchange Improvements $39.13 $34.50 C-13 Fallon/El Charro Interchange Improvements $34.51 $19.96 C-14 Valley Link Rail (Phase 1) $258.25 $258.25 C-15 Technology Enhancements $0.33 $0.33 C-16 I-680 Express Bus Service $59.35 $59.35 Tri-Valley Transportation Council │ 2020 Nexus Fee Update Study August 2021 │ Final 22 4 NEXUS FINDINGS This chapter presents the relationship of between the increase travel demand from new development, the cost of improvements needed to accommodate that growth, and the impact fee to fund those investments. 4.1 OVERALL METHODOLOGY Impact fees may be calculated using a purely technical method that would fund the cost of facilities required to accommodate growth. The four steps followed in any development impact fee study include the following: 1. Prepare growth projections; 2. Identify facility standards; 3. Determine the amount and cost of facilities required to accommodate new development based on facility standards and growth projections; and 4. Calculate the public facilities fee by allocating the total cost of facilities per unit of development. This nexus study results in a calculation of the maximum fee based on the list of projects identified in Chapter 3 (and described in Appendices A and B) to the greatest extent technically defensible under the Mitigation Fee Act. Consistent with the TVTC’s directions, the full cost of funding these improvements is used to calculate the maximum fee rates the TVTC could apply to all new residential and non-residential development in the Tri-Valley between 2020 and 2040. 4.2 MITIGATION FEE AC T FINDINGS Development impact fees are one-time fees typically paid when a building permit is issued and imposed on development projects by local agencies responsible for regulating land use (cities and counties). To guide the widespread imposition of public facilities fees, the State Legislature adopted the Mitigation Fee Act (Act) with Assembly Bill 1600 in 1987 and subsequent amendments. The Act, contained in California Government Code Sections 66000 through 66025, establishes requirements on local agencies for the imposition and administration of fee programs. The Act requires local agencies to document five findings when adopting a fee. The five statutory findings required for adoption of the TVTC updated impact fee were adopted when the first TVTC fee was adopted in 1995 and subsequently again when the Nexus Study was updated in 2008 and 2017. They are presented here and supported by the Nexus Analysis section (Chapter 2) of this report. All statutory references below are to the Act. This sample framework for the Mitigation Fee Act findings is only to provide local agencies with guidance and is not a substitute for legal advice. Local agencies will customize the findings for their jurisdiction and consult with their legal counsel prior to adoption of the updated TVTDF. 4.2.1 PURPOSE OF FEE For the first finding, the local agency must identify the purpose of the fee (Section 66001(a)(1)). The TVTC policy, as expressed through the TVTC Action Plan, is that new development shall contribute for mitigation of their impacts on the Routes of Regional Significance, and that the cost sharing of recommended improvements will be implemented through the TVTDF regional impact fee program. This is administered by the seven jurisdictions of Alameda County, Contra Costa County, Dublin, Pleasanton, Livermore, Danville, and San Ramon, which all signed a joint powers authority (JPA). The fee advances a legitimate Tri-Valley Transportation Council │ 2020 Nexus Fee Update Study August 2021 │ Final 23 public interest by enabling the TVTC to fund improvements to transportation infrastructure required to accommodate new development. 4.2.2 USE OF FEE REVENUES For the second finding, the local agency must identify the use to which the fee is to be put. If the use is financing public facilities, the facilities shall be identified. That identification may, but need not, be made by reference to a capital improvement plan, as specified in Section 65403 or 66002, may be made in applicable general or specific plan requirements, or may be made in other public documents that identify the public facilities for which the fee is charged (Section 66001(a)(2)). The TVTDF will fund expanded facilities on the Routes of Regional Significance to serve new development. These facilities include the following: • Roadway widening; • Roadway extension; • Traffic signal coordination and other traffic improvements; • Freeway interchanges and related freeway improvements; • Active transportation (pedestrian/bicycle) improvements; • Safety improvements needed to mitigate the higher volume of traffic generated by new development on a major arterial or other regional facility; and • Improvements required for regional express bus and rail transit. 4.3 BENEFIT RELATIONSHIP The nexus must show a reasonable benefit relationship between the fee’s use and the type of development project upon which the fee is imposed. In other words, the nexus must demonstrate that the improvement projects will mitigate the impacts of new development upon which the fee is imposed. This section describes the methodology and results for establishing the benefit relationship. 4.3.1 METHODOLOGY The previous 2008 Nexus Study used a model-based delay methodology to determine how List A and List B would mitigate the impacts of new development by comparing vehicle hours of delay (VHD) from the 2005 base year with the Future 2030 No-build and Future 2030 Build scenarios. Given that some of the new recommended projects cannot be effectively analyzed using this same methodology, additional methodologies are being introduced as part of this update to appropriately assess the benefits of some select projects. To facilitate this approach, projects were aggregated into different improvement categories. These categories include roadway capacity, transit, safety, pedestrian/bicycle, intersection, and technology. If the project’s benefit could not be sufficiently analyzed based on model-delay, either because the project could not be reflected in the model or that the model is insensitive to the benefits associated with a specific project, the project was categorized as a safety, pedestrian/bicycle, intersection, or technology improvement and accordingly analyzed using off-model techniques. Since these improvement categories improve different aspects of the transportation system, differing methodologies and measures of effectiveness (MOEs) are necessary to appropriately evaluate their anticipated benefit to the transportation system. It should be noted some projects could be categorized into multiple improvement types; however, projects were limited to the category which best reflects their primary benefit for the purposes of supporting this Nexus Study. Table Tri-Valley Transportation Council │ 2020 Nexus Fee Update Study August 2021 │ Final 24 15 summarizes the different methodology and MOEs that are proposed for this evaluation. A full list of how each project was categorized is included in Appendix C. Table 15: Methodology and Improvements Improvement Type Methodology MOE/Benefit Roadway Capacity Model-based Delay • AM and PM Peak Hour Delay (combined with Transit and Pedestrian/Bicycle Improvement Categories) Transit Model-based Delay • AM and PM Peak Hour Delay (combined with Capacity and Pedestrian/Bicycle Improvement Categories) Safety Crash Reduction Factors • Crash Reduction Estimates • Qualitative Assessment of Resultant Delay Reduction Pedestrian/ Bicycle Planning-level Assessment Based on NCHRP 552 • Delay Based on the Conversion of Estimated Commuter Usage of Proposed Facilities (combined with Capacity • and Transit Improvement Categories) • Crash Reduction Estimates Intersection Planning-level Assessment • Qualitative Assessment of Resultant Delay Reduction Technology Planning-level Assessment • Qualitative Assessment of Resultant Delay Reduction 4.3.2 ROADWAY CAPACITY AND TRANSIT IMPROVEMENTS Roadway capacity projects include improvements that involve increasing capacity such as widening a roadway to add additional through lanes or extending existing roadways. Transit projects include improvements that upgrade or expand existing transit service or assist with the implementation of new transit routes and services. Both roadway capacity and transit improvement projects were evaluated based on region wide delay derived using the CCTA travel demand model. Morning and evening region wide peak hours of delay from the two future scenarios, 2040 No-Build (without improvement projects) and 2040 Build (with improvement projects), were compared to the 2020 base year conditions. The 2040 No-Build scenario is based on a year 2040 transportation network that will carry all of the locally produced or attracted new trips, but that only includes improvements that are expected to be funded under the financially-constrained RTP without the proposed Tri-Valley Transportation Development Fee projects (List A, B, and C). The 2040 Build scenario is based on a year 2040 transportation network that includes all the additional improvements that are expected to be funded with the updated Tri-Valley Transportation Development Fee. Both the 2040 No-Build and 2040 Build project scenarios include all of the travel associated with new development within the Tri-Valley. Under both scenarios, travel associated with through trips was excluded from the resultant delay summary (i.e., trips that have origins and destinations outside the Tri-Valley). Excluding through trips is common practice for this analysis given that the impact of this travel is not generated by land uses within the Tri-Valley area and therefor assessing a fee is impractical. The improvement projects were evaluated using the aggregate regional peak-hour average weekday VHD delay on all the significant roadways (includes freeways, expressways arterials, and major collectors) in the Tri-Valley Transportation Council │ 2020 Nexus Fee Update Study August 2021 │ Final 25 Tri-Valley on the 2020 Base Year networks and the 2040 No-Build and Build networks. The aggregate VHD provide a reasonable system wide measure of the impact of new development on congestion and mobility. According to the CCTA travel demand model, between 2020 and 2040, if no projects are undertaken, the number of AM peak hours of delay is expected to increase 60 percent from 24,718 to 39,570 hours, while the number of PM peak hours of delay is expected to escalate 88 percent from 15,613 to 29,376 hours. If the projects are undertaken, the number of AM peak hours of delay would decrease 15 percent compared to the 2040 No-Build scenario, whereas, the number of PM peak hour of delay would decrease 23 percent. This modest improvement demonstrates that the proposed improvement projects only partially mitigate future congestion by ne w development. Table 16 and Figure 14 show the comparison between the Future 2040 Build and Future 2040 No-Build scenarios. In the aggregate, the comparison between the three scenarios showed that: 1) the 2020 Base Year conditions are better than the Future 2040 No-Build conditions; 2) the Future 2040 Build conditions are better than the Future 2040 No-Build; and 3) the Future 2040 Build conditions are not better than the 2020 Base Year conditions. These comparisons demonstrated that, in the aggregate, new development does not fund infrastructure needed to address existing deficiency caused by existing development. Table 16: Future Build vs No Build Scenario Vehicle Hours of Delay (VHD) Peak Period 2020 Base Year Future 2040 Difference No-Build Build No-Build Build AM Peak Hour 24,718 39,570 35,852 60% 45% PM Peak Hour 15,613 29,376 25,813 88% 65% Note: Hours of delay are based on trips with origin or destination in the TVTC region. Figure 13: Future Build vs No Build Scenario Vehicle Hours of Delay (VHD) Note: Hours of delay are based on trips with origin or destination in the TVTC region. 24,718 15,613 39,570 29,376 35,852 25,813 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 40,000 45,000 Morning Peak Hour Evening Peak HourVehicle Hours of Delay (VHD)2020 2040 No-Build 2040 Build Tri-Valley Transportation Council │ 2020 Nexus Fee Update Study August 2021 │ Final 26 In addition to reducing VHD, many roadway capacity and transit projects include additional secondary benefits to the transportation system. Many of these projects will result in safety benefits, as congestion can often exacerbate unsafe motoring conditions. Additionally, specific project attributes such as modifying interchanges or widening roadways to provide additional lanes so vehicles can safely maneuver along the roadway or provide space for slower moving vehicles during peak times can also improve safety. Other common project benefits may include pedestrian and bicycle improvements either directly or indirectly. For example, interchange can often be barriers for bicycles and pedestrian, however several of the interchange projects (e.g. C-12: Hacienda/I-580 Interchange Improvements and C-13: Fallon/El Charro Interchange Improvements) include bicycle and pedestrian improvements which close existing gaps and encourage more pedestrian and bicycle activity. Based on this analysis it is determined that the planned projects identified in this report will expand the capacity of the Routes of Regional Significance to accommodate the increased trips generated by new development and thus, there is a reasonable relationship between the use of the fee for these projects and the new development on which the fee will be imposed. 4.3.3 SAFETY IMPROVEMENTS Safety projects involves safety-related improvements such as shoulder widening, installing guardrail, installing median barriers, or realigning roadway. For these projects, a crash reduction factor was calculated based on each safety improvements being implemented. The crash reductions were subsequently applied to crash forecasts for the purpose of identifying future benefits. The safety improvements considered in the evaluation are listed below: • California Highway Patrol (CHP) Enforcement Area • Intersection Improvement • Shoulder Widening • Guard Rail Update • Roadway Median Barrier • Signal Timing Optimization • Guardrails • Roadway Realignment • Speed Feedback Signs • High Friction Pavement • Retaining Walls • Increased Super elevation • Additional Turn Lanes Each of the safety elements for the proposed improvements were converted to a total number of annual crash savings in the region based on the Caltrans’ Local Roadway Safety Manual (LRSM) and Federal Highway Authority’s (FHWA) Crash Modification Factors (CMF) Clearing House guide. CMFs are based on before and after research of safety improvement implementations. They indicate the proportion of future crashes that may be prevented by implementing a given countermeasure, reducing the crash frequency for an intersection or roadway segment. In other words, a CMF is a multiplicative factor used to compute the expected number of crashes after implementing a given countermeasure at a specific site. The CMF was applied to a crash forecast which was based on 5-years of historical crash data which resulted in fatality or injury. The reduction in crashes was then then converted to annual crash saving based on Highway Safety Improvement Program (HSIP) crash saving dollar amounts shown in Table 17. Tri-Valley Transportation Council │ 2020 Nexus Fee Update Study August 2021 │ Final 27 Table 17: HSIP Crash Saving Dollar Amounts Severity Crash Savings (per crash) Fatal $2,190,000 Serious $2,190,000 Moderate $142,300 Minor $80,900 Table 18 shows the overall annual crashes saving from traffic injuries that were potentially eliminated. Note that this analysis excludes property costs and as such should be conservative. Also note that the forecast only considers the effect of new traffic impacts and excludes the effect of existing conditions for the purposes of establishing Nexus. Table 18: Future Safety Benefits with Project Improvements Safety Benefits Total Fatal Serious Moderate Minor 5-Years Reduction in Crashes 153.0 2.5 14.1 45.3 91.0 1-Year Reduction in Crashes 30.6 0.5 2.8 9.1 18.2 Value per Annum (2019 Dollars) $10,048,590 $1,092,810 $6,192,599 $1,290,003 $1,473,178 As shown in Table 19, there is a direct cost benefit to the investments made for roadway safety improvements in the region. While it is difficult to estimate an absolute percentage in reduced peak hour delays, the expected reductions in crashes will also enhance system reliability and resilience. 4.3.4 PEDESTRIAN/BICYCLE IMPROVEMENTS While projects may include pedestrian and/or bicycle improvements, out of the 38 projects, project C-11 Iron Horse Trail Improvements is the only project that predominantly focuses on pedestrian and bicycle improvements. Project C-11 consists of various improvements to the Iron Horse Trail within the TVTC boundaries including overcrossing construction, closing existing gaps, and adding safety improvements through the trail system. Pedestrian and bicycle improvement were evaluated based on NCHRP 552 Guidelines for Analysis of Investments in Bicycle Facilities. This approach relies on spatial analysis techniques to determine the likely number of new active transportation users resulting from the introduction of a new pedestrian/bicycle improvement. Table 19 shows the comparison between the Future 2040 Build and Future 2040 No-Build scenarios. Table 19: Future Project Induced Daily Bicycle Demand Total Induced Demand 2020 Base Year Future 2040 No- Build Future 2040 Build Adult Bicyclists 1,275 1,778 3,338 Child Bicyclists 731 1,038 2,077 Total Facility Users 2,006 2,817 5,415 Tri-Valley Transportation Council │ 2020 Nexus Fee Update Study August 2021 │ Final 28 As shown in Table 19, Project C-11 could add over 2,500 bicycle trips per day on the Iron Horse Trail by 2040 which will provide an alternative to congested vehicular travel as well as significant health and recreational value. Closing existing gaps in the trail will also encourage bicycle trips for other trip purposes beyond just commute trips, including school, commercial and recreational trips. Project C-11 improvements will result in additional secondary operational and safety benefits. Currently many at-grade crossings are located at intersections with high vehicular, pedestrian, and bicycle volumes which are regularly disrupted by conflicting at-grade operations given required traffic signal phasing. These improvements will help improve vehicular traffic operations by relocating pedestrian and bicycle traffic away from vehicular traffic helping to offset the transportation impacts associated with future development. These improvements will also provide safety benefits by reducing the potential for vehicle-bicycle and vehicle- pedestrian conflicts. Using the same methodology described in the previous section, a separate safety analysis was conducted to quantify the safety benefits of all the C-11 project. Table 20 summarizes the safety benefit for Project C-11. Table 20: Safety Benefits with Project C-11 Safety Benefits Total Fatal Serious Moderate Minor Annual Reduction in Crashes 7 2 1 4 0 Value per Annum (2019 Dollars) $7,166,200 $4,380,000 $2,190,000 $596,200 - 4.3.5 INTERSECTION IMPROVEMENTS There are two projects in List C with intersection improvements. Project C-4: Vasco Road & Dalton Avenue intersection Improvements, includes the addition of a traffic lane, signal optimization, and other improvements such as shoulder widening and roadway alignment to improve safety. Vasco Road is a major commute corridor connecting the City of Livermore and City of Brentwood. The intersection at Dalton Avenue provides access to the communities in the San Ramon Valley. With the planned and anticipated residential and industrial development along the corridor, this intersection is expected to have significant delays during the peak hours of commute. Project C-8: Santa Rita and I-580 Interchange, will construct a second southbound left turn lane from Santa Rita onto Pimilico Drive. The City of Pleasanton General Plan has identified this intersection to have a reduced Level of Service under build out conditions. 4.3.6 TECHNOLOGY IMPROVEMENTS There are two technology projects in List C. While Project C-10: Innovate 680 consist of multiple components including transit infrastructure and service improvements, roadway improvements, and technology enhancement, this project has been categorized as a technology improvement because TVTDF funding is being requested only for the Advance Technology component of the project. Other project components are expected to be funded through alternative sources. The Advance Technology component consist of implementing three technology-related strategies to improve operation along the I-680 corridor. Strategies include providing an enhanced 511 mobile app and implementing a shared autonomous vehicles (SAV) program to shift travel away from single occupant vehicles by providing travelers with better information about mode choice opportunities, resultant travel time, cost per trip, and the availability of Tri-Valley Transportation Council │ 2020 Nexus Fee Update Study August 2021 │ Final 29 transit. Other technology strategies include integrating adaptive ramp metering and/or corridor/incident management systems which can help improve the efficiency and safety of the transportation system. Project C-15: Technology Enhancements proposes to provide connectivity for transit and vehicles between local arterials and regional facilities. The project is expected to be completed in three phases - Feasibility, Design, and Construction. The TVTDF will help fund the feasibility study phase of the study, since the details of the design and construction phase are unknown at this time. The feasibility study will focus on the first and last mile connectivity opportunities at key transit hubs and along major transit routes in the Tri- Valley area. Leveraging existing and emerging technology, such as connected and autonomous vehicles, may help increase safety and mobility for all modes. These technologies may also help with increasing transit ridership or expanding transit service to less-served areas, especially for communities that currently lack service. Given that the resultant projects are intended to offset the impacts of future development, the feasibility study is appropriate to include in the TVTC project list. 4.4 BURDEN RELATIONSHIP The need for the TVTDF is based on the forecasted increase in congestion on routes of regional significance as well as other transportation impacts resulting from new development. Consistent with the methodology from the 2008, the contribution by each land use was based on the proportion of average AM/PM trips generated by each land use. As demonstrated in this Study, there is a reasonable relationship between the need for the planned projects and the types of development upon which the fee is imposed because the planned projects will mitigate the transportation impacts of said new development. 4.4.1 TRIP RATE The 2008 Nexus Study used the 7th Edition of Institute of Transportation Engineers (ITE)’s Trip Generation Handbook to develop the trip rates for each land use category. Since then, three additional editions of the Trip Generation Handbook have been published for use, ending with the most recent 10th Edition. It was determined that for all categories except the ‘Other’ category, the trip rates would be developed using the 10th Edition rather than the 7th Edition for this update. In addition, consistent with the 2008 Nexus Study, the trip rates were developed based on adjacent street traffic rather than peak -hour of generator. A 30- percent reduction was also taken for retail trips to account for pass-by trips, consistent with the 2008 Nexus Study. Table 21 below summarizes the comparison in average AM and PM peak-hour trip rates by land use type. As shown in Table 21, every land use category results in a lower trip rate using the 10th Edition when compared to the 7th Edition. Table 21: AM/PM Peak-Hour Average Trip Rate Comparison Between 7th Edition and 10th Edition Land Use Type 7th Edition Average Trip Rate 10th Edition Average Trip Rate Difference Single-Family Residential 0.90 0.87 -0.03 Multi-Family Residential 0.62 0.51 -0.11 Retail 1.67 1.66 -0.01 Office 1.53 1.16 -0.37 Industrial 0.89 0.67 -0.22 Other 1.00 1.00 0.00 Tri-Valley Transportation Council │ 2020 Nexus Fee Update Study August 2021 │ Final 30 4.4.2 TOTAL TRIPS BY LAND USE The total number of trips generated by the growth in either dwelling units or square-feet for each land use category are shown in Table 22. As shown in Table 22, a total of 57,596 trip ends are generated by the land use growth between 2020 and 2040. The growth attributable to single-family residential units generates the largest number of trips, 13,716, or almost 25-percent of the total trips. The growth attributable to industrial employment or industrial buildings generates the fewest number of trips, 6,178, or just over 10- percent of the total trips. Table 22: Total Trip Ends by Land Use Category Land Use Type Growth (HH or Sq. Ft) Trip Rate Forecast Trips Single-Family Residential 15,857 0.87 13,716 Multi-Family Residential 17,456 0.51 8,903 Retail 5,117,500 1.66 8,508 Office 6,796,800 1.16 7,850 Industrial 9,289,800 0.67 6,178 Other 12,441,000 1.00 12,441 4.5 FEE ESTIMATION As required by the Mitigation Fee Act, the following section outlines the methodology for calculating the proposed fee and demonstrates how there is a reasonable relationship between the amount of the proposed fee and the cost of the public facility or portion of the public facility attributable to the development on which the fees will be imposed. The following steps were taken to determine the fee for each land use type: 1. Determine total unfunded cost. 2. Determine average AM/PM forecast peak-hour trips generated 3. Determine Fee per Land Use Category 4. Determine Maximum Fee 4.5.1 TOTAL UNFUNDED COST The total investment for projects eligible to receive TVTDF funding is estimated to be $4.470 billion, where $3.677 billion is unfunded. An additional reduction was applied to account for external “cut-though” trips on roadway congestion projects. Future development within the Tri-Valley area is not responsible to pay for these trips since these trips are caused by growth outside of the Tri-Valley area. This reduces the total unfunded cost to be covered by the maximum TVTDF to $2.928 billion. Note that this not change the overall project costs. 4.5.2 PEAK-HOUR TRIP FORECAST Section 4.4.2. describes how the peak hour forecast was determined. Based on Table 22, an average of 57,596 AM/PM peak hour trips are generated by the land use growth between 2020 and 2040. Tri-Valley Transportation Council │ 2020 Nexus Fee Update Study August 2021 │ Final 31 4.5.3 FEE PER LAND USE CATEGORY To determine the total project cost by category, each land use category’s share of the total trips generated by land use growth was multiplied by the total cost. An example calculation is shown below: 𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆 𝐹𝐹𝐹𝐹𝐹𝐹𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝐹𝐹 𝑅𝑅𝑆𝑆𝑅𝑅𝑆𝑆𝑅𝑅𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑅𝑅𝑆𝑆𝐹𝐹𝑆𝑆=$𝑋𝑋𝑋𝑋𝑋𝑋 𝑀𝑀𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑀𝑀𝑆𝑆 × 13,716 𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆 𝐹𝐹𝐹𝐹𝐹𝐹𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝐹𝐹 𝑅𝑅𝑆𝑆𝑅𝑅𝑆𝑆𝑅𝑅𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑅𝑅𝐹𝐹𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆 𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑆𝑆𝑇𝑇𝑅𝑅57,596 𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑅𝑅𝐹𝐹𝑆𝑆 𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝑆𝑆𝑇𝑇𝐹𝐹𝑅𝑅𝑆𝑆 𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑆𝑆𝑇𝑇𝑅𝑅 =$𝑋𝑋𝑋𝑋𝑋𝑋 𝑀𝑀𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑀𝑀𝑆𝑆 The total cost by land use category is shown in Table 23. As shown in Table 23, the total cost ranges from $396.27 million for industrial uses to $879.78 million for single-family residential uses. Table 23: Total Fee by Land Use Category Land Use Type Forecast Trips* Total Fee by Land Use (Millions) Single-Family Residential 13,716 $697.31 Multi-Family Residential 8,903 $452.62 Retail 8,508 $432.54 Office 7,850 $399.09 Industrial 6,178 $314.08 Other 12,441 $632.49 * Average AM/PM trip 4.5.4 MAXIMUM FEE To determine the maximum fee per dwelling unit, square-foot, or trip depending on the land use category, the total cost per category was divided by the total number of units, square-feet, or trips that occur between 2020 and 2040. An example calculation is shown below 𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆 𝐹𝐹𝐹𝐹𝐹𝐹𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝐹𝐹 𝑅𝑅𝑆𝑆𝑅𝑅𝑆𝑆𝑅𝑅𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑅𝑅𝑆𝑆𝐹𝐹𝑆𝑆=$𝑋𝑋𝑋𝑋𝑋𝑋 𝑀𝑀𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑀𝑀𝑆𝑆15,857 𝐷𝐷𝐷𝐷𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆 𝑈𝑈𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑅𝑅 =$𝑋𝑋𝑋𝑋𝑋𝑋 𝑝𝑝𝑆𝑆𝑝𝑝 𝑅𝑅𝐷𝐷𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆 𝑢𝑢𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑅𝑅 The maximum fees are summarized in Table 24. As shown in Table 24, the maximum fee for a single- family residential unit is $43,397 while the maximum fee for one square-foot of retail use is $84.52. Historically the TVTC has not applied the maximum fee schedule. For both the 1995 and 2008 nexus studies, the TVTC jurisdiction set rates at approximate one-third of the maximum fee calculated in the 1995 and 2008 Nexus studies to help foster growth within the Tri-Valley area, while providing a regional funding source that could be used to match and help compete for Federal and State transportation grants and funding programs. Tri-Valley Transportation Council │ 2020 Nexus Fee Update Study August 2021 │ Final 32 Table 24: Total Cost and Maximum Fee by Land Use Category Land Use Type Growth Maximum Fee Single-Family Residential 15,857 DU $43,976 per DU Multi-Family Residential 17,456 DU $25,928 per DU Retail 5,117,500 SF $84.52 per SF Office 6,796,800 SF $58.72 per SF Industrial 9,289,800 SF $33.81 per SF Other 12,441 trips* $50,839 per trip* Note: Reduction cost is only provided for comparison purposes and should not be seen as the preferred fees.* Average AM/PM trip Tri-Valley Transportation Council │ 2020 Nexus Fee Update Study August 2021 │ Final 33 5 NEXT STEPS This report documents the findings needed to adopt a fee schedule to fund the improvements projects elected to receive funding from the TVTDF. Below are next steps needed for the TVTC to adopt a fee schedule that is most appreciate for their needs. 5.1 ADJUSTMENT TO MAXIMUM FEE CALCULATION As previously discussed, the maximum fee would generate sufficient revenues to fund the total unfunded cost of all selected projects. However, if the TVTC adopts fee schedule below the maximum, this would result in revenue shortfall and TVTC would need to take one or both of the following actions: • Increase funding from other sources • Fund selected projects or project phases 5.1.1 INCREASE FUNDING FROM OTHER SOURCES TVTC could reduce the funding shortfall for specific projects by increasing funding form other federal, state, regional, and local fund sources. Some potential funding sources as listed below: • Federal o One Bay Area Grant Program (OBAG) • State o State Transportation Improvement Program (STIP) o Senate Bill 1 (SB 1) o Office of Traffic Safety (OTS) Grant o Active Transportation Program (ATP) • Regional o Transportation Fund for Clean Air (TFCA) County Program Manager (CPM) Fund Local o Measure B & Measure BB o Measure J • Local o Traffic Impact/Mitigation Fees o Development Fees o General Purpose Funds 5.1.2 FUND SELECTED PROJECTS OR PROJECT PHASES TVTC could determine to fund the full amount for selected projects or fund certain phases of the project such as the planning or design phase of a project. 5.2 UPDATE STRATEGIC EXPENDITURE PLAN (SEP) Once the final fee schedule has been adopted TVTC should update the SEP to set priority for which projects should be funded first. Tri-Valley Transportation Council │ 2020 Nexus Fee Update Study August 2021 │ Final 34 APPENDIX A – Existing TVTC Projects B – Additional TVTC Projects C – Project Improvement Category Tri-Valley Transportation Council │ 2020 Nexus Fee Update Study August 2021 │ Final 35 APPENDIX A – EXISTING TVTC PROJECTS A -1. I-580/I-680 INTERCHANGE (SOUTHBOUND TO EASTBOUND) TVTC Project Sponsor: Alameda County Lead Agency: Caltrans Project Description: Project A-1 was located at the I-580 and I-680 interchange. The project constructed the southbound to eastbound flyover, northbound to eastbound direct connector, southbound on- and off- loop ramps, and a northbound on-ramp. The project was needed to improve safety and reduce congestion on southbound and northbound I-680 near I-580, and mitigate the impacts of local and regional growth in housing and employment. This project was approved by the voters of Alameda County, as a portion of the Measure B sales tax program. Status: This project has been completed. A -2A. SR 84 EXPRESSWAY (I-580 TO I-680) TVTC Project Sponsor: City of Livermore, City of Pleasanton Lead Agency: Alameda County Transportation Commission (ACTC) Project Description: Project A-2a is located along SR 84 between I-580 and I-680 in Livermore and Pleasanton. The project will widen and reconstruct SR 84 to expressway standards. The ultimate configuration is expected to consist of six lanes from I-580 to Stanley Boulevard and four lanes from Stanley Boulevard to I-680. The project has been segmented into five primary sections: • Segment 1 (I-580 to Jack London Boulevard) – widening and Phase I of the I-580/SR 84 Interchange project (Project A-2b). • Segment 2 (Jack London Boulevard to a point roughly halfway between Concannon Boulevard and Stanley Boulevard) – widening existing configuration from two lanes to four lanes and from four lanes to six lanes. • Segment 3 (Halfway between Concannon Boulevard and Stanley Boulevard to Ruby Hill Drive) – widening from two lanes to four lanes. • Segment 4 (Ruby Hill Drive to Pigeon Pass) – straightening the roadway alignments and adding truck climbing lanes. • Segment 5 (Pigeon Pass to I-680) – widening the roadway from two lanes to four lanes and improvements at the SR 84/I-680 interchange. Status: Below is the status of the project. • Final design and right-of-way acquisition was completed in September 2020. • Construction began in May 2021. • Completion of construction is anticipated in spring 2024. Tri-Valley Transportation Council │ 2020 Nexus Fee Update Study August 2021 │ Final 36 Cost Estimate and Funding Sources Segment 3: Cost (Millions) $105.40 Funding (Millions) Measure B $34.87 Measure BB $10.00 State $47.03 Local (CMA-TIP) $2.00 Local (City) $1.50 TVTDF $10.00 Total Funding (Millions) $105.40 Total Funding Shortfall (Millions) $0.00 Segment 5: Cost (Millions) $244.10 Funding (Millions) Measure B $1.05 Measure BB $123.40 State (SB 1 LPP) $8.60 Regional Improvement Program (RIP) $11.11 Regional Measure 3 (RM 3) $85.00 TVTDF $14.94 Total Funding (Millions) $244.10 Total Funding Shortfall (Millions) $0.00 A -2B. SR 84/I-580 INTERCHANGE TVTC Project Sponsor: City of Livermore Lead Agency: Caltrans and City of Livermore Project Description: Project A-2b is located in Livermore, at the intersection of I-580 and Isabel Avenue including Portal Avenue. The project consists of two phases: • Phase 1 – The Isabel Avenue Interchange project which included replacing the I-580/Portola Avenue interchange with the I-580/Isabel Avenue-SR 84 interchange. Phase I also included realignment of Isabel Avenue and the realignment and extension of Portola Avenue from East Airway Boulevard to Isabel Avenue. • Phase 2 – The ultimate improvements at the I-580/Isabel Avenue-SR 84 Interchange are to provide six lanes over I-580 at the Isabel Avenue-SR 84 Interchange and four lanes over I-580 at the Portola Avenue overcrossing. Status: A programmatic environmental assessment and right-of-way acquisition is complete. Tri-Valley Transportation Council │ 2020 Nexus Fee Update Study August 2021 │ Final 37 • Phase 1 – Construction of Phase I of the project was completed in March 2012. • Phase 2 – Conceptual design is approved. Project development activities are anticipated to begin in 2023. Cost Estimate and Funding Sources Phase 2: A -3. I-680 AUXILIARY LANES (SEGMENT 2) TVTC Project Sponsor: Town of Danville Lead Agency: Contra Costa Transportation Authority (CCTA) Project Description: Project A-3 was located along I-680 in Danville and constructed auxiliary lanes in both directions between Crow Canyon Road in San Ramon and Sycamore Valley Road in Danville. The project was the last segment of auxiliary lanes in both directions of I-680 between Bollinger Canyon Road in San Ramon and Diablo Road in Danville. Status: This project has been completed. A -4. WEST DUBLIN/PLEASANTON BART STATION TVTC Project Sponsor: City of Dublin, City of Pleasanton Lead Agency: BART Project Description: Project A-4 was located in Dublin and Pleasanton and constructed the West Dublin/Pleasanton BART station and related transit improvements. The project was a joint public and private venture to build a station on the active BART line in the median of I-580. The related transit improvements were located on both the north (Dublin) and south (Pleasanton) sides of the freeway on property owned by BART and included patron parking garages, passenger pick-up and drop-offs, and bus drop-offs. Status: This project has been completed. Cost (Millions) $22.00 Funding (Millions) Livermore Traffic Impact Fee (TIF) $16.28 TVTDF $5.15 Total Funding (Millions) $21.43 Total Funding Shortfall (Millions) $0.57 Tri-Valley Transportation Council │ 2020 Nexus Fee Update Study August 2021 │ Final 38 A -5A. I-580 EASTBOUND AUXILIARY LANE TVTC Project Sponsor: City of Pleasanton Lead Agency: Alameda CTC Project Description: Project A-5a was located along eastbound I-580 from Hacienda Drive in Pleasanton and Greenville Road in Livermore. The project constructed eastbound auxiliary lanes between Isabel Avenue and North Livermore Avenue and between North Livermore Avenue and First Street in Livermore. In addition, the project included widening two eastbound bridges at Arroyo-Los Positas Road and adding final asphalt concrete pavement across all lanes in the eastbound direction from Hacienda Drive to Greenville Road. Status: This project has been completed. A -5B. I-580 HOV LANE WESTBOUND TVTC Project Sponsor: City of Pleasanton Lead Agency: Alameda CTC Project Description: Project A-5b was located along westbound I-580 from Greenville Road in Livermore to Foothill Road overcrossing in Dublin and Pleasanton. The project constructed westbound HOV lanes and rehabilitated existing pavement. The project increased capacity, safety, and efficiency for commuters and freight along the primary trade corridor connecting the Bay Area with the Central Valley. The project was completed in two segments: • East Segment – Greenville Road overcrossing to Isabel Avenue in Livermore • West Segment – Isabel Avenue to Foothill Road overcrossing Status: This project has been completed. A -6. I-680 HOV LANES, SR 84 TO TOP OF SUNOL GRADE TVTC Project Sponsor: City of Pleasanton Lead Agency: Caltrans and Alameda CTC Project Description: Project A-6 was located along southbound I-680 between SR-84 and the top of the Sunol Grade. The project constructed HOV lanes along approximately a 3.5-mile segment of I-680. Status: This project has been completed. Tri-Valley Transportation Council │ 2020 Nexus Fee Update Study August 2021 │ Final 39 A -7. I-580/FOOTHILL ROAD/SAN RAMON ROAD INTERCHANGE MODIFICATIONS TVTC Project Sponsor: City of Pleasanton Lead Agency: Caltrans Project Description: Project A-7 was located at the intersection of the I-580 ramps and Foothill Road in Pleasanton. The project constructed improvements to improve intersection operations and safety. The project modified the intersection to remove the direct eastbound to southbound connection and eastbound to northbound loop connection so that it terminates into a “T” style signalized intersection at Foothill Road just south of the Foothill Road Bridge. Status: This project has been completed. A -8. I-680/ALCOSTA BOULEVARD INTERCHANGE TVTC Project Sponsor: City of San Ramon Lead Agency: Caltrans Project Description: Project A-8 was located at the I-680/Alcosta Boulevard interchange in San Ramon. The project reconstructed the southbound off-ramp and added a new on-ramp to improve operations at the interchange. This project closed the southbound off-ramp and built new on- and off-ramps north of Alcosta Boulevard. Status: This project has been completed. A -9 A. CROW CANYON ROAD IMPROVEMENTS PHASE 1 TVTC Project Sponsor: Alameda County Lead Agency: Alameda County Project Description: Project A-9a is located along Crow Canyon Road between E. Castro Valley Boulevard and the Alameda/Contra Costa County line. Project A-9a is Phase 1 of a two-phase safety improvement project along Crow Canyon Road. Please refer to Project A-9b for details on Phase 2. Phase 1 safety improvements include speed feedback signs, shoulder widening, California Highway Patrol (CHP) enforcement areas, and guard rail modifications. Overall, the short-term safety improvements will facilitate traffic safety and operations, while reducing congestion for residents traveling between Alameda and Contra Costa Counties. Status: The project is currently in the Preliminary Engineering/Environmental Studies stage. Construction of Phase 1 is to be determined. Tri-Valley Transportation Council │ 2020 Nexus Fee Update Study August 2021 │ Final 40 Cost and Funding Source Cost (Millions) $18.87 Funding (Millions) CMA TIP $0.45 Local Alameda County $0.45 TVTDF $1.55 Total Funding (Millions) $2.45 Total Funding Shortfall (Millions) $8.42 A -9B. CROW CANYON ROAD IMPROVEMENTS PHASE 2 TVTC Project Sponsor: Alameda County Lead Agency: Alameda County Project Description: Project A-9b is located along Crow Canyon Road between E. Castro Valley Boulevard and the Alameda/Contra Costa County Line. Project A-9b is Phase 2 of the two-phase safety improvement project along Crow Canyon Road. Please refer to Project A-9a for details on Phase 1. Phase 2 safety improvements include roadway realignment, shoulder widening, roundabouts, two-way left turn lanes (as needed), and tunnels at post mile (PM) 2.15. This project will increase safety for motorists traveling along this major arterial roadway between Castro Valley in Alameda County and San Ramon in Contra Costa County. The realignment of various curves, shoulder widening, and tunnels at PM 2.15 will facilitate improved traffic operations and reduce congestion for residents traveling between Alameda and Contra Costa Counties. Status: This project is in the scoping stage. Construction is expected to begin after completion of Phase 1 (Project A-9a). Phasing and schedule have not yet been determined. Cost and Funding Source Cost (Millions) $58.77 Funding (Millions) TVTDF $1.69 Total Funding (Millions) $1.69 Total Funding Shortfall (Millions, 2015) $57.08 A -10A. VASCO ROAD SAFETY IMPROVEMENTS PHASE 1 TVTC Project Sponsor: Alameda County Lead Agency: Alameda County Tri-Valley Transportation Council │ 2020 Nexus Fee Update Study August 2021 │ Final 41 Project Description: Project A-10a is located along Vasco Road in Alameda County. Project A-10a is Phase 1 of the Vasco Road Safety Improvements, a two-phase safety improvement project along Vasco Road. The project includes roadway realignment, shoulder widening, and installment of median barriers along Vasco Road. Please refer to Project A-10b for details on Phase 2. Roadway realignments have been completed and consisted of straightening the alignment of Vasco Road at about 1.8-miles north of the Livermore city limits to the Alameda/Contra Costa county line. A median barrier has been installed between the Contra Costa County line and about 1.8-miles north of the Livermore city limits. The installation of median barriers eliminates crossover-type collisions that resulted in fatalities in the past. The realignment of tight curves facilitates Tri Delta bus services between Alameda and Contra Costa Counties. The remaining components of Phase 1 includes sub-standard shoulder modifications. Status: The utility relocation phase of this project has been completed. Construction of the realignment project was completed in November 2009. Installation of the median barriers was also completed. The Vasco Road Safety Improvement Project is scheduled to be constructed in two stages. Shoulder improvements for Phase 1 are expected to be completed by 2020. Cost and Funding Sources Cost (Millions) $40.57 Funding (Millions) Measure B $1.50 STIP $4.60 TCRP $6.50 Local Alameda County $2.81 STP/CMAQ $3.90 Prop 1-B $6.00 Fed demo $0.80 TVTDF $3.32 Total Funding (Millions) $29.43 Total Funding Shortfall (Millions, 2015) $11.14 A -10B. VASCO ROAD SAFETY IMPROVEMENTS PHASE 2 TVTC Project Sponsor: Alameda County Lead Agency: Alameda County Project Description: Project A-10b is located along Vasco Road in Alameda County. Project A-10b is Phase 2 of the Vasco Road Safety Improvements, a two-phase safety improvement project along Vasco Road. Please refer to Project A-10a for details on Phase 1. Phase 2 includes roadway realignment, shoulder widening, and installation of median barriers. This phase of the project will install median barriers along Vasco Road within Alameda County on portions of the roadway not covered by Phase 1. In addition, this phase will include shoulder widening and curve modifications, as needed. Phase 2 of Vasco Road will provide continuous median barrier protection Tri-Valley Transportation Council │ 2020 Nexus Fee Update Study August 2021 │ Final 42 between Contra Costa County and the City of Livermore. The installation of median barriers will eliminate crossover-type collisions that resulted in fatalities in the past. Status: The Phase 2 project is in the scoping stage. The Phase 2 project includes the PSR to be done by Alameda County. Cost and Funding Sources Cost (Millions) $31.20 Funding (Millions) TVTDF $2.58 Total Funding (Millions) $2.58 Total Funding Shortfall (Millions, 2015) $28.62 A -11. EXPRESS BUS/BUS RAPID TRANSIT (BRT) – PHASE 2 TVTC Project Sponsor: City of Dublin Lead Agency: Livermore Amador Valley Transit Authority (LAVTA) Project Description: Project A-11 is Phase 2 of the Express Bus/BRT, which consists of two phases. The express bus route associated with Phase 1 of the project has been operating since January 2011. Phase 2 includes upgrades to and expansion of the initial Rapid Project, as well as some project refinements, updates, and maintenance/replacement of original project elements and equipment based on evaluation of the existing components and conditions at the time of funding. The transit system priorities include the following elements: • A technologically advanced transit system • A multi-modal transportation system that supports the local economy • Prioritized regional transfers and connections • Reliability and efficiency that maximizes value to taxpayers and the community Phase 2 will consist of five key potential elements (based upon conditions at time of funding): 1. Advanced Technology – Design and installation of advanced technologies and road features allowing rapid transit to operate quickly and efficiently, and help to mitigate delay in dwell times, boardings, and travel times. Some of the advanced technologies and road features that LAVTA is considering for Phase 2 are: transit signal priority (TSP), enhanced stations, queue jumps, environmentally friendly coaches and advanced onboard technology, advanced fare collection systems, level boarding, dedicated travel lanes, and better integrated park and ride facilities and transit centers. Element 1 is currently budgeted at $2 Million. 2. North/South Express Bus/Rapid Service – In keeping with the Alameda Countywide Transit Plan, and in order to provide a strong foundation for LAVTA’s System, I-680 service expansion, North/South Express Bus/BRT service, and other Express/Rapid service options, will be explored and considered. Element 2 is currently budgeted at $6.5 Million. 3. Dublin Extension – Continued study and planning will be done on how best to integrate the planned extension of Dublin Boulevard and the planned Livermore BART Extension into LAVTA’s Express Bus/BRT service. Element 3 is currently budgeted at $6.5 Million. Tri-Valley Transportation Council │ 2020 Nexus Fee Update Study August 2021 │ Final 43 4. Pleasanton Alignment – Complete “Rapidization,” of the Livermore to Pleasanton alignment will be evaluated, with advanced technology and improved service elements planned for the south side of I-580, and possible connection to the existing Rapid service. Element 4 is currently budgeted at $1.5 Million. 5. Park and Ride Lots – In working with local cities and Alameda County, LAVTA will consider improved park and ride elements to support bus, biking, and walking access in the Tri-Valley, and to improve the accessibility of transportation alternatives that would ease congestion on I-580. These options might include: construction of new lots, smart signage, improved bicycle storage, increased pedestrian accessibility and safety, enhanced multi-modal elements on coaches, and increased or revised bus service to rail stations and regional transit connections. Element 5 is currently budgeted at $2 Million. Status: Phase 1 is fully completed and operational, as of January 2011. Phase 2 is in the research, design, and planning stage. In August 2016, LAVTA realigned the Express Bus/BRT Route (Route 30R) to serve Las Positas College, and transformed existing Route 10 into an Express Bus/BRT (Route 10R) operating through Pleasanton to BART. The transformation of Route 10 into Route 10R was the first step in implementation of the Phase 2 Pleasanton Alignment. LAVTA intends to implement additional items from Phase 2 (Advanced Technology) to both Routes 10R and 30R in 2017, which includes upgrading the traffic signal priority onboard the buses and at key intersections along both Rapid routes. Costs for Phase 2 have been updated to reflect current pricing for the project elements listed above. Phase 2 Scope of work, schedule, and full funding parameters are not known at this time. Cost and Funding Sources Phase 2: Cost (Millions) $22.35 Funding (Millions) TVTDF $1.14 Total Funding (Millions) $1.14 Total Funding Shortfall (Millions) $21.21 B -1. I-580/I-680 INTERCHANGE (WESTBOUND TO SOUTHBOUND) TVTC Project Sponsor: City of Dublin Lead Agency: Alameda CTC Project Description: Project B-1 is located at the I-580/I-680 Interchange in Alameda County. The proposed project limits are from 1,700 feet east of the Hacienda Drive Overcrossing to 2,000 feet west of the San Ramon Road Overcrossing along I-580, and from the Amador Valley Boulevard Undercrossing to 3,400 feet south of the Stoneridge Drive Overcrossing along I-680. Status: A Project Study Report-Project Development Support (PSR-PDS) was completed and approved by Caltrans in 2009. The next steps in project development will be to: • Review the existing PSR-PDS to validate the information Tri-Valley Transportation Council │ 2020 Nexus Fee Update Study August 2021 │ Final 44 • Identify the need for updates/revisions to identify financially feasible improvements to address the latest safety, operational, and congestion issues The Alameda CTC’s 2014 Transportation Expenditure Plan (TEP), approved as part of Measure BB, includes $20 Million in funding for I-580/I-680 Interchange improvements. Further project development is being explored. Alameda CTC is working with local, regional, and state agencies in identifying funding. The Alameda CTC’s 2020 Countywide Transportation Plan (CTP) split this project into two phases. Phase 1 is part of the County’s 10-year priory project list, while Phase 2 is listed under 30-Year project list. Cost and Funding Sources Cost (Millions, 2015) $1,785.65 Funding (Millions, 2015) Measure BB $20.00 TVTDF $1.00 Total Funding (Millions, 2015) $21.00 Total Funding Shortfall (Millions, 2015) $1,764.65 B -2. FIFTH EASTBOUND LANE ON I-580 (SANTA RITA ROAD TO VASCO ROAD) TVTC Project Sponsor: City of Pleasanton, City of Livermore Lead Agency: Alameda CTC Project Description: Project B-2 is located along eastbound I-580 between Santa Rita Road and Vasco Road. The project would construct a fifth eastbound mixed flow lane and would eliminate the lane drop at Santa Rita Road. Status: This project has been completed. B -3. I-580/FIRST STREET INTERCHANGE MODIFICATION TVTC Project Sponsor: City of Livermore Lead Agency: Caltrans Project Description: Project B-3 is located at the I-580/First Street interchange in Livermore. The project would modify the interchange by widening the overcrossing to six lanes and reconstructing the ramps to achieve a partial cloverleaf interchange design. Status: A PSR has been completed. The project schedule and phasing are not available at this time. Tri-Valley Transportation Council │ 2020 Nexus Fee Update Study August 2021 │ Final 45 Cost and Funding Sources Cost (Millions) $61.00 Funding (Millions) Livermore TIF $53.07 Total Funding (Millions) $53.07 Total Funding Shortfall (Millions) $7.93 B -4. I-580/VASCO ROAD INTERCHANGE MODIFICATION TVTC Project Sponsor: City of Livermore Lead Agency: Caltrans Project Description: Project B-4 is located at the I-580/Vasco Road interchange in Livermore. The project would modify the interchange by widening the overcrossing to eight lanes and reconstructing the ramps to achieve a modified partial cloverleaf interchange design. Status: A PSR and programmatic Environmental Impact Report (EIR) for right-of-way protection has been completed. Right-of-way acquisition is underway. Environmental assessment, project development activities, and design are anticipated to begin in 2018. Cost and Funding Sources Cost (Millions) $85.65 Funding (Millions) Livermore TIF $67.66 Measure BB $1.38 TVTDF $6.80 Total Funding (Millions) $75.84 Total Funding Shortfall (Millions) $9.81 B -5. I-580/GREENVILLE ROAD INTERCHANGE MODIFICATION TVTC Project Sponsor: City of Livermore Lead Agency: Caltrans Project Description: Project B-5 is located at the I-580/Greenville Road interchange in Livermore. The project would modify the interchange by widening the undercrossing to six lanes and reconstructing the ramps to achieve a modified partial cloverleaf interchange design. The project would also construct segments of auxiliary lanes in the vicinity of the interchange. Status: A PSR and programmatic EIR for right-of-way protection has been completed. Right-of-way acquisition is underway. The project phasing and schedule is unavailable. Tri-Valley Transportation Council │ 2020 Nexus Fee Update Study August 2021 │ Final 46 Cost and Funding Sources Cost (Millions) $86.00 Funding (Millions) Livermore TIF $67.08 Total Funding (Millions) $67.08 Total Funding Shortfall (Millions) $18.92 B -6. JACK LONDON BOULEVARD EXTENSION TVTC Project Sponsor: City of Livermore Lead Agency: City of Livermore Project Description: Project B-6 is located along Jack London Boulevard in Livermore. The project would widen Jack London Boulevard to El Charro Road as a four-lane arterial roadway. The project will be constructed in two phases. • Phase 1 - two lane extension • Phase 2 – relocate a portion of the roadway south of the Livermore Airport to its ultimate alignment Status: An EIR, design, right-of-way acquisition, and construction of the two-lane extension (Phase 1) has been completed. The project is expected to be constructed in two phases. • Phase 1 – Completed 2009. • Phase 2 - Will not commence until after the quarries have completed mining operations. Cost and Funding Sources Phase 2: Cost (Millions) $28.16 Funding (Millions) Livermore TIF $18.08 Total Funding (Millions) $18.08 Total Funding Shortfall (Millions) $10.08 B -7. EL CHARRO ROAD EXTENSION (STONERIDGE DRIVE/JACK LONDON BOULEVARD TO STANLEY BOULEVARD) TVTC Project Sponsor: City of Pleasanton Lead Agency: City of Pleasanton Tri-Valley Transportation Council │ 2020 Nexus Fee Update Study August 2021 │ Final 47 Project Description: Project B-7 is located along El Charro Road in Pleasanton. The project would extend El Charro Road south from its current terminus at Stoneridge Drive/Jack London Boulevard to connect with Stanley Boulevard. Currently, this section of El Charro Road is a private roadway, but the El Charro extension will be open for public use. The El Charro Road Extension project consists of two phases. • Phase 1 – between I-580 and Stoneridge Drive-Jack London Boulevard • Phase 2 – between Stoneridge Drive-Jack London Boulevard and Stanley Boulevard, approximately 1.7 miles Status: Phase 1 was completed and open for public use in 2012 with the construction of the Livermore Outlets. Phase 2 is dependent on the status/development of the East Pleasanton Specific Plan. This plan will identify the land use and circulation along the future El Charro Road and will identify a timeline for opening of this roadway for public use. It is anticipated that the project will be constructed with the first stages of the East Side Specific Plan development. The City of Pleasanton began the East Pleasanton Specific Plan in 2013 and the Pleasanton City Council, in 2015, determined that the completion of the Plan would occur at a later date and the Plan adoption was placed on hold. The project is expected to be constructed in several stages. • Phase 1 – Completed and opened to traffic in 2012. • Phase 2 – Schedule is undetermined at this time. Cost and Funding Sources Cost (Millions) $72.48 Funding (Millions) $0.00 Total Funding (Millions) $0.00 Total Funding Shortfall (Millions) $72.48 B -8. CAMINO TASSAJARA/TASSAJARA ROAD WIDENING PROJECT (EAST OF BLACKHAWK DRIVE TO NORTH DUBLIN RANCH DRIVE) TVTC Project Sponsor: Contra Costa County, City of Dublin Lead Agency: Contra Costa County, City of Dublin Project Description: Project B-8 is located along Camino Tassajara-Tassajara Road. This project consists of two project phases: Safety Improvement Project – Blackhawk Drive in Contra Costa County to Moller Ranch (Palisades Drive) in the City of Dublin • The safety improvement project will widen Camino Tassajara from two to four lanes from East of Blackhawk Drive to Moller Ranch (Palisades Drive) in the City of Dublin. The project may also include realignment of various horizontal curves along the roadway. Interim improvements may include roadway widening to meet two-lane rural road standards with sufficient lane width and Tri-Valley Transportation Council │ 2020 Nexus Fee Update Study August 2021 │ Final 48 shoulder width to improve safety and allow for future bike lanes. The project will improve safety for motorists and create bicycle facilities consistent with the Contra Costa Countywide Bicycle and Pedestrian Plan and the City of Dublin Bicycle and Pedestrian Master Plan. The ultimate improvements will increase capacity along Camino Tassajara to help mitigate the impacts of local and regional growth in housing and employment within the Tri-Valley. Roadway Widening Project – Windemere Parkway to County Line (Contra Costa County) and Quarry Lane School/Wallis Ranch Drive to North Dublin Ranch Drive (City of Dublin) • The roadway widening project consist of two segments: o Segment A – Windemere Parkway to County line  Segment A will widen and realign Camino Tassajara from two to four lanes. The horizontal curves at the Contra Costa/Alameda County Line will be realigned to increase safety along the roadway. Roadway shoulders will be widened to create bicycle facilities consistent with the Contra Costa Countywide Bicycle and Pedestrian Plan. The ultimate improvements will increase capacity along Camino Tassajara/Tassajara Road to help mitigate the impacts of local and regional growth in housing and employment within the Tri-Valley. o Segment B – Quarry Lane School/ Wallis Ranch Drive to North Dublin Ranch Drive  Segment B will widen Tassajara Road from two to four lanes and will improve safety for motorists, bicyclists, and pedestrians, by providing sidewalks, bike lanes, and widening from two to four lanes. Roadway improvements will be consistent with the City of Dublin Bicycle and Pedestrian Master Plan. The ultimate improvements will increase capacity along Tassajara Road to help mitigate the impacts of local and regional growth in housing and employment within the Tri- Valley. The segment of Tassajara Road from the County line to North Dublin Ranch Drive in the City of Dublin is a RRS and was modeled in the 2008 Nexus Study. However, the segment was not included in previous TVTDF funding plans to receive funding. By identifying this segment of the project in the project description, this will enable the City of Dublin to utilize various revenue sources, including the 20% TVTDF return-to- source funds on this segment. This will not impact the projected revenue allocation or resulting benefit of the 2008 Nexus Study. Status: Safety Improvement Project: The PSR for the project has been completed. The City of Dublin and Contra Costa County are coordinating on various aspects of the Camino Tassajara/Tassajara Road safety improvements near the Contra Costa/Alameda County line. Contra Costa County and the City of Dublin are beginning design of Phase 1 improvements of the safety project limits from Windermere Parkway to Moller Ranch (Palisades Drive). Roadway Widening Project: The PSR for the project has been completed. The City of Dublin and Contra Costa County are coordinating on various aspects of the Camino Tassajara/Tassajara Road widening phase. Contra Costa County and the City of Dublin are conducting initial preliminary engineering for the Segment A and B roadway widening project within their respective jurisdictions. Tri-Valley Transportation Council │ 2020 Nexus Fee Update Study August 2021 │ Final 49 Cost and Funding Sources Safety Improvement Project Contra Costa County: Cost (Millions) $20.54 Funding (Millions) Contra Costa Traffic Mitigation Fees $4.25 TVTDF $3.70* Total Funding (Millions) $7.95 Total Funding Shortfall (Millions) $12.59 City of Dublin: Cost (Millions) $34.55 Funding (Millions, 2015) Dublin EDTIF $2.49 Dublin Dougherty Valley Contributions $0.50 TVTD (City of Dublin 20% Local Funding) $1.00 TVTDF $0.00* Total Funding (Millions) $3.99 Total Funding Shortfall (Millions) $30.56 *The City of Dublin and Contra Costa to share $2.0 Million from the 2017 SEP Update for project segment between Windermere Parkway and Moller Ranch (Palisades Drive). Remaining $1.70 Million to be used in Contra Costa County. Roadway Widening Project Segment A: County Cost (Millions) $17.65 Funding (Millions) Contra Costa Traffic Mitigation Fees $14.48 TVTDF $2.68** Total Funding (Millions) $17.16 Total Funding Shortfall (Millions, 2021) $0.49 Segment B: City of Dublin Cost (Millions) $15.34 Funding (Millions) Dublin Transportation Improvement Fee (TIF) Program $1.00 Dublin Dougherty Valley Contributions $1.63 TVTD (City of Dublin 20% Local Funding) $1.80 Total Funding (Millions) $4.43 Total Funding Shortfall (Millions) $10.91 **$2.68 Million to be used in Contra Costa County. Tri-Valley Transportation Council │ 2020 Nexus Fee Update Study August 2021 │ Final 50 B -10. I -680 SOUTHBOUND HOV LANE GAP CLOSURE (NORTH MAIN STREET TO RUDGEAR ROAD) TVTC Project Sponsor: City of San Ramon Lead Agency: CCTA Lead Agency: Project B-10 is located along southbound I-680 between North Main Street and Rudgear Road. The project would close the HOV lane gap along this segment of I-680 and provide a continuous HOV lane from the Benicia-Martinez Bridge to the Contra Costa/Alameda County line. The project is necessary to encourage carpooling, vanpooling, and transit; while providing the necessary infrastructure for express buses in the corridor. When completed, the HOV lane is planned to be converted to an Express Lane as part of the I-680 Express Lanes Project. Status: This project has been completed. Cost and Funding Sources B -11A. I-680 HOV DIRECT ACCESS RAMPS TVTC Project Sponsor: City of San Ramon Lead Agency: CCTA Project Description: Project B-11a is located along I-680 in San Ramon. The project would construct dedicated HOV on- and off-ramps in the median of I-680, in both the northbound and southbound directions at Norris Canyon Road or at Executive Parkway in San Ramon. The project received a high level of community interest, with a number of local residents voicing strong oppositions about the direct HOV ramps at Norris Canyon. An alternative location for the direct ramps is also being evaluated at Executive Parkway. Status: March 2016, a letter from the City of San Ramon to CCTA was submitted and stated that the City of San Ramon withdrew support for the project. Subsequently, the CCTA has suspended work on the project. The project has been removed from the project list and is no longer considered for funding. Cost (Millions) $98.70 Funding (Millions) RM2 $14.1 Measure J $30.4 STIP/RP $15.6 BAIFA $15.1 TVTDF $6.49 Total Funding (Millions) $81.69 Total Funding Shortfall (Millions) $17.01 Tri-Valley Transportation Council │ 2020 Nexus Fee Update Study August 2021 │ Final 51 B -11B. I-680 TRANSIT CORRIDOR IMPROVEMENTS TVTC Project Sponsor: City of San Ramon Lead Agency: CCTA Other Involved Parties: Caltrans, Southwest Area Transportation (SWAT) Committee, Transportation Partnership and Cooperation (TRANSPAC) Project Description: Project B.11b is located along I-680 in San Ramon Valley. The project would fund a corridor express lane and operational improvements to facilitate carpools, vanpools and increase transit use in the corridor as an alternative to single occupant vehicle travel. Funding may also be used to implement high capacity transit improvements along I-680. These improvements may include an express lane, relevant transit projects, advanced traffic management programs, and/or autonomous or connected vehicles. Status: A Project Study “I-680 Transit Investment Congestion Relief Study” was completed in 2015 with Measure J funds. Specific details for this project will be further developed when additional funding is identified. Phasing and schedule are unavailable at this time. Cost Estimate and Funding Sources: Cost (Millions) $277.85 Funding (Millions) Measure J $1.00 TVTDF $2.00 Total Funding (Millions) $3.00 Total Funding Shortfall (Millions) $274.85 Tri-Valley Transportation Council │ 2020 Nexus Fee Update Study August 2021 │ Final 52 APPENDIX B – ADDITIONAL TVTC PROJECTS C-1 TESLA ROAD SAFETY IMPROVEMENT TVTC Project Sponsor: Alameda County Project Description: This project along Tesla Road from Greenville Road to South Livermore Avenue in rural Unincorporated Alameda County includes shoulder widening, turn lanes to access wineries and residences, pavement rehabilitation, and utilities undergrounding. This safety improvements project will address rear end type collisions, improve access to wineries, and improve goods movements as well as commute traffic issues. Proposed improvements will reduce queues along this congested rural roadway connecting Unincorporated areas of Alameda County to City of Livermore. Status: This project is in the scoping phase and is expected to be completed by 2024. Cost and Funding Sources: Cost (Millions) $13.19 Funding (Millions) $0.00 Total Funding (Millions) $0.00 Total Funding Shortfall (Millions) $13.19 C- 2 NORRIS CANYON ROAD SAFETY IMPROVEMENT PROJECT TVTC Project Sponsors: Contra Costa County, Department of Public Works & Alameda County, Department of Public Works Project Description: The proposed project for Norris Canyon Road includes countermeasures that will increase safety on a regional route that connects San Ramon to Alameda County. The proposed project includes the following road segments: • Segment 1 (Norris Canyon Road from San Ramon City Limits to 300 feet west of Ashbourne Drive) – this segment has experienced an increase in run off the road collisions and is slated for countermeasures such as guardrails and other safety countermeasures. • Segment 2 (Norris Canyon Road from 300 feet west of Ashbourne Drive to Alameda County limits) – this segment currently has a 20’ pavement width and no road shoulders. This segment has also experienced an increase in run off the road collisions. Countermeasures include shoulder widening, installation of a retaining wall, and installation of a guardrail. • Segment 3 (Norris Canyon Road from the Alameda County limit line to Crow Canyon Road) – the narrow rural road continues west into Alameda County where the road pavement continues to be narrow with approximately 20’ existing pavement width and no road shoulders. The proposed project would include shoulder widening and guardrail installation to reduce serious injury collisions. For each phase of this project, there will be a project scope and cost estimate, environmental documentation, preparation of plans, specifications, and estimates (PS&E), Right of Way Acquisition, Construction, and Construction Inspection. Status: The Project is in the preliminary engineering phase for Segments 1 and 2 as other funding is sought in order to continue planning studies and further design efforts. Tri-Valley Transportation Council │ 2020 Nexus Fee Update Study August 2021 │ Final 53 Cost and Funding Sources: Contra Costa County (Segment 1 & 2): Cost (Millions) $8.00** Funding (Millions) $0.00 Total Funding (Millions) $0.00 Total Funding Shortfall (Millions) $8.00 **Segment 1: $2 million, Segment 2: $6 million Alameda County (Segment 3): Cost (Millions) $16.49 Funding (Millions) $0.00 Total Funding (Millions) $0.00 Total Funding Shortfall (Millions) $16.49 C- 3 DUBLIN BOULEVARD – NORTH CANYONS PARKWAY EXTENSION TVTC Project Sponsor: Dublin and Livermore Project Description: This project will construct the street extension to connect Dublin Blvd at Fallon Road in Dublin with North Canyons Parkway in Livermore at Doolan Road. The preliminary phase (currently underway) of this planned project will update the project by incorporating multimodal travel, and the current State, regional, and local priorities. Dublin Boulevard - North Canyons Parkway Extension project would extend Dublin Boulevard in Dublin at its current terminus at Fallon Road to North Canyons Parkway in Livermore. The new extended street is planned to have 4 to 6 travel lanes, bike lanes, sidewalks, curb and gutter, traffic signals/roundabouts, a raised median, bus stops, and all street utilities. This project will consider the provision of dedicated transit lanes in addition to the mixed flow travel lanes for higher level of transit service with 10 to 20-minute headways during appropriate peak demand periods. This project will also require enhanced multimodal connectivity to various land uses along its stretch and at its terminus, including connectivity to 5 PDAs. While addressing Sustainable Communities Strategies, circulation inside and outside the PDAs will be incorporated as part of the design. This project is currently in Preliminary Design Phase (funded by local monies) including the environmental analysis for the project. It will require design and construction funding. Status: Environmental phase is complete. Currently in design phase. Anticipated to complete design in 2023. Subsequent milestones are TBD. Cost and Funding Sources Cost (Millions) $160.39 Funding (Millions) Measure BB $7.75 Federal $0.54 Local $17.20 Total Funding (Millions) $25.49 Total Funding Shortfall (Millions) $134.91 Tri-Valley Transportation Council │ 2020 Nexus Fee Update Study August 2021 │ Final 54 C-4 VASCO ROAD AT DALTON AVENUE INTERSECTION IMPROVEMENTS TVTC Project Sponsor: Alameda County/City of Livermore Project Description: The project along Vasco Road at Dalton Avenue includes the addition of a traffic lane, traffic signal modification, shoulder widening, and utility adjustments as needed. This project is a continuation of the safety improvements project along Vasco Road that included a roadway realignment and other safety improvements north of the Livermore city limits to the Alameda/Contra Costa county line. Status: This project is in the scoping phase and is expected to be completed by 2023. Cost and Funding Sources: Cost (Millions) $3.39 Funding (Millions) $0.00 Total Funding (Millions) $0.00 Total Funding Shortfall (Millions) $3.39 C-5 EL CHARRO ROAD WIDENING TVTC Project Sponsor: Pleasanton Project Description: Construct 1.7 miles of 4-lane divided road with Class I and Class IV bike facilities, including a bridge over the Arroyo Mocho and a grade separation. Status: This project has not been started. Cost and Funding Sources: Cost (Millions) $68.09 Funding (Millions) Pleasanton TIF $30.00 Total Funding (Millions) $30.00 Total Funding Shortfall (Millions) $38.09 Tri-Valley Transportation Council │ 2020 Nexus Fee Update Study August 2021 │ Final 55 C-6 SUNOL/680 INTERCHANGE IMPROVEMENTS TVTC Project Sponsor: Pleasanton Project Description: This project will fund the design of the I-680 at Sunol Boulevard interchange improvement. This will include a Project Study Report (PSR) to establish a project scope and cost estimate, environmental documentation, and the preparation of plans, specifications, and estimates (PS&E). Status: Currently in PSR-PDS, PA&ED Phase anticipated Spring/Summer 2019 Cost and Funding Sources Cost (Millions) $16.60 Funding (Millions) Pleasanton TIF $2.00 Total Funding (Millions) $2.00 Total Funding Shortfall (Millions) $14.60 C-7 I-680 EXPRESS LANES – HWY 84 TO ALCOSTA TVTC Project Sponsor: Pleasanton/ACTC Project Description: This project will close the gap between existing and in-progress high-occupancy vehicle (HOV)/express lane projects to the north and south. The project extends for approximately nine miles on northbound I-680 through Sunol, Pleasanton, Dublin, and San Ramon. Status: Design and construction of this project is being rolled out in two phases—southbound (Phase 1) and northbound (Phase 2). Environmental and preliminary engineering studies are complete. Phase 1 final design work was initiated in February 2020 and construction for Phase 1 is anticipated to start in 2022. Cost and Funding Sources Cost (Millions) $527.57 Funding (Millions) Measures BB $20.00 Total Funding (Millions) $20.00 Total Funding Shortfall (Millions) $507.57 C-8 SANTA RITA/I-580 INTERCHANGE TVTC Project Sponsor: Pleasanton Project Description: This project will construct a 2nd southbound left turn lane from Santa Rita onto Pimilico Drive. The left turn vehicle queue length exceeds the length of the left turn pocket and blocks the #1 southbound lane, thus reducing the Level of Service. Status: This project has not been started. Tri-Valley Transportation Council │ 2020 Nexus Fee Update Study August 2021 │ Final 56 Cost and Funding Sources Cost (Millions) $10.33 Funding (Millions) Pleasanton TIF $7.70 Total Funding (Millions) $7.70 Total Funding Shortfall (Millions) $2.63 C-9 STONERIDGE/I-680 INTERCHANGE TVTC Project Sponsor: Pleasanton Project Description: This project will make modifications to the Stoneridge Drive Interchange to allow four westbound through lanes. This project will modify the northbound I-680 on ramp by one lane to provide two northbound ramp lanes. The widening will include the widening of the bridge structure as well as widening on Stoneridge Drive and safety improvements on the pedestrian and bicycle crossing. Status: PS&E Cost and Funding Sources Cost (Millions) $11.98 Funding (Millions) 2014 MBB (TEPO – 26) from Alameda CTC $5.20 Developer $2.70 Total Funding (Millions) $7.70 Total Funding Shortfall (Millions) $2.63 C-10 INNOVATE 680 TVTC Project Sponsor: CCTA/Danville/San Ramon/CCC Project Description: Implement the following strategies in the I-680 corridor: Strategy No. 1: Complete HOV/Express Lanes Eliminate the gap in existing carpool lanes in the NB direction and convert to an express lane to increase efficiency. Strategy No. 2: Cool Corridor “Hot Spots” Improve congestion “hot spots” caused by high-volume weaving areas around N. Main Street, Lawrence Way, Treat Blvd, and other locations south of SR 24 (Livorna Road, etc.). This strategy will be completed with Strategy 1 since they are interdependent. Strategy No. 3: Increase Efficiency of Bus Service Increase bus service efficiency by improving express bus service, implementing bus operations on shoulder (BOS), and increasing technology-based intermodal transit centers/managed park and ride lots. Strategy No. 4: Enhance TDM Strategies Tri-Valley Transportation Council │ 2020 Nexus Fee Update Study August 2021 │ Final 57 Provide enhanced 511 mobile app providing options to make informed decisions about mode choice, travel time, and cost per trip. Strategy No. 5: Provide First Mile/Last Mile Connections Implement Shared Autonomous Vehicles (SAVs) to improve transit connectivity and to shift travelers from Single Occupant Vehicles (SOVs). Strategy No. 6: Innovative Operational Strategies Deploy a suite of technology-based solutions to maximize the efficiency of the roadway system integrating adaptive ramp metering, integrated corridor management, incident management, and decision support systems. Strategy No. 7: Prepare Corridor for the Future Prepare corridor to accommodate the evolution of CV applications and AV technologies for improved traffic flow by building new and upgraded vehicle-to-infrastructure and vehicle-to-vehicle communications. TVTDF would go towards Advance Technology portions of the project. Status: Currently in Planning, PA&ED Cost and Funding Sources: Advance Technologies: Cost (Millions) $57.21 Funding (Millions) Measure J $0.55 STMP $2.00 Total Funding (Millions) $2.55 Total Funding Shortfall (Millions) $54.66 C-11A IRON HORSE TRAIL BICYCLE PEDESTRIAN OVERCROSSING – CITY OF SAN RAMON TVTC Project Sponsor: CCTA/San Ramon/CCC Project Description: The Iron Horse Trail (IHT) is an 18-mile regional non-motorized trail that runs north/south through the San Ramon Valley providing critical access to adjacent land uses. The construction of overcrossings at key locations will develop attractive travel alternatives for congestion relief for commute trips as well as enhanced facilities for school, shopping, and recreation trips. For the scope of this project, the proposed overcrossing location is Bollinger Canyon Road. At this location, the overcrossing will provide substantial benefits including: 1. Improve safety by eliminating conflicts between pedestrians, bicyclists and motorists; 2. Improve motor vehicle circulation by removing the at-grade crossings; 3. Reduce and eliminate unsafe crossing maneuvers by pedestrians and bicyclists; 4. Enhance safety by providing an environment that encourages walking and bicycling along the Iron Horse Regional Trail; and 5. Increase trail usage by improving the connectivity at the Bollinger Canyon Road and Crow Canyon Road crossings. Status: Currently in PA&ED, CEQA Completed. Design Underway. Construction anticipated 2022. Tri-Valley Transportation Council │ 2020 Nexus Fee Update Study August 2021 │ Final 58 Cost and Funding Sources Cost (Millions) $22.88 Funding (Millions) OBAG2 $4.80 Measure J (Transportation for Livable Communities) $2.51 Measure J (TLC future year pre- commitment) $4.98 San Ramon General Fund $2.00 Total Funding (Millions) $14.30 Total Funding Shortfall (Millions) $8.58 C-11B IRON HORSE TRAIL BICYCLE PEDESTRI AN OVERCROSSING – CITY OF SAN RAMON TVTC Project Sponsor: CCTA/San Ramon/CCC Project Description: The Iron Horse Trail (IHT) is an 18-mile regional non-motorized trail that runs north/south through the San Ramon Valley providing critical access to adjacent land uses. The construction of overcrossings at key locations will develop attractive travel alternatives for congestion relief for commute trips as well as better facilities for school, shopping, and recreations trips. For the scope of this project, the proposed overcrossing location is Bollinger Canyon Road. At this location, the overcrossing will provide substantial benefits including: 1. Improve safety by eliminating conflicts between pedestrians, bicyclists, and motorists; 2. Improve motor vehicle circulation by removing the at-grade crossings; 3. Reduce and eliminate unsafe crossing maneuvers by pedestrians and bicyclists; 4. Enhance safety by providing an environment that encourages walking and bicycling along the Iron Horse Regional Trail; and 5. Increase trail usage by improving the connectivity at the Bollinger Canyon Road and Crow Canyon Road crossings. Status: Currently in PA&ED, CEQA Completed Cost and Funding Sources Cost (Millions) $19.69 Funding (Millions) $0.00 Total Funding (Millions) $0.00 Total Funding Shortfall (Millions) $19.69 Tri-Valley Transportation Council │ 2020 Nexus Fee Update Study August 2021 │ Final 59 C-11C IRON HORSE TRAIL CROSSING AT DUBLIN BOULEVARD TVTC Project Sponsor: Dublin Project Description: This project will build a bicycle and pedestrian bridge over Dublin Boulevard in order to connect two segments of the Iron Horse Trail. This bridge will create a total separation between vehicles and bicyclists/pedestrians. This will eliminate the possibility of motorized vehicles and pedestrians having a collision, making this segment of the road safer for all users. Along with this, congestion will be reduced as cars will no longer have to wait for pedestrians. This reduction of congestion will also allow for the transit to operate more efficiently. Pedestrians and bicyclists will also not have to wait for a walk signal since they will be able to continue their walk or ride without stopping. The bridge will follow ADA requirements so that disabled people will be able to use it as well. This bridge will also be aesthetically pleasing in order to attract users and improve the user’s experience. The bridge will also connect BART to Dublin in a safe manner, encouraging recreational user of the Iron Horse Trail and the opening of local businesses. This safe and fast route of crossing the Iron Horse Trail will promote walking and bicycling for both recreational and commuting purposes in Dublin, this encouraging the shift from motorized vehicles to alternative forms of transportation. Status: The project is currently in the final design phase. Additionally, Environmental Analysis of the project is currently in-progress. Cost and Funding Sources Cost (Millions) $11.60 Funding (Millions) 2014 MBB $6.05 TFCA $0.86 Local $0.23 Private $1.00 Total Funding (Millions) $11.60 Total Funding Shortfall (Millions) - C-11D IRON HORSE TRAIL TVTC Project Sponsor: Livermore Project Description: This project will extend existing trail and provide gap closures. Status: Feasibility Study/Environmental Complete Cost and Funding Sources Cost (Millions) $26.99 Funding (Millions) $0.00 Total Funding (Millions) $0.00 Total Funding Shortfall (Millions) $26.99 Tri-Valley Transportation Council │ 2020 Nexus Fee Update Study August 2021 │ Final 60 C-11E IRON HORSE TRAIL TO SHADOW CLIFFS CONNECTION TVTC Project Sponsor: Pleasanton, Alameda County Project Description: Currently, the Iron Horse Trail (IHT) ends as a narrow-paved path to the overcrossing bridge of the regional railway on the east side of Valley Avenue, where there is a flat, paved spaced under the railroad bridge that could accommodate the trail. This project would construct a continuous Class I trail, at least 10 feet wide, and would include protected intersection improvements and additional crossing improvements of Valley/Bernal and Stanley to improve pedestrian and bicyclist safety. Status: This project has not started. Cost and Funding Sources Cost (Millions) $1.65 Funding (Millions) Pleasanton TIF $0.60 Direct Developer Fee $0.75 Total Funding (Millions) $1.35 Total Funding Shortfall (Millions) $0.30 C-11F IRON HORSE TRAIL CONNECTION IMPROVEMENTS AT SANTA RITA ROAD TVTC Project Sponsor: Pleasanton Project Description: The Iron Horse Trail (IHT) is a major north-south regional route for bicyclists and cyclists. The Arroyo Mocho Trail (AMT) is an important east-west route for bicyclists and pedestrians extending to Livermore that bypasses many busy streets. This project would improve connections from the IHT on Santa Rita Road to the AMT. The AMT would receive an improved Class I Pathway. A new pedestrian bridge would be constructed over the Arroyo Mocho to connect the southern Arroyo Mocho Class I pathway to the IHT to the north. The IHT then connects to the north and provides access to the Dublin/Pleasanton BART station. Status: This project has not started. TBD Cost and Funding Sources Cost (Millions) $0.87 Funding (Millions) Pleasanton TIF $0.40 Total Funding (Millions) $0.40 Total Funding Shortfall (Millions) $0.48 Tri-Valley Transportation Council │ 2020 Nexus Fee Update Study August 2021 │ Final 61 C-11G IRON HORSE TRAIL BICYCLE/PEDESTRIAN OVERCROSSING – TOWN OF DANVILLE TVTC Project Sponsor: Danville/CCC/CCTA Project Description: The Iron Horse Trail (IHT) is an 18-mile regional non-motorized trail that runs north/south through the San Ramon Valley providing critical access to adjacent land uses. The construction of overcrossings at key locations will develop attractive travel alternatives for congestion relief for commute trips as well as better facilities for school, shopping, and recreations trips. For the scope of this project, the proposed overcrossing location is Bollinger Canyon Road. At this location, the overcrossing will provide substantial benefits including: 1. Improve safety by eliminating conflicts between pedestrians, bicyclists, and motorists; 2. Improve motor vehicle circulation by removing the at-grade crossings; 3. Reduce and eliminate unsafe crossing maneuvers by pedestrians and bicyclists; 4. Enhance safety by providing an environment that encourages walking and bicycling along the Iron Horse Regional Trail; and 5. Increase trail usage by improving the connectivity at the Bollinger Canyon Road and Crow Canyon Road crossings. Status: PSR (Feasibility Study) completed. Project will require coordination, permitting, and agreements with Contra Costa County. East Bay Regional Parks Direct and various utilities. Cost and Funding Sources Cost (Millions) $19.78 Funding (Millions) $0.00 Total Funding (Millions) $0.00 Total Funding Shortfall (Millions) $19.78 C-11H IRON HORSE TRAIL SYSTEM-WIDE IMPROVEMENTS TVTC Project Sponsor: Contra Costa County, Town of Danville, City of San Ramon, Alameda County, City of Dublin, City of Livermore, and City of Pleasanton Project Description: As the primary regional multi-modal corridor between Contra Costa and Alameda County, the Iron Horse Trail is the spine for active modes of travel in the East Bay. The proposed project for the Iron Horse Trail includes safety, operational, and capacity improvements within the TVTC boundary from Alamo to Livermore. The proposed project and associated cost estimate includes safety improvements at roadway crossings, a proposed parallel path to separate users according to speed, and a buffer between users traveling at high or low speed. The improvements would include features such as passive detection at road crossings, actuated flashers or warning signals at roadway crossings, high visibility markings, minor grading, construction of a new 10 foot wide parallel asphalt path with shoulders, and a buffer between high and low speed corridors which may include vegetation or fencing to maintain safe separation. Other safety improvements may be necessary to fit site conditions and as determined through additional study. Separated grade crossings or bridges that have already been identified as critical for improved vehicle traffic flow at current at grade crossings and to improve safety for trail users are listed as separate projects Tri-Valley Transportation Council │ 2020 Nexus Fee Update Study August 2021 │ Final 62 within the TVTC program. The cost and context for each bridge site warrants a specific project identification rather than to be included within the system-wide improvements under this project. Status: A phasing plan has not yet been developed. Cost and Funding Sources: Cost (Millions) $85.60 Funding (Millions) $0.00 Total Funding (Millions) $0.00 Total Funding Shortfall (Millions) $85.60 C-12 I -680 INTERCHANGE IMPROVEMENTS AT H ACIENDA DRIVE TVTC Project Sponsor: Dublin and Pleasanton Project Description: Implement I-580 Hacienda Drive Interchange Improvements, which includes reconstructing the overcrossing to add lanes. I-580/Hacienda Drive interchange Improvements will include; reconstruction of overcrossing to provide additional northbound lane; widening of the eastbound off-ramp to include an additional lane to be used as a combined left and right turn lane; modifying signal and striping, modifying the westbound loop on-ramp; and widening of the westbound off-ramp to include a third left-turn lane. Status: The project is currently in Preliminary Engineering phase and an EIR is currently underway. Cost and Funding Sources Cost (Millions) $39.13 Funding (Millions) Dublin TIF $4.95 Pleasanton TIF $0.04 Total Funding (Millions) $4.63 Total Funding Shortfall (Millions) $34.50 C-13 FALLON/EL CHARRO INTERCHANGE TVTC Project Sponsor: Pleasanton, Dublin, Livermore Project Description: I-580/El Charro Road Interchange Improvements (Phase 2): reconstruction of overcrossing to provide four-lanes in each direction with bike lanes; reconstruction of the southbound to eastbound loop on-ramp; widening of the eastbound off-ramp to provide two exit lanes with two left turn and two right tum lanes; widening of the eastbound on-ramp; widening of the westbound off-ramp to provide two left tum and two right tum lanes; and widening of the westbound on-ramp. Status: The project has not yet started. Tri-Valley Transportation Council │ 2020 Nexus Fee Update Study August 2021 │ Final 63 Cost and Funding Sources Cost (Millions) $34.51 Funding (Millions) Dublin TIF $4.05 Pleasanton TIF $4.10 Livermore TIF $6.40 Total Funding (Millions) $14.55 Total Funding Shortfall (Millions) $19.96 C-1 4 VALLEY LINK RAIL (PHASE 1) TVTC Project Sponsor: Pleasanton, Dublin, Livermore, Alameda County Project Description: This project will connect Northern San Joaquin County communities to the Tri-Valley and Bay Area Rapid Transit (BART) through 41 miles of rail and 7 stations. The project will extend from the planned ACE N. Lathrop Station in the San Joaquin Valley through the Altamont Pass, then readily connect with the Dublin/Pleasanton BART terminus. The TVTDF would go towards construction cost and access improvement for three stations in Tri-Valley Area (Dublin/Pleasanton, Isabel, and Greenville). Status: 2018-2020 Design/Environmental, 2019-2023 Procurement, 2020-2026 Design/Construction. Cost and Funding Sources: Cost (Millions) $258.25 Funding (Millions) $0.00 Total Funding (Millions) $0.00 Total Funding Shortfall (Millions) $258.25 C-15 TECHNOLOGY ENHANCEMENTS TVTC Project Sponsor: Pleasanton, Dublin, Livermore Project Description: Provide connectivity for transit and vehicles between local arterials and regional facilities. This project will also focus on the first and last mile connectivity at key transit hubs and along major transit routes. A. Support expansion and facilitate interoperability among partner agencies of existing and future intelligent transportation system deployments, including connected/autonomous vehicles, integrated corridor management, transit vehicle operations, and emergency vehicle operations, among other uses. B. Plan and implement connected and autonomous vehicle access in a seamless manner across Tri- Valley jurisdictions’ boundaries including arterial access to freeways. This requires a continued emphasis on sharing communication infrastructure, field equipment at jurisdictional boundaries, and data. C. Update the existing communication links and enhance the existing connectivity of all Tri-Valley Traffic Operations Centers for on-going data and comm unication sharing. Tri-Valley Transportation Council │ 2020 Nexus Fee Update Study August 2021 │ Final 64 D. Prepare corridors around transit centers and BART stations to implement Shared Autonomous Vehicles (SAVs) to improve transit connectivity to shift travelers from Single Occupancy Vehicles (SOVs) to transit. E. Prepare intersections around transit center and ABRT stations to accommodate the evolution of Connected Vehicle applications and Autonomous Vehicle technologies for improved traffic flow by building new and upgraded vehicle-to-infrastructure and vehicle-to-vehicle communications. F. Test and develop standard/protocol at the intersections, through existing and new Vehicle-to- Everything (V2X) and Vehicle-to-Infrastructure (V2I) technologies as a regional standard to be adopted by the local agencies among the Tri-Valley Jurisdictions. These technologies will allow a vehicle to communicate in real time with its surroundings. G. Work with regional agencies in incorporating signal and vehicle communications in day to day operations. This would include sharing of equipment and data for seamless integration of connected and autonomous vehicle access across Tri-Valley Jurisdictions and freeway infrastructure including express lanes. The project will be implemented in phases. Phase 1 of the proposed project will comprise of a feasibility study to identify potential locations, improvements, and develop cost estimates at key transit hubs, along major transit routes, and at freeway access locations in tri-valley area. Phase 2 of the project will further the development of the project with completion of design and Phase 3 will compete the construction/implementation and operation of the proposed project. Status: The project is currently not yet started. Cost and Funding Sources Cost (Millions) $0.33 Funding (Millions) $0.00 Total Funding (Millions) $0.00 Total Funding Shortfall (Millions) $0.33 C-16 I -680 EXPRESS BUS SERVICE TVTC Project Sponsor: Alameda CTC, in partnership with CCTA Project Description: This project proposes to construct capital improvements and purchase buses in order to establish an express bus service on I-680. This project requires the construction of the I-680 Express Lane Gap Closure project, closing the gap in the express lanes between Alcosta Blvd and State Route 84, in order to utilize the express lanes to avoid congestion, reduce travel time, and improve reliably, as part of an express bus service between the Tri-Valley communities and Silicon Valley. This express bus service would likely be combined with and become part of similar efforts by Contra Costa Transportation Authority (CCTA) and their Innovate 680 program, with the intent to serve the entire I-680 corridor extending from Martinez to San Jose, utilizing buses to provide access to additional commute options, including BART, Amtrak, Caltrain, VTA light rail, local bus service, and Greyhound, for those living along the corridor. The service would operate weekdays only, with proposed 20-minute headways during peak periods and one-hour headways during off-peak hours. The service would be bi-directional to avoid substantial deadhead time and to maintain a high level of service. New electric buses would be purchased as part of this project. Tri-Valley Transportation Council │ 2020 Nexus Fee Update Study August 2021 │ Final 65 The project proposes to place express bus stops in the Tri-Valley area at the West Dublin/Pleasanton BART Station and at a future park and ride to be constructed at the Bernal Avenue interchange in Pleasanton. Understanding that the express buses must merge across all lanes of traffic to access the express lane, these stop locations are spaced to efficiently serve the Tri-Valley area while also maximizing the express lane distance the bus is able to utilize in-between bus stops. The estimated costs below assume that at each bus stop location there would be construction of roadway and bus stop improvements, including installation of transit amenities such as shelters, bike lockers, lighting, and real time information signs. Status: A project schedule has not yet been developed. Cost and Funding Sources: Cost (Millions) $59.35 Funding (Millions) $0.00 Total Funding (Millions) $0.00 Total Funding Shortfall (Millions) $59.35 Tri-Valley Transportation Council │ 2020 Nexus Fee Update Study August 2021 │ Final 66 APPENDIX C – PROJECT IMPROVEMENT CATEGORIES Project Improvement Category* A-2a State Route 84 (SR 84) Expressway (I-580 to I-680) Roadway Capacity A-2b SR 84/I-580 Interchange Roadway Capacity A-9a Crow Canyon Road Improvements Phase 1 Safety A-9b Crow Canyon Road Improvements Phase 2 Safety A-10a Vasco Road Safety Improvements Phase 1 Safety A-10b Vasco Road Safety Improvements Phase 2 Safety A-11 Express Bus/Bus Rapid Transit (BRT) – Phase 2 Safety B-1 I-580/I-680 Interchange (westbound to southbound) Roadway Capacity B-3 I-580/First Street Interchange Modification Roadway Capacity B-4 I-580/Vasco Road Interchange Modification Roadway Capacity B-5 I-580/Greenville Road Interchange Modification Roadway Capacity B-6 Jack London Boulevard Extension Roadway Capacity B-7 El Charro Road Extension (Stoneridge Drive/Jack London Boulevard to Stanley Boulevard) Roadway Capacity B-8 Camino Tassajara/Tassajara Road Widening Project (East of Blackhawk Drive to North Dublin Ranch Drive) Roadway Capacity Safety B-10 I-680 Southbound HOV Lane Gap Closure (North Main Street to Rudgear Road) Roadway Capacity B-11b I-680 Transit Corridor Improvements Transit C-1 Tesla Road Safety Improvements Safety C-2 Norris Canyon Road Safety Improvement Safety C-3 Dublin Boulevard – North Canyons Parkway Extensions Roadway Capacity C-4 Vasco Road at Dalton Avenue Intersection Improvements Intersection C-5 El Charro Road Widening Roadway Capacity C-6 Sunol/680 Interchange Improvements Roadway Capacity C-7 I-680 Express Lanes – Hwy 84 to Alcosta Roadway Capacity C-8 Santa Rita/I-580 Interchange Intersection C-9 Stoneridge/I-680 Interchange Roadway Capacity C-10 Innovate 680 Technology C-11a Iron Horse Trail Bicycle-Pedestrian Overcrossing – Bollinger Canyon Road Pedestrian/Bicycle C-11b Iron Horse Trail Bicycle-Pedestrian Overcrossing – Crow Canyon Road Pedestrian/Bicycle C-11c Iron Horse Trail – Dublin Pedestrian/Bicycle C-11d Iron Horse Trail – Livermore Pedestrian/Bicycle C-11e Iron Horse Trail to Shadow Cliffs Pedestrian/Bicycle C-11f Iron House Trail Connection Improvements at Santa Rita Road Pedestrian/Bicycle C-11g Iron Horse Trail Bicycle/Pedestrian Overcrossing – Sycamore Valley Road Pedestrian/Bicycle Tri-Valley Transportation Council │ 2020 Nexus Fee Update Study August 2021 │ Final 67 Project Improvement Category* C-11h Iron Horse Trail Safety Improvements Pedestrian/Bicycle C-12 Hacienda/I-580 Interchange Improvements Roadway Capacity C-13 Fallon/El Charro Interchange Improvements Roadway Capacity C-14 Valley Link Rail (Phase 1) Transit C-15 Technology Enhancements Technology C-16 I-680 Express Bus Service Transit Note: Table only includes projects that have not been fully completed. * Improvement category used to determine project benefit for Nexus. Projects may also project additional benefits to the system. Page 1 kimley-horn.com 4637 Chabot Dr., Suite 300, Pleasanton, CA 94588 925-398-4840 MEMORANDUM To: From: Date: Tri-Valley Transportation Council Technical Advisory Committee (TVTC TAC) Michael Schmitt, AICP CTP, PTP, RSP1 Elizabeth Chau, P.E. May 5, 2022 Subject: TVTC SEP 2021 Update – AB 602 Supplemental Analysis As the 2020 TVTC Nexus Study was adopted in August of 2021, prior to the implementation of Assembly Bill 602 (AB 602), the Nexus Study and its resultant fee program is not subject to its requirements. However, TVTC has undertaken this supplemental analysis to guide future analysis requirements and to help inform the TVTC how AB 602 may impact the program when the next Nexus Study update1 is completed. This analysis was approved by TVTC Board on April 18, 2022. Background Assembly Bill 602 (AB 602) Assembly Bill 602 was approved and signed into law on September 28, 2021. Among other things, this bill requires that impact fee nexus studies adopted on and after January 1, 2022 must, as appropriate, identify the existing level of service, the new level of service, and include an explanation as to why the new level of service is necessary for each public facility included in an impact fee program. It should be noted that the basis for the required level of service analyses is not specifically defined in AB 602 and that as a practical matter, level of service methods applied to various public facilities need to vary depending on the type of facility being analyzed and the information available. AB 602 also requires that studies adopted after July 1, 2022 either calculate a fee levied or imposed on a housing development project proportionately to the square footage of the proposed units, or make specified findings explaining why square footage is not an appropriate metric to calculate the fee. 2020 Nexus Study The performance analysis conducted in support of the 2020 TVTC Nexus Study analyzed the benefits of proposed projects in the aggregate based on specific improvement categories. This aggregate approach is an industry-accepted method when evaluating project impacts on a regional, system- wide basis. This method is especially appropriate where a fee program is targeted to regional improvements, as is the case with TVTC’s fee program. These categories included roadway capacity, transit, safety, pedestrian/bicycle, intersection, and technology. Since these improvement 1 The next nexus study is required to be completed within 8 years (2029). Exhibit B Exhibit B to Resolution AB 602 Supplemental Analysis Page 2 kimley-horn.com 4637 Chabot Dr., Suite 300, Pleasanton, CA 94588 925-398-4840 categories improve different aspects of the transportation system, differing methodologies and measures of effectiveness (MOEs) were necessary to appropriately evaluate their anticipated benefit to the transportation system. It should be noted that some projects have multiple beneficial project elements and thus could be analyzed using more than one analysis technique (i.e., a project can have both a congestion benefit and a safety benefit). However, for the purposes of this analysis, project analysis was limited to the basis which best reflects the primary benefit and/or purpose of the project. Level of Service Analysis Methodology Table 1 summarizes the methodology and measure of effectiveness (MOE) that was used to evaluate existing and future conditions for public facilities included within the 2020 TVTC Nexus Study. As described in the prior section, the methodology and MOE selected were dependent on the type of public facility being analyzed and the data available. Table 1: Methodology and Measure of Effectiveness Improvement Type Facility Type Methodology Measure of Effectiveness Roadway Capacity Freeway HCM Freeway LOS (Density) State Route HCM Highway LOS (Density) Arterial ACTC Roadway Segment LOS (V/C) Interchanges HCM Intersection LOS (Delay) Transit All Facility Type TCQSM Service Frequency LOS Safety All Facility Type HSM Safety Performance Functions Crash Rate Pedestrian/ Bicycle All Facility Type Montgomery County Level of Traffic Stress Level of Traffic Stress (LTS) Intersection -HCM Intersection LOS (Delay) Technology All Facility Type Qualitative Assessment Resultant Delay/Congestion Reduction Note: HCM = Highway Capacity Manual, ACTC = Alameda County Transportation Commission, LOS = Level of Service, TCQSM = Transit Quality of Service Manual, HSM = Highway Safety Manual Roadway Capacity Analysis of roadway capacity projects was completed based on the HCM concept of Level of Service (LOS). The HCM LOS for a roadway facility is a qualitative measure used to describe operational conditions. LOS ranges from LOS A (free flow traffic with minimal delay) to LOS F (heavy congestion operating near or over capacity). As discussed in the following sections, Freeway, State Route, and Interchange projects were evaluated using methodologies defined in the HCM 6th Edition, while arterial roadway analyses were completed based on a volume/capacity (V/C) methodology commonly applied for project analyses undertaken by the Alameda County Transportation Commission (ACTC). Page 3 kimley-horn.com 4637 Chabot Dr., Suite 300, Pleasanton, CA 94588 925-398-4840 For existing conditions, AM (7-9) and PM (4-6) peak period traffic volumes were obtained from the Caltrans Traffic Census Program2 or recent publicly accessible traffic studies conducted within the Tri-Valley area. These traffic counts were then evaluated to determine the highest AM and PM peak hours of traffic which is the basis of the analysis contained herein. Future 2040 No Build and 2040 Build peak hour volumes were developed using post-processed data from a version of the CCTA travel demand model updated to reflect input from the TVTC member jurisdictions. Further information on the travel demand model’s development is provided within the 2020 TVTC Nexus Study. Generally speaking, forecast volumes were developed using the “difference method”, which involves adding forecasted traffic growth (future minus existing estimated traffic volumes from the travel demand model) to an existing count. In cases where a project is proposing a new roadway segment (C-4 Dublin Boulevard – North Canyons Parkway Extension and C-5 El Charro Road Widening), a parallel roadway segment was used as the basis for evaluating project need. A minimum level of service standard of LOS F was used for roadway analyses. Freeway Freeway facilities were analyzed using the HCM 6th edition methodology for basic freeway segments. As shown in Table 2, LOS is determined based on the density of traffic flow. Table 2: Freeway Facility Level of Service Criteria Level of Service (LOS)Density (pc/mi/ln) A ≤ 11 B > 11 – 18 C > 18 – 26 D > 26 – 35 E > 35 – 45 F > 45 or v/c > 1.0 pc/mi/ln = passenger car per mile per lane; v/c = volume-to-capacity Source:Highway Capacity Manual, 6th Edition State Route State Route facilities were analyzed using the HCM 6th edition methodology for multi-lane roadway segments. As shown in Table 3, LOS is determined based on density of traffic flow. 2 Caltrans,https://dot.ca.gov/programs/traffic-operations/census, Accessed March 2022. Page 4 kimley-horn.com 4637 Chabot Dr., Suite 300, Pleasanton, CA 94588 925-398-4840 Table 3: Multilane Level of Service Criteria Level of Service (LOS) Density (pc/mi/ln) FFS: 45 mph FFS: 50 mph FFS: 55 mph FFS: 60 mph A ≤ 11 ≤ 11 ≤ 11 ≤ 11 B > 11 – 18 > 11 – 18 > 11 – 18 > 11 – 18 C > 18 – 26 > 18 – 26 > 18 – 26 > 18 – 26 D > 26 – 35 > 26 – 35 > 26 – 35 > 26 – 35 E > 35 – 45 > 35 – 43 > 35 – 41 > 35 – 40 F > 45 > 43 > 41 > 40 Source:Highway Capacity Manual, 6th Edition Arterial Alameda County Transportation Commission (ACTC) and Contra Costa Transportation Authority (CCTA) evaluate arterials using different methodologies. ACTC’s methodology is based on volume- to-capacity (v/c) ratios while CCTA evaluates arterials based on intersection level of service. This analysis was evaluated based on the ACTC methodology given the nature of the analysis requirements. During the design phase of a project, it is anticipated that more detailed operational analysis will be completed. Arterial level of service analysis assumed a per-lane capacity of 800 vehicles per hour. The LOS criteria shown in Table 4. Table 4: ACTC Rodway Segment Level of Service Criteria Level of Service (LOS)V/C A 0.35 B 0.58 C 0.75 D 0.90 E 1.00 F > 1.00 Source:Alameda Congestion Management Program 2019 Interchange Interchanges were analyzed based on HCM intersection methodologies. The basis of the LOS criteria is shown in Table 5. Page 5 kimley-horn.com 4637 Chabot Dr., Suite 300, Pleasanton, CA 94588 925-398-4840 Table 5: Intersection Level of Service Criteria Level of Service (LOS) Signalized Unsignalized1 Delay (sec/veh)Delay (sec/veh) A ≤ 10 ≤ 10 B > 10.0 – 20.0 > 10.0 – 15.0 C > 20.0 – 35.0 > 15.0 – 25.0 D > 35.0 – 55.0 > 25.0 – 35.0 E > 55.0 – 80.0 > 35.0 – 50.0 F > 80.0 > 50.0 1 For All-way stop-control intersection (AWSC), LOS is defined based on average intersection delay. For side-street stop- controlled intersections (SSSC), LOS is defined based on the worst movement delay. Source:Highway Capacity Manual, 6th Edition Transit Transit projects were evaluated based on service frequency LOS from the Transit Capacity and Quality of Service Manual (TCQSM)under which LOS criteria varies depending on the type of transit service. As shown in Table 6, LOS for urban scheduled transit service3 is determined on headway or the time between buses/trains. For intercity schedule transit services, commuter or express buses, LOS is determined on the number of trips provided each day. For this analysis, all transit projects were evaluated on the basis of the urban scheduled transit service LOS criterion as the projects are anticipated to operate throughout the day on a fixed schedule. A level of service standard of LOS F was used for this analysis. In addition, other benefits such as increases in ridership, as well as resultant system-wide VMT reductions may also be evaluated. Safety The number of crashes per million vehicle miles travelled (crash/M-VMT) were calculated for the project segment based on the observed number of crashes within 5 years. The number of crashes for the future no build conditions were estimated based on the Safety Performance Functions (SPF) described in Highway Safety Manual (HSM) 2010. SPFs are regression equations that estimate the average crash frequency for a specific site type as a function of annual average daily traffic and the segment length. The reduction in crashes in the Future 2040 Build scenario were calculated by applying Crash Modification Factors (CMF) based on proposed safety improvements for each project. For the purposes of this study and based on the observed data reviewed, a threshold designation was established for crashes per million-VMT of more than 1. 3 Urban schedule transit service includes all scheduled service within a city, as well as service between cities within a larger metropolitan area. Page 6 kimley-horn.com 4637 Chabot Dr., Suite 300, Pleasanton, CA 94588 925-398-4840 Table 6: Transit Level of Service Criteria Level of Service (LOS) Urban Scheduled Transit Service Intercity Scheduled Transit Service Headway (min)Veh/hr Trips/Day A < 10 > 6 > 15 B 10-14 5-6 12-15 C 15-20 3-4 8-11 D 21-30 2 4-7 E 31-60 1 2-3 F > 60 < 1 0-1 Source:Transit Capacity and Quality of Service Manual Pedestrian / Bicycle Pedestrian / Bicycle improvements were evaluated using the modified level of traffic stress (LTS) methodology used in the Montgomery County Bicycle Master Plan4 in Maryland. This methodology is based on the original LTS methodology developed in 2012 by the Mineta Transportation Institute and San Jose State University5. Both methodologies assign a traffic stress level base on street/traffic attributes (e.g. traffic speed, traffic volume, number of lanes, etc.). As shown in Table 7, the original LTS has four stress levels, while the Montgomery County methodology provides three additional stress levels. The Montgomery County methodology also includes criteria for separated bikeways, two-lane roads, and industrial streets. For the purpose of this analysis, a threshold of LTS 4 was used. Table 7: Level of Traffic Stress (LTS) categories Original LTS Montgomery County LTS LTS 1 – Very Low LTS 0 – None LTS 1 – Very Low LTS 2 – Low LTS 2 – Low LTS 3 – Moderate LTS 2.5 – Moderate Low LTS 3 – Moderate High LTS 4- High LTS 4 – High LTS 5 – Very High Source: Montgomery County, MD.The Bicycle Master Plan Appendix D, 2018 4 Montgomery County, MD The Bicycle Master Plan Appendix D, 2018 5 Mekuria, Maaza, Peter G. Furth, and Hilary Nixon, Low-Stress Bicycling and Network Connectivity, San Jose, CA: Mineta Transportation Institute, 2012 Page 7 kimley-horn.com 4637 Chabot Dr., Suite 300, Pleasanton, CA 94588 925-398-4840 Crossings were evaluated based on the criteria summarized in Table 8, which is based on posted speed limit, if there is a median refuge, and the number of lanes of the street being crossed. Table 8: Level of Traffic Stress Criteria - Crossing Posted Speed Limit on Street being Crossed (mph) # Lanes of Street Being Crossed No Median Refuge Median Refuge (≥ 6 ft wide) 2-3 4-5 6+2-3 4-5 6+ ≤ 25 LTS 1 LTS 2 LTS 4 LTS 1 LTS 1 LTS 2 30 LTS 2 LTS 2.5 LTS 4 LTS 1 LTS 2 LTS 2.5 35 LTS 2.5 LTS 3 LTS 4 LTS 1 LTS 2.5 LTS 3 ≥ 40 LTS 3 LTS 4 LTS 4 LTS 2 LTS 2.5 LTS 4 Source: Montgomery County, MD.The Bicycle Master Plan Appendix D, 2018 Segments were evaluated based on criteria summarized in Table 9, which is based on posted speed limit and the type of buffer between the shared path and adjacent roadways. Table 9: Level of Traffic Stress Criteria - Segment Posted Speed Limit (mph) Shared Use Path Side path w/ Buffer < 5ft (and no railing OR many driveways) Side path w/ Buffer ≥ 5ft (and no railing OR many driveways) Independent Right-of- Way ≤ 25 LTS 1A or LTS 2 LTS 1 LTS 0 30 LTS 1A or LTS 2 LTS 1 LTS 0 35 LTS 1A or LTS 2 LTS 1 LTS 0 40 LTS 2 LTS 1B or LTS 2 LTS 0 ≥ 45 LTS 2 LTS 1B or LTS 2 LTS 0 Note: A LTS 1 is given if the road is residential and buffer is at last 5 feet wide. B LTS 1 is given if the buffer is wide. Source: Montgomery County, MD.The Bicycle Master Plan Appendix D, 2018 Intersection Intersection improvements were evaluated using the HCM intersection methodology. As shown in Table 5, intersection LOS is based on delay. Existing AM (7-9) and PM (4-6) traffic volumes were obtained from recent publicly accessible traffic studies. Future 2040 No Build and 2040 Build volumes were developed based on the “difference method” previously described. A level of service standard of LOS F was used for this analysis. Technology Technology projects included in the 2020 TVTC Nexus Study include studies to evaluate and identify potential technology-based solutions. Since these are studies and not public facilities, no MOE or Page 8 kimley-horn.com 4637 Chabot Dr., Suite 300, Pleasanton, CA 94588 925-398-4840 thresholds were established at this time. AB 602 acknowledges that level of service analysis is not possible for certain types of projects. However, a qualitative assessment was conducted to determine how the technology being studies may result in delay or congestion reduction to offset the impacts related to future growth. Results This section presents a summary of results for each project. Roadway Capacity Freeway Freeway analysis was used to evaluate the following projects: · B-1 I-580/I-680 Interchange (westbound to southbound) · C-3 Dublin Boulevard – North Canyons Parkway Extensions · C-7 I-680 Express Lanes – Hwy 84 to Alcosta Project B-1 evaluated multiple segments along I-580 and I-680. In the existing conditions, these segments operated at LOS D or LOS F. Even though some segments continue to operate at LOS F with the Project in 2040, there will be a reduction in volume-to-capacity ratio (v/c). Even though Project C-3 is a local roadway, the I-580 segment between Fallon Road and Airway Boulevard was analyzed because the Dublin Boulevard-North Canyon Parkway extension would divert local traffic from this freeway segment. In existing condition, the I-580 segment between Fallon Road and Airway Boulevard operates at an unacceptable LOS F. Even though some segments continue to operate at LOS F with the Project in 2040, there will be a reduction in v/c. For Project C-7, future development will increase congestion along I-680 and will improve with the construction of the project. State Route State Route analysis was used to evaluate the state route portion (SR-84/Isabella Avenue) of Projects A-2b SR 84/I-580 Interchange.Future development will change the LOS from LOS B or better in existing condition to LOS C through LOS E in 2040 No Build condition. Project A-2b will improve LOS to LOS B or better. Arterial Arterial analysis was used to evaluate the following projects: · A-2b SR 84/I-580 Interchange · B-6 Jack London Boulevard Extension · C-5 Camino Tassajara/Tassajara Road Widening Project (East of Blackhawk Drive to North Dublin Ranch Drive) · Roadway capacity portion of Project B-8 El Charro Road Widening Page 9 kimley-horn.com 4637 Chabot Dr., Suite 300, Pleasanton, CA 94588 925-398-4840 Project A-2b evaluated Portola Avenue along the I-580 overpass. This segment operates at LOS F in existing and 2040 No Build conditions. Project A-2b will improve operations to acceptable levels of service. Project B-6 evaluated Jack London Boulevard, east of El Charro Road. This segment operates at LOS F in the existing and 2040 No Build conditions. With the project, Jack London Boulevard may continue to operate at LOS F; however, there will be a reduction in v/c. For Project B-8, future development will increase congestion along Camino Tassajara and will cause the roadway to operation at LOS F in 2040 No Build conditions. Project B-8 will improve operations to acceptable levels. Since Project C-5 will extend El Charro Road south of Stoneridge Road/Jack London Boulevard, a parallel route along Santa Rita Road was analyzed. Future development will increase congestion along Santa Rita Road and will cause the roadway to operate at LOS F. Project C-5 will improve operations to acceptable levels. Interchange Interchange analysis was used to evaluate the following projects: · B-3 I-580/First Street Interchange Modification · B-4 I-580/Vasco Road Interchange Modification · B-5 I-580/Greenville Road Interchange Modification · C-6 Sunol/680 Interchange Improvements · C-9 Stoneridge/I-680 Interchange · C-12 Hacienda/I-580 Interchange Improvements · C-13 Fallon/El Charro Interchange Improvements For Project B-3, the I-580/First Street interchange operates at LOS C or better in the existing condition. Future development will increase the delay at the interchange. Project B-3 will reduce delay compared to 2040 No Build conditions. For Project B-4, the I-580/Vasco Road interchange operates at LOS E or better in the existing condition. Future development will cause this interchange to operation at LOS F in the PM peak. Project B-4 will improve operations to acceptable levels of LOS C or better. For Project B-5, the I-580/Greenville Road interchange operates at LOS E or better in the existing condition. Future development will cause this interchange to operate at LOS F in PM peak. Project B- 5 will improve operations to acceptable levels of LOS E or better. For Project C-6, the I-680/Sunol Boulevard interchange operate at LOS F in the existing and 2040 No Build conditions. Project C-6 will improve operations to acceptable levels of LOS B or better. Page 10 kimley-horn.com 4637 Chabot Dr., Suite 300, Pleasanton, CA 94588 925-398-4840 For Project C-9, the I-680/Stoneridge Drive interchange operates at LOS B in the existing condition. Future development will increase delay at the interchange. Project C-9 will reduce delay compared to 2040 No Build conditions. For Project C-12, the I-580/Hacienda Drive interchange operates at LOS C or better in the existing condition. Future development will increase delay at the interchange. Project C-12 will improve operations compared to 2040 No Build conditions. For Project C-13, the I-580/Fallon Road interchange operates at LOS A or better in the existing condition. Future development will increase delay at the interchange. Project C-13 will improve operations compared to 2040 No Build conditions. Transit Transit projects include the following projects: · A-11 Express Bus/Bus Rapid Transit (BRT) – Phase 2 · C-14 Valley Link Rail (Phase 1 · C-16 I-680 Express Bus Service For Project A-11, both 10R and 30R routes have 15-minute headways (LOS C) in the existing condition. Without the improvements proposed in Project A-11, congestion from future development may increase the headway for these routes. Improvements proposed in Project A-11, such as transit signal priority, queue jumps, dedicated travel lanes may allow 10R and 30R to operate more quickly and efficiently. Project C-14 would construct new stations and a transit line, so there is no LOS for existing or 2040 No Project conditions. It is anticipated that Valley Link would operate on similar headways as BART which is 15 minutes in the AM peak and 20 minutes in the PM peak, which equates to LOS C. In addition, the Valley Link EIR reports a 0.3% reduction in average weekday VMT between No Build and Build condition. Project C-16 would establish a new express bus service, so there is no LOS for existing or 2040 No Project conditions. It is currently proposed that the bus would run on 20-minute headways during the peak period, which equates to LOS C. Safety Safety analysis evaluate the following projects: · A-9a Crow Canyon Road Improvements Phase 1 · A-9b Crow Canyon Road Improvements Phase 2 · A-10a Vasco Road Safety Improvements Phase 1 · A-10b Vasco Road Safety Improvements Phase 2 · C-1 Tesla Road Safety Improvements · C-2 Norris Canyon Road Safety Improvement Page 11 kimley-horn.com 4637 Chabot Dr., Suite 300, Pleasanton, CA 94588 925-398-4840 · Safety component for Project B-8 Camino Tassajara/Tassajara Road Widening Project (East of Blackhawk Drive to North Dublin Ranch Drive) Project A-9a and A-9b were analyzed together because both projects are difference project phases within the same project limits. In existing conditions, the project segment along Crow Canyon has a crash rate of 0.59 and future development is anticipated to increase the crash rate to 0.62. It is anticipated that the safety improvements proposed in Projects A-9a and A-9b will reduce the crash rate to 0.06. Project A-10a and A-10b were analyzed together because both projects are difference project phases within the same project limits. In existing conditions, the project segment along Vasco Road has a crash rate of 0.68 and future development is anticipated to increase the crash rate to 0.98. It is anticipated that the safety improvements proposed in Projects A-10a and A-10b will reduce the crash rate to 0.53. For Project B-8, the project segment along Camino Tassajara/Tassajara Road has a crash rate of 0.83 in the existing condition and future development is anticipated to increase the crash rate over the threshold to 1.04. It is anticipated that the safety improvements proposed in Projects C-1 will reduce the crash rate to 0.76. For Project C-1, the project segment along Tesla Road has a crash rate of 0.86 in the existing condition and future development is anticipated increase the crash rate over the threshold to 1.11. It is anticipated that the safety improvements proposed in Projects C-1 will reduce the crash rate to 0.62. For Project C-2, the project segment along Norris Canyon Road exceeds the crash rate threshold in the existing condition with a rate of 1.20. Future development is anticipated to increase the rate to 1.63. It is anticipated that the safety improvements proposed in Projects C-2 will reduce the crash rate to 0.20. Pedestrian / Bicycle Pedestrian / Bicycle analysis was conducted for all of the Iron Horse Trail projects which include the following: · C-11a Iron Horse Trail Bicycle-Pedestrian Overcrossing – Bollinger Canyon Road · C-11b Iron Horse Trail Bicycle-Pedestrian Overcrossing – Crow Canyon Road · C-11c Iron Horse Trail – Dublin · C-11d Iron Horse Trail – Livermore · C-11e Iron Horse Trail to Shadow Cliffs · C-11f Iron House Trail Connection Improvements at Santa Rita Road · C-11g Iron Horse Trail Bicycle/Pedestrian Overcrossing – Sycamore Valley Road · C-11h Iron Horse Trail System-wide Improvements Page 12 kimley-horn.com 4637 Chabot Dr., Suite 300, Pleasanton, CA 94588 925-398-4840 The crossing at Bollinger Canyon Road (Project C-11a)has a LTS of 4 in the existing condition . The crossing will continue to have a LTS of 4 in the future conditions. Project C-11a will construct an overcrossing which will improve the LTS to LTS 0. The crossing at Crow Canyon Road (Project C-11b)has a LTS of 4 in the existing condition. The crossing will continue to have a LTS of 4 in the future conditions. Project C-11b will construct an overcrossing which will improve the LTS to LTS 0. The crossing at Dublin Road (Project C-11c)has a LTS of 4 in the existing condition. The crossing will continue to have a LTS of 4 in the future conditions. Project C-11c will construct an bicycle/pedestrian bridge which will improve the LTS to LTS 0. Project C-11d will construct new trail segments, so there are no LTS for existing or 2040 No project conditions. Project C-11d will construct LTS 1 trail segment. Project C-11e will construct new trail segments, so there are no LTS for existing or 2040 No project conditions. Project C-11e will construct LTS 1 trail segment. Project C-11f will construct new trail segments, so there are no LTS for existing or 2040 No project conditions. Project C-11e will construct LTS 1 trail segment. The crossing at Sycamore Valley Road (Project C-11g)has a LTS of 4 in the existing condition. The crossing will continue to have a LTS of 4 in the future conditions. Project C-11g will construct an overcrossing which will improve the LTS to LTS 0. Project C-11h will provide system-wide improvements, such as closing existing gaps in the trail system, therefore it was assumed that there is no LTS for existing or 2040 No project conditions. Project C-11h will construct LTS 1 trail segment to fill in existing gaps and other improvements. Intersection Intersection analysis evaluate the following projects: · C-4 Vasco Road at Dalton Avenue Intersection Improvements · C-8 Santa Rita/I-580 Interchange Project C-4 evaluated Vasco Road and Dalton Avenue intersection. This intersection operates at LOS F in existing and 2040 No Build conditions. Project C-4 will improve operations to acceptable levels. Project C-8 evaluated Santa Rita Road and I-580 EB Ramps/Pimilico Drive intersection. This intersection operated at LOS D or better in existing conditions. Future development will increase congestion at this intersection. The project will improve operation compared to 2040 No Build conditions. Page 13 kimley-horn.com 4637 Chabot Dr., Suite 300, Pleasanton, CA 94588 925-398-4840 Technology There are two technology projects: C-10 Innovate 680 and C-15 Technology Enhancements. Since these are studies and not public facilities, no MOE or thresholds were established at this time. However, a qualitative assessment was conducted to determine how the technology being studied may result in delay or congestion reductions or other benefits. Project C-10 Innovate 680 consists of multiple components including transit infrastructure and service improvements, roadway improvements, and technology enhancement, this project has been categorized as a technology improvement because TVTDF funding is being requested only for the Advance Technology component of the project. Other project components are expected to be funded through alternative sources. The Advance Technology component consists of implementing three technology-related strategies to improve operation along the I-680 corridor. Strategies include providing an enhanced 511 mobile app and implementing a shared autonomous vehicles (SAV) program for first and last mile connectivity and access at Mobility Hubs, to shift travel away from single occupant vehicles by providing travelers with better information about mode choice opportunities, resultant travel time, cost per trip, and the availability of transit. Other technology strategies include integrating adaptive ramp metering and/or corridor/incident management systems which can help improve the efficiency and safety of the transportation system. Project C-15 Technology Enhancements proposes to provide connectivity for transit and vehicles between local arterials and regional facilities. The project is expected to be completed in three phases - Feasibility, Design & Construction. The TVTDF will help fund the feasibility study phase of the study, since the details of the design and construction phase are unknown at this time. The feasibility study will focus on the first and last mile connectivity opportunities at key transit hubs and along major transit routes in the Tri-Valley area. Leveraging existing and emerging technology, such as connected and autonomous vehicles, may help increase safety and mobility for all modes. These technologies may also help with increasing transit ridership or expanding transit service to less-served areas, especially for communities that currently lack service. Given that the resultant projects are intended to offset the impacts of future development, the feasibility study is appropriate to include in the TVTC project list. AB 602 Proportional Allocation Future development is responsible for paying for its proportional use of public facilities, rather than the full unfunded cost of projects. Under AB 602s project-specific analysis methods , the proportional allocation of costs for certain projects under the 2020 TVTC Nexus Study would be lower.ܣܤ 602 ܲݎ݋݌݋ݎݐ݅݋݈݊ܽ ܣ݈݈݋ܿܽݐ݅݋݊ %=2040 ܰ݋ ܤݑ݈݅݀ ܩݎ݋ݓݐℎܧݔ݅ݏݐ݅݊݃ ܸ݋݈ݑ݉݁ AB 602 proportional allocation calculations are included in Attachment A. AB 602 Analysis Maximum Fee Rate Table 10 presents the AB 602 maximum fee. Historically, TVTC jurisdictions have not applied the maximum fee schedule, therefore Table 10 also presents the rate being proposed as part of the 2022 Page 14 kimley-horn.com 4637 Chabot Dr., Suite 300, Pleasanton, CA 94588 925-398-4840 SEP update. As shown, in Table 11, the proposed 2022 SEP rates are less than the adjusted maximum fee rate under the AB 602 analysis methods. Maximum rate adjustment calculations are included in Attachment B. Table 10: 2020 Nexus Fee Update Study Maximum Fee Land Use AB 602 Maximum Fee Rate 2022 SEP Proposed Rates Single Family (DU)$18,752 $6,596.40 Multi-Family (DU)$11,056 $3,889.20 Retail (SF)$36.04 $5.92 Office (SF)$25.04 $8.81 Industrial (SF)$14.42 $4.97 Other (avg AM/PM trips)$21,679 $6,100.68 DU = Dwelling Units; SF = Square Feet Attachment A – AB 602 Proportional Allocation Calculations Attachment B – AB 602 Maximum Rate Adjustment Calculations kimley-horn.com 4637 Chabot Dr., Suite 300, Pleasanton, CA 94588 925-398-4840 Attachment A – AB 602 Proportional Allocation Calculations Project Methodology Existing Volume Future Volume Growth AB 602 Proportion Allocation% A-1 Interstate 580 (I-580)/Interstate 680 (I-680) Interchange (southbound to eastbound)---- A-2a State Route 84 (SR 84) Expressway (I-580 to I-680)---- A-2b SR 84/I-580 Interchange Roadway Capacity – State Route Roadway Capacity - Arterial 12,800 22,100 9,300 73% A-3 I-680 Auxiliary Lanes (Segment 2)---- A-4 West Dublin/Pleasanton Bay Area Rapid Transit (BART) Station ---- A-5a I-580 Eastbound Auxiliary Lane ---- A-5b I-580 High Occupancy Vehicle (HOV) Lane Westbound ---- A-6 I-680 HOV Lanes, SR 84 to Top of Sunol Grade ---- A-7 I-580/Foothill Road/San Ramon Road Interchange Modifications ---- A-8 I-680/Alcosta Boulevard Interchange ---- A-9a Crow Canyon Road Improvements Phase 1 Safety ---100% A-9b Crow Canyon Road Improvements Phase 2 Safety ---100% A-10a Vasco Road Safety Improvements Phase 1 Safety ---100% A-10b Vasco Road Safety Improvements Phase 2 Safety ---100% A-11 Express Bus/Bus Rapid Transit (BRT) – Phase 2 Transit ---100% B-1 I-580/I-680 Interchange (westbound to southbound)Roadway Capacity - Freeway 54,000 55,500 1,500 3% B-2 Fifth Eastbound Lane on I-580 from Santa Rita Road to Vasco Road - B-3 I-580/First Street Interchange Modification Roadway Capacity - Interchange ---100% B-4 I-580/Vasco Road Interchange Modification Roadway Capacity - Interchange ---100% B-5 I-580/Greenville Road Interchange Modification Roadway Capacity - Interchange ---100% B-6 Jack London Boulevard Extension Roadway Capacity - Arterial 3,300 7,600 4,300 100% B-7 El Charro Road Extension (Stoneridge Drive/Jack London Boulevard to Stanley Boulevard)---- B-8 Camino Tassajara/Tassajara Road Widening Project (East of Blackhawk Drive to North Dublin Ranch Drive)Roadway Capacity - Arterial Safety ---100% B-9 Danville Boulevard/Stone Valley Road I-680 Interchange Improvements ---- B-10 I-680 Southbound HOV Lane Gap Closure (North Main Street to Rudgear Road)---- B-11a I-680 HOV Direct Access Ramps ---- B-11b I-680 Transit Corridor Improvements ---- C-1 Tesla Road Safety Improvements Safety ---100% C-2 Norris Canyon Road Safety Improvement Safety ---99% C-3 Dublin Boulevard – North Canyons Parkway Extensions Roadway Capacity - Freeway 28,400 37,700 9,300 33% C-4 Vasco Road at Dalton Avenue Intersection Improvements Intersection 4,400 5,500 1,100 25% C-5 El Charro Road Widening Roadway Capacity - Arterial ---100% C-6 Sunol/680 Interchange Improvements Roadway Capacity - Interchange 9,400 11,100 1,700 18% C-7 I-680 Express Lanes – Hwy 84 to Alcosta Roadway Capacity - Freeway ---100% C-8 Santa Rita/I-580 Interchange Intersection ---100% C-9 Stoneridge/I-680 Interchange Roadway Capacity - Interchange ---100% C-10 Innovate 680 Technology --- 100% C-11a Iron Horse Trail Bicycle-Pedestrian Overcrossing – Bollinger Canyon Road Pedestrian/Bicycle 5,500 6,000 500 9% C-11b Iron Horse Trail Bicycle-Pedestrian Overcrossing – Crow Canyon Road Pedestrian/Bicycle 5,600 6,400 800 14% C-11c Iron Horse Trail – Dublin Pedestrian/Bicycle 7,600 8,300 700 9% C-11d Iron Horse Trail – Livermore Pedestrian/Bicycle ---100% Project Completed Project Fully Funded Project Completed Project Completed Project Completed Project Completed Project Completed Project Removed Project Removed - Incorporated into Project C-10 Project Completed Project Completed Project Completed Project Completed Project Removed - Incorporated into Project C-5 Project Completed Project Methodology Existing Volume Future Volume Growth AB 602 Proportion Allocation% C-11e Iron Horse Trail to Shadow Cliffs Pedestrian/Bicycle ---100% C-11f Iron House Trail Connection Improvements at Santa Rita Road Pedestrian/Bicycle ---100% C-11g Iron Horse Trail Bicycle/Pedestrian Overcrossing – Sycamore Valley Road Pedestrian/Bicycle 4,000 6,000 2,000 50% C-11h Iron Horse Trail System-wide Improvements Pedestrian/Bicycle ---100% C-12 Hacienda/I-580 Interchange Improvements Roadway Capacity - Interchange ---100% C-13 Fallon/El Charro Interchange Improvements Roadway Capacity - Interchange ---100% C-14 Valley Link Rail (Phase 1)Transit ---100% C-15 Technology Enhancements Technology --- 100% C-16 I-680 Express Bus Service Transit ---100% Project C-2: Growth is based on the percentages of TVTC road users along project corridor. Note Project B-6: Growth exceed 100%, therefore AB 602 proportion allocation was assumed to be 100% kimley-horn.com 4637 Chabot Dr., Suite 300, Pleasanton, CA 94588 925-398-4840 Attachment B – AB 602 Maximum Rate Adjustment Calculations Project Total Cost (2021$ Million) AB 602 Proportion Allocation% AB 602 TVTDF Eligible Cost (2021$ Million)* A-1 Interstate 580 (I-580)/Interstate 680 (I-680) Interchange (southbound to eastbound)--- A-2a State Route 84 (SR 84) Expressway (I-580 to I-680)$325.40 -- A-2b SR 84/I-580 Interchange $22.70 73%$4.58 A-3 I-680 Auxiliary Lanes (Segment 2)--- A-4 West Dublin/Pleasanton Bay Area Rapid Transit (BART) Station --- A-5a I-580 Eastbound Auxiliary Lane --- A-5b I-580 High Occupancy Vehicle (HOV) Lane Westbound --- A-6 I-680 HOV Lanes, SR 84 to Top of Sunol Grade --- A-7 I-580/Foothill Road/San Ramon Road Interchange Modifications --- A-8 I-680/Alcosta Boulevard Interchange --- A-9a Crow Canyon Road Improvements Phase 1 $10.87 100%$8.42 A-9b Crow Canyon Road Improvements Phase 2 $58.77 100%$57.08 A-10a Vasco Road Safety Improvements Phase 1 $40.57 100%$11.14 A-10b Vasco Road Safety Improvements Phase 2 $31.20 100%$28.62 A-11 Express Bus/Bus Rapid Transit (BRT) – Phase 2 $22.35 100%$21.21 B-1 I-580/I-680 Interchange (westbound to southbound)$1,785.65 3%$34.69 B-2 Fifth Eastbound Lane on I-580 from Santa Rita Road to Vasco Road --- B-3 I-580/First Street Interchange Modification $61.00 100%$7.93 B-4 I-580/Vasco Road Interchange Modification $85.65 100%$16.61 B-5 I-580/Greenville Road Interchange Modification $86.00 100%$18.92 B-6 Jack London Boulevard Extension $28.16 100%$10.08 B-7 El Charro Road Extension (Stoneridge Drive/Jack London Boulevard to Stanley Boulevard)$72.48 -- B-8 Camino Tassajara/Tassajara Road Widening Project (East of Blackhawk Drive to North Dublin Ranch Drive)$88.08 100%$54.55 B-9 Danville Boulevard/Stone Valley Road I-680 Interchange Improvements --- B-10 I-680 Southbound HOV Lane Gap Closure (North Main Street to Rudgear Road)--- B-11a I-680 HOV Direct Access Ramps --- B-11b I-680 Transit Corridor Improvements $277.85 -- C-1 Tesla Road Safety Improvements $13.19 100%$13.19 C-2 Norris Canyon Road Safety Improvement $24.49 99%$24.24 C-3 Dublin Boulevard – North Canyons Parkway Extensions $160.39 33%$35.72 C-4 Vasco Road at Dalton Avenue Intersection Improvements $3.39 25%$0.85 C-5 El Charro Road Widening $68.09 100%$38.09 C-6 Sunol/680 Interchange Improvements $16.60 18%$1.37 C-7 I-680 Express Lanes – Hwy 84 to Alcosta $527.57 100%$300.72 Project Total Cost (2021$ Million) AB 602 Proportion Allocation% AB 602 TVTDF Eligible Cost (2021$ Million)* C-8 Santa Rita/I-580 Interchange $10.33 100%$2.63 C-9 Stoneridge/I-680 Interchange $11.98 100%$4.08 C-10 Innovate 680 $57.21 100%$54.66 C-11a Iron Horse Trail Bicycle-Pedestrian Overcrossing – Bollinger Canyon Road $22.88 9%$0.78 C-11b Iron Horse Trail Bicycle-Pedestrian Overcrossing – Crow Canyon Road $19.69 14%$2.81 C-11c Iron Horse Trail – Dublin $11.60 9%$0.00 C-11d Iron Horse Trail – Livermore $26.99 100%$26.99 C-11e Iron Horse Trail to Shadow Cliffs $1.65 100%$0.30 C-11f Iron House Trail Connection Improvements at Santa Rita Road $0.87 100%$0.48 C-11g Iron Horse Trail Bicycle/Pedestrian Overcrossing – Sycamore Valley Road $19.78 50%$9.89 C-11h Iron Horse Trail System-wide Improvements $85.60 100%$85.60 C-12 Hacienda/I-580 Interchange Improvements $39.13 100%$34.50 C-13 Fallon/El Charro Interchange Improvements $34.51 100%$19.96 C-14 Valley Link Rail (Phase 1)$258.25 100%$258.25 C-15 Technology Enhancements $0.33 100%$0.33 C-16 I-680 Express Bus Service $59.35 100%$59.35 TOTAL $4,470.60 $1,248.62 *AB 602 TVTDF Eligible Cost also includes reduction in cost to account for external "cut-through" trips that is generated by growth outside the Tri-Valley area.